Financial Statement Analysis Financial Statement Analysis
Financial Statement Analysis Financial Statement Analysis
Financial Statement
Statement
Analysis
Analysis
© Pearson Education Limited 2004
Fundamentals of Financial Management, 12/e
Created by: Gregory A. Kuhlemeyer, Ph.D.
Carroll College, Waukesha, WI
1
After studying this Chapter, you
should be able to:
Understand the purpose of basic financial statements and their
contents.
Explain why financial statement analysis is important to the firm
and to outside suppliers of capital.
Define, calculate, and categorize (according to liquidity, financial
leverage, coverage, activity, and profitability) the major financial
ratios and understand what they can tell us about the firm.
Define, calculate, and discuss a firm’s operating cycle and cash
cycle.
Use ratios to analyze a firm's health and then recommend
reasonable alternative courses of action to improve the health of the
firm.
Analyze a firm’s return on investment (i.e., “earning power”) and
return on equity using a DuPont approach.
Understand the limitations of financial ratio analysis.
Use trend analysis, common-size analysis, and index analysis to
2 gain additional insights into a firm's performance.
Financial versus management
accounting
Financial accounting (FA) -> external
financial reporting
Management Accounting (MA) -> financial
information useful in internal decision and
management processes
Starting from the same source data + FA is
frame of reference for MA
3
Annual financial statements
Income statement
Balance sheet
Notes to the accounts
Cash flow statement
Statement of changes in equity
Audit report
4
Objective of financial statements
5
Users of financial statements
Investors
Employees
Lenders
Suppliers
Customers
Governments
Public
6
Users of financial statements
Employees
Employees
Shareholders
Shareholders Trade creditors
Trade creditors
Government
Government Management
Management Customers
Customers
Loan providers
Loan providers Public
Public
Potential
Potential
Investors
Investors
7
Examples
Examples of
of External
External Uses
Uses
of
of Statement
Statement Analysis
Analysis
Trade Creditors -- Focus on the
liquidity of the firm.
Bondholders -- Focus on the
long-term cash flow of the firm.
Shareholders -- Focus on the
profitability and long-term health of
the firm.
8
Examples
Examples of
of Internal
Internal Uses
Uses
of
of Statement
Statement Analysis
Analysis
Plan -- Focus on assessing the current
financial position and evaluating
potential firm opportunities.
Control -- Focus on return on investment
for various assets and asset efficiency.
Understand -- Focus on understanding
how suppliers of funds analyze the firm.
9
Accounting traditions
Anglo-Saxon tradition
Continental European tradition
10
Anglo-Saxon accounting
US, UK, Australia, Canada, New
Zealand, etc.
Financial statements as a function of
a company’s financing
Market solution to accounting
rules
Powerful accounting profession
11
Continental European
accounting
Financial statement as a product of
government regulating of the
economy
All businesses are subject to
accounting rules, with extra rules for:
Limited liability companies
Listed companies
12
Accounting choices
Accounting is not a set of precise
measurement rules which permit the exact
measurement of company profit and
company value
Measurement of profit can never be
anything but an estimate
Accounting measurement is full of choices
Choices made should be stated clearly in the
annual financial statements
13
Financial
Financial Statement
Statement Analysis
Analysis
Financial Statements
A Possible Framework for Analysis
Balance Sheet Ratios
Income Statement and Income
Statement/Balance Sheet Ratios
Trend Analysis
Common-Size and Index Analysis
14
Accounting choices –
Relevance versus reliability
To be useful, accounting information
should be both relevant and reliable
Information has the quality of relevance
when it influences the economic decisions
of users by helping them evaluate past,
present or future events or confirming or
correcting their past evaluations
Relevant information is timely
Relevant information has predictive or feedback
value
15
Accounting choices –
Relevance versus reliability
(cont.)
Information has the quality of reliability
when it is free from material error and bias
and can be depended upon by users to
represent faithfully what it purports (or is
expected to) represent
Accounting choices may imply trade-offs
between relevance and relaibility of
information
16
Accounting regulation
18
Stock exchange as accounting
regulator
19
Private sector as accounting
regulator
Delegation of responsibility of writing detailed accounting
rules to private sector bodies, financed by contributions
from companies, audit industry, etc..
