JIL_study_guide (1)
JIL_study_guide (1)
TECHNICAL
ANALYSIS
www.jilforex.com [email protected]
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TABLE OF CONTENT
This is when the price keeps on making a series of higher highs and higher
lows, it indicates a clear movement to the upside.
Bullish Trend
Bullish Trend
The bull trend is depicted by higher highs and higher lows. The trend
will continue in that direction until a lower low is printed by the asset
price. The trend begins to show signs of weakness when it fails to
print and higher high.
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Bearish Trend
Bearish Trend
The bear trend is the price action of lower lows and lower highs. The
bear trend will continue to fall as long as lower highs continue to
print, once a higher high comes into the price, the trend will end. The
sign that the trend may be reversing is price beginning to print higher
lows or equal lows.
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Sideways Trend
Sideways Trend
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To analyze how assess prices move, there will be a need for a sort of way
to look at the past and current price behavior. The first tool that a trader
using technical analysis needs to get familiar with is the chart. A chart is
just a graphic depiction of the price of a currency pair over a certain time
period.
It depicts the trading activity that occurs over the course of one trade
period, whether that be 1 minute, 4 hours, a day, a week or a month.
Any financial asset with historical price data can be represented
graphically for analysis.
1. Candlestick chart
2. Bar chart
3. Line chart
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Candlestick chart
A simple line chart draws a straight line from one closing price to the next.
We can visualize the overall price development of a currency pair over time by
connecting its values with a line.Although the line chart is easy to understand, it
might not give the trader much information about price behavior over the
course of the period.
According to certain traders, the closing level is more significant than the open,
high, or low. Price changes throughout a trading session are disregarded by
focusing solely on the closure.
Line chart
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The open, high, low, and close prices of an asset during a specific time period
are represented graphically in a bar chart. The high and low prices for the
specifiedperiod are shown by the vertical line on a price bar.The size of bars
can change from one bar to the next, over a range of bars, or both.
The vertical bar's bottom represents the lowest transacted price for that
time period, while its top represents the highest price paid.The vertical bar
itself displays the total trading range for the currency pair. The bars grow
bigger as the price swings become more erratic. The bars get smaller as the
price swings become quieter. This is an example of a bar chart:
Bar chart
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Support and resistance levels are like the floor and the roof of a building. A ball
thrown to the roof is expected to drop and a ball bounced on the floor is also
expected to shoot up so consider the roof to the resistance and the floor as the
support. Support and resistance levels tell you if the price of anasset is likely to
stop moving in its prior direction and to start moving in the opposite direction in
the future. Knowing where an asset price may stop and turn around helps
traders to enter and exit their positions at the most profitable times.
Support
Support is a price level at which an asset price tends to stop moving down,
then turns around and starts climbing. Support levels indicate where
there will be a surplus of buyers.
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Resistance is a price level at which an asset tends to stop moving up, then
turns around and starts falling.
Resistance level indicates where there will be a surplus of sellers.
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A break and retest strategy occurs when an asset makes a bullish or bearish
breakout and then retests the previous resistance or support and then
continues moving in the original trend.
The Breakout and retest method is one of the most setups that when identified,
can be very profitable and to understand this method, one should know the
basics of support and resistance.
Bullish Structure
Bearish Structure
Example 1: EURUSD 1D
The strategy helps you avoid false breakouts. Most forex traders who fall for
the false breakout often make their trades on the first breakout candlestick.
But when you use the breakout and retest strategy, you avoid false breakouts
and enter a newly established trend.
The strategy helps you get into a trade at the best positions. The breakout and
retest strategy offers you a good position to get into a trade. After the first
breakout, many traders chase the breakout by “getting into the trade quickly”
before the price goes too far. But what they’re actually doing is getting into the
trade at the worst time because they’re either buying at a higher price or selling
at a lower price. A typical example is in the chart below.
The retracement is not always complete. Additionally, there are instances when
the retracement does not reach the point where the price made its breakout.
Traders may become perplexed by this position as some wait in vain for a
complete retracement while others are uncertain of what to do next. If this
happens to you, put your order on the first candlestick that appears following
the initial retracement you observe. You would have made a wise trade if that
retracement turned out to be the only one. You would still have entered the
trade at a decent price even if the retest ultimately fails
The retest may never come. The retest doesn’t always come, causing traders
setting up the breakout and retest strategy to lose out on potentially major
moves.
The retest sometimes gets faked out. This occurs when the price does not
retest and bounce off the freshly formed level but instead goes back to the
level it first broke out from. Due to the fact that the first candlestick following
the retest typically serves as confirmation that the newly created level will
hold, we advise you to only initiate the trade on this candlestick.
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Chart Patterns
Chart patterns are natural pricing patterns that have the shape of natural
objects, such as triangle patterns, wedge patterns, and so on. Due to
natural occurrences, these patternskeep repeating over time. These
recurring patterns are used by traders to forecast themarket.
Chart patterns are categorized into two primary types based on the trend
direction.
Bull Flag
Bear Flag
Bull Rectangle
AccendingTriangle
DecendingTriangle
Symmetric Triangle
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The wedge pattern is a trend reversal chart pattern with a price structure
that looks like a wedge. A Wedge has a larger outer segment and a smaller
outer section. It's also a natural pattern because it shows pricing behavior
in its natural state.
Bull Flag
The most popular and sophisticated chart pattern is the flag chart. This chart
pattern's profound psychology makes it extremely useful for predicting the
direction of any asset inthe financial market.
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Bear Flag
Bull Rectangle
Bullish rectangles are continuation patterns that occur when a price pauses
during a strong bullish trend and temporarily bounces between two parallel
levels before the trend continues.
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Accending Triangle
Bullish rectangles are continuation patterns that form when a price pauses in
the middle of a strong bullish trend and temporarily bounces between two
parallel levels before continuing the trend.
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Decending Triangle
Symmetric Triangle
Reversal patterns are those chart formations that signal that the ongoing trend
is about to change course. If a reversal chart pattern forms during an uptrend,
it hints that the trend will reverse and that the price will head down soon.
Double Top
Double Bottom
Rising Wedge
Falling Wedge
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Double Top
The double bottom is a bullish reversal chart pattern indicating the formation
of two consecutive lows in the support zone. A bullish trend reversal occurs
following the neckline breakout.
In this pattern, the neckline is created at the last price swing after two price
bottoms. The prior trend to the double bottom pattern should be bearish, and
it must form at the end of the bearish trend.
Double Bottom
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The head and shoulder pattern is a reversal chart pattern that consists of three
price movements. The largest price swing is referred to as the head, and the
two waves to the left and right of the head are referred to as the shoulders. It is
called the head and shoulder pattern for this reason.
It is a recurring chart pattern that occurs following a bearish trend reversal in
the market.
Rising Wedge
The Rising Wedge is a bearish pattern that begins wide at the bottom and
contracts as prices move higher and the trading range narrows. If signals a
reversal if found in a bullish market.
Falling Wedge
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Candlestick Patterns
Candlestick Patterns
Let’s take a look at each type of candlestick and what they mean in terms of
price action.
Candlestick Patterns
HAMMAR
INVERTED HAMMAR
Candlestick Patterns
BULLISH ENGULFING
BEARISH ENGULFING
Candlestick Patterns
BEARISH HAMARI
Candlestick Patterns
PIERCING LINE
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Candlestick Patterns
HAMARI CROSS