04 - Political Parties and Elections
04 - Political Parties and Elections
PARTIES AND
ELECTIONS
MAKING SENSE OF
POLITICS TOPIC 4
1
THE QUESTIONS
What is political party?
What kind of electoral system do we have?
So what if we have different electoral systems?
2
POLITICAL PARTIES
3
POLITICAL PARTIES
Political party: a organization that seeks to control and
exercise governmental power
4
POLITICAL PARTY
Q: What is a political party?
5
FUNCTIONAL
PERSPECTIVE
Playing a crucial role in mass politics
6
INFORMATION Modern politics
SHORT-CUT too complicated
(Direct
democracy
problem)
Understand
society D
un ifficu
Political Parties d e lt
rst to
an
d
Sort and
analyze
information Easier to People
Set agenda/ understand
issue
prioritization
Offer
solution
options
7
ORGANIZING THE PEOPLE
People
Party A
Diverse
L K G E composition
and interest of
L K society
Co arg
m ain
I
B
pe
J
te
/
Co
H
nf
E
lic
F
ts
C
D
Party B A
B
H F D B
Comp
et
Barga e/
in
Aggregation of
Interests Party C
+
Mobilization for J I C A
competition
8
ORGANIZING
GOVERNMENT Various
government
offices
Executive
(Cabinet)
Form government Winning Party
Legislature
Appoint
judiciary F
(restricted) Opp orm
osit Losing People
io n Accountability
parties
9
IDENTITY CULTIVATION
Talent:
cultivate political
talents
Practice ground
Leader grooming
People
Identity:
Party affiliation
Ideological positions
(Liberal? Socialist?) Political Parties Values:
Ideologies
Political values
Knowledge:
Issues
Systems
Policy options
10
POLITICAL PARTIES
Prevalent phenomenon in modern politics
• Political parties are present in all democracy
• Even authoritarian/ totalitarian regimes form parties
• Parties naturally flourish unless deliberately suppressed
• Once the ban is lifted, political parties return
11
Fluidity of party development
• Political parties are formed in the process of political
development
• New democracy form a party to run election
• Authoritarian rule form a party to resist
• Party develops alongside with political practices and events
12
PARTY AND PARTY
SYSTEM
Party Party system
Party the political organization
13
KINDS OF PARTY SYSTEM
(ROUGHLY)
1. One party dictatorship
2. Dominant party + small parties
3. Two-party system
4. Two-party + small parties
5. Multi-party system
• More than two parties
• No clearly dominant party or parties
• Coalition needed to form government
14
IS PARTY SYSTEM A NATURAL
OUTCOME OF THE PEOPLE’S
WILL?
15
LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT
UK
16
IT SEEMS THE PEOPLE WANT
THREE PARTIES… BUT…
17
HOW DID ALL THIS
HAPPEN?
18
FAMILIES OF ELECTORAL
SYSTEMS
19
I. Majoritarian System
1. Simple Plurality
a) First Past the Post
2. Absolute Plurality (or absolute majority)
a) Two-Round voting (or second ballot)
b) Alternative Voting
II. Proportional Representation
1. Party List
2. Single Transferable Vote
3. And the mess in between
III. Somewhere in between (no time for this)
20
SIMPLE PLURALITY &
FIRST PAST THE POST
First Past The Post (FPTP)
• If you have most votes you win
• How much or how little you win does not matter
• It is Super simple
• Winner-takes-all system
• Horse race system
21
Electoral district #1 Electoral district Electoral district #3
#2
24 14 12 2 46 2 24 20 6
votes votes votes votes votes votes votes votes votes
22
LET’S ANIMATE
THE EXPLANATION
https://www.youtube.com/watch?
v=s7tWHJfhiyo&list=FLhzslOOPY
B7IdXMRRVQXLsg&index=2
23
EFFECTS OF FPTP
Tends towards Two-party system
24
Why are political parties under FPTP usually moderate?
