Lecture 3 Ratio Analysis
Lecture 3 Ratio Analysis
1.Profitability Ratios
• Measure of financial performance of a company
2.Liquidity Ratios
• Measure of financial position of a company in the S/T
• Ability to settle S/T obligation when they become due
• Sometimes profitable business face financial crisis
because of overtrading
• Means that a company has invested too much in fixed
assets and inventory but too little liquid assets and thus
short of cash 1
Financial Ratio Analysis
3.Leverage Ratios
• Measure of financial position of a company in the L/T
• Ability to pay L/T debts when they become due
• A business that is unable to do so is said to be insolvent,
and will usually be forced into compulsory liquidation by its
creditors
4.Efficiency/Activity Ratios
• Measure of how efficient the firm’s asset utilization
5.Market Ratios
• Measure of business performance and use to screen
potential investment. 2
5 categories of Financial Ratios
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CyberDragon
Other Information ($000)
• Earnings per share (EPS)
= Earnings attributable to common stockholder
Number of Shares
= $5,016,000 / 1,300,000 = $3.86
**measure of the return on each ordinary share hold
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What is CyberDragon’s Current Ratio?
current assets
current liabilities
50,190
25,523 = 1.97
If the average current ratio for the
industry is 2.4, is this good or not?
12
• If the current ratio and acid test ratio are too high, anxiety
over cash flows are removed, but equally undesirable
consequences are:
1) idle cash are tied up unproductively, without investing
in potential profitable projects, which could affect future
growth of the firm
2) unnecessarily large inventories (but sometimes might
due to expecting price will increase in future), resulting in
high storage and other carrying costs, and potential
loss in market value of inventories that become
obsolete (exp: electrical products, HP)
3) a valuable discipline on credit control will be lost,
resulting in unwise amount and length of credit being
advanced to customers (potential for bad debts increase)
exp: a/c receivable turnover period too long might expose
to the risk of bad debt) 13
2. Operating Efficiency Ratios (Operating
activity Ratios)
14
What is the firm’s Operating Income Return
on Investment (OIROI)?
17
What is Operating Profit margin?
• if a company requires both operating and non-operating income to
cover the operation expenses, it shows that the business' operating
activities are not sustainable.
• A higher operating margin is more favourable compared with a
lower ratio because this shows that the company is making enough
money from its ongoing operations to pay for its variable costs as
well as its fixed costs.
• Exp:a company with an operating margin ratio of 20 percent means
that for every dollar of income, only 20 cents remains after the
operating expenses have been paid. This also means that only 20
cents is left over to cover the non-operating expenses. 18
What is their Operating Profit Margin?
operating income
sales
11,520 = 10.22%
112,760
•This is below the industry average of 12%.
•Measure of how much of each dollar sold is available after deducted
the operating expenses. ( how much revenue left over to cover non-
operating expenses)
19
What is their Total Asset Turnover?
sales
total assets
112,760 = 1.38 times
81,890
• The industry average is 1.82 times.
• Measure of how efficiently and effectively a company’s
management has utilized the assets to generate the sales
• The firm needs to figure out how to squeeze more sales dollars
20
out of its assets.
• Note: OIROI is actually operating profit margin times
total asset turnover
• A reduction in operating profit margin could still lead to
higher OIROI. A firm may want to reduce selling price in
order to achieve higher sales volume, especially if that
business line is in nature very price competitive. When sales
volume increase, given no new investment in fixed assets,
total asset turnover ratio will increase. If the effects of sales
volume increase is larger than selling price decrease (elastic
demand), OIROI could increase.
• If demand is inelastic, the increase in total asset turnover
will be lower than the decrease in operating profit margin,
hence OIROI could decrease.
21
What is the firm’s Accounts Receivable
Turnover?
credit sales
accounts receivable
112,760 = 6.16 times
18,320
• CyberDragon turns their A/R over 6.16
times per year. The industry average
is 8.2 times. Is this efficient?
• (Note: if not stated, assume credit sales = total sales)
• Measure of how many times a credit sale is made and subsequently collected
22
What is the firm’s Accounts
Receivable Turnover?
• High extension of credit low, collection of a/c
receivable is efficient
• Low company should re-access their company credit
policies in order to ensure the timely collection
as impacted credit is not earning i/r for the
firm.
23
What is the firm’s Inventory Turnover?
