Cambodia Real Estate Highlights h2 2024 11928
Cambodia Real Estate Highlights h2 2024 11928
H2 2024 Edition Knight Frank’s half-yearly review of market trends in the Cambodia knightfrank.com.kh/research
real estate market
Contents Page
1
Economic Snapshot
Cambodia
Cambodia 1
Economic Snapshot
3
PhnomSector
Office Penh
Phnom Penh 3
Office Sector
5
PhnomSector
Retail Penh
Phnom Penh 5
Retail Sector
7
PhnomSector
Hotel Penh
Phnom Penh 7
Hotel Sector
9
Phnom Penh
Serviced Apartment Sector
Phnom Penh 9
Serviced Apartment Sector
11
Phnom Penh Sector
Condominium
Phnom Penh 11
Condominium Sector
13
Phnom Penh
Landed Housing Sector
Phnom Penh 13
Landed Housing Sector
15
Phnom Penh
Industrial Sector
Phnom Penh 15
Industrial Sector
Recent Economic Between January to December, a 29.1 per cent decrease compared
Cambodia experienced a 54.5 per with 2023, mainly due to reduced
Performance
cent increase in Chinese tourists, residential investment.
The International Monetary Fund
totalling 769,775 arrivals, making
(IMF) forecasted that Cambodia's
them the third largest source of According to the World Bank report,
economy would grow by 5.5% in
tourists. credit sharply decelerated as housing
2024, an increase of 0.5 percentage
development activity stalled. Credit
points over 2023, supported by a
In 2024, the value of approved growth fell to 3.4% year-on-year in
robust rebound in exports and
projects under the Qualified August 2024, the lowest in 14 years,
tourism arrivals surpassing pre-
Investment Project (QIP) scheme down from 7.7% in August 2023.
pandemic numbers.
increased to US$2.44 billion, up 89.4
per cent from US$1.28 billion in 2023.
Cambodia’s exported products, Economic Outlook
Foreign direct investment (FDI)
valued at $23.93 billion in the first 11 According to World Bank forecasts,
projects reached US$1.13 billion, a
months of 2024, represented a 16.8 this year’s economic growth is
24.3 per cent increase, while
per cent increase from $20.50 expected to reach 5.3 per cent, up
domestic investment surged to
billion during the same period last from 5.0 per cent in 2023, primarily
US$1.31 billion, up 244.4 per cent.
year. Key sectors contributing to driven by tourism, services and
this growth included garments, goods exports.
Inflation has been declining since it
footwear, bicycles and agricultural
peaked at 7.8 per cent in June 2022,
products such as rice, rubber and Over the short term, Cambodia's
which was the highest level in 13
bananas. The United States real GDP growth is set for a positive
years, primarily due to global food
remained Cambodia's largest export shift, projected to reach an
and oil price shocks. In September impressive 5.5 per cent in 2025 and
market, with $9 billion in trade,
2024, Cambodia's Consumer Price 2026, signalling a promising
followed by Vietnam’s $3.2 billion
Index (CPI) showed a decrease, economic outlook.
and China’s $1.6 billion.
falling to 0.8 per cent, compared to
3.8 per cent in the same month of Despite ongoing improvements, the
Cambodia's tourist international
2023. economy faces risks, such as
tourist arrivals were projected to
reach 6.7 million, surpassing pre- weaker-than-expected global
Excessive investment in the property demand due to rising debt, high
pandemic levels and significantly
sector has led to continual borrowing costs and an unexpected
boosting the travel industry.
corrections in the housing market. slowdown in China. Considering the
This has caused a decline in the global economic landscape,
The border countries Thailand and
approved permit value for real estate including Trump’s presidential
Vietnam remained the top source of
development projects. In the first return, Cambodia could present
international arrivals, with over 1.9
eight months of 2024, approved both challenges and potential
million and 1.2 million tourists,
property development projects opportunities in 2025.
respectively.
