UP4_Appendix_F_Cost_Engineering
UP4_Appendix_F_Cost_Engineering
March 2020
Appendix F: Cost Engineering
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1 Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 3
2 Methodology ...................................................................................................................... 3
8 References ...................................................................................................................... 10
9 Attachments .................................................................................................................... 10
• TRACES MII Cost Report; 1-page....................................................................... 10
• Risk Management and Contingency Analysis; 9-pages ...................................... 10
• Total Project Cost Summary (TPCS); 2-pages.................................................... 10
• Anticipated Project Schedule; 1-page ................................................................. 10
Table of Contents i
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Tentatively Selected Plan Project First Cost (in $1,000) ................................................. 9
Table of Contents ii
Appendix F: Cost Engineering
1 Introduction
Several alternate plans were evaluated for this project. The Evaluation and Comparison of
Alternatives section in the Main Report details the final array of each alternative, considering
both costs and benefits. As discussed in the Plan Formulation section, a number of factors
contributed to the formulation of alternatives and plan selection including project objectives,
agency priorities, costs, and benefits. The inclusion or exclusion of individual features, rather
than evaluation of different designs for a specific feature, were utilized to develop alternative
plans. Unit pricing used to determine the costs for each specific alternative plan is based on
pricing from the current working estimate in MII format developed at the time the of evaluation of
alternatives. This unit pricing is based on assumed crews and production rates typical for this
type of work and includes markups such as typical contractor overhead and profit rates. A
contingency rate developed during the alternative plan formulation phase was applied to the unit
price. Then a total markup of 16% for planning, engineering, and design, and construction
management was applied to this unit price and the two costs summed. During the review of the
MII alternative unit pricing, and corresponding XCEL spreadsheet developed using the MII input,
it was determined that changes in the pricing would likely be warranted. However, based on
discussions with the project delivery team (PDT), and the fact that the alternatives were
developed by adding or removing specific features and not by evaluating different designs and
therefore different costs for a specific feature, it is unlikely that the tentatively selected plan
(TSP) would change. No further evaluation of the alternatives was judged to be warranted.
The remainder of this appendix refers to the TSP and contains a feasibility level project cost
estimate and Total Project Cost Summary (TPCS) prepared for the Mississippi River Upper Pool
4, head of Lake Pepin, Section 1122 Project. The study area encompasses Catherine’s Pass,
and includes some of the Pierce County Islands at the head of Lake Pepin, beginning at river
mile 785 and extending to river mile 790.
2 Methodology
The cost estimate prepared for the TSP includes real estate acquisition, planning, engineering,
design, construction, and adaptive management and monitoring costs. The estimate was
developed after review of preliminary project schematics, project data and requirements, and
attending regular PDT meetings.
Guidance for the preparation of the estimate and attachments obtained from the following
sources:
• Cost Engineering Policy and General Requirements (ER 1110-1-1300)
• Civil Works Cost Engineering (ER 1110-2-1302)
• Construction Cost Estimating Guide for Civil Works (ETL 1110-2-573)
The Fully Funded Estimate (FFE) was completed in accordance with the Engineering Manual
for Civil Works Construction Cost Index System (CWCCIS, EM 1110-2-1304).
through May of 2021. It is assumed that the project would be advertised in June of 2021 with
contract award in August of 2021. After award, notice to proceed would be given in September
of 2021 with preconstruction submittals to follow.
Actual construction is anticipated to begin in May of 2022 after ice out and when high spring
flows are diminished. The anticipated construction duration is five full seasons for this project.
Construction would occur during the navigation season, typically May through October, using
mostly marine equipment. Determination of duration of specific project features is based on the
estimated quantity for the feature and assumed production rates for the task, assuming a 10-
hour work day and 5 day work week. External factors such as potential spring flooding or other
adverse weather conditions could affect the project’s construction schedule. These uncertainties
are accounted for by increasing the calculated duration by an additional 25% to cover weather
days and other unforeseen factors that could impact the work. Adaptive management and
monitoring would extend an additional 10 years after completion of construction.
4.1.2 Overtime
Overtime is applied to the estimate at 5-days per week, 10-hours per workday.
4.1.3 Productivity
Normal productivity was applied. User crews were created using the estimator’s judgment. Most
of the work crews and production rates are based on information received from the Contracting
Officer Representative based on the actual construction of Conway HREP and Harpers HREP
bid abstract. Productivity rates and work crews were obtained from daily average productions
and include crew set up time, site inefficiencies, equipment-operator crews, and crew
assemblies.
