Pawan Karmele Derivative
Pawan Karmele Derivative
CHAPTER – 03
DERIVATIVES
PART – 01: OPTION
(I) BASICS
Question – 01
The equity share of VCC Ltd. is quoted at ₹ 210. A 3-month call option is
available at a premium of ₹ 6 per share and a 3-month put option is available
at a premium of ₹ 5 per share. Ascertain the net payoffs to the option holder of
a call option and a put option separately.
Also indicate the price range at which the call and the put options may be
gainfully exercised.
Solution:
The call option can be exercised gainfully for any price above ₹ 226 (₹ 220 + ₹
6) and put option for any price below ₹ 215 (₹ 220 − ₹ 5).
Question – 02
Hari is holding 100 equity shares of VCC Ltd. which is being quoted at ₹ 210
per share. He is interested in hedging downside risk of his holding as he is
going to sell them after 2 month. A 2-month Call option is available at a
premium of ₹ 6 per share and a 2- month put option is available at a premium
of ₹ 5 per share. The strike price in both cases is ₹ 220.You are required to:
(i) Suggest the position Hari should take in the option market to hedge his
holding in the VCC Ltd.
(ii) Calculate his final position after 2 months if after 2 months i.e. on the
day of exercise the actual market price of per share of VCC Ltd. happens
to be ₹ 200, ₹ 210, ₹ 220, ₹ 230 and ₹ 240.
Solution:
(i) Since Hari holds 100 equity shares, he should buy equal no. of Put
option i.e. 100 put options in the same stock to hedge his position.
Thus, from above table it can be observed in any case the value of
holding of Hari in VCC Ltd. shall not go below ₹ 215 per share.
Question – 03
Mr. A is holding 1,000 shares of face value of ₹ 100 each of M/s. ABC Ltd. He
wants to hold these shares for long term and have no intention to sell.
On 1st January 2020, M/s. XYZ Ltd. has made short sales of M/s. ABC Ltd.‟s
shares and approached Mr. A to lend his shares under Stock Lending Scheme
with following terms:
(i) Shares to be borrowed for 3 months from 1st January 2020 to 31st March
2020.
(iii) Bank Guarantee will be provided as collateral for the value as on 1st
January 2020.
Other Information :
(b) On 29th February 2020 M/s. ABC Ltd. declared dividend of 25%.
(c) Closing price of M/s. ABC Ltd.‟s shares quoted in Stock Exchange on
various dates are as follows :
(i) Earnings of Mr. A through Stock Lending Scheme in both the scenarios,
(ii) Total earnings of Mr. A during 1st January 2020 to 31st March 2020 in
both the scenarios,
(iii) What is the profit or loss to M/s. XYZ by shorting the shares using
through Stock Lending Scheme in both the scenarios ?
Solution:
1. Earnings of Mr. A
I II
Lending Charges
31/01/2020 10.20 9.80
29/02/2020 10.40 9.60
31/03/2020 10.50 9.40
Lending Charges 31.10 28.80
(×) No. of Shares 1,000 1,000
Earnings 31,100 28,800
I II
Lending Charges 31.10 28.80
(+) Dividend [100 × 25%] 25.00 25.00
56.10 53.80
(×) No. of Shares 1,000 1,000
Total 56,100 53,800
I II
Lending Charges (31.10) (28.80)
Bank Guarantee [1,000 × 8% × 3/12] (20.00) (20.00)
Gain/Loss on Short Selling (50.00) 60.00
(101.10) 11.20
(×) No. of Shares 1,000 1,000
Gain/Loss (1,01,100) 11,200
Question – 04
Mr. X established the following strategy on the Delta Corporation‟s stock :
Solution:
(i) Price of share on maturity ₹ 500: In this situation, Mr. X will not
exercise call option & put option, hence
Gross Payoff =0
Loss = ₹ 35
(ii) Price of share ₹ 350: In this situation, Mr. X will exercise his put option
& call option will lapse
Profit = ₹ 65
(iii) Price of share ₹ 600: In this situation, Mr. X will exercise his call option
& put option will lapse
Profit = ₹ 15
Question – 05
The market received rumour about ABC corporation‟s tie-up with a
multinational company. This has induced the market price to move up. If the
rumour is false, the ABC corporation stock price will probably fall dramatically.
To protect from this an investor has bought the call and put options.
(i) Determine the Investor‟s position if the tie up offer bids the price of ABC
Corporation‟s stock up to ₹ 43 in 3 months.
(ii) Determine the Investor‟s ending position, if the tie up program me fails
and the price of the stocks falls to ₹ 36 in 3 months.
Solution:
= ₹ 300
Price of Shares ₹ 43
In this situation call option will exercise & put option will lapse
Loss =₹2
Loss = ₹ 200
Price of Shares ₹ 36
In this situation call option will Lapse & put option will Exercise
Gain =₹1
Gain = ₹ 100
Question – 06
Equity share of PQR Ltd. is presently quoted at ₹ 320. The Market Price of the
share after 6 months has the following probability distribution:
You are required to find out expected value of option at maturity (i.e. 6 months)
Solution:
Share Price Action Gross Pay Off Probability Gross Pay Off
× Probability
180 Exercised 120 0.1 12
260 Exercised 40 0.2 8
280 Exercised 20 0.5 10
320 Lapsed 0 0.1 0
400 Lapsed 0 0.1 0
Expected Value of Option ₹ 30
Question – 07
You had purchased a 3 month call option on the Equity shares of Satya Ltd for
a premium of ₹ 30 each, the current market price of the share is ₹ 560 and the
exercise price is ₹ 590. You expect the price range between ₹ 540 to ₹ 640.
