Statistics and Probability Until T Distribution - Grade 11 3rd-4th Quarter
Statistics and Probability Until T Distribution - Grade 11 3rd-4th Quarter
PROBABILITY
Science, Technology, Engineering and
Mathematics
Learning Objectives:
At the end of the lesson, the learner shall be able to:
Holding a
breath
the time (in seconds) a student can hold his/her breath
and
PRACTICE EXERCISES:
3. Two balls are drawn in succession without replacement from an urn
containing red balls and blue balls. Let be the random variable
representing the number of blue balls. List all the possible outcomes and
find the values of the random variable .
PRACTICE EXERCISES:
3. Two balls are drawn in succession without replacement from an urn
containing red balls and blue balls. Let be the random variable
representing the number of blue balls. List all the possible outcomes and
find the values of the random variable .
𝒙
POSSIBLE
OUTCOMES (values
of 𝑿)
𝐵𝐵 2
𝑅𝐵 1
𝐵𝑅 1
𝑅𝑅 0
PRACTICE EXERCISES:
4. Suppose a die is rolled. Let be the random variable representing the
number of dots shown on the top face. List all the possible outcomes
and give the values of the random variable .
PRACTICE EXERCISES:
4. Suppose a die is rolled. Let be the random variable representing the
number of dots shown on the top face. List all the possible outcomes
and give the values of the random variable .
DISCRETE PROBABILITY
DISTRIBUTION
A discrete probability distribution consists of the values of a random
variables can assume and their corresponding probabilities.
and
𝑅𝐵 1
𝐵𝑅 1
𝑅𝑅 0
Probability Distribution:
red balls and blue balls
Probability Distribution:
EXAMPLE:
3. Suppose a die is rolled. Let be the random variable representing
the number of dots shown on the top face. List all the possible
outcomes and give the values of the random variable . Construct its
probability distribution
and .
Probability Distribution:
PRACTICE EXERCISES:
1. When can we say that a distribution is a discrete probability
distribution?
2. Which of the following shows a discrete probability
distribution?
Discrete a.
probability
distribution
Not a discrete
probability
b.
distribution
Not a discrete c.
probability
distribution
PRACTICE EXERCISES:
3. A three-item true or false test is given to students as a quiz. Let the number of correct
answers be the random variable . What are the values of the random variable?
POSSIBLE OUTCOMES
PRACTICE EXERCISES:
4. From a box containing black balls and green balls, balls are drawn in succession. Each
ball is placed back in the box before the next draw is made. Let a random variable
representing the number of green balls that occur. Find the values of the random variable and
its probability distribution
POSSIBLE OUTCOMES
STATISTICS AND
PROBABILITY
Science, Technology, Engineering and
Mathematics
Learning Objectives:
At the end of the lesson, the learner shall be able to:
1. illustrate the mean and variance of a discrete random variable.
2. calculate the mean and the variance of a discrete random
variable.
3. interpret the mean and the variance of a discrete random variable.
4. solve problems involving mean and variance of probability
distributions.
Activity!
The frequency distribution below are the
Number of
scores of 40 students in a test. Compute the Score
Students
mean score.
where:
discrete random variable
outcome or value of the random variable
probability of the outcome
Steps in solving the mean of a discrete random
variable:
Solution
Let be the number of dots on the top face. So, the
probability distribution of is given by
So, we have
So, we have
Loss
b. Two things should be noted. First, for a win, the net gain is pesos, since
you do not get the cost of the ticket ( pesos) back. Second, for a loss, the gain
is represented by a negative number, in this case pesos. The solution, then, is
Note that the expectation is pesos. This does not mean that
you lose pesos, since you can only win a television set valued at
pesos or lose pesos on the ticket. What this expectation means is
that the average of the losses is pesos for each of the ticket
holders.
where:
value of the random variable
probability of the random variable
mean of the probability distribution
Alternatively, the variance of a discrete probability
distribution of the random variable , denoted by , is given
by the formula:
where:
value of the random variable
probability of the random variable
mean of the probability distribution
The standard deviation of a discrete probability
distribution of the random variable , denoted by , is given
by the formula:
where:
value of the random variable
probability of the random variable
mean of the probability distribution
Steps in finding the variance and standard deviation:
(Using the ORIGINAL FORMULA)
Number of Cars
Using the alternative formula,
Using the alternative formula,
0.80
Interpretation:
Since , we say that the average of the squared differences or
deviations of the number of cars sold per day at a local car
dealership from the mean is .