JOOH was applied as a running percentage at 10% for both the contractor and the
subcontractors, based on similar projects such as Harpers Slough and Conway.
The HOOH was applied as a running percentage at 10% for the prime contractor and 8.60% for
the subcontractors, based on calculations from similar projects such as Harpers Slough and
Conway.
4.2.3 Profit
Profit is defined as a return on investment and provides the contractor with an incentive to
perform the work as efficiently as possible. For the TSP estimate, profit was developed using
the weighted guideline method, which considers the contractor’s degree of risk, the relative
difficulty of work, the monetary size of the job, the period of performance, the contractor’s
investment, any assistance by the Government, and the amount of subcontracting.
Profit for the contractor and the subcontractors is applied using the weighted guideline method
at 8.98%.
4.2.4 Bonds
Bond contract costs are for performance and payment security bonds that protect the
government from a non-performing contractor and subcontractors and suppliers from non-
payment. The bond markup is applied only to the prime contractor’s own work and the prime’s
subcontractor’s work at 2%. This is an assumption based of industry standard data. Bonding
requirements are assumed the responsibility of the prime contractor.
The PDT’s analysis arrived at an overall project contingency of 27% for this project. The
analysis and register are attachments to this appendix.
Bay City Campground, and the 5-year construction use at the staging area, a re-paving
allowance for the roadway into the campground has been included in the cost estimate.
A gravel access road to the proposed project dike is assumed to be constructed along an
existing trail, and will remain when construction is completed. A temporary roadway easement
to access the dike will need to be acquired, see Appendix E – Real Estate Plan for details. A
gate to secure the access road to the dike is not included and is assumed the responsibility of
the agency who will maintain the stop log structure and the dike.
5.3.3 Disposal
There is no cost included for hauling cleared material, excess fill or dredged material. No cost is
included for off-site disposal of any material, other than normal construction debris.
A separate real estate contingency supplied by Real Estate for 25 percent is included in
included in the cost for this feasibility effort.
Based on similar projects of complexity and scope, a 28% contingency for construction of the
project features is included in the cost estimate.
This account is calculated as 10% of the construction of Fish and Wildlife Facilities (06) account,
based on projects similar in design and scope, and includes a 14% contingency.
This cost equals 8% of the Fish and Wildlife Facilities (06) account, and a 24% contingency,
based on similar projects in design and scope, like Conway and Harpers HREPs.
Contin- Project
Cost Contingency
Account Item gency First Cost
($1,000) (%) ($1,000) ($1,000)
Real Estate
Acquisition
1 8 25% $2 $9
Planning,
Engineering, and
Design
30 (PED, 7%)
$1,144 14% $160 $1,304
Adaptive
Management &
30 Monitoring (3%)
$490 14% $69 $559
Construction
Management
(8%)
31 $1,307 24% $314 $1,621
8 References
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. ER 1110-1-1300, Cost Engineering Policy and Requirements.
Washington DC. March 26, 1993.
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. ER 1110-2-1302, Civil Works Cost Engineering. Washington
DC. June 30, 2016.
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. ER 1110-2-1304, Civil Works Construction Cost Index System.
Washington DC. March 31, 2018.
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. ETL 1110-2-573, Construction Cost Estimating Guide for Civil
Works. Washington DC. September 30, 2008.