1. FPTP requires winning as many votes as possible
2. Party will send candidates that:
• Has broadest appeal
• Offend least people
3. Parties will race to win the votes at the center
• Rather than far left or far right
• (assuming moderates are the majority in the society)
25
PROBLEMS ARE REAL,
OF COURSE
1. FPTP disproportional representation
• Labor Party got 30% of vote and returned 50% of seats
• Liberal democrat won 20% of vote and got 10% of seats
2. Votes casted on the third party are wasted
• No chance to influence election results
• It may even lead to splitting votes weakening the party
with similar interest
3. Votes casted on the losing parties are also wasted
• (Party A 51%) vs (Party B 49 %)
• All 49 % of votes are unrepresented
26
27
4. Safe-seat problem
• In some districts, a party may be too strong to be
challenged
• The opposition in the district is never represented
5. Exclude minorities from representation
• Candidate with broadest appeals is seldom from racial
minority
• Similar effects on women
5. The problem of Gerrymandering
• Let’s watch a video
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?
v=Mky11UJb9AY&list=FLhzslOOPYB7IdXMRRVQXLsg&
index=3
28
PARTIAL SOLUTION:
ABSOLUTE PLURALITY
Problem: Voters are unrepresented (their votes wasted)
Solution: Require candidate to get over 50% of votes to win
29
ABSOLUTE PLURALITY
B. Alternative Voting system (AV)
• Mentality:
• if I could not get my desired candidate (A) elected
• I would rather let this guy (B) get elected than another guy (C)
• It works like this
• Voters will choose more than one candidate on the ballot paper
• Instead of a she puts down numbers
• (1) 1st preference; (2) 2nd preference; so forth
• After first round of election,
• if no one is over 50%
• Eliminate candidates at the bottom
• Redistribute the vote according to 2nd preference
• Repeat the process until someone has more than 50% of vote
30
Candidate A Candidate B Candidate C
Election
FPTP
31
Candidate A Candidate B Candidate C
35% 40%
25%
32
NEW CHIEF
IN TOWN
33
ABSOLUTE PLURALITY
It solves part of the problems
1. Voters preferences are better represented
2. Candidates will appeal to non-traditional supporters
34
PROPORTIONAL
REPRESENTATION
A more comprehensive solution: PR
Principle:
1. The seats won by political parties should be proportional to the
votes won by the parties.
2. 20% of vote 20% of seats
3. Usually no parties win majority Coalition Government
35
PARTY LIST SYSTEM
This is how it works:
1. Multi-member constituencies
• Can be regional or national
• Or both (e.g. South Africa: two-tier system)
2. Political parties compile a list of candidates
• Voters have no direct control over nomination
• Higher up on the list get the seat first
3. Vote for parties, not individual candidates
4. Allot seats to parties according to % of votes won
36
5 seats in the district
Socialist Party
Liberal Party Green Party
1. Lenin
1. John 1. Peter
2. Trotsky
2. Mary 2. Alessandra
3. Stalin
3. Bob 3. Gordon
4. Kruschev
4. Henry 4. Ernest
5. Vasili
5. Alex 5. Mike
37
Voters
38
5 seats in the district
Socialist Party
Liberal Party Green Party
1. Lenin
1. John 1. Peter
2. Trotsky
2. Mary 2. Alessandra
3. Stalin
3. Bob 3. Gordon
4. Kruschev
4. Henry 4. Ernest
5. Vasili
5. Alex 5. Mike
39
SINGLE TRANSFERRABLE
VOTE
This is how it works:
1. Multi-member constituencies
2. Vote in preference (number, not )
3. Votes counted according to the 1st Preference
4. Candidates are elected if they achieve a quota
40
1. Quota = ( +1 )
• The quota varies in each election
2. After first round of election,
• If someone passes the quota win
• Redistribute the surplus vote of the winner according to
2nd preference
• if no one is over the Quota
• Eliminate candidates at the bottom
• Redistribute the vote according to 2nd preference
3. Repeat the process until all seats are filled
41
OK…
THIS IS
FXXXING TOO
COMPLICATED
42
ADVANTAGES OF
PROPORTIONAL
REPRESENTATION
1. Every vote counts
• The seats are proportional to votes won
• Most accurately reflect the preference of voters
2. Minority has a good chance of being
represented
• Minority and women are statistically better
represented under PR
• No need to push the “most acceptable
candidate”
43
3. Gerrymandering becomes very difficult
• However you draw, the proportion remains relatively the
same
4. Incentive for long term policy
• Coalition government not switching parties with
opposing ideologies
• Easier to keep long term policies
• (IF THERE IS a stable coalition government; e.g.