If the manager of the retail store wants to be sure that he has enough
suits for the next 5 days, how many should the manager purchase?
ANSWER:suits
Number of Credit Cards
A bank vice president feels that each savings account customer
has, on average, three credit cards. The following distribution
represents the number of credit cards people own. Find the mean,
variance, and standard deviation.
ANSWER:
STATISTICS AND
PROBABILITY
Science, Technology, Engineering and
Mathematics
Learning Objectives:
At the end of the lesson, the learner shall be able to:
Bell-shaped Curve or
Gaussian Distribution
Data values are evenly distributed about the mean
Data values fall to the right of the mean
Data values fall to the left of the mean
Note that the “tail” of the curve indicates the direction
of skewness (right is positive, left is negative).
Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
where:
= random variable
= population mean
= population standard deviation
Normal Distribution
Note that, in applied statistics, the area under a normal
distribution curve is used more often than the values on the y
axis. Therefore, when a normal distribution is pictured, the y
axis is sometimes omitted.
Normal Distribution
The shape and position of a normal distribution
curve depend on two parameters, the mean and the
standard deviation. Each normally distributed
variable has its own normal distribution curve, which
depends on the values of the variable’s mean and
standard deviation.
This figure shows two normal distributions with the same mean
values but different standard deviations. The larger the standard
deviation, the more dispersed, or spread out, the distribution is.
This figure shows two normal distributions with the same
standard deviation but with different means. These curves have
the same shapes but are located at different positions on the x
axis.
This figure shows two normal distributions with different means
and different standard deviations.
Normal Distribution
A normal distribution is a continuous, symmetric, bell-shaped
distribution of a variable.
Properties of Normal Distribution
1. A normal distribution curve is bell-shaped.
2. The mean, median, and mode are equal and are located at the center
of the distribution.
3. A normal distribution curve is unimodal (i.e., it has only one mode).
4. The curve is symmetric about the mean, which is equivalent to
saying that its shape is the same on both sides of a vertical line
passing through the center.
5. The curve is continuous; that is, there are no gaps or holes. For each
value of , there is a corresponding value of .
Properties of Normal Distribution
6. The curve never touches the axis. Theoretically, no matter how far
in either direction the curve extends, it never meets the axis – but it
gets increasingly closer.
7. The total area under a normal distribution curve is equal to , or . This
fact may seem unusual, since the curve never touches the axis, but
one can prove it mathematically by using calculus.
8. The area under the part of a normal curve that lies within standard
deviation of the mean is approximately , or ; within standard
deviations, about , or ; and within standard deviations, about , or .
Empirical Rule or 68-95-99.7 Rule
𝟑𝟒% 𝟑𝟒%
𝟐.𝟑𝟓% 𝟏𝟑.𝟓% 𝟐.𝟑𝟓%
𝟎.𝟏𝟓% 𝟏𝟑.𝟓%
𝟎.𝟏𝟓%
Application
1. In the distributions shown, state the mean
and standard deviation.
2. What scores are found up to
standard deviation away from the
mean?
𝟑𝟒% 𝟑𝟒%
𝟐.𝟑𝟓% 𝟏𝟑.𝟓% 𝟐.𝟑𝟓%
𝟎.𝟏𝟓% 𝟏𝟑.𝟓%
𝟎.𝟏𝟓%
−𝟑 −𝟐 −𝟏 𝟎 𝟏 𝟐 𝟑
Comparison
2. Locate the area for the value of from the area under the
standard normal curve table.
That is why, for example, the area to the left of can be represented
by .
A Normal Distribution Curve as a Probability
Distribution Curve
Note:
For example, if a student get a raw score of out of items and this
corresponds to the percentile, this means that she did better compared to the
of the students in her class.
Example 3
The national average SAT score (for Verbal and Math) is . If we
assume a normal distribution with standard deviation of , what is
the 90th percentile score?
Example 4
To qualify for a police academy, candidates must score in the top
on a general abilities test. The test has a mean of and a standard
deviation of . Find the lowest possible score to qualify. Assume the
test scores are normally distributed.
Example 5
For a medical study, a researcher wishes to select people in the middle of the
population based on blood pressure. If the mean systolic blood pressure is
and the standard deviation is , find the upper and lower readings that would
qualify people to participate in the study.