9 Attachments
• TRACES MII Cost Report; 1-page
• Risk Management and Contingency Analysis; 9-pages
• Total Project Cost Summary (TPCS); 2-pages
• Anticipated Project Schedule; 1-page
1 06 FISH AND WILDLIFE FACILITIES Peninsula Construction - Granular Fill $ 7,308,795 29% $ 2,146,845 $ 9,455,640
2 06 FISH AND WILDLIFE FACILITIES Peninsula Construction - Fine Fill $ 4,845,151 31% $ 1,511,397 $ 6,356,548
3 06 FISH AND WILDLIFE FACILITIES Shoreline Protection & CP Partial Closure $ 1,721,206 31% $ 531,378 $ 2,252,584
4 06 FISH AND WILDLIFE FACILITIES Turf Establishment $ 320,000 32% $ 102,076 $ 422,076
Remaining Construction (access road,
5 06 All Other structure, refuge dredging, staging area) $ 2,140,747 15.1% 15% $ 322,772 $ 2,463,519
Planning, Engineering, & Design (7%)
6 30 PLANNING, ENGINEERING, AND DESIGN (3% Adapt Mgmt & Monitoring) $ 1,633,590 14% $ 225,352 $ 1,858,942
XX FIXED DOLLAR RISK ADD (EQUALLY DISPERSED TO ALL, MUST INCLUDE JUSTIFICATION SEE BELOW) $ -
KEEP
KEEP Totals
KEEP Real Estate $ 7,500 25% $ 1,875 $ 9,375.00
KEEP Total Construction Estimate $ 16,335,899 28% $ 4,614,468 $ 20,950,367
KEEP Total Planning, Engineering & Design $ 1,633,590 14% $ 225,352 $ 1,858,942
KEEP Total Construction Management $ 1,306,872 24% $ 314,625 $ 1,621,496
KEEP
KEEP Total Excluding Real Estate $ 19,276,361 27% $ 5,154,445 $ 24,430,806
RANGE Base 50% 80%
RANGE Confidence Level Range Estimate ($000's) $19,276k $22,369k $24,431k
Upper Pool 4 Lake Pepin CAP Tentatively Selected Plan
Feasibility (Recommended Plan)
Cost Risk Analysis Risk Evaluation
• Potential for scope growth, added features and The number, sizes, and shapes, of the features could change.
PS-4 Shoreline Protection-Riprap
quantities? Small item with a solid scope defined with entire team.
Negligible Unlikely 0
Remaining Construction
Items (access road, • Potential for scope growth, added features and
PS-12
structure, refuge quantities?
Dike 3 WLM structure and the road. Change not expected. Negligible Unlikely 0
dredging, staging area)
Road elevation 672 - less risk to the road and WLM structure
Remaining Construction
construction. 55,000 cfs = 671 elevation. High river flows (i.e.
Items (access road,
>55,000 cfs) may delay construction/cause safety concerns for
Moderate Likely 3
structure, refuge • High risk or complex construction elements, site
the contractor so they may shut down their dredging operations.
CE-12 dredging, staging area) access, in-water?
Peninsula Construction - • Level of confidence based on design and This risk is captured in conservative settlement quantity estimate
Fine Fill - Dry/Wet assumptions? (Settlement assumption is 3.5). Some risk with existing Negligible Possible 0
bathymetry surveys used (2017), however entire study area is
T-3 very shallow (average across project area is more accurate).
• Level of confidence based on design and This risk is captured in conservative settlement quantity estimate
Turf Establishment
assumptions? (Settlement assumption is 3.5). Some risk with existing Negligible Possible 0
bathymetry surveys used (2017), however entire study area is
T-5 very shallow (average across project area is more accurate).
Remaining Construction
Items (access road, • Level of confidence based on design and
structure, refuge assumptions?
LIDAR used for road area to calc quantities. Negligible Unlikely 0
T-12 dreding, staging area)
Peninsula Construction -
EX-2
Granular Fill
High flows would result in higher cost and/or delays. High flows Marginal Unlikely 0
• High water, fuel pricing, and availability of skilled could wash portions of the island away prior to completion.
Contractors, environmental construction windows Source of sand is known (Reads Landing, or even Corps Island).
Peninsula Construction -
EX-3
Fine Fill - Dry/Wet
High flows would result in higher cost and/or delays. High flows Moderate Unlikely 1
• High water, fuel pricing, and availability of skilled could wash portions of the fines away and lengthen the drying
Contractors, environmental construction windows time.
EX-4 Shoreline Protection-Riprap • High water, fuel pricing, and availability of skilled Marginal Unlikely 0
Contractors, environmental construction windows High flows would result in higher cost and/or delays.
Remaining Construction
Items (access road, Marginal Unlikely 0
structure, refuge
EX-12 dreding, staging area) NA NA
Planning, Engineering, &
Design (7%)
EX-13
(3% Adapt Mgmt &
Marginal Unlikely 0
Monitoring) • Potential for severe adverse weather? High flows would result in higher cost and/or delays.
Construction Management
EX-14
(8%)
Marginal Unlikely 0
• Potential for severe adverse weather? High flows would result in higher cost and/or delays.
