crime-data-integrity-interim-report
crime-data-integrity-interim-report
A matter of fact
An interim report of the inspection of crime
data integrity in police forces in England
and Wales
© HMIC 2014
www.hmic.gov.uk
ISBN: 978-1-78246-391-7
Contents
Glossary 3
1. Summary 12
Emerging themes ..................................................................................... 15
2. Introduction 17
Terms of reference ................................................................................... 18
Why accurate crime-recording matters .................................................... 20
Public trust in crime data .......................................................................... 21
Previous HMIC inspections ...................................................................... 24
Other considerations ................................................................................ 26
3. How do the police record crime? 28
Assembling crime data statistics .............................................................. 28
Crime-recording counting rules and standards ........................................ 32
4. The method of inspection 45
The three inspection stages ..................................................................... 45
The approach to auditing crime records................................................... 47
Developing a clear picture........................................................................ 49
5. The inspection to date 51
6. Emerging themes 52
Strengths .................................................................................................. 54
Weaknesses............................................................................................. 55
Performance pressures ............................................................................ 67
7. Next steps 69
Annex A – Terms of reference 70
Annex B – Force inspection dates 74
Annex C – Methodology for the national audit 75
2
Glossary
accurate crime record a crime record that has been correctly recorded
according to the Home Office Counting Rules
(HOCR) and the National Crime Recording
Standard (NCRS); this means it must be recorded
as a crime, classified according to the correct
crime type for the offence, and assigned the
correct category according to the counting rules
3
rules and standards, and no-crime records to
ensure that they have been reclassified correctly
4
needs to be done by the police, and initiate or
implement that response
Code of Practice for Victims a code, established under the Domestic Violence,
of Crime Crime and Victims Act 2004, which places
obligations on organisations providing services
within the criminal justice system (including the
police) to provide a minimum level of service to
victims of criminal conduct
crime record record that must be made under the Home Office
Counting Rules in the case of a report of a crime
5
checks of people working with children or
vulnerable adults in schools, voluntary
organisations or professional bodies;.
it merged with the Independent Safeguarding
Authority on 1 December 2012 to form the
Disclosure and Barring Service under the
Safeguarding Vulnerable Groups Act 2006
6
CSEW Crime Survey for England and Wales
force crime registrar the person in a police force who is responsible for
ensuring compliance with crime-recording rules.
The HOCR provide that he is ultimately
responsible for all decisions to record a crime or
to make a no-crime decision, as the final arbiter.
The force crime registrar’s responsibilities include
training staff in the crime-recording process and
7
carrying out audits to check that the force is
complying with all applicable rules
Home Office Statistics Unit unit of the Home Office responsible for managing
Home Office statistics
8
oversee a vetting and barring scheme in England,
Wales and Northern Ireland, which requires all
those working with vulnerable groups to undergo
an enhanced vetting procedure before being
allowed to commence any relevant duties. The
ISA existed until 1 December 2012, when it
merged with the Criminal Records Bureau to form
the Disclosure and Barring Service
9
Office for National Statistics the UK’s largest independent producer of official
statistics and the recognised national statistical
institute for the UK; it is the executive body of the
UK Statistics Authority, established by the
Statistics and Registration Service Act 2007
10
his chief constable, is deployed to uphold the law,
protect life and property, maintain and restore the
Queen’s peace, and pursue and bring offenders
to justice
Protecting Vulnerable a specialist unit in a police force responsible for
People Unit incidents and crimes involving vulnerable people,
including children, mentally ill and infirm people;
these units may also have responsibilities for
dealing with victims of sexual offences, including
rape, where the force does not have a dedicated
rape investigation unit
Public Administration Select a select committee of the House of Commons
Committee which considers matters relating to the quality and
standards of administration within the civil service
Public Protection Unit a specialist unit in a police force which deals with
the protection of vulnerable people (see also
Protecting Vulnerable People Unit)
UKSA United Kingdom Statistics Authority
UK Statistics Authority an independent body established under the
Statistics and Registration Service Act 2007,
operating at arm’s length from government and
which has the objective of promoting and
safeguarding the production and publication of
official statistics that serve the public good; the
Authority’s main functions are the monitoring of
the production and publication of official statistics,
the provision of independent scrutiny of all official
statistics produced in the UK, and the oversight of
the ONS, which is its executive body
Victim Support an independent charity supporting victims and
witnesses of crime committed in England and
Wales; it was set up almost 40 years ago and has
grown to become the oldest and largest victims’
organisation in the world; Victim Support offers
assistance to more than a million victims of crime
each year and works closely with the police and
other institutions and entities in the criminal
justice system.
11
1. Summary
1.2 This is an interim report of that inspection. It explains the purposes and
methods of the inspection and the criteria that govern crime-recording
practice in the police. So far, we have completed the inspection of
13 forces. As two of the largest metropolitan forces (the Metropolitan
Police and Greater Manchester Police) have been inspected, the
inspection has already covered approximately 60 percent of the reviews
to be done. Whilst the inspection has yet to be completed in the
remaining 30 forces, we can report on a number of emerging themes.
1.3 The inspection provides for the auditing of a sample of reports of crime to
check whether or not they have been correctly recorded as crimes. By
listening to around 8,000 telephone calls which resulted in the creation of
incident reports, we will be able to produce a nationally representative
sample of approximately 5,500 reported crimes. From these data, our
final report in October 2014 will include an assessment of the accuracy of
crime-recording in England and Wales. (Annex C sets out the statistical
method in more detail.)
1.4 Sampling data from each force is being used only as indicative of the
accuracy of force crime-recording; it is not of a size to be of statistical
significance in any one or group of forces other than all 43. To have
taken statistically significant samples of crime-recording data from every
force would have necessitated an inspection so large as to be
impractical, untimely and unaffordable. Each force sample does,
however, contribute to the overall national sample from which we will be
able to report a statistically robust figure for the accuracy of crime-
recording within England and Wales as a whole.
12
1.6 Police force crime data are reported to the Home Office and published by
the Office for National Statistics with other independent data from the
Crime Survey of England and Wales to provide as clear as possible a
picture of the levels of crime. For 20 years, these national data have
shown what amounts to dramatic reductions in crime, during a time when
the rules and standards governing crime-recording practice have been
tightened significantly. 1
1.8 Previous and recent HMIC inspections into crime and incident recording
practices – inspections which did not have as broad a scope as this one 3
– have shown crime was under-recorded to varying extents in a sample
of police forces. These inspections also revealed a lack of accuracy in
crime-recording practice in areas such as rape and other sexual violence,
which is of particular public concern.
1.9 The purpose of the current inspection 4 is to provide the answer to the
question:
1
The introduction of the National Crime Recording Standard in 2002 and its place in the Home
Office Counting Rules are detailed in the section ‘How do the police record crime’, on page 28
of this report.
2
See page 21 of this report, particularly in relation to the issues raised by the Public
Administration Select Committee in April 2014.
3
See ‘Previous HMIC inspections’ on page 24 of this report.
4
The HMIC 2013/14 inspection programme (available at www.hmic.gov.uk) provides the basis
for this inspection.
13
1.10 To achieve this, the integrity of crime data in each force is being
examined and assessed in terms of leadership and governance, systems
and processes, and the people and skills involved. The scope of the
inspection is necessarily broad. HMIC is examining how each force
applies the standards and rules for crime-recording laid down by the
Home Office; how police culture and behaviours affect recording; how
victims of crime are being served by police crime-recording practices;
and how the police use out-of-court disposals when dealing with
offenders, such as cautions, cannabis warnings, community resolutions
and penalty notices for disorder.
1.12 The inspection also looks closely at the sometimes complex issue of no-
criming, which is when police reclassify a recorded crime as a no-crime.
This is supposed to happen when the police have additional information
which they can verify showing that in reality no crime was committed.
1.13 This inspection was designed with the benefit of advice and assistance
from several authoritative sources. They include the national crime
registrar, the national policing lead on crime statistics and the Crime
Statistics Advisory Committee. The inspection is being conducted by
means of a national audit of crime records and force inspection visits.
This enables us to build substantial evidence at a national level to
establish what are the strengths in crime-recording practice, and to
reveal areas of weakness.
1.14 In this report, we explain the rules and standards that govern crime-
recording practice, why the National Crime Recording Standard was
introduced in 2002, and what this standard aims to achieve (see
paragraphs 3.20–3.26). On the issue of the police duty to record crime,
we describe the principles behind such decisions, including whether or
not to record an incident as a crime and when to reclassify a recorded
crime as a no-crime. We then explain our methodology and provide an
update on the progress of the inspection, as well as present our
emerging findings.
1.15 We are grateful to all police forces in England and Wales for their time
and support in the inspection process.
14
Emerging themes
1.16 The HOCR were established in their current form in 1998 and the NCRS
was implemented in 2002. Together they provide a clear and simple
framework and set of rules for the sound and consistent recording of
crime by the police. They are not especially complicated; nor are they
optional. Every police officer should be able to understand and properly
apply them. Every police force should adhere to them.
1.17 This inspection is concerned with how the HOCR and NCRS are applied.
It is an inspection of the integrity of police-recorded crime data. It is not
an inspection or inquiry into the integrity of the police.
1.19 Before doing so, it is appropriate to remind readers that the only
statistically significant figures in this inspection are those which will be
published in our final report in October 2014. However, we can – and do
– report on the cases which we have examined.