The expected share price of Satya Ltd and related probability is given below:
(ii) Value of call option at the end of 3 months, if the exercise price prevails,
(iii) In case the option is held to its maturity, what will be the expected value
of the call option?
(iv) Find out the price of the shares quoted at the stock exchange to get the
value of the call option as computed in (iii) above.
(Exam May – 2022)
Solution:
= ₹ 597
= ₹ 607
BINOMIAL MODEL
Question – 08
The current market price of an equity share of Penchant Ltd is ₹ 420. Within a
period of 3 months, the maximum and minimum price of it is expected to be ₹
500 and ₹ 400 respectively. If the risk free rate of interest be 8% p.a., what
should be the value of a 3 months Call option under the “Risk Neutral” method
at the strike rate of ₹ 450?
Given e0.02 = 1.0202
Solution:
Step 1: Given
S = ₹ 420
₹ 500
us = = ₹ 1.1905
₹ 420
₹ 400
ds = = ₹ 0.9524
₹ 420
E = ₹ 450
3
R =8× = 2%
12
E0.02 = 1.0202
Cup + Cd (1 – p)
C0 =
e rt
= ₹ 13.94
Question – 09
Sumana wanted to buy shares of ElL which has a range of ₹ 411 to ₹ 592 a
month later. The present price per share is ₹ 421. Her broker informs her that
the price of this share can sore up to ₹ 522 within a month or so, so that she
should buy a one-month CALL of ElL. In order to be prudent in buying the call,
the share price should be more than or at least ₹ 522 the assurance of which
could not be given by her broker.
Though she understands the uncertainty of the market, she wants to know the
probability of attaining the share price ₹ 592 so that buying of a one-month
CALL of EIL at the execution price of ₹ 522 is justified. Advice her. Take the
risk-free interest to be 3.60% and e0.036 = 1.037.
Solution:
ert – d
P =
u–d
592
u = = 1.4062
421
411
d = = 0.9762
421
1.037 – 0.9762
P = = 0.1414
1.4062 – 0.9762
Question – 10
A two year tree for a share of stock in ABC Ltd., is as follows:
Consider a two years American call option on the stock of ABC Ltd., with a
strike price of ₹ 98. The current price of the stock is ₹ 100. Risk free return is 5
per cent per annum with a continuous compounding and e0·05 = 1.05127.
Assume two time periods of one year each.
(ii) Expected pay offs at each nodes i.e. N1, N2 and N3 (round off upto 2
decimal points).
(Exam Nov – 2020)
Solution:
N3
0.22 90.25
ert – d
P =
u–d
1.05127 – 0.95
P =
1.08 – 0.95
= 0.78
N2
= 14.79
= ₹ 10
N3
= 3.41
Intrinsic Value =0
N1
= 11.69
Intrinsic Value =2
Question – 11
Consider a two-year call option with a strike price of ₹ 50 on a stock the
current price of which is also ₹ 50. Assume that there are two-time periods of
one year and in each year the stock price can move up or down by equal
percentage of 20%. The risk-free interest rate is 6%. Using binominal option
model, calculate the probability of price moving up and down. Also draw a two-
step binomial tree showing prices and payoffs at each node.
Solution:
Year 1 72
0.65
₹ 13.49 D 22
₹ 60
₹ 8.272 0.65
B ₹ 10 0.35
₹ 50 48
0.65
A 0
E 4.60
0.35
₹ 40
C
0.35 32
F 0
(ii) Risk Neutral Probability
Intrinsic Value = ₹ 10
Intrinsic Value = 50 – 50 = 0
Question – 12
Mr. Dayal is interested in purchasing equity shares of ABC Ltd. which are
currently selling at ₹ 600 each. He expects that price of share may go upto ₹
780 or may go down to ₹ 480 in three months. The chances of occurring such
variations are 60% and 40% respectively. A call option on the shares of ABC
Ltd. can be exercised at the end of three months with a strike price of ₹ 630.
(i) What combination of share and option should Mr. Dayal select if he
wants a perfect hedge?
(ii) What should be the value of option today (the risk free rate is 10% p.a.)?
Solution:
Given: S = ₹ 600
us = ₹ 780
ds = ₹ 480
Period = 3 Months
E = ₹ 630
Option = Call
Delta Hedging
₹ 780 Cu = 150
₹ 600
₹ 480 Cd = 0
Cu – Cd
Delta of Call =
us − ds
150 – 0
= = 0.5
₹ 780 − ₹ 480
Write a Call Option & buy 0.5 share today for perfect hedge.
240
Present Value Cash Inflow =
1.025
= 234.15
= ₹ 65.85
= ₹ 90
90 – 65.85
Expected Rate of Return = × 100
65.85
= 36.67%
Question – 13
Following is the information available pertaining to shares of Omni Ltd.:
(i) Calculate the 3 months call option by using Binomial Method and Risk
Neutral Method. Are the calculated values under both the models are
same?