Germany)
44
PROBLEMS OF PR
1. Proportional Representation multi-party
system
• Coalition government
• Serious instability government keeps
collapsing
2. Fragmentation of party system and
extremist parties
• Multi-party system can create many
small parties
• Small parties are looking after sectional
interest
• No need to cover the moderate voters
• Only need to appeal to a small group of
voters to win seats
• Small scale extremist parties arise
45
PROBLEMS OF PR
3. Difficult to throw parties out of power
• PR enables small parties to keep returning to legislature
• Even though a party lost some seats
• May still be partners in the coalition government
• Very difficult to kick out a party
46
5. Single Transferable Vote (STV) is too complicated
• It avoids the problem of “weakening links” in party list
system
• But the numerical model is very complicated
• Difficult for voters to understand
6. Single Transferable Vote also leads to intra-party fighting
• All candidates are competing with each other
• Including candidates of the same party
47
Majoritaria Proportion
n al
Simple Plurality
• Single-member Party list
constituency
• Multi-member
constituency
48
WHICH ELECTORAL
SYSTEM IS BETTER ?
49
BETTER SYSTEM?
A electoral system is good only to the extent that it brings
the effects we want. So…
50
APPENDIX
51
BEAUTY OF PR: CASE OF
SOUTH AFRICA
South Africa ended the Apartheid in 1994
• Going democratic
In terms of population, black people are majority
Before 1994
• Only white people can vote
• Using First Past the Post system
It seems natural that the black people would adopt FPTP
• If stay in FPTP
• Mandela’s party (African National Congress) can easily take
70-80 % of parliament seats
52
BEAUTY OF PR: CASE OF
SOUTH AFRICA
ANC, however, believes that ‘winner takes all’ will destabilize
South Africa in long term
ANC and its allies agreed to adopt Party List PR system
In 1994, the parliament was composed of
• 52% Black
• 32% White
• 8% Indian
• 7% Colored
• Women also made up 25% of the MPs
Any speculation is counter-factual, but it seems that the PR
system worked
53
FPTP NOT SO BAD AFTER
ALL: CASE OF INDIA
India went independent in 1947
Indian Constitution was adopted by a Constitution Assembly
in 1950
• Composed of jurists, lawyers, constitutional experts, political
thinkers
• Worked for three years to design the electoral system
• Proportional Representation was carefully considered
• Adopted FPTP in the end
54
FPTP NOT SO BAD AFTER
ALL: CASE OF INDIA
Reason for FPTP
• India is a developing country
• Widespread illiteracy and poverty
• Proportional representation
• Fragmented legislature
• Unstable government
55
WORLD OF EXCEPTIONS
First Past to Post Two party system
Proportional representation multi-party system
Tendency only
56
system without changing the electoral laws
HONG KONG’S
AWKWARD SYSTEM
Hong Kong:
Party List + the largest remainder method (Hare quota)
Hare Quota = ( )
Hare Quota = ( ) = 20
57
PARTY LIST SYSTEM IN
HONG KONG
Parties Votes Candidat #2 #3 No. of
got e #1 seats
gaine
d
A 52 52 (1) 32 (2) 12 3
(5)
B 28 28 (3) 8 1
C 20 20 (4) 1
58