1.21 If the findings for the first set of forces are representative across all
forces and all crime types, this implies that 20 percent of crimes may be
going unrecorded. Some forces have of course performed better than
others. The figures for the forces inspected so far are given in the table at
paragraph 6.19.
15
1.23 An inspection of this nature is not a criminal investigation 5. We cannot
establish in every case what were the motives – if any – of a police
officer who has wrongly failed to record a crime. However, in the light of
what we have so far found – which could conceptually be contradicted by
later results – it is difficult to conclude that none of these failures was the
result of discreditable or unethical behaviour. The failure rate is too high.
What is not possible is any measurement of this factor; that is beyond the
scope of this work.
(a) victims are failed because the crimes against them are not
investigated, they have no hope of justice according to law, and they
will not receive the services to which they are entitled and which they
need;
(b) the community is failed because our system of public justice requires
offenders to face the law and its sanctions, and if they escape justice
not only is it denied, but more victims may be created, increasing the
harm done to the community and its safety and security;
(c) the levels of crime will be wrongly under-stated, and so detection
rates may as a consequence be artificially high, presenting a
misleading picture of crime and disorder to the community, police
and crime commissioners and senior police management;
(d) police chiefs will lack the reliable information which they need to
make sound decisions on the deployment of their resources in order
to maximise the efficiency and effectiveness of their assets; this in
turn jeopardises public safety and security.
1.25 The picture is of course not all bad. Later in this report (see section 6),
we explain strengths in the system of police-recorded crime as we have
observed it. We then proceed to describe and evaluate the weaknesses
we have found.
1.26 Further work in the remaining forces will enable us to provide a fuller
picture of crime data integrity in our final report for this inspection, to be
published in October 2014.
5
If HMIC were to find evidence of any criminal activity, we would provide it to the professional
standards department of the police force in question or the Independent Police Complaints
Commission, as appropriate.
16
2. Introduction
2.2 This is the interim report of an HMIC inspection into the accuracy and
integrity of crime-recording in all 43 Home Office-funded police forces in
England and Wales.
2.3 This inspection provides for the audit of a sample of reports of crime to
check whether they are correctly recorded as a crime. Taken together,
the samples from each force are designed to produce a nationally
representative sample of 5,500 reported crimes. From these data, our
final report in October 2014 will include an assessment of the accuracy of
crime-recording by the police in England and Wales. (Annex C sets out
the statistical method in more detail.)
2.5 In this report, we explain the standards and rules that are laid down by
the Home Office which apply to crime-recording by the police service. We
also describe emerging themes but do not present conclusive findings at
this stage.
2.6 Our in-force audit and inspection work started in February 2014. We
have so far completed our inspections in 13 of the 43 Home Office police
forces. By August 2014, we will have completed sample checks of
incident and crime records and extensive fieldwork visits in all 43 forces.
In October 2014, we will publish our full report and recommendations.
2.7 This is the most thorough inspection into crime-recording integrity that
HMIC has carried out to date. In this report, we explain: why such a
review is needed to protect the public and serve the victims of crime; how
we carry out the inspection; and what are the main rules and standards
6
Section 54(2), Police Act 1996.
17
that govern police-recorded crime. We provide examples to illustrate
some of the important characteristics of crime-recording as a day-to-day
policing function and as a highly-regulated process that is influenced by
different systems and procedures.
2.8 We are grateful to all police officers and staff who have provided or are
providing time, assistance and co-operation to facilitate our inspections.
Each force inspection makes a material contribution to the assembly of a
full and clear picture. It is the means of building a substantial and valid
base of evidence about the accuracy of crime-recording across England
and Wales. This evidence is measured against standards laid down by
the Home Office for crime-recording and is gathered by HMIC to fulfil
particular aims, which we explain in the next section.
2.9 Our inspectors are producing individual force reports with our inspection
findings and recommendations where appropriate. These reports are
intended to underpin and, where necessary, assist each force in the
discharge of its duty to record crime accurately and consistently.
2.10 The force reports will describe the audit findings for the force, as well as
our findings in respect of the effectiveness of the leadership and
governance of the force and the systems and processes that are in place
to secure accurate crime-recording. We will also provide our findings
about the level of knowledge and skills of the people involved. The first
group of force reports are presently scheduled to be published in June
2014. They will also form the basis of our full report in October 2014.
Terms of reference
2.11 HMIC’s 2013/14 inspection programme, approved by the Home
Secretary under section 54 of the Police Act 1996, provides for HMIC to
carry out inspections in all Home Office police forces to answer the
question:
Scope
2.12 The inspection has been designed to assess:
• how well each force applies the standards for crime-recording laid
down by the Home Office and known as the Home Office Counting
Rules;
18
• the accuracy of police recording of reported crimes which cause
significant harm, such as crimes of violence, sexual offences,
robbery, burglary, criminal damage and other crimes relating to anti-
social behaviour;
Aims
2.13 The objective of the inspection is to provide to the public, police and
crime commissioners and chief constables information, assessments and
recommendations which, if implemented, will be used to improve the
ways in which the police record crimes, leading to increased public trust
in those data.
• whether the results of out-of-court disposals are the right ones for
victims, offenders and the wider public, and are in accordance with
national guidelines; and
2.15 The full terms of reference for the inspection are contained in Annex A.
19
Why accurate crime-recording matters
2.16 In the 12 months to December 2013, over 3.7 million crimes 7 were
recorded by police forces in England and Wales. HMIC understands that
reporting rates vary for different types of crime and that forces can only
record what is reported to them, although of course they should work
actively to encourage the reporting of crime. By recording crime data
accurately, victims of crime can be looked after and attended to properly.
Crime problems in local force areas can be identified so the police’s
efficiency and effectiveness are strengthened, and police performance
can be properly understood and accordingly the police can be held
properly to account both locally and nationally.
7
Recorded crime rates for police forces in England and Wales, including the British Transport
Police, as reported by the Office for National Statistics for the 12-month period from 1 January
2013 to 31 December 2013.
8
Victim Support provides free and confidential help to victims of crime, witnesses, their families,
friends and anyone else affected by crime across England and Wales
(www.victimsupport.org.uk).
9
Domestic Violence, Crime and Victims Act 2004.
20
www.police.uk 10 so that members of the public can establish the
levels of crime in their own neighbourhoods. Records of crime are
also widely used by third parties; for example, Victim Support, local
authorities and health authorities use police-recorded crime data to
allocate resources. Incorrect data can therefore adversely affect the
way third parties target their support, potentially reducing the
availability of help for victims.
• Crime data are regularly published. This makes it possible for the
public and their elected representatives 11 to hold their forces to
account for their performance in preventing and tackling crime. This
can only be effective if the data are accurate.
2.18 Doubts have been intensified recently in several ways. Recent HMIC
inspections, which we describe below, have identified distinct
weaknesses in crime-recording processes. In January 2014, due to
concerns about the accuracy of the data, the UK Statistics Authority
removed the designation of police-recorded crime as a National Statistic
under section 12 of the Statistics and Registration Act 2007, and set
specific conditions for returning this data to its former place. 12 The
Authority said that there is accumulating evidence that suggests the
underlying data on crimes recorded by the police may not be reliable.
10
Crime data are published at street level (www.police.uk), police-force-area level
(www.hmic.gov.uk) and national level (www.ons.gov.uk).
11
Police and crime commissioners for police areas outside London; the Mayor’s Office for
Policing and Crime for the Metropolitan Police Service; and the City of London Corporation for
the City of London Police.
12
See the section on ‘Assembling crime data statistics’ on page 28 of this report.
13
House of Commons Public Administration Select Committee (PASC), Caught red-handed:
Why we can’t count on Police Recorded Crime statistics, Thirteenth Report of Session 2013–14,
HC 760, 9 April 2014
21
recorded crime data. PASC identified under-recording of crime by police
forces as an issue of serious public concern, and made particular
reference to the detrimental effects of performance targets on police
crime-recording practices.
2.20 The report criticised the use of targets based upon police-recorded crime
data and stated that this tended to distort recording practices and created
perverse incentives to misrecord crime. It said that the evidence for this
is incontrovertible.
2.21 The report made twelve specific recommendations for the UKSA, Home
Office, ONS, College of Policing, HMIC and the Committee of Standards
in Public Life, to improve the quality of police-recorded crime data.
• the Home Office and the College of Policing should make an explicit
statement of how the Code of Ethics’ enforcement will impose a duty
of data integrity on police officers in respect of crime recording
practices, and that penalties will apply in the event of deliberate non-
compliance;
• senior police leaders and HMIC must ensure that emphasis is placed
on data integrity and accuracy, not on the direction of recorded crime
trends;
• the force crime registrar should be suitably trained and have the
necessary authority, HMIC should identify a minimum rank for the
22
role, and the force crime registrar should report directly to the force
commander;
• the Home Office should make it clear in its guidance to PCCs that
they should not set performance targets based on police-recorded
crime data.
2.23 PASC concluded that police-recorded crime data should not be used as
the basis for personal performance appraisals, or decisions about
remuneration or promotion. PASC regarded such a practice as a flawed
leadership model, contrary to the policing Code of Ethics.
2.24 The findings in the PASC report are not entirely consistent with our
findings to date; however, HMIC will take into consideration its
recommendations as part of this inspection. The HMIC response to the
PASC report will be included in the response provided by the Home
Office.
