Forex Redeemer
Forex Redeemer
Redeemer
making money with a
terrible win ratio
Forex Masonry
Disclaimer
High Risk Investment
TRADING FOREIGN EXCHANGE ON MARGIN CARRIES A HIGH LEVEL OF
RISK, AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
Before deciding to trade foreign exchange, you should carefully consider your
investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility
exists that you could sustain a loss of some, or all, of your initial investment,
and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You
should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and
seek advice from an independent financial adviser if you have any doubts.
I know people who have been trying to trade successfully for several years
because they focus their attention on things like high win ratios. This attempt to
find a system with an unrealistically high win ratio leads them to continually
alter their system, experience ongoing self-doubt, and ultimately a failure in
trading successfully.
I think we can agree that even an average system can win half the time.
What the Redeemer system is built to do is focus on other aspects that
make a trading system profitable. In doing this, the focus comes off the win
ratio and on to making money.
The Redeemer system has a much better win ratio than 50%, however,
we will consider a win ratio of only 50% or less for this manual.
The vary nature of the mathematics incorporated means that you are about to
be using a system that virtually guarantees you will make money.
We will assume that you have the discipline to follow the rules, take the trades,
honor the stops, and let the trades play out.
Our win/loss may drop to 30%. so because of this, we will be trading on the
premise that requires ONLY a win rate of 30 to 50%.
The truth is, we can make money if the win ratio drops to 25%.
Redeemer
The 5 parts of the Manual
Part 1 - Charts and swings
Setting up the charts
Identifying swing highs/lows
Trend direction
Part 2 - Setup
The Setup Box
Entry
Stop Loss
Part 3 - Target
1.382 Extension based on stop loss
part 4 - Management
Reducing the risk on each trade
Part 5 - Break-even
Move stop loss to the entry level
We will be extracting the various procedures listed above from the Ultra Blue
system. The Redeemer is a step-by-step system, highly specialized version
of Ultra Blue to encourage successful trading with a very limited win ratio.
Before we can get into any kind of secrets, tips, tricks, hacks or solutions, we
need to:
1. Set up our charts.
2. Have a basic understanding of market swings.
We will be using a very simple chart setup. We want to build a system that is
extremely simple and easy to follow. The simpler the system, the better it will
perform for us, and this is a system that will perform very well.
As far as analysis goes, we will keep that simple too. We will be looking at
market swings, so after we set up our chart, we will look at what makes a
swing high and a swing low. From there, we will get to part 2 and 3 and so on.
Remember, we are assuming that we are winning ONLY 30% of our trades.
You will get a clear idea of how you can easily make money when the win ratio
is as average as possible.
These moving averages will give us all the information we need to make the
Redeemer system quite profitable. Using these 2 basic moving averages and
the market itself, we will get:
The direction to trade.
The trade setup.
The entry location.
The stop loss placement.
The target.
The trade management tools.
The break-even method.
13 EMA
The first indicator is the 13 Exponential Moving Average.
This one we make red.
Period Setting
34 EMA
The second indicator is the 34 Exponential Moving Average. This one we
make blue. I used a custom blue to match the candlestick color theme, but
any color will work.
Period Setting
Another description for these highs and lows are "areas of support and
resistance". We need to know about them because we will be using them to
get our entry signals.
SWING HIGH
SWING HIGH / RESISTANCE (Resistance)
Price makes a move up and
then back down. The top of
that movement is a swing
high, also known as
resistance.
SWING LOW
(Support)
Resistance levels
support levels
Below is the same chart as above, but I have marked the same levels with
support and resistance lines.
Resistance levels
support levels
Resistance levels
support levels
Below is the same chart as above with the levels marked as support and
resistance lines. We see a few examples where price shares the same area of
resistance and then again with support, this is a common occurrence.
Same level of
resistance Resistance levels
The setup section of the system is the foundation. Everything else revolves
around the setup.
The box is a very specific type of setup. It's not our typical box type trade, we
are using not just the price, but also the 13 EMA to determine the structure of
the box.
The box determines the window between the entry level and the stop level.
Setup Box
The other orders are derived from the
dimensions of the Box:
Entry
Stop
Target
1 Click the
rectangle tool
3 right-click
any corner or
center node
Setup to BUY:
1. The market is above the 13 EMA and the 13 EMA is above the 34 EMA.
2. The price pulls back to touch the 13 EMA.
3. Box is drawn connecting the swing high (top of the box) and 13 EMA directly
under the swing high (bottom of the box), the box is then stretched to the right.