(ii) State also clearly the basis of Valuation of options under these models.
Solution:
₹ 75 − 0
∆= = 0.51
₹ 525 − ₹ 378
Delta of Call = 0.51 means write 1 call & buy 0.51 share.
If price 525
If price 378
Call Lapse =0
192.78
P.V. off payoff = = 188.96
1.0202
147p = 50.48
p = 0.34
0.34 × 75 + 0.66 × 0
= ₹ 25.24
1.0202
Question – 14
From the following data for certain stock, find the value of a call option:
Exercise price = ₹ 75
Given
Number of S.D. from Mean, (z) Area of the left or right (one tail)
0.25 0.4013
0.30 0.3821
0.55 0.2912
0.60 0.2743
e0.12×0.5 = 1.062
In 1.0667 = 0.0646
Solution:
S (σ) 2
Ln 0 + r + t
E 2
d1 =
σ t
80 (0.40)2
Ln + 0.12 + 0.5
75 2
d1 =
0.400.5
Ln 1.0667 + 0.10
d1 =
0.2828
0.0646 + 0.10
d1 = = 0.5820
0.2828
d2 = d1 − σt
[BSM म मश Cumulative Area खन ै । But d1 & d2 negative दय ै तो दिर म
Tail Aera खेग]
d1 = 0.5820
n(d1) =
0.55 0.2912
0.60 0.2743
0.05 0.0169
0.0169
n(d1) = 0.2912 − × 0.032
0.05
n(d1) = 0.2804
d2 = 0.2992
n(d2) =
0.25 0.4013
0.30 0.3821
0.05 0.0192
0.0192
n(d2) = 0.4013 − × 0.0492
0.05
n(d2) = 0.3824
E
C0 = S0 × n(d1) − × n(d2)
ert
75
= 80 × 0.7196 – × 0.6176
e0.12 × 0.5
75
= 80 × 0.7196 – × 0.6176
1.062
= ₹ 13.952
Question – 15
The shares of TIC Ltd. are currently priced at ₹ 415 and call option exercisable
in three months‟ time has an exercise rate of ₹ 400. Risk free interest rate is
5% p.a. and standard deviation (volatility) of the share price is 22%. The TIC
Ltd. is not going to declare any dividend over the next three months.
(ii) CALCULATE the value of aforesaid call option if the current price of
share is considered as ₹ 380.
(iii) CALCULATE the value of aforesaid call option if present price of share is
taken as ₹ 408 and a dividend of ₹ 10 is expected to be paid in the two
months‟ time.
Given
Solution:
SD (Volatility) = 22%
415 1
In
400
+0.05 +20.222 0.25
d1 =
0.220.25
0.03681+ 0.01855
= = 0.5033
0.11
415 1
In
400
+0.05 - 20.222 0.25
d2 =
0.220.25
0.03681+ 0.00645
= = 0.3933
0.11
E
Vo = Vs N(d1) − N(d2)
ert
400
Value of Option = 415(0.6926) − (0.6530)
e(0.05)(0.25)
400
= 287.43 − (0.6530)
1.0126
Extra Work
Value of Put Option: अगर Value of Call दय हआ ै तो Value of Put, Put
Call Parity स Calculate दकय ज सकत ै ।
S0 + P0 = C0 + P.V. of EP
400
415 + P0 = 29.48 +
1.0126
P0 = 9.50
E
× N(-d2) – S0 N(-d1)
ert
400
× 0.347 – 415 × 0.3074
1.0126
P0 = 9.50
(2) If the current price is taken as ₹ 380 the computations are as follows:
380 1
In
400
+0.05 + 20.222 0.25
d1 =
0.220.25
-0.05129 + 0.01855
= = - 0.2976
0.11
380 1
In
400
+0.05 − 20.222 0.25
d2 =
0.220.25
-0.05129 + 0.00645
= = - 0.4076
0.11
400
Value of Option = 380(0.3830) − (0.3418)
e(0.05)(0.25)
400
= 145.54 − (0.3418)
1.0126
(3) Since dividend is expected to be paid in two months time was we have to
adjust the share price and then use Black Scholes model to value the
option:
= Dividend ÷ ert
= ₹ 10/1.0084 = ₹ 9.92
398.08 1
In
400
+0.05 +20.222 0.25
d1 =
0.220.25
-0.00481 + 0.01855
= = 0.1250
0.11
398.08 1
In
400
+0.05 − 20.222 0.25
d2 =
0.220.25
-0.00481 + 0.00645
= = 0.0150
0.11
400
Value of Option = 398.08(0.5497) − (0.5060)
e(0.05)(0.25)
400
= 218.82 − (0.5060)
1.0126
Question – 16
On 31/08/2021 Mr. R has taken a Long position of Two lots of Nifty Futures at
17300.
(i) Prepare a statement showing the daily balances in the margin account &
payment on margin calls, if any.
(iii) What would be the Gain or Loss if Mr. R, had taken the short position?
Solution:
= ₹ 1,73,000
= ₹ 1,38,400
Loss = ₹ 18,000
OR
Margin Account
Gain or Loss
Gain = ₹ 18,000
Question – 17
Sensex futures are traded at a multiple of 50. Consider the following quotations
of Sensex futures in the 10 trading days during February, 2009:
Abhishek bought one sensex futures contract on February, 04. The average
daily absolute change in the value of contract is ₹ 10,000 and standard
deviation of these changes is ₹ 2,000. The maintenance margin is 75% of initial
margin.
