FM I - Chapter 3, Time Value of Money (TVM) (1) PPT
FM I - Chapter 3, Time Value of Money (TVM) (1) PPT
6-4
Determinants of Interest rate
Interest Rate Levels
Refers to the shift in demand and supply for funds and the
related change in the interest rate level (equilibrium).Like
any commodity capital is allocated by its price (interest
rate) which, in a pure market economy, is determined by
the forces of demand and supply. Increase in the demand
of debt capital pushes interest rates up, and decreases in
the demand of capital, in times of recession, pulls it lower.
Increase in the total supply of debt capital reduces
interest rates. A decrease in the supply creates shortage
of funds in the market and those firms with profitable
investment tend to attract capital away from less
profitable firms by paying higher interest rates.
6-5
Determinants of Interest rate
Determinants of Interest Rates
The quoted interest rate on a debt security, K, is
composed of a real risk free rate of interest plus
premiums for inflation, risk and liquidity.
K =K* + IP + DRP + LP + MRP
Where:
K*= the real risk free rate.
IP = inflation premium (the average expected inflation
rate over the life of the security)
DRP = Default risk premium
LP = Liquidity or marketability premium
MRP = maturity risk premium (the risk related to price
declines) 6-6
Determinants of Interest rate
The Real Risk-Free Rate (K*)
This is the interest rate that would exist on a risk less
security if no inflation is expected. This is a no risk no
inflation interest rate. This rate changes over time
depending on economic conditions:
Rate of return expected by businesses and other
borrowers expect to earn on a productive assets. This is
the upper limit borrowers can afford.
People’s time preferences for current versus future
consumptions. Determines the amount of income savers
are ready to defer, hence the amount of funds available.
(Supply of funds)
6-7
Future values and present
values and the Time lines
0 1 2 3
i%
100
3 year $100 ordinary annuity
0 1 2 3
i%
-50 100 75 50
6-10
What is the future value (FV) of an initial
$100 after 3 years, if I/YR = 10%?
100 FV = ?
6-11
Solving for FV:
The arithmetic method
After 1 year:
FV = PV ( 1 + i ) = $100 (1.10)
1
= $110.00
After 2 years:
2
FV = PV ( 1 + i ) = $100 (1.10)
2
2
=$121.00
After 3 years:
3
FV = PV ( 1 + i ) = $100 (1.10)
3
3
=$133.10
After n years (general case):
FV = PV ( 1 + i )
n
n 6-12
Solving for FV:
The calculator method
Solves the general FV equation.
Requires 4 inputs into calculator, and will
solve for the fifth. (Set to P/YR = 1 and
END mode.)
INPUTS 3 10 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 133.10
6-13
What is the present value (PV) of $100
due in 3 years, if I/YR = 10%?
Finding the PV of a cash flow or series of
cash flows when compound interest is
applied is called discounting (the reverse of
compounding).
The PV shows the value of cash flows in
terms of today’s purchasing power.
0 1 2 3
10%
PV = ? 100
6-14
Solving for PV:
The arithmetic method
Solve the general FV equation for PV:
PV = FVn / ( 1 + i )n
PV = FV3 / ( 1 + i )3
= $100 / ( 1.10 )3
= $75.13
6-15
Solving for PV:
The calculator method
Solves the general FV equation for PV.
Exactly like solving for FV, except we
have different input information and are
solving for a different variable.
INPUTS 3 10 0 100
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -75.13
6-16
Solving for N:
If sales grow at 20% per year, how long
before sales double?
Solves the general FV equation for N.
Same as previous problems, but now
solving for N.
INPUTS 20 -1 0 2
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 3.8
6-17
Annuities: an ordinary annuity and an
annuity due?
Ordinary Annuity
0 1 2 3
i%
6-20
The arithmetic method for Annuities
Present value Formulas for annuities:
1. Ordinary annuities
PV = PMT [1- (1/(1+i)n]
i
Example 5: If in previous example , ABC co. has the option
of paying $10,000.00 at the time of purchase, which option
will ABC take at the discount rate of 12%.
