Project
Scheduling
INTRODUCTION
Schedule converts action plan into operating time table
Basis for monitoring and controlling project
Scheduling more important in projects than in
production, because unique nature
Sometimes , the customer specified/approved
requirement.
Based on Work Breakdown Structure (WBS)
2
NETWORK TECHNIQUES
PERT CPM
-Program Evaluation and Critical Path Method
Review Technique Developed by El
- developed by the US Dupont for Chemical
Navy with Booz Plant Shutdown
Hamilton Lockheed Project- about
- on the Polaris same time as PERT
Missile/Submarine
program 1958
Both use same calculations, almost similar
Main difference is probabilistic and deterministic in time
estimation
Gantt
Chapter 8 Chart also used in scheduling
Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 3
NETWORK
• Graphical portrayal of activities and event
• Shows dependency relationships between
tasks/activities in a project
• Clearly shows tasks that must precede
(precedence) or follow (succeeding) other
tasks in a logical manner
• Clear representation of plan – a powerful
tool for planning and controlling project
4
Example of Simple Network –
Survey
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 5
Example of Network –
More Complex
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 6
DEFINITION OF TERMS IN A NETWORK
• Activity :any portions of project (tasks) which required by
project, uses up resource and consumes time – may involve labor,
paper work, contractual negotiations, machinery operations
• Activity on Arrow (AOA) showed as arrow,
• AON – Activity on Node
• Event : beginning or ending points of one or more activities,
instantaneous point in time, also called ‘nodes’
• Network Combination of all project activities and the events
PRECEEDING SUCCESSOR
ACTIVITY
EVENT
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 7
Emphasis on Logic in Network
Construction
• Construction of network should be based on logical or
technical dependencies among activities
• Example - before activity ‘Approve Drawing’ can be
started the activity ‘Prepare Drawing’ must be
completed
• Common error – build network on the basis of time
logic (a feeling for proper sequence ) see example
below
WRONG !!!
CORRECT
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 8
Example 1- A simple network
Consider the list of four activities for making a simple product:
Activity Description Immediate predecessors
A Buy Plastic Body -
B Design Component -
C Make Component B
D Assemble product A,C
Immediate predecessors for a particular activity are
the activities that, when completed, enable the start of
the activity in question.
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 9
Sequence of activities
Can start work on activities A and B anytime,
since neither of these activities depends upon
the completion of prior activities.
Activity C cannot be started until activity B has
been completed
Activity D cannot be started until both activities
A and C have been completed.
The graphical representation (next slide) is
referred to as the PERT/CPM network
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 10
Network of Four Activities
Arcs indicate project activities
A D
1 3 4
B C
Nodes correspond to the
beginning and ending of
activities
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 11
Example 2
Develop the network for a project with following activities and
immediate predecessors:
Activity Immediate
predecessors
A -
B -
C B
D A, C
E C
F C
G D,E,F
Try to do for the first five (A,B,C,D,E) activities
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 12
Network of first five activities
A D
1 3 4
E
B
C 5
2
We need to
introduce a
dummy activity
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 13
Network of Seven Activities
1 A 3 D 4 G
7
dummy E
B
C 5 F
2 6
• Note how the network correctly identifies D, E, and F as the
immediate predecessors for activity G.
• Dummy activities is used to identify precedence relationships
correctly and to eliminate possible confusion of two or more
activities having the same starting and ending nodes
• Dummy activities have no resources (time, labor, machinery,
etc) – purpose is to PRESERVE LOGIC of the network
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 14
EXAMPLES OF THE USE OF DUMMYACTIVITY
Network concurrent activities
a
a 2
1 2 1 Dummy
b 3
b
WRONG!!! RIGHT
Activity c not WRONG !
required for e
a
a e
d
1
b 1 b
e
d
c
2
c
WRONG
RIGHT
!!!
RIGHT
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 15
WRONG!!! RIGHT!!!
a d a d
1 1
b e b
2 2 4
e
c f c f
3 3
a precedes d.
a and b precede e,
b and c precede f (a does not precede f)
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 16
Scheduling with activity time
Activity Immediate Completion
predecessors Time (week)
A -
5
B -
6
C A
4
D A
3
E A
1
F E
4
G D,F
14
H B,C
12
I G,H
2
Total …… 51
This information indicates that the total time required to
complete activities is 51 weeks. However, we can see from the
network that several of the activities can be conducted
simultaneously (A and B, for example).
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 17
Earliest start & earliest finish time
• We are interested in the longest path through the
network, i.e., the critical path.
• Starting at the network’s origin (node 1) and using a
starting time of 0, we compute an earliest start
(ES) and earliest finish (EF) time for each activity
in the network.