totalled US$3.3 billion—
Economic Indicators
H2 2024
Size Population GDP Growth
181,035 Km2 15.6m 5.5% (2024f)
(2019 Census) IMF forecast
Figure 1: Gross Domestic Growth Forecast Figure 4: FDI Inflow by Key Indicators
between 2024 and 2025f
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
IMF WB ADB AMRO NBC
Figure 2: Trade Balance, (US$ million) Figure 5: Moving Average Consumer Price Index and
Inflation Rate (Year-on-Year Change)
Figure 3: Capital Value of Approved Residential Figure 6: Top Tourist Generating Countries (2024)
Construction by types (2019 - 2Q 2024)
Maline Office Park, Hattha Tower Stalled office projects that have been
and KLK Tower brought 51,441 sq m Over the next three years, the supply is
delayed or wholly cancelled will
projected to increase to 1,557,098 sq m of
of NLA to the existing stock and allow existing stock to be absorbed net lettable area (NLA), representing a 53%
pushed the cumulative Phnom into the market. increase from the existing stock.
Penh office supply to 1,015,380 sq m
of NLA, representing a y-o-y Knight Frank forecasted a similar
increase of 5.5% over the second figure during H1 2024, with an
half of 2023. additional 541,717 sq m NLA of office
stock expected to come online by 2028,
With a growth in net take up and the
The existing supply of office space leading to a total cumulative office deceleration of new supply during H2
in Phnom Penh was divided as supply of approximately 1,529,098 sq 2024, the overall average occupancy rate
follows: 73% centrally owned and m of NLA, if projects complete as increased by two percentage points to
61.4% compared with the corresponding
27% stratified offices. scheduled. period in 2023
Figure 7: Distribution of Existing Office Supply Figure 8: Cumulative Supply By Year and Grade (2015 - Post 2027f)
by District (H2 2024)
Figure 9: Supply and Demand of Office Space (2010 – Post 2027f) Figure 10: Average Occupancy Rate by Quarter
(1Q2019 - 4Q2024)
Figure 11: Distribution of Existing Retail Space Figure 12: Cumulative Supply of Retail Space (2010 - 2027f)
by District (H2 2024)
combined with a significant reduction This trend is poised for substantial OUTLOOK
in consumer spending, the retail sector growth in the medium term as Despite the recent recovery in tourism
continues to grapple with the evolving Cambodia's socio-demographics and a positive trend in the overall
landscape. improve. Consequently, the economy, the retail sector in Phnom
Kingdom is emerging as a good Penh continues to face significant
If all projects complete as scheduled, the
opportunity for major F&B retail challenges.
retail space is estimated to reach
approximately 1.2 million sqm of NLA brands.
by 2027. Thus, the retail space per capita In the short term, the retail sector is
will increase to 0.43 sq m per person at To maintain and drive occupancy, poised to face recovery challenges,
the end of 2027. landlords are offering more mainly due to the retail oversupply
flexibility and are diversifying glut, as well as the global
In view of the of the above, the their tenant mix. macroeconomic outlook weighing
upcoming supply is mainly led by small- down on consumer sentiment.
scale community malls to complement
The average occupancy rate fell to
residential housing development.
64.5%, marking a decline of 3.5 Given this challenge, we anticipate
The majority of the existing supply is percentage points compared with increasing vacancy rates alongside
dominated by purpose-built shopping the corresponding period in 2023. minimal movement within
malls, comprising 67%, community shopping malls. However, this
malls at 20%, retail podiums at 9% and PRICES & RENTAL scenario presents a significant
cash & carry wholesale and strata retail H2 2024, retail rents in both the opportunity for landlords to
at 2% each. Suburban and City Centre areas innovate by diversifying their
declined due to the lower occupancy tenant mix and strategically
Regarding demand for retail space, we
rates and reduced consumer repositioning their retail malls,
continue to see new international spending. whilst new retailers can take
retailers enter the market. Food,
advantage of competitive rents.
beverage and entertainment retailers
In the second half of 2024, average
play a crucial role in shaping the
rents in prime shopping centres The retail sector is shifting to e-
Phnom Penh retail market and ranged from US$18.00 to US$28.00 commerce due to changing
continue to dominate the retail spaces.
per square metre per month of net consumer habits, which will impact
leasable area (NLA), while rents in physical retail footfalls. Landlords
secondary-grade retail malls varied must adapt by offering lower base
Figure 13: General Purpose Existing between US$10.00 and US$22.00 rents plus a percentage of sales,
Retail Developments (H2 2024) per square metre per month of aligning with global trends affecting
NLA. developers' returns.
