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Content
2026
- 2609.20655 Using machine learning metrics to provide deeper insights into the performance of choice models
by Lorenzo Mu~noz & Stephane Hess & Thomas O. Hancock & Georges Sfeir
- 2609.20554 Does Training on Future Data Pay? Look-Ahead Bias in Forecasting with Pretrained Models
by Haiqiang Chen & Li Chen & Yunlong Chen & Difang Huang & Bo Zhang
- 2609.20550 Principal component error in high-dimensional factor models
by Alex Bernstein & Lisa R. Goldberg & Nicholas Gunther & Alec N. Kercheval & Tian Lan & Yian Lin & Dayi Yao
- 2609.20473 Beyond Linearity: Semiparametric Solutions to Contamination Bias with Multi-valued Treatments
by Michel Csillag Finger & Vitor Possebom
- 2609.20462 Unpriced Internal Externalities and Structural Inefficiency in Organizations
by Jan van de Poll
- 2609.20424 Cosine metric as a structural economic similarity measure
by Marina Telezhkina & Dominik Wied
- 2609.20421 Stable Allocations, Unstable Payment Paths: The Shapley Value and Voluntary Coalition Formation
by Tongseok Lim
- 2609.20405 An Arbitrarily Precise Global Closed Form Approximation for the Neoclassical Growth Model
by Jordan Roulleau-Pasdeloup
- 2609.20393 Gaussian Boundary Inference in a Hypergeometric Heavy-Tailed Family
by Steve Lawford
- 2609.20293 Beyond Rough Volatility: Decoupling Memory and Scaling via a Generalized Langevin Equation
by Andrey Itkin
- 2609.20282 Tradeable Import Certificates for Strategic Supply Security
by Sebastian Kranz
- 2609.20264 Risk-Set Transported Synthetic Control with Difference-in-Differences Adjustment under Staggered Treatment Adoption
by Mojtaba Eslami
- 2609.20260 Counterexamples and Sufficient Conditions: Comments on "Optimally-Transported Generalized Method of Moments"
by Masahiro Kato
- 2609.20224 The Year-End Toll: Frictions Embedded in Option-Implied Rates
by Useong Shin
- 2609.20192 Herding and Liquidity in Order-Book Markets. III. Leverage and the Onset of Endogenous Liquidity Crises under Weak Anchoring
by Jan Novotny
- 2609.20176 Stable Matchings and Their Histories: Historical Reachability under Population Shocks
by Yi-You Yang
- 2609.20044 Noise-adjusted turnover in estimated networks
by Sultan Amed & Sayantan Banerjee
- 2609.20032 A polyhedral characterization of worker-quasi-stable matchings
by Nadia Gui~naz'u & Noelia Juarez & Paola Manasero & Pablo Neme & Jorge Oviedo
- 2609.20017 Who Aggregates Information? Screening, Rent, and the Coexistence of CLOB and AMM Prediction Markets
by Chengqi Zang & Gabriel P. Andrade & Tomoyuki Nakajima
- 2609.19932 Rational Bargaining: Characterization and Implementation
by Philipp Peitler
- 2609.19888 Putting Context into Preference Aggregation
by Philipp Peitler & Karl H. Schlag
- 2609.19866 Reproducibility is not construct validity: LLM measurement of institutionally situated communication
by Veronika Batzdorfer & Carlo Romano Marcello Alessandro Santagiustina
- 2609.19843 A Dual-Process Perspective on Nudge Susceptibility in LLM-Based GUI Agents
by Haya Halimeh & Sascha Kaltenpoth & Kevin Bosch & Oliver Muller
- 2609.19771 Anonymous Accountability
by Georgy Lukyanov & Muslim Salakhov
- 2609.19764 Taxing Capital to Protect It
by Georgy Lukyanov & Hengrina Ly
- 2609.19738 Axiomatizing Local Asymptotic Minimax Risk
by Ricky Li
- 2609.19660 Screening Out the Needy: The Effects of SNAP Work Requirements
by Lexin Cai & Hyewon Kim & Pauline Leung
- 2609.19547 Vector Vine Copula Models for Multivariate Longitudinal Data
by Michael Stanley Smith & Lin Deng
- 2609.19455 The Behavior of Inventories over the Business Cycle: Evidence across Levels of Development
