CH13
CH13
International Equity
Markets
1
Chapter Outline
• The World’s Equity Markets: A Statistical
Perspective
• Market Structure, Trading Practices, and
Costs
• Trading in International Equities
• International Equity Market Benchmarks
• iShares MSCI
• Factors Affecting International Equity
Returns
2
Market Capitalization
• At year-end 2018, total market capitalization
of the 80 organized stock exchanges tracked
by the World Federation of Exchanges (WFE)
stood at $74,667b
– Five largest stock exchanges at end of 2018:
• New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)
• NASDAQ
• Japan Exchange Group
• Shanghai Stock Exchange
• Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing
• Stock market capitalization-to-GDP ratio
3
Top Stock Exchanges
Rank Name Market Capitalization (B$)
1 New York Stock Exchange 19,223
2 NASDAQ 6,831
3 London Stock Exchange Group 6,187
4 Japan Exchange Group – Tokyo 4,485
5 Shanghai Stock Exchange 3,986
6 Hong Kong Stock Exchange 3,325
7 Euronext 3,321
8 Shenzhen Stock Exchange 2,285
9 TMX Group 1,939
4
Market Liquidity
• A liquid stock market is one in which investors
can buy and sell stocks quickly at close to the
current quoted prices
– A measure of liquidity for a stock market is the
turnover ratio, calculated as the ratio of stock
market transactions over a period of time divided
by the size, or market capitalization, of the stock
market
– Generally, the higher the turnover ratio, the more
liquid the secondary stock market, indicating ease
in trading
– In 2018, many national stock exchanges had
relatively high turnover ratios, with close to 40% of 5
Market Concentration
• A common measure of stock market concentration is
the ratio of the market capitalization of the largest
ten companies divided by the total market
capitalization
• In 2018, the largest ten companies on the Budapest
Stock Exchange accounted for a whopping 95.46% of
the total market capitalization of the stock exchange
• Alternatively, also in 2018, the London Stock
Exchange had a much lower concentration ratio of
29.38%
• Investors would have difficulty diversifying their
investments in concentrated markets, those
dominated by a few large firms
• Concentrated financial markets also represent poor 6
Market Structure, Trading Practices,
and Costs
• Primary market: the market for new issues of
securities.
– New issue
– Key factor: issuer receives the proceeds from the
sale
• Secondary: the market where existing
securities are traded among investors.
– Existing owner sells to another party
– Issuing firm doesn’t receive proceeds and is not
directly involved
7
Primary Market Structure
Relationship between a firm issuing securities, the underwriters, and the public
8
Market Structure, Trading Practices,
and Costs
• Secondary equity markets of the world serve
two major purposes:
– Provide marketability
– Provide share valuation
9
Market Structure, Trading Practices,
and Costs (Continued)
• When conducting a trade in the
secondary market, public buyers and
sellers are represented by an agent,
known as a broker
• Order submitted to broker may be a
market or limit order
10
Types of Orders
• Market orders: an order to buy or sell at
the best price when the order reaches the
trading floor.
• Price contingent orders
– Limit buy: Buy at or below a stipulated price
– Limit Sell: Sell at or above a specific limit
– Stop loss: sell if price falls below a stipulated
level (to limit losses)
– Stop buy: buy when price rises above a given
limit (to buy shares as prices are rising)
• Time expiry
– Day orders, open or good-till-cancelled orders
11
Market Structure, Trading Practices,
and Costs (Concluded)
• Secondary markets may have different
designs that allow for the efficient trading of
shares
– Generally, a secondary market is structured as a
dealer or agency market
• In a dealer market, the broker takes the trade
through the dealer, who participates in trades as a
principal by buying and selling the security for his
own account
• In an agency market, the broker takes the client’s
order through the agent, who matches it with
another public order 12
EXHIBIT 13.3
Characteristics of Major Equity Trading Systems
13
Margin Trading
• Margin: the part of the total value of a security
transaction that a customer must pay to
initiate the transaction.
• Provide your own money (equity) as only a
portion of an investment
• Borrow the remaining via the broker
• Securities purchased on margin are kept at the
brokerage firm as collateral for the loan.
14
Stock Margin Trading
• Initial margin (e.g., 50%)
• Minimum margin
– Minimum level the equity margin can be
– Set by the securities commissions
• Margin call: Call from the broker for more
equity funds
– It occurs when the market value of the
margined securities is less than the debt
balance of the margin account.
15
Margin Trading - Initial Conditions
X Corp $70/share
1,000 Shares Purchased
50% Initial Margin
30% Minimum Margin
Initial Position
Stock $70,000 Borrowed $35,000
Equity $35,000
16
Margin Trading - Minimum Margin
Stock price falls to $60 per share
New Position
Stock $60,000 Borrowed $35,000
Equity $25,000
Margin% = $25,000/$60,000 =
41.67%
17
Margin Trading - Margin Call
• How far can the stock price fall before a
margin call?
1,000 P $ 35,000
30 %
1,000 P
Therefore, P = $50
Note: 1,000xP – Amount Borrowed = Equity
18
Leveraging Effect of Margin Purchases
• You buy 200 shares of XYZ at $100,
expecting a 30% appreciation of the
stock in one year:
– Initial margin: 50%
– Financed by a 9% loan for one year
– Expected net return: 51% (let’s check!)
• A 30% drop in the price, though, brings
a negative rate of return of -69% (let’s
check!).
19
Short Sales
• The sale of a stock not owned by the
investor but borrowed from a third party.
