Econ 580 Lecture One - Five
Econ 580 Lecture One - Five
IN ECONOMICS
LECTURE ONE
Introduction to Research Methods
LECTURE TWO:
GENERATING RESEARCH IDEA
PROF. OSEI-FOSU, ANTHONY KOFI
(PHD)
Associate Professor
DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS
KNUST, KUMASI
RESEARCH IDEAS
• Finding a general research area
Common sources of research ideas
Personal interest and curiosities
Casual observations
Practical problems and questions: solving a particular problem
Theories
Research reports
1. Question or Questions
Probably the simplest way to set up a research problem is to ask a question.
This might be quite abstract in nature, so will require to be broken down into
several sub-questions that can be practically investigated.
The nice thing about questions is that they demand answers.
Example:
Are school exam results a true test of a student’s intelligence?
Questions can then be used to break the main problem down into questions to the define sub-
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problems.
DEFINING THE RESEARCH PROBLEM
The different things you can do to split up the main question are
to:
Split it down into different aspects that can be investigated separately, e.g. political,
economic, cultural, technical.
Explore different personal or group perspectives, e.g. employers, employees.
Investigate different concepts used, e.g. health, wealth, confidence, sustainability.
Consider the question at different scales, e.g. the individual, group, organization.
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DEFINING THE RESEARCH PROBLEM
We can consider also an exploratory approach, especially for smaller studies.
The subject and scope of the exploration can be expressed in a statement of
intent, but must be derived from the research problem, imply a method of
approach and indicate the outcome.
An example of this form of research definition is:
This study examines the problem of career development of women in the
banking industry in Ghana.
Note how the problem is narrowly delimited in order to put a boundary
around the scope of the work (only women, only in the banking industry, and
only in Ghana).
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5
DEFINING THE RESEARCH PROBLEM
2. Hypotheses
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Steps In Identifying Research Topic And
Formulating Research Objectives
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9
Example 1: Suppose you want to conduct a study in the area of Private Investment.
Follow these steps:
STEP 2: Dissect
STEP 1: Size and components of public debt STEP 3: Select
Identify The causes of high public debt The effects of public debt on
Public Debt The process of becoming debt overhang and economic growth
unsustainable
The effects of public debt on economic
growth
Community attitudes towards public debt
The effectiveness of debt sustainability
policy,
etc. STEP 5: Formulate Objectives
Main objective:
STEP 4: Raise Questions To investigate the effects of public debt on
What effect does public debt have economic growth
on GDP growth? Specific objectives:
How does public debt affect the To ascertain the effect public debt has on
growth of the various sector of the GDP growth
economy? To determine the effect of public debt on the
What are the effects of public growth of the various sector of the economy
debt on private sector To find out the effects of public debt on
productivity? private sector productivity 4
1
Example 3: Suppose you want to study fertility and mortality. Follow these steps:
STEP 2: Dissect
STEP 1: Trends in fertility and mortality STEP 3: Select
Identify Determinants of fertility behavior Relationship between mortality and fertility
Fertility and Relationship between fertility and mortality
mortality Effects of health services on mortality
Effects of contraceptives on fertility behavior, etc
STEP 5: Formulate Objectives
Main objective:
To explore the relationship between fertility and
mortality
Specific objectives:
STEP 4: Raise Questions To find out the extent of the decline in fertility in
What happens to fertility when mortality declines?
relation to the decline in mortality
What is the time lag between the start of decline in To ascertain the time lag between the decline in
mortality and the start of decline in fertility? mortality and the decline in fertility
What are the factors that contribute to the decline in To establish the factors that affect the changes in
fertility? etc fertility
To explore the relationship between
socioeconomic- demographic characteristics of the
population and the extent of changes in fertility and
mortality
4
2
Example 4: Suppose you want to study Alcoholism. Follow these
steps
STEP 2: Dissect STEP 3: Select
Effects of alcoholism on the
STEP 1: Profile of alcoholism
family
Identify The causes of alcoholism STEP 6: Make Sure
Alcoholism The process of becoming an alcoholic Assess these objectives in light of:
The effects of alcoholism on the family The work involved
Community attitudes towards alcoholism The time available to you
The effectiveness of an alcoholism model, The financial resources at your
etc. disposal
Your (and your research
supervisor’s) technical expertise in the
STEP 5: Formulate Objectives area
STEP 4: Raise Questions Main objective: STEP 7: Double Check
What effects do alcoholism have • To find out the effects of alcoholism on the That you are really
on marital relations? family interested in the study
How does it affect the various Specific objectives: That you agree with the
aspects of children’s lives? To ascertain the effects of alcoholism on marital objectives
What are the effects on the relations That you have adequate
family’s finances? To determine the ways in which alcoholism resources
affects the different aspects of children’s lives That you have the technical
To find out the effects of alcoholism on the expertise to undertake
4 the
financial situation of the family, etc study 3
Assignment 1
Identify a broad research area in development, dissect (at least
5 areas), Select 1, Raise 4 research questions, formulate the
main objective, and provide 4 specific objectives
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Things to Consider in Choosing a Topic
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Hypothesis
Hypothesis
A speculation or a guess.