by Juan Manuel Rodriguez Repeti & Danilo Rogelio Trupkin
- 2609.19418 Stable Policy Learning
by Harvey Barnhard & Giacomo Opocher & Rahul Singh
- 2609.19415 Aggregating many estimators using estimated weights
by Emmanuel Guerre & Yuting Wang
- 2609.19386 Omitted Variable Bias in Difference-in-Differences Designs
by Juejue Wang & Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna & Victor Chernozhukov & Carlos Cinelli
- 2609.19316 Persistent mixed worldviews in the theory of chosen preferences
by Ziran Liu
- 2609.19102 Optimal entry and exit for variance swaps: closed-form rules for the perpetual contract
by Jun Maeda
- 2609.19094 Quadratic G-BSDEs for bond pricing with endogenous short-rate feedback
by Jaehyun Kim & Hyungbin Park
- 2609.19081 Beyond Pretrends: A Discordance-Based Sensitivity Analysis for Difference-in-Differences
by Thomas Leavitt
- 2609.19034 Power Up Consumption: Impact of Electric Vehicle Infrastructure on Household Finance
by Sumit Agarwal & Yi Fan & Qiuxia Gao
- 2609.19033 Intergenerational Mobility in China
by Yi Fan & Junjian Yi & Junsen Zhang
- 2609.19032 A Tale of Two Cities: The Announcement Effect of Northern Metropolis Plan
by Yi Fan & Chongyu Wang & Ke Xu
- 2609.19031 Identification and Estimation of Optimal Continuous Treatment Effects
by Fangzhou Yu
- 2609.19028 A variational approach to the generalized Fisher transformation of correlation matrices
by Ilya Archakov & Peter Reinhard Hansen
- 2609.19013 Routing Frictions and Executable Liquidity in Fragmented Markets
by Wen-Ting Wang
- 2609.18976 Global Reallocation of Capital in the Era of Geo-Economic Fragmentation and Artificial Intelligence
by Fernando Toledo & Gabriel Montes-Rojas
- 2609.18975 Sniper Cohorts and Algorithmic Filter Rejections in Solana Memecoin Markets: Two-Window Replication of Lifecycle-Stage Population Separation
by Arati Uday Kamat
- 2609.18949 StableEval Arena: A Cost-Aware Agentic Benchmark for Stablecoin Price Stability Prediction
by Sean Wan & Dongping Liu & Luyao Zhang
- 2609.18903 Shrinkage Bayesian Causal Forest with Instrumental Variable
by Lennard Ma{ss}mann & Jens Klenke
- 2609.18770 Regularity of a Multidimensional Principal-Agent Problem with Separable Effort Costs
by Shuaijie Qian & Guan Qiao
- 2609.18750 PPML and Heavy-Tailed Trade and Factor Flows: Why Standard Inference Fails and How to Fix It
by Peter H. Egger & Ting Ji & Yulong Wang
- 2609.18734 Conditionally linear, matrix normal state space models
by Drew D. Creal & Marcelo C. Medeiros & Rodrigo Sarlo
- 2609.18701 Comparison of Deterministic Information Providers
by David Lagziel & Ehud Lehrer & Tao Wang
- 2609.18600 Policy Targeting with Market Equilibrium
by Gyungbae Park
- 2609.18591 Recursive Reasoning or Statistical Extrapolation? In-Context Learning in Multi-Agent Interdependent Decision-Making
by Yu Liu & Wenwen Li & Yifan Dou & Guangnan Ye
- 2609.18441 Multitask Reinforcement Learning for Assisting Choice Model Specification
by Gabriel Nova & Stephane Hess & Sander Van Cranenburgh
- 2609.18299 Fractional Assignment with $\ell_1$ Preferences
by Yasushi Kawase & Warut Suksompong & Hanna Sumita & Yu Yokoi
- 2609.18287 A continuous-time dynamic contracting problem with limited liability and finite horizon
by Andrea Bovo & Tiziano De Angelis & St'{e}phane Villeneuve
- 2609.18172 What No First Stage Can Detect: Functional-Form Contamination in Linear IV
by Parush Arora
- 2609.18161 Why a Non-Discriminatory Royalty Surcharge Is Not Chip-Neutral: The Error in FTC v. Qualcomm
by Sang-Seung Yi
- 2609.18157 Tensor-BEKK: Conditional Covariance Modeling and Inference for Tensor-Valued Time Series
