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2026年10月17日

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查看过去 24 小时内波动最大的预测盘口

1
icon for 凯蒂·扎查里亚将在10月31日之前卸任新闻秘书吗?

凯蒂·扎查里亚将在10月31日之前卸任新闻秘书吗?

100%
91%
2
icon for 在10月决定后,以色列银行会不会对以色列银行利率不作任何改变?

在10月决定后,以色列银行会不会对以色列银行利率不作任何改变?

89%
41%
3
icon for STRC会在10月31日前达到100美元吗?

STRC会在10月31日前达到100美元吗?

24%
39%
4
icon for 乌克兰会在2026年10月17日袭击莫斯科吗?

乌克兰会在2026年10月17日袭击莫斯科吗?

100%
23%
5
icon for 汤姆·戴亚斯会赢得2026年基洛纳市长选举吗?

汤姆·戴亚斯会赢得2026年基洛纳市长选举吗?

51%
21%
6
icon for 《侠盗猎车手VI发布预告片》在第一周的观看次数会在6000万到8000万之间吗?

《侠盗猎车手VI发布预告片》在第一周的观看次数会在6000万到8000万之间吗?

16%
20%
7
icon for 2026年10月31日,奥恩RTX 5090指数会至少为$0.60吗?

2026年10月31日,奥恩RTX 5090指数会至少为$0.60吗?

81%
19%
8
icon for 5年期国债收益率会在2027年之前达到5.10%吗?

5年期国债收益率会在2027年之前达到5.10%吗?

53%
19%
9
icon for 卡杜·德·卢拉会赢得2026年北里奥格兰德州州长选举吗?

卡杜·德·卢拉会赢得2026年北里奥格兰德州州长选举吗?

42%
17%
10
icon for Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?

Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?

87%
16%
11
icon for Olivia Dean的《Man I Need》会成为2026年美国的第二名歌曲吗?

Olivia Dean的《Man I Need》会成为2026年美国的第二名歌曲吗?

19%
16%
12
icon for 到10月31日,《生化危机》的美国本土总票房是否会在1.6亿到1.7亿美元之间?

到10月31日,《生化危机》的美国本土总票房是否会在1.6亿到1.7亿美元之间?

27%
15%
13
icon for 塞缪尔·阿利托会在2027年6月30日之前宣布退休吗?

塞缪尔·阿利托会在2027年6月30日之前宣布退休吗?

59%
15%
14
icon for 《蜘蛛侠:全新一天》会在2026年取得第二高的本土首映周末票房吗?

《蜘蛛侠:全新一天》会在2026年取得第二高的本土首映周末票房吗?

60%
14%
15
icon for 到2027年2月28日之前不会有下一任以色列国家安全部长被任命吗?

到2027年2月28日之前不会有下一任以色列国家安全部长被任命吗?

45%
13%
16
icon for 以色列在2026年10月31日前对叙利亚采取军事行动?

以色列在2026年10月31日前对叙利亚采取军事行动?

6%
12%
17
icon for 10月27日更倾向于维持不变还是加息25个基点?

10月27日更倾向于维持不变还是加息25个基点?

87%
12%
18
icon for Theo FDV在发布后一天超过3亿美元?

Theo FDV在发布后一天超过3亿美元?

20%
11%
19
icon for 到2026年10月31日,伊朗会以约旦为目标吗?

到2026年10月31日,伊朗会以约旦为目标吗?

7%
11%
20
icon for 海登·潘妮蒂尔今年会成为谷歌上搜索排名第一的逝者吗?

海登·潘妮蒂尔今年会成为谷歌上搜索排名第一的逝者吗?

19%
10%
21
icon for 11月30日前对沙特东西石油管道采取军事行动?

11月30日前对沙特东西石油管道采取军事行动?

66%
10%
22
icon for Jumper 的 FDV 会在上线一天后超过 1 亿美元吗?

Jumper 的 FDV 会在上线一天后超过 1 亿美元吗?

77%
9%
23
icon for 德尼·维伦纽瓦会在第99届奥斯卡金像奖中获得最佳导演奖吗?

德尼·维伦纽瓦会在第99届奥斯卡金像奖中获得最佳导演奖吗?

9%
9%
24
icon for 瑞士国家银行会在12月会议上将政策利率上调25个基点吗?

瑞士国家银行会在12月会议上将政策利率上调25个基点吗?

13%
9%
25
icon for 2026年11月30日前举行俄乌和平谈判?

2026年11月30日前举行俄乌和平谈判?

21%
7%

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来自 @polymarket 的实时动态

突发新闻

Oct 17, 4:08 AM

Kamala Harris calls for expanding the U.S. Supreme Court beyond its current 9 justices & reforming the Electoral College.