You are required to determine the daily balances in the margin account and
payment on margin calls, if any.
Solution:
= 10,000 + (3 × 2000)
= ₹ 16,000
= ₹ 12,000
Question – 18
The following data relate to Anand Ltd.'s share price:
Solution:
F = S (1 + r) – D
= ₹435
(2) Arbitrage
(i) Action: Since future is overpriced, hence sell future & buy spot
(ii) Process
Today
After 6 Months
Cash Inflows
Cash outflows
Arbitrage Gain = ₹ 42
Question – 19
Calculate the price of 3 months PQR futures, if PQR (FV ₹ 10) quotes ₹ 220 on
NSE and the three months future price quotes at ₹ 230 and the one month
borrowing rate is given as 15 percent per annum and the expected annual
dividend is 25 percent, payable before expiry. Also examine arbitrage
opportunities.
Solution:
F = S (1 + r) – D
= ₹ 225.75
(2) Arbitrage
(i) Action: Since future is overpriced. Hence, buy spot & sell future.
(ii) Process:
Today:
After 3 Months
Dividend = +2.50
Question – 20
The share of X Ltd. is currently selling for ₹ 300. Risk free interest rate is 0.8%
per month. A three month futures contract is selling for ₹ 312. Develop an
arbitrage strategy and show what your riskless profit will be 3 months hence
assuming that X Ltd. will not pay any dividend in the next three months.
Solution:
F = S (1 + r)
= 300 × (1.008)3
= ₹ 307.26
(II) Arbitrage
(i) Action: Since future is overpriced, hence buy spot & sell future.
(ii) Process
Today
After 3 Months
Note: यदि rate per month दिया है तो monthly compounding लेना है।
Question – 21
The 6-months forward price of a security is ₹ 208.18. The borrowing rate is 8%
per annum payable with monthly rests. What should be the spot price?
Solution:
208.18 = S (1.0067)6
S = ₹ 200
Question – 22
On 31-8-2011, the value of stock index was ₹ 2,200. The risk free rate of return
has been 8% per annum. The dividend yield on this Stock Index is as under:
July 3%
August 4%
September 3%
October 3%
November 4%
December 3%
Assuming that interest is continuously compounded daily, find out the future
price of contract deliverable on 31-12-2011. Given: e0.01583 = 1.01593
Solution:
3+3+4+3
=
4
= 3.25% p.a.
F = S × e(r – d)t
= 2,200 × e0.01583
= 2,200 × 1.01593
= 2,235.046
Question – 23
The NSE-50 Index futures are traded with rupee value being ₹100 per index
point. On 15th September, the index closed at 1195, and December futures
(last trading day December 15) were trading at 1225. The historical dividend
yield on the index has been 3% per annum and the borrowing rate was 9.5%
per annum.
(i) Determine whether on September 15, the December futures were under-
priced or overpriced?
(iii) Calculate the gains and losses if the index on 15thDecember closes at (a)
1260 (b) 1175.
Solution:
91
= 195 1 + (0.095 − 0.03) ×
365
= 1,214.37
(i) Since actual future price is more than Theoretical Future Price
hence future is overpriced.
(ii) Since future is overpriced, hence buy spot & sell future [short
position]
(iii) - Borrow ₹ (1,195 × 100) @ 9.5% p.a. for 91 days & buy index
After 91 Days
1260 1175
(1,260 × 100) (1,175 × 100)
Sell Index + 1,26,000 + 1,17,500
Dividend Received
91 + 893.79 + 893.79
1,195 × 3% × × 100
365
Repayment
91
1,195 1 + (0.095 × ) × 100 - 1,22,330.35 - 1,22,330.35
365
Question – 24
Suppose current price of an index is ₹ 13,800 and yield on index is 4.8% (p.a.).
A 6 months future contract on index is trading at ₹ 14,340.
Assuming that risk free rate of interest is 12%. Show Mr. X (an arbitrageur) can
earn an abnormal rate of return irrespective of outcome after 6 months . You
can assume that after 6 months index closes at ₹ 10,200 and ₹ 15,600 and
50% of stock included in index shall pay dividend in next 6 months. Also
Calculate implied risk free rate.
Solution:
F = 13,800(1.06)
= 14,628 – 331.20
= 14,296.80
Since future is overpriced hence buy spot & sell future (short position)
10,200 15,600
Sell Index + 10,200 + 15,600
Dividend + 331.20 + 331.20
Buy Index (Spot) - 13,800 - 13,800
Gain/Loss on Short Position + 4,140 - 1,260
Arbitrage Gain 871.20 871.20
871.20 12
Implied Risk Free Rate = × 100 ×
13,800 6
= 12.63% p.a.
Note: जब भी Implied Risk Free Rate मा गग Borrowing नी ा न ै ।
Question – 25
A future contract is available on R Ltd. that pays an annual dividend of ₹4 and
whose stock is currently priced at ₹125. Each future contract calls for delivery
of 1,000 shares to stock in one year, daily marking to market. The corporate
treasury bill rate is 8%.
