An Evaluation of The Draft Access Pricing Principles For Access To The Victorian Rail Network (Freight)
An Evaluation of The Draft Access Pricing Principles For Access To The Victorian Rail Network (Freight)
by
Joshua S. Gans
University of Melbourne
28 th June, 2000
Executive Summary
This paper evaluates the proposed access pricing arrangements for the Victorian rail
network. Those arrangements are a form of average cost pricing but without any
allowance for assets already in existence.
• Simple average cost pricing per gross tonne km is likely to give rise to allocative
inefficiencies because it takes no account of demand-side information or the
technological characteristics determining the relationship between costs and
weight multiplied by distance. The end result will be that the rail network is
inefficiently utilised with consumers with relatively elastic demand not gaining
sufficiently from increased competitive pressure perhaps to the extent of facing
higher rather than lower prices.
• The proposed access-pricing regime for the Victorian rail network is likely to be
highly inefficient from a dynamic perspective. It provides incentives for
distortionary expenditures on new capital while sending a signal to potential
infrastructure operators in Victoria that they will be unlikely to earn rates of
return commensurate with the social value of those investments. Given such
regulatory risks, new infrastructure investment and the purchase or lease of
privatised assets in Victoria are likely to be delayed and potentially curtailed
altogether.
It is demonstrated that such access pricing is not practiced for rail in Australia or in
other countries. Based on experience elsewhere and on economic theories of efficient
access pricing, it is concluded that a preferred pricing outcome would be to impose a
multi-part tariff with:
1 Background.............................................................................2
2.4 Negotiations..................................................................19
3.2 International..................................................................23
5 Conclusions ...........................................................................28
June 2000 i
1 Background
As part of the declaration process both the ORG and the Victorian
Department of Infrastructure have issued draft access pricing guidelines
that will form that basis of arbitrated outcomes.2 The key characteristics of
the proposed pricing regime are:
1 Who in turn has leased it from VicTrack (a Victorian government statutory authority).
2 “Proposals for Implementation of the Victorian Rail Access Regime,” Department of Infrastructure,
Victoria, April 2000 and “Victorian Rail Access Regulation – Discussion Paper,” Office of the Regulator-
General, Victoria, 19 April 2000.
Section 1 Background
This paper will review the proposed access pricing approach for
the Victorian rail network. The next section discusses the implications of
the proposed approach for the realisation of economic efficiency and
demonstrates that it is likely to fall short of goals attained for regulators in
other jurisdictions. Section 3 will then compare the proposed approach to
rail access regimes in other jurisdictions; finding the proposed approach
unique in its lack of attention to investment incentives and incentives for
cost-reduction. Section 4 will then propose some potential changes to the
proposed regime that would likely result in substantial efficiency
improvements. A final section concludes.
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Section 2 Efficiency Implications of Proposed Access Pricing Regime
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Section 2 Efficiency Implications of Proposed Access Pricing Regime
Access regulation is, in the first instance, a means of addressing the final
problem here. That is, it guarantees access of downstream firms to the use
of the services of the network and also ensures that the pricing terms are
such as to preserve downstream competition. This prevents the leverage
of monopoly power to other markets. However, from the perspective of
overall efficiency, appropriate access regulation also plays a role in
reducing the efficiency losses associated with high monopoly pricing and
also ensuring that the cost and quality of network services are acceptable.
4Stephen King and Rohan Pitchford, “Privatisation in Australia: Understanding the Incentives in Public and
Private Firms,” Australian Economic Review, 31 (4), 1998, pp.313-328.
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Section 2 Efficiency Implications of Proposed Access Pricing Regime
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Section 2 Efficiency Implications of Proposed Access Pricing Regime
exceeds that and not otherwise. What this means is that, in general, if
price does not equal short-run marginal cost, there will be losses in
allocative efficiency. For high prices, too few customers are supplied the
service and for low prices, too many. The latter can occur when there is
some form of subsidy to the service.
The proposed pricing arrangement for Victoria rail differs from this
pricing benchmark in two important ways. First, it is based on a form of
average, rather than marginal, cost pricing. Second, it is a charge based on
gross tonne kilometres that may not accurately reflect a ‘unit’ of freight
rail service. As will now be shown the neglect of each of these makes it
likely that outcomes achieved will be allocatively inefficient resulting in
sub-optimal usage of the network.
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Section 2 Efficiency Implications of Proposed Access Pricing Regime
Similarly, the same principle should apply for the efficient recovery
of fixed costs in regulated pricing. That is, the least distortionary means of
5As will be discussed in Section 4 below this need not occur if the regulator encourages the use of non-linear
pricing such as a two-part tariff.
