GFM UNIT-2
GFM UNIT-2
Introduction
The foreign exchange market also known as the currency of foreign exchange or FX market,
the foreign exchange market is not limited by any geographical boundaries, it does not have
any regular market timings, operates 24 hours , 7 days a week 365 days a year. Presently the
FX market is one of the largest and liquid financial markets in the world, and includes trading
between large banks, central banks, currency speculators, corporations, Governments,
financial institutions, exporters and importers.
The FX market is not a physical place, it is an electronically linked network of banks, foreign
exchange brokers and dealers etc, major FX trading centres are located in London, Tokyo,
New York.
Meaning
It is a financial market “the exchange of one currency for another or the conversion of
one currency into another currency”.
Foreign exchange is the art and science of international monetary exchange --Withers.
Reasons for exchange of currencies
International trade
Foreign investment
Lending and borrowing
Features of Foreign exchange market
Foreign exchange market operates around the clock
To regulate foreign exchange market, Foreign Exchange Management Act 1999
(FEMA) replaced with Foreign Exchange Regulation Act 1973 (FERA)
Affected by demand and supply
Affected inflation rate
Affected by rate of interest
Spot and forward rates are different
Affected by the fiscal policy of the Government
Affected the political conditions of the country
Trading between banks known as interbank market
Banks provide foreign exchange services for a fee, fee fixed based on bid/ask %
Spread
Trading channeled through networks of telephone, telex, satellite, now mostly
electronic Form namely OTC.
Functions of Foreign exchange market
Transfer of funds from one nation and currency to another (T.T, M.T, Draft, Bill of
Exchange, Letter of credit, etc. The bill of exchange is the most important and
effective method of transferring purchasing power between two parties located in
different countries.
Minimize foreign exchange risk (Hedging function)
Participants in Foreign exchange Market
Traders: Traders use spot and forward markets to eliminate the risk of loss of value
of export or import orders
Exchange rate
Exchange rate is the price of the currency of a country can be exchanged for the
number of units of currency of another currency --- Haines
Exchange rate is that rate at which one unit of currency of a country can be exchanged
for the number of units of currency of another country
Simple way price for which one currency is exchanged for another currency
Fixed exchange rate: Fixed exchange rate is the official rate set by the monetary
authorities of the governance for one or more currencies. a currency is pegged to a
foreign currency with fixed parity, the rates are maintained constant or they may
fluctuate within a narrow range. In these system central banks plays a crucial role and
regularly buy and sell of foreign currency to maintain the exchange rate.
Merits
Demerit
Merit
INTERNATIONAL RISKS
Meaning of Risk
International business risk may be defined as the possibility of loss caused by some
unfavourable or undesirable event in international business operations; the degree of risk
differs from one company to another company and from one country to another country.
Classification of risk
I. Currency Risk
II. Interest rate Risk
III. Political Risk
IV. Country Risk
Foreign exchange risk is the possibility of gain or loss to a firm that occurs due to
unanticipated changes in exchange rate.
Currency risk is a form of risk that arises from the change in price one currency
against another currency
The risk that a business operations or an investment value will be affected by changes
in exchange rates.
Foreign exchange risk that the value of an asset or liability will change because of a
change in exchange rates.
Example: If an Indian firm imports goods and pays in foreign currency (say in dollars), its
outflow is in dollars, thus it is exposed to foreign exchange risk. If the value of the foreign
currency rises (i.e., the dollar appreciates), the Indian firm has to pay more domestic currency
to get the required amount of foreign currency.
Example: Indian company buy a equipment from USA Rs. 1,00,000 at that time dollar equal
to Rs.60, the payment due is 30 days, at the time of payment dollar value is Rs.64 then Indian
company will pay higher that is risk to the Indian company.
It is the degree to which a firm’s foreign currency denominated financial statements are
affected by exchange rate changes. If your business entity operates in other countries, you
will be using different currencies in your business operations. However, when it comes to
accounting, your financial statements have to be recorded in a home currency, then; all
financial statements of a foreign subsidiary have to be translated into the home currency for
the purpose of finalizing the accounts for a given period of time.
If a firm has subsidiaries in many countries, the fluctuations in exchange rate will make the
assets valuation different in different periods. The changes in asset valuation due to
Example:
The three steps in the foreign currency translation process are as follows:
Example: XYZ is a business importing goods from Japan to sell in the USA, if the Japanese
Yen were increase against US dollar, it would make it more expensive for company XYZ to
purchase goods and sell into US markets, and it may affect the sales of XYZ Company and
reduce cash flows, returns.
I. Natural hedges / Internal techniques: Do not involve contractual relationship with any
party outside the firm
Netting: Netting is a technique of optimizing cash flow movements with the joint
efforts of subsidies. The process involves the reduction of administration and
transaction costs that result from currency conversion.
Leads (Early) and lags (Delay): The alteration of normal payment or receipts in a
foreign exchange transaction because of an expected change in exchange rates, an
expected increase in exchange rates is likely to speed up payments, while an expected
decrease in exchange rates will probably slow them down.