Required:
(i) Given the above information, what should the price of one future
contract be?
(ii) If the company stock price decreases by 6%, what will be the price of
one futures contract?
(iii) As a result of the company stock price decrease, will an investor that
has a long position in one futures contract of R Ltd. realizes a gain or
loss ? What will be the amount of his gain or loss?
Solution:
F = S (1 + r) – D
= ₹ 125 (1.08) – 4
= ₹ 131
= ₹ 1,31,000
F = 117.50 (1.08) – 4
= ₹ 122.90
= ₹ 1,22,900
Question – 26
The price of ACC stock on 31 December 2010 was ₹ 220 and the futures price
on the same stock on the same date, i.e., 31 December 2010 for March 2011
was ₹ 230. Other features of the contract and related information are as
follows:
Time to expiration - 3 months (0.25 year)
Solution:
ii. He will buy the ACC stock at ₹ 220 by borrowing the amount @ 15 % for
a period of 3 months and at the same time sell the March 2011 futures
on ACC stock. By 31st March 2011, he will receive the dividend of ₹ 2.50
per share. On the expiry date of 31st March, he will deliver the ACC stock
against the March futures contract sales.
Thus, the arbitrage earns ₹ 4.25 per share without involving any risk.
Question – 27
On April 1, 2015, an investor has a portfolio consisting of eight securities as
shown below:
The cost of capital for the investor is 20% p.a. continuously compounded. The
investor fears a fall in the prices of the shares in the near future. Accordingly,
he approaches you for the advice to protect the interest of his portfolio.
(3) Futures for May are currently quoted at 8700 and Futures for June are
being quoted at 8850.
(ii) The theoretical value of the futures contract for contracts expiring in May
and June. Given (e0.03 =1.03045, e0.04 = 1.04081, e0.05 =1.05127)
(iii) The number of NIFTY contracts that he would have to sell if he desires to
hedge until June in each of the following cases:
Solution:
= 8,500 × 1.03387
= 8,787.89
Interpolation
e0.03------------------------ 1.03045
e0.0333
e0.04------------------------ 1.04081
e0.01 0.01036
0.01036
1.03045 + × 0.0033
0.01
= 1.03387
June Future
= 8,500 × 1.05127
= ₹ 8,935.79
VP × BT − BP
No. of Contract =
F×M
= 4.95 Contracts
5 contracts sold
= 2.48 Contracts
2 contracts sold
= 5.94 Contracts
6 contracts sold.
Question – 28
Details about portfolio of shares of an investor is as below:
The investor thinks that the risk of portfolio is very high and wants to reduce
the portfolio beta to 0.91. He is considering two below mentioned alternative
strategies:
(i) Dispose off a part of his existing portfolio to acquire risk free securities,
or
(ii) Take appropriate position on Nifty Futures which are currently traded at
8125 and each Nifty points is worth ₹ 200.
Solution:
1. Beta of Portfolio
x = 1,500
ICAI
BT 0.91
Wp = = = 0.70
BP 1.30
Investment in Rf = ₹ 1,500
3. No. of Shares
VP × (BT − BP )
No. =
F×M
91
% of Gain/Loss = × 100 = 1.82%
5,000
Question – 29
On January 1, 2013 an investor has a portfolio of 5 shares as given below:
(ii) The theoretical value of the NIFTY futures for February 2013.
(iii) The number of contracts of NIFTY the investor needs to sell to get a full
hedge until February for his portfolio if the current value of NIFTY is
5900 and NIFTY futures have a minimum trade lot requirement of 200
units. Assume that the futures are trading at their fair value.
(iv) The number of future contracts the investor should trade if he desires to
reduce the beta of his portfolios to 0.6.
Solution:
1. Beta of Portfolio
2. Theoretical Future
F = S × ert
= 5,900 × e0.01668
= 5,900 × 1.01682
= 5,999.24
VP × BT −BP
No. =
F ×M
1,88,54,860 × 0 − 0.849
=
5,999.24 × 200
4. BT = 0.6
Question – 30
Following information is available for consideration:
We assume that a future contract on the BSE index with 4 months maturity is
used to hedge the value of portfolio over next 3 months. One future contract is
for delivery of 50 times the index.
Solution:
F = S [1 + (r – d)t]
= ₹ 25,250
= ₹ 12,62,500
Vp (BT − Bp )
No. of Contracts =
F ×M
50,50,000 × (0 – 1.5)
=
25,250 × 50
= 6 Contracts Short
1
F = 22,500 1 + (0.09 − 0.06)
12
= 22,556.25
= ₹ 8,08,125
Question – 31
A Future contract on BSE Index with 4 months maturity is used to hedge the
value of the portfolio over the next 3 months. One future contract for delivery is
50 times of the index.
Solution:
F = S [1 + (r – d)t]
S = ₹ 58,000
S = ₹ 56,500
VP BT −BP
No. of Contracts =
F ×M
1,16,00,000 0 – 1.50
=
58,580 × 50
= 6 Contracts Short
Question – 32
Mr. X is having a portfolio of shares worth ₹ 170 lakhs at current price and
cash ₹ 30 lakhs. The beta of share portfolio is 1.6. After 3 months the price of
shares dropped by 3.2%.