PV = $3,000.00[1-1/(1+12%)5]
12%
= $10,814.00
6-21
The arithmetic method for Annuities
Present value Formulas for annuities:
2. Annuity Due
PV = PMT + PMT (1-1/(1+i) n-1
i
6-22
The arithmetic method for Perpetuities
Present value Formulas for perpetuities:
A. Perpetuity: - a constant cash flow that is paid (received) at
a regular time interval forever.
PV = A/i
Where: A is the periodic cash flow, and
i is the discount rate
B. Growing perpetuities: - a cash flow that is expected to
grow at a constant rate forever.
PV = CF1
r-g
Where: CF1 is cash flow after one period,
r is the discount rate, and 6-23
Solving for FV:
3-year ordinary annuity of $100 at 10%
INPUTS 3 10 0 -100
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 331
6-24
Solving for PV:
3-year ordinary annuity of $100 at 10%
INPUTS 3 10 100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -248.69
6-25
Solving for FV:
3-year annuity due of $100 at 10%
INPUTS 3 10 0 -100
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 364.10
6-26
Solving for PV:
3 year annuity due of $100 at 10%
INPUTS 3 10 100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -273.55
6-27
What is the PV of this uneven cash
flow stream?
0 1 2 3 4
10%
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 8
6-30
The Power of Compound
Interest
A 20-year-old student wants to start saving for
retirement. She plans to save $3 a day. Every day,
she puts $3 in her drawer. At the end of the year,
she invests the accumulated savings of $1,095
(3*365days) in an online stock account. The stock
account has an expected annual return of 12%.
INPUTS 45 12 0 -1095
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 1,487,262
6-32
Solving for FV:
Savings problem, if you wait until you are
40 years old to start
If a 40-year-old investor begins saving
today, and sticks to the plan, he or she will
have $146,000.59 at age 65. This is $1.3
million less than if starting at age 20.
Lesson: It pays to start saving early.
INPUTS 25 12 0 -1095
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 146,001
6-33
Solving for PMT:
How much must the 40-year old deposit
annually to catch the 20-year old?
To find the required annual contribution,
enter the number of years until retirement
and the final goal of $1,487,261.89, and
solve for PMT.
INPUTS 25 12 0 1,487,262
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -11,154.42
6-34
Will the FV of a lump sum be larger or
smaller if compounded more often,
holding the stated I% constant?
LARGER, as the more frequently compounding
occurs, interest is earned on interest more often.
0 1 2 3
10%
100 133.10
Annually: FV3 = $100(1.10)3 = $133.10
0 1 2 3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
5%
100 134.01
Semiannually: FV6 = $100(1.05)6 = $134.01
6-35
Classifications of interest
rates
Nominal rate (iNOM) – also called the quoted or
state rate. An annual rate that ignores
compounding effects.
iNOM is stated in contracts. Periods must also be
given, e.g. 8% Quarterly or 8% Daily interest.
Periodic rate (iPER) – amount of interest
charged each period, e.g. monthly or quarterly.
iPER = iNOM / m, where m is the number of
compounding periods per year. m = 4 for
quarterly and m = 12 for monthly compounding.
6-36
Classifications of interest
rates
Effective (or equivalent) annual rate (EAR =
EFF%) – the annual rate of interest actually
being earned, taking into account
compounding.
EFF% for 10% semiannual investment
EFF% = ( 1 + iNOM / m )m - 1
= ( 1 + 0.10 / 2 )2 – 1 = 10.25%
An investor would be indifferent between
an investment offering a 10.25% annual
return and one offering a 10% annual return,
compounded semiannually.
6-37
Why is it important to consider
effective rates of return?
An investment with monthly payments is different
from one with quarterly payments. Must put
each return on an EFF% basis to compare rates of
return. Must use EFF% for comparisons. See
following values of EFF% rates at various
compounding levels.
EARANNUAL 10.00%
EARQUARTERLY 10.38%
EARMONTHLY 10.47%
EARDAILY (365) 10.52%
6-38
Can the effective rate ever be
equal to the nominal rate?