• The expression EF = ES + t can be used to find the
earliest finish time for a given activity.
For example, for activity A, ES = 0 and t = 5; thus
the earliest finish time for activity A is
EF = 0 + 5 = 5
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 18
Arc with ES & EF time
EF = earliest finish time
ES = earliest start time
Activity
2
]
A [0,5
5
1
t = expected activity
time
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 19
Network with ES & EF time
D[5,8] 5
2 3
E[ 1 0]
,
G[1 4
5,6 6
F[
5 ,5]
1 ]
0, 2
4
1
0
7
A[
4
]
C[5,9]
4,26
]
4
I[2
4
2
1 6
B[0
,6] [ 9,21]
6 H
12
3
Earliest start time rule:
The earliest start time for an activity leaving a particular node
is equal to the largest of the earliest finish times for all
activities entering the node.
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 20
Activity, duration, ES, EF, LS, LF
EF = earliest finish time
ES = earliest start time
Activity
3
]
C [5,9 ]
2
4 [8 , 1
2
LF = latest finish time
LS = latest start time
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 21
Latest start & latest finish time
• To find the critical path we need a backward pass calculation.
• Starting at the completion point (node 7) and using a latest
finish time (LF) of 26 for activity I, we trace back through the
network computing a latest start (LS) and latest finish time
for each activity
• The expression LS = LF – t can be used to calculate latest start
time for each activity. For example, for activity I, LF = 26 and t
= 2, thus the latest start time for activity I is
LS = 26 – 2 = 24
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 22
Network with LS & LF time
D[5,8] 5
2 3[7,10]
0]
G[1 10,24
14[
E[ 1
1[5 5,6] [ 6, 10]
0, 2 ]
F 6,
5[ 0,5]
,6]
4[
4]
5]
7
A[
0,
4 2 4, 26]
C[5,9]
I[
4[8,12]
2 4 , 26]
1 6 2[
B[0
6[6 ,6] [ 9, 21]
, 12
H
[ 12,24]
] 12
3
Latest finish time rule:
The latest finish time for an activity entering a particular node is
equal to the smallest of the latest start times for all activities
leaving the node.
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 23
Slack or Free Time or Float
Slack is the length of time an activity can be delayed without
affecting the completion date for the entire project.
For example, slack for C = 3 weeks, i.e Activity C can be delayed up
to 3 weeks
(start anywhere between weeks 5 and 8).[5,9] 3
C ]
4 [8 , 1 2
2
ES LS EF LF
5 8 9 12
LF-EF = 12 –9 =3
LS-ES = 8 – 5 = 3
LF-ES-t = 12-5-4 = 3
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 24
Activity schedule for our example
Activity Earliest Latest Earliest Latest Slack Critical
start (ES) start (LS) finish finish (LS-ES) path
(EF) (LF)
A 0 0 5 5 0 Yes
B 0 6 6 12 6
C 5 8 9 12 3
D 5 7 8 10 2
E 5 5 6 6 0 Yes
F 6 6 10 10 0 Yes
G 10 10 24 24 0 Yes
H 9 12 21 24 3
I 24 24 26 26 0 Yes
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 25
IMPORTANT QUESTIONS
• What is the total time to complete the project?
• 26 weeks if the individual activities are completed on schedule.
• What are the scheduled start and completion times for each
activity?
• ES, EF, LS, LF are given for each activity.
• What activities are critical and must be completed as
scheduled in order to keep the project on time?
• Critical path activities: A, E, F, G, and I.
• How long can non-critical activities be delayed before they
cause a delay in the project’s completion time
• Slack time available for all activities are given.
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 26
Importance of Float (Slack) and Critical Path
1. Slack or Float shows how much allowance each activity has,
i.e how long it can be delayed without affecting completion
date of project
2. Critical path is a sequence of activities from start to finish
with zero slack. Critical activities are activities on the critical
path.
3. Critical path identifies the minimum time to complete
project
4. If any activity on the critical path is shortened or extended,
project time will be shortened or extended accordingly
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 27
Importance of Float (Slack) and Critical
Path (cont)
5. So, a lot of effort should be put in trying to control activities
along this path, so that project can meet due date. If any
activity is lengthened, be aware that project will not meet
deadline and some action needs to be taken.
6. If can spend resources to speed up some activity, do so only
for critical activities.
7. Don’t waste resources on non-critical activity, it will not
shorten the project time.
8. If resources can be saved by lengthening some activities, do
so for non-critical activities, up to limit of float.
9. Total Float belongs to the path
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 28
PERT For Dealing With Uncertainty
• So far, times can be estimated with relative certainty,
confidence
• For many situations this is not possible, e.g Research,
development, new products and projects etc.
