Continuous Probability Z-Score
Continuous Probability Z-Score
Objective: To understand
The Normal and
Standard Normal Distribution
• Why Study Normal Distribution?
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The Normal Distribution
μ X
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Normal curves can differ in location or shape
Frequency
2 3
values 6
There is not one Normal Curve but many
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PROPERTIES OF STANDARD NORMAL CURVE
It is bell shaped.
It is asymptotic.
It is perfectly symmetrical.
Mean, Median and Mode are in the centre of
the curve i.e. the dome of the curve.
Half the values (50%) lie on each side when it is
cut into half at the highest point.
It has got two determinants Mean (µ) and
Standard Deviation (δ).
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**The beauty of the normal curve:
EMPIRICAL RULE
No matter what and are,
68% of
the data
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Normal curve Mean = 66 and S.D. = 11
99.7%
68 %
95%
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Check some example data:
The mean weight of the 120 runners = 127.8
The standard deviation (SD) = 15.5
68% of 120 = .68x120 = ~ 82 runners
In fact, 79 runners fall within 1-SD (15.5 lbs) of the mean.
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P
e 15
r
c
e
n 10
t
0
80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160
POUNDS
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95% of 120 = .95 x 120 = ~ 114 runners
In fact, 115 runners fall within 2-SD’s of the mean.
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P
e 15
r
c
e
n 10
t
0
80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160
POUNDS
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99.7% of 120 = .997 x 120 = 119.6 runners
In fact, all 120 runners fall within 3-SD’s of the
mean.
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P
e 15
r
c
e
n 10
t
0
80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160
POUNDS
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Example
Suppose SAT scores roughly follows a normal distribution
in the U.S. population of college-bound students (with range
restricted to 200-800), and the average math SAT is 500
with a standard deviation of 50, then:
What % of students will have scores between 450 and 550
What % will be between 400 and 600
What % will be between 350 and 650
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Answer
Suppose SAT scores roughly follows a normal distribution
in the U.S. population of college-bound students (with range
restricted to 200-800), and the average math SAT is 500
with a standard deviation of 50, then:
68% of students will have scores between 450 and 550
95% will be between 400 and 600
99.7% will be between 350 and 650
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The Standard Normal Distribution (Z)
All normal distributions can be converted into the
standard normal curve by subtracting the mean and
dividing by the standard deviation:
X
Z
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Example
500 575
For example: What’s the probability of getting a math SAT score of 575 or less, =500 and =50?
X 575 500
Z Z 1.5
50
i.e., A score of 575 is 1.5 z standard deviations above the mean
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Another Example
Suppose the scores in a test have a normal distribution with
mean 70 and standard deviation equal to 5. assume the
students need to get at least 60 in the test to pass the
course.
What percent of the students who take this test are able to
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X
Formula Z
Z Score = 60 - 70 / 5 = - 2
The area under the curve between mean and -2 is 0.4772, and to the
right side is 0.5, we add the 0.4772 and 0.5 and it comes to 0.9772.
thus 97.72% students are able to pass.
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60 70
-2 STUDENTS PASSING
Formula X
Z
Z Score = 60 - 70 / 5 = - 2
The area under the curve between mean and -2 is 0.4772, and to the
right side is 0.5, we add the 0.4772 and 0.5 and it comes to 0.9772.
thus 97.72% students are able to pass.
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Contd
What percent of the students who take this test are
able to pass the course with a score of at least 65?