Yes, but only if annual compounding
is used, i.e., if m = 1.
If m > 1, EFF% will always be greater
than the nominal rate.
6-39
When is each rate used?
iNOM written into contracts, quoted by banks
and brokers. Not used in calculations or
shown on time lines.
iPER Used in calculations and shown on time
lines. If m = 1, iNOM = iPER = EAR.
EAR Used to compare returns on
investments with different payments per
year. Used in calculations when annuity
payments don’t match compounding
periods.
6-40
What is the FV of $100 after 3 years under
10% semiannual compounding? Quarterly
compounding?
i NOM m n
FV n PV (1 )
m
0.10 2 3
FV 3S $100 (1 )
2
FV 3S $100 (1.05)
6
$134.01
FV 3Q $100 (1.025)
12
$134.49
6-41
What’s the FV of a 3-year $100 annuity,
if the quoted interest rate is 10%,
compounded semiannually?
1 2 3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
5%
6-42
Compound each cash flow; or
method 2 is using financial
calculator
1 2 3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
5%
6-44
Find the PV of this 3-year
ordinary annuity.
Could solve by discounting each cash
flow, or …
Use the EAR and treat as an annuity to
solve for PV.
6-45
Loan amortization
Amortization means retiring a debt in a given length of time
by equal periodic payments that include compound interest.
After the last payment, the obligation ceases to exist-it is
dead-and it is said to have been amortized by the payments.
In amortization our interest is to determine the periodic
payment, R, so as to amortize (retire) a debt at the end of
the last payment. Solving the PV of ordinary annuity formula
for R in terms of the other variables, we obtain the following
amortization formula:
6-46
Loan amortization
Where: i
R = P
R = periodic payment 1 - 1 + -n
i
P = PV of loan
i= interest rate per period
n = number of payment periods
6-47
Loan amortization
Amortization tables are widely used for
home mortgages, auto loans, business
loans, retirement plans, etc.
Financial calculators and spreadsheets are
great for setting up amortization tables.
INPUTS 3 10 -1000 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 402.11
6-49
Step 2:
Find the interest paid in Year 1
The borrower will owe interest upon the
initial balance at the end of the first year.
Interest to be paid in the first year can
be found by multiplying the beginning
balance by the interest rate.
6-51
Step 4:
Find the ending balance after Year 1
To find the balance at the end of the
period, subtract the amount paid toward
principal from the beginning balance.
6-52
Constructing an amortization table:
Repeat steps 1 – 4 until end of loan
Year BEG BAL PMT INT PRIN END
BAL
1 $1,000 $402 $100 $302 $698
2 698 402 70 332 366
3 366 402 37 366 0
TOTA 1,206.34 206.34 1,000 -
L
Interest paid declines with each payment as
the balance declines. What are the tax
implications of this?
6-53
Illustrating an amortized payment:
Where does the money go?
$
402.11
Interest
302.11
Principal Payments
0 1 2 3
Constant payments.
Declining interest payments.
Declining balance.
6-54
Mortgage Payments
In atypical house purchase transaction, the home-buyer pays part of the
cost in cash and borrows the remained needed, usually from a bank or a
savings and loan association. The buyer amortizes the indebtedness by
periodic payments over a period of time. Typically, payments are monthly
and the time period is long-30 years is not unusual.
Mortgage payment and amortization are similar. The only differences are
The time period in which the debt/loan is amortized/repaid
The amount borrowed.
In mortgage payments m is equal to 12 because the loan is repaid from
monthly salary, but in amortization m may take other values.
6-55
Similarly
r/12
i
R = A (O R ) R = A
1 -
-n
1 + r/12 1 - 1 +
-n
i
6-56
Similarly
1 1 i n
Similarly, A R
i
Example
Mr. X purchased a house for Birr 115,000. He
made a 20% down payment with the balance
amortized by a 30 yr mortgage at an annual
interest of 12% compounded monthly.
What is the amount that Mr. X should pay monthly so
as to retire the debt at the end of the 30th yr?
Find the interest charged.
6-57