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Section 2 Efficiency Implications of Proposed Access Pricing Regime
6See, for example, J-J. Laffont and Jean Tirole, Competition in Telecommunications, MIT Press: Cambridge
(MA), 1999.
7See Alfred Kahn, The Economics of Regulation: Principles of Institutions, vol. 2, New York: Wiley, 1971;
and J.-J. Laffont and Jean Tirole, The Theory of Incentives in Regulation and Procurement, MIT Press;
Cambridge (MA), 1993.
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Section 2 Efficiency Implications of Proposed Access Pricing Regime
skimming, one can expect the regulated network to use its accounting and
other choices to minimise that harm.
What this means is that if the unit for the access service differs from
that that would be appropriate to measure costs associated with that
service, further distortions are introduced. In particular, if as weight
increases, marginal maintenance costs rise, then access seekers will be able
to more easily attract ‘heavy’ haulage and a disproportionate share of
costs will end up being passed onto ‘light’ haulage. If marginal
maintenance costs are falling as weight rises, the opposite could occur.
This suggests that the regulators need to be very careful before specifying
a particular ‘unit’ of the service. As we will see in Section 3, gross tonne
km is not used as the basis for access pricing in all jurisdictions.
8 Indeed, these tensions are already apparent in the proposed access regime which changes the ‘unit’ for those
lines that operate passenger traffic.
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Section 2 Efficiency Implications of Proposed Access Pricing Regime
2.1.3 Summary
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Section 2 Efficiency Implications of Proposed Access Pricing Regime
Second, to the extent that the regulator cannot easily establish the
costs of the network, there is potential for a distortion of reported costs
upward. This has the harmful consequence of raising access prices and
potentially undermining the strength of downstream competition.
However, to the extent that it is easy to engage in ‘creative accounting,’
this does mean that the network will retain a greater share of actual cost
savings; thereby, mitigating some of the adverse incentive consequences
described above. At present, the proposed guidelines do allow for some
monitoring of costs but ultimately establishing actual costs will require an
adequate level of regulatory resources; imposing more real economic
costs.
9Indeed, the rate of return allowed on all these costs – being a percentage of these costs – distorts incentives
away from cost-reduction and cost reporting even further.
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Section 2 Efficiency Implications of Proposed Access Pricing Regime
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Section 2 Efficiency Implications of Proposed Access Pricing Regime
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Section 2 Efficiency Implications of Proposed Access Pricing Regime
after the fact, they would be deemed sunk and no return would be
required. No financier would lend to a firm that believed this. All
investment takes place with a view to future return and the potential
irreversibility of investment decisions is a constraint that requires
potential investors to be even more secure in their expectations of
generating a return.11 So far from not requiring a return, the requirements
are in fact more stringent than for investments that were reversible and
whose expenditures were not sunk.
11For an explanation see A. Dixit and R. Pindyck, Investment Under Uncertainty, Princeton University Press:
Princeton (NJ), 1994.
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Section 2 Efficiency Implications of Proposed Access Pricing Regime
used one day a week. At first glance, it would seem that the
prospect of renting would only enhance the benefits that the
Joneses would derive from purchasing the weeder. However, the
Jones family are sophisticated thinkers. They reason that it might
be better to see if someone else on the street purchases the weeder
first. That household would bear the capital costs of the weeder
while the Joneses could simply rent it out for one day a week.
Under a proposal such as that of Smith for the mower, Jones
would only have to pay for the operating expenses of the weeder
– a negligible amount relative to the purchase costs. 12
So while it is true that for the current rail network in Victoria, the
assets already exist and access regulation will not change that; this is not
the case for new investment or for assets yet to be privatised. In those
situations, investors will look to past regulatory decisions – such as these
proposed pricing rules – to inform them about the regulatory environment
they will face after the fact. And these proposed pricing rules, by ignoring
prior investment altogether, sends the worst possible signal for future
investment. The costs in terms of delay and curtailed infrastructure
investment are potentially extreme with consequent implications for the
rate of economic growth in Victoria.
For the current case the neglect of sunk costs is even more
perplexing when one recognises that the existing assets are leased rather
12 Joshua S. Gans and Philip Williams “Efficient Investment Pricing Rules and Access Regulation,”
Australian Business Law Review, Vol.27, No.4, August, 1999, p.268. See also J S Gans and S P King, “When
Being First Doesn’t Pay”, The Australian Financial Review, Friday 30 January 1998, p 32.
13It is unclear at this stage how re-opened track might be treated. If the assets of those lines – as they already
exist – are treated the same as those elsewhere, what is Freight Australia’s incentive to re-open track;
especially where it could be subject to competition from access seekers.