• Purpose: to profit from a decline in the
price of a stock or security
• Mechanics:
– Borrow stock through a dealer
– Sell it and deposit proceeds and margin in an
account with the broker
– Close out the position: buy the stock and
return it to the party who lent it to dealer
20
Short Sale - Initial Conditions
Z Corp 100 Shares
$100 Initial Price
50% Initial Margin
30% Minimum Margin
21
Short Sale - Minimum Margin
When Stock Price Rises to $110
22
Short Sale - Margin Call
• What is the stock price that will
trigger a margin call?
23
Short Sale - Margin Call
• What will happen if the price of the
shares, which were sold immediately,
increases to $120?
– Market value of assets: 15000
– Stock owed: $12000
– Net equity: 15000 – 12000 = 3000
– Minimum margin requirement =
12000*30%=3600, so required
deposit=3600 -3000 = 600
24
Trading in International Equities
• During the 1980s, world capital markets
began a trend toward greater global
integration due to the following factors:
1. Investors began to realize the benefits of
international portfolio diversification
2. Major capital markets became more
liberalized
3. New computer and communications
technology facilitated efficient and fair
securities trading
4. MNCs realized the benefits of sourcing new
capital internationally
25
Cross-Listing of Shares
• Cross-listing refers to a firm having its
equity shares listed on one or more foreign
exchanges, in addition to the home
country stock exchange
– Not a new concept, but amount of cross-listing
has exploded in recent years due to increased
globalization
– MNCs often cross-list their shares, but non-
MNCs may choose to cross-list, as well
26
Cross-Listing of Shares (Continued)
• A firm may cross-list shares for many reasons:
1. Provides a means for expanding the investor base
for a firm’s stock, thus potentially increasing its
demand
2. Establishes name recognition of the company in a
new capital market
3. Brings the firm’s name before more investor and
consumer groups
4. May be a signal to investors that improved
corporate governance is forthcoming (if cross-
listing into developed capital markets with strict
securities regulations and information disclosure
requirements)
27
Yankee Stock Offerings
• Yankee stock offerings are sold directly to U.S.
investors by foreign companies
– Since the beginning of the 1990s, many foreign
companies, Latin America in particular, have listed
their stocks on U.S. exchanges to prime the U.S.
equity market for future Yankee stock offerings
– Three factors appear to be fueling the sale of Yankee
stocks
1. Push for privatization by many Latin American and
Eastern European government-owned companies
2. Rapid growth in economies of developing countries
3. Large demand for new capital by Mexican companies
following approval of NAFTA 28
American Depository Receipts
• An American Depository Receipt (ADR)
is a receipt representing a number of foreign
shares that remain on deposit with the U.S.
depository’s custodian in the issuer’s home
market
– First ADRs began trading in 1927
• Foreign stocks can be traded directly on a
national stock market, but frequently they
are traded in the form of a depository
receipt
– Depository receipts (DR) market has grown
significantly over the years 29
Advantages of ADRs
• Investment advantages of ADRs include the
following:
– ADRs are denominated in dollars, trade on a U.S.
exchange, and can be purchased through the
investor’s regular broker
– Dividends received on the underlying shares are
collected and converted to dollars by the
custodian
– ADR trades clear in 3 business days, as do U.S.
equities
– ADR price quotes are in U.S. dollars
– ADRs (except Rule 144A issues) are registered
securities that provide for the protection of 30
Advantages of ADRs (Continued)
• Investment advantages of ADRs include the
following:
– An ADR investment can be sold by trading the
depository receipt to another investor in the U.S.
stock market, or the underlying shares can be
sold in the local stock market
– ADRs frequently represent a multiple of the
underlying shares, rather than a one-for-one
correspondence, to allow the ADR to trade in a
price range customary for U.S. investors
– ADR holders give instructions to the depository
bank as to how to vote the rights associated with
the underlying shares
31
American Depository Receipts (Continued)
33
Global Registered Shares
• Global Registered Shares (GRSs) are
traded globally, unlike ADRs
• GRSs are fully fungible – a GRS
purchased on one exchange can be
sold on another
• Main advantages of GRSs over ADRs
appear to be that all shareholders have
equal status and direct voting rights,
while main disadvantage of GRSs
appears to be the greater expense in
establishing the global registrar and 34
Empirical Findings on Cross-Listings and ADRs
36
International Equity Market Benchmarks
40
Macroeconomic Factors
• Two studies have tested the influence of
various macroeconomic variables on stock
returns
1. Solnik (1984) found that international
monetary variables had only weak influence
on equity returns in comparison to domestic
variables
2. Asprem (1989) found that changes in
industrial production, employment, and
imports, the level of interest rates, and an
inflation measure explained only a small
portion of the variability of equity returns for
ten European countries, but that substantially 41
Exchange Rates
• Adler and Simon (1986)
– Found changes in exchange rates generally
explained a larger portion of the variability of
foreign bond indexes than foreign equity
indexes
• Eun and Resnick (1988)
– Found that the cross-correlations among major
stock markets and exchange markets are
relatively low, but positive
• Gupta and Finnerty (1992)
– Concluded that exchange risk is generally not
priced 42
Industrial Structure
• Studies examining the influence of
industrial structure on foreign equity
returns are inconclusive
43
Measuring the total return from foreign portfolio
investing
48
The benefits of international equity investing
50
The New Efficient Frontier
E(r) C
A
B
51
The Benefits of Int’l Diversification
#-52
International diversification
53
Cross-market correlations
54
Barriers to International Diversification
55