Overpopulation - Shortened Text
Overpopulation - Shortened Text
The UN
Population Division predicts the number could be as high as 9.7 billion by
2050; the same number of people who currently reside in the African and
American continents combined. This is hard to conceive.
Although families are getting smaller, people are living longer because
medical and technical advances have lessened the impact of infectious
disease. As a result, the UN's worst case scenario for 2100 is that the world
population will reach almost 16 billion. And yet already we are placing undue
pressure on the Earth. The kind of pressure that, if increased, could have a
profound and irreparable effect on our planet. The first fundamental issue is
water. Just 2.5% of the world's water is fresh. Drought and poor infrastructure
mean that already today water is a scarce resource. One in three people in
every continent do not have enough water to satisfy their daily needs.
Without clean drinking water, there will be an exponential increase in the
incidence of diseases. Without water for agriculture and industry, our food
and manufacturing industries will be unable to satisfy demand.
The second critical issue is land. Current agricultural practices and the
impact of pollution both contribute to soil erosion and a decreased level of
soil fertility. It is estimated such poor quality land affects 1.5 billion people
around the world. Deforestation and mining have had a devastating impact
on our ecosystem and the biodiversity on which it thrives. Another prime
concern is energy. Governents, such as those in Denmark and Germany, are
investing in renewable energy to eliminate their reliance on oil and to tap
into resources with greater sustainability.
It is true that the world's population is growing, but this is not the cause of
our current and future global problems. Believing this will give rise to
ignorance of the real problem and the resulting irreparable damage to our
planet.
Let me start by explaining why overpopulation is a myth. The UN Population
Division regularly predicts population growth, but provides a low variant,
medium variant, and high variant to factor in various likelihoods. In most
cases, it is the low variant that has come true in the past, suggesting the
same will be true of their future population predictions. Furthermore, the size
of families is actually decreasing. The average woman now has 2.4 children,
which is very close to the replacement level of 2.3. In many countries the
fertility rate is even lower.