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Section 2 Efficiency Implications of Proposed Access Pricing Regime
than owned by the access provider, Freight Australia. They were offered a
fifteen-year lease of the rail track from the Director of Public Transport
with two further renewal options that have already been exercised. Such
long-term leases are desirable as they provide Freight Australia with
incentives to operate and maintain the track almost as if they owned the
track themselves. The long-term lease is also desirable in that effectively
allows the lessor and lessee to share risk associated with the long-term
value of the rail track. Finally, the upfront payment to the government
presumably enabled it to write off debt earlier conferring further benefits
on the state.
14 Such perverse logic could go even further. Suppose that Freight Australia outsourced its maintenance
activities to another firm with a long-term contract. Would that then imply that those costs were no sunk
rather than on-going? From a regulatory perspective it simply should not matter.
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Section 2 Efficiency Implications of Proposed Access Pricing Regime
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Section 2 Efficiency Implications of Proposed Access Pricing Regime
2.4 Negotiations
The above analysis has implicitly treated the proposed access prices
as the access prices that will actually be paid for freight rail in Victoria.
However, one has to remember that this is a regime of ‘regulation by
negotiation’ and that the proposed access prices will only be implemented
in the event that the provider and a potential access seeker fail to reach
agreement in access negotiations.
16Stephen King and Rodney Maddock, Unlocking the Infrastructure: The Reform of Public Utilities in
Australia, Allen & Unwin: Sydney, 1996, p.97.
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Section 2 Efficiency Implications of Proposed Access Pricing Regime
However, it is this very shift in rent distribution that means that the
proposed access pricing arrangements are likely to impact negatively on
dynamic efficiency regardless of whether they are negotiated or imposed.
This is because the neglect of sunk assets diminishes the ability of the
access provider to earn a return of return on investments even when it
negotiates with seekers. Unless the provider and seekers can come to an
arrangement prior to investment taking place that shares such costs, the
low investment incentives provided by the neglect of investment costs in
the cost-based of the access price carries over. Any such prior agreement is
particularly unlikely in access negotiations such as this one.
17 For an elaboration of this argument see Stephen P. King and Rodney Maddock, “Light-handed Regulation
of Access in Australia: Negotiation with Arbitration,” Information Economics and Policy, 11 (1), 1999, pp.1-
22.
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Section 3 Other Rail Access Pricing Regimes
It is all very well to cite that a proposed access pricing formula will
create certain economic inefficiencies. One reason an inefficient pricing
rule is used is because of the difficulties or costs of implementing other
pricing rules that will relieve some of these adverse consequences.
However, the experience of rail access regulation elsewhere demonstrates
that other pricing rules are both implementable and are likely to generate
more desirable outcomes in terms of allocative, productive and dynamic
efficiency than that proposed for Victoria rail. In this section, the
alternative rail access prices imposed elsewhere are review while in the
next, the potential benefits of those alternatives are considered.
3.1 Australia
June 2000 21
Section 3 Other Rail Access Pricing Regimes
Many lines are only lightly used, so costs vary with time (e.g.,
weathering, weed control, clearing drains) rather than with use;
the variable cost caused by extra trains is minimal. The gap
between the floor (variable cost) and ceiling (stand alone cost)
would be large, so the approach would provide little guide to
pricing. Differences in ability to pay would be difficult to
determine given the nature of rail freight in Victoria (grain and
other commodities, but little coal or minerals). It was considered
that the interests of all parties (the Access provider and access
seekers) would be best served by having a simpler and more
transparent pricing approach.18
The first argument here, that costs are unrelated to use, is strange given
the decision to base pricing on a gross tonne km use that implies that costs
do vary with use. The second argument regarding the size of the gap is
also perplexing given that the goal of access regulation is to prevent abuse
of access terms with high pricing. The Victoria approach is simply
therefore to lower the ceiling. The gap is not the relevant consideration
rather the basis upon which the ceiling is determined. A large difference
between stand-alone costs and variable costs would normally be an
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Section 3 Other Rail Access Pricing Regimes
3.2 International
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Section 4 Towards a More Efficient Pricing Structure
June 2000 24
Section 4 Towards a More Efficient Pricing Structure
For Smith and Jones’ street, access regulation based on simple cost
recovery rules, while encouraging efficient utilisation of assets,
discourages efficient investment. Even purchases that might have
been individually optimal are delayed. Access regulation that
does not respect the incentives to invest encourages a problem of
19 John Freebairn, for example, recommends a marginal cost plus mark-up to ensure recovery of all the
network’s costs. His reasons are that this is simple than say a two-part tariff. However, this neglects demand-
side information as well as not providing incentives for cost reduction. It is basically a similar scheme to that
advocated for other Australian states. See John Freebairn, “Access Prices for Rail Infrastructure,” Economic
Record, 74 (226), September 1998, pp.279-285.