Touch to 13 EMA
Uptrend
Swing High
13 EMA directly
below swing high
Box is drawn
The entry we would use is called a Buy Stop order. This means that once the
entry order is placed, the price must come up from below, touch the buy stop
level to be entered, and then must continue to move up in order for the trade to
be profitable.
The setup occurs when the market pulls back and touches the red 13 EMA.
Setup to Sell:
1. The market is below the 13 EMA and the 13 EMA is below the 34 EMA.
2. The price pulls back to touch the 13 EMA.
3. The Blue Box is drawn connecting the swing low (bottom of the box) and 13
EMA directly above the swing low (top of the box), the box is then stretched to
the right.
Touch to 13 EMA
downtrend
13 EMA directly
above swing Low
Swing low
Box is drawn
The entry we would use is called a Sell Stop order. This means that once the
entry order is placed, the price must come down from above, touch the sell
stop level to be entered, and then must continue to move down in order for the
trade to be profitable.
In order to put the odds in our favor, we are going to increase the target by a
small amount. We are going to increase the target by 38.2%. That seems like a
weird number, but we use it because it's a high-probability Fibonacci ratio.
In the end, what this means is that when we have a 100 pip stop loss, we will
be adding 38% to that by making it 138 pip target.
This is an easy number to come up with if we use a 100 pip stop loss, but we
will be adding 38% to whatever our stop loss is, so to make the calculation
very simple, we will be adding a level to our Fibonacci Retracement tool.
With this new level added to the Fib tool, the added calculation will be very
simple to do.
For the sake of simplicity, we will be displaying only the levels we will be using.
We will be deleting all the default levels and using the setup box levels and the
target extension levels. We will post an extension level above and below the
box levels, and this is only to keep us form having to redraw the levels if we get
it backwards.
3 Double-click red
fibo line to select
4 right-click a node
and choose fibo
properties
We will be using 4 levels. You can keep the default levels and add the ones
you don't have, or remove all the levels and start from scratch. The following
are the levels and the descriptions for each level.
The snippet of
code to put in
the description
that displays
the price is:
%$
UltraBlueForex.com 27 © Forex Masonry 2020
Target - buy
Target - buy
We connect the top and the bottom of the setup box using the Fibo tool and
this will give us the 1.382 Fibo extension we would use for the target. Being a
buy trade, we would use the extension that appears above the box.
2 Fibo target
We can draw an additional square to better show the target. It's much easier to
show this at a glance.
Fibo target
We can choose to draw an additional square to better show the target. It's
much easier to show this at a glance.
The concept behind trade management is to reduce the risk on each of our
trades. Trade management won't be possible on all of our trades, but we will
be able to limit the risk on most of our trades.
For example, if our trade starts out by risking 100 pips, through trade
management, we will be able to reduce that risk to 80 pips, 50 pips, or even
less.
We can already see how this will benefit us in our trading results.
Let's say we take 2 trades, one that wins and one that loses. Let's also assume
our trades are the standard 1:1 risk, meaning our target is 100 pips and our
stop loss is 100 pips (this is easiest for the example).
The win of 100 pips and the loss of 50 pips means we end up with 50 pips
profit, even though our win rate is only 50%.
1. Candle close
The first opportunity to move the stop loss is when we get the first candle close
into profit. This can be the close of the same candle that gets us into the trade,
or it might be several candles after we are in the trade.
By managing the trade, we can start with moving the stop loss towards the
entry level. Our initial risk on the trade might be 2% of our account, and by
managing the trade, we can reduce that risk to 1.5%, 1%, or even less. The
very first move can be enough to reduce the risk on the trade by half.
2. Locking in profit
We can use our stop loss to prevent any loss on the trade at all, and even lock
in some profit. We will be looking to manage the trade in such a way that we
eventually move the stop loss ahead of the entry level (provided that the target
isn't hit before). This will secure a profit, guaranteeing money will be made on
the trade no matter what happens.
3. The 13 EMA
The 13 EMA is the guide we use to move the stop loss. It will determine the
placement of the stop loss as the trade progresses.
The initial signal to move the stop loss is a candle close into profit, and from
there, we look to the 13 EMA for the placement of the stop loss.
Trailing
- As each new candle opens,
move the stop loss to just
below the 13 EMA under the
new candle.
- This process continues until
the trade is closed by the Stop is moved
stop loss, the target, or a along 13 EMA
manual closure of the trade.
We will be looking for a specific market movement called a 1:1. This is a one-
to-one reward to risk ratio, and this means that if the stop loss is 25 pips, we
will move the stop loss to the entry level when we hit 25 pips into profit.
After the stop loss is moved to break-even, we can then keep it there until the
13 EMA catches up to the stop loss and then we will move forward with trade
management.