2.25 The police’s duty to the victims of crime may be neglected or stand
undischarged when a crime is improperly recorded, leading to a lack of
investigation or poor quality service. As we emphasise in this report, this
inspection has placed victims of crime, and how they are served by the
police, at its heart.
2.26 There are therefore clear links between accurate crime data, police
effectiveness, and public confidence in policing.
2.27 At this stage of the inspection, we can already provide some indications
of both positive and negative aspects of crime data integrity, as set out in
section 6 of this report: ‘Emerging themes’. The full picture will be
reported in the final report in October 2014. This will contain our definitive
conclusions on the strengths and weaknesses of the operation of the
existing system, and will make recommendations for improvements. Until
all 43 forces have been inspected in this respect, it would be premature
for HMIC to come to final conclusions or make recommendations.
23
Previous HMIC inspections
2.28 In October 2009, we published our first report on crime data integrity,
Crime Counts – A review of data quality for offences of the most serious
violence. 14 This was followed in January 2012 by our publication, The
Crime Scene – A review of police crime and incident reports. 15
2.29 The first report focused on data recorded on serious violence; the second
was much wider in scope. Both reports examined how effective forces
were in ensuring that incident records, which included details of
recordable crimes, resulted in correct crime data recording.
2.30 The Crime Scene considered the quality of crime and incident data, and
the arrangements in place to ensure they are recorded and managed
correctly (i.e. in a way that complies with HOCR). The inspection focused
on whether crimes were correctly recorded from incident records, and the
standards used to close a reported incident.
2.31 The samples used in The Crime Scene inspection were, on their own, too
small to provide a definitive assessment of the accuracy of crime-
recording nationally. At force level, however, we found that the
arrangements most forces had in place were sufficient to make correct
crime-recording decisions from reports of incidents, given the information
available within an incident record. It established that there were
variations in crime-recording practices which could have a corresponding
detrimental effect on the accuracy of published crime statistics.
14
Crime Counts: A review of data quality for offences of the most serious violence, HMIC,
London, 2009. Available from www.hmic.gov.uk
15
The Crime Scene – A review of police crime and incident reports, HMIC, London, January
2012. Available from www.hmic.gov.uk
16
Crime Recording in Kent – A report commissioned by the Police and Crime Commissioner for
Kent, HMIC, London, June 2013. Available from www.hmic.gov.uk
24
2.33 This inspection found that appreciably more needed to be done before
the people of Kent could be confident that the crime figures published by
the force were as accurate as they should be. HMIC found that the force
had under-recorded approximately one in every ten crimes (+ / - 5
percent), and that it did not interpret the HOCR correctly. This meant
crime was not correctly recorded. We explain the central role of the
HOCR and NCRS later in this report. 17
2.34 It is important to note that the findings for Kent cannot be extrapolated to
make judgments about the accuracy of crime-recording in other forces.
2.35 The 2013 report found that Kent Police had made improvements to the
way in which it dealt with the declassification of recorded crimes (no-
criming) since 2012, and had reduced the total number of occasions
where this occurred. However, we found that the decision to no-crime
was still incorrect in more than 25 percent of the cases we reviewed. It
was of particular concern – and unacceptable – that this inaccuracy was
evident in serious crimes such as rape, robbery and violence.
2.37 It is important to note that the sample for the Kent inspection was of a
sufficient size that we could form statistically reliable judgments. We are
not able to replicate this sample size for each of the 43 forces, due to the
resourcing this would require. The statistics in this current audit are only
statistically reliable at a national level.
2.38 Kent Police will be visited again as part of this 43-force inspection to
assess whether the people of Kent can have a lasting confidence in the
force’s crime figures.
17
The central role of the Home Office Counting Rules and National Crime Recording Standard
is detailed in the section ‘Crime-recording counting rules and standards’, on page 32 of this
report.
18
Crime Recording in Kent – An interim progress report, commissioned by the Police and Crime
Commissioner for Kent, HMIC, London, January 2014. Available from www.hmic.gov.uk
25
Other considerations
2.39 This inspection is not only a test of national compliance with crime-
recording rules. It also examines police crime-recording culture in all 43
forces. Fundamentally, this is a test of the way victims of crime are
served by the police in England and Wales, focusing more on accurate
crime-recording, i.e. recording a crime when a crime has been
committed, rather than the broader assessment of whether incident
reports have been correctly completed, as was considered in The Crime
Scene 2012.
2.40 As we explain in the main body of this report, our task has required a
consistently applied and methodical approach to produce a valid picture
of crime-recording in England and Wales.
2.41 Our inspectors are particularly aware of the pressure placed on police to
prevent, tackle and try to reduce crime, and to demonstrate they are
doing so. Over approximately three decades, and in common with other
major public organisations, the police have been subject to a
performance and target-driven culture which stems from the policies of
successive governments. HMIC was itself an instrument in a
government-led programme to secure improvements in police
performance and was, in those times, a strong promoter of the target
culture within the police service. This culture led to successes in
performance terms but also had detrimental effects. In 2010, the Home
Secretary made a clear statement to the police service that she was
removing nationally-established targets to reduce particular types of
crime, and told police forces:
2.43 We take note of any instances where we find that performance pressures
appear to affect the accuracy of crime-recording. We will note, for
19
Speech by the Home Secretary to the Association of Chief Police Officers and the
Association of Police Authorities national conference, 29 June 2010, Manchester.
26
example, wherever we identify crimes that may not have been accurately
recorded because of pressures to downgrade a crime to a less serious
classification, or to reclassify a recorded crime as a no-crime to present a
better picture of a force’s performance; or indeed not to record a crime at
all.
2.44 It should be understood that police forces can only record what is
reported to them by victims and by police officers carrying out their
duties. Reporting rates vary for each crime type. There are hidden and
under-reported crime types, including domestic violence, sexual offences
and child abuse. New types of crime are currently emerging and placing
added pressure on police crime-fighting resources. They include, for
example, people-trafficking and modern-day slavery, and the evolving
threat from cybercrime. 20
2.45 The focus of this inspection is on the crimes that are reported and should
be recorded, how this is done and the culture that surrounds crime-
recording practice.
20
The police response to these crimes will be inspected as part of the HMIC 2014/15 inspection
programme.
27
3. How do the police record crime?
3.1 This section explains how crime statistics are assembled, how police
forces record crime data and the rules that govern the process. We
provide case examples and other illustrations to set the scene as clearly
as possible.
3.2 We describe:
• the Home Office Counting Rules for recorded crime and the National
Crime Recording Standard: rules to ensure consistent and effective
crime-recording and that take a more victim-focused approach to
crime-recording;
• how the rules are interpreted: when and what is a crime and how
police receive reports of crime; and
3.3 These elements are the context for understanding the complexities of
crime data recording and show that there is room for error even when
police force crime-recording is internally monitored and strictly controlled.
This background also underpins the requirement for applying rigour and
consistency in our inspection approach, described in the next part of this
report.
3.5 The Home Office collates crime statistics based on data returns
submitted by police forces. It then carries out extensive checks for
anomalies before supplying the data for publication by the Office for
National Statistics. While the ONS will also look for obvious anomalies in
21
These powers are contained in section 44, Police Act 1996.
28
the data, it accepts the data as given and they are published quarterly on
behalf of the ONS’s Chief Statistician.
“…the Office for National Statistics (ONS), working with the Home
Office, HMIC or other appropriate bodies, is able to demonstrate that
the quality of the underlying data, and the robustness of the ongoing
audit and quality assurance procedures, are sufficient to support its
production of statistics based on recorded crime data to a level of
quality that meets users’ needs.” 22
22
Assessment Report 268: Statistics on Crime in England and Wales, UK Statistics Authority,
London, January 2014. Available from www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk
23
National Statistician’s Review of Crime Statistics: England and Wales, UK Statistics Authority,
London, June 2011. Available from www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk
29
information. It has measured the extent and nature of crime in England
and Wales in this way since 1982.
3.10 The CSEW includes both crimes reported to the police and those that go
unreported, and is therefore used alongside the police-recorded crime
figures to show a more complete picture. However, while it is an
extensive survey which is important in estimating unreported crimes, the
CSEW does not provide a complete or perfect count of crime. 24
3.12 Last year, the ONS published a report on this divergence and stated that
there could be a number of reasons for it, one of which was recording
practice in the police service. The ONS’s hypothesis was that the
growing gap between the CSEW and police-recorded crime series could
be due to:
3.13 Closer to home, the majority of police and crime commissioners’ police
and crime plans contain commitments to reduce crime. Therefore, the
data to support success of these plans must be trustworthy.
24
The CSEW excludes fraud and those crimes often termed as victimless (for example,
possession of drugs). As a survey that asks people whether they have experienced
victimisation, homicides cannot be included. The CSEW does not cover the population living in
group residences (for example, care homes or halls of residence) or other institutions, nor does
it cover crime against commercial or public-sector bodies.
25
Analysis of variation in crime trends: A study of trends in ‘comparable crime’ categories
between the Crime Survey of England and Wales and the police recorded crime series between
1981 and 2011/12. Available from www.ons.gov.uk
30
inspection, which focuses on the way police forces comply with rules and
standards for crime-recording laid down by the Home Office.
In the latest available data for the 12 months to the end of December 2013, the
police recorded 3.7 million offences, a decrease of two percent from the
previous year.
