Introduction
Introduction
and Finance
BOT=Exports−Imports
A country's exports of goods in a given year are worth $100 million, and its
imports of goods are worth $80 million. To calculate the balance of trade, you
would subtract the value of the imports from the value of the exports:
Balance of trade = Exports - Imports
= $100 million - $80 million
= $20 million
In this example, the balance of trade is $20 million, which means that the
country has a trade surplus of +$20 million.
It's important to note that the balance of trade is typically measured in the currency of the country whose
trade balance is being calculated.
For example, if the country in the above example is the United States, the balance of trade would be
measured in US dollars. If the country is Japan, it would be measured in Japanese yen,
Calculating the Balance of Trade
The United States imported $239 billion in goods and
services in August 2020 but exported only $171.9
billion in goods and services to other countries.
So, in August, the United States had a trade balance of
-$67.1 billion, or a $67.1 billion Trade deficit .
Balance of Trade: Favorable vs. Unfavorable
A favorable balance of trade, also known as a trade
surplus, occurs when a country exports more goods than it
imports.
This means that the country is earning more from its exports
than it is spending on its imports, and it is generally seen as a
sign of economic strength.
A trade surplus can be a result of a country having a
competitive advantage in the production and export of
certain goods
Or it can be the result of a country's currency being relatively
undervalued, making its exports cheaper for foreign buyers.
Balance of Trade: Favorable vs.
Unfavorable
An unfavorable balance of trade, also known as a trade
deficit, occurs when a country imports more goods than it
exports.
This means that the country is spending more on imports
than it is earning from exports, and it can be a cause for
concern if it persists over a long period of time.
A trade deficit can be the result of a country having a
comparative disadvantage in the production of certain goods.
Or it can be the result of a country's currency being relatively
overvalued, making its imports cheaper and its exports more
expensive.
Balance of Payment
In general, a favorable balance of trade is seen as a
positive sign for a country's economy, while an
unfavorable balance of trade is seen as a negative sign.
However, it's important to note that a trade deficit or
surplus is not always a sign of economic strength or
weakness, and other factors such as a country's overall
economic growth, business cycle, employment rate,
and inflation rate should also be taken into account.
Business Cycle
Understanding Business Cycle
In essence, business cycles are marked by the
alternation of the phases of expansion and contraction
in aggregate economic activity, and the co-movement
among economic variables in each phase of the cycle.
Aggregate economic activity is represented by
country’s GDP, Industrial production, employment,
income, sales ect
What is Recession ?
A recession is actually a
specific sort of vicious
cycle, with cascading
declines in output,
employment, income,
and sales that feedback
into a further drop in
output, spreading
rapidly from industry to
industry and region to
region.
What is Recovery ?
Business cycle recovery
begins when that
recessionary vicious
cycle reverses and
becomes a virtuous
cycle, with rising output
triggering job gains,
rising incomes, and
increasing sales
that feedback into a
further rise in output
Special Considerations
A country with a large trade deficit borrows money to
pay for its goods and services, while a country with a
large trade surplus lends mo
In some cases, the trade balance may correlate to
a country's political and economic stability because it
reflects the amount of foreign investment in that
country to deficit countries.
A trade surplus or deficit is not always a viable indicator
of an economy's health, and it must be considered in
the context of the business cycle and other economic
indicators.
Special Considerations
For example, in a recession, countries prefer to export
more to create jobs and demand in the economy. In
times of economic expansion, countries prefer to
import more to promote price competition, which
limits inflation.
Balance of Payments
Balance of Payments
Balance of payments is a record of all international
economic transactions made by a country's residents,
including trade in goods and services, as well as financial
capital and financial transfers.
Balance of Trade vs. Balance of Payments
The balance of trade is the difference between a
country's exports and imports of goods, while the
balance of payments is a record of all international
economic transactions made by a country's residents,
including trade in goods and services, as well as financial
capital and financial transfers.
The balance of trade is a part of the balance of
payments and is represented in the current account,
which also includes income from investments and
transfers such as foreign aid and gifts.