Determine:
(ii) Portfolio beta after 3 months if Mr. X on current date goes for long
position on ₹ 200 lakhs Nifty futures.
Solution:
= 1.36
∆ Stock 3.2
β = = 1.6 = = 2%
∆ Market ∆ Market
Gain OR Loss
200 × 2% = 4
Loss = (170 × 3.2%) = 5.44
9.44
Loss in (%) = × 100 = 4.72%
200
4.72%
Beta = = 2.36
2%
Question – 33
Mr. SG sold five 4-Month Nifty Futures on 1st February 2020 for ₹ 9,00,000. At
the time of closing of trading on the last Thursday of May 2020 (expiry), Index
turned out to be 2100. The contract multiplier is 75.
Based on the above information calculate:
(ii) Approximate Nifty Sensex on 1st February 2020 if the Price of Future
Contract on same date was theoretically correct. On the same day Risk
Free Rate of Interest and Dividend Yield on Index was 9% and 6% p.a.
respectively.
Solution:
₹ 9,00,000
Price = = ₹ 1,80,000
5
₹ 1,80,000
F = = 2,400
75
F = S [1 + (r – d)t]
S = 2,376
(iii) Contango/Backwardation
Positive Backwardation
= ₹ 24
= ₹ 1,12,500
Question – 34
A Mutual Fund is holding the following assets in ₹ Crores :
100.00
The Beta of the equity shares portfolio is 1.1. The index future is selling at
4300 level. The Fund Manager apprehends that the index will fall at the most
by 10%. How many index futures he should short for perfect hedging? One
index future consists of 50 units.
Solution:
No. of Contracts
Vp (BT −BP )
=
F × M × BF
₹ 90 Cr. (0 – 1.10)
= = 4,605 Contracts Short
4,300 × 50 × 1
Substantiate
If Nifty by 10%
Question – 35
Shyam buys 10,000 shares of X Ltd., @ ₹ 25 per share and obtains a complete
hedge of shorting 400 Nifty at ₹ 1,100 each. He closes out his position at the
closing price of the next day when the share of X Ltd., has fallen by 4% and
Nifty Future has dropped by 2.5%.
Solution:
Today Investment
Calculation of Profit/Loss
Alternative
Question – 36
Which position on the index future gives a speculator, a complete hedge
against the following transactions:
(i) The share of Right Limited is going to rise. He has a long position on the
cash market of ₹ 50 lakhs on the Right Limited. The beta of the Right
Limited is 1.25.
(iii) The share of Fair Limited is going to stagnant. He has a short position on
the cash market of ₹ 20 lakhs of the Fair Limited. The beta of the Fair
Limited is 0.75.
Solution:
Question – 37
Ram buys 10,000 shares of X Ltd. at a price of ₹ 22 per share whose beta value
is 1.5 and sells 5,000 shares of A Ltd. at a price of ₹ 40 per share having a beta
value of 2. He obtains a complete hedge by Nifty futures at ₹ 1,000 each. He
closes out his position at the closing price of the next day when the share of X
Ltd. dropped by 2%, share of A Ltd. appreciated by 3% and Nifty futures
dropped by 1.5%.
Solution:
70,000
No. of Contract = = 70 Contracts Long
1,000
Overall Profit/Loss
Question – 38
On 1 April 2015, Sunidhi was holding a portfolio of 10 securities whose value
was ₹ 9,94,450, the weighted average of beta of 9 securities was 1.10.
Since she was expecting a fall in the prices of the shares in near future to
hedge her portfolio she sold 5 contract of NIFTY Futures (Multiplier of 25)
expiring in May 2015, which was trading at 8767.07 on 1 April.
(b) Reconcile the reasons in spite of 2% fall in the market as per Sunidhi‟s
apprehension if she would have earned some profit on her cash position.
Solution:
(i) To compute the beta of 10th security first we shall compute overall
weighted beta as follows:
9,94,450
5= ×w
8,767.07 × 25
w = 1.102 approximately
β = 1.12
(ii) The main reason for the profit in cash position might due to reason that
contrary to her expectation fall in the value of cash position there may be
increase in value of cash position.
Question – 39
The following information is available about standard gold.
From the above information you are requested to calculate the Present Value of
Convenience yield (PVC) of the standard gold.
Solution:
Future Price = (Spot Price + Present Value of Storage Cost – Present Value
of Convenience Yield) (1 + r)
PVCY = 740
Question – 40
A company is long on 10 MT of copper @ ₹ 534 per kg (spot) and intends to
remain so for the ensuing quarter. The variance of change in its spot and
future prices are 16% and 36% respectively, having correlation coefficient of
0.75. The contract size of one contract is 1,000 kgs.
Required:
(i) Calculate the Optimal Hedge Ratio for perfect hedging in Future Market.
(ii) Advice the position to be taken in Future Market for perfect hedging.
(iii) Determine the number and the amount of the copper futures to achieve a
perfect hedge.
Solution:
(i) The optional hedge ratio to minimize the variance of Hedger‟s position is
given by:
σS
H =ρ
σF
Where,
H = Hedge Ratio
Accordingly
0.04
H = 0.75 × = 0.5
0.06
(ii) Since the company is long position in Spot (Cash) Market it shall take
Short Position in Future Market.