US: Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB)
Global: International Accounting Standards Board
(IASB)
Flexible and rapid rule-making, as opposed to
governmental rule-making
Technical committees from professional accounting bodies
may function as catalyst
20
International bodies
International Accounting Standards Board (IASB)
Accepted as an international source of best practice
Issues the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS)
International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO)
Represents the world’s stock exchange regulators
Strives for a single, uniform set of accounting standards worldwide
Intergovernmental Working Group of Experts on International Standards of
Accounting and Reporting (ISAR)
Under the auspices of the UN Conference on Trade and Development
(UNCTAD)
Commissions research reports into current accounting problems
International Federation of Accountants (IFAC)
International representative of the accounting profession
21
International Financial Reporting
Standards
Single set of global accounting and
reporting standards, issued by the IASB
Increasingly used by many large and
mutinational companies
Accepted by most security market
authorities
Used as a basis for national accounting
requirements (partially or in full) or as a
benchmark for the development of national
accounting rules
22
International Accounting
Standards Board
A private sector body
Operates under the International Accounting
Standards Committee Foundation (IASCF)
Has no responsibility to any governmental
organization
Has no enforcement authority
Develops and issues both main standards (IAS /
IFRS) and interpretations (SIC / IFRIC)
23
Fig. 1.1 The structure of the IASB
IASC Foundation
22 Trustees
Appoint, Oversee, Raise Funds
Board
12 full time and 2 part time
Set technical agenda. Approve standards,
Standards Advisory exposure drafts and Interpretations
Council
30 or more members
International financial reporting
interpretations committee
12 members
Working groups
for major agenda projects Key:
Appoints
Reports to
Advises
24
IFRS – Standard-setting due
process
The IASB’s standard-setting procedures
have to ensure that resulting IFRS are of
high quality and are issued only after
giving IASB’s constituencies opportunities
to make their views known at several
points in the standard-setting due process
25
Standard-setting due process
of the IASB
National
Standard Others
Setters
Research
Discussion
Discussion Comment Exposure
Exposure Comment Effectiv
Standard
Standard
paper analysis draft analysis
paper draft e Date
26
IFRS in the world
Recent decisions of various governments result in
the requirement or permission of the use of IFRS by
more than one hundred countries
Europe: IAS Regulation of 2002
Requirement of use of IFRS for consolidated financial
statements of EU qouted companies as from 1 January
2005
Member state option to extend the application of IFRS to
not-listed companies and to individual financial statements
Adoption of IFRS (-equivalent) as national
accounting rules in a number of countries
(Australia, Singapore, Hong Kong, …)
US: convergence process of US accounting rules
and IFRS started in 2002 (“Norwalk Agreement”)
27
List of IASB rules as of September 2005
Conceptual Framework
CF Framework for the Preparation and Presentation of Financial Statements
Main standards
IAS 1 Presentation of Financial Statements
IAS 2 Inventories
IAS 7 Cash Flow Statements
IAS 8 Accounting Policies, Changes in Accounting Estimates and Errors
IAS 10 Events after the Balance Sheet Date
IAS 11 Constructions Contracts
IAS 12 Income Taxes
IAS 14 Segment Reporting
IAS 16 Property, Plant and Equipment
IAS 17 Leases
IAS 18 Revenue
IAS 19 Employee Benefits
IAS 20 Accounting for Government Grants and Disclosure of Government Assistance
IAS 21 The Effects of Changes in Foreign Exchange Rates
IAS 23 Borrowing Costs
IAS 24 Related Party Disclosures
28
List of IASB rules as of September 2005 (
cont.)