The survey shows a higher overall crime level, with 7.5 million crimes against
households and resident adults in the 12 months to the end of December 2013.
But it has also shown substantial reductions. In particular, the CSEW data
shows a 15 percent crime reduction compared with the previous year and,
notably, this is the lowest estimate since the survey began in 1981. 26
26
Statistical Bulletin: Crime in England and Wales, year ending December 2013 (released 24
April 2014). Available from www.ons.gov.uk
31
The volume of crime as recorded by the CSEW and by the police
4,000,000
3,500,000
3,000,000
2,500,000
Volume of Crime
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
-
2002/3 2003/4 2004/5 2005/6 2006/7 2007/8 2008/9 2009/102010/112011/122012/13
Crime Survey for England and Wales Crimes Police Recorded Crime (in comparable categories)
3.16 The crime data recorded by the police and submitted to the Home Office
under section 44 of the Police Act 1996 must comply with the HOCR. 27
This is known as notifiable crime.
3.17 The HOCR are specific about what amounts to a notifiable crime of a
particular type, including sexual violence, robbery, burglary, theft and
handling of stolen goods, fraud and forgery, criminal damage and drug
offences. They also specify whether an incident should be recorded as a
crime, when a crime should be recorded and how many crimes should be
27
Home Office (2012) Home Office Counting Rules. Available from www.gov.uk
32
recorded in respect of any particular single incident (which may involve
the commission of a number of crimes) and then placed on record to be
notified to the Home Office.
3.18 The counting rules provide a definite framework for interpreting and
classifying crime, and this framework has been tightened up in recent
years. As a means of governing police practice, the counting rules have
evolved over more than 90 years. The general rules for the recording of
crime now extend to 24 pages which are supported by a further 10 pages
of guidance detailing how and when the outcomes of crimes are
recorded, such as when a person is prosecuted or given a Penalty Notice
for Disorder. Annexes covering particular crime types extend to over 400
pages. While this level of guidance is significant, it should be considered
alongside the 1,500 different types of criminal offence which must be
notified to the Home Office.
3.19 The rules standardise how, and if, crimes are recorded. For instance,
they set out different ways of recording crimes when there is a specific or
intended victim, or when the victim is unwilling to be identified. After the
election of the Labour government in 1997, there was an attempt to
tighten and standardise the existing counting rules, but of course, like
any rules, they remain susceptible to interpretation.
3.20 In the light of these concerns, the Home Office commissioned a research
paper into crime-recording practice in ten police forces. It revealed poor
recording and inappropriate practices. 28 Following this study, HMIC was
commissioned to conduct a further review of crime-recording in 11 forces
while taking data from all 43. The report, 29 published in 2000 alongside
the Home Office Research Study, was also highly critical. It found that
the forces inspected had only correctly recorded between 55 and 85
percent of the crimes that should have been recorded.
3.21 Following these reviews, the Association of Chief Police Officers, with the
Home Office, developed the NCRS, which was introduced in 2002.
3.22 While the HOCR are ‘what must be done’ in police crime-recording, the
NCRS is ‘why it must be done’. The NCRS has the twin aims of ensuring
proper focus on the victims of crime and consistency in crime-recording
28
Review of police forces’ crime-recording practices, Home Office Research Study 204, 2000.
29
On the Record, HMIC, July 2000. Available from www.hmic.gov.uk
33
in all 43 police forces. It is based on applying legal definitions of crime to
victim reports.
3.24 All forces must designate a police officer of chief officer rank who has
responsibility for overseeing the force approach to crime-recording. The
relationship between these two central roles is clear. The NCRS states
that the FCR must be answerable to the chief officer with overall
responsibility for the accuracy and integrity of crime-recording processes.
3.25 At national level, the national crime registrar manages the counting rules
on behalf of the Home Office. He is the source of expertise on the rules
but has no authority to change crime-recording decisions made at force
level.
3.26 Since the introduction of the NCRS, the National Crime Recording
Steering Group has met regularly to review the counting rules. The
steering group includes members of the Home Office Statistics Unit,
FCRs, the national policing lead for crime statistics, HMIC and the ONS.
Recommendations for change are considered by the Home Secretary
and CSAC, and the HOCR are updated each April. Updates include
amendments to reflect changes in legislation and adjustments to improve
clarity and consistency in recording by police forces.
30
HOCR Annex A, National Crime Recording Standard, paragraph 4.2.
34
3.28 From the moment a victim of crime calls the police, the requirement to
record a crime is based on the victim’s statement to the police. The
allegations about a crime are recorded on the basis of the victim’s own
account. The correct approach by staff receiving reports of crime is to
ask some initial questions to establish the facts, but they do not conduct
an investigation.
“For offences against the state the points to prove to evidence the
offence must clearly be made out, before a crime is recorded.”
3.31 So there are two primary types of crime: the first aimed at identified
victims; the second against the state, for example the possession of
drugs, carrying a weapon, and public order offences that have no victim.
3.32 Because these rules place an obligation on the police to accept what the
victim says unless there is “credible evidence to the contrary”, a crime
should still be recorded where:
• the victim does not want to take the matter further; and
3.33 The balance of probability test is detailed in the NCRS. It provides that:
“In most cases, a belief by the victim (or person reasonably assumed
to be acting on behalf of the victim) that a crime has occurred is
sufficient to justify its recording as a crime, although this will not be
31
HOCR, General Rules Section A.
35
the case in all circumstances. Effectively, a more victim-orientated
approach is advocated.” 32
3.34 The HOCR describe when a crime need not be recorded; if a victim does
not confirm a crime, then it is not recorded. For instance, if someone
other than the victim reports an apparent street robbery, but police
cannot find the victim, then a crime is not recorded, but the incident must
be recorded.
3.35 Also, the HOCR do not require a force to record a crime if it happens in
another force area or in another country but is reported in England or
Wales.
32
HOCR, General Rules, Annex A.
36
One or more crimes?
Once the police have decided to record a crime, they then need to determine
how many crimes to record, as well as which offences have been committed.
This is sometimes where the police make errors.
Consider, for example, a burglary where car keys are taken from a house and
the car has been stolen:
• This may involve two offences: a burglary (entering the house and
stealing the keys); and the theft of a motor vehicle.
• If there is only one victim and one offender (or group of offenders
acting together), then only one crime should be recorded, although the
offender(s) may be charged and convicted of both offences.
• If there are two or more victims in the same incident (such as two
people assaulted by a gang), a crime should be recorded in relation to
each victim.
3.37 The police must record the crime at the earliest opportunity that the
system allows. This is traditionally three 24-hour periods (72 hours) from
the time the incident is first logged. However, a maximum of seven days
is allowed to cater for situations outside the control of the police, such as
where victims cannot be contacted or are not available despite police
efforts to make contact with them.
3.38 It is important that crimes are recorded in a timely way. This is for a
number of reasons. Officers use crime information when responding to
incidents and events to help them assess risks to officers and the public,
and the information is disseminated on the Police National Database
(PND). Police forces use this in the investigation of serious crimes, and
when checking the backgrounds of individuals, so any delays can affect
the quality of the information available.
37
3.39 In the case of reports of sexual violence, the findings from The Crime
Scene, 33 published in 2012, indicated that almost one-fifth of forces did
not report some sexual offences in a timely way. These forces delayed
the classification of such crimes until the primary investigation was
complete and then decided, sometimes weeks later, what classification to
apply in the crime record. This is a clear breach of the HOCR. The
current inspection is revisiting this issue and is in particular looking
closely at how allegations of rape are recorded.
3.42 Police forces use opening and closing codes to log and classify reported
incidents and to check on the investigation and outcomes of each
reported incident or crime. The number of opening and closing codes
varies in different police forces, depending on each force’s incident
recording systems and processes. But the purpose of these codes – to
identify and record each incident or crime – remains the same.
3.43 Importantly, reports of crime received through the two main routes (as
described in paragraph 3.40) are recorded on force IT systems. This
means there are records that can be checked for accuracy. Checking
(auditing or dip-sampling) is an essential part of both the internal and
external review of police procedures. Forces use a variety of IT systems
for recording incidents and crimes, while specialist departments,
including those investigating rape and other serious sexual offences, and
33
The Crime Scene, HMIC, January 2012.
38
dealing with the protection of vulnerable people, often have their own
separate IT systems. There are, in fact, numerous different IT systems
used in specialist departments in the 43 police forces. On these, the
police record referrals concerning rape and other crimes from
organisations such as health and social services. There are also
instances where police officers in specialist departments make records
on separate areas of the force’s standard crime-recording system;
however, these are not recorded crimes until they are recorded in the
main crime-recording database.
3.44 The other, non-direct routes for reporting crime (such as those recorded
in minutes of meetings with external organisations, on separate IT
systems in a specialist department, or in officers’ pocket books) are
inherently difficult to audit because they do not automatically result in an
easily auditable record on force IT systems.
3.45 Figure 1 below illustrates the various routes for recording crime and the
process required by the counting rules.
39
Figure 1: The national crime-recording process
Yes
Yes
Is there any evidence to the
contrary?
No
No
Can a victim or representative be
traced?
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
Record as a crime
No
40
When is an incident not a crime?