June 2000 25
Section 4 Towards a More Efficient Pricing Structure
21For an economic analysis of the appropriate basis for valuing assets in the context of access regulation see
Joshua Gans and Philip Williams, “Access Regulation and the Timing of Infrastructure Investment,”
Economic Record, Vol. 79, No.229, June 1999, pp.127-138.
22 This approach has been suggested for electricity transmission network expansion. See Joshua Gans and
Stephen King, “Options for Electricity Transmission Regulation in Australia,” Australian Economic Review,
June 2000 (forthcoming).
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Section 4 Towards a More Efficient Pricing Structure
does not provide high incentives for the access provider to contain costs
and maintain track quality. This is because they are only forced to bear a
fraction of the costs concerned.
June 2000 27
Section 5 Conclusions
5 Conclusions
Economic theorists have often mused about the notion that sunk
assets need not be recovered through regulatory pricing because the assets
would remain even if the regulated firm failed while it would be easier to
implement a low pricing outcome. Of course, this musing was well
understood to be based on a myopic viewpoint and regulators
everywhere have never taken such theoretical notions seriously. As a
practical matter, regulatory decisions send signals to the market place
about the future value of investment decisions and cannot be ignored.
That they have been ignored in the proposed pricing arrangements raises
much of concern about future regulatory decisions in Victoria.
June 2000 28
Section 6 Tables: Approaches to Freight Rail Access Pricing
Asset Valuation
State Pricing Methodology
Method
Floor/ceiling approach
based on direct Depreciated Optimised
NSW
costs/stand alone line Replacement Value
costs
Floor/ceiling approach
based on incremental Gross Replacement
Western Australia
costs/stand alone line Value
costs
Floor/ceiling approach
Depreciated Optimised
South Australia based on break even
Replacement Value
and ‘fair’ return levels
If effective competitive
substitute, competitive
imputation pricing rule.
Depreciated Optimised
If no effective
NT/SA AustralAsia Replacement Value
competitive substitute,
Railway with adjustment for
floor/ceiling approach
government subsidy
based on incremental
costs/stand alone line
costs
Queensland Not yet chosen n.a.
Tasmania Not yet chosen n.a.
June 2000 29
Section 6 Tables: Approaches to Freight Rail Access Pricing
June 2000 30
Section 6 Tables: Approaches to Freight Rail Access Pricing
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Attachment A: Recent Research
Joshua Gans and Stephen King, “Options for Electricity Transmission Regulation in
Australia,” Australian Economic Review, June 2000 (forthcoming).
Joshua Gans, “The Competitive Balance Argument for Mergers,” Australian Economic
Review, Vol.33, No.1, March 2000, pp.83-93.
Teresa Fels, Joshua Gans and Stephen King, “The Role of Undertakings in Regulatory
Decision-Making,” Australian Economic Review, Vol.33, No.1, March 2000, pp.3-16.
Joshua Gans and Richard Scheelings, “Economic Issues Associated with Access to
Electronic Payments Systems,” Australian Business Law Review, Vol.27, No.5,
December 1999, pp.373-390.
Joshua Gans and Philip Williams, “Efficient Investment Pricing Rules and Access
Regulation,” Australian Business Law Review, Vol.27, No.4, August, 1999, pp.267-
279.
Joshua Gans and Philip Williams, Access Regulation and the Timing of Infrastructure
Investment,” Economic Record, Vol. 79, No.229, June 1999, pp.127-138.
Joshua Gans, “Regulating Private Infrastructure Investment: Optimal Pricing for Access
to Essential Facilities,” Working Paper, No.98-13, 1998, Melbourne Business
School.
Telecommunications:
Joshua Gans, Stephen King and Graeme Woodbridge, “Numbers to the People:
Ownership, Regulation and Local Number Portability,” Working Paper, No. 2000-
08, Melbourne Business School.
Joshua Gans and Stephen King, “Using ‘Bill and Keep’ Interconnect Arrangements to
Soften Network Competition,” Economic Letters, 2000 (forthcoming).
Joshua Gans and Stephen King, “Mobile Network Competition, Customer Ignorance and
Fixed-to-Mobile Call Prices,” Information Economics and Policy, 2000,
(forthcoming).
Joshua Gans, “Network Competition and Consumer Churn,” Information Economics and
Policy, 2000, (forthcoming).
Joshua Gans and Stephen King, “Termination Charges for Mobile Phone Networks:
Competitive Analysis and Regulatory Options,” Working Paper, No.99-19,
Melbourne Business School, December, 1999.
Joshua Gans and Stephen King, “Regulation of Termination Charges for Non-Dominant
Networks,” Working Paper, No.99-20, Melbourne Business School, December,
1999.
June 2000 33
Attachment B Consultant Profile
34
Attachment B Consultant Profile