2023 FEM 2
2023 FEM 2
Central Bank
Buyer or seller of last resort in the foreign
exchange market
Brokers
Clearinghouse for surpluses and shortages
between the commercial banks
Commercial Banks
Serve as the clearinghouses for currency
exchange
Participants
Those needing currency to fund transactions
Tourists, importers, exporters, investors, etc
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES
The price of one currency in terms of another is called the rate of foreign
exchange or just the exchange rate.
Assume only two economies, the United States and the European Monetary Union.
Domestic currency = dollar ($), Foreign currency = euro (€)
The exchange rate between the dollar and the euro (R) is equal to the number of
dollars needed to purchase one euro.
R = $/€,
If R = $/€ = 1, then one dollar is required to purchase one euro.
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES
Under a flexible exchange system, R is determined by the intersection of
market demand and supply curves for euros.
Depreciation is an increase in the domestic price of the foreign currency.
If the dollar price of the euro increases from $1 to $1.50, the dollar has
depreciated.
Appreciation refers to a decline in the domestic price of the foreign
currency.
If the dollar price of the euro decreases from $1 to $0.50, the dollar has
appreciated.
THE FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM
Under the flexible exchange rate system, the exchange rate is determined
daily in the FEM by the forces of supply and demand.
The exchange rate moves freely in response to the market forces, as
government and central bank refrain from systematic intervention
This system is known as the freely flexible ( or clean floating) exchange
rate system.
DEMAND CURVE OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE
R = $/ €
The U.S. demand for euros is negatively
inclined, indicating that the lower the
exchange rate (R), the greater the quantity of
euros demanded by U.S. residents.
The reason is that the lower the exchange rate
(i.e., the fewer the number of dollars required
to purchase a euro), the cheaper it is for U.S.
residents to import from and to invest in the
European Monetary Union, and thus the
greater the quantity of euros demanded by
U.S. residents.
Demand of Foreign
Exchange
SUPPLY CURVE OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE
R = $/ €
On the other hand, the U.S. supply of
euros is usually positively inclined
indicating that the higher the exchange
rate (R), the greater the quantity of euros
earned by U.S. residents and supplied to
the United States.
The reason is that at higher exchange
rates, EMU residents receive more
dollars for each of their euros. As a
result, they find U.S. goods and
investments cheaper and more
attractive and spend more in the United
States, thus supplying more euros to the
United States. Supply of Foreign
Exchange
EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGE
RATE
Under a flexible exchange rate system, the dollar price of
the euro (R) is determined, just like the price of any
commodity, by the intersection of the market demand and
supply curves for euros.
Notice that in a forward transaction, the buyer and seller are locked into a
contract at a fixed price that cannot be affected by any changes in market
exchange rates. This tool allows the market participants to plan more
safely, since they know in advance what their foreign exchange will cost.
FORWARD DISCOUNT AND FORWARD PREMIUM
Forward discount: If the forward rate is below the present spot rate,
the foreign currency is said to be at a forward discount with respect to
the domestic currency.
For example, if the spot rate is $1= €1 and the three-month forward rate is $0.99= €1,
we say that the euro is at a three-month forward discount of 1 cent or 1 percent (or at a
4 percent forward discount per year) with respect to the dollar.