3.46 Many incidents reported to the police turn out not to be crimes. For
example, someone reports a man on a ladder breaking the first floor
window of a house and climbing in. A police patrol immediately goes to
the house and finds the man who is inside is the owner and had forgotten
his key. When there is such an incident, or when the police have clear
evidence to believe that a crime has not been committed, this is not a
crime and not recorded as such.
3.47 It should be emphasised that the HOCR do not expect police to record
reports of crimes made by a third person (unless that person is
reasonably assumed to be acting on behalf of the victim) if the victim
cannot be found to verify that a crime has occurred. So, if someone
witnesses an assault in the street and reports it to the police, but the
victim of the assault is unknown to the witness and cannot be traced, the
police are not required to record the incident as a crime. The incident
itself must be recorded but, under this rule, the police are actively
prevented from recording all the crimes that come to their attention.
3.49 The HOCR have criteria that must be met when deciding whether a
recorded crime should be shown as a no-crime. One of the following
criteria must be satisfied to record a no-crime:
(a) the crime is outside the jurisdiction of the police force in which it was
first recorded (e.g. if it happens at a railway station, then it is
transferred to the British Transport Police to make the record);
34
HOCR, General Rules, Section C, No Crimes (1 of 2).
41
(e) the recorded crime is one of less serious assault and there is clear
additional verifiable information that shows that the offender acted in
self-defence.
3.50 The main requirement here is the need to show additional verifiable
information – often referred to as AVI – to reclassify a crime as a no-
crime.
3.51 If, for example, an item which is first recorded as stolen is afterwards
found and had been misplaced by the person who reported it as stolen,
then it would be correct to show the crime record as a no-crime.
A man reports the theft of cash from an upstairs room and it was recorded as a
crime of burglary. There were two points of entry into the room. One was
covered by CCTV, which did not show any offender. The other was through the
back door, where there was a large puddle of water which could have caused
muddy boot prints but there was no sign of them. The victim could not explain
this but still stated that the money had been stolen. The crime was no-crimed on
the assumption that the victim was not telling the truth and that boot prints
would probably have been left, rather than on the basis of additional verifiable
information which would have determined (proved) that a crime was not
committed. This should therefore have remained a recorded crime.
A woman alleges rape by a man in a car after she changed her mind about
having sex following a discussion about the use of a condom. The rape was
recorded as a crime. She reports that she did not run away because she was
scared of being beaten up. There had been no violence or pinning down
although the woman said her chest was sore and she had felt intimidated. The
incident was no-crimed in this case because the man said he did not know that
she did not consent to having sex. But there is no additional verifiable
information to show that the victim had in fact given consent. This should have
remained recorded as a crime of rape.
42
What are out-of-court disposals?
3.53 In this inspection, we also look at out-of-court disposals. 35 These allow
the police to deal quickly and proportionately with low-level, often first-
time offences 36 which can be resolved satisfactorily and in the public
interest without going to court.
35
Our inspection of out-of-court disposals does not form part of the national audit figure for
crime-recording compliance. However, as the recording of the disposal (or outcome) of a
recorded crime forms part of the NCRS, we will report on the appropriateness of their use, and
therefore the validity of the data reporting their use, both at force and national level.
36
Quick Reference Guides to Out-of-Court Disposals, Ministry of Justice, April 2013.
43
dependent on the offence that has been committed; it may include,
for example, simply apologising to the victim or making good damage
caused. Community resolutions can be offered when the offender
admits the offence and are mainly used in cases where the victim
has agreed that he does not want formal action to be taken.
44
4. The method of inspection
4.1 HMIC has worked with a number of parties to design its methodology for
this inspection. These include the national policing lead for crime
statistics, Chief Constable Jeff Farrar; the Office for National Statistics;
the Police Federation of England and Wales; the Police Superintendents’
Association of England and Wales; the Home Office; the national crime
registrar; and the Crime Statistics Advisory Committee. In addition, HMIC
has consulted a working group of practitioners, including performance
managers and force crime registrars from several forces.
4.2 The inspection not only tests compliance with crime-recording rules but
also assesses the culture and systems surrounding crime-recording, as
well as the service the police provide to victims. The interests of victims
of crime and the effect of crime-recording on the community are at the
heart of this inspection. Inspectors are making sample follow-up calls to
victims to determine the effect the decision to record or not record a
crime has had. The inspection also considers crimes which, when
repeated, cause significant harm to the community, such as criminal
damage and other crimes related to anti-social behaviour. The inspection
is also reviewing crime outcomes, including cautions and community
resolutions, from the viewpoint of a victim.
4.3 We are inspecting the following in each force in relation to crime data
recording:
45
services. HMIC has assessed the proportion of crimes reported by
each route.
Additional surveys
4.5 While the auditing and field inspection programme is central to the
inspection approach, we have also commissioned surveys to assist us:
• The first survey, which is being carried out in two parts, is aimed at
the public. 37 It is gauging the trust the public has in police crime data
and establishing the aspects of crime-recording which matter most to
people.
37
The public survey is being conducted in two parts. The first part, with small groups of people
who are provided with the background detail to crime-recording, was completed during February
2014; the second part, a number of specific questions included within the CSEW, will be
completed between April and June 2014.
46
and whether they are under any undue pressure to record or not to
record crimes.
• the time taken to record a crime from the earliest point at which it
should have been recorded.
4.7 The accuracy of the recording of specific crime types can differ.
Therefore, it should be noted that the degree of under-recording of crime
that is found may not be the same for all crime types. This is explained in
more detail in Annex C.
4.8 The audit will report on crime-recording accuracy at a national level, and
not at force level, as the sample sizes required to report with a
reasonable level of precision (+/- 5%) at force level are beyond available
resources. 38
4.9 Sampling data for each force are only being used as indicative of the
accuracy of force crime-recording; they are not of a size to be of
statistical significance. Each force sample does, however, contribute to
the overall national sample from which we will be able to report a
statistically sound figure for the accuracy of crime-recording within
England and Wales as a whole.
4.10 The audit results for each force are discussed with the force crime
registrar and any differences in opinion on the findings are reviewed by
advisers working with HMIC. The national crime registrar is also taking
38
For example, the CSEW, which is recognised as being the gold standard in terms of survey
collection, does not report at force level, even though its annual sample is as large as 35,000
households.
47
an active part in this inspection, providing advice when required to the
HMIC auditors, as well as dip-sampling their work to check for accuracy.
4.12 Of the remainder, one percent came through specialist routes, which
included public protection and rape counselling units. The other seven
percent came through a variety of routes, such as reports by a member
of the public to an officer on foot patrol or at the front desk of a police
station. As far as is practical, these other routes are being assessed
through local inspection.
(c) People and skills in crime data integrity by establishing whether the
force has staff whose conduct and skills ensure accurate recording.
39
These figures are for all recorded crime (excluding fraud). In respect of particular crime types,
these figures varied from 86 percent for robbery and sexual offences, to 97 percent for burglary.
40
This does not mean that 92 percent of crime reported to the police comes in via this route; it
is the proportion of crime that gets recorded through this route.
48
4.15 Inspectors complete templates to record evidence gathered by each field
inspection team. The evidence is built up under the direction of an
inspection leader who is responsible for co-ordinating the inspection, as
well as taking part in a range of interviews and facility visits. Interviewees
include the chief officer lead for crime data integrity, the FCR, the head of
crime investigation, the local policing area manager, the head of force IT,
the crime bureau manager, the head of the control room and call-
handling and the head of rape investigations (or the head of the unit
responsible for protecting vulnerable people).
4.16 As well as the individual interviews, inspectors also run a focus group
with officers and staff who have oversight of crime-recording in different
areas of the force.
4.18 Inspectors can complete in-depth interviews with 30 or more officers and
staff on each force visit.
49
in people. We look at the level of investment in the training of officers
and staff to help them record crime accurately and the investment in
the staff who monitor and audit standards.
50
5. The inspection to date
5.1 HMIC has completed all three stages of the inspection explained above
in 13 of the 43 police forces in England and Wales. Annex B specifies the
forces we have visited so far. It also shows the schedule of visits to the
remaining 30 forces, to be completed by August 2014.
5.2 The general surveys of the public and of police officers will be assessed
separately and added to the evidence to be used for our final report in
October 2014.
5.3 In support of our findings from the first set of field inspections, we have
reviewed documentation from forces, including policies, procedures and
guidance provided to officers, which set the standard for accurate crime-
recording. We have also reviewed the audits provided to us by the forces
themselves to assess their crime data accuracy. Our one-day visits to all
43 forces in December 2013 provided important information about the
ways in which each force receives reports of crime.
5.4 In relation to the 13 police force inspections carried out so far, our
inspectors have reviewed:
• 978 crime records in which the offender was dealt with by way of an
out-of-court disposal, such as a caution, penalty notice for disorder or
cannabis warning; and
• 308 crime records in which the offender was dealt with by way of a
community resolution.
5.5 The evidence gathered to date from the audit and field inspection visits –
the second and third stages of the inspection approach – enables us to
report on the emerging themes below. Our inspectors are already
identifying some worrying weaknesses in current police crime-recording
practice.
5.6 Our final report in October 2014 will contain statistically sound data
supported by the evidence from all 43 police force inspections.
51
6. Emerging themes
6.1 The HOCR were established in their current form in 1998 and the NCRS
was introduced in 2002. Together they provide a clear and simple
framework and set of rules for the sound and consistent recording of
crime by the police. They are not especially complicated; nor are they
optional. Every police officer should be able to understand and properly
apply them. Every police force must adhere to them.
