Chapter 4 and 5 (2) I
Chapter 4 and 5 (2) I
Money
Chapter
9
Present vs Future Value
Time value of money (TVM) calculations involve Present
value (what a cash flow would be worth to you today) &
Future value (what a cash flow will be worth in the future).
Intr
o
Congratulations!!!
You have won a cash prize! You
have two payment options:
A BD 20 A BD 20 after 3
Today years
Although the bill is the
same, you can do much
more with the money if
you have it now.
Over
interetime you can earn
on your
more
st money
Intr
o
If you receive the $10,000 today, you can increase the future
value of your money by investing and earning money over time.
OR 10,000 (1 + 4.5%) =
$10,450
Future
Value
If you left your amount untouched one more
year, how
much would it worth?
10,450 + (10,450*4.5%) =
$10,920.25
10,450 ( 1+ 4.5%) =
$10,920.25
10,000 (1+ 4.5%) (1+4.5%) =
$10,920.25
Interest you
Interest you receive in year 1
receive in year 2
Future
Value
If you left your amount untouched one more
year, how
much would it worth?
Mathematically, It is possible to to rewrite the formula
(Short cut to use):
10,000 (1+4.5)^2 =
$10,920.25
Future
Value
General
Formula:
where:
FV = Future
Value PV = Remember, it is
Present Value i compounding of
Interest
= interest rate
Future
Value
Future
Value
Now, can you calculate how much the $10,000 worth
after 3 years?
Future
Value
Now, can you calculate how much the $10,000 worth
after 3 years?
a. In 12 years at 11 percent?
b. In 18 years at 7 percent?
c. In 25 years at 8 percent?
The formula is as
following:
Remember, in present
values, we discount
future values
Present
Value
Present
Value
So, back to your MBA. How much should you invest
today?
PV = ?
FV = 10,000
i = 4.5%
Present
Value
So, back to your MBA. How much should you invest
today?
PV = ?
FV = 10,000
i = 4.5%
n=3
$15,000
The present value of
$18,000 that you will
receive in four years?
today
PV = 18,000/
(1+0.04)^4 =
$15,386.48
Present
Value
a. What is the present value of $270,000 to be
received after 40 years with a 19 percent discount
rate?
Period
Investment Question: How
Period many
years will it take
for $8,500 to
ln FVn / PV0 grow
to grow to
n
ln 1 k $10,000
at 7% interest
ln $10,000 / $8,500 ln[1.17647 ] rate?
n
ln 1 .07 ln[1.07]
0.1625
n 2.4 years
0.06766
Investment Question: At a
Period growth
(interest) rate of 15
percent
annually, how long will it
take
for a sum to double? To
triple? the year that is
Select
closest
to the correct
answer.
Investment The Rule of 72
Used to determine the
Period number of years needed
go double an investment
N = 72/interest rate
(*100)
Investment Example:
if you are able to
Period generate an annual
return of 9%, it will
take 8 years (=72/9) to
double the value of
investment.
APR vs EAR
APR vs. EAR
APR = The Annual Percentage Rate (APR) indicates the interest
rate paid or earned in one year without compounding. APR is
also known as the nominal or quoted (stated) interest rate.
EAR = [1+.13/12]^12 - 1
= 1.1380 – 1
= .1380 or 13.80%
In this case its very important to account for the monthly interest
and adjust the periods and interest.
FV = PV (1+i/12)m*12 N = 120
I/Y = .833%
= $50,000 (1+0.10/12)10*12 PV = -50,000
= $50,000 (2.7070) PMT = 0
FV= $135,352.07 FV = $135,352
Calculating FV using non annual
compounding periods
If you deposit $50,000 in an account that pays an annual interest
rate of 10% compounded monthly, what will your account balance
be in 10 years?
Example on Continuous
Compounding
Annuities and
Perpetuity
Annuities and
Perpetuity
Annuity: A finite series of equal and periodic cash flows.
of each period.
Future Value of
Annuity
Being able to calculate the future value of annuity would help:
Where:
FVa = The future value of annuity , A = fixed periodic payment, i = interest rate,
n = period
Future Value of
Annuity
However, the previous calculation can be found via the following
formula:
=
=
$5525.63
Future Value of
Annuity
Using the financial
calculator to calculate
future values:
Use CMPD function: (solving
the previous problem)
n=5
PV =
0 FV
=? I
=5%
Present Value of Annuity
Present Value of
Annuity
If you would like to determine today's value of a future payment series,
you need to use the formula that calculates the present value of an
ordinary annuity. Meaning, the process is reversed. Hence, the
payments are discounted back to the present.
Let’s go back to our
example. You want to
know how much would
the five $1000 future
payments are worth today.
Present Value of
Annuity
Let’s go back to our example. You want to know how much
would the five $1000 future payments are worth today.
Present Value of
Annuity
Again, calculating and adding all these values will take a
considerable amount of time, especially if we expect many
future payments. As such, we can use a mathematical
shortcut for PV of an ordinary annuity.
Present Value of
Annuity
Again, calculating and adding all these values will take a
considerable amount of time, especially if we expect many
future payments. As such, we can use a mathematical
shortcut for PV of an ordinary annuity.
