0% found this document useful (0 votes)
9 views

1- Review of FM

Uploaded by

Anaab Chaudhry
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
9 views

1- Review of FM

Uploaded by

Anaab Chaudhry
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 40

Revision

Review of Financial Management I

Time Value of Money


Bond Valuation
Stock Valuation

5-1
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Time Lines

0 1 2 3
I%

CF0 CF1 CF2 CF3

• Show the timing of cash flows.


• Tick marks occur at the end of periods, so Time 0 is
today; Time 1 is the end of the first period (year,
month, etc.) or the beginning of the second period.

5-2
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Drawing Time Lines

$100 lump sum due in 2 years


0 1 2
I%

100

3-year $100 ordinary annuity

0 1 2 3
I%

100 100 100


5-3
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Drawing Time Lines

Uneven cash flow stream

0 1 2 3
I%

-50 100 75 50

5-4
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
What is the future value (FV) of an initial $100
after 3 years, if I/YR = 10%?

• Finding the FV of a cash flow or series of cash flows


is called compounding.

0 1 2 3
10%

100 FV = ?

• FVN = PV(1 + I)N


• FV3 = PV(1 + I)3 = $100(1.10)3 = $133.10

5-5
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
What is the present value (PV) of $100 due in
3 years, if I/YR = 10%?

• Finding the PV of a cash flow or series of cash flows


is called discounting (the reverse of compounding).
• The PV shows the value of cash flows in terms of
today’s purchasing power.

0 1 2 3
10%

PV = ? 100

5-6
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Solving for PV:

• Solve the general FV equation for PV:


PV = FVN /(1 + I)N
PV = FVN (1 + I)-N

PV = FV3 (1 + I)-3
= $100(1.10) -3
= $75.13

5-7
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Other Applications of TVM

• Solving for I: What annual interest rate would


cause $100 to grow to $125.97 in 3 years?
• Solving for N: If sales grow at 20% per year, how
long before sales double?

3-8
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
What is the difference between an ordinary
annuity and an annuity due?

Ordinary Annuity
0 1 2 3
I%

PMT PMT PMT

Annuity Due
0 1 2 3
I%

PMT PMT PMT

5-9
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Solving for FV:
3-Year Ordinary Annuity of $100 at 10%

0 1 2 3
10%

100 100 100


FV = ?

• FV = $100(1.10)2 + $100(1.10)1 +$100 = $331

5-10
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Solving for PV:
3-year Ordinary Annuity of $100 at 10%

0 1 2 3
10%

PV = ? 100 100 100

• PV = $100(1.10)-1 + $100(1.10)-2 + $100(1.10)-3


= $248.69

5-11
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Solving for FV:
3-Year Annuity Due of $100 at 10%
• Now, $100 payments occur at the beginning of each period.

0 1 2 3
10%

• FV $100
= $100(1.10) + $100(1.10) +$100
3
$100(1.10)
2 1
= $364.10 $100 FV = ?
• Alternatively, FVAdue= FVAord(1 + I) = $331(1.10) = $364.10

Excel: =FV(rate,nper,pmt,pv,type)
Here type = 1.
5-12
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Solving for PV:
3-Year Annuity Due of $100 at 10%

• Again, $100 payments occur at the beginning of each period.

0 1 2 3
10%

$100 $100 $100


PV = ?

• PV = $100 + $100(1.10)-1 + $100(1.10)-2 = $273.55


• Alternatively, PVAdue = PVAord(1 + I) = $248.69(1.10) = $273.55
5-13
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Annuities

• Assume that you plan to buy a condo 5 years from now,


and you estimate that you can save $2,500 per year. You
plan to deposit the money in a bank that pays 4%
interest, and you will make the first deposit at the end
of the year. How much will you have after 5 years?
• Assume that you are offered an annuity that pays $100
at the end of each year for 10 years. You could earn 8%
on your money in other investments with equal risk.
What is the most you should pay for the annuity? If the
payments began immediately, how much would the
annuity be worth?

3-14
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Annuities

• You have a choice of receiving $4,500 now or $400


every year for 10 years as well as $2,000 at the end
of year 10. Assuming money earns 5%, what would
your choice be?

• An investment costs $465 and is expected to


produce cash flows of $100 at the end of Year 1,
$200 at the end of Year 2, and $300 at the end of
Year 3. What is the expected rate of return on this
investment?

3-15
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Perpetuity

• An annuity expected to continue forever.


• What is the PV of a annuity of $100 forever with an
interest rate of 10%?

PV = PMT/I
= $100/0.1 = $1,000.

5-16
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
What is the PV of this uneven cash flow stream?

0 1 2 3 4
10%

100 300 300 -50


90.91
247.93
225.39
-34.15
530.08 = PV

5-17
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Bonds and Their Valuation

3-18
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
The Value of Financial Assets

0 1 2 N
r% ...
Value CF1 CF2 CFN

CF1 CF2 CFN


Value    
1  r  1  r 
1 2
1  r N

The value or price of any asset in the economy is equal to


the present value of all future cash flows associated with it.
7-19
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
What is the opportunity cost of debt capital?

• The discount rate (ri) is the opportunity cost of


capital, and is the rate that could be earned on
alternative investments of equal risk.

ri = r* + IP + MRP + DRP + LP

7-20
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
What is the value of a 10-year, 10% annual coupon
bond, if rd = 10%?

0 1 2 N
10% ...
VB = ? 100 100 100 + 1,000

$100 $100 $1,000


VB     
1.101 1.1010 1.1010
VB $90.91    $38.55  $385.54
VB $1,000

7-21
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
What’s the value of its 10-year bonds outstanding with
the same risk but a 13% annual coupon rate?

• The annual coupon payment is $130. Since the risk is the same it has the
same yield to maturity as the previous bond (10%).