6.2 This inspection is concerned with how the HOCR and NCRS are applied.
It is an inspection of the integrity of police-recorded crime data. It is not
an inspection or inquiry into the integrity of the police.
6.4 Before doing so, it is appropriate to remind readers that the only
statistically significant figures in this inspection are those which will be
published in our final report in October 2014. However, we can – and do
– report on the cases which we have examined.
6.6 If the findings for the first set of forces are representative across all
forces and all crime types, this implies that 20 percent of crimes may be
going unrecorded. Some forces have of course performed better than
others. The figures for the forces inspected so far are given in the table at
paragraph 6.19.
52
officers will be responsible. Pressure of workload, where police officers
have been managed in such a way as to overload them with cases, is
also a likely factor.
(a) victims are failed because the crimes against them are not
investigated, they have no hope of justice according to law, and they
will not receive the services to which they are entitled and which they
need;
(b) the community is failed because our system of public justice requires
offenders to face the law and its sanctions, and if they escape justice
not only is it denied, but more victims may be created, increasing the
harm done to the community and its safety and security;
(d) police chiefs will lack the reliable information which they need to
make sound decisions on the deployment of their resources in order
to maximise the efficiency and effectiveness of their assets; this in
turn jeopardises public safety and security.
6.10 The picture is of course not all bad. In the paragraphs below, we explain
strengths in the system of police-recorded crime as we have observed it.
41
If HMIC were to find evidence of any criminal activity, we would provide it to the professional
standards department of the police force in question or the Independent Police Complaints
Commission, as appropriate.
53
We then proceed to describe and evaluate the weaknesses we have
found.
6.11 At the end of each field visit by inspectors, senior police officers and staff
in each force receive debriefing on what has been found. This means
that each inspected force is already aware of HMIC’s findings in that
force. It is HMIC’s intention that individual inspection reports – one for
each inspected force – will begin to be published in June 2014.
Strengths
6.12 Two strengths in crime-recording practice stand out from the inspection
of the 13 forces:
2. Calling the police – We have found that when victims contact the
police through their call centres on both 999 and 101, they are
provided with a professional service. So far, we have listened to
3,069 telephone calls from the public of which 3,014 were judged by
our inspectors to have been handled well.
42
Our methodology for assessing the correct classifications of recorded crimes means that
auditors only look at the first three crimes in respect of any one incident. This means that if
more than three crimes are reported as having occurred in a single incident, the remaining
crimes are not considered. Therefore, the total of crimes classified (either correctly or
incorrectly) will, in such cases, not match our finding in relation to the total number of crimes
recorded.
54
Our inspectors are finding that during that important first contact with
police call-handlers, they are usually polite, helpful, demonstrate
empathy for the concerns of the caller and ask meaningful questions
to understand the caller’s concerns. This reflects the finding that staff
within call-handling centres are specialists who receive considerable
training, mentoring and support to be able to do their jobs. It also
clearly illustrates a commendable public-focused approach.
Weaknesses
6.13 This inspection – which has adopted a more rigorous methodology than
any earlier HMIC inspection – has so far identified the following six areas
of concern in respect of crime-recording practices by police forces:
6.14 Taken together, these weaknesses suggest that there is an overall lack
of victim-focus in the police recording of crime. Whilst the first contact
victims of crime have with police call-handlers is usually good, our
inspection found the following: reports from victims are not always being
believed; the oversight of crime-recording could be improved; and when
officers are using out-of-court disposals to deal with offenders, victims
are not always informed.
43
A step in the right direction, the policing of anti-social behaviour, HMIC, 2012.
55
6.15 A failure to engage fully with victims in cases of no-crime decisions or to
consider victims’ views in cases of out-of-court disposals is not in
keeping with the victim-orientated approach advocated in the HOCR, and
means that there is insufficient consideration of their needs and views.
6.17 Our audit thus far indicates that of the 3,102 incidents we scrutinised,
2,551 crimes should have been recorded. Our inspectors found that
2,028 were recorded correctly in accordance with the HOCR. Among
those crimes not recorded when they should have been were sexual
offences (including 11 rapes) and crimes of violence, robbery and
burglary. We discuss these findings (see paragraph 6.26) and the
contributing factors (see paragraphs 6.29–6.33) in more detail later in this
report.
6.18 As explained earlier in this report, sampling data from each force is being
used only as indicative of the accuracy of force crime-recording; it is not
of a size to be of statistical significance. Each force sample does,
however, contribute to the overall national sample from which we will be
able to arrive at a statistically sound assessment for the overall accuracy
of crime-recording within England and Wales in our October 2014 report.
44
These numbers are not final and may be subject to change as part of the inspection
programme. Therefore the data presented here should be treated as a snapshot of what has
been seen to date. The data are drawn from a dip-sample of records and as such are not
statistically significant or representative for each force but will be used in time to give an
indication of performance across England and Wales.
56
Number of crimes that Number of crimes that
should have been recorded were recorded
Cheshire 85 58
City of London 59 54
Devon and Cornwall 113 94
Essex 120 110
Gloucestershire 85 76
Greater Manchester 388 265
Gwent 60 52
Hertfordshire 181 130
Metropolitan Police 1126 908
Norfolk 74 63
North Wales 78 73
North Yorkshire 64 56
South Yorkshire 118 89
6.20 In paragraph 3.40 we explain how police forces receive reports of crime
from the public. Eight of the 13 forces inspected record crime directly
from a victim by telephone. The amount of crimes directly recorded in this
way varies considerably from force to force; in one force as much as 40
percent of crime was recorded directly in this way. Therefore, it is
important to note that the table above contains the data that relate only to
the primary recording route used by all forces: that is where a force
control room creates an incident record and a crime record is completed,
where appropriate, at a later stage. Our final report will contain data from
both recording routes.
6.21 Although this is an initial finding from inspections of 13 forces out of 43,
we have identified the following issues concerning the failure correctly to
record crime:
57
result in the degradation of information, the victim having to repeat
information already provided, and some crimes not being recorded at
all.
58
properly is impeded by the number of incompatible IT systems in use
and also because some of these systems have not been designed
with an effective audit capability.
6.22 The following case study illustrates where crime records should have
been recorded but were not.
There are no details of any re-visit and officers appear not to have
spoken to the victim. The initial report details what happened and this
made it clear that the assault occurred before the housemate started
recording the crime on her telephone. As there is no evidence that this
and the previous assaults did not occur, the crimes should have been
recorded, but were not.
59
6.26 Through the main audit of reported incidents, we found 11 reports of rape
that had not been recorded as a crime when they should have been. We
have also found allegations of crime being held on a specialist
department’s email account which had not been recorded as crimes. The
failure by police to record these crimes – committed against the most
vulnerable of victims – is of very considerable concern. Forces in which
this has occurred were immediately informed of these findings to enable
them to take action to review these crimes, ensure they are recorded,
and complete any remaining investigation.
6.27 The IT systems used by these specialist departments are often separate
from the force crime-recording system. This can obstruct the accurate
recording of crime. Of the 13 forces we have visited so far, there are
seven different types of these separate systems in use. On these, the
staff in specialist departments record referrals concerning rape and other
crimes, from such organisations such as health and social services. A
dip-sample of these specialist systems by our inspectors found three
crimes of rape which had not been recorded.
6.28 The following are two examples which have been found during our
inspection:
A 13-year-old child with autism told his parents that he had been sexually
assaulted by a 15-year-old male friend. Police were contacted as it was
apparent that an allegation of rape had been made. No crime was
recorded on the grounds that to do so would have a negative effect on
the victim. The incident was wrongly written off as sexual
experimentation. A crime should have been recorded.
60
to the relevant specialist departments. They are interviewing officers and
staff and reviewing the separate IT systems used by them.
6.32 We have found that where other organisations such as social services
take the lead in public protection cases, police officers sometimes fail to
record the fact that a crime occurred. Investigators have told us that
colleagues in health and social services have, on occasions, advised
them that a crime record is inappropriate for, or unwanted by, the victim.
For example, they may not wish to criminalise the suspect. This is
incorrect. The act of recording a crime does not criminalise anyone; that
only happens when the investigation is finalised and the offender is
convicted or admits the offence and agrees to an out-of-court disposal,
such as a caution or PND. Although concerns expressed by victims
about the potential effect on suspects are understandable in many
situations, the HOCR are designed to ensure that crimes are accurately
recorded so that decisions can be made by the police about
investigations, prosecutions and crime prevention activity.
6.33 One example, where workload pressure was given as the basis for not
recording a crime, was a report of rape. In this example, it was
considered that recording the crime would entail too much work, as the
officer made a judgment that the circumstances of the complaint made it
unlikely that the case would be prosecuted. This demonstrates a serious
failure of duty to that victim and was brought to the immediate attention of
the force concerned.
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Crimes being inappropriately recorded as no-crimes
6.34 On occasions, recorded crimes are found not to have occurred. Where
there is additional verifiable information to show this to be the case, the
record of the crime can be reclassified and is then recorded as a no-
crime. This may occur, for example, where an item that was reported
stolen is subsequently found to have been lost, or where it can be shown
that a false allegation of crime has been made (see paragraph 3.48
above).