Figure 14: International Retailers by Figure 15: Phnom Penh Supply and Demand of Retail Space (2010 - 2027f)
Region of Origin (H2 2024)
Upper Upscale. Midscale and brands, the accumulative hotel Government initiatives included
Economy hotels will contribute supply in Phnom Penh will lowering the cost of e-Visas,
22% of the total, while Upscale and increase to approximately 19,300 conducting marketing campaigns
Upper Midscale hotels will account rooms, a y-o-y increase of 2 and investing in tourism
for 20%. This diversified hotel percentage points. This growth infrastructure.
supply is indicative of the growing indicates a strong demand for
tourism sector in the city. accommodation in the city, Cambodia launched a marketing
driven by increasing tourism and campaigns "The Smile of Cambodia"
In line with the significant rise in business activity. in Siem Reap province and
the number of Luxury and Upper "Celebrating Cambodia" in Phnom
Upscale hotels, Wyndham Hotels & OCCUPANCY & AVERAGE Penh. The government has also
Resorts, one of the world's largest ROOM RATE invested in infrastructure
hotel franchisors, is set to open its According to the Ministry of development that improved
312 key hotel in 2025. Tourism, the average hotel connectivity within Cambodia and
occupancy rate increased to 77.8% has opened up eco-tourism
This new addition is expected to during 2024, although this does opportunities.
enhance the hospitality landscape not reflect the market research
of Phnom Penh and cater to the conducted by Knight Frank. This positive trend in tourism is
growing demand for premium Average room rates started from expected to continue both short-term
accommodations in the region. US$125 for Luxury and Upper and long-term as the government
Upscale segments, between remains dedicated to further
A significant portion of future US$60 and US$125 for Upscale enhancing the visitor experience.
hotel developments will be and Upper Midscale segments With ongoing investments and
concentrated in Daun Penh and from $20 for Midscale and strategic initiatives, Cambodia aims
District, accounting for 45% of the Economy segments. to position itself as a leading
total supply. Boeung Keng Kang destination in the region, fostering
District will follow with 26%. OUTLOOK not only economic growth through
Additionally, Chamkarmon Cambodia welcomed around 6.7 tourism but also cultural exchange
District is expected to have 13% of million international tourists in and global connectivity.
the hotel supply, while the 7 2024, surpassing pre-pandemic
Makara District and Sen Sok levels. Distribution of Existing Hotel by
Classifications
District will represent 11% and 5%,
respectively. This strategic With the completion of the new
Classification % Distribution
distribution of hotel developments Siem Reap International Airport
highlights the growing demand for alongside several Government
accommodations in these areas. initiatives to drive tourism, Luxury & Upper Upscale 25%
international tourist arrivals
Upscale & Upper Midscale 32%
With newly operated hotels and finally surpassed pre-pandemic
the incoming international numbers.
Midscale & Economy 43%
units, with most of this supply US$13 per square metre per families, this may drive demand
located in the City Centre month, whilst rate for Economy over the medium to long-term.
districts, which will account for class units was
69% of the total future supply. recorded at US$7 per square Additionally, with expatriates being
Similar to the existing supply, metre per month. a main source of demand for
Business class units make up 56% serviced apartments, the entrance of
of the total supply, while Whilst there was an increase in several international companies
International class units demand for serviced apartments setting up headquarters in Phnom
represent 27% and Economy units during H2 2024, the average Penh is a positive sign for the sector.
represent 17%. overall occupancy rate
remained low, at 54%, in part Cambodia is an emerging market in
In terms of geography, the future attributable to the growing the region, creating opportunities
supply will predominantly be supply of condominiums with for investment which continues to
located in Daun Penh District, landlords now offering house attract foreign direct investment
accounting for 33% of the total. This keeping services to attract (FDI) as special economic zones
will be followed by the Sen Sok and tenants. (SEZs) expand across the nation.