10,000 Kgs
No. of contract to be short = × 0.50 = 5 Contracts
1,000 Kgs
Question – 41
A Rice Trader has planned to sell 22,000 kg of Rice after 3 months from now.
The spot price of the Rice is ₹ 60 per kg and 3 months Future on the same is
trading at ₹ 59 per kg. Size of the contract is 1000 kg. The price is expected to
fall as low as ₹ 56 per kg, 3 months hence.
Required:
(ii) To advise the trader the trader should take in Future Market to mitigate
its risk of reduced profit.
(iii) To demonstrate effective realized price for its sale if he decides to make
use of future market and after 3 months, spot price is ₹ 57 per kg and
future contract price for closing the contract is ₹ 58 per kg.
Solution:
(1) Rice Trader hold the stock for 3 months & expects that price rise. Hence,
he has Long Position in cash market.
(2) He should take Short Position in future market to hedge risk of price fall.
Total = ₹ 12,76,000
Question – 42
A call option on gold with exercise price ₹ 26,000 per ten gram and three
months to expire is being traded at a premium of ₹ 1,010 per ten gram. It is
expected that in three months time the spot price might change to ₹ 27,300 or
24,700 per ten gram. At present this option is at-the-money and the rate of
interest with simple compounding is 12% per annum. Is the current premium
for the option justified?
Solution:
Risk Neutral
R = 1.03
27,300
u = = 1.05
26,000
24,700
d = = 0.95
26,000
R–d
P =
u–d
1.03 – 0.95
= = 0.8
1.05 – 0.95
= 1,010
REAL OPTION
Question – 43
IPL already in production of Fertilizer is considering a proposal of building a
new plant to produce pesticides. Suppose the PV of proposal is ₹ 100 crore
without the abandonment option. However, if market conditions for pesticide
turns out to be favorable the PV of proposal shall increase by 30%. On the
other hand, market conditions remain sluggish the PV of the proposal shall be
reduced by 40%. In case company is not interested in continuation of the
project it can be disposed of for ₹ 80 crore.
Solution:
₹ 100
60 80 – 60 = 20
30 P + (-40) (1 – P) =8
30 P – 40 + 40 P =8
48
70 P = 48 P= = 0.686
70
Question – 44
Suppose MIS Ltd. is considering installation of solar electricity generating plant
for light the staff quarters. The plant shall cost ₹ 2.50 crore and shall lead to
saving in electricity expenses at the current tariff by ₹ 21 lakh per year forever.
Assuming WACC of MIS Ltd. is 10% and risk-free rate of rate of return is 8%.
Decide whether MIS Ltd. should accept the project or wait and see.
Solution:
21
= – 250 lacs
10%
0.348 12
120
10%
NPV = 120 – 250 = -130
350 – 250
= × 100 = 40%
250
120 – 250
= × 100 = -52%
250
40 P + (-52) (1-P) =8
40 P – 52 + 52 P =8
92 P = 60
60
P =
92
= 0.652
= ₹ 18.48 lacs
Question – 45
ABC Ltd. is a pharmaceutical company possessing a patent of a drug called
„Aidrex‟, a medicine for aids patient. Being an approach drug ABC Ltd. holds
the right of production of drugs and its marketing. The period of patent is 15
years after which any other pharmaceutical company produce the drug with
same formula. It is estimated that company shall require to incur $ 12.5
million for development and market of the drug. As per a survey conducted the
expected present value of cash flows from the sale of drug during the period of
15 years shall be $ 16.7 million. Cash flow from the previous similar type of
drug have exhibited a variance of 26.8% of the present value of cash flows. The
current yield on Treasury Bonds of similar duration (15 years) is 7.8%.
Determine the value of the patent.
Solution:
Given
E = $ 12.5
So = $ 16.7
t = 15 years
Variance = 0.268
σ = 0.268 = 0.5177
r = 0.078
y = 1/15 = 0.0667
Step 1 d1 & d2
S σ 2
Ln 0 + r − y + t
E 2
d1 =
σ t
16.7 0.268
Ln + 0.78−0.0667 + 15
12.50 2
=
0.268 × 15
Ln 1.336 + 2.1795
=
2.005
0.2897 + 2.1795
= = 1.2315
2.005
d2 = d1 − σ t
= 1.2315 – 2.005
= -0.7735
N (d1)
N (1.2315)
1.20 0.1151
1.25 0.1056
0.05 0.0095
0.0095
0.1151 – × 0.0315 = 0.1091
0.05
N (d2)
N (-0.7735)
N (d2) = 0.2196
Value of Patent
= $ 5.4707 – $ 0.8520
= $ 4.619 Millions.
DERIVATIVES THEORY
- More Complex
- Traded at OTC
3. Compound option:
7. Binary Option:
Types of CDOS
3. Arbitrage CDOS
- Electricity spot price in India are volatile hence there is a need for
hedging instrument to reduce price risk.
- This will help the buyer to pay fixed price irrespective of variation in spot
electricity prices
(i) Forward
(ii) Future
(iii) Swap
1. Orange country‟s
Municipality
Over leveraged
Nick Leeson
Barings Bank became bankrupt, Dutch Bank purchase this Bank for £ 1
LIBOR Rise
LESSONS
(i) Don‟t buy any derivative product that your don‟t understand.