A prediction regarding the possible
outcomes of a study.
RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS
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Directional
This is one in which the specific direction (e.g. higher, lower, more,
less) which the investigator expects to emerge in a relationship is
stated.
Example
FDI positively affects economic growth
Money supply leads to rise in the inflation rate in Ghana
Non Directional
Example
There is a relationship between FDI and economic growth
There is a nexus between Money supply and inflation in
Ghana.
Null Hypothesis
A null hypothesis is simply a proposition that is definitive on the
exact relationship between two variables.
Type I error
Reject H0 Correct decision
Ρ(Type I error) = α
Type II error
Do not Reject H0 Correct decision
Ρ(Type II error) = β
• The null hypothesis is either true or false, and we must decide either to reject
it or not reject it.
• Two correct decisions are possible;
• i) rejecting H0 when it is false and ii) not rejecting H0 when it is true.
• Conversely, two incorrect decisions are possible:
• i) rejecting H0 when is true (a type I error) and the probability of committing it is α and ii)
not rejecting H0 when it is false (a type II error) and the probability of committing it is β.
• The probability α is called the significant level.
Significance/Relevance of Study
What contribution will your research results add to knowledge?
What benefit would reader derive from your results?
Solution to Development problem
Theory or concepts
Knowledge, skill and approach
Methodology
Direction for further research
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Thank You
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ECON 580: RESEARCH METHODS
IN ECONOMICS
LECTURE THREE
LITERATURE REVIEW
The preliminary search that helps you to generate and refine your
research ideas, which has already been discussed.
The critical literature review.
You need to establish what research has been published in your chosen
area, and if possible, try to identify any other research that might
currently be in progress.
Consequently, the items you read and write about will enhance your
subject knowledge and help you to clarify your research question(s)
further
Sources of Literature
Sources of the relevant literature can be classified into
two groups
Primary
Secondary sources:
Sources of Literature Continuation
Primary sources
Primary sources are those sources which contain a direct account of an
event or phenomenon given by someone who actually observed the
event or phenomenon.
All research reports written by the person or persons who conducted the
research are primary sources.
Select a topic
Locate and read literature
Establish a specific purpose
Evaluate and interpret the literature
Synthesize the literature
Plan and write the draft
Have the draft evaluated and revise it
Steps in Conducting Literature Review Con’t
Searching /locating the literature
Identify and list the key words associated with the topic of the study.
Consult the preliminary sources for journal articles and text books
Go to the serial section of a library to locate the references (journal or
textbooks)
Use search engines (www) like google.com, wikipedia.org, and others
Reviewing the literature
Read and make notes from the available references
Usually start with the latest or most recent articles
Go through abstracts first to determine the relatedness of the material to
your field of study.
Note down all cited references and bibliography
Steps in Conducting Literature Review Cont
Summarising the literature
Take brief notes focusing on the problem, purpose, procedure, results,
conclusions, and your evaluation of the material
Note down only the important ideas from your sources
Evaluating key concepts*
The literature you use must be evaluated or scrutinized. This
evaluation/Scrutiny should a test for
Suitability
Reliability
Adequacy
Accuracy
Parts of Literature Review
Theoretical Review
Conceptual Framework
Empirical Review
THEORETICAL REVIEW
Theoretical Review (Framework)
It consists of concepts and, together with their definitions, and
existing theory that is used for your particular study.
The theoretical framework must demonstrate an understanding
of theories and concepts, and relationships.
