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Choe, B.-H., Climate Finance under Limited Commitment and Renegotiations: A Dynamic Contract Approach, Journal of Risk and Financial Management (2026)

First-best Benchmark


(a) Climate cost C_FB(G)

(b) Dynamics of GHG stock

(c) Adaptation and mitigation funding levels

(d) Adaptation and mitigation funding shares

Figure 5. First-best benchmarks. Author's own elaboration.


Second-best Simulation


(a) Difference in climate cost: C(w_t, G_t) − C_FB(G_t)

(b) Difference in GHG stock: G_SB,t − G_FB,t

(c) Promised contribution value: w_t

(d) Total funding: I_t

(e) Adaptation funding: a_t

(f) Mitigation funding: m_t

(g) Adaptation share: a_t / I_t

(h) Mitigation share: m_t / I_t

Figure 6. Comparison of dynamics under the first-best and the second-best (SB) contract for probabilities of contract enforcement rho in {0.80, 0.85, 0.90, 0.95, 1.00}, with initial total funding set to 8% of the first-best level in 2015. Author's own elaboration.

The author does not numerically solve the full Bellman problem in this repository because a global solution is computationally intensive and highly sensitive to grid construction and interpolation choices. Nevertheless, a full-solution implementation can reproduce the patterns shown in Figure 6.

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