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Theory of
Stochastic Objects
Probability, Stochastic Processes
and Inference
CHAPMAN & HALL/CRC
Texts in Statistical Science Series
Series Editors
Joseph K. Blitzstein, Harvard University, USA
Julian J. Faraway, University of Bath, UK
Martin Tanner, Northwestern University, USA
Jim Zidek, University of British Columbia, Canada
Mathematical Statistics: Basic Ideas and Selected Multivariate Survival Analysis and Competing Risks
Topics, Volume II M. Crowder
P. J. Bickel and K. A. Doksum Statistical Analysis of Reliability Data
Analysis of Categorical Data with R M.J. Crowder, A.C. Kimber, T.J. Sweeting,
C. R. Bilder and T. M. Loughin and R.L. Smith
Statistical Methods for SPC and TQM An Introduction to Generalized Linear Models,
D. Bissell Third Edition
A.J. Dobson and A.G. Barnett
Introduction to Probability
J. K. Blitzstein and J. Hwang Nonlinear Time Series: Theory, Methods, and
Applications with R Examples
Bayesian Methods for Data Analysis, Third Edition R. Douc, E. Moulines, and D.S. Stoffer
B.P. Carlin and T.A. Louis
Introduction to Optimization Methods and Their
Statistics in Research and Development, Applications in Statistics
Second Edition B.S. Everitt
R. Caulcutt
Extending the Linear Model with R: Generalized
The Analysis of Time Series: An Introduction, Linear, Mixed Effects and Nonparametric Regression
Sixth Edition Models, Second Edition
C. Chatfield J.J. Faraway
Introduction to Multivariate Analysis Linear Models with R, Second Edition
C. Chatfield and A.J. Collins J.J. Faraway
Problem Solving: A Statistician’s Guide, A Course in Large Sample Theory
Second Edition T.S. Ferguson
C. Chatfield
Multivariate Statistics: A Practical Approach
Statistics for Technology: A Course in Applied B. Flury and H. Riedwyl
Statistics, Third Edition
C. Chatfield
Readings in Decision Analysis Exercises and Solutions in Statistical Theory
S. French L.L. Kupper, B.H. Neelon, and S.M. O’Brien
Discrete Data Analysis with R: Visualization and Design and Analysis of Experiments with R
Modeling Techniques for Categorical and Count J. Lawson
Data Design and Analysis of Experiments with SAS
M. Friendly and D. Meyer J. Lawson
Markov Chain Monte Carlo: Stochastic Simulation A Course in Categorical Data Analysis
for Bayesian Inference, Second Edition T. Leonard
D. Gamerman and H.F. Lopes
Statistics for Accountants
Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition S. Letchford
A. Gelman, J.B. Carlin, H.S. Stern, D.B. Dunson,
A. Vehtari, and D.B. Rubin Introduction to the Theory of Statistical Inference
H. Liero and S. Zwanzig
Multivariate Analysis of Variance and Repeated
Measures: A Practical Approach for Behavioural Statistical Theory, Fourth Edition
Scientists B.W. Lindgren
D.J. Hand and C.C. Taylor Stationary Stochastic Processes: Theory and
Practical Longitudinal Data Analysis Applications
D.J. Hand and M. Crowder G. Lindgren
Linear Models and the Relevant Distributions and Statistics for Finance
Matrix Algebra E. Lindström, H. Madsen, and J. N. Nielsen
D.A. Harville The BUGS Book: A Practical Introduction to
Logistic Regression Models Bayesian Analysis
J.M. Hilbe D. Lunn, C. Jackson, N. Best, A. Thomas, and
D. Spiegelhalter
Richly Parameterized Linear Models: Additive, Time
Series, and Spatial Models Using Random Effects Introduction to General and Generalized
J.S. Hodges Linear Models
H. Madsen and P. Thyregod
Statistics for Epidemiology
N.P. Jewell Time Series Analysis
H. Madsen
Stochastic Processes: An Introduction, Third Edition
P.W. Jones and P. Smith Pólya Urn Models
H. Mahmoud
The Theory of Linear Models
B. Jørgensen Randomization, Bootstrap and Monte Carlo
Methods in Biology, Third Edition
Pragmatics of Uncertainty B.F.J. Manly
J.B. Kadane
Statistical Regression and Classification:
Principles of Uncertainty From Linear Models to Machine Learning
J.B. Kadane N. Matloff
Graphics for Statistics and Data Analysis with R Introduction to Randomized Controlled Clinical
K.J. Keen Trials, Second Edition
Mathematical Statistics J.N.S. Matthews
K. Knight Statistical Rethinking: A Bayesian Course with
Introduction to Functional Data Analysis Examples in R and Stan
P. Kokoszka and M. Reimherr R. McElreath
Introduction to Multivariate Analysis: Linear and Statistical Methods in Agriculture and Experimental
Nonlinear Modeling Biology, Second Edition
S. Konishi R. Mead, R.N. Curnow, and A.M. Hasted