Main standards (continued)
IAS 26 Accounting and Reporting by Retirement Benefit Plans
IAS 27 Consolidated and Separate Financial Statements
IAS 28 Investments in Associates
IAS 29 Financial Reporting in Hyperinflationary Economies
IAS 30 Disclosure in the Financial Statements of Banks and Similar Financial Institutions
IAS 32 Financial Instruments: Disclosure and Presentation
IAS 33 Earnings per Share
IAS 34 Interim Financial Reporting
IAS 36 Impairment of Assets
IAS 37 Provisions, Contingent Liabilities and Contingent Assets
IAS 38 Intangible Assets
IAS 39 Financial Instruments: Recognition and Measurement
IAS 40 Investment Property
IAS 41 Agriculture
29
List of IASB rules as of September 2005 -
Interpretations
Interpretations
SIC 7 Introduction of the Euro (IAS 21)
SIC 10 Government Assistance – No Specific Relation to Operating Activities (IAS 20)
SIC 12 Consolidation – Special Purpose Entities (IAS 27)
SIC 13 Jointly Controlled Entities – Non-Monetary Contributions By Venturers (IAS 31)
SIC 15 Operating Leases – Incentives (IAS 17)
SIC 21 Income Taxes – Recovery of Revalued Non-Depreciable Assets (IAS 12)
SIC 25 Income Taxes – Changes in the Tax Status of an Enterprise or its Shareholders IAS (12)
SIC 27 Evaluating the Substance of Transactions involving the Legal Form of a Lease
SIC 29 Disclosure – Service Concession Arrangements
SIC 31 Revenue – Barter Transactions Involving Services
SIC 32 Intangible Assets – Web Site Costs
30
Primary
Primary Types
Types of
of
Financial
Financial Statements
Statements
Balance Sheet
A summary of a firm’s financial position on
a given date that shows total assets = total
liabilities + owners’ equity.
Income Statement
A summary of a firm’s revenues and
expenses over a specified period, ending
with net income or loss for the period.
31
Basket
Basket Wonders’
Wonders’ Balance
Balance
Sheet
Sheet (Asset
(Asset Side)
Side)
Basket Wonders Balance Sheet (thousands) Dec. 31, 2007a
Cash and C.E. $ 90 a. How the firm stands on
Acct. Rec.c 394 a specific date.
Inventories 696 b. What BW owned.
Prepaid Exp d 5 c. Amounts owed by
Accum Tax Prepay 10 customers.
d. Future expense items
Current Assets $1,195
e
already paid.
Fixed Assets (@Cost) 1030
f
e. Cash/likely convertible
Less: Acc. Depr. g (329)
to cash within 1 year.
Net Fix. Assets $ 701
Investment, LT 50 f. Original amount paid.
Other Assets, LT 223 g. Acc. deductions for
32
Total Assets b $2,169 wear and tear.
Basket
Basket Wonders’
Wonders’ Balance
Balance
Sheet
Sheet (Liability
(Liability Side)
Side)
Basket Wonders Balance Sheet (thousands) Dec. 31, 2007
Notes Payable $ 290 a. Note, Assets = Liabilities
Acct. Payablec 94 + Equity.
Accrued Taxes d 16 b. What BW owed and
Other Accrued Liab. d 100 ownership position.
Current Liab. e $ c. Owed to suppliers for
500 Long-Term Debt f goods and services.
530 Shareholders’ d. Unpaid wages, salaries,
Equity Com. Stock ($1 etc.
par) g 200 Add Pd in Capital g e. Debts payable < 1 year.
729 Retained f. Debts payable > 1 year.
Earnings h 210 Total g. Original investment.
Equity $1,139 h. Earnings reinvested.
33
Total Liab/Equitya,b $2,169
Basket
Basket Wonders’
Wonders’
Income
Income Statement
Statement
Basket Wonders Statement of Earnings (in thousands)
for Year Ending December 31, 2007a
Net Sales $ 2,211 a. Measures profitability
Cost of Goods Sold b 1,599 over a time period.
Gross Profit $ 612 b. Received, or receivable,
SG&A Expenses c 402 from customers.
EBITd $ c. Sales comm., adv.,
210 Interest Expensee officers’ salaries, etc.
59 EBT f $ d. Operating income.
151 Income Taxes e. Cost of borrowed funds.
60 EATg $ 91 f. Taxable income.
Cash Dividends 38 g. Amount earned for
34
Increase in RE $ 53 shareholders.
Framework
Framework for
for
Financial
Financial Analysis
Analysis
Trend / Seasonal Component
How much funding will be
required in the future?
