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Time Value of Money

The document discusses the concept of time value of money and techniques for calculating it such as compounding and discounting. It explains why the value of money declines over time due to factors like inflation, risk, opportunity cost, and consumption. It also covers basic patterns of cash flows, notation used in time value of money calculations, and formulas for present and future value as well as ordinary and due annuities. Worked examples are provided to illustrate compound interest, present and future value, and calculating equivalent cash flows at different points in time.

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Kriti Gautam
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
56 views

Time Value of Money

The document discusses the concept of time value of money and techniques for calculating it such as compounding and discounting. It explains why the value of money declines over time due to factors like inflation, risk, opportunity cost, and consumption. It also covers basic patterns of cash flows, notation used in time value of money calculations, and formulas for present and future value as well as ordinary and due annuities. Worked examples are provided to illustrate compound interest, present and future value, and calculating equivalent cash flows at different points in time.

Uploaded by

Kriti Gautam
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Kathmandu University

Engineering Economy MGTS 301

Chapter-4
Time value of money
Kathmandu
University
Today’s class

The objective of Chapter 4 is to explain time value of


money calculations and to illustrate economic
equivalence.

2
Kathmandu
University

The Time Value of Money

The Time value of money is the concept that money


available at the present time is worth more than the
identical sum in the future due to its potential
earning capacity.
Kathmandu
University

Why does the value of money decline?


The value of money decline due to the combined impact of the
following:

1. Inflation of the economy


2. Risk involved in the delayed receipt of cash /financial transaction
3. Opportunity cost of capital delayed
4. Consumption
Kathmandu
University

Techniques of to find Time Value of Money

1.Compounding (Future Value)


2.Discounting (Present Value)
Valuation Concepts

1.Simple Interest
2.Compound Interest
Kathmandu
University

Compound interest reflects both the remaining principal


and any accumulated interest. For $1,000 at 10%…
(1)
Amount owed at (2)=(1)x10% (3)=(1)+(2)
beginning of Interest amount Amount owed at
Period period for period end of period
1 $1,000 $100 $1,100

2 $1,100 $110 $1,210


3 $1,210 $121 $1,331
4 $1331 $133.1 $1464.1
Kathmandu
University

Economic equivalence allows us to compare


alternatives on a common basis.
• Each alternative can be reduced to an equivalent basis dependent on
• interest rate,

• amount of money involved, and

• timing of monetary receipts or expenses.

• Using these elements we can “move” cash flows so that we can


compare them at particular points in time.
Kathmandu
University

We need some tools to find economic equivalence.


• Notation used in formulas for compound interest calculations.
• i = effective interest rate per interest period
• N = number of compounding (interest) periods
• P = present sum of money; equivalent value of one or more cash
flows at a reference point in time; the present
• F = future sum of money; equivalent value of one or more cash
flows at a reference point in time; the future
• A = end-of-period cash flows in a uniform series continuing for a
certain number of periods, starting at the end of the first period and
continuing through the last
Kathmandu
University

A cash flow diagram/Time Line is an


indispensable tool for clarifying and
visualizing a series of cash flows.
Kathmandu
University

A cash flow diagramming/Time Line


The ABC Corporation insists that its engineers develop a cash flow
diagram of the proposal. An investment of $20,000 can be made
that will produce uniform annual revenue of $6,320 for five years
and then have a market (recovery) value of $3200 at the end of
year (EOY) five. Annual expenses will be $3050 at the end of each
year for operating and maintaining the project. Draw a cash flow
diagram for the five year life of the project. Use the corporation’s
viewpoint.
Kathmandu
University

Basic Patterns of Cash Flows


1. Single Amount
2. Annuity
- Ordinary Annuity (at the end of year)
- Annuity Due (at the beginning of year)
3. Mixed Stream (Unequal Periodic of Cash
Flow)
Kathmandu
University

We can apply compound interest formulas to


“move” cash flows along the cash flow diagram.
Using the standard notation, we find that a present
amount, P, can grow into a future amount, F, in N
time periods at interest rate i according to the
formula below.

In a similar way we can find P given F by


Kathmandu
University

It is common to use standard notation for interest


factors.

This is also known as the single payment compound


amount factor. The term on the right is read “F given
P at i% interest per period for N interest periods.”

is called the single payment present worth factor.


Kathmandu
University

We can use these to find economically equivalent


values at different points in time.
$2,500 at time zero is equivalent to how much after six years if
the interest rate is 8% per year?

