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Assignments MA-41

A national study found that about 70% of respondents believe antidepressants do not cure anything. The document calculates the probability that at least 3 out of 5 randomly selected individuals hold this opinion, resulting in P(X ≥ 3) = 0.8369. It also discusses the mean and variance of the binomial random variable X, representing the number of people who share this belief.

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22 views

Assignments MA-41

A national study found that about 70% of respondents believe antidepressants do not cure anything. The document calculates the probability that at least 3 out of 5 randomly selected individuals hold this opinion, resulting in P(X ≥ 3) = 0.8369. It also discusses the mean and variance of the binomial random variable X, representing the number of people who share this belief.

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abcaya.emmytamem
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
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PHM628: Probability and Statistics

Name: ID: 9/34

2. A national study that examined attitudes about antidepressants revealed that approximately
70% of respondents believe “antidepressants do not really cure anything; they just cover up
the real trouble.” According to this study:
a) what is the probability that at least 3 of the next 5 people selected at random will hold
this opinion?
• Approximately, 70% of respondents believe that antidepressants do not
really cure anything. So, the probability that respondent believes that
antidepressants do not really cure anything is p = 0.7
• We need to find the probability that at least 3 of the next 5 people
selected at random will hold this opinion

• Let us consider as success if respondent believes that antidepressants do not


really cure anything.
• Let random variable X represent the number of n = 5 randomly selected
respondents who believe that antidepressants do not really cure anything. The
probability of success (i.e. the probability that respondent believes that
antidepressants do not really cure anything) is p = 0.7.

• Therefore, the random variable X is a binomial random variable with


parameters n = 5 and p = 0.7.

• We need to find the probability that at least 3 of the next 5 respondents believe
that antidepressants do not really cure anything. So, we need to find
P( X  3)
The probability distribution of the binomial random variable X is:
 5
P( X = x) = b( x;5,0.7) =   (0.7) x (0.3)5− x
 x
We have:
P( X  3) = 1 − P( X  3) = 1 − P( X  2)
= 1 − {P( X = 0) + P( X = 1) + P( X = 2)} = 0.8369

b) If X represents the number of people who believe that antidepressants do not cure but
only cover up the real problem, find the mean and variance of X when 5 people are
selected at random.
• Approximately 70% of respondents believe that antidepressants do not really
cure anything. So, the probability that randomly selected respondent believes
that antidepressants do not really cure anything is p = 0.7

- Let us consider as success if respondent believes that antidepressants do not


really cure anything
- Let random variable X represent the number of n = 5 randomly selected
respondents who believe that antidepressants do not really cure real problem.

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