by Huan Gong & Feiyu Jiang
- 2609.18150 Profiled Anderson--Rubin Test: Robust Inference Allowing for Direct Effects of Instruments
by Jung Hyub Lee
- 2609.18147 Dynamic Pooling and Regional Participation in Deceased-Donor Organ Allocation
by Genta Okada
- 2609.18019 Model-Free Passive Execution via Order-Level Shadowing
by Vincent Maciejewski
- 2609.17989 Whom Do AI Agents Work For? Role Assignment Induces Sponsorship Bias in LLM Recommenders
by Davood Wadi & Yu Ma
- 2609.17939 Recursive-Head Geometry and Order-Free Efficient Inference in Finite-State Nested Markov Models
by Haoyu Wei
- 2609.17869 Demystifying the Bergomi-Guyon expansion
by Florian Bourgey & Jim Gatheral
- 2609.17836 Coalition strategy-proof anonymous binary social choice in a countably infinite society
by Achille Basile & K. P. S. Bhaskara Rao & Surekha Rao
- 2609.17807 Segregation Monotonicity and the Measurement of Inequality in Social Networks
by Deepankar Basu
- 2609.17788 SAiFE-gym: Model-based Environments for Automated Market Making with Concentrated Liquidity
by Georgios Chionas & Charalampos Kleitsikas & Stefanos Leonardos & Leandro S'anchez-Betancourt & Carmine Ventre
- 2609.17752 AI and the Market for Signals
by Doruk Cetemen & Emre Ozdenoren
- 2609.17626 Structural Complexity of One-Factor Sparse Portfolio Selection: Exact Algorithms, Parameterized Hardness, and Restricted Circuit Lower Bounds
by Davit Gondauri
- 2609.17617 Reputation without a Control Group
by Shubh Lashkery & Georgy Lukyanov
- 2609.17610 On-Demand Combinatorial Event Markets on Kalshi: Instantiation, Concentration, and Effective Market Breadth
by Maksym Nechepurenko
- 2609.17609 Separated Signal Libraries: Packing, Saturation, and Joint Spectral Limits
by Marc da Costa Nunes
- 2609.17608 Equilibrium Selection in Coordination Games with Planned Actions and Scouting
by Wolfgang Kuhle
- 2609.17558 Developer Investment in Agentic Platforms: Capability Spillovers, Hold-Up, and Portability
by Chupeng Xie
- 2609.17415 Financial Contagion Networks as Annealing-Ready Ising Systems Cascades, Bailout Optimization, and Susceptibility
by Abhinav Tomar & Lakshya Nagpal & Vikas Chauhan & S. R. Hassan
- 2609.17409 An Integrative Multidimensional Conceptualization of Telework Behavior: A Systematic Review and Grounded Theory Approach
by Sahar Babaei & Saeed Nosratabadi & Thabit Atobishi & Sahar Abu Bakir
- 2609.17406 On testing the incentive compatibility of single-parameter allocation mechanisms
by Jason Milionis & William Pires
- 2609.17296 Conformal Policy Learning with Distribution-Free Safety Guarantees
by Ying Jin & Naoki Egami
- 2609.17200 Mapping AI Economic Complexity
by Daeun Moon & Yeokyung Hwang & Junseok Hwang & Dawoon Jeong
- 2609.17170 Causal Inference under Dynamic Selection: Time-Varying Covariates and Latent Heterogeneity
by Weisheng Zhang
- 2609.17158 Empirical Bayes for compound adaptive experiments
by Karun Adusumilli & Jiaying Gu & Junfan Tao
- 2609.16968 Rate-Agnostic Wald Inference for Dyadic Regressions
by Benjamin O. Harrison & David T. Jacho-Chavez
- 2609.16642 From Public Evidence to Contractual Outcome: First and Stable Decidability on Kalshi
by Maksym Nechepurenko
- 2609.16618 A Multiverse of Good and Bad Controls: Candidate Causal Graphs for Interpreting Model Robustness Analysis
by Shoki Okubo
- 2609.16522 Auction Design with ROI-Constrained Bidders: Truthfulness and Revenue Maximization
by Zhiqiang Zhuang & Quan Yu & Yisong Wang & Kewen Wang & Zhe Wang
- 2609.16509 Anthropogenic Forcing, Climate Change, and the Shape of Warming: Statistical Inference for Distributional Cointegration