Theoretical review is based on your topic of study, research
problem you are investigating.
The theoretical framework (review)
• It strengthens the study in the following ways;
It permits the reader to evaluate the theoretical
assumptions.
It connects the researcher to existing knowledge.
It permits you to intellectually transition from simple
describing a phenomenon you have observe to generalizing
about various aspects of that phenomenon.
It helps you to identify the limits to those generalization
• In summary theoretical review helps to explain the meaning,
nature, and challenges associated with a phenomenon.
Typical Cases
Operational
framework
Conceptual
framework
Theoretical
framework
Formulating the Framework of your research project
‘An analysis of what motivates staff behaviour at workplace: the
Case of KNUST Staff’.
To formulate frameworks starting with Theoretical Framework
and then move on to conceptual framework.
Example of theoretical framework
Theoretical framework: e.g. Maslow’s Theory of Needs and
Motivation.
There are needs in a person’s life to be met.
They are psychological needs, safety needs, love/belonging
needs, esteem needs and self-actualization.
These needs exist/met in a hierarchical order.
It is generalized for all persons.
Maslow’s pyramid of needs
Developing conceptual framework
NOTE
The use of these frameworks is optional and dependant on the
Individual’s own interest.
EMPIRICAL REVIEW
Analyzing Empirical Literature
Analyzing Empirical Literature
A literature review is never just a list of studies—it always offers
an argument about a body of research
Analysis occurs on two levels:
Individual sources
Body of research
Four Analysis Tasks of the Literature Review
TASKS OF
LITERATURE
REVIEW
Tuffour, O. & Boateng, A. Profitability of listed Panel regression +ve (Capital adequacy,
(2018) Ghana banks technique(Pooled OLS) interest rate, Bank total
determined by the asset)
stylized facts. -ve (Bank liquidity)
Analyzing: Putting It All Together
Once you have summarized, synthesized, compared, and critiqued
your chosen material, you may consider whether these studies
Demonstrate the topic’s chronological development.
Show different approaches to the problem.
Show an ongoing debate.
Center on a “seminal” study or studies.
Demonstrate a “paradigm shift.”
Analyzing: Putting It All Together
LECTURE FOUR
CITATION AND REFERENCING
FORMAT
These are:
In-text (In the text or in the thesis)
At the end of the thesis
Formats Used for Referencing/Citation
These include:
The American Psychology Association (APA) –This uses
Reference List
Harvard - This uses reference list
Others include:
Modern Language Association (MLA) This uses Works
Cited
Chicago/Turabian – This uses Bibliography
Number of Authors
One Author
Osei-Fosu, A. K. (2008). “Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative Fund Micro-Credit for Poverty Reduction in Ghana:
Panacea or a Mirage?” Journal of Science and Technology (JUST), Vol. 28 No. 3: 94-102.
Osei-Fosu, A. K. (2011). “Evaluating the Impact of the Capitation Grant and the School Feeding Programme on Enrolment,
Attendance and Retention in Schools: the case of Weweso Circuit”, Journal of Science and Technology (JUST), Vol. 31 No. 3: 55-
64.
Two Authors
Osei-Fosu, A. K. and Boachie, M. K. (2013). “Determinants of People’s Participation in Microfinance Services in Ghana: Evidence
from Kwabre East District”, International Journal of Innovative Research and Studies, Vol (2)8: 364-380.
Osei-Fosu, A. K. and Osei-Fosu, A. K. (2013). “Empirical Investigation of the Nexus between Foreign Direct Investment and
Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa”, ADRRI Journal of Social Sciences, Vol. (3)3: 1-20
More than Two Authors
Osei-Fosu, A. K., Osei, B. and Osei Mensah, I. (2014). “The Effect of Interest Rate on Deposit on Household Consumption in
Ghana: ARDL Cointegration Analysis”, Researchjournali’s Journal of Economics Vol. (2) 8: 1-18.
Osei-Fosu, A. K., Baba, I. and Ofori-Boateng, K. (2015). “Real Exchange Rate Volatility and Foreign Direct Investment Inflows:
The Ghanaian Experience”, International Journal of Empirical Finance, Vol. 4, No. 6: 336-344.
Marfo Boaheng, J., Amporfu, E., Ansong, D. and Osei-Fosu, A. K. (2019). “Determinants of Paying National Health Insurance
Premium with Mobile Phone in Ghana: A Cross-Sectional Prospective Study”, International Journal for Equity in Health, Vol.18
(50): 1-9.