1 Entry
level 2 market
touches 1:1
ratio.
1 2
Stop loss above Stop loss is moved
recent high to entry level
Entry level
market
1:1 ratio touches 1:1
ratio.
Earlier, we modified the Fibo tool. We will follow the same process as before,
but add 2 more levels.
Level: -1 / Description: FE 100 (%$)
Level: 2 / Description: FE 100 (%$)
Added
Fibo levels
Following this system, we will get better than a 50/50 win loss ratio and we will
make every other part of our trading make us money.
What I want you to take away from this, more than anything else, is that you
can have a LESS THAN AVERAGE win ratio and still make money.
I want you to make money trading, and I want you to continually take trades
after you lose. This is where the "consistency" part of trading comes from, to
continually follow the rules trade after trade whether or not the last trade was a
winner or a loser.
Step 2: Setup
Price moves down to touch the 13 EMA. Setup box is drawn connecting the
swing high and the 13 EMA directly below the swing high and stretched to the
right.
Step 4: Target
Use the Fibo retracement tool to determine a 1.382 extension for the target.
Step 5: Management
As the first candle closes in profit, start moving the stop loss along the 13 EMA
of each newly opened candle.
Step 6: Break-Even
Watch for the market to get as far into profit as the initial stop loss was, then
move the stop loss to the entry level.
Price is above
the 13 EMA
13 EMA is above
the 34 EMA
Step 2: Setup
Price moves down to touch the 13 EMA. Setup box is drawn connecting the swing high
and the 13 EMA directly below the swing high and stretched to the right.
Swing High
Box
13 EMA directly
under the swing
high
Entry order
(buy stop)
Stop Loss
Step 4: Target
Use the Fibo retracement tool to determine a 1.382 extension for the target.
Target
Break-Even Profit box
Fibo Tool
Target
Break-Even level
Pink square overlapping the
green square to make a dark
green Break-even square Candle Closed
in profit
Stop Loss moved
to 13 EMA
Step 6: Break-Even
Candle touches the 1:1 ratio and the stop loss is moved to the entry level.
Price touches
break-even level
Stop Loss moved
to break-even
Step 2: Setup
Price moves up to touch the 13 EMA. Setup box is drawn connecting the swing
low and the 13 EMA directly above the swing low and stretched to the right.
Step 4: Target
Use the Fibo retracement tool to determine a 1.382 extension for the target.
Step 5: Management
As the first candle closes in profit, start moving the stop loss along the 13 EMA
of each newly opened candle.
Step 6: Break-Even
Watch for the market to get as far into profit as the initial stop loss was, then
move the stop loss to the entry level.
Price is Below
the 13 EMA
Step 2: Setup
Price moves up to touch the 13 EMA. Setup box is drawn connecting the swing
low and the 13 EMA directly above the swing low and stretched to the right.
Stop Loss
Entry order
(sell stop)
Step 4: Target
Use the Fibo retracement tool to determine a 1.382 extension for the target.
Fibo Tool
Step 6: Break-Even
Candle touches the 1:1 ratio and the stop loss is moved to the entry level.
With the 5050 system, one of the really nice aspects is that we don't have to
hurry when we are figuring out the lot size of the trade. The entry and the stop
loss placement is determined long before the trade itself needs to be placed.
The lot size of the trade will change depending on the size of the top loss.
A 100 pip stop loss will have a smaller lot size than a 25 pip stop loss.
There are a ton of online position size calculators, but the one I use it at
russhorn.com/calculator:
Click Compute
Curreny pair of the trade
Stop loss in pips
Risk amount in percent
Currency of the account
Account size
Money risked
Position Size
The number that appears in the Std box is the Standard Lot Size, this is the
number we put in the Volume field when we place an order.
The graphic below gives us an idea of the kind of positive "imbalance" using
the tricks in this manual provide. The darker blue sections are the 50% profit
we would get regardless, the pink sections are the losses we could incur, and
the lighter blue sections are the bonus profits we get. The skew will be
somewhat different from trader to trader, but the end result is like having a 1:1
ratio and winning 60 to 80% of our trades!
Win ratio
Target
Management
Break-Even
Trading can be a very profitable business if you take care of the things that
matter most.
A high win ratio is surprisingly low on the list of things that are important to
achieve. Of course it helps to have a higher than average win/loss ratio, but as
you see, it's not critical that you do. By modifying a few of the other features of
your trading, winning only half of your trades will still result in you making
money.
Keep doing this and you will watch your account grow consistently over time.
Thank you for taking the time to read this manual, and I do hope
you choose to make use of the information we covered. You will
be glad you did!