Solution
X
Formula Z Score Z
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Z Score = 65 - 70 / 5 = - 1
The area corresponding to -1 is 0.3413, thus adding 0.5 and 0.3413
is 0.8413 or 84.13% students are able to get at least 65 or more
score
0.3413
0.5
-1
X
Formula; Z Score Z
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Z Score1 = X1 - µ / S.D
60 – 70 / 5 = -2
Z Score2 = X2 - µ / S.D
From tableArea1 = 0.4772
75 – 70 / 5 = 1
From table Area2 = 0.3413
0.3413
0.4772
60 70 75
Adding the 2 areas under the curve we get 0.8185 or 81. 85%
students score between 60 and 75
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Example 2: Z-Score Population
Mean IQ Score = 100 and Standard deviation = 15
Formula:- Z = (X – μ) / σ
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Example 2: Z-Score Population
Mean IQ Score = 100 and Standard deviation = 15
Formula:- Z = (X – μ) / σ
Z = (110 – 100) / 15
Z = 0.67
100 110
IQ Scores
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O
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With an IQ of 110, your Z-Score is + 0.67
• Go to Z-Score Table and find ‘z’ score for .67
• The area between the z-score and the mean is .2486
• We know that the area up to the mean is .50, and we know that
our score was above the mean, so we add the two numbers to get a
total area of .7486
• Therefore, your percentile rank in terms of IQ is 74.86, which
means that you scored equal to or greater than 74.86% of the
population
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Assume that the mean weight of American males between 21 and 30 years old is
156 pounds with a standard deviation of 8 pounds.
X
Z
156 160 or
more
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Assume that the mean weight of American males between 21 and 30 years old is
156 pounds with a standard deviation of 8 pounds.
If you select a male at random, what is the probability that his
weight will be 160 pounds or more
X
Z
Z Score = 160 - 156 / 8
Z Score = 4/ 8 = 0.5
0.5 on the Z-table = 0.1915
156
160 or
0.5 – 0.1915 = 0.3085
more
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Answer
a. What is the chance of obtaining a birth weight of 141
oz or heavier when sampling birth records at random?
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1.69
2.46 corresponds to a right tail (greater than) area of: P(Z≥)1.69 = (.45)= thus
subtracting 0.45 from 0.5 we get 0.05 or 5 %
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Answer
b. What is the chance of obtaining a birth weight of 121 or
lighter?
0.92
Z of .92 corresponds to a left tail area of: P(Z ≤ .92)
= .3212 or 32.12% and adding with 50% we get = 82.12%
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HOME WORK 1:
How to determine what proportion of a normal
population lies above/below a certain level
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Home work 2
If the cholesterol level of men in the community is
normally distributed with a mean of 160 and standard
deviation of 30. identify any outliers from among the
following measurements.
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Thank You
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Home Work 1
A researcher was interested in studying the average income of
household in Pakistan. A random sample of size 1000 household
was selected. The average income of these household was Rs 3000
per month.
What is your population? household in Pakistan
What is your sample? 1000 household
What is your measurement of interest? income of household
What type of measurement are you dealing with? Continuous
What is the parameter of interest? average income of household in Pakistan
What is the estimate for parameter in the population? Rs 3000 per month
If you are asked to select a random sample of 1000 household from the
population. what would be your strategy to select a representative sample?
Explain.
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HOME WORK 2
The following are weight losses in pounds of 25 persons who
enrolled in a five-week weight control programme:
8,7,10,11,10,2,3,11,6,4,8,12,9,12,5,2,11,8,3,6,9,7,9,8,3.
Construct a frequency table with four class intervals of 3 units
each.
Construct a histogram of the weight losses
Construct a frequency polygon.
What was the most common weight loss?
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Frequency table
patient’s age with heart disease
Class limits age Frequency Relative Cumulative Cumulative relative
(years) frequency frequency frequency
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Home work 3 Number of babies
born per day
(days)
30 days 73
f X / n
Mean = 73/30 = 2.43 89.32 48
Mean and S.D. from group data
Formula for Mean
= f Xi / n
= 73 / 30 = 2.43
Formula for variance
S2 = f (Xi - )2 / n-1
= 89.32 / 30 – 1
= 89.32 / 29 = 3.08
Take square root of 3.08 to get S.D.
S.D. = 1.75
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Calculate the normal deviate
- Any point on normal curve
- Here, 130 cm Mean
Xi -
Z=
- Normal deviate SD
- Test statistic
Z = (125-120)/20 = 1.0
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P (probability) (Xi >130 cm) = Z = 0.1915
Total area to the right of mean is 50% or 0.5 and
we subtract 0.3413, thus we get 0.1587, or there is
15.87% probability of getting a hobbit of more
than 125 cm. height
0.3413
0.5
0.1587
1.0
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