**** TOTAL PROJECT COST SUMMARY **** Printed:3/10/2020
Page 1 of 2
PROJECT: Mississippi River Upper Pool 4 Lake Pepin (Section 1122) DISTRICT: St. Paul District PREPARED: 3/5/2020
PROJECT NO: P2 xxxxxx POC: CHIEF, COST ENGINEERING, James D. Sentz
LOCATION: Bay City, WI, Mississippi River
This Estimate reflects the scope and schedule in report; Feasibility Report and Integrated Environmental Assessment for Mississippi River Upper Pool 4- Head of Lake Pepin (Section 1122)
06 Peninsula Construction - Granular Fill $7,309 $2,120 29.0% $9,428 0.0% $7,309 $2,120 $9,428 $0 $9,428 10.9% $8,105 $2,350 $10,455
06 Peninsula Construction - Fine Fill $4,845 $1,502 31.0% $6,347 0.0% $4,845 $1,502 $6,347 $0 $6,347 14.2% $5,534 $1,716 $7,249
06 Shoreline Protection (Riprap) $1,721 $534 31.0% $2,255 0.0% $1,721 $534 $2,255 $0 $2,255 15.9% $1,995 $618 $2,613
06 Turf Establishment $320 $102 32.0% $422 0.0% $320 $102 $422 $0 $422 15.9% $371 $119 $489
Refuge Dredging,Structure,Access Rd
06 Staging Pad and Re-Pave $2,141 $321 15.0% $2,462 0.0% $2,141 $321 $2,462 $0 $2,462 14.2% $2,445 $367 $2,812
$0 $0 - $0 - $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 - $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 - $0 - $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 - $0 $0 $0
__________ ___________ ____________ _________ _________ __________ ___________ _________ _________ ________________
CONSTRUCTION ESTIMATE TOTALS: $16,336 $4,579 $20,914.5 0.0% $16,336 $4,579 $20,915 $0 $20,915 12.9% $18,449 $5,170 $23,619
30 PLANNING, ENGINEERING & DESIGN $1,634 $228.7 14.0% $1,862.3 0.0% $1,634 $229 $1,862 $0 $1,862 20.8% $1,973 $276 $2,249
31 CONSTRUCTION MANAGEMENT $1,307 $313.6 24.0% $1,620.5 0.0% $1,307 $314 $1,621 $0 $1,621 18.0% $1,542 $370 $1,912
PROJECT COST TOTALS: $19,284 $5,123 26.6% $24,407 $19,284 $5,123 $24,407 $0 $24,407 13.9% $21,973 $5,818 $27,791
PROJECT: Mississippi River Upper Pool 4 Lake Pepin (Section 1122) DISTRICT: St. Paul District PREPARED: 3/5/2020
LOCATION: Bay City, WI, Mississippi River POC: CHIEF, COST ENGINEERING, James D. Sentz
This Estimate reflects the scope and schedule in report; Feasibility Report and Integrated Environmental Assessment for Mississippi River Upper Pool 4- Head of Lake Pepin (Section 1122)
RISK BASED
WBS Civil Works COST CNTG CNTG TOTAL ESC COST CNTG TOTAL Mid-Point INFLATED COST CNTG FULL
NUMBER Feature & Sub-Feature Description ($K) ($K) (%) ($K) (%) ($K) ($K) ($K) Date (%) ($K) ($K) ($K)
A B C D E F G H I J P L M N O
PHASE 1 or CONTRACT 1
06 Peninsula Construction-Granular Fill $7,309 $2,119.6 29.0% $9,428 0.0% $7,309 $2,120 $9,428 2023Q3 10.9% $8,105 $2,350 $10,455
06 Peninsula Construction - Fine Fill $4,845 $1,502.0 31.0% $6,347 0.0% $4,845 $1,502 $6,347 2024Q3 14.2% $5,534 $1,716 $7,249
06 Shoreline Protection & CP Partial Closure $1,721 $533.6 31.0% $2,255 0.0% $1,721 $534 $2,255 2025Q1 15.9% $1,995 $618 $2,613
06 Turf Establishment $320 $102.4 32.0% $422 0.0% $320 $102 $422 2025Q1 15.9% $371 $119 $489
Refuge Dredging,Structure,Access Rd
06 Staging Pad and Re-Pave $2,141 $321.1 15.0% $2,462 0.0% $2,141 $321 $2,462 2024Q3 14.2% $2,445 $367 $2,812