Nonparametric Methods in Statistics with SAS Statistics in Engineering: A Practical Approach
Applications A.V. Metcalfe
O. Korosteleva Theory of Stochastic Objects: Probability, Stochastic
Modeling and Analysis of Stochastic Systems, Processes and Inference
Third Edition A.C. Micheas
V.G. Kulkarni Statistical Inference: An Integrated Approach,
Exercises and Solutions in Biostatistical Theory Second Edition
L.L. Kupper, B.H. Neelon, and S.M. O’Brien H. S. Migon, D. Gamerman, and F. Louzada
Beyond ANOVA: Basics of Applied Statistics Spatio-Temporal Methods in Environmental
R.G. Miller, Jr. Epidemiology
G. Shaddick and J.V. Zidek
A Primer on Linear Models
J.F. Monahan Decision Analysis: A Bayesian Approach
J.Q. Smith
Stochastic Processes: From Applications to Theory
P.D Moral and S. Penev Analysis of Failure and Survival Data
P. J. Smith
Applied Stochastic Modelling, Second Edition
B.J.T. Morgan Applied Statistics: Handbook of GENSTAT
Analyses
Elements of Simulation
B.J.T. Morgan E.J. Snell and H. Simpson
Theory of
Stochastic Objects
Probability, Stochastic Processes
and Inference
Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xv
2 Statistical Inference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
2.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
2.2 Decision Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
ix
x CONTENTS
2.3 Point Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
2.3.1 Classical Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
2.3.2 Bayesian Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
2.3.3 Evaluating Point Estimators Using Decision Theory . . . . 40
2.3.4 Convergence Concepts and Asymptotic Behavior . . . . . . 42
2.4 Interval Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
2.4.1 Confidence Intervals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45
2.4.2 Highest Posterior Density Credible Sets . . . . . . . . . . . 46
2.4.3 Decision Theoretic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48
2.5 Hypothesis Testing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
2.5.1 Classic Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
2.5.2 Bayesian Testing Procedures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55
2.5.3 Decision Theoretic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58
2.5.4 Classical and Bayesian p-values . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60
2.5.5 Reconciling the Bayesian and Classical Paradigms . . . . . 65
2.6 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65
2.7 Exercises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66
Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 361
Preface
Random variables and random vectors have been well defined and studied for
over a century. Subsequently, in the history of statistical science, researchers began
considering collections of points together, which gave birth to point process theory
and more recently, to random set theory. This was mainly motivated due to advances
in technology and the types of data that experimenters began investigating, which
in turn led to the creation and investigation of advanced statistical methods able to
handle such data.
In this book we take the reader on a journey through some of the most essential
topics in mathematics and statistics, constantly building on previous concepts, mak-
ing the transition from elementary statistical inference to the advanced probabilistic
treatment more natural and concrete. Our central focus is defining and exploring the
concept of a random quantity or object in different contexts, where depending on
the data under consideration, “random objects” are described using random vari-
ables, vectors or matrices, stochastic processes, integrals and differential equations,
or point processes and random sets.
This view of random objects has not been adequately investigated and pre-
sented in mathematics and statistics textbooks that are out there since they have
mostly concentrated on specific parts of the aforementioned concepts. This is one
of the reasons why I undertake the task of writing a textbook that would present
the knowledge in a concrete way, through examples and exercises, which is sorely
needed in understanding statistical inference, probability theory and stochastic pro-
cesses. This approach will help the instructor of these topics to engage the students
through problem sets and present the theory and applications involved in a way that
they will appreciate.