= $4329.48
Present Value of
Annuity
Using the financial
calculator to calculate
future values:
Use CMPD function: (solving
the previous problem)
n=5
PV =
? FV
=0
I
Present Value of
Annuity
Question: Your grandfather has offered you a choice of
one of the three following alternatives: $10,000 now;
$4,800 a year for eight years; or $56,000 at the end of
eight years. Assuming you could earn 9 percent
annually, which alternative should you choose? If you
could earn 10 percent annually, would you still choose
the same alternative?
Determining Annuity
Value
Determining the Annuity
Value
Based on the formulas presented is it possible to determine
the annuity value required?
A: Annuity
FVA: Future Value of Annuity
i: Interest rate
n: Periods
Determining the Annuity
Value
Annuity Equaling a Future value
A: Annuity
PVA: Future Value of Annuity
i: Interest rate
n: Periods
Determining the Annuity
Value Equaling a Present value
Annuity
Principl
$2101.5 e But how
Interes much
9
t exactly?
Determining the Annuity
Value
Loan Amortization Table: Schedule for a $6,000 loan at 15% to
be repaid in 4 years:
Using a Financial
Calculator
N = 180
1/y =8/12
PMT = -2201.29
FV = 0
PV = $230,344.29
Perpetuity
Perpetuity
A perpetuity is an annuity that continues forever or has no
maturity. For example, a dividend stream on a share of preferred
stock. There are two basic types of perpetuities:
PV: ? = $1,000,000
PMT: 90000 PV = 90000 / 0.09 = 1000000
i: 9% The present value of
FV:0 perpetuity is not affected
by time. Thus, the
perpetuity will be worth
$1,000,000 at 5 years and
Growing Perpetuity
PV: ? = $2,250,000
PMT: 90000 PV = 90000 / (0.09-0.05) = 2250000
Comparing the present value of a level
i: 9% perpetuity with a growing perpetuity shows
g: 5% that adding a 5% growth rate has a dramatic
effect on the present value of cash flows. The
FV:0 present value increases from $1,000,000 to
$2,250,000.
Complex (Uneven)
Cashflow Streams
Complex Cash Flows
In reality many cashflows are uneven. Instead, the cash flows may have
a mixed pattern of cash inflows and outflows, single and annuity cash
flows. This is also known as Deferred Annuity. Next Figure summarizes
the complex cash flow stream for Marriott
Complex Cash
Flows
Question: What is the present value of cash flows of $300 at the
end of years 1 through 5, a cash flow of negative $600 at the end
of year 6, and cash flows of $800 at the end of years 7-10 if the
appropriate discount rate is 10%?
Complex Cash
Flows
Question: What is the present value of cash flows of $300 at the
end of years 1 through 5, a cash flow of negative $600 at the end
of year 6, and cash flows of $800 at the end of years 7-10 if the
appropriate discount rate is 10%?
PV of Year 1 to Year 5:
PMT: 300
i: 10%
n: 5
FV: 0
PV: ? = 1137.24
Complex Cash
Flows
Question: What is the present value of cash flows of $300 at the end
of years 1 through 5, a cash flow of negative $600 at the end of
year 6, and cash flows of $800 at the end of years 7-10 if the
appropriate discount rate is 10%?
PV of Year 1 to Year 5:
PMT: 300
i: 10%
n: 5
FV: 0
PV: ? = 1137.24
Complex Cash
Flows
Question: What is the present value of cash flows of $300 at the end
of years 1 through 5, a cash flow of negative $600 at the end of
year 6, and cash flows of $800 at the end of years 7-10 if the
appropriate discount rate is 10%?
PV of Year 6
PMT: 0
i: 10%
n: 6
FV: -600
PV: ? = 338.68 Don’t forget that this cash flow is negative
Complex Cash
Flows
Question: What is the present value of cash flows of $300 at the end
of years 1 through 5, a cash flow of negative $600 at the end of
year 6, and cash flows of $800 at the end of years 7-10 if the
appropriate discount rate is 10%?
= $2230
Patterns of Payments with a Deferred
AnnuityAn investment will pay $1000 in year 1, $2000 in year 2,
Question:
$3000 in year 3 and an amount of $1,000 that will be paid at the end of
each year from the fourth to the eighth year. With a discount rate of
8%. What is the present value of the cash flow?
1.
$1,000
Present Value =
$5,022
We have
2. to
$2,000
3. calculate
$3,000 Five-year
annuity
the PV of
4.
$1,000 the
5.
$1,000
annuities.
Patterns of Payments with a Deferred
Annuity
Question: An investment will pay $1000 in year 1, $2000 in year 2,
$3000 in year 3 and an amount of $1,000 that will be paid at the end of
each year from the fourth to the eighth year. With a discount rate of
8%. What is the present value of the cash flow?
Solving for the five-year annuity,
1. n=5, i = 8%, FV=0, PMT = 1000.
$1,000 Present Value =
$5,022 PV = $3,993.
2. Note that the present
$2,000 value is
calculated at year three, because
3. the annuity payment is at
first
$3,000 Five-year year 4.
4. annuity So, we have to take the PV to time
$1,000 =0,
i = 8%, FV = 3,993, PMT
5. =0,=n= 3
PV
$1,000 $3,170
Total PV = $5,022 + 3,170 =
Annuity Due
Annuities
Due due: Fixed payments or receipts that come at the beginning
Annuities
of each period. As it shown below:
Annuities Due: Present
Value
Assume you receive 5 due annuities.
Annuities Due: Present
Value
The following formula can be used to calculate present
value
of annuities due.