Chamkarmon districts, representing These developments are drawing
23% and 22% of the future supply, Despite increasing demand, the international investors and
respectively. The remaining supply incoming supply of both professionals to Cambodia, thereby
will be distributed among Chbar serviced apartments and increasing the demand for serviced
Ampov District at 8% and Beoung condominiums is expected to apartments.
Keng Kang District at 7%, whilst keep both occupancy and rental
Toul Kork District will account for rates at lower rates during the As the market continues to evolve,
7% of the future supply. short and medium-term. investors and developers should
focus on enhancing the quality of
Both the existing and future supply OUTLOOK services and amenities offered in
are contributing to an accumulative 2024 international tourist arrivals these apartments to meet the
total of approximately 10,259 finally surpassed pre-Covid levels, changing needs of residents. By
serviced apartment units, indicating attracting 6.7 million international adapting to market trends and
a 22% growth by 2027. This arrivals, driving demand for both maintaining a strong value
significant growth is driven by hotels and serviced apartments. In proposition, the serviced apartment
factors such as rising tourism, an effort to increase the average sector is well-positioned for
business travel and a preference for length of stay of tourists, the sustained success in the coming
flexible living arrangements among government and key stakeholders years.
professionals and expatriates. are collaborating to increase the
number of tourism offerings,
OCCUPANCY RATE & RENTAL organise various festivals and
Unit rates remained stable during events as well as introducing
H2 2024; the average rate for initiatives such as pedestrianising
International class serviced Phnom Penh’s popular riverside
apartments was recorded at area during weekends. With
US$20 per square metre per serviced apartments typically
month, Business class units at appealing to longer stay guests and
Figure 21: Distribution of Existing Figure 22: Cumulative Supply (2009 - Post 2027f)
Condominium Supply by District (H2 2024)
Unit completions in H1 2025 are upcoming brands like Wyndham, sales, particularly in the Mid-tier and
projected to add approximately Mercure, Radisson and Vignette Core segments, is underway, the
6,090 units. Notable projects Collection (attached to LIXIN CEO rental market has outpaced sales
nearing completion, included Tower, The Flora Suites, The recovery, responding to improving
LIXIN CEO Center, Vue Aston, City Pinnacle Residence and Odom demand driven by shifting living
View, Urban Village (H Building) projects, respectively). This kind of preferences and the growing number
and a few others, reflecting a strategic approach not only of young couples. Rental prices have
steady increase in unit completions elevates the appeal of these consistently stabilised with minimal
relative to H2 2024. properties but also reinforces their fluctuations over the past year.
premium pricing in prime
In H2 2024, the launch sales rate locations, ensuring long-term OUTLOOK
(the first quarter after launching) value for projects and residents Cambodia's home loan interest rate
reached 29%, the highest since H1 while securing their competitive has stabilised at an average of 8%.
2019, when it was 30%. Two factors edge in the current and future Given the recent decline in U.S.
drove this positive performance. market. interest rates, there is no expectation
On the supply side, reputable and of future rate increases affecting
mature developers were able to tap Despite developers employing Cambodia's interest rates, which
into the domestic market more various tactics such as significant presents a favourable outlook for
effectively. On the demand side, price reductions, traditional flash property investment.
domestic buyers showed increased sales discounts, extended down
confidence in the sector and were payment instalments, guaranteed Chamkarmon District, along with the
attracted to the competitive pricing rental returns (GRR), flexible Mid-tier and Core segments and
and strategic locations offered by financing options, diverse unique domestic buyers, will continue to lead
developers in the Core segment. unit offerings and even mirroring and influence the market. Following
Buyer confidence, affordability and competitors’ pricing and launch Chamkarmon District, Mean Chey
desirable locations played a crucial strategies, the core drivers of sales District and Chroy Changvar District
role in driving demand, reflected success remain reputable are projected to rank among the top
the significant improvement in developers, strategic locations and three key contributors to the future
first quarter sales. clear market positioning. It is also supply pipeline.