STATISTICS AND
PROBABILITY
Science, Technology, Engineering and
Mathematics
Learning Outcomes:
At the end of the lesson, the learner shall be able to:
where
= sample size
= population size
= margin of error
Types of Probability Sampling
5. Mail carriers of a large city are divided into four groups according
to gender (male or female) and according to whether they walk or
ride on their routes. Then are selected from each group and
interviewed to determine whether they have been bitten by a dog
in the last year.
Illustration 2
Statistic
a characteristic or measure
obtained by using the data values
from a sample.
Comparison
STATISTIC PARAMETER
Numerical
Variable and Known Fixed and Unknown
value
= Sample Mean = Population Mean
Statistical = Sample Standard Deviation = Population Standard Deviation
Notation = Sample Proportion = Population Proportion
= sample size = Population size
Identify the parameter and statistic used in the following
situations:
1. A researcher wants to estimate the average death age of Filipino
women in the last decade and from a sample of deaths, he
obtained a sample mean age of .
Parameter:
-the average death age of Filipino women in the last decade
Statistics:
- a sample of deaths
- a sample mean age of
2. A researcher wants to know the average weight of females aged
years or older in Butuan City. The researcher obtains the average
weight of kg, from a random sample of females.
Parameter:
-the average weight of females aged 22 years or older in Butuan
City
Statistics:
- the average weight of 54 kg
- a random sample of 40 females.
3. A researcher wants to estimate the average amount of water
consumed by male teenagers in a day. From a simple random
sample of male teens the researcher obtains an average of L of
water.
Parameter:
-the average amount of water consumed by male teenagers in a
day
Statistics:
- simple random sample of 55 male teens
- an average of 1.5 L of water
The population mean is defined as
Compute the population (a) mean, (b) variance, and (c) standard deviation
Exercises
2. The following are the scores in Statistics of the sampled Grade students:
Compute the sample (a) mean, (b) variance, and (c) standard deviation
STATISTICS AND
PROBABILITY
Science, Technology, Engineering and
Mathematics
Learning Outcomes:
At the end of the lesson, the learner shall be able to:
2. List all the possible samples and compute the mean of each
sample.
3. Construct the probability distribution for the sample means .
The Mean, Variance and Standard Deviation
of Sample Means
For a sampling distribution of the sample mean :
Mean :
Variance :
Standard Deviation :
Example 1:
f. Compare and
e. Compare and
f. Compare and .
g. Divide the population standard deviation by the square root of
the sample size.
Samples
Assessment:
2. Since the random variable gives the statistic with mean and
standard deviation , the formula derived as .
Illustration
1. Suppose that the systolic blood pressures of a certain
population are normally distributed with mean and and a
sample with size taken from this population. What is the
probability that a single sample will have a mean blood
pressure of less than ? Assume that the population is normally
distributed.
1. Suppose that the systolic blood pressures of a certain population are
normally distributed with mean and and a sample with size taken from
this population. What is the probability that a single sample will have a
mean blood pressure of less than ? Assume that the population is normally
distributed.
Illustration
2. A random sample of students is chosen from a large
population with an average diastolic blood pressure of and a
standard deviation of . What is the probability that the mean
diastolic blood pressure of these students is greater than ?
Illustration
3. In the national achievement test, a school had a total mean
score of with a standard deviation of . If students who took
the test are selected at random, what is the probability that
the mean of their scores fall between and ?
STATISTICS AND
PROBABILITY
Science, Technology, Engineering and
Mathematics
Learning Outcomes:
At the end of the lesson, the learner shall be able to:
1. It is bell-shaped.
2. It is symmetric about the mean.
3. The mean, median, and mode are equal to 0 and are located
at the center of the distribution.
4. The curve never touches the x axis.
Degrees of Freedom and
Distribution as Family of Curves
The degrees of freedom are the number of values that are free to vary
after a sample statistic has been computed, and they tell the researcher
which specific curve to use when a distribution consists of a family of
curves.
Degrees of Freedom and
Distribution as Family of Curves
For example, if a student get a raw score of out of items and this
corresponds to the percentile, this means that she did better compared to the
of the students in her class.
Example 4:
Find the percentile using the distribution when .
Example 5:
What is the area to the right of under the distribution with a
Example 6:
What is the area to the left of under the distribution with a