Stats and probability
Stats and probability
Capsulized Self-Learning
Empowerment Toolkit
SUBJECT &
GRADE LEVEL STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY (GRADE 11)
QUARTER THIRD WEEK 6 DAY mm/dd/yyyy
TOPIC SAMPLING DISTRIBUTION OF THE SAMPLE MEAN
The learner finds the mean and variance of the sampling
distribution of the sample mean. (M11/12SP-IIId-5)
LEARNING
COMPETENCY The learner defines the sampling distribution of the sample mean
for normal population when the variance is (a) known (b)
unknown. (M11/12SP-IIIe-1)
IMPORTANT: Do not write anything on this material. Write your answers on separate
sheets.
UNDERSTAND
Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean
A INTRODUCTION
Recall that if repeated random samples of a given size n are taken from a
population of values for a quantitative variable, where the population mean is μ (mu)
and the population standard deviation is σ (sigma) then the mean of all sample means
(𝑥̅ ) is population mean μ (mu). Also, the standard deviation (also called standard
error) of all sample means is directly related to the sample size, n as indicated below.
𝜎𝑥̅ = 𝜎⁄
√𝑛
Take note that since the square root of sample size n appears in the
denominator, the standard deviation does decrease as sample size increases.
You also learned in your previous topic on how to convert normal distribution to
standard normal distribution or converting raw score to z score by using the formula,
𝑥−𝜇
𝑧=
𝜎
EXAMPLE 1
Suppose that a normal distribution x has a mean of 15 and standard
deviation 14. If a random sample of size n = 49 is drawn, find the mean,
standard error, and variance of the sampling distribution.
SOLUTION:
a. To find the mean, we will use the formula μxത = μ , therefore, the mean of
the sampling distribution of the sample mean is also 15.
b. To find the standard error, we will use the formula σxത = σ⁄ ,we will get:
√n
14 14
σxത = = =2
√49 7
Therefore, the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the
sample mean is 2.
2
c. To find the variance, we could use the formula σ2xത = σ ⁄n then we will
get:
142 196
σ2xത = = =4
49 49
Or, we could just simply get the square of the standard error to get the
variance of the sampling distribution, which in this case, 22 = 4.
EXAMPLE 2
A normal distribution x has mean of 100 and standard deviation of 45.
If a random sample of size n = 81is drawn, find the mean, and variance
of the sampling distribution.
SOLUTION:
Since the 𝛍𝐱ത = 𝛍 therefore, 𝛍𝐱ത = 𝟏𝟎𝟎
2
To find the variance, we could use the formula σ2xത = σ ⁄n then we will get:
2
452 2025
σxത = = = 25
81 81
Therefore, the variance of the sampling distribution of the sample mean is
25.
Normal Population
For a normal probability distribution. Let x be a random variable
with a normal distribution whose mean is µ and whose standard
deviation is σ. Also, let 𝑥̅ be the sample mean corresponding to
random samples of size n taken from the x distribution. Then the
following are true:
a. The 𝑥̅ distribution is a normal distribution.
b. The mean of the 𝑥̅ distribution is µ.
c. The standard deviation of the 𝑥̅ distribution is 𝜎 ⁄√𝑛.
To fully understand this new topic, let us consider the following example:
NOTE: Get ready with your Z Distribution Table (Standard Normal Distribution)
EXAMPLE 1
Suppose that a team of biologists has been studying the Pinedale
children’s fishing pond. Let x represent the length of a single tilapia taken at
random from the pond. This group of biologists has determined that x has a
normal distribution with mean of 10.2 inches and standard deviation of 1.4
inches. What is the probability that a single tilapia taken at random from the
pond is between 8 and 12 inches long?
SOLUTION:
For this problem, we will use the same method in converting raw
score to z score then find the area under the standard normal curve using
your z distribution table.
8−10.2 12−10.2
Pሺ8 < x < 12ሻ = Pሺ 1.4 < x < 1.4 ሻ
= Pሺ−1.57 < z < 1.29ሻ
= 0.9015 − 0.0582 = 0.8433
Therefore, the probability is about 0.8433 that a single tilapia taken at
random is between 8 and 12 inches.
EXAMPLE 2
Consider the problem in example 1. What is the probability that the
mean length xത of five tilapia taken at random is between 8 and 12 inches?
SOLUTION:
If we let μxത represent the mean of the sample mean distribution then
this tells us that,
μxത = μ = 10.2
If σxത represents the standard deviation of the xത distribution, then we
get,
σ 1.4
σxത = = ≈ 0.63
√n √5
To create a standard z variable from xത, we subtract μxത and divide it
by σxത to get,
xത − μxത xത − 10.2
z= =
σxത 0.63
To standardize the interval 8 < xത < 12, we use 8 and then 12 in place
of xത in the preceding formula for z.