crucial to recognise that the key
Reputable High-end developers factors driving effective market Figure 24: Phnom Penh Condominium
Launch Sales Rate (H2 2017 – H2 2024)
have solidified their market positioning include fair pricing,
position and achieved strong sales strategic site selection, a clear
rates by going beyond simply target customer focus and
positioning their projects in prime thoughtfully designed properties.
locations and providing a high
GRR. Their key strategy also lies in PRICES & RENTAL
diversifying the range of facilities Both condominium sales and
offered, which significantly rental performance have shown
enhances the appeal and value of signs of growth amidst the ongoing
their properties. Beyond traditional market correction. Developers who
amenities like swimming pools and have maintained their properties
gyms, they are increasingly well have been better positioned to
incorporating more unique and protect unit prices from significant
creative features such as running depreciation and have effectively
tracks, libraries, indoor golf, rock leveraged both sold and unsold
climbing walls, indoor games and units in the rental market. While
more. the recovery in condominium
Figure 23: Future Supply by Year and Classification (2025f – Post 2027f)
Furthermore, certain High-end
condominium projects have
introduced distinctive value
additions to strengthen their
market positioning. In addition to
retail spaces, these developments
feature branded names and hotel
affiliations, ranging from existing
brands like Picasso, Somerset,
Oakwood and Shangri-La (attached
to Picasso, Skylar, One Park and
The Peak projects, respectively) to
Despite the generally low sales construction completion during 5% down payment and an interest-free
rate across all landed housing the past decade, reflecting the payment schedule extending up to 36
developments, a few High-end slowdown in in the market and months.
developers remained confident in low sales rates. In the longer term,
launching three new projects from 2026 onward, an estimated MARKET OUTLOOK
during H2 2024. Notably, the 7,600 units are projected to enter Despite the current slowdown and delay
reputable developer Peng Huoth the market. Of these, 88% will in construction progress for landed
introduced its new High-end cater to the Mid-tier and Core housing, purchasing trends have shifted
projects, Eco Poli 2 and The Star segments, while 12% will target the from speculative investments to real
demand. This shift is prompting
Natural (Phase 2), contributing at High-end segment. Notably, next
developers to adopt more strategic
least 260 units to the market. year, developments such as
approaches to pricing, financing options
Additionally, ThaanJaya WorldBridge Sport Village, Prince and the allocation of their unit types.
Properties launched Borey One Tropica Residence, Golden
Chulassa, featuring High-end villa Park The Natural (Phase 1), Additionally, developers are expected to
types. Both developers Mekong City (Phase 1), Norea incorporate even more community-
strategically positioned their Square (shophouses) in Norea City focused and nature-inspired themes into
High-end units within and Meanchey Residence will their projects.
thoughtfully designed primarily contribute to the supply
With Cambodia's home loan interest rate
infrastructure, seamlessly pipeline in 2025.
averaging 8%, no anticipated increase in
incorporating community and
US interest rates, developers adopting
nature-inspired themes. PRICES more targeted market strategies and the
Between H1 2024 and H2 2024, continued government tax exemptions,
In late 2024, the government property prices tended to stabilise, there are positive signs, however, the
announced the implementation of with secondary market prices majority of the existing supply is priced
property transfer tax exemptions generally being lower than those in significantly what most Cambodian
to enhance accessibility to the primary market. Meanwhile, the buyers can afford and it will take some
homeownership. These rental market in H2 2024 continued time for the market to recover.
exemptions will apply to to show signs of stabilisation, mainly Figure 27: Future Supply Growth
properties priced below driven by living needs and (2025f – Post 2027f)
USD70,000 and to first-time employment-related demand within
homebuyers acquiring properties high-density locations.
valued up to USD210,000, to be in
effect until the end of 2025. The Despite generally low sales across
primary goal of these measures is landed housing developments, units
to reduce the financial burden priced at USD 200,000 or below
associated with purchasing a continued to attract the highest level
home while stimulating the real of inquiries and showed improved
estate market. By supporting both sales performance compared to
buyers and developers, this previous years. This trend is likely
initiative aims to contribute driven by the affordability sought by
positively to the broader economy. Mid-tier and Core buyers.