Kojo Ayesu, E., Sakyi, D., Arthur, E. and Osei-Fosu, A. K. (2022). The impact of trade on African welfare: Does seaport efficiency
channel matter? Research in Globalization, Vol. 5; 1-14
Amanor, K., Oteng-Abayie, E.F., Osei-Fosu, A.K. and Boakye F. P. (2023). A Decomposition Analysis of Microcredit Welfare Gaps
in Ghana. A Gender Analysis, Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities, Elsevier, Open 7; 1-10
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In-Text Citing
Citing at the end of text (One Author)
Paraphrasing: Art historian Laurinda Dixon argues that the home
actually imprisoned most women. She adds that this prison was
made attractive by three things: the prescriptions of doctors of the
day against idleness, the praise given diligent housewives, and the
romantic ideal based on love and respect (Dixon, 2017).
Quoting: Art historian Laurinda Dixon writes that “for the
majority of women, however, home was a prison, though a prison
made bearable by love and approval” (Dixon, 2017: 136 ).
In-Text Citing
Citing at the beginning of text (One Arthur)
European Commission (2001). “Promoting a European Framework for Corporate Social Responsibility”,
Commission Green Paper- 2001.
Helms, B. (2006). Access for All: Building Inclusive Financial Systems, Washington DC, World Bank Publications
Johnson, S. and Rogaly, B. (1997). Microfinance and Poverty Reduction, London, Oxfam and ActionAid
Kojo Ayesu, E., Sakyi, D., Arthur, E. and Osei-Fosu, A. K. (2022). “The impact of trade on African welfare: Does
seaport efficiency channel matter?” Research in Globalization, Vol. 5
Osei-Fosu, A. K., Baba, I. and Ofori-Boateng, K. (2015). “Real Exchange Rate Volatility and Foreign Direct Investment
Inflows: The Ghanaian Experience”, International Journal of Empirical Finance, Vol. 4, No. 6: 336-344.
United Nations (2005). “Building Inclusive Financial Sectors to Achieve the Millennium Development Goals”,
United Nations Concept Paper, International Year of Microcredit
Trading economics (2016). Ghana Government Spending (2012-2016) Data, Chart, Calendar, and Forecast. Retrieved
from http://www.tradingeconomics.com/ghana/government-spending (Accessed on July 12, 2017)
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THANK YOU
ECON 580: RESEARCH METHODS
IN ECONOMICS
LECTURE FIVE
METHOD OF STUDY
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Method of Study
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Model Specification (Parametric Analysis)
This is setting up or formulating your equation
The model should have a theoretical or empirical basis, in terms of;
The form it should take
Variables to be included
You either adopt it
Or modify
In any of the cases, there should be laudable reason
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Description of Variables
You need to describe each variable in the model: dependent and
independent (target and control variables)
Explain how the variables are measured
Outline the a priori expectations of the βs
Give the theoretical bases of the expected signs
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Estimation Techniques
Outline the method of analysis
The type of regression
Given reason(s) for the particular choice
Outline all the diagnostic test
Outline the software used; Stata, SPSS, Eviews, etc
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Data Sources
Outline the various sources of data
This should be specific to a variable
Do not lump them.
If it is a composite data, describe how they were measured or
obtained
Outline the type of data:
Time series
Cross-section
Panel data
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PRIMARY RESEARCH
133
Sampling
Sample: subset
of a larger population Sample
Types Sampling
Random
Non-Random
Population
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Sampling Methods/Sampling Procedures
Probability/Random sampling techniques:
Simple Random Sampling
Systematic Sampling
Stratified Sampling
Cluster or Multi-stage Sampling
Non-probability /Non-Randomised Sampling Methods
Convenience (Haphazard) sampling
Judgment / Purposive sampling
Quota sampling
Snowball sampling
Self-selection sampling
Sample size determination
It is the act of choosing the number of observations to include
in a statistical sample. In practice, the sample size is based on;
the expense of data collection, and
the need to have sufficient statistical power.
In complicated studies there may be several different sample
sizes involved in the study:
In a survey sampling involving stratified sampling there would be
different sample sizes for each population.
In a census, data are collected on the entire population, hence
the sample size is equal to the population size.