$0 $0.0 0.0% $0 0.0% $0 $0 $0 0 0.0% $0 $0 $0
$0 $0.0 0.0% $0 0.0% $0 $0 $0 0 0.0% $0 $0 $0
__________ ___________ _________ ____________ _________ _________ __________ _________ _________ ________________
CONSTRUCTION ESTIMATE TOTALS: $16,336 $4,578.6 28.03% $20,914.5 $16,336 $4,579 $20,915 $18,449 $5,170 $23,619
31 CONSTRUCTION MANAGEMENT
5.5% Construction Management $898 $216 24.0% $1,114 0.0% $898 $216 $1,114 2024Q3 18.0% $1,060 $254 $1,315
0.5% Project Operation: $82 $20 24.0% $101 0.0% $82 $20 $101 2024Q3 18.0% $96 $23 $120
2.0% Project Management $327 $78 24.0% $405 0.0% $327 $78 $405 2024Q3 18.0% $386 $93 $478
CONTRACT COST TOTALS: $19,284 $5,123 $24,407 $19,284 $5,123 $24,407 $21,973 $5,818 $27,791
Filename: TPCS_UP4_PostDQC_05Mar20.xlsx
TPCS
ID Task Task Name Duration Start Finish Predecessors 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Mode Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
1 Funding Approved 1 day Thu 10/1/20 Thu 10/1/20
2 Planning, Engineering, & Design (PED) 172 days Fri 10/2/20 Mon 5/31/211
3 Advertise Solicitation 22 days Tue 6/1/21 Wed 6/30/212
4 Award Contract 23 days Thu 7/1/21 Mon 8/2/21 3
5 Notice to Proceed 21 days Tue 8/3/21 Tue 8/31/21 4
6 Preconstruction Submittals 22 days Wed 9/1/21 Thu 9/30/21 5
7 Construction
8 CP Access Pad and Staging Area 10 days Mon 5/2/22 Fri 5/13/22
9 CP Mudflat 2
10 Place Fines from CP Access 1 2 days Mon Tue 5/17/22 8
5/16/22
21 Place Fine Fill ‐ Next Construction Season 60 days Wed 5/1/24 Tue 7/23/24 20
22 Place Riprap 11 days Wed 7/24/24Wed 8/7/24 21
23 Plantings 10 days Wed 7/24/24Tue 8/6/24 21
24 CP Peninsula 3
25 Place Granular Fill 53 days Wed 8/7/24 Fri 10/18/24
26 PLACE FINE FILL FROM CP4, 5, AND 6 ACCESS DREDGING AND 9 days Mon Thu 25
CP DREDGE AREAS 2 AND 3 10/21/24 10/31/24
27 Place Fine Fill ‐ Continuous from previous season 23 days Thu 5/1/25 Mon 6/2/25 26
28 Plantings 5 days Tue 6/3/25 Mon 6/9/25 27
29 CP BANKLINE RESTORATION (NORTH)
30 PLACE GRANULAR FILL 10 days Tue 6/10/25 Mon 6/23/2528
31 PLACE FINE FILL FROM ACCESS DREDGING 5 days Tue 6/24/25 Mon 30
6/30/25
32 PLANTINGS (WILLOWS) AND TURF ESTABLISHMENT 2 days Tue 7/1/25 Wed 7/2/25 31
33 CP SHORELINE PROTECTION (NORTH)
34 PLACE RIPRAP 5 days Thu 7/3/25 Wed 7/9/25 32
35 CP SHORELINE PROTECTION (WEST)
36 PLACE RIPRAP 2 days Thu 7/10/25 Fri 7/11/25 34
37 CP CUT AREA (ROCK LINER, DEFLECTOR, PARTIAL CLOSURE,
AND SHORELINE PROTECTION
46 PLACE FINE FILL FROM CP6 ACCESS DREDGING 27 days Fri 5/29/26 Mon 7/6/26 45
47 PLANTINGS (WILLOWS) AND TURF ESTABLISHMENT 4 days Tue 7/7/26 Fri 7/10/26 46
48 CP CONTROL STRUCTURE
49 BUILD STRUCTURE 2 days Fri 5/29/26 Mon 6/1/26 45
51 REFUGE DREDGING
52 DREDGE 41 days Wed 6/3/26 Wed 7/29/2650
53
54
56
57
58
Project: msproj11 Task Milestone Project Summary External Milestone Inactive Milestone Manual Task Manual Summary Rollup Start‐only Deadline Manual Progress
Date: Thu 2/13/20
Split Summary External Tasks Inactive Task Inactive Summary Duration‐only Manual Summary Finish‐only Progress
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