Among these factors, exercise price is constant, remaining factors may change.
Option price will change due to change in these factors. We wish to carryout
sensitivity analysis i.e.
Rate of change in option price with respect to each factor, keeping other factors
constant. This rate of change have been assigned in Greek Letter.
(I) DELTA
(i) Delta means rate of change in option price with respect to stock price.
Since call is bullish & put is bearish hence call has positive delta & put
has negative delta.
(ii) Suppose delta of call 0.4 & Delta of put – 0.6 means.
- In Binomial
Hedge Ratio
(II) GAMMA
Delta does not move at same rate hence rate of changes in delta with respect
to rate of change in stock price is called Gamma.
(III) THETA
Rate of change in option price with respect to rate & change in time is called
theta.
(IV) VEGA
(V) RHO
Rate of change in option price with respect to increase rate is called “Rho”
Case Scenario 1
X and Y are two friends. since Y has earned a profit from trading in financial
derivative market, X is also considering speculating on Gamma corporation‟s
share which is currently trading at ₹ 700 per share through taking positions in
options on Gama corporation‟s stock:
(2) Purchasing one contract of 2-month put option with a premium of ₹25
and an exercise price of ₹ 600
After some time, trading in Option market and understanding the nitty-
gritties of same, X being CEO in an organization advised his team to
implement the concept of financial option in the capital budgeting
decision called „Real option‟.
1. Assuming that the contract size of each option contract is 100 and the
price of Gama corporation‟s share after two month falls to ₹550, the net
pay-off of X will be______
2. The per share price of Gama corporation‟s stock after 2 month at which
X shall be at Break even is_____
Answer-1 : ₹ 540
Answer-2 : ₹ 600
Answer-3 : ₹ 625
Answer-4: ₹ 785
Answer 1 : The difference between the prevailing spot price and the
future price.
Answer 2 : The difference between the current market price and the
strike price.
Answer 3 : The difference between the long position and the short
position.
Answer 1 : ₹ 3,993
Answer 2 : ₹ 4,050
Answer 3 : ₹ 4,020
Answer 4 : ₹ 4,034
7. Mr. A a speculator short 1000 shares of X Ltd. when the share price was
₹ 50 and closes out the position after 3 month when the share price was
₹ 43. The company pays a dividend of ₹ 3 per share during the 3 months.
The gain of Mr. a will be____
Answer 1 : ₹ 1,000
Answer 2 : ₹ 4,000
Answer 3 : ₹ 7,000
Answer 4 : ₹ 3,000
Answer 1 : Delta
Answer 2 : Gamma
Answer 3 : Alpha
Answer 4 : RHO
9. The spot price of an investment is ₹ 3,000 and the risk-free rate for all
maturities (with continuous compounding) is 10% p.a. suppose the
asset provides an income of ₹ 200 at the end of the first year and at the
second year, then three year forward prices shall be _______
Answer 1 : ₹ 1,967
Answer 2 : ₹ 3,584
Answer 3 : ₹ 4,515
Answer 4 : ₹ 4,050
Case Scenario 2
You as an investor had purchased a 4-month European Call Option on the
equity shares of X Ltd. for ₹ 10, of which the current market price is ₹ 132 per
share and the exercise price ` 150. You expect the price to range between ₹ 120
to ₹ 190. The expected share price of X Ltd. and related probability is given
below:
(a) ₹ 160.00
(b) ₹ 160.50
(c) ₹ 158.00
(d) ₹ 140.00
II. Suppose if the exercise price prevails at the end of 4 months the Value of
Call Option shall be…………
(a) ₹0
(b) ₹ 18
(c) ₹ 10
(d) ₹ 14
III. In case the option is held to its maturity, the expected value of the call
option shall be……………
(a) ₹0
(b) ₹ 18
(c) ₹ 10
(d) ₹ 14
IV. In the given different scenarios of expected prices of share of X Ltd. at the
time of maturity the option shall be in-the-money in ……………
scenarios.
(a) two
(b) three
(c) five
(a) two
(b) three
(c) five
Case Scenario 3
Suppose you are a risk manager at a financial institution, and your company
has loaned a significant amount of ₹ 500 crore to a company X Ltd. for a period
of 3 years at 6-month at MCLR plus 200 bps. You are concerned about X Ltd.'s
ability to repay the debt due to recent market volatility. To protect your
institution from potential default, you decide to purchase a Credit Default
Swap (CDS) from ABC Bank Ltd. for same notional amount at a premium
quoted at 1% per year through cash settlement
On the respective reset dates for the same period actual MCLR interest rate
comes out as follows:
Reset MCLR
1 9.75%
2 10.00%
3 10.25%
4 10.35%
5 10.50%
6 10.60%
4. Assuming no default occurs the total premium your company will pay
during the designated loan period shall be........
(a) ₹ 5 crore
(b) ₹ 10 crore
(c) ₹ 15 crore
(d) ₹ 30 crore
(a) ₹ 15 crore
(b) ₹ 30 crore
Case Scenario 4
Based on the following information, choose the correct answer from the
following questions:
From the information given above, choose the correct answer to the Question
no. 10 to 12:
II. In Situation III, the investor's position and the amount of profit/loss is:
III. In situation II, the investor's position and the amount of profit/loss is :