Bullwhip Effect
Bullwhip Effect
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Lean supply chain management is about removing waste
or unwanted components from a process..
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The bullwhip effect is a supply chain phenomenon
describing how small fluctuations in demand at the
retail level can cause progressively larger
fluctuations in demand at the wholesale, distributor,
manufacturer and raw material supplier levels.
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In some industries, it is known as the
“whiplash” or the “whipsaw” effect.
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Another strategy to improve supply
chain effectively is through better collaboration
with customers and suppliers. When companies
work with customers to understand their plans and
forecasts, they can build promotions and
seasonality into the forecast and then provide more
insight to their suppliers to help prevent the buildup
of unnecessary inventory due to the bullwhip effect.
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Even if a company tries to become more
demand driven, it still need a forecast to plan
long lead time items or to cover demand
from new customers, new products or in-
house promotions.
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Using technology to implement controls and
track every aspect of production, distribution
and sales can quickly identify supply chain
bloating before it becomes a problem.
This requires an effective communications
system between management in every
aspect of the chain. The ability to
communicate opens the door to quick
corrects and a more effective process.
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Demand driven supply chain management is one of
the most effective ways to reduce the bullwhip effect.
It is a known fact that most forecasts are inaccurate,
so when actual demand materializes it is almost
certain to differ from forecast quantities.
This causes companies to place emergency orders on
suppliers. Without effective communication, those
suppliers’ supply chain management systems will
overreact, setting off a chain reaction of excess
inventory that increases cost and slows velocity. In
contrast, a demand driven supply network will have
less overall inventory and be more responsive.
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Safety stock is simply extra inventory beyond
expected demand.
Entrepreneurs and Operations Managers carry
safety stock to prevent stock outs, caused by:
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Bhattacharya, R., & Bandyopadhyay, S.
(2011). A review of the causes of bullwhip
effect in a supply chain.The International
Journal of Advanced Manufacturing
Technology, 54 (9-12), 1245-1261.
http://theleansupplychain.com/wp-
content/uploads/2015/05/The-Bullwhip-
Affect.jpg
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Emiliani, Bob; Stec, David; Grasso, Lawrence; Stodder,
James (2007). Better thinking, better results: case study
and analysis of an enterprise-wide lean
transformation (2nd ed.). Kensington, Conn: Center for
Lean Business Management. ISBN 978-0-9722591-2-5.
https://www.google.com/search?biw=1366&bih=657&t
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