25
• Overtrading: a situation where a firm experiences liquidity problem
due to its trading beyond capital resources available to it. Usually has
low liquidity ratios (current ratio and acid test ratio) and abnormally
high turnover ratios (A/R turnover ratio, inventory turnover ratio and
total asset turnover ratio).
• Exp:
Overtrading is a symptom of fast-growing businesses, which chase sales
and profitability at the expense of liquidity.(trading without having
enough capital)
This is common in new businesses, which tend to offer long credit
periods to customers in order to establish themselves in a new market.
At the same time many suppliers offer only short credit periods (or
insist on cash payments) as the new business has no track record.
This gap between paying suppliers and receiving cash from customers is
often financed via overdrafts.
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• Overcapitalization: a situation where a firm has excess
capital, under-utilized probably due to lack of attractive
investment opportunities. Usually has high liquidity ratios
(current ratio and acid test ratio) and abnormally low
turnover ratios (A/R turnover ratio, inventory turnover
ratio and total asset turnover ratio).
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What is the firm’s Average Collection
Period?
accounts receivable 365
credit sales
18,320 365
112,760 = 59.3 days
• If the industry average is 47 days, what does this tell
us?
• Measure of the length of time it takes for a company’s
account rec to pay what they owe 28
What is the firm’s Average Inventory
Holding Period?
Avg. inventory 365
COGS
27,530 365
85,300 = 117.80 days
• If the industry average is 93.59 days, what does this tell
us?
• Indicate the average number of days that items of
inventories are held 29
32
Norms and Limits
• A short cycle allows a business to quickly acquire cash that
can be used for additional purchases or debt repayment.
• The lower the cash conversion cycle, the more healthy a
company generally is.
• Businesses attempt to shorten the cash conversion cycle by
speeding up payments from customers and slowing down
payments to suppliers
• CCC can even be negative; for instance, if the company has
a strong market position and can dictate purchasing terms
to suppliers (i.e. can postpone its payments). 33
• Generally, the lower the CCC the better. It indicates that the firm can
convert resources into cash faster and the firm manages its working
capital more efficiently.
• However, one must be careful to investigate the reason behind the
decrease in CCC. If the decrease in CCC is because of increasing
average payment period to creditors (exp:supplier), it is not a good
signal. Trade creditors may not want to supply goods to the company
in the future.
• Research: Relationship between CCC and firm’s profitability or share
price
34
What is the firm’s Fixed Asset
Turnover?
sales
fixed assets
112,760
31,700 = 3.56 times
If the industry average is 4.6 times, what
does this tell us about CyberDragon?
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3. Leverage Ratios
(financing decisions)
• Measure the impact of using debt capital to finance
assets.
• Firms use debt to lever up (increase) returns on common
equity.
36
• Firms with more real assets (land and buildings) are able to
finance more of their assets with debt.
• Amount of debt a firm uses depend on
1) income record
2) amount of assets available as collateral
37
How does Leverage work?
• Suppose we have an all equity-financed firm worth
$100,000. Its earnings this year total $15,000.
15,000
ROE = 100,000 = 15%
total debt
total assets
47,523 = 58%
81,890
If the industry average is 47%, what
does this tell us?
Can leverage make the firm more profitable?
Can leverage make the firm riskier? 39
Gearing Ratio (Debt-to-Equity Ratio)
Long-term liabilities
Common Stock Equity
The higher the gearing level, the higher the financial risk.
High leverage or debt-to-equity ratio is acceptable if the
firm can still cover its interest payments.
**Automobile companies tend to have high DTE ratio
40
Gearing Ratio (Debt-to-Equity Ratio)
• High DTE indicate a company not be able to generate
enough cash to satisfy its debt obligation
• However low DTE also indicate a company is not taking
advantage of the increased profit that financial leverage may
bring
• Capital intensive industry tend to have high DTE than low
capital industry because they must buy/invest more property,
plants and equipment to expand their business
41
Gearing Ratio (Debt-to-Equity Ratio)
42
What is the firm’s Times Interest Earned
Ratio?
operating income
interest expense
11,520
3,160 = 3.65 times
The industry average is 6.7 times.
Shows whether a company is earning enough operating profits before the
payment of interest.
Times interest earned ratio (also known as
interest coverage ratio) reflects the ability of
operating income (EBIT) to cover interest
expenses. 43
• Although generally high leverage (financed by more debt)
will increase financial risk, financing with debt could help
to reduce the firm’s cost of capital because cost of debt
capital are usually lower than cost of raising funds
through new issuance of equity shares. Cost of debt
capital is lower due to tax deductibility of interest
payments and low risk premium.