In experimental design, where a study may be divided into
different treatment groups, there may be different sample sizes
for each group.
Sample sizes may be chosen in several different ways:
Expedience - For example, include those items readily available or
convenient to collect.
A choice of small sample sizes, though sometimes necessary, can
result in wide confidence intervals or risks of errors in
statistical hypothesis testing.
Using a target variance for an estimate to be derived from the
sample eventually obtained
Using a target for the power of a statistical test to be applied once
the sample is collected.
Factors in Determining Sample Size
• Three factors are required to specify sample size
The Heterogeneity (variance) of the population. Only small
sample is required if the population is homogeneous.
The magnitude of acceptable error (± some amount). The
magnitude of error (e) indicates how precise the estimate
must be.
The confidence level (90%, 95%, 99%). It specifies the
probability that a sample (mean) would lie within the
population.
Calculating Sample Size
N
n
Where n = Sample size
1 N ( e ) 2
N = Population size
e = Level of error (or precision)
(Yamane, 1967)
2
zs
n
e
where
z standardized value that corresponds to the confidence level
X-
z
s sample standard deviation or estimate of the population standard deviation
X X
n
2
i
s i 1
n 1
e acceptable magnitude of error
2
z sp
n 2
e
where
z 2 square of confidence level in standard error units
Sp estimated proportion of success
q 1 - p, or estimated proportion of failures
e 2 square of the maximum allowance for error between the true
proportion and the sample proportion, or z squared
Types and Data Sources
There are two types of data: Primary and Secondary data.
Primary data are those which are collected for the first time and thus
happen to be original in character.
The popular ways to collect primary data consist of surveys,
interviews and focus groups, observation, experiment, among others
Secondary data are those which have been already collected by other
agency and have already been processed.
Sources include; Statistical year books, digest, bulletin, Annual
reports, etc.
(Note: articles, journals, thesis reports, magazines, news papers, etc. are not
sources of data)
Data Collection Techniques and Instruments
1. Qualitative data Collection Methods/ Instruments
Observation ----------------------- Observation guide
Focus group discussion --------- Interview guide
Key Informants Interview ------- Interview guide
COUNTRY INFLATION
GHANA 10.25
NIGERIA 12.85
TOGO 11.50
COTE D’VOIRE 13.00
BENIN 15.60
BURKINA FASO 18.60
NIGER 21.75
GAMBIA 23.50
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Cross-Section Data
MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF SOME SELECTED WEST AFRICAN COUNTRIES IN 2013
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Panel Data
MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF SELECTED COUNTRIES IN
WEST AFRICA (1991-1995)
GHANA
GDP IMPORT EXPORT INTEREST INFLATION EXCHANGE
YEARS ($’ M) (US$’ M) (US$’ M) RATE (%) RATE (%) RATE (%)
1991 40753.9 17191.9 57945.8 10.25 19.75 37.2
1992 57404.4 31602.9 89007.3 12.85 20.25 18
1993 54965.9 31425.7 86390.7 11.5 22.6 10.02
1994 86954.4 39641.3 126959.7 13 20.5 24.96
1995 127664.6 58973.2 186637.8 15.6 25.25 24.9
NIGERIA
1991 171666.9 87878.6 259545.5 18.6 29 59.5
1992 231800.1 127266.7 359066.8 21.75 29.5 32.7
1993 369609.8 220176.9 589786.7 23.5 30 20.7
1994 410018.5 199862.6 609881.1 18.5 27 18.6
1995 655590.9 217366.3 872957.1 19.5 29.75 12.4
TOGO
1991 877746.1 317671 1195417.1 20.25 34 25.2
1992 1209175.5 679117.2 1888292.7 22.5 32 21.3
1993 1265595.9 1143013.2 2408609 20.75 31.25 15.2
1994 369609.8 220176.9 589786.7 23.5 30 20.7
1995 1996842.7 1186987.3 3183830 20.95 28.5 23.6
Outline of Method of Analysis
Type of data and analysis: Quantitative or Qualitative
Method of Quantitative analysis:
Non-Parametric and
Parametric analysis
Justify the method used
Outline the method thoroughly
Stata, SPSS, Eviews, etc
Method of Quantitative analysis: Software used:
Justify the method used
Outline the method thoroughly
Software used: Invivo, Rgue
THANK YOU