Cheshire 29 42 71
City of London 7 34 41
Devon and Cornwall 10 94 104
Essex 5 68 73
Gloucestershire 7 46 53
Greater Manchester 26 65 91
Gwent 0 63 63
Hertfordshire 4 71 75
Metropolitan Police 21 69 90
Norfolk 6 58 64
North Wales 16 60 76
North Yorkshire 34 71 105
South Yorkshire 11 55 66
45
These numbers are not final and may be subject to change as part of the inspection
programme. Therefore, the data presented here should be treated as a snapshot of what has
been seen to date. The data are drawn from a dip-sample of records and as such are not
statistically significant or representative for each force, but will be used in time to give an
indication of performance across England and Wales.
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6.37 Our present view is that the principal reasons for these failures include
poor knowledge in the application of the HOCR when considering the
additional verifiable information that is required to show that a crime has
not been committed, and weak or absent supervision.
6.39 The following case studies illustrate typical errors in no-crime decisions:
A male reported that whilst in nightclub toilets, another male held a knife
to his neck and demanded his watch, wallet and telephone. The wallet
was later found in a car park. CCTV showed the victim entering and
leaving the toilets. The victim was very drunk and subsequently ejected
from the club by door staff. The victim was challenged about the robbery
and confirmed that he was drunk but he said he was certain he had been
robbed. The crime report was updated: "There is no evidence to support
the fact that he was robbed and his account of what happened is not
credible". This does not constitute additional verifiable information; the
crime should have remained as a recorded crime. The absence of
corroborating information and the opinion of the investigating officer as to
the complainant’s credibility do not negate the need to record the crime.
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Out-of-court disposals not effected in accordance with national
guidelines 46
6.40 As discussed earlier (see paragraph 3.53), our inspection considered
whether out-of-court disposals were being used in accordance with
national policy guidance, and in particular whether victims’ views were
being taken into account before the imposition of an out-of-court
disposal, and whether they were given a proper explanation of the
decision to effect an out-of-court disposal.
6.42 In too many cases, we found that records kept by police of out-of-court
disposals were inadequate. In one force, different forms were in use to
record the same type of out-of-court disposal. In other forces, the forms
did not contain sufficient detail of what had taken place, and it was
therefore impossible to tell whether the offender had been fully informed
about the nature and implications of the out-of-court disposal in question.
46
HMIC are examining a dip-sample of out-of-court disposals from each force including
examples of community resolutions, PNDs, cautions and cannabis cautions. The figures
published here are not representative of England and Wales, nor are they indicative of what the
findings will be once all inspections are completed. This is a statement of our findings to date
from the partially completed programme.
47
National guidance for the use of out-of-court disposals is detailed in a number of documents:
• Home Office Circular 016/2008: Simple Cautioning – Adult Offenders. Available from
www.xact.org.uk
• Simple Cautions For Adult Offenders, 14 November 2013. Available from
www.justice.gov.uk
• Code of Practice for Adult Conditional Cautions, 8 April 2000. Available from
www.justice.gov.uk
• Home Office Police Operational Guidance for penalty Notices for Disorder, March
2005. Available from www.justice.gov.uk
• ACPO Guidance on Cannabis Possession for Personal Use, 28 January 2009.
Available from www.acpo.police.uk
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• Community resolutions – Our inspectors took a dip-sample of 308
community resolutions and found that in 57 cases the offender’s
previous criminal history should have precluded the use of the
disposal. In 72 of these cases, we found no record that the wishes of
the victim had been considered, and in 43 cases the crime itself was
not one for which a community resolution was appropriate.
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• If the caution is for certain sexual offences, the offender’s name will
be placed on the register of sex offenders.
PNDs, cannabis warnings and community resolutions may also be
disclosed in future enhanced Disclosure and Barring Service checks 48,
and this may affect employment in sensitive jobs.
Lack of adequate training
6.44 Where the level of under-recording of crime or the inappropriate use of
the no-crime option are most evident, our inspectors are finding frontline
staff are not well-trained in crime-recording procedures and do not fully
understand the NCRS or the HOCR.
6.45 There are many classifications of crime within the HOCR and, in some
cases, the legal characteristics of the offences have a high degree of
similarity. For instance, in the case of being drunk and disorderly, or
exhibiting disorderly behaviour causing harassment, alarm or distress,
the law’s distinctions are difficult, and there may be a valid choice for an
officer to make. Police officers need good training to support the
judgments they are expected to make.
6.46 Training that is being provided is often focused on those officers and staff
who are based within crime bureaux. Whilst this is expedient, and there
are examples of force-wide training and training for newly-appointed
officers in crime-data recording, police frontline staff are often left with
only limited training in this area. Where training was made available,
police frontline staff generally welcomed it and considered themselves
better equipped to record crimes accurately as a result.
6.48 Linked to the need for training, there is evidence that some supervisors,
including those working in specialist departments, who are expected to
make decisions based on the NCRS and the HOCR, have not received
48
Enhanced Disclosure and Barring Service checks are used when the individual is applying for
employment (paid or otherwise) which may involve contact with children or vulnerable adults.
The enhancement of the check includes disclosure not only of previous convictions but also of
police intelligence which may be relevant.
66
any training, and do not know the required crime-recording standard
themselves.
6.49 In some instances, our inspectors have noted that the gaps in
supervision are caused by reductions, or under-staffing, in quality
assurance teams whose responsibilities include ensuring the accuracy of
crime-recording. These shortfalls in assurance staff are often the result of
austerity measures, and are exposing forces to risk in terms of the
integrity of their recorded crime data and could, as a consequence,
reduce the quality of service to the victims of crime.
6.50 Evidence of strong governance was found in some forces, with explicit
messages to secure accurate crime-recording data. Where this was
supported by well-trained, centralised units responsible for supervision
and oversight of crime-recording, accuracy was generally of a higher
standard than elsewhere. Instances of officers being disciplined for
failures in respect of crime data integrity were few, but were found where
there was a clear message from the leadership of the force about the
importance of compliance with the NCRS and the HOCR.
Performance pressures
6.51 Much has been said and written recently about performance pressures
on police officers, including in the context of the under-recording or
misclassification of crime in official records.
6.54 It is the responsibility of police leaders to ensure that their officers and
staff concentrate on what matters most, not what scores highest in the
partial and imperfect, discredited performance measurement systems of
the past. And whilst a proper qualitative assessment of the relative
importance and public good of policing activity is always necessary,
police leaders who abandon all means of measuring performance –
67
appropriately valued – run material risks that the pendulum swings too far
the other way, and that their assets will under-perform. The removal or
reduction of targets does not and should not lead to the abandonment of
any performance measurement.
6.55 The quality of the crime data which the police collect and record has
material importance in informing the public about their level of safety and
security, the police and crime commissioner about the force’s
performance in the categories of crime in question, and police leaders
about the efficiency and effectiveness of their operations and how their
assets should best be deployed. No system is likely to be operated
consistently with perfection, and there will always be rational and
defensible differences in professional judgment about the compliant
classification of offences. However, it is essential that crime recording is
done honestly and within the rules. Police officers need to understand
and properly apply the rules, and appropriate mechanisms must be in
place to ensure due compliance, so that the users of crime statistics can
rely upon them with confidence.
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7. Next steps
7.1 Our definitive findings in October 2014 will be based on the most
extensive national audit and inspection ever undertaken by HMIC into
crime-recording integrity.
7.2 Forces visited are already responding to our findings and are adapting
their practices as feedback is provided.
7.3 We will complete the remainder of our in-force audits and inspections
during the next few months. Our final report will be published in October
2014.
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Annex A – Terms of reference
Background
As part of our 2013/14 inspection programme, HMIC was commissioned by the
Home Secretary to undertake inspections within all Home Office police forces to
answer the question:
HMIC understands that forces can only record what is reported to them,
although they should actively work to encourage reporting of crime, and that
reporting rates vary for crime types. We also know that new crime types
emerge. However, reported crime is an important part of the overall picture and
sound recording ensures:
.
• the police can plan their work to achieve the best outcomes for victims
and communities;
• the public, government, local policing bodies and HMIC have an accurate
picture of crime and anti-social behaviour (ASB) in a particular area; and
• the victims of crime and ASB are provided with appropriate access to
victim services.
Scope
The desired outcome of the inspection is an improvement in police-recording of
crime data, leading to increased public trust in police-recorded crime
information.
This inspection will examine not only how well the HOCR are applied by forces,
but also the culture and behaviours around crime-recording, and the service the
police provide to victims. At the heart of the inspection will be the interests of
victims, which will be explored through follow-up telephone calls to some victims
where crimes were not recorded.
49
Home Affairs Select Committee (HASC) meeting 14 May 2013.
70
The inspection will look at crimes which, when repeated, cause significant harm
to the community, such as criminal damage or other crimes relating to anti-
social behaviour and will also consider the appropriateness of crime outcomes,
including cautions, Penalty Notices for Disorder, cannabis warnings and
community resolutions. This inspection will also review standards around
decisions taken to no-crime (not count) a crime that has already been recorded.
The scope of this inspection includes all 43 Home Office forces. The British
Transport Police (BTP) and Police Service of Northern Ireland (PSNI) will be
asked if they wish to be included within the programme. It does not include the
National Crime Agency, any other non-Home Office forces, or forces of Crown
Dependencies or UK overseas territories.
