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Lecture 1

If we do not invest, we can't earn anything on cash; we face an opportunity cost. Investment has three problems: 1. Sacrifice - While investing, investor delay their current consumption (delaying consumption is kind of sacrifice) 2. Inflation - investment loses value in periods of inflation 3. Risk - giving your money to someone else involves risk.

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46 views

Lecture 1

If we do not invest, we can't earn anything on cash; we face an opportunity cost. Investment has three problems: 1. Sacrifice - While investing, investor delay their current consumption (delaying consumption is kind of sacrifice) 2. Inflation - investment loses value in periods of inflation 3. Risk - giving your money to someone else involves risk.

Uploaded by

fazalwahab89
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 17

Understanding Investment

Chapter 1

Investment Defined
An investment is the current commitment of money

or other resources in the expectation of reaping


future benefits (Kane, Bodie and Marcus 2005)

Investment Defined

Generally, investments refers to financial assets


and in particular to marketable securities

Financial assets are paper or electronic claims on


some issuer, such as the government or a
company

Marketable securities financial assets that are


easily and cheaply tradable in organized markets

Real assets are tangible assets such as gold,


silver, diamonds, real estate.

Why invest?
Investment increases future consumption

possibilities
By foregoing consumption today and investing the

savings, investors expect to increase their future


consumption possibilities by increasing their wealth

If We Do Not Invest, Then?


1. If we do not invest, we cant earn anything on

cash; we face an opportunity cost.


2. The purchasing power of cash diminishes in
inflation
This means that if savers do not invest their

savings, they will not only lose possible return on


their savings, but will also lose value of their money
due to inflation

But Investment Has Problems


Investment has the following three problems:
1. Sacrifice While investing, investor delay their

current consumption (delaying consumption is kind


of sacrifice)
2. Inflation Investment loses value in periods of

inflation
3. Risk giving your money to someone else

involves risk

Compensation to Investors
Due to the three problems, investors will not invest

until they are compensated for these problems.


RRR = compensation for (sacrifice , inflation, risk)
RRR = opportunity cost + risk premium

Understanding the Investment


Decision Process
The basis of all investment decisions is to
earn return and assume risk.
By investing, investors expect to earn a return

(expected return).

Expected Return and Risk


Realized returns (actual return) might be more or

less than the expected return.


The chance that the actual return on an investment
will be different from the expected return is called
risk.
This way t-bills has no risk as the expected return
and actual return are the same.
But actual returns on common stock have greater
chances of deviating from expected return and
hence have high risk.

The Expected Risk - Return


Trade-off
Stocks
Expected
Return

Bonds

Risk-free Rate
Risk

The Expected Risk - Return


Trade-off
The expected risk-return is depicted in the graph
The line from RFR shows risk-return combinations
It shows that at zero level of risk, investor can

earn risk free rate (RFR) which is equal to the rate


on t-bills
To earn a little higher return than the risk free rate,
investors can invest in corporate bonds, but the
investors will have to take some risk as well

Ex-ante and Ex-post Risk-Return


To earn even higher return than on corporate bonds,

investor can invest in common stocks, but the risk is


also high.
The risk return trade-off depicted in the graph in exante i.e. before the fact or before the investment is
made.
Ex post (after fact or actual) trade-off may be
positive, flat or even negative.

Steps in the Decision Process


Traditionally, the investment decision process has

been structured using two-steps:


Security Analysis
Portfolio Management

Security Analysis
This is the first part of investment decision process.
It involves the analysis and valuation of individual

securities.
To analyze securities, it is important to understand

the characteristics of the various securities and the


factors that affect them.
Then valuation model is applied to find out their

value or price.

Security Analysis
Value of a security is a function of estimated future

earnings from the security and the risk attached


For securities valuation, investors must deal with

economy, industry or the individual company


Both the expected return and risk must be estimated

keeping in view the economic, market or company


related factors

Portfolio Management
The second major component of the decision
processes is portfolio management.
After securities have been analyzed and valued,

portfolio of selected securities is made.


Once a portfolio is made, it is managed with the
passage of time.
From management perspective, there can be
two approaches.

Portfolio Management
Approaches to portfolio management:

In Passive Strategy, investors make few


changes in the portfolio so that transactions

costs, time and search costs are minimum.


In Active Strategy, investors believe that they
can earn better returns by actively making
changes in the portfolio.

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