Module Future Contract
Module Future Contract
Mechanics of
Futures Markets
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Learning Outcomes
5-3
Futures Contracts
Available on a wide range
of assets
Exchange traded
Specifications need to be
defined:
What can be delivered,
Where it can be delivered, &
When it can be delivered
Settled daily
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Basic Terms
Long Position – Buyer
Short Position – Seller
Going Long – the act of buying
Going short – the act of selling
Tick Size – The contract stipulate the
minimum price fluctuation or tick size, e.g. for
wheat one tick is 0.25 cent per bushel. So
with 5000 bushels contract the tick size will
be $12.50 per contract.
Basic information
Daily price limit – the contract also specifies
the daily price limit which restricts the price
movements in a single day, e.g. For wheat
the trading price on a given day cannot differ
from preceding day’s closing prices by more
than 20 cents per bushel or $1000 per
contract.
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Convergence of Futures to Spot
Futures
Price Spot Price
Time Time
(a) (b)
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Check out the video to know more about Future M
arket
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fBN1SXqAp7Y
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Margins
A margin is cash or marketable
securities deposited by an
investor with his or her broker
The balance in the margin
account is adjusted to reflect
daily settlement
Margins minimize the possibility
of a loss through a default on a
contract. The maintenance
margin is usually about 75% of
the initial margin.
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Margin Cash Flows
A trader has to bring the balance in the margin account up
to the initial margin when it falls below the maintenance
margin level
A member of the exchange clearing house only has an
initial margin and is required to bring the balance in its
account up to that level every day.
These daily margin cash flows are referred to as variation
margin
A member is also required to contribute to a default fund
A futures contract is in effect closed out and
rewritten at a new price each day.
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Example of a Futures Trade
An investor takes a long position in 2
(contracts) December gold futures
contracts on June 5
contract size is 100 oz.
futures price is US$1,450
initial margin requirement is US$6,000/contract
(US$12,000 in total)
maintenance margin is US$4,500/contract
(US$9,000 in total)
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A Possible Outcome
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Margin Cash Flows When Futures
Price Increases
Clearing House
Broker Broker
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Margin Cash Flows When Futures Price
Decreases
Clearing House
Broker Broker
14
Check out the video to know
more about margins
https://institute.cmegroup.com/modules/the-benefits-of-f
utures-margins
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Some Terminology
Open interest: the total number of contracts
outstanding
equal to number of long positions or number of short
positions
Settlement price: the price just before the final
bell each day
used for the daily settlement process
Volume of trading: the number of trades in one
day
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Key Points About Futures
They are settled daily
Closing out a futures position involves
entering into an offsetting trade
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Clearing Houses and
OTC Markets
Traditionally most transactions have been cleared
bilaterally in OTC markets
Following the 2007-2009 crisis, the has been a
requirement for most standardized OTC derivatives
transactions between dealers to be cleared through
central counterparties (CCPs)
CCPs require initial margin, variation margin, and
default fund contributions from members similarly to
exchange clearing houses
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Bilateral Clearing vs Central
Clearing House
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Forward Contracts vs Futures Contracts
FORWARDS FUTURES
Private contract between 2 parties Exchange traded
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Types of Orders
Limit order – This order specifies a particular
price (maximum and minimum). Thus if the
limit price is $30 or an investor wanting the
buy, the order will be executed only at a price
of $30 or less.
Stop order or stop loss order – Suppose a stop
order to sell at $30 is issued when the market
price is $35. It becomes an order to sell when
and if the price fall to $30.
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Types of Orders
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Check out the video to know recap about Future contract
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=
CC9VeHrI3Es
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Hedging Strategies using
Futures - Long & Short Hedges
A long futures hedge is appropriate when
you know you will purchase an asset in
the future and want to lock in the price
A short futures hedge is appropriate
when you know you will sell an asset in
the future and want to lock in the price
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Hedge Ratio
Hedge ratios is the ratio of the size of the
position taken in future contracts to the size
of the exposure.
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Optimal Hedge Ratio
This is also known as minimum variance hedge ratio.
Proportion of the exposure that should optimally be hedged is
where
S
S is the standard deviation
h S, the change in the spot price
*
of
during the hedging period, F
F is the standard deviation of F, the change in the futures
price during the hedging period
is the coefficient of correlation between S and F.
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What determines the hedge
ration
Size of Position
Relative senstivity of the spot and future
markets
The risk you want to reduce.
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Example
Suppose that the standard deviation of
quarterly changes in the prices of a
commodity is $0.65, the standard deviation of
quarterly changes in a futures price on the
commodity is $0.81, and the coefficient of
correlation between the two changes is 0.8.
What is the optimal hedge ratio for a three-
month contract? What does it mean?
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065
08 0642
081
This means that the size of the futures position should
be 64.2% of the size of the company’s exposure in a
three-month hedge.
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