1. Analysis of the funds
needs of the firm. Is there a seasonal
component?
36
Framework
Framework for
for
Financial
Financial Analysis
Analysis
39
Use
Use of
of Financial
Financial Ratios
Ratios
40
External
External Comparisons
Comparisons and
and
Sources
Sources of
of Industry
Industry Ratios
Ratios
This involves Examples:
comparing the ratios Risk Management
of one firm with those Association
of similar firms or with
industry averages. Dun & Bradstreet
Almanac of
Similarity is important Business and
as one should Industrial
compare “apples to Financial Ratios
41
apples.”
Liquidity
Liquidity Ratios
Ratios
Balance Sheet Ratios Current
Current Assets
Liquidity Ratios Current Liabilities
2.5
2.3
Ratio Value
2.1
BW
1.9 Industry
1.7
1.5
2005 2006 2007
Analysis Year
47
Acid-Test
Acid-Test Ratio
Ratio --
-- Trend
Trend
Analysis
Analysis Comparison
Comparison
Trend Analysis of Acid-Test Ratio
1.5
1.3
Ratio Value
1.0 BW
Industry
0.8
0.5
2005 2006 2007
Analysis Year
48
Summary
Summary of
of the
the Liquidity
Liquidity
Trend
Trend Analyses
Analyses
The current ratio for BW has been rising
at the same time the acid-test ratio has
been declining.
The current ratio for the industry has
been rising slowly at the same time the
acid-test ratio has been relatively stable.
This indicates that inventories are a
significant problem for BW.
BW
49
Financial
Financial Leverage
Leverage Ratios
Ratios
Balance Sheet Ratios Debt-to-Equity
Total Debt
Financial Leverage Shareholders’ Equity
Ratios
For Basket Wonders
December 31, 2007
Shows the extent to
which the firm is $1,030 = .90
financed by debt. $1,139
50
Financial
Financial Leverage
Leverage
Ratio
Ratio Comparisons
Comparisons
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Year BW Industry
2007 .90 .90
2006 .88 .90
2005 .81 .89
BW has average debt utilization
51
relative to the industry average.
Financial
Financial Leverage
Leverage Ratios
Ratios
Balance Sheet Ratios Debt-to-Total-Assets
Total Debt
Financial Leverage Total Assets
Ratios
For Basket Wonders
Shows the percentage December 31, 2007
of the firm’s assets
that are supported by $1,030 = .47
debt financing. $2,169
52
Financial
Financial Leverage
Leverage
Ratio
Ratio Comparisons
Comparisons
Debt-to-Total-Asset Ratio
Year BW Industry
2007 .47 .47
2006 .47 .47
2005 .45 .47
BW has average debt utilization
53
relative to the industry average.
Financial
Financial Leverage
Leverage Ratios
Ratios
Balance Sheet Ratios Total Capitalization
(i.e., LT-Debt + Equity)
9.0
Ratio Value
7.0 BW
Industry
5.0
3.0
2005 2006 2007
Analysis Year
58
Summary
Summary of
of the
the Coverage
Coverage
Trend
Trend Analysis
Analysis
The interest coverage ratio for BW has
been falling since 2005. It has been
below industry averages for the past
two years.
This indicates that low earnings (EBIT)
may be a potential problem for BW.
BW
Note, we know that debt levels are in
line with the industry averages.
59
Activity
Activity Ratios
Ratios
Income Statement / Receivable Turnover
(Assume all sales are credit sales.)
Balance Sheet
Ratios Annual Net Credit Sales
Receivables
Activity Ratios
For Basket Wonders
Indicates quality of December 31, 2007
receivables and how
successful the firm is in $2,211 = 5.61
its collections. $394
60
Activity
Activity Ratios
Ratios
Income Statement / Avg Collection Period
Balance Sheet
Days in the Year
Ratios
Receivable Turnover
3.5
Ratio Value
3.0 BW
Industry
2.5
2.0
2005 2006 2007
Analysis Year
68
Activity
Activity Ratios
Ratios
Income Statement / Total Asset Turnover
Balance Sheet
Ratios Net Sales
Total Assets
Activity Ratios
For Basket Wonders
December 31, 2007
Indicates the overall
effectiveness of the firm $2,211 = 1.02
in utilizing its assets to $2,169
69
generate sales.