0 1 2 N
10% ...
VB = PV = ? 130 130 130 + 1,000

$130 $130 $1,000


VB     $1,184.34
1.10  1.10  1.10 
1 10 10

• This bond sells at a premium because the coupon rate > the yield to
maturity.
7-22
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
What’s the value of its 10-year bonds outstanding with
the same risk but a 7% annual coupon rate?

• The annual coupon payment is $70. Since the risk is the same it has the same
yield to maturity as the previous bonds (10%).

0 1 2 N
10% ...
VB = PV = ? 70 70 70 + 1,000

$70 $70 $1,000


VB     $815.66
1.10  1.10  1.10 
1 10 10

• This bond sells at a discount because the coupon rate < the yield to maturity.
7-23
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Yield to Maturity (YTM)

• The rate of return earned on a bond held until


maturity (also called the “promised yield”).
• It is the expected rate of return on the bond if it
does not default and it cannot be called.
• A bond’s calculated YTM changes whenever interest
rates change.
• An investor who buys and holds a bond till maturity
will receive the YTM that existed on the purchase
date, but the bond’s calculated YTM will change
frequently between purchase date and maturity
date.
7-24
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
What is the YTM on a 10-year, 9% annual coupon,
$1,000 par value bond, selling for $887?

• Must find the rd that solves this model.

INT INT M
VB    
1  rd 1
1  rd  1  rd N
N

90 90 1,000
$887     
1  rd 1 1  rd 10 1  rd 10

• Solving for I/YR, the YTM of this bond is 10.91%. This


bond sells at a discount, because YTM > coupon rate. 7-25
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Find YTM If the Bond Price is $1,134.20

• Solving for I/YR, the YTM of this bond is 7.08%. This


bond sells at a premium, because YTM < coupon
rate.

INT INT M
VB    
1  rd  1  rd  1  rd 
1 N N

90 90 1, 000
$1,134.20    
1  rd  1  rd  1  rd 
1 10 10

7-26
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Yield to Call (YTC)

• Callable: its remaining life is the years to maturity if it is


not called, or the years to the call if it is called.
• If a callable bond is called, you do not have the option
of holding it to maturity. Therefore, the YTM would not
be earned.
• YTC is the rate of return earned on a bond when it is
called before its maturity date.
• If current interest rates are well below an outstanding
bond’s coupon rate, a callable bond is likely to be
called; and investors will estimate its most likely rate of
return as the YTC rather than the YTM.
7-27
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Yield to Call (YTC)

• A 15-year bonds issue with a coupon rate of 10% was


callable 10 years after it’s issue date at a price of
$1,100. Suppose 1 year after issuance, the going
interest rate had declined, causing it’s price to rise to
$1,494.93. What is the bond’s YTC? What is the YTM?

7-28
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Stocks and Their Valuation

3-29
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Discounted Dividend Model

• Value of a stock is the present value of the future


dividends expected to be generated by the stock.

D1 D2 D3 D
P̂0  1
 2
 3
 ... 
(1  rs ) (1  rs ) (1  rs ) (1  rs )

9-30
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Constant Growth Stock

• A stock whose dividends are expected to grow


forever at a constant rate, g.
D1 = D0(1 + g)1
D2 = D0(1 + g)2
Dt = D0(1 + g)t
• If g is constant, the discounted dividend formula
converges to:
D0 (1  g) D1
P̂0  
rs  g rs  g

9-31
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Use the SML to Calculate the Required
Rate of Return (rs)

• If rRF = 7%, rM = 12%, and b = 1.2, what is the


required rate of return on the firm’s stock?
rs = rRF + (rM – rRF)b
= 7% + (12% – 7%)1.2
= 13%

9-32
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Find the Expected Dividend Stream for the Next
3 Years and Their PVs

D0 = $2 and g is a constant 6%.

0 g = 6%
1 2 3

2.12 2.247 2.382


1.8761
rs = 13%
1.7599
1.6509

9-33
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
What is the stock’s intrinsic value?

Using the constant growth model:

D1 $2.12
P̂0  
rs  g 0.13  0.06
$2.12

0.07
$30.29

9-34
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
What is the stock’s expected value, one year
from now?

• D1 will have been paid out already. So, expected P 1


is the present value (as of Year 1) of D 2, D3, D4, etc.
D2 $2.247
P̂1  
rs  g 0.13 0.06
$32.10

• Could also find expected P1 as:


P̂1 P0 (1.06)$32.10

9-35
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Find Expected Dividend Yield, Capital Gains Yield, and
Total Expected Return During First Year

9-36
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Growth rate ‘g’

Growth rate = (1 - Payout ratio)*ROE

•Growth in dividends depends primarily on the firm’s


payout ratio and its ROE.
• A firm can provide a relatively high dividend yield or
a higher growth rate but not both.
•Choice depends on what shareholders want.

9-37
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Example

• A company recently paid a dividend of $3 and is


expected to grow at a constant rate of 8%. The
beta of its stock is 1.5. Currently, the risk-free
rate is 6% and return on the market is 10%.
– What is the stock’s intrinsic value?
– What is the stock’s expected value, one year from
now?
– Find expected dividend yield, capital gains yield, and
total return during first year.

3-38
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Preferred Stock

• Hybrid security.
• Like bonds, preferred stockholders receive a fixed
dividend that must be paid before dividends are
paid to common stockholders.
• However, companies can omit preferred dividend
payments without fear of pushing the firm into
bankruptcy.

9-39
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
If preferred stock with an annual dividend of $5 sells for
$50, what is the preferred stock’s expected return?

D
Vp 
rp
$5
$50 
rp

$5
r̂p 
$50
0.10 10%

9-40
© 2013 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied, or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

You might also like