Cross hedging: Cross hedging is when you hedge a position by investing in two
positively correlated securities or securities that have similar price movements. The
investor takes opposing positions in each investment in an attempt to reduce the risk
of holding just one of the securities. The effectiveness of cross hedging depends upon
how two assets are strongly correlated.
Example: Use Japanese Yen contract to cross hedge Korean won (assuming that the
yen and won are strongly correlated).
Currency diversification: A portfolio diversification strategy/ investment strategy
that involve securities denominated in several currencies. In a simple way securities
are purchased in various foreign currency denominations.
Example: One may buy stock that trade in US dollars, British pound, Japanese yen
and Euros.
Risk sharing: It is risk management method in which the cost of the consequences of
a risk is distributed among parties or enterprises.
Forward market hedge: Contract to buy or sell asset at a given price on a specified
Date in The future. Investors use this device to avoid major losses if the price of the
asset changes dramatically before it is exchanged.
Future contracts: A currency future is a future contract to exchange one currency for
another at a specified date in future at a specified price (exchange rate) that is fixed on
purchase date.
Hedge with Options: The word option means the holder has the right but not the
obligation to buy / sell underlying assets. Options are contracts through which a seller
gives a buyer the right but not the obligation to buy or sell a specified number of
underlying assets at a predetermined price within a specified time period.
Do you remember your mother complaining that the cost of milk has gone up from Rs
59/litre to Rs 61/litre?
The next day, the cost of curd went up from Rs 58/400 grams to Rs 60/400 grams!
Then came cheese, which would now cost Rs 150/200 grams instead of Rs 145 /200
grams!
Curd and cheese have no value of their own. They derive their value from the value of the
underlying asset i.e. ‘milk’. So, derivatives are financial contracts, which have no value of
their own but they derive their value from the price of the underlying asset. An increase in the
price of the underlying asset will lead to an increase in the price of its derivative. So,
expensive milk equals expensive curd.
Definition of derivative
Futures
Forwards
Options
Swaps
Currency derivatives are contracts to buy or sell currencies at a future date. The major types
of currency derivatives are forward contracts, futures contracts, options and swaps. Despite
having an average daily turnover of Rs 44,859 crores, currency derivatives in India are
largely unknown to small retail investors. The currency derivatives trading segment in India
is dominated by importers, exporters, central banks, banks and corporations. While currency
derivatives in India are primarily used for hedging, retail investors can create wealth in the
currency derivatives segment by speculating and arbitraging.
Currency futures are standardized contracts that trade on centralized exchanges. These
futures are either cash settled or physically delivered. Cash-settled futures are settled daily on
a mark-to-market basis. As the daily price changes, the differences are settled in cash until
the expiration date. For futures settled by physical delivery, at the expiration date, the
currencies must be exchanged for the amount indicated by the size of the contract. Foreign
exchange futures contracts have several components outlined below:
Let us now look at an example that involves currency futures. Say you purchase 8 future Euro
contracts (€125,000 per contract) at 0.89 US$/€. At the end of the day, the settlement price
has moved to 0.91 US$/€. How much have you lost or profited?
The price has increased meaning you have profited. The calculation to determine how much
you have profited is as follows:
(0.91 US$/€ – 0.89 US$/€) x €125,000 x 8 = 20,000 US$
Option Meaning: The word option means the holder has the right but not the obligation to
buy / sell Particular underlying asset on a future date at a predetermined price. There are two
types of options: ‘Call’ option and ‘Put’ option.
Currency Put option: Put gives the seller the right but not obligation to sell a given
quantity of the underlying asset (Currency) at a given price on or before a particular
date by paying premium.
On the other hand, Company B is a German company that operates in the United States.
Company B wants to acquire a company in the United States to diversify its business. The
acquisition deal requires US$1 million in financing.
Neither Company A nor Company B holds enough cash to finance their respective projects.
Thus, both companies will seek to obtain the necessary funds through debt financing.
Company A and Company B will prefer to borrow in their domestic currencies (that can be
borrowed at a lower interest rate) and then enter into the currency swap agreement with each
other.
The currency swap between Company A and Company B can be designed in the following
manner. Company A obtains a credit line of $1 million from Bank A with a fixed interest rate
of 3.5%. At the same time, Company B borrows €850,000 from Bank B with the floating
interest rate of 6-month LIBOR. The companies decide to create a swap agreement with each
other.
Company A must pay Company B the floating rate interest payments denominated in Euros,
while Company B will pay Company A the fixed interest rate payments in US dollars. On the
maturity date, the companies will exchange back the principal amounts at the same rate ($1 =
€0.85).
Call option
Current price = Rs.250 Right to buy 100 reliance
shares at a price of Rs.300
Premium= (Rs 25 per Strike price
share) = Rs 2500 per share after 3 months
(25*100) Expiry date
Amount to buy call
option=Rs
2500 (100*25)
Suppose after 3 months the market price is
Suppose after 3months Rs.200 then the option is not exercised.
market price is Rs.400
then the option is Net loss=premium amount = Rs 2500
exercised i.e. the shares
are bought.
Net gain=40000-30000-
2500= Rs. 7500
Current price=Rs250
= Rs7500