Royal Special Economic Zone II was investment reflects the growing OUTLOOK
announced, comprising 120 hectares appeal of Cambodia as a destination Despite rising domestic and global
of development land and it will be for international companies seeking inflationary pressure, the industrial
recorded in future monitoring in to expand their presence in and logistics industry remained the
infrastructure development and legal Southeast Asia.
key driver for Cambodia’s economy.
processing. The WBID SME Cluster
will also be distributed over OCCUPANCY RATES & PRICES
approximately 6 hectares in Kandal In the short to medium-term, the
Despite the global market
Province. If all monitoring industrial improvement in Cambodia’s
headwind, Cambodia's industrial
estates are completed as scheduled, industrial sector is expected to
land price and leasehold rents
the supply of industrial estates will continue into 2025, supported by the
have remained relatively
jump to 1,223 hectares in the next surge in manufacturing exports.
three years. unchanged, a testament to the
strength of the manufacturing
According to estimations provided
With the economy showing signs sector.
by the World Bank, Cambodia's
of an upward trajectory, mainly
industrial sector is expected to
within the industrial and logistics Industrial estates in Phnom Penh
experience significant growth of 8.6
sector, foreign direct investment have performed strongly, with the
per cent during 2025.
(FDI) to Cambodia increased by take up rate of land recorded at 62%,
40% in 2024 compared to 2023. Kandal Province was recorded at
This anticipated growth is attributed
43%. Meanwhile, the average factory
to positive trends in global demand,
According to the CDC, the CDC rental ranged between US$2.5 and
which are likely to enhance export
approved 414 investments in 2024, US$3.5 per sqm in Phnom Penh and
representing a 54% increase opportunities and stimulate local
US$2 and US$3.5 per sqm in Kandal
compared to 2023. The total production. As the international
province. The price premium for
investment capital reached $6.9 market recovers and expands,
long-term leasehold land was
billion, an increase of $1.97 billion, or Cambodian industries could benefit
between US$80 and US$120 per sqm
40%. from increased investment and
within a leasing period of 50 years.
innovation, leading to a stronger
Among these approved projects, a economic outlook for the country.
significant portion was concentrated Royal Group made a significant
in the industrial sector, which move in the industrial sector by Figure 31: Export Statistics by Top 5
accounted for 69% of the total. This acquiring a 45.09% stake in Phnom Countries (Jan 2024 - Nov 2024)
focus on industrial investment Penh SEZ. This strategic investment US$ Million
highlights a strategic emphasis on positions Royal Group as the
enhancing infrastructure, boosting
company's largest shareholder, a
manufacturing capabilities and
status it has held since late 2021.
promoting economic growth in
critical areas. The increase reflects With this acquisition, Royal Group is
favourable market conditions and solidifying its influence and
the potential for job creation and leadership in the industry,
innovation within the industrial enhancing its commitment to
realm. fostering growth within the region's United Viet China Japan Canada
economic landscape. States Nam
Across 414 approvals in 2024 by
location, Phnom Penh ranked third
at 13% in terms of the number of
approvals and remained the Figure 32: FDI Inflow by Key Indicators
country’s central economic hub,
US$ Million
while Kampong Spue is the most
concentrated area for newly
approved investments during 2024 at
22%, followed by Svay Rieng (17%),
Preah Sihanouk (12%), Takeo (10%),
Svay Rieng (3%), Takeo (3%),
Kampong Cham (3%) and the
remaining 1% are located in Kratie.
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