Presentation of Wind Data - Slides
Presentation of Wind Data - Slides
1000
800
Annual H ours
600
400
200
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Wind Speed (m/sec)
Normalized Wind Speed Frequency Diagrams
Rather than report the total time the wind is within a certain
band, sometimes the data is normalized by dividing by the total
number of hours.
The result is a probability vs. wind speed histogram.
14.00%
12.00%
10.00%
Probability (%)
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Wind Speed (m/sec)
The Weibull Distribution
Most wind data is modeled analytically by assuming it follows a Weibull
probability distribution function.
– If P(V) is the probability of the wind being at speed V, then the Weibull
distribution is given by:
V k
k 1
k V
P V e C
C C
– The parameters k and C are called the scale and shape parameters, respectively,
and are chosen to fit the data.
– C has dimensions of velocity, and k is dimensionless.
It is convenient to work with an equation rather than discrete data.
The Weibull Distribution Continued
14.00%
V k
k 1
k V
12.00%
P V e C
10.00%
VC
Probability (%)
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Wind Speed (m/sec)
The Cumulative Wiebull Distribution
The cumulative distribution Pc(V) gives the probability
of the wind speed exceeding a certain value:
P V P V
%dV
V
c
%
0
%k
V k V% k 1 VC
e %
dV
0 C C
Integrate by substitution:
k k 1 k 1
V V 1 k V
u= du k dV dV
C C C C C
k k
V V
Pc V
u C
0
C
e u du e 0
k
V
C
1 e
Plot of the Cumulative Weibull
Distribution
100.00%
90.00%
80.00%
70.00%
k
V
% time wind speed exceeds V
Pc V e
60.00%
C
50.00%
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Wind Speed, V (m/sec)
Development of a Weibull Estimate
from Wind Data
The Wind Rose
Wind speed frequency diagrams do not provide
information on the direction that the wind is blowing.
This is often done by a graph called a “wind rose.”
A wind rose is a polar plot giving the direction,
magnitude, and cube of the magnitude of the wind.
– The data is usually averaged over a year.
– In some cases, shorter time periods, such as months, may be
appropriate.
Description of the Wind Rose Plot
The polar plot is usually broken up into 12 30° sectors, and average
data is presented over each sector.
The first rose “petal” in a given direction is the fraction of the time,
normalized to 100%, that the wind is blowing from that direction.
The second petal is the fraction of time wind blows from a
particular direction multiplied by the average wind speed in that
direction, and normalized to 100%.
The second petal is the fraction of time wind blows from a
particular direction multiplied by the average cube of the wind
speed from that direction, and normalized to 100%.
The last two petals give information about how “useful” the wind
is from a given direction.
– For example, if the wind usually blows from a particular direction, but not
very hard.
Wind Rose Examples
Direction
Speed
Energy
Use of the Wind Rose
The wind rose gives a graphical interpretation of much
of the data that is considered when evaluating a wind
power site.
The second plot (previous slide) shows the wind and
most of the wind energy comes from a prevailing
direction.
– In this case, the site can be designed with this in mind, and
turbine technology with limited ability to rotate into the wind
can be considered.
Link to Wind Rose Applet:
– www.windpower.org/en/tour/wres/roseplot.htm
Wind Speed Power Curves for Specific Turbines
Rated Power
1800
1600
1400
1200
Power (kW)
1000
800
600
400
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Wind Speed (m/sec)
Wind Speed Power Curves