by Won-Ki Seo & Kyungsik Nam
- 2609.16431 Feasible Search Behavior
by Hiroto Sato & Ryo Shirakawa
- 2609.16258 The AI-Enabled Scientific Frontier
by Gabriel Manso & Emma Fu & Neil Thompson
- 2609.16203 Global Poverty Beyond the Official Line: A bounded estimate of material insufficiency
by Giancarlo Crocetti
- 2609.16086 Tractable Estimation of the Money Pump Index: A Comment
by Gavin Kader
- 2609.15901 Strategic Index Reconstitution: Differential Games, Closed-Loop Equilibria and Mean-Field Dynamics
by Lukas-Benedikt Fiechtner & Jose Blanchet
- 2609.15803 Delegating Authorization to Misaligned Agents: Coalitional Alignment and Safe Control
by Natalie Collina & Surbhi Goel & Aaron Roth & Sikata Bela Sengupta
- 2609.15802 The Economics of Recursive Self-Improvement
by Tom Cunningham & Lukas Althoff & Basil Halperin & Brian Jabarian & Andrew Koh & Arjun Ramani & Phil Trammell & Parker Whitfill & Cheryl Wu
- 2609.15797 A prelude to the theory of Real-World Asset (RWA) Tokenization
by Wenpin Tang
- 2609.15796 Penalized Maximum Likelihood Inference of Core-Periphery Networks
by Antonio Mosca & Piero Mazzarisi
- 2609.15755 Extended Version: Storage-Based Strategic Manipulation of Constraint-Binding Patterns in Power Networks
by Mehdi Davoudi & Minghao Mou & Junjie Qin
- 2609.15744 Design of a Deep Learning Credit Risk Early Warning System Integrating Multi-source Heterogeneous Data
by LiYang Wang & Zhen Zhong & Zhen Tian & Keyu Chen & Keyu Chen
- 2609.15741 Quantifying the 2027 Solvency II Risk Margin Reform
by Said Khalil & Fatima Zahrae Chaayra
- 2609.15736 Conditional-Moment Estimation and Inference in the BLP Model
by Hua Jin & Rui Sun & Tian Xie
- 2609.15573 Algorithmic Attention and Content Creation on Social Media Platforms
by Yi Chen & Fei Li & Marcel Preuss
- 2609.15452 Computing Endogenous Transformations in Processing Networks: A Dynamic Calibration Approach
by Satoshi Nakano & Kazuhiko Nishimura
- 2609.15373 Resolution Is Not Settlement, Part II: Protocol Finality and Observed Redemption on Polymarket
by Maksym Nechepurenko
- 2609.15368 Resolution Is Not Settlement, Part I: Oracle Adjudication and Semantic Governance on Polymarket
by Maksym Nechepurenko
- 2609.15319 Clean Scores, Buried Evidence, and Confident Wrong: A Receipt-Based Audit of Frontier Agentic QA
by Luis M. S'anchez
- 2609.15306 The skew Brownian motion should not be used as a risk-neutral returns process: a well-posed skew-normal alternative
by Lorenzo Torricelli & Michele Bufalo
- 2609.15111 Eigenvalue-Decomposition Cost Denoising as an Alternative to Predict-then-Optimize for Shortest-Path Problems
by Henry Aldridge-Krawciw & Irene Aldridge
- 2609.15019 Contracting for Information: Heterogeneous Costs and Investment Opportunities
by Han Wang
- 2609.14859 Gate Design and Stage-Dependent Incentives in Retail Proprietary-Trading Evaluations: Why Passing Is Not Standalone Evidence of Skill, and Why the Product Fails to Pay Under Measured Trading Constraints
by Nicholas Hall
- 2609.14767 Loop-Back Authority in LLM Agent Teams: A Paired Experiment on Flat and Hierarchical Coordination
by Burak Agachan & Max van Duijn & Amirhossein Zohrehvand
- 2609.14750 Redistributive Policies for the Times of Transformative AI
by Jakub Growiec & Klaus Prettner & Maciej Szkr'obka
- 2609.14733 WaVeFuse: Regime-Adaptive Equity Index Forecasting via Channel-Wise Wavelet Denoising and Vertical Attention Fusion
by Aashish Bohra & Vivek Vijay
- 2609.14724 Bayesian Intelligence from the Outside
by Alex Smolin & Bryan Wilder
- 2609.14625 Designing Signals for Deterrence
by Hiroto Sawada & Raphael Boleslavsky & Kristopher W. Ramsay & Mehdi Shadmehr