Since this monumental task cannot be accomplished in a single textbook, the
theoretical and modeling topics considered have been organized in two texts; this
text is concerned with rudimentary to advanced theoretical aspects of random ob-
jects based on random variables, including statistical inference, probability theory
and stochastic processes. The modeling of these objects and their applications to
real life data is presented in the text Theory and Modeling of Stochastic Objects:
Point Processes and Random Sets (forthcoming, hereafter referred to as TMSO-
PPRS). The latter stochastic objects are a natural extension of random variables
xv
xvi PREFACE
and vectors and we can think of the TMSO-PPRS text as a natural continuation of
the theory presented herein.
In particular, we present a comprehensive account of topics in statistics in a
way that can be a natural extension of a more traditional graduate course in prob-
ability theory. This is especially true for Chapters 1 and 2, which is a feature that
has been lacking from available texts in probability theory. Another distinguishing
feature of this text is that we have included an amazing amount of material. More
precisely, one would need to use at least one book on real analysis, one in measure
and/or probability theory, one in stochastic processes, and at least one on statistics
to capture just the expository material that has gone into this text.
Being a teacher and mentor to undergraduate and graduate students, I have seen
their attempts to comprehend new material from rudimentary to advanced mathe-
matical and statistical concepts. I have also witnessed their struggles with essential
topics in statistics, such as defining a probability space for a random variable, which
is one of the most important constructs in statistics. This book attempts to introduce
these concepts in a novel way making it more accessible to students and researchers
through examples. This approach is lacking in most textbooks/monographs that one
can use to teach students.
Instructors and researchers in academia often find themselves complementing
material from several books in order to provide a spherical overview of the topics
of a class. This book is the result of my efforts over the years to provide comprehen-
sive and compact accounts of topics I had to teach to undergraduate and graduate
students.
Therefore, the book is targeted toward students at the master’s and Ph.D. levels,
as well as academicians in the mathematics and statistics disciplines. Although the
concepts will be built from the master’s level up, the book addresses advanced read-
ers in the later chapters. When used as a textbook, prior knowledge of probability
or measure theory is welcomed but not necessary.
In particular, Chapters 1 and 2 can be used for several courses on statistical
inference with minor additions for any proofs the instructor chooses to further il-
lustrate. In these chapters we summarize over a century and a half of development
in mathematical statistics. Depending on the level of the course, the instructor can
select specific exercises to supplement the text, in order to provide a better under-
standing and more depth into the concepts under consideration. For example, using
selectively the material and exercises from Chapters 1, 2, 4 and 5, I have taught
several sequences on statistical inference at the University of Missouri (MU), in-
cluding Stat7750/60 and 4750/60 (statistical inference course at the undergraduate
and master’s level), Stat8710/20 (intermediate statistical inference course at the
Ph.D. level) and Stat9710/20 (advanced inference for Ph.D. students).
At the master’s level, it is recommended that the instructor omits advanced top-
ics from Chapter 2, including most of the decision-theoretic topics and the corre-
PREFACE xvii
sponding proofs of the relevant results. Basic theorems and their proofs, such as
the Bayes or the factorization theorem, should be presented to the students in de-
tail. The proofs of such results are included as exercises, and the instructor can use
the solution manual in order to choose what they deem appropriate to illustrate to
the students.
For example, when teaching a statistical inference course for Ph.D. students, all
concepts presented in Chapters 1 and 2 should be introduced, as well as topics on
asymptotics from Chapter 5. However, certain proofs might be beyond the level of
an intermediate statistical inference course for Ph.D. students. For example, when
it comes to introducing evaluation of point estimators, we may omit the explicit
proof of all parts of the important remark 2.12 and simply present the material, or
the compactness results in Chapter 5, and focus only on the central limit theorems
or Slutsky and Cramér theorems.