8 < xത < 12
8 − 10.2 12 − 10.2
<z<
0.63 0.63
−3.49 < z < 2.86
Since x has a normal distribution, then xത has a normal distribution.
Therefore,
Pሺ8 < x < 12ሻ = Pሺ−3.49 < z < 2.86ሻ
= 0.9979 − 0.0002 = 0.9977
The probability is about 0.9977 that the mean length based on the
sample size of 5 is between 8 and 12 inches.
Looking at the result of example 1 and 2, we see that the probabilities are quite
different. This is because the standard deviation of xത is smaller than the x distribution.
SAQ 1: How can you apply your learnings about sampling distribution in real-life?
SAQ 2: Do you think it’s important to learn this new topic? Why?
ACTIVITY
TERM 1
Directions: Find the mean and variance of the sampling distribution of the sample
mean of the following problem.
1. Now take a simple random sample of 50 students who took the test. What is the
mean of the sample mean score of these 50 students?
ACTIVITY
TERM 2
Directions: Read and understand the given problem carefully. Answer each problem
on the space provided for.
A certain strain of bacteria occurs in all raw milk. Let x be the bacteria count
per milliliter of milk. The health department has found that milk is not contaminated,
then x has a distribution that is more or less mound-shaped and symmetrical. The
mean of the x distribution is µ = 2500, and the standard deviation is σ = 300. In a large
commercial dairy, the health inspector takes 42 random samples of the milk produced
each day. At the end of the day, the bacteria count in each of the 42 samples is
averaged to obtain the sample mean bacteria count 𝑥̅ .
1. Assuming that the milk is not contaminated, what is the distribution of xത.
2. Assuming that the milk is not contaminated, what is the probability that the
average bacteria count xത for one day is between 2350 and 2650 bacteria per
milliliter?
REMEMBER
Key Points
⚫ If a population has a mean μ, then the mean of the sampling distribution of the
mean is also μ. The symbol 𝝁𝒙ഥ is used to refer to the mean of the sampling
distribution of the mean. Therefore, the formula for the mean of the sampling
distribution of the mean can be written as: 𝜇𝑥̅ = 𝜇.
⚫ The variance of the sampling distribution of the mean is computed using the
formula:
2
𝜎𝑥̅2 = 𝜎 ⁄𝑛
⚫ Also, the standard deviation (also called standard error) of all sample means
computed using the formula below.
𝜎𝑥̅ = 𝜎⁄
√𝑛
⚫ For a normal probability distribution
a. The 𝑥̅ distribution is a normal distribution.
b. The mean of the 𝑥̅ distribution is µ.
c. The standard deviation of the 𝑥̅ distribution is 𝜎 ⁄√𝑛.
⚫ It is also important to note that when x has a normal distribution, the 𝑥̅ distribution
will be normal for any sample size n.
⚫ The 𝑥̅ distribution will be normal provided that the x distribution is normal. The
sample size n could be any fixed sample size wish. Furthermore, the mean of the
𝑥̅ distribution is the same for x distribution, but the standard deviation of the 𝑥̅
distribution is smaller than the x distribution.
TRY
Let’s see how much have you learned today!
General Directions: Study the following assessments carefully and write your
answers on separate sheets.
Assessment 1.
Directions: Read and analyze each problem regarding mean and variance of
sampling distribution carefully. Write the letter of the correct answer on the space
provided before each number.
3. The mean of the sampling distribution of the sample mean is _________ the
population mean.
A. greater than B. less than C. equal to D. not equal to
8. What is the standard error of the sampling distribution of the sample mean?
A. 8 B. 12 C. 2√2 D. 115
10. What is the variance of the sampling distribution of the sample mean?
A. 8 B. 12 C. 2√2 D. 115
Assessment 2.
Directions: Read and analyze each problem carefully. Write the letter of the correct
answer on the space provided before each number.
6. Suppose a doctor uses the average xത for two tests taken about a week apart. What
is the probability that xത < 40?
A. 0.0054 B. 0.006 C. 0.054 D. 0.06
7. Suppose a doctor uses the average xത for three tests taken about a week apart.
What is the probability that xത < 40?
A. 0.0009 B. 0.0054 C. 0.009 D. 0.054
8. Suppose a doctor uses the average xത for five tests taken about a week apart. What
is the probability that xത < 40?
A. 0.0054 B. 0.002 C. 0.0009 D. 0.0002
9. Compare your answers for items 6, 7, and 8. What have you observed?
A. The probabilities decrease as n decreases.
B. The probabilities increase as n decreases.
C. The probabilities decrease as n increases.
D. The probabilities increase as n increases.
10. If the population is normal then the sample mean also has a normal distribution
for _______ sample size.
A. the same B. any C. fixed D. larger
MANAGEMENT AND Dr. Roy C. Tuballa, CESO VI Dr. Norma T. Francisco, CESE
SPECIALIST Dr. Jay S. Montealto, CESO VI Dr. Vilma A. Brown