- 2609.14576 Towards foundation models for insurance risk modelling
by Christopher Blier-Wong
- 2609.14487 Equilibrium Transition and Cartel Formation: A Structural Analysis of Chile's Pharmacy Cartel
by Yu & Hao
- 2609.14398 Identification and Inference in proxy-SVARs with non-Gaussian shocks
by Paritosh Shankarrao Junare
- 2609.14323 AI Assisted Workflow Optimization and Automation
by Zhen Zhong
- 2609.14301 Approximating Optimal Welfare in Complementary Allocation under Decentralized Information
by Meryem Essaidi
- 2609.14267 Public Opinion as an Option: Leveraging Prediction Markets to Hedge Exposure to Spot Crypto Volatility
by Prashanth Bhaskara & Aadit Jerfy
- 2609.14263 Very Credible Auction
by Thanawat Sornwanee
- 2609.14212 Gaussian Normalized Coordinates and Risk-Neutral CDF Deformations
by Jian Sun
- 2609.14205 CAST: A Cross-Asset State-Space Trading System for Drawdown Control in Stock Markets
by Yu Peng & Matloob Khushi & Josiah Poon
- 2609.14069 What Variation Identifies Payoffs in a Dynamic Game?
by Haojie Liu & Zihan Lin
- 2609.14059 Strategy-Proof Set-Valued Choice on Single-Dipped Domains
by Arkarup Basu Mallik & Mihir Bhattacharya & Ojasvi Khare
- 2609.14049 Homophily and transitivity in dynamic network formation
by Kevin Dano & Bryan S. Graham & Yassine Sbai Sassi
- 2609.14041 An Explicit Solution for the Two-Bidder All-Pay Auction with Arbitrary Type Distributions
by Yijia Ding
- 2609.14029 Special Markowitz: Thermodynamic Formalism for the Joint Regularisation of Returns and Covariance
by David Reinhardt
- 2609.13961 Yet another asymptotic formula for implied volatility
by Masaaki Fukasawa
- 2609.13825 ViperQ: Order Flow Pattern Recognition via Auction Market Theory for Reinforcement Learning Trading
by Asser Moustafa & Rares-Mihail Neagu & Jugal Kalita
- 2609.13715 Event-Time Order-Flow Memory, Operational-Time Impact, and Subordinated Market Observables
by Christopher Angstmann & Tim Gebbie
- 2609.13713 Cross-sectoral emission interdependencies of waste management
by Nikolaos Kalyviotis & Georgina Calypso Kalogerakis & Georgios Kolliopoulos
- 2609.13698 Spectral Design of Random-Duration Switchbacks
by Yuchen Hu
- 2609.13696 Convex Order and Moment Persuasion
by Xin Wang
- 2609.13613 Cautious and fair social evaluation under risk
by Kaname Miyagishima & Kensei Nakamura
- 2609.13597 Same Book, Different Fills: Partial Identification of FIFO Execution from Aggregate Order Books
by Riya Danait & Yuliana Zamora & Ioana Boier
- 2609.13586 Synthetic Nearest Neighbors: Extending Synthetic Controls for Matrix Completion with Missing Not at Random Data
by Anish Agarwal & Munther Dahleh & Devavrat Shah & Dennis Shen
- 2609.13402 Diffusion models for dynamic volatility surface generation and data-driven hedging
by Yinbin Han & Jack Yuxiang Zhang & Manuel Torres & Fernando Acero & Renyuan Xu
- 2609.13345 Beyond Point Forecasts: A Survey on Probabilistic Forecasting for Time Series and Spatiotemporal Data
by Donia Besher & Rajdeep Pathak & Madhurima Panja & Tanujit Chakraborty
- 2609.13068 Policy Targeting with Binary Classification Trees: an Application to Rural Hospital Closures
by Hongying Li & Lei Wang
- 2609.13026 Identification via Distributional Shifts without Exclusion Restrictions
by Xunkang Tian & Nan Zhi
- 2609.12987 Demand Estimation with Variable Choice Sets: A Likelihood Correction for Nested Logit
by Matthew J. Baker & Lisa M. George
- 2609.12976 Complements or Substitutes? Technology Adoption and the Demand for Clinical Care: Evidence from Automated Insulin Delivery
by Moslem Rashidi & Cristina Ugolini & Gianluca Fiorentini