$3,000 at the end of year seven is equivalent to how much


today (time zero) if the interest rate is 6% per year?
Kathmandu
University

1. Pause and solve


An Investor (owner) has an option to purchase a tract of
land that will be worth $10,000 in six years. If the value of
the land increases at 8% each year, how much should
the investor be willing to pay now for this property?
Kathmandu
University

There are interest factors for a series of


end-of-period cash flows.

How much will you have in 40 years if you save


$3,000 each year and your account earns 8%
interest each year?
Kathmandu
University

Finding the present amount from a series of


end-of-period cash flows.

How much would is needed today to provide an


annual amount of $50,000 each year for 20 years,
at 9% interest each year?
Kathmandu
University

Finding A when given F.

How much would you need to set aside each year


for 25 years, at 10% interest, to have accumulated
$1,000,000 at the end of the 25 years?
Kathmandu
University

Finding A when given P.

If you had $500,000 today in an account earning 10%


each year, how much could you withdraw each year
for 25 years?
Kathmandu
University

2. Pause and solve

Acme Steamer purchased a new pump for $75,000. They


borrowed the money for the pump from their bank at an interest
rate of 0.5% per month and will make a total of 24 equal, monthly
payments. How much will Acme’s monthly payments be?
Kathmandu
University

3. Pause and solve


If you are 20 years of age and save $1each day for the rest of your life,
you can become a millionaire. Let’s assume that you live to age 80 and
that the annual interest rate is 10%. Under these specific conditions,
compute the future compound amount.
Kathmandu
University

4. Pause and solve


If a certain machine undergoes a major overhaul now, its output
can be increased by 20% - which translate into additional cash
flow of $20,000 at the end of each year for five years. If I = 15%
per year, how much can we afford to invest to overhaul this
machine? Make a C/F diagram.
Kathmandu
University

5. Pause and solve


You borrow $15,000 from your credit union to purchase a used car.
The interest rate on your loan is 0.25% per month and you will make
a total of 36 monthly payments. What is your monthly payment?
Kathmandu
University

Deferred Annuities
A Deferred Annuity is a type of annuity contract that delays
income, installment or lump-sum payments until the investor
elects to receive them.
A Deferred annuity is an insurance contract designed for
long-term savings. Unlike an immediate annuity, which starts
annual or monthly payments almost immediately, investors
can delay payments from a deferred annuity indefinitely.
Kathmandu
University

6. Pause and solve


Assume that a $20,00,000 plant expansion is to be financed as
follows: The firm makes a 15% down payment and borrows the
remainder at 9% interest rate. The loan is to be repaid in 8 equal
annual installments beginning 4 years from now. What is the size
of the required annual loan payments. $397,750
Kathmandu
University

7. Pause and solve


Assume that a 10 years saving annuity of $2000 per year is
beginning at year zero. The retirement annuity is to be begin 15
years from now. The first payment is to be received in year 15 and
has to provide a 20 year annuity. If this plan is arranged through a
saving bank that pays interest @7% per year on the deposited
funds, what is the size of the yearly retirement annuity that will
result?
Kathmandu
University

8. Pause and solve


1. Your company wants to have $100,000 saved up in 5 years. How
much must you invest today, earning 7% annually, in order to have the
necessarily amount saved?

2. Your client wants to retire in 30 years with $ 2 million. If you can earn
8% annually, how much should your client invest every quarter?
Kathmandu
University

9. Pause and solve


Mr. Zone borrows $1,00,000 @8% compounded
annually. Equal annual payments are to be made for 6
years. However at the time of the 4th payment, the
individual elects to pay off the loan. How much should
be paid?
Kathmandu
University

10. Pause and solve

Suppose that a father, on the day of his son is born, wishes to


determine what lump amount would have to be paid into an
account bearing interest of 12% per year to provide withdrawals
of $2000 on each of the son’s 18th, 19th, 20th, and 21st birthdays.
Kathmandu
University

11. Pause and solve


When you take your first job, you decide to start saving right away for
your retirement. You put $5000 per year in the company’s 401 (k) plan
which average interest 8% per year. Five year later, you moved to
another job and start a new 401 (k) plan. You never get around to
merging the funds in the two plans. If the first plan continued to earn
interest @8% per year for 35 years after you stopped making
contribution. How much is the account worth?
Kathmandu
University

10. Pause and solve


A 40-year-old person wants to accumulate $500,000 by age 65. How much
will she need to save each month, starting one month from now, if the
interest rate is 0.5% per month?
Kathmandu
University

11. Pause and solve


The price of oil in 2005 was $67 per barrel. “This price is still lower than the
price of oil in 1981” says a government publication. If inflation has averaged
3.2% per year from 1981 to 2005, what was the price per barrel of oil in
1981?
Kathmandu
University

Finding N when Given P, F & i


The average price of gasoline was given as $2.31 in 2005. We computed the
average annual rate of increase in the price of gasoline to be 6.62%. If we
assume that the price of gasoline will continue to inflate at this rate, how
long will it be before we are paying $5.00 per gallon.
Kathmandu
University

12. Pause and solve


10 years from now Mr. X will start receiving a
pension of $ 3000 a year for 16 years. How much
the pension worth now if interest rate is 10%.
Kathmandu
University

Sometimes cash flows change by a constant amount each period.