For an advanced course on statistical inference at the Ph.D. level, one would
omit most of the rudimentary results of Chapter 1, and focus on topics from Chap-
ter 2 (inference), Chapter 4 (e.g., characteristic functions), and Chapter 5 (asymp-
totics), including all the important proofs of the theorems and remarks presented in
the text. Once again, the instructor can find the solution manual invaluable in this
case, since it will allow them to select the topics they want to present along with
concrete proofs.
Chapters 3-5 can be used to introduce measure theoretic probability to mathe-
matics and statistics graduate students. Some of the proofs should be skipped since
it would take more than one semester to go through all the material. More precisely,
over the past decade when I taught the advanced probability theory course Stat9810
at MU, I had to omit most of the measure theoretic proofs and be quite selective in
the material for a one-semester course. For example, important theorems and their
proofs, like Fubini, Kolmogorov 0-1 Law, Radon-Nikodym or Kolmogorov Three
Series, should be illustrated to the students in detail.
In contrast, one may skip the proofs of the theoretical development of the
Carathodory extension theorem, or omit the proofs of the decomposition theorems
(Chapter 3) and the compactness theorems of Chapter 5. Of course, most of the
important results in measure and probability theory and their proofs are still there
for the inquisitive student and researcher who needs to go deeper. These chapters
are fairly comprehensive and self-contained, which is important for Ph.D. students
that have not had an advanced real analysis course.
Chapter 6 is a fairly comprehensive account of stochastic processes in discrete
time and in particular Markov chains. This material has been used to teach an intro-
ductory course on stochastic processes to both undergraduate and master’s students
(Stat4850/7850), as well as Ph.D.-level students in one semester (Stat 9820, a con-
tinuation of Stat9810). Note that most of the development and exposition of discrete
Markov chains and processes does not require heavy measure theory as presented
xviii PREFACE
in Chapters 6 and 7, therefore making it accessible to a wide variety of students, in-
cluding undergraduates. A good working knowledge of matrix algebra is required
in this case, which is a requirement for the undergraduate and graduate students
when they take this course. In particular, the instructor simply needs to explain in a
rudimentary way “transition probability measures,” e.g., replace it with the notion
of transition probabilities and matrices, and then the material can be presented to
the students in a non-measure theoretic way.
The material in Chapter 7 has been used to teach stochastic processes in con-
tinuous time to Ph.D. (Stat 9820) and advanced master’s level students, including
topics from Chapter 6, as mentioned above. The instructor can supplement materi-
als from other chapters as they see fit in order to build the mathematical foundations
of the concepts presented as needed. For example, in the beginning of the class we
may conduct a mini review of probability theory and Markov chains before jumping
into continuous time stochastic processes.
As you begin reading, several features that help with the learning process should
immediately draw your attention; each chapter begins with basic illustrations and
ends with a more advanced treatment of the topic at hand. We are exploring and
reconciling, when feasible, both the frequentist and Bayesian approaches to the
topics considered. In addition, recent developments in statistics are presented or
referenced in the text and summary of each chapter.
Proofs for most of the theorems, lemmas and remarks presented in each chapter
are given in the text or are requested as exercises, with the exception of the rudi-
mentary Chapters 1 and 2, where the proofs are requested as exercises only. Proofs
and additional information on the topics discussed can be found in the books or
journal papers referenced at the summary section of each chapter. Of course, the
interested reader can find proofs to selected exercises in the supplementary online
material for the book (see website below).
The theorems and results presented in the text can range from easy to compli-
cated, and therefore, we usually follow them with an illustrative remark or example
to explain the new concept. To further help in our understanding of the material
and for quick reference, various topics and complements from mathematics and
statistics are included in an appendix.
The MATLAB R code used for the examples presented along with solutions
to exercises and other material, such as errata, can be found at the book website
https://www.crcpress.com/9781466515208.
There are many people that have contributed, in their own way, to the creation
of this book. I am grateful to the faculty members of the Department of Statistics at
the University of Missouri, USA, for their constructive interactions and discussions
over the years. In particular, special thanks go to my friends and colleagues Christo-
pher Wikle, Scott Holan, Stamatis Dostoglou and Joe Cavanaugh (University of
PREFACE xix
Iowa), and my friend and mentor Konstantinos Zografos from the Department of
Mathematics, University of Ioannina, Greece. Lastly, my academic advisor, Distin-
guished Professor of Statistics Dipak Dey, Department of Statistics, University of
Connecticut, USA, has been an inspiration to me over the years.