Activity
Activity
Ratio
Ratio Comparisons
Comparisons
Total Asset Turnover Ratio
Year BW Industry
2007 1.02 1.17
2006 1.03 1.14
2005 1.01 1.13
BW has a weak total asset turnover ratio.
70
Why is this ratio considered weak?
Profitability
Profitability Ratios
Ratios
Income Statement / Gross Profit Margin
Balance Sheet
Ratios Gross Profit
Net Sales
Profitability Ratios
For Basket Wonders
December 31, 2007
Indicates the efficiency
of operations and firm $612 = .277
pricing policies. $2,211
71
Profitability
Profitability
Ratio
Ratio Comparisons
Comparisons
Gross Profit Margin
Year BW Industry
2007 27.7% 31.1%
2006 28.7 30.8
2005 31.3 27.6
BW has a weak Gross Profit Margin.
72
Gross
Gross Profit
Profit Margin
Margin --
--
Trend
Trend Analysis
Analysis Comparison
Comparison
Trend Analysis of Gross Profit Margin
35.0
32.5
Ratio Value (%)
30.0 BW
Industry
27.5
25.0
2005 2006 2007
Analysis Year
73
Profitability
Profitability Ratios
Ratios
Income Statement / Net Profit Margin
Balance Sheet
Ratios Net Profit after Taxes
Net Sales
Profitability Ratios
For Basket Wonders
December 31, 2007
Indicates the firm’s
profitability after taking $91 = .041
account of all expenses $2,211
74
and income taxes.
Profitability
Profitability
Ratio
Ratio Comparisons
Comparisons
Net Profit Margin
Year BW Industry
2007 4.1% 8.2%
2006 4.9 8.1
2005 9.0 7.6
BW has a poor Net Profit Margin.
75
Net
Net Profit
Profit Margin
Margin --
--
Trend
Trend Analysis
Analysis Comparison
Comparison
Trend Analysis of Net Profit Margin
10
9
Ratio Value (%)
8
7 BW
6 Industry
5
4
2005 2006 2007
Analysis Year
76
Profitability
Profitability Ratios
Ratios
Income Statement / Return on Investment
Balance Sheet
Ratios Net Profit after Taxes
Total Assets
Profitability Ratios
For Basket Wonders
Indicates the December 31, 2007
profitability on the
assets of the firm (after $91 = .042
all expenses and taxes). $2,160
77
Profitability
Profitability
Ratio
Ratio Comparisons
Comparisons
Return on Investment
Year BW Industry
2007 4.2% 9.8%
2006 5.0 9.1
2005 9.1 10.8
BW has a poor Return on Investment.
78
Return
Return on
on Investment
Investment ––
Trend
Trend Analysis
Analysis Comparison
Comparison
Trend Analysis of Return on Investment
12
10
Ratio Value (%)
8 BW
Industry
6
4
2005 2006 2007
Analysis Year
79
Profitability
Profitability Ratios
Ratios
Income Statement / Return on Equity
Balance Sheet
Ratios Net Profit after Taxes
Shareholders’ Equity
Profitability Ratios
For Basket Wonders
Indicates the profitability December 31, 2007
to the shareholders of
the firm (after all $91 = .08
expenses and taxes). $1,139
80
Profitability
Profitability
Ratio
Ratio Comparisons
Comparisons
Return on Equity
Year BW Industry
2007 8.0% 17.9%
2006 9.4 17.2
2005 16.6 20.4
BW has a poor Return on Equity.