• Use 3 time estimates
m= most likely time estimate, mode.
a = optimistic time estimate,
b = pessimistic time estimate, and
Expected Value (TE) = (a + 4m + b) /6
Variance (V) = ( ( b – a) / 6 ) 2
Std Deviation (δ) = SQRT (V)
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 29
Precedence's And Project Activity Times
Immediate Optimistic Most Likely Pessimistic EXP Var S.Dev
Activity Predecessor Time Time Time TE V
a - 10 22 22 20 4 2
b - 20 20 20 20 0 0
c - 4 10 16 10 4 2
d a 2 14 32 15 25 5
e b,c 8 8 20 10 4 2
f b,c 8 14 20 14 4 2
g b,c 4 4 4 4 0 0
h c 2 12 16 11 5.4 2.32
I g,h 6 16 38 18 28.4 5.33
j d,e 2 8 14 8 4 2
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 30
The complete network
d 6
2
(15,25)
j
a (8,4)
(20,4) e
(10,4)
1 f 7
3
b (14,4)
(20,0)
g
c
(4,0)
(10,4) i
(18,28.4)
h 5
4
(11,5.4)
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 31
Figure 8-13 The complete Network
EF=20 35
d 6
2
a (15,25) j
(20,4) (8,4)
b e
20 43
(20,0) (10,4)
f CRIT. TIME = 43
1 3 7
(14,4)
g
c (4,0)
(10,4) i
(18,28.4)
h 5
4
(11,5.4)
10 24
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 32
Critical Path Analysis (PERT)
Activity LS ES Slacks Critical ?
a 0 0 0 Yes
b 1 0 1
c 4 0 4
d 20 20 0 Yes
e 25 20 5
f 29 20 9
g 21 20 1
h 14 10 4
i 25 24 1
j 35 35 0 Yes
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 33
Assume, PM promised to complete the project in the fifty days.
What are the chances of meeting that deadline?
Calculate Z, where
Z = (D-S) / V
Example,
D = 50; S(Scheduled date) = 20+15+8 =43;
V = (4+25+4) =33
Z = (50 – 43) / 5.745
= 1.22 standard deviations.
The probability value of Z = 1.22, is 0.888
1.22
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 34
What deadline are you 95% sure of meeting
Z value associated with 0.95 is 1.645
D = S + 5.745 (1.645)
= 43 + 9.45
= 52.45 days
Thus, there is a 95 percent chance of finishing the project
by 52.45 days.
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 35
Comparison Between CPM and PERT
CPM PERT
1 Uses network, calculate float or
slack, identify critical path and Same as CPM
activities, guides to monitor and
controlling project
2 Uses one value of activity time Requires 3 estimates of activity
time
Calculates mean and variance of
time
3 Used where times can be Used where times cannot be
estimated with confidence, estimated with confidence.
familiar activities Unfamiliar or new activities
4 Minimizing cost is more important Meeting time target or estimating
percent completion is more
important
5 Example: construction projects, Example: Involving new activities
building one off machines, ships, or products, research and
etc development etc
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 36
BENEFITS OF CPM / PERT NETWORK
Consistent framework for planning, scheduling,
monitoring, and controlling project.
• Shows interdependence of all tasks, work packages,
and work units.
• Helps proper communications between departments
and functions.
• Determines expected project completion date.
• Identifies so-called critical activities, which can delay
the project completion time.
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 37
BENEFITS OFCPM / PERT NETWORK (cont.)
• Identified activities with slacks that can be delayed for
specified periods without penalty, or from which
resources may be temporarily borrowed
• Determines the dates on which tasks may be started or
must be started if the project is to stay in schedule.
• Shows which tasks must be coordinated to avoid
resource or timing conflicts.
• Shows which tasks may run in parallel to meet project
completion date
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 38
Gantt Charts
Since 1917; Useful for showing work vs time in form of bar charts
e.g.
• Can draw directly or from CPM/PERT network
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 39
Modified PERT/CPM diagram from network
a d
1 2 6 7 Legend
e [ Scheduled
3 Start
] Scheduled
f Finish
3
- Actual Progress
b Ä Unavailable
1 3 5 L Current Date
à Milestone
Scheduled
¨ Milestone
c dummy Achieved
1 4
h
4
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Days
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 40
Gantt Charts and CPM/PERT
Networks
Gantt Charts:
Even though a lot of info, easy to read and , understand
to monitor and follow progress.
Not very good for logical constraints
Should be used to COMPLEMENT networks, not replace
Chapter 8 Scheduling, PERT, Critical Path Analysis 41