• Thus, a firm should finance by more debt capital until
the point where it can still comfortably cover its interest
payments. Therefore, usually analyze these two ratios
together.
44
4. Profitability Ratios
net profit
common equity
5,016
34,367 = 14.6%
The industry average is 17.54%.
Is this what we would expect, given
the firm’s leverage? 46
Profit Margins and Rates of Return
48
•Common-Size Income Statements: Calculate
each components of expenses as a percentage of
sales, and compare it to previous years or industry
average. This could help to isolate the type of
costs that the firm need to control.
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Table 2.7
Bartlett Company Common-Size Income Statements
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5. Market Ratios
• Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio
= Market price per share
Earnings per share
• P/E ratio measures the amount that investors are willing to pay
for each dollar of the firm’s earnings. The higher the P/E ratio,
the higher the degree of confidence that the investors have in the
firm’s future prospects.
• However, P/E ratio that is too high could signal that ordinary
shares of the company are overvalued in the stock market.
• Also compare the share’s price to the earnings, measure how
expensive a stock is
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5. Market Ratios
• Market/Book (M/B) ratio
= Market price per share
Book value per share
M/B ratio relates the market value of the firm’s shares
to their strict accounting book value (historical value).
Usually, book value is viewed as the minimum value of
a firm. Therefore, firms that perform well (earn higher
return relative to their risks) tend to have higher M/B
ratio. If M/B is less than one, it is usually a buy signal
for investors (1/4=0.25) 0r sell signal if more than one
(6/4=1.5). 52
5. Market Ratios
• Dividend yield
= Dividends per share 100%
Market price per share
• Earnings yield
= Earnings per share 100%
Market price per share
Both these ratios measured rate of return to shareholders,
based on current market value of shares they owned.
Easier for shareholders to compare with rate of returns
from other alternative investments.
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SUMMARY
Ratios CyberDragon Industry
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Limitations of Financial Ratio
Analysis
Accounting policies/ treatments differ among firms.
• This may distort cross-sectional ratio analysis between two
similar firms. Examples: depreciation method (straight line,
reducing balance, unit of production), stock valuation method
(FIFO, LIFO, AVCO), treatment of purchased goodwill,
treatment of development cost etc.
• Affect all ratios that use ‘profit’ figure in the calculation.
• Furthermore, some firms may have chosen to revalue some of
their fixed assets whereas other firms have not do so. This may
affect ratios that use balance sheet items like ‘reserves’ and
‘total assets’ in the formula.
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• Many firms experienced seasonality in their operations. Balance
sheet items and their corresponding ratios vary with time of the year
when the statements are prepared.
• Balance Sheet shows the company’s financial position at one point
of time (last day of accounting period), whereas P&L shows the
company’s financial performance throughout the accounting period.
• Using closing figures of balance sheet items in the ratios
computation may not be accurate. For example, toy manufacturer
that has financial year ended 31st December might have much lower
inventory than toy manufacturer that has financial year ended 30th
June.
• Cross-sectional analysis between competitors in the same industry
that have different financial year-ends might not be accurate if the
industry has seasonality in sales.
57
• Difficult to identify the industry category to which a firm
should belongs to, especially if the firm engages in
multiple lines of businesses. For such firm, it is difficult to
find a competitor firm that involves in similar multiple lines
of businesses for cross-sectional analysis. Segmentation
technique is used. Can use segmentation analysis.
• Comparing to industry average means benchmarking to the
‘average’ firm and not the ‘stars’ and leaders of the industry.
• Window dressing and off-balance sheet financing can be
done near the year-end to manipulate the closing balance
sheet figures and hence distort results of corresponding
ratios.
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• Non-financial information must be considered in order
to have a complete and more accurate picture of the
performance and prospects of a company.
• Examples: (1) general industry and economic data – Is the
country’s economy in recession or booming? Which
stage of life cycle is the product/ industry in?
• (2) Recent developments of the company’s markets at home
and abroad,
• (3) any recent acquisition or disposal of a subsidiary?
• (4) Inherent goodwill of the company due to advancement
in technology, skilful workforce, good atmosphere at the
place of work, highly calibre and experienced management,
good reputations with suppliers and customers and so on.
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