- 2609.12878 The Favorite-Longshot Bias in Prediction Markets: Evidence from Polymarket
by Marcos Cardozo & Jos'e Ignacio Rivero-Wildemauwe
- 2609.12870 Mechanism Design for Ad-Supported Platforms
by Shota Ichihashi & Doh-Shin Jeon & Byung-Cheol Kim
- 2609.12793 VertiFuseX: Generalizable Financial Forecasting via Multi-Stream Temporal Fusion
by Aashish Bohra & Vivek Vijay
- 2609.12693 Optimal growth under irreversible pollution: The Forster-Ramsey model
by Raouf Boucekkine & Natalia Hritonenko & Yuri Yatsenko & Ullrika Sahlin
- 2609.12666 Exact calibration of structural models via time-change
by Fr'ed'eric Vrins & Damiano Brigo
- 2609.12558 School Choice Problems with Priority Adjustments
by Minoru Kitahara & Yasunori Okumura
- 2609.12545 Moment Restrictions for Dyadic Network Formation Models with Nontransferable Utility
by Hanping Chen & Zeqi Wu
- 2609.12543 Stable Improvement Cycle Mechanism Versus Efficiency-adjusted Deferred Acceptance Mechanism beyond Weak Priority Orders
by Minoru Kitahara & Yasunori Okumura
- 2609.12515 Arbitrage in Estimate Nothing: an example
by Johannes Brutsche & Julian Sester & Thorsten Schmidt
- 2609.12477 Large Signal Libraries: Equal-Weight Limits and the Divergent Spectra of Signals and PnL
by Marc da Costa Nunes
- 2609.12406 Representation Multiplicity in Causal Forests
by Yi Niu
- 2609.12387 Do Sanctions Backfire? New Evidence on the Macroeconomic Effects of Supporting Ukraine
by Vicente Rios & Izaskun Barba & Lisa Gianmoena
- 2609.12291 Measuring Economic Preferences in the Presence of Noise: The Connections Between Choices and Valuations
by Ted O'Donoghue & Charles Sprenger & Po Hyun Sung & Ben Wincelberg
- 2609.12280 Simultaneous Clustered Orthogonalization
by Bastien Buchwalter & Francis X. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz
- 2609.12271 A Sharp Signal-to-Noise Threshold for Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Breakpoint Estimation
by Hubeyb Gurdogan & Georg Menz
- 2609.12227 Seasonal Trading in Commodity Futures: Evidence from Regression and Singular Spectrum Signals
by Ralph Kosch & Robin Forsberg
- 2609.12210 Informational Effects in Conflict Escalation
by Constantine Sorokin & Eyal Winter
- 2609.12149 Comparative Statics of Information Acquisition and Risk Aversion
by Antonio Cabrales & Gregorio Curello & Olivier Gossner & Roberto Serrano
- 2609.12107 Extracting Dataset Mentions in Forced Displacement and FCV Documents: A Weakly Supervised Framework with LLM-Based Label Refinement
by Rafael Macalaba & Aivin V. Solatorio & Patrick Michael Brock & Olivier Dupriez
- 2609.11971 Multi-Objective Enterprise Green Supply Chain Network Design
by Felix Reichelk
- 2609.11915 Generative Marketing Mix Modeling: A Causal Inference Framework Linking GEO and GEM to Business Impact
by Masahiro Kato & Daiki Honma & Taka Kato
- 2609.11905 Entropic Value-at-Risk parity for tempered stable returns
by Jaehyung Choi
- 2609.11748 Utility-Level-Dependent Ambiguity
by Kemal Ozbek
- 2609.11614 Deep Learning of Robust Market Making under Regime-Switching Order Flow
by Felipe Moret & Fabrizio Lillo
- 2609.11586 Short-maturity skew stickiness ratio under local volatility
by Masaaki Fukasawa
- 2609.11575 Market-Informed Networks for Modeling and Forecast Evaluation of Financial Extremes
by Ayla Jungbluth & Johannes Lederer & Simon Trimborn
- 2609.11374 Social Preferences and Cooperation: Beliefs, Robustness, and the Limits of Altruism
by Yosuke Hashidate
- 2609.11222 Optimal Covariate Adjustment beyond the Average Treatment Effect: Treated-Population and Overlap-Weighted Estimands
by Shoki Okubo