I am grateful to Professors Stamatis Dostoglou, Department of Mathematics,
University of Missouri, USA, Georg Lindgren, Department of Mathematical Statis-
tics, Centre for Mathematical Sciences, Lund, Sweden, and an anonymous re-
viewer, for their invaluable comments and suggestions regarding earlier versions
of the manuscript. Special thanks go to my friend and colleague Distinguished Pro-
fessor Noel Cressie, School of Mathematics and Applied Statistics, University of
Wollongong, Australia, for his support and encouragement over the years as I was
working on the manuscript, as well as for his advice regarding all aspects of the
book, including its title.
Additional thanks go to the hundreds of students for their undivided attention
while they had to take classes from me on these topics and have helped me better
myself through the teaching process. In particular, special thanks goes to all my
graduate students, especially to Jiaxun Chen and Alex Oard. I am also grateful to
Rob Calver, Michele Dimont, Becky Condit and the friends at Chapman-Hall/CRC
for their patience while the manuscript was composed and for their help with the
copy edit process.
Above all, my appreciation and love to my family, my daughters Vaso, Evi and
Christina, my wife Lada and my father Christos, for their unconditional love and
understanding.
I apologize in advance for any typos or errors in the text and I would be grateful
for any comments, suggestions or corrections the kind reader would like to bring to
my attention.
Sakis Micheas
December 2017
List of Figures
xxi
List of Tables
2.1 Schematic for any hypothesis testing problem along with the
occurrence of the Type I and II errors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
2.2 Simulations of Monte Carlo goodness-of-fit tests. We used
L = 100000 predictive samples for n = 10, 50, 100 observed sample
points and the data is simulated from three models Uni f (0, 1),
Gamma(10, 10), and N(−10, 1). We choose λ = 1 for the
hyperparameter, and p pred is provided for four statistics
T 1 (X) = X(1) , T 2 (X) = X(n) , T 3 (X) = X, and T 4 (X) = S 2 . Based on
these results T 1 emerges as the best test statistic in order to assess
the entertained model. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64
xxiii
List of Abbreviations
xxv
xxvi LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
PP Point Process
RHS Right-Hand Side
RCLL Right Continuous Left Limits
SLLN Strong Law of Large Numbers
sMG Sub-Martingale
SMG Super-Martingale
TMSO-PPRS Theory and Modeling of Stochastic Objects: Point Processes
and Random Sets
UMVUE Uniformly Minimum Variance Unbiased Estimator
WLLN Weak Law of Large Numbers
wlog Without Loss of Generality
w.p. With Probability
List of Symbols
xxvii
xxviii LIST OF SYMBOLS
an
an = o(bn ) bn
→ 0 as n → ∞
1:1 One-to-one (function)
h dQ i
dµ
Radon-Nikodym derivative of Q with respect to µ
p
R, R Real numbers in 1 and p dimensions
R = R ∪ {−∞} ∪ {+∞} Extended real line
R+ , R0+ {x ∈ R : x > 0}, {x ∈ R : x ≥ 0}
Q⊥µ Q and µ are mutually singular measures
[P], [µ] With respect to measure P or µ
Z Integers, {. . . , −2, −1, 0, 1, 2, . . .}
Z = Z ∪ {−∞} ∪ {+∞} Extended integers
Z+ , Z+0 , Z+ {1, 2, . . .}, {0, 1, 2, . . .}, {0, 1, 2, . . . , +∞}
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interstitial tissue. Litten's65 explanation, sustained by his
experiments, is that the venous reflux, after a closure of the
pulmonary artery, is by no means necessary to the formation of an
infarction. The infarction fails if the pulmonary artery and the
bronchial artery, and those arteries lying outside the lungs, but in
circulatory connection with them—the pleural—are simultaneously
shut off. If the whole arterial supply be thus taken away, but a living
connection be maintained by means of the veins, an infarction does
not follow, while it immediately follows if, at the same time with the
open veins and closed pulmonary arteries, the collateral or
supplementary circulation be kept free. A venous reflux cannot occur
so long as a circulation in the capillaries of the lung is sustained by
collateral arterial branches. The explanation is that in an
unobstructed circulation the entire resistance which is offered to the
blood-stream in the capillaries of the lung is overcome by the
pressure existing in the pulmonary artery, which, corresponding to
the greater width of the capillaries, is much less than the pressure in
the corporeal arteries. If the pulmonary artery becomes suddenly
impermeable, the pressure in the collateral arteries, which originates
partly from the bronchial artery, and partly from those outside of,
but in connection with, the lungs, as the pleural, etc., is sufficient to
prevent a venous reflux, but not sufficient to overcome the entire
resistance in the lungs and to drive the blood beyond the capillaries
into the left auricle. Then follows an accumulation and stasis of the
blood in the capillaries and smaller veins, and hence results at first a
hyperæmia and later a diapedesis. Litten makes another important
change in Cohnheim's doctrine: he maintains that the hemorrhage
appears before the integrity of the vessel-walls is impaired.