Balance of Trade vs. Balance of Payments
It's important to note that the balance of trade and the
balance of payments are not the same thing, although
they are related.
The balance of trade measures the flow of goods into
and out of a country, while the balance of payments
measures all international economic transactions,
including trade in goods and services, financial capital,
and financial transfers.
Balance of Trade vs. Balance of Payments
A country can have a positive balance of trade (a trade
surplus) and a negative balance of payments (a deficit)
if it is exporting more goods than it is importing, but it
is also losing financial capital or making financial
transfers.
Conversely, a country can have a negative balance of
trade (a trade deficit) and a positive balance of
payments (a surplus) if it is importing more goods
than it is exporting, but it is also receiving a large
amount of financial capital or making financial
transfers.
Trade Balances
How Do Changes in a Country's
Exchange Rate Affect the Balance of
Trade?
When the price of one country's currency increases, the
cost of its goods and services also increases in the
foreign market. For residents of that country, it will
become cheaper to import goods, but domestic
producers might have trouble selling their goods abroad
because of the higher prices. Ultimately, this may result
in lower exports and higher imports, causing a trade
deficit.
What Is a Favorable Balance of
Trade?
A favorable balance of trade occurs when a country's
exports exceed the value of its imports. This indicates a
positive inflow of money to stimulate local economic
activity.
How Can a Country Gain a
Favorable Balance of Trade?
Many seek to improve their balance of trade by investing
heavily in export-oriented manufacturing or extracting
industries.
It is also possible to improve the balance of trade by
placing tariffs on imported goods, or by devaluing the
country's currency.
How Do We Measure
Balance of Trade?
The balance of trade is typically measured as the
difference between a country's exports and imports of
goods. To calculate the balance of trade, you would
subtract the value of a country's imports from the value
of its exports. If the result is positive, it means that the
country has a trade surplus (favorable balance of trade),
and if the result is negative, it means that the country
has a trade deficit (unfavorable balance of trade).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G7jMWmGvo2o
Why firms are interested in
International trade
Reduced dependence on your local market
Your home market may be struggling due to economic
pressures, but if you go global, you will have immediate
access to a practically unlimited range of customers in
areas where there is more money available to spend, and
because different cultures have different wants and
needs, you can diversify your product range to take
advantage of these differences.
Why firms are interested in International
trade
Increased chances of success
Unless you’ve got your pricing wrong, the higher the volume of
products you sell, the more profit you make, and overseas trade is
an obvious way to increase sales. In support of this, UK Trade and
Investment (UKTI) claim that companies who go global are 12%
more likely to survive and excel than those who choose not to
export.
Increased efficiency
Benefit from the economies of scale that the export of your goods
can bring – go global and profitably use up any excess capacity in
your business, smoothing the load and avoiding the seasonal peaks
and troughs that are the bane of the production manager’s life.
Why firms are interested in International
trade
Increased productivity
Statistics from UK Trade and Investment (UKTI) state that
companies involved in overseas trade can improve their
productivity by 34%
Economic advantage
Take advantage of currency fluctuations – export when the
value of the pound sterling is low against other currencies, and
reap the very real benefits. Words of warning though; watch
out for import tariffs in the country you are exporting to, and
keep an eye on the value of sterling. You don’t want to be
caught out by any sudden upsurge in the value of the pound, or
you could lose all the profit you have worked so hard to gain
Why firms are interested in International
trade
Innovation
Because firms are exporting to a wider range of
customers, you will also gain a wider range of feedback
about your products, and this can lead to real benefits.
In fact, UKTI statistics show that businesses believe that
exporting leads to innovation – increases in break-
through product development to solve problems and
meet the needs of the wider customer base.
Growth
Facilitate the growth of the company
Why firms are interested in International
trade
Minimize Risk
Businesses expand internationally to offset the risk of
stagnating growth in their home country as well as in
other countries where they are operating.
Acquire Resources
Developing and emerging countries have large deposits
of minerals, metals and land for agricultural production,
the western multinationals eye these markets in order to
get access to the resources.