81
Return
Return on
on Equity
Equity --
--
Trend
Trend Analysis
Analysis Comparison
Comparison
Trend Analysis of Return on Equity
21.0
17.5
Ratio Value (%)
14.0 BW
Industry
10.5
7.0
2005 2006 2007
Analysis Year
82
Return
Return on
on Investment
Investment and
and
the
the Du
Du Pont
Pont Approach
Approach
Earning Power = Sales profitability X
Asset efficiency
ROI = Net profit margin X
Total asset turnover
ROI2007 = .041 x 1.02 = .042 or 4.2%
ROIIndustry = .082 x 1.17 = .098 or 9.8%
83
Return
Return on
on Equity
Equity and
and
the
the Du
Du Pont
Pont Approach
Approach
Return On Equity = Net profit margin X
Total asset turnover X
Equity Multiplier
Total Assets
Equity Multiplier =
Shareholders’ Equity
87
Comparative Financial
Statements
Investors and creditors cannot evaluate and make
decisions based on one year’s data
This is why most financial statements cover at least two
years so as to make comparisons.
In fact, most financial analysis covers trends of 3 to 5
years.
Horizontal analysis is the study of percent changes in
accounts from year-to-year.
88
Comparative Income Statements
89
Vertical Analysis
Shows relationship of each financial statement
item and its base
For the income statement, base is total
revenue
For the balance sheet, base is total assets
Each account is divided by its base
Expressed as a percent
90
Balance Sheet
Percent of
Assets total
Total current assets $ 92,000 24.6%
Property, plant and equipment, net 247,000 66.0%
Other assets 35,000 9.4%
Total assets $ 374,000 100.0%
Liabilities
Total current liabilities 48,000 12.8%
Long-term debt 108,000 28.9%
Total liabilities 156,000 41.7%
Stockholders' equity
Total stockholders' equity 218,000 58.3%
Total liabilities & equity $ 374,000 100.0%
91
Horizontal Analysis
92
Common-size
Common-size Analysis
Analysis
An analysis of percentage financial statements
where all balance sheet items are divided by total
assets and all income statement items are
divided by net sales or revenues.
In other words, financial statements are
expressed in percentages only
No dollar amounts
Percentages derived from vertical analysis
93
BWs’
BWs’ Common
Common Size
Size
Balance
Balance Sheets
Sheets
Regular (thousands of $) Common-Size (%)
Assets 2005 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007
Cash 148 100 90 12.10 4.89 4.15
AR 283 410 394 23.14 20.06 18.17
Inv 322 616 696 26.33 30.14 32.09
Other CA 10 14 15 0.82 0.68 0.69
Tot CA 763 1,140 1,195 62.39 55.77 55.09
Net FA 349 631 701 28.54 30.87 32.32
LT Inv 0 50 50 0.00 2.45 2.31
Other LT 111 223 223 9.08 10.91 10.28
Tot Assets 1,223 2,044 2,169 100.0 100.0 100.0
94
BWs’
BWs’ Common
Common Size
Size
Balance
Balance Sheets
Sheets
Regular (thousands of $) Common-Size (%)
Liab+Equity 2005 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007
Note Pay 290 295 290 23.71 14.43 13.37
Acct Pay 81 94 94 6.62 4.60 4.33
Accr Tax 13 16 16 1.06 0.78 0.74
Other Accr 15 100 100 1.23 4.89 4.61
Tot CL 399 505 500 32.62 24.71 23.05
LT Debt 150 453 530 12.26 22.16 24.44
Equity 674 1,086 1,139 55.11 53.13 52.51
Tot L+E 1,223 2,044 2,169 100.0 100.0 100.0
95
BWs’
BWs’ Common
Common Size
Size
Income
Income Statements
Statements
Regular (thousands of $) Common-Size (%)
2005 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007
Net Sales 1,235 2,106 2,211 100.0 100.0 100.0
COGS 849 1,501 1,599 68.7 71.3 72.3
Gross Profit 386 605 612 31.3 28.7 27.7
Adm. 180 383 402 14.6 18.2 18.2
EBIT 206 222 210 16.7 10.5 9.5
Int Exp 20 51 59 1.6 2.4 2.7
EBT 186 171 151 15.1 8.1 6.8
EAT 112 103 91 9.1 4.9 4.1
Cash Div 50 50 50 4.0 2.4 2.3
96
Index
Index Analyses
