Solution_ Probability Density Function of Z
Solution_ Probability Density Function of Z
fX∣Y=1(x)=P(Y=1)P(Y=1∣X=x)fX(x)
First, we need to calculate P(Y=1), the marginal probability that Y=1 in any given trial.
P(Y=1)=∫−∞∞P(Y=1∣X=x)fX(x)dx
P(Y=1)=∫01x⋅1dx=[2x2]01=212−202=21
Now we can find the conditional PDF of X given Y=1:
fX∣Y=1(x)=1/2x⋅1=2x
fZ(z)=2z
The fact that the experiment might be repeated does not change this result because:
1. Each trial (Xi,Yi) is independent.
2. The process guarantees that eventually a trial k occurs where Yk=1 (the probability of
success in any trial is 1/2, so the number of trials to get the first success follows a
geometric distribution, and success is guaranteed eventually).
3. Z is defined as Xkfrom this specific successful trial. The distribution of Xkgiven Yk=1 is
2xk.
Thus, the probability density function of Z on (0,1) is 2z.
This corresponds to option (B).