We can model these situations as a uniform gradient of
cash flows. The table below shows such a gradient.

End of Period Cash Flows


1 0
2 G
3 2G
: :
N (N-1)G
Kathmandu
University

It is easy to find the present value of a uniform gradient


series.
Similar to the other types of cash flows, there is a formula
(albeit quite complicated) we can use to find the present value,
and a set of factors developed for interest tables.
Kathmandu
University

We can also find A or F equivalent to a uniform gradient


series.
Kathmandu
University

The annual equivalent of End of Year Cash Flows ($)


this series of cash flows can 1 2,000
be found by considering an
2 3,000
annuity portion of the cash
flows and a gradient 3 4,000
portion. 4 5,000

End of Year Annuity ($) Gradient ($)


1 2,000 0
2 2,000 1,000
3 2,000 2,000
4 2,000 3,000
Kathmandu
University

Pause and solve


A person is planning for his retirement. He has 10 more years of
service. He would like to deposit 20% of his salary, which is $
4,000, at the end of the first year, and thereafter he wishes to
deposit the amount with an annual increase of $ 500 for the next
9 years with an interest rate of 15%. Find the total amount at the
end of the 10th year of the above series.
Kathmandu
University

Pause and solve


A person is planning for his retirement. He has 10 more years of
service. He would like to deposit $ 8,500, at the end of the first
year, and thereafter he wishes to deposit the amount with an
annual decrease of $ 500 for the next 9 years with an interest rate
of 15%. Find the total amount at the end of the 10th year of the
above series.
Kathmandu
University

Pause and solve


John and Jack have just opened two saving accounts. The
accounts earn 10% annual interest. John wants to deposit $1,000
in his account at the end of the first year and increase this amount
by $300 for each of the following 5 years. Jack wants to deposit
an equal amount each year for next 6 years. What should be the
size of the Jack’s annual deposit so that the two accounts would
have equal balance at the end of 6 years?
Kathmandu
University

Pause and solve


An engineer has inspected the average cost on a cement
production for 8 years. Cost averages were steady at $10,000 per
completed unit for the first 4 years, but have increased
consistently by $5,000 per unit for each of the last 4 years. He
plans to analyze the gradient increase using the P/G factor. Where
is the present worth located for the gradient? What is the gradient
relation used to calculate total present worth in year zero?
Assume i=10% compounded annually.
Kathmandu
University

Sometimes cash flows change by


a constant rate, ,each period--this
is a geometric gradient series.

This table presents a


End of Year Cash Flows ($)
geometric gradient series. It
begins at the end of year 1 1 1,000
and has a rate of growth, , 2 1,200
of 20%. 3 1,440
4 1,728
Kathmandu
University
Kathmandu
University

We can find the present value of a geometric


series by using the appropriate formula
below.

Where is the initial cash flow in the series.


Kathmandu
University

Present Equivalent of an Increasing Arithmetic Gradient Series


As further example of the use of arithmetic gradient formulas, suppose that
we have cash flows as follows:

End of Year Cash Flows ($)


1 5,000
2 6,000
3 7,000
4 8,000
Also, assume that we wish to calculate their present equivalent at i = 15%
per year, using gradient conversion factors.
Kathmandu
University

Present Equivalent of a Decreasing Arithmetic Gradient Series


As further example of the use of arithmetic gradient formulas, suppose that
we have cash flows as follows:

End of Year Cash Flows ($)


1 8,000
2 7,000
3 6,000
4 5,000
Also, assume that we wish to calculate their present equivalent at i = 15%
per year, using gradient conversion factors.
Kathmandu
University

To find future value CVF

To find present value PVF

To find future value if given


annuity CVAF

To find present value if


given annuity PVAF

To find annuity if given present


value (Capital Recovery)
Kathmandu
University

5. Pause and solve


In the future, you decide to open a retirement plan for
your child on his first birthday. You will invest $ 5000
expecting an 8% return, compounded quarterly. How much
will your child’s account have in 50 years.

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