Analyses
98
BWs’
BWs’
Indexed
Indexed Balance
Balance Sheets
Sheets
Regular (thousands of $) Indexed (%)
Liab+Equity 2005 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007
Note Pay 290 295 290 100.0 101.7 100.0
Acct Pay 81 94 94 100.0 116.0 116.0
Accr Tax 13 16 16 100.0 123.1 123.1
Other Accr 15 100 100 100.0 666.7 666.7
Tot CL 399 505 500 100.0 126.6 125.3
LT Debt 150 453 530 100.0 302.0 353.3
Equity 674 1,086 1,139 100.0 161.1 169.0
Tot L+E 1,223 2,044 2,169 100.0 167.1 177.4
99
BWs’
BWs’ Indexed
Indexed Income
Income
Statements
Statements
Regular (thousands of $) Indexed (%)
2005 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007
Net Sales 1,235 2,106 2,211 100.0 170.5 179.0
COGS 849 1,501 1,599 100.0 176.8 188.3
Gross Profit 386 605 612 100.0 156.7 158.5
Adm. 180 383 402 100.0 212.8 223.3
EBIT 206 222 210 100.0 107.8 101.9
Int Exp 20 51 59 100.0 255.0 295.0
EBT 186 171 151 100.0 91.9 81.2
EAT 112 103 91 100.0 92.0 81.3
Cash Div 50 50 50 100.0 100.0 100.0
100
Comparative Financial
Statements
Investors and creditors cannot evaluate and make
decisions based on one year’s data
This is why most financial statements cover at least two
years so as to make comparisons.
In fact, most financial analysis covers trends of 3 to 5
years.
Horizontal analysis is the study of percent changes in
accounts from year-to-year.
101
Horizontal Analysis
102
Comparative Income Statements
103
Vertical Analysis
Shows relationship of each financial statement
item and its base
For the income statement, base is total
revenue
For the balance sheet, base is total assets
Each account is divided by its base
Expressed as a percent
104
Balance Sheet
Percent of
Assets total
Total current assets $ 92,000 24.6%
Property, plant and equipment, net 247,000 66.0%
Other assets 35,000 9.4%
Total assets $ 374,000 100.0%
Liabilities
Total current liabilities 48,000 12.8%
Long-term debt 108,000 28.9%
Total liabilities 156,000 41.7%
Stockholders' equity
Total stockholders' equity 218,000 58.3%
Total liabilities & equity $ 374,000 100.0%
105
Common-Size Statements
An analysis of percentage financial statements
where all balance sheet items are divided by total
assets and all income statement items are
divided by net sales or revenues.
In other words, financial statements are
expressed in percentages only
No dollar amounts
Percentages derived from vertical analysis
106
Example of Common-Size
Income Statement
Common-size Income Statements
2006 2007
Total revenue 100% 100%
Expenses:
Cost of goods sold 47% 46%
Selling & general 21% 23%
Interest expense 2% 1%
Income tax expense 10% 8%
Total expenses 80% 78%
Net Income 20% 22%
107
Benchmarking
Compares company results to set
standard
Goal is improvement
Example:
Company compares its common-
size statements to an industry
leader
108
Using the Statement of Cash
Flows
Helpful for finding weaknesses than gauging
strength
Cash flow signs of a healthy company
Operations are the major source of cash
Investing activities have more than purchases
than sales of long-term assets
Financing activities are not dominated by
borrowing
109
Measuring Ability to Pay Current
Liabilities
Working Current assets – current liabilities;
capital Expressed as a $ amount
Current assets
Current Current liabilities
ratio Expressed as a ratio; Rule of thumb = 1.5
110
Measuring Ability to Sell Inventory and
Collect Receivables
Cost of goods sold
Inventory Average inventory
turnover Measures how often a company sell inventory;
Varies greatly among industries
112
(a)
Located on
the balance
sheet
113
(b) Acid-test ratio:
Cash + ST Inv. + Net Rec.