65 Zeitschrift für klin. Med., vol. i. p. 148, Berlin, 1880.
Other fatal cases find their anatomical basis in the softening and
ulcerating processes, which while forming cavities are liable to open
vessels of greater or less size in their walls or trabeculæ.
The condition of the heart in phthisis is one which has an effect in
influencing the occurrence of hæmoptysis. The general statement by
Peacock, that the weight of the heart in phthisis, though less than in
acute diseases, is greater than that in other chronic diseases, needs
to be modified somewhat, as he did not make a distinction between
different forms of phthisis. The more the case approaches the fibroid
variety the more likelihood of some increase of size, particularly in
the right ventricle. Spatz,66 a later authority, gives as the result of his
examination that phthisis diminishes the size of the left ventricle—
that an absolutely compensatory hypertrophy of the right ventricle,
which is apparent in special cases, does not as a rule exist, although
the resultant decrease does not throughout stand in relation to the
decreased weight and volume of the whole body in phthisis. The
ratio between the depth of the left ventricle and circumference of
the aorta is diminished; and, as this is not compensated for by
hypertrophy of the walls of the ventricle, arterial tension diminishes
and the pulse becomes soft and small. The chance of rupture of
weak vessels by relatively excessive tension is thus much weakened
in the later stages of phthisis.
66 Deutsches Archiv für klinisch Med., vol. xxx. p. 154.
If the condition be recognized, we can but say that the fatal attack is
liable to come at any moment. In cardiac hæmoptysis the
hemorrhage is an event coming toward the close of organic and
obstructive changes which are not much within our control. There
are minor degrees, as shown by expectoration of single small
masses of dark coagulated blood and by the absence of marked
aggravation of the symptoms, which do not prognosticate
unfavorably for the immediate, but do show impending dangers of a
future, attack. Morbid anatomy shows traces of a recovery from a
number of premonitory threatenings. The elements of a serious
prognosis are the appearance of a shock, increased dyspnoea, a
large amount of hæmoptysis, increased perturbations in the heart-
action, and increased areas of dulness or râles at certain parts of the
lung other than the usual sites of consumptive disease. These and
other evidences of constitutional initiation are not as available as in
the other varieties mentioned.
