SSP Bayesian Estimation
SSP Bayesian Estimation
Bayesian Estimators
Tamanna Howlader
Institute of Statistical Research and Training
University of Dhaka
Why Bayesian Estimation?
Example:
Classical MSE
Bayesian MSE
Derivation:
Minimum MSE estimator
Posterior vs Prior PDF
Recall:
( )
(MMSE estimator)
Finding MMSE estimator: Example
Example:
~
Finding MMSE estimator: Example
Recall:
Finding MMSE estimator: Example
Finding MMSE estimator: Example
Finding MMSE estimator: Example
Example:
Likelihood of data:
Finding MMSE estimator: Example
Finding MMSE estimator: Example
where
Finding MMSE estimator: Example
Finding MMSE estimator: Example
Finding MMSE estimator: Example
Finding MMSE estimator: Example
Finding MMSE estimator: Example
Real life example:
MMSE for Bayesian general linear model
MMSE for Bayesian general linear model
Example:
MMSE for Bayesian general linear model
MMSE for Bayesian general linear model
MMSE for Bayesian general linear model
Concept of Bayes Risk
Recall:
MMSE estimator minimizes where the expectation is
respect to the pdf
Let denote the error for a particular realization of and
Gaussian posterior
Estimator for absolute error cost function
Estimator for absolute error cost function
Estimator for 0-1 cost function
Estimator for 0-1 cost function
Vector MMSE estimator
Vector MMSE estimator
Vector MMSE estimator
Vector MMSE estimator
Example:
Vector MMSE estimator
Vector MMSE estimator
Vector MMSE estimator
Vector MMSE estimator
Vector MMSE estimator
Maximum aposteriori estimator
Maximum aposteriori estimator
Example:
Example:
Solution:
Maximum aposteriori estimator
Recall:
Maximum aposteriori estimator
Recall:
Maximum aposteriori estimator
Maximum aposteriori estimator
Maximum aposteriori estimator
Putting
Maximum aposteriori estimator
Maximum aposteriori estimator
Maximum aposteriori estimator
Property of MAP estimator: It does not commute over nonlinear
transformations, although it does so for linear transformations
Suppose that we wish to estimate Is the MAP estimator
, where is the MAP estimator? No!
Linear Bayesian estimator
The optimal Bayesian estimators are difficult to implement in closed form
and practically too computationally intensive.
Under the jointly Gaussian assumption these estimators are easily found
but in general they are not.
When we are unable to make the Gaussian assumption another approach
must be used.
One approach would be to retain the MMSE criterion but constrain the
estimator to be linear.
This class of estimators which are generally called Wiener filters in signal
processing are extensively used.
LMMSE estimator
Notation:
Assumption: scalar parameter ; dependence of on
data set:
modelled as random variable
Flexibility of LMMSE approach: does not assume any specific form for joint
pdf ; requires only first two moments
Definition:
LMMSE estimator
which depends only on the lag. between the two samples and not their
absolute positions.