突发新闻

Oct 17, 3:46 AM

Justin Bieber officially crowned 2026 “White Boy of the Year”

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Oct 17, 3:18 AM

Hacker steals personal data belonging to millions of California students, including names, birth dates, home addresses, & disability status, state officials confirm.

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Oct 17, 2:52 AM

Texas Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico compares his campaign to the biblical David fighting Goliath.

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Oct 17, 2:24 AM

Anthropic signs a lease for its first Canadian data center in Nova Scotia.

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Oct 17, 1:52 AM

Former White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia declares “it was an honor to work for” President Trump following her departure.

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Oct 17, 1:26 AM

President Trump waives major Russia sanctions and tariffs under the Lindsey Graham Act just days before they were set to take effect.

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Oct 17, 12:24 AM

Anthropic has reportedly pitched its own AI safety legislation to Congress to regulate themselves.

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Oct 16, 11:19 PM

President Trump reveals he wears makeup and applies it himself, explaining that without it, “you look a little bit like a dead person.”

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Oct 16, 11:11 PM

Anduril is reportedly considering manufacturing its new Steelfin interceptor missiles in Europe.

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Oct 16, 10:24 PM

US air traffic controllers reach a deal with the FAA for a 2.8% pay raise, as the aviation industry increasingly looks to gamers as potential recruits.

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Oct 16, 9:09 PM

AOC pours $1 million into Abdul El-Sayed's Michigan Senate campaign.

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Oct 16, 8:55 PM

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang assures investors the AI stock selloff is temporary, declaring, “All of this is going to pass.”

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Oct 16, 8:32 PM

Alberta's independence referendum draws over 1 million early votes, as new polling shows 66% support remaining in Canada.

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Oct 16, 8:11 PM

Democratic Socialist Claire Valdez, who called ICE a “militarized terrorist organization,” is projected to be elected into U.S. Congress. 97% chance.

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突发新闻

Oct 16, 8:09 PM

Chinese robotics company unveils a massive 13-foot-tall, 2,400-pound humanoid robot capable of lifting more than 1,100 pounds.

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突发新闻

Oct 16, 8:03 PM

Border Czar Tom Homan announces a "surge" of immigration enforcement resources into New York City & sanctuary cities across the country.

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Oct 16, 7:52 PM

Casey Anthony blasts Shane Gillis over his SNL monologue, telling men to stop commenting on women's clothing & "do better."

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Oct 16, 7:44 PM

Trump reveals Katie Zacharia will stay in the administration "in some form."

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Oct 16, 7:38 PM

U.S. bank stocks on track for their longest weekly losing streak since the 2008 financial crisis, falling for 6 consecutive weeks.

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Oct 16, 7:32 PM

Romania offers to pay part of the cost of hosting U.S. troops as the Pentagon considers further military reductions across Europe.

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Oct 16, 7:26 PM

FAA bans unauthorized drones along the US-Mexico border, amid growing concerns over Mexican cartels using drones to smuggle drugs & surveil trafficking routes.

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Oct 16, 7:20 PM

Laura Loomer officially offers to take over as as Trump's next White House Press Secretary.

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突发新闻

Oct 16, 7:13 PM

Mississippi's U.S. Senate race shifts from “Safe R” to “Likely R” as Scott Colom seeks to become the first Democrat to win a Senate election in the state since 1982. 12% chance.

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突发新闻

Oct 16, 7:02 PM

Illegal crossings at the US-Mexico border have reportedly fallen to nearly their lowest level in 60 years.

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Oct 16, 6:48 PM

Russia is ramping up efforts to influence American voters ahead of the midterms, using thousands of social media bots to sow division over Israel. — NYT

突发新闻

Oct 16, 6:39 PM

Brent crude soars above $110 per barrel for the first time since May.

突发新闻

Oct 16, 6:27 PM

Justice Department sues California to block more than 20,000 mail-in ballots from being counted in the midterms until voters' citizenship status is verified.

新预测盘口

Oct 16, 6:16 PM

Next Press Secretary?

突发新闻

Oct 16, 6:14 PM

Trump fires his new press secretary just days into the job, as projected by Polymarket.

突发新闻

Oct 16, 6:07 PM

Semiconductor stocks are on track for their longest losing streak since 2006.

突发新闻

Oct 16, 5:58 PM

Jim Cramer calls today's stock market selloff “one of the worst days of the year.”

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突发新闻

Oct 16, 5:46 PM

Sam Altman congratulates Elon Musk on Tesla's flying Roadster, saying it looks “quite amazing.”

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突发新闻

Oct 16, 5:35 PM

ICE arrests Minnesota man, Mukeshkumar Somabhai Chaudhari, for allegedly illegally voting in the 2024 presidential election as a non-citizen.