- 2609.10971 Experimental Design for Policy Choice
by Samuel D. Higbee
- 2609.10925 Identification in Linear Quantile Panel Models
by Shakeeb Khan & Elie Tamer
- 2609.10865 The Elliptically Optimal Confidence Interval: A Bivariate Extension of Wilson's Score Method
by Nawaf Mohammed
- 2609.10759 Where Should Society Draw the Line? A Social Choice Approach to Collective Consent
by Chris Dong & Sonja Kraiczy & Rohit Vasishta & Markus Brill & Wesley H. Holliday & Niclas Boehmer
- 2609.10617 Average Treatment Effect Localization: Projection Methods in Synthetic Control
by Ruei-Chi Lee
- 2609.10615 ACT, WAIT, or EXPERIMENT: A Causal Governance Framework for Retail Price Optimization Under Abstentions
by Pedro Cadahia
- 2609.10587 Expected Shortfall Factor Models: Common Tail Losses and Expected Returns
by Yujie Hou & Xinbing Kong & Yalin Wang & Bin Wu
- 2609.10544 Revisiting the Rules-versus-Discretion Debate: Forecasting Evidence from the Bank of England, 1870-1913
by Xi Chen
- 2609.10543 The Privacy Subsidy in Market Microstructure
by Yuki Nakamura
- 2609.10499 Monitoring Hierarchies in Knowledge Production
by Shota Ichihashi & Fei Li & Dihan Zou
- 2609.10407 dexamine: A Python package for Uniswap event data on Ethereum
by Magnus Hansson
- 2609.10380 High Volume Low Complexity Surgical Hubs in England: Can They Improve Physician Productivity?
by Zecharias Anteneh & Adriana Castelli & Peter Sivey & Andrew Street & Jinglin Wen & Joy Adamson
- 2609.10227 Italian Business-to-Business Invoicing Data: A Network Analysis
by Valerio Astuti & Daniele Piras
- 2609.10074 Strategic communication of narratives: An experiment
by Gerrit Bauch & Arthur Dolgopolov & Manuel Foerster
- 2609.10053 Do wind and solar curtail at negative electricity prices? Incentives and evidence across two decades of German renewable support schemes
by Lion Hirth
- 2609.10029 On accessibility of the core in mutidimensional spatial majority voting situations
by Anindya Bhattacharya & Francesco Ciardiello
- 2609.09945 Adversarial Training for Tabular Credit Scoring: A Multi-Attack Robustness Evaluation in P2P Lending
by Gijs A. F. Niewzwaag & Marijn G. S. Veth & Manuele Massei & Marcos R. Machado
- 2609.09888 The Response of Consumption to Interest Rates with Borrowing Constraints: An Analytical Approach
by Jordan Roulleau-Pasdeloup
- 2609.09859 How an Economy Shrinks in Space: Concavity-on-Jobs and Upward Consolidation under Demographic Decline
by Tomoya Mori & Miki Ogawa
- 2609.09693 The Attention Cost of Stable Matching
by Victor H. Aguiar & Dian Hong
- 2609.09673 Reducing Prescription Errors Through Information Intervention: A Field Experiment in Healthcare Operations
by Xiaodan Shao & Vivek Choudhary & Arnab Majumdar
- 2609.09588 Signal Correlation, IC, and PnL Dependence
by Marc Nunes
- 2609.09544 When is statistical evidence strong enough? Using hypothesis tests to value data collection
by Aristotelis Epanomeritakis & Davide Viviano
- 2609.09488 Two Margins in Difference-in-Differences with a Continuous Treatment
by Fangzhou Yu
- 2609.09470 Geometric and Arithmetic Likelihood Aggregation for Diffusions with Heterogeneous Volatility
by Jan Vecer
- 2609.09405 The Log S-fBM model: Statistical analysis
by Othmane Zarhali & Emmanuel Bacry & Jean-Franc{c}ois Muzy
- 2609.09337 Credible Discourse on Climate Policy: Beyond Dueling Certitudes
by Charles F. Manski
- 2609.09323 Buy Now, Pay Later: Academic Insights and Open Policy Questions
by Benedict Guttman-Kenney & Walter W. Zhang
- 2609.09226 Adaptive Entangled Game Modules in Artificial General Intelligence
by Haochen Li & Xinshuai Guo & Jingdong Ouyang & Wei Zhang & Leilei Shi