Methodology
The objectives will be achieved via:
71
and Home Office reference group to ensure effective liaison with the
service during the conduct of the review;
• liaison with relevant professionals and specialists in these areas;
• liaison with police and police staff associations;
• a representative survey of the public to gauge the level of trust the public
have in police crime data and to understand the aspects of crime-
recording which really matter to them; and
• a representative survey of police officers to identify what officers think
about crime-recording, to understand what training they get, what
messages they receive from senior and middle managers regarding
crime-recording integrity and whether there is any pressure placed on
them to record or not to record crimes.
The methodology has been devised with the advice of the Crime Statistics
Advisory Committee.
Timeframe
The timescales below give an indication of when it is anticipated key stages of
the work will be completed.
Product
This interim report will be provided to the Home Secretary to provide an update
on the initial inspection findings. As the programme progresses, individual force
reports will be published for each force. This will ensure information is available
promptly and will be most useful to all interested parties. These reports will not
report a statistically robust estimate of the accuracy of crime-recording at a
force level but will report on the quality of the force crime-recording and crime
outcome arrangements.
A national thematic report covering the main points and themes will be
published once all forces have been inspected. This report will provide a
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statistically robust estimate of crime-recording accuracy at a national level for
reports of crime which are primarily routed through incident records or a
centralised crime-recording bureau. It will also include a judgment as to the
level of confidence the public can have in the other routes by which crimes can
be reported.
73
Annex B – Force inspection dates
74
Annex C – Methodology for the national audit
The Home Office provides national standards for the recording and counting of
notifiable offences by police forces in England and Wales (referred to as ’police-
recorded crime’ or PRC). These standards are known as the Home Office
Counting Rules for Recorded Crime (commonly referred to as HOCR). The
rules were complemented in April 2002 by the National Crime Recording
Standard (NCRS). And this additional standard received the full support of chief
constables.
Alongside our calculation of the national average compliance rate, we will also
calculate the compliance rate of specific crime types at a national level. 50 These
figures will show how rates vary by these crime types and help to avoid any
misinterpretation that the same compliance rate applies to different crime types.
50
Covers the 43 police forces in England and Wales, but excludes the British Transport Police.
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(within +/-5%). The cost of obtaining sufficient sample sizes at force level
is unaffordable.
We may use the national sampling data as part of a force inspection, but only if
this is supported by other qualitative assessments of the force’s crime-recording
arrangements.
51
From over 300 incidents examined as part of an inspection into Kent (2013) crime-recording,
only one crime was recorded when it should not have been. This case was a technical failure,
where a victim-based crime had been recorded, but there was no victim confirmation, so it
should have remained a crime-related incident (CRI). Further work by HMIC found that from a
sample of almost 3,000 incidents from eight forces, there were no cases of over-recorded crime.
76
Population to be examined
Our aim is to draw as representative a sample as possible, irrespective of the
ways in which different forces record different crimes. However, the routes by
which different crimes come into forces’ recording systems vary. The majority
enter via the incident IT system, but many come by other routes such as
reporting at a front desk in a police station or to specialist units (e.g. the
reporting of a rape). The possibility of bias would arise if, in drawing our
samples, we were to fail to take sufficient account of differences in recording
arrangements in individual forces.
To test for this risk, workshops were held with each force to identify the
proportions of different crimes notified by different reporting routes. The results
were validated by crime type against the force’s recorded crime figures
uploaded onto the Home Office database. 52 Validation identified that of the 43
forces, 40 provided figures which were broadly in line with those on the Home
Office database. The remaining forces provided snapshots of data covering part
of the 12-month period. This was mainly due to changes in these forces’ IT
systems, which made it difficult to provide a full set of data. The figures from
these forces were scaled up to estimate 12-month outputs, and were accepted
as similar to those figures on the Home Office database.
The results of the crime record route analysis indicated that 92 percent 53 of
crime that is recorded (excluding fraud) came from a route that can be audited
across all forces (these were crimes reported through police control rooms,
directly to crime-recording centres, or both). The sample population of the audit
was therefore based on incidents drawn from these auditable routes.
Of the remainder, one percent came from specialist routes, which included
public protection and rape counselling units. The other seven percent came
from a variety of routes, such as reports by a member of the public to an officer
on foot patrol or at the front desk of a police station. As far as is practical, these
other routes will be assessed through local inspection.
52
The Annual Data Requirement 111-114 (a statutory requirement of forces to provide this data
to the Home Secretary under the Police Act 1996) covers the provisions of aggregated monthly
data on police-recorded crime.
53
These figures are for all recorded crime (excluding fraud); for the crime types these figures
varied from 86% for robbery and sexual offences, to 97% for burglary.
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Selection of crime types
To establish a comparable set of crime types to be audited, a review was
conducted of each force’s opening incident codes. As we expected, some
forces could provide more detail than others. The Metropolitan Police Service,
for instance, has 16 opening incident codes, whereas Essex has more than 200
opening codes. However, we were able to identify a number of common
opening codes sharing the same crime classifications:
Rape cases will be separately audited via a dip-sample, 54 as the numbers are
too small to form part of a separate sub-group to produce robust statistical
outputs: based on the 12 months ending 31 October 2013, they made up less
than one percent of all recorded crime, excluding fraud. Forces adopt different
approaches to receiving reports of rape, which include specialist units, and
therefore the standard audit approach will not be sufficient to provide a full
picture of rape recording accuracy.
Sampling technique
Our sampling technique is designed to provide auditors with sufficient records to
test the accuracy of the individual crime types (listed above) with a similar level
of confidence. We decided that the most efficient way to achieve this was to
take a disproportionate stratified sample. 55 There were two reasons for our
decision:
• The six crime types (violence, sexual offences, robbery, burglary,
criminal damage and other offences) varied in size. Robbery and sexual
offences each account for about two percent of recorded crime, whereas
54
A dip-sample is a selection of records chosen to provide indicative rather than statistically
robust evidence.
55
A sampling method in which the sample size for a particular group is not proportional to the
relative size of the total.
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violence accounts for about 17 percent. The smaller sub-groups will be
selected with a higher sampling fraction than the rest of the other sub-
groups to ensure a larger number of them are in the final sample. This
allows a better statistical comparison to be made.
The samples of the six crime types will be weighted to ensure that the ‘all crime’
estimate is a reflection of the crime type proportions.
The audit aims to select a random sample size necessary to yield confidence
intervals 56 of no more than +/- three percentage points for all crimes and +/- five
percentage points for individual crime types (at the 95 percent confidence level)
at the national level. To achieve the appropriate sample size of incidents
requires a prior estimate of the accuracy of force’s recording.
Our prior estimate is based upon HMIC’s 2012 inspection of 12 forces’ recorded
crime figures, together with results from a similar inspection of Kent 57 in April
2013. From this evidence, we have adopted an assumption that 75 percent of
classifications were correct and this suggests a sample of around 5,500
56
The confidence interval provides an estimated range of values that the given population being
examined is likely to fall within. For example, if an audit found that 85 percent of crimes were
correctly recorded with a confidence interval of +/- three percent, then we could be confident
that between 82 percent and 88 percent of crimes were correctly recorded of the population for
the period being examined.
57
Crime recording in Kent - A report commissioned by the Police and Crime Commissioner for
Kent, HMIC, June 2013.
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crimes 58 across the six crime types (at the 95 percent confidence level) will be
examined.
Sample selection
Not all incidents generate a crime. Evidence from previous HMIC crime-
recording audits suggests the ratio between incidents opened with the ‘all crime’
crime code is 1.5 incidents to each crime. For example, if there were 300
incidents opened with a crime opening code, this may yield 200 notifiable
crimes. This ratio varies by the type of crime (it may be higher or lower) and
risks some under- or over-sampling. To reduce this risk, a ratio of 1.5 will be
applied to all crime types, with an additional ten percent of records being
chosen to guard against crime types which may have a higher ratio. However,
we will review the outputs after the first group of forces has been audited, and
where necessary adjust the sampling fractions.
A sample will be taken from the list of records that each force provides to HMIC
for the 12-month period to 31 October 2013. These lists will contain entries such
as the unique reference ID, the date the record was raised and the crime type
opening and closing code. Duplicate records will be removed along with other
ineligible records (e.g. fraud offences).
The sample will use the opening codes as they will include incidents 59 which are
closed incorrectly but may contain crimes. Take, for example, a call from a
victim of burglary which is opened on the incident system as a burglary, the
incident record contains enough information to record a burglary, but is then
closed incorrectly as a suspicious incident. Were we to draw our sample on
closing crime codes (rather than opening incident codes), this burglary would
have been missed because it was not closed as a crime. Of course, if the
situation were reversed – opening incident code ‘suspicious incident’ and
closing code ‘burglary’ – then the nature of the risk is similar, but we judge that
the scale of the risk is less.
58
This figure is the number of crimes that should have been recorded based on HMIC’s
auditors’ assessment in accordance with the Home Office Counting Rules.
59
Assigning incidents to crime may be done on incomplete or uncertain information. Therefore
the accuracy rate must be viewed as an estimate.
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was raised, and a random record will be selected from each month. Therefore,
the first 12 records will contain a randomised record from each month.
Gaps in knowledge
The methodology for the crime data audit has been designed to provide the
best evidence in the time and resources available. However, there are some
gaps which are likely to account for a small proportion of crimes and which are
more difficult to audit. One issue in particular attracted our attention: whether
some anti-social behaviour incidents are miscoded crime incidents.
81