sec b p2 with question
sec b p2 with question
pure riSk
Pure risk is defined as the chance that an unwanted and detrimental
(harmful) event will take place.
Insurance is designed to address pure risk because pure risk yields only
a loss.
Speculative riSk
Speculative risk is the type of risk involved in investing. Speculative risk
is defined as the variability of actual returns from expected returns, and
this variability may be either a gain or a loss.
Types of
Financial Risk
systematic unsystematic
risk risk
typeS oF unSyStematic.
return
Return is income received on an investment.
The annual rate of return is expressed as a percentage of the principal
amount invested.
exampleS:
#1: An investor invests $10,000 for one year and earns a $500 return on
the investment. At the end of one year, the investor receives back
$10,500. The investor’s annual rate of return on the investment is the
$500 income received divided by the $10,000 invested:
Where:
R = Investors’ required rate of return
RF = Risk-free rate of return (U.S. Treasury securities)
β = Beta coefficient
RM = Expected rate of return for the market portfolio.
The MARKET risk premium
It is the difference between the expected return for the market
portfolio and the risk-free rate.
(RM − RF).
SPECIFIC STOCK risk premium
This is the risk premium that investors require to purchase that specific
stock.
(β [RM − RF]).
Page 7 of 22
Beta (β)
“Beta,” the letter “β” in the Greek alphabet, measures how a security’s
historical returns have compared to the returns of the market portfolio.
A security’s beta is a measurement of the security’s systematic risk.
the meaningS oF SpeciFic valueS oF Beta are:
Beta = 1.0:
➢ An individual security with a beta of 1.0 has historically had the
same systematic (unavoidable) risk as that of the market portfolio.
➢ The returns for the security have historically moved in the same
direction and in the same amount as the market’s returns have
moved.
➢ if the market has historically fallen by 3%, the stock’s market price
has also fallen by 3%.
Note: The beta for the market portfolio is defined as 1.0.
Beta > 1.0: aggressive securities.
➢ For example, if the security’s return has historically increased by
an average of 10% when the market portfolio’s return has
increased by 8%, the security has a beta of 1.25.
➢ when the market return has historically decreased by 8%, the
security’s return has historically decreased by 125% of 8%, or by
10%.
Page 8 of 22
➢ A beta greater than 1.0 means that the individual security has
historically been more volatile (had more unavoidable risk) than
the market portfolio.
Beta < 1.0: defensive securities
➢ A beta between zero and 1.0 means that the individual security
has historically been less volatile (had less unavoidable risk) than
the market portfolio.
➢ For example, if the market’s return has historically increased by
10% and the security’s return has increased by an average of only
6%, the security has a beta of 0.60.
Beta = 0:
➢ The security may be a risk-free security.
➢ no correlation (relationship) between that security’s return and
the return of the market portfolio.
Beta < 0: A negative beta (less than zero)
➢ means the security’s returns have historically moved counter to (in
the opposite direction of) those of the market portfolio.
➢ if a stock has a beta of −0.5, that means when the market has
historically increased by 6%, this security has decreased by 3%,
half as much and in the opposite direction.
➢ Similarly, if the market has decreased by 10%, a stock with a beta
of −0.5 has increased in value by 5%.
Page 9 of 22
The expected return for the market portfolio (RM) is 4.0%, and the risk-
free rate (RF) is 0.5%.
On the graph, the SML intersects the y-axis at the risk-free rate (RF),
0.5%, which is also the point at which beta = 0.
The beta of the market portfolio is always 1.0.
RM=4%
the risk premium for the market portfolio is 3.5%, calculated as (RM
−RF), or (4.0% − 0.5%).
An individual security’s risk premium varies in direct proportion to its
beta. On the preceding graph:
• The investors’ required rate of return for an individual security with a
beta of 2.0 is 7.5%, calculated as 0.5% + [2.0 x (4.0% − 0.5%)] = 7.5%.
Page 11 of 22
Stock A is currently a good investment because its beta is 0.5, and at its
current market price, it is providing a 4% return.
On average, investors require a 2% return for a stock with a beta of 0.5,
but since Stock A is providing a higher (4%) return, it is underpriced.
Stock C, however, is NOT a good investment. The return for Stock C
(2%) is less than the investors’ 5.75% required rate of return for an
investment with a beta of 1.5, so Stock C is overpriced.
A Change in the Risk-Free Rate
If the risk-free rate changes from 0.5% to 1.5%, then the y-intercept of
the SML will change from 0.5% to 1.5% and the Security Market Line
will move upward.
Page 12 of 22