TREATMENT.—In the cases of the mildest form very little more need be
done than to keep the patient quiet. His apprehensions may require
attention. They may be allayed by assuring him that the hemorrhage
will be more of a security than a danger, because it is the expression
of a local congestion that will be relieved by the discharge. We have
found that a large dose of quinine (ten or fifteen grains) will answer
the double purpose of a nervous sedative and of controlling the
congestion and hemorrhage if the latter object be necessary. This
suggestion becomes still more applicable in the severe forms of
hæmoptysis. The dose may be repeated within twenty-four hours if
needed. If congestion be manifested by its symptoms of substernal
heat, soreness, oppression, dyspnoea, and cough to a greater
degree, and if the hemorrhage is becoming copious and the
hemorrhagic pulse developed, and the temperature elevated, the
necessity of a more active interference is evident. Absolute quiet in
bed, fresh air, a calm and equable behavior on the part of the family
or friends in attendance so that no excitement may be reflected to
the patient, are essential. The medicines selected should be such as
may control the vascular excitement, and hæmostatics. Ergot will
fulfil such indications. It has its limitations in its unpleasant taste,
but it should be pushed to the points of tolerance. Of the fluid
extract one teaspoonful should be given every hour or two until
some effect is observed in slowing the pulse or checking the
hemorrhage. If the stomach rebel, ergotin pills may be substituted in
doses of three to five grains at the same interval. Should all the
resources of ergot medication be required or the above mode of use
fail or disagree, hypodermic injections may be added. Two to three
grains of the extract of ergotin would form a proper dose, to be
repeated every one or two hours. It has been quite the exception in
our experience to have serious irritation follow the use of it in this
way. Failure in this and other uses of ergot will follow because we do
not administer it with sufficient freedom.72 Another most valuable
hæmostatic is turpentine. It should also be given freely. From ten to
thirty drops in an emulsion or in sugar may be given every two to
four hours, according to tolerance and to the threatening character
of the case. The ergot and turpentine are best alternated at intervals
of one to three hours, according to the requirements of the attack.
Some preparation of opium is often required to quiet cough—
morphine or codeine, one-fourth grain of the former and one-half
grain of the latter, repeated at intervals until their effects are
obvious. By adding the use of broken ice and the external
application of cold compresses frequently repeated, and, if time and
strength permit, the inhalation of persulphate of iron spray twenty or
thirty minims in half an ounce of water, we get a plan of treatment
adapted to the urgent cases. Some recent reports have confirmed
the confidence of the ancients in the use of ligatures. They may be
applied to both lower limbs. A dozen dry cups may be applied to the
chest. There is no occasion or time for the use of many medicines,
but if a general plan, such as the above, must be changed, acetate
of lead in doses of two grains every two hours would be an excellent
substitute, due regard being had to the possible toxic effects from
too long continuance of it in such doses; it is usual to add a little
opium to it. Gallic acid is an effectual remedy for the control of
different kinds of hemorrhages. Like ergot, it is usually given in too
small quantities. Twenty to thirty grains must be given every two to
four hours. It is better borne by the stomach, and can often be
continued longer, than the medicines above mentioned.
72 A medical friend, T. C. Minor of Cincinnati, has in his own case used three or four
drachms of the fluid at a dose, with the effect of reducing his pulse twenty beats in a
few hours.
8 Ziemssen's Handbook, vol. v. p. 298. Ogston says (p. 465) it did not appear,
however, that any distinct rent of their substance had taken place—to any extent, at
least. "When we consider that the area of the extravasation was sufficient to involve
often one or two entire lobes, and that death was in most of them very sudden, the
cases may be adopted as showing the action of causes similar in kind, if not in
degree, to those operative in undoubted pulmonary apoplexy."
In hepatic abscess opening into the lung and bronchi the discharge
is copious, dirty brown, paroxysmal, and will generally, on careful
observation, show the bile color or its chemical reactions or some
microscopic débris of the liver. In Leyden's third class, or the chronic
abscess arising in the course of chronic pneumonia, the history is so
much like that of some forms of phthisis as scarcely to serve in
diagnosis. He thinks there are some macroscopic and microscopic
appearances which may serve for diagnosis. There are in the
expectoration dark and compact pieces of greenish-black color, not
unlike plugs of pus, and larger, black-pigmented fragments of
parenchyma, from a pin's head to a hempseed in size.
Microscopically, they consist of a close and strongly-pigmented
parenchyma, which seldom reveals alveolar structure. They show
fatty degeneration and cholesterin plates. This class of cases is
mostly without fever. The application of the bacilli-tuberculosis test
would seem to offer some assistance in diagnosis.
11 Deutsches Archiv für klin. Med., Band ii. pp. 488, etc., "Ueber putride Sputa."
12 Virchow's Archiv, Band lxxv.; Zeitschrift für klinische Med., Band i. p. 228.
14 Op. cit.
15 "Sitzungsbericht der Phys. Med. Soc." in Erlangen Schmidt's Jahrbucher, 1877, No.
7.
CROUPOUS PNEUMONIA.
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