突发新闻

Oct 16, 5:24 PM

Katie Zacharia now projected to be removed as WH Press Sec. after Trump reportedly told her “this role may not be for you.” 62% chance she’s ousted this month.

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突发新闻

Oct 16, 5:18 PM

Trump reveals he told newly appointed White House Press Sec. Katie Zacharia to reconsider her role, suggesting the job “may not be for her.”

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突发新闻

Oct 16, 5:11 PM

Iran's president accuses the ongoing Middle East conflict of causing “environmental genocide” while speaking at a UN biodiversity summit.

突发新闻

Oct 16, 4:59 PM

New study warns cannabis use may have a detrimental impact on sleep quality, despite millions of Americans using marijuana as a sleep aid.

突发新闻

Oct 16, 4:51 PM

European researchers are developing autonomous robots to patrol aging sewer systems, aimed at combating a surge in sewage spills.

突发新闻

Oct 16, 4:38 PM

U.S. oil surges above $100/barrel.

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Oct 16, 4:35 PM

European Union to launch Arctic surveillance program in 2027 to “counter growing US and Russian ambitions” in the region.

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Oct 16, 4:24 PM

Putin declares Russia is establishing a “security zone” inside Ukraine along the border & says it will not be negotiable in any future peace talks.

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Oct 16, 4:13 PM

Jeff Bezos' Blue Origin unveils plans to launch its massive New Glenn rocket "multiple times per week" by the end of the decade.

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Oct 16, 4:05 PM

Waymo announces plans to launch its first Canadian robotaxi service in Toronto in 2028.

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Oct 16, 3:54 PM

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh corrects IMF chief's use of AI, saying “In the US we now pronounce it SI."

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Oct 16, 3:38 PM

Heckler interrupts Maine's U.S. Senate debate, shouting “AI data centers are destroying our climate. They are poisoning our water.”

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Oct 16, 3:23 PM

President Trump hosts Bill Maher, Stephen A. Smith, & Kid Rock for dinner overnight, with Kid Rock describing the gathering as “epic.”

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突发新闻

Oct 16, 3:17 PM

AOC tops the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination odds heading into the midterms, narrowly edging Gavin Newsom & Jon Ossoff. 17% chance.

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Oct 16, 3:06 PM

Eli Lilly's weight loss pill Foundayo wins backing from European drug regulators after clinical trials showed patients losing up to 11% of their body weight.

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Oct 16, 2:53 PM

Reddit moderators remove a post showcasing Tesla's flying Roadster for violating the subreddit's ban on "political content"

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Oct 16, 2:48 PM

Katie Zacharia declares she has “hit the ground running” in her first week as White House Press Secretary.

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Oct 16, 2:44 PM

Africa now has more Catholics than Europe for the first time in history, according to newly released Vatican statistics.

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Oct 16, 2:33 PM

Indonesian stock market suffers biggest single-day collapse in 28 years.

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Oct 16, 2:24 PM

Chinese bride surprises her groom with a $12,000 Nvidia RTX 5090 GPU at their wedding, bringing him to tears.

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突发新闻

Oct 16, 2:18 PM

China's Tencent reveals its AI agents went rogue during testing, engaging in "unauthorized web browsing activity."

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Oct 16, 2:11 PM

Germany and France join forces to officially scrap the EU's 2035 climate neutrality goal for cars.

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Oct 16, 2:05 PM

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis declares “We will make sure” Tesla's flying Roadster is street legal in Florida.

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Oct 16, 1:58 PM

Rogue AI agents broke into Indian companies' live systems & accessed confidential records without detection, India's cybersecurity agency reveals.

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Oct 16, 1:49 PM

U.S. supermarket operator Ahold’s websites and apps remain offline for a fifth straight day following a major cybersecurity incident.

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Oct 16, 1:36 PM

China proposes new export restrictions on 40 critical technologies, including AI models, biotech, & solar.

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Oct 16, 1:24 PM

Indian police detain “Cockroach” movement founder, Abhijeet Dipke, ahead of a planned protest demanding the resignation of India's top election official.

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Oct 16, 1:13 PM

Apple's foldable iPhone Duo reportedly faces a massive preorder rush, with retail stores running out of launch day inventory almost immediately & some deliveries delayed until 2027.

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突发新闻

Oct 16, 12:57 PM

Katie Zacharia removal odds surge after her Fox News interview with Sean Hannity. 39% chance she’s out by end of year.

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突发新闻

Oct 16, 12:42 PM

Trump reveals ongoing discussions with Russia and China aimed at denuclearization, saying he would “love to denuclearize if possible.”

新预测盘口

Oct 16, 12:19 PM

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?