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2_2_Formal_Write_Up

The document outlines a model for a crane population that incorporates a constant birth rate of 2% and a death rate of 2.5%, along with the annual release of 5 hacked chicks. The population model is represented mathematically as P(t + 1) = 0.995P(t) + 5, where the fixed point is determined to be 1,000, indicating a stable population. At this fixed point, the population remains constant due to the balance between births, deaths, and the addition of hacked chicks.

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13 views2 pages

2_2_Formal_Write_Up

The document outlines a model for a crane population that incorporates a constant birth rate of 2% and a death rate of 2.5%, along with the annual release of 5 hacked chicks. The population model is represented mathematically as P(t + 1) = 0.995P(t) + 5, where the fixed point is determined to be 1,000, indicating a stable population. At this fixed point, the population remains constant due to the balance between births, deaths, and the addition of hacked chicks.

Uploaded by

mycocth16
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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2.

2 Formal Write Up
Jack Bloomer
March 31, 2025

Problem 2.2.10
In this problem, you will create a model of a crane population that includes
“hacking” chicks, which means to hatch chicks in captivity and release them
into the wild. Assume that your crane population has a constant birth rate per
year of 2% of the population and a constant death rate of 2.5%. Assume also
that 5 chicks are “hacked” each year; i.e. assume 5 hatched chicks are released
into the wild and absorbed into the population.

1. Draw a compartmental diagram for your model.

2. Use the compartmental diagram to create your model.

Looking at this compartmental diagram, we can see that the model for this
problem will determine each year’s population by having the birth rate added
to the population, 5 hacked chicks added into the population, and the death
rate taken out of the population. This model can be represented as such:

P (t + 1) = 0.995P (t) + 5

with P representing the population and t representing time in years.

1
3.What are the fixed points of your model? Are they stable or un-
stable? How can you interpret this physically?

To find the fixed point of this model, we can find when f (ā) = ā.

P (t + 1) = 0.995P (t) + 5

ā = 0.995ā + 5
0.005ā = 5
ā = 1000

To find out if this fixed point is stable or unstable, we need to find out if |f ′ (ā)|
is less than or greater than 1.

P (t + 1) = 0.995P (t) + 5

f (ā) = 0.995ā + 5
f ′ (ā) = 0.995

Since f ′ (ā) is less than one, this tells us that the fixed point is stable, or in
other words, an attracting fixed point. If we were to interpret our fixed point
physically, we would say that once the population reaches 1,000, it will no longer
increase nor will it decrease because the birth and death rate will result in a
population of 995 plus the 5 hacked chicks every year from there on out.

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