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Cambridge International AS & A Level

CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*4499219569*

MATHEMATICS 9709/63
Paper 6 Probability & Statistics 2 October/November 2021

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INSTRUCTIONS
³ Answer all questions.
³ Use a black or dark blue pen. You may use an HB pencil for any diagrams or graphs.
³ Write your name, centre number and candidate number in the boxes at the top of the page.
³ Write your answer to each question in the space provided.
³ Do not use an erasable pen or correction fluid.
³ Do not write on any bar codes.
³ If additional space is needed, you should use the lined page at the end of this booklet; the question
number or numbers must be clearly shown.
³ You should use a calculator where appropriate.
³ You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a
calculator.
³ Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in
degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

INFORMATION
³ The total mark for this paper is 50.
³ The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 16 pages. Any blank pages are indicated.

JC21 11_9709_63/RP
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1 It is known that the height H , in metres, of trees of a certain kind has the distribution N 12.5, 10.24
.
A scientist takes a random sample of 25 trees of this kind and finds the sample mean, H , of the heights.

(a) State the distribution of H , giving the values of any parameters. [2]

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(b) Find P 12 < H < 13
. [3]

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2 The number of enquiries received per day at a customer service desk has a Poisson distribution with
mean 45.2. If more than 60 enquiries are received in a day, the customer service desk cannot deal
with them all.

Use a suitable approximating distribution to find the probability that, on a randomly chosen day, the
customer service desk cannot deal with all the enquiries that are received. [4]

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3 A random sample of 75 students at a large college was selected for a survey. 15 of these students
said that they owned a car. From this result an approximate !% confidence interval for the proportion
of all students at the college who own a car was calculated. The width of this interval was found to
be 0.162.

Calculate the value of ! correct to 2 significant figures. [5]

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4 A random variable X has probability density function given by

T 1
9 − x2
0 ≤ x ≤ 3,
f x
= 18
0 otherwise.

(a) Find P X < 1.2
. [3]

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(b) Find E X
. [3]

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The median of X is m.

(c) Show that m3 − 27m + 27 = 0. [3]

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5 (a) The proportion of people having a particular medical condition is 1 in 100 000. A random sample
of 2500 people is obtained. The number of people in the sample having the condition is denoted
by X .
(i) State, with a justification, a suitable approximating distribution for X , giving the values of
any parameters. [2]

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(ii) Use the approximating distribution to calculate P X > 0
. [2]

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(b) The percentage of people having a different medical condition is thought to be 30%. A researcher
suspects that the true percentage is less than 30%. In a medical trial a random sample of 28 people
was selected and 4 people were found to have this condition.

Use a binomial distribution to test the researcher’s suspicion at the 2% significance level. [5]

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6 The random variable T denotes the time, in seconds, for 100 m races run by Tania. T is normally
distributed with mean - and variance 32 . A random sample of 40 races run by Tania gave the following
results.
n = 40 Σ t = 560 Σ t2 = 7850

(a) Calculate unbiased estimates of - and 32 . [3]

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The random variable S denotes the time, in seconds, for 100 m races run by Suki. S has the independent
distribution N 14.2, 0.3
.

(b) Using your answers to part (a), find the probability that, in a randomly chosen 100 m race, Suki’s
time will be at least 0.1 s more than Tania’s time. [5]

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7 The masses, in grams, of apples from a certain farm have mean - and standard deviation 5.2. The
farmer says that the value of - is 64.6. A quality control inspector claims that the value of - is actually
less than 64.6. In order to test his claim he chooses a random sample of 100 apples from the farm.

(a) The mean mass of the 100 apples is found to be 63.5 g.

Carry out the test at the 2.5% significance level. [5]

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(b) Later another test of the same hypotheses at the 2.5% significance level, with another random
sample of 100 apples from the same farm, is carried out.

Given that the value of - is in fact 62.7, calculate the probability of a Type II error. [5]

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Additional Page

If you use the following lined page to complete the answer(s) to any question(s), the question number(s)
must be clearly shown.

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