Current liabilities
$17,000 + 11,000 + 64,000 $92,000 = 0.83
$111,000 $111,000
114
Located on the
(c) Inventory turnover: income statement
Cost of goods sold = 4.42
Average inventory $74,000 times
115
Receivables turnover:
Net Credit Sales $654,000 = 9.55
Average receivables $68,500 times
________________________________
$68,500
(Current year +
preceding
116 year)/2
Days' Sales in Receivables:
One day's sales
Net credit sales $654,000 = $1,791.78
365 days 365
Use the
amount
Days' Sales in Receivables computed for
Average net receivables receivable
38.23
turnover
One day's sales $1,791.78 days
117
Measuring Ability to Pay Debts
Total liabilities
Debt ratio Total assets
Tells proportion of assets financed with debt;
Average for most companies = .62
119
Earnings per Share (EPS)
Key measure of company’s success
120
Analyzing Stock Investments
Price – Market price per share of common stock
Earnings per share
Earnings Compares market price to earnings
Ratio
Dividend per share
Dividend Market price per share
yield Compares dividends per share to market price
121
EVA & Shareholder Value
122
EVA & Wealth Creation
Warren Buffet:
We feel noble intentions should be checked periodically
against results. We test the wisdom of retaining earnings
by assessing whether retention, over time, delivers
shareholders at least $1 of market value for each $1
retained.
Translation:
Ultimate litmus test of any company’s success lies in
increasing its market value by more than it increases its
capital.
123
View of the Firm
124
What is Required to Focus?
125
What is MVA?
MVA = Market value of capital
- book value of capital
Key elements:
Calculation of market value of capital
Market value of debt + market value of equity
Calculation of capital invested
Accounting adjustments necessary
MVA Related to EVA.
126
Market Value Added
Market
Premium
Total value added
market
value
Debt &
equity
Investment
capital
127
Also, Market Value Added
129
EVA
Economic Value Added ® (EVA)
Measures if operations have increased stockholder wealth
X
Cost of capital
130
What is EVA?
EVA = Economic profit
Not the same as accounting profit
Difference between revenues and costs
Costs include not only expenses but also cost of
capital
Economic profit adjusts for distortions caused by accounting
methods
Doesn’t have to follow GAAP
R&D, advertising, restructuring costs, ...
Cost of capital accounted for explicitly
Rate of return required by suppliers of a firm’s debt and
equity capital
Represents minimum acceptable return.
131
Advantages of EVA
Annual EVA is easy to interpret
Correlations between market value and various
measures:
Standardized EVA 0.50
ROE 0.35
Fortunes “Most admired firms” 0.24
Cash flow growth 0.22
EPS growth 0.18
Dividend growth 0.16
Sales growth 0.09
50% of change in market value explained by
standardized EVA (Standardized EVA = EVA / Capital).
132
Components of EVA
NOPLAT
Net operating profit after tax
Operating capital
Net operating working capital, net PP&E, goodwill, and
other operating assets
Cost of capital
Weighted average cost of capital %
Capital charge
Cost of capital % * operating capital
Economic value added
NOPLAT less the capital charge.
133
What is NOPAT?
134
What is Operating Capital?
Capital: Net operating assets adjusted for
certain accounting distortions
Asset write-downs, restructuring charges, …
Net operating assets:
Cash, receivables, inventory, prepaids
Trade payable, accruals, deferred taxes
Net property, plant, and equipment
Exclude non-operating assets:
Marketable securities, investments,...
135
What is Cost of Capital?
136
What is the Capital Charge?
Represents a rental charge for the use of
the operating capital
Minimum rate of return the operating
capital should earn
Calculated as the firm’s weighted average
cost of capital % x invested capital.
137
Calculating EVA
NOPAT/Average capital
= Return on invested operating capital (ROIC)
- Weight average cost of capital (WACC)
= Spread (= ROIC - WACC)
* Operating capital
= Economic value added (EVA)
Net operating profit after tax (NOPAT)
- Capital charge (= WACC * Capital)
= Economic value added (EVA)
138
What’s Affecting EVA?
Sales Market potential
139
Forward Looking Relationship for
EVA & MVA
MVA
Market
Value
Market EVA + EVA + EVA + .. + EVA
value = 1+r (1 + r)2 (1 + r)3 (1 + r)n
Capita Market value is based on establishing the
l economic investment made in the
company (capital), making a best guess
about what economic profits (EVA) will
happen in the future, and discounting
those EVAs to the present to get market
value added.
140
Fundamental Strategies
NOPAT
EVA Cost of capital * Capital
Capital
142