Chapter 5 Capital Budgeting
Chapter 5 Capital Budgeting
5
S. Maria Immanuvel
Assistant Professor,
St. Joseph’s Institute of Management
28/1 Primrose road, Off M G Road
Bangalore – 560025, India
E Mail :
[email protected]
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Project B
𝐼𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝐶0
𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑏𝑎𝑐𝑘 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑 = =
𝐴𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑐𝑎𝑠ℎ 𝑖𝑛𝑓𝑙𝑜𝑤 𝐶 Initial 45000 Payback
Investment amount
Amount to be
45,000 Year
𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑏𝑎𝑐𝑘 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑(𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑗𝑒𝑐𝑡 𝐴) = recovered in
14000 1 28000 28000 the year 3 is
2 12000 40000 5000
𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑏𝑎𝑐𝑘 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑 = 3 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠 3 10000 50000
4 10000
5 10000
Payback Period – Uneven cash flows
Project B
Actual cash inflow in the year 3 is 10000
Initial 45000 Payback
Investment amount
Balance amount to be recovered in the year 3 is 5000
Year
1 28000 28000
= (5000 / 10000) * 12
2 12000 40000 = 6 Months
3 10000 50000
4 10000 Payback period is = 2 year + 6 Months
5 10000
Payback Period – Uneven cash flows
Ex.3 A project requires a cash outlay of Rs.20,000 and generates cash inflows of
Rs.8000, Rs.7000, Rs.4000 and Rs.3000 during the next four years. What is the
project’s payback period?
Project P Project Q
Initial Investment 4000 4000
Year Operating cash inflows
1 3000 0
2 1000 4000
3 1000 1000
4 1000 2000
Discounted Payback period
Ex.1
Project P Project Q
Initial -4000 Discount Discounted -4000 Discount Discounted
Investment rate 10% cash flow rate 10% cash flow
If the cut off period is 3 years, the project may be rejected, as the discounted
Payback period is more than the cut off period
Payback period – Limitations
The payback period rule ignores all cash flows after the cutoff date. If the
payback period is two years, the payback rule rejects project A regardless of
the size of the cash inflow in year 3
The payback period rule gives equal weight to all cash flows before the cutoff
date. Payback rule says that Project A and C are equally attractive, but because
Cs cash inflows occur earlier, C has the higher NPV at any discount rate.
Accounting rate of Return
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) also known as Return on Investment
This method uses accounting information as revealed by Financial Statements
to measure the profitability of an investment
ARR is the ratio of the average after tax profit divided by the average
investment
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) =
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡
σ𝑛𝑡=1 𝐸𝐵𝐼𝑇(1 − 𝑇) /𝑛
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) =
𝐼0 + 𝐼𝑛 /2
Average Income: Earnings after tax without adjustment for interest OR Net operating income after tax (EBIT (1-T)),
I0:Book value of investment at the beginning, I1: Book value of the investment at the end of n number of years
Accounting rate of Return – Acceptance Rule
This method will accept all those projects whose ARR is higher than the
minimum rate established by the management and reject those projects
which have ARR less than the minimum rate.
This method would rank a project as number one if it has highest ARR and
lowest rank would be assigned to the project with lowest ARR
Accounting rate of Return
Ex.1 A Company wants to invest in new set of vehicles for the business. The
vehicles cost £350,000 and would increase the company’s annual revenue by
£100,000, as well as the company’s annual expenses by £10,000. The vehicles
are estimated to have a useful shelf life of 20 years, with no salvage value.
Compute the ARR.
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) =
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡
σ𝑛𝑡=1 𝐸𝐵𝐼𝑇(1 − 𝑇) /𝑛
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) =
𝐼0 + 𝐼𝑛 /2
Accounting rate of Return
Average annual profit = £100,000 - £10,000 = £90,000
Depreciation expense = £350,000 / 20 = £17,500
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 σ𝑛
𝑡=1 𝐸𝐵𝐼𝑇(1−𝑇) /𝑛
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) = =
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝐼0+𝐼𝑛 /2
Accounting rate of Return
Ex.2 A project will cost Rs.40,000. Its streak of earnings before depreciation,
interest and taxes (EBDIT) during the first year through five years is expected
to be Rs.10,000, Rs.12,000, Rs.14,000, Rs.16,000 and Rs.20,000. Assume a 50%
per cent tax rate and depreciation on straight-line basis. Compute the
project’s ARR.
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) =
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡
σ𝑛𝑡=1 𝐸𝐵𝐼𝑇(1 − 𝑇) /𝑛
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) =
𝐼0 + 𝐼𝑛 /2
Average Income: Earnings after tax without adjustment for interest OR Net operating income after tax (EBIT (1-T)),
I0:Book value of investment at the beginning, I1: Book value of the investment at the end of n number of years
Accounting rate of Return
Period 1 2 3 4 5 Average
EBIDT 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 20,000 14,400
Depreciation 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 8,000
EBIT 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 12,000 6,400
Taxes (50%) 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 6,000 3,200
EBIT(1-T) 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 6,000 3,200
3,200
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) =
20,000
Year 1 2 3 4 5 Average
Beginning 60 52 44 36 28
Ending 52 44 36 28 20
Average 57 48 40 32 24 40.2
7
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) =
40.2
𝐶𝑡
NPV = σ𝑛𝑡=1 𝑡 −C0
1+𝑟
Year 1 2 3 4 5
Project A 14,000 14,000 14,000 14,000 14,000
Refi 20 20
ting
Salv 15
age
𝐶1 𝐶2 𝐶𝑛
NPV = + 2 +⋯. 𝑛 −C0
(1+𝑟) 1+𝑟 1+𝑟
Net Present Value (NPV)
Ex.3 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
80 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50
Cost 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35
Refi 20 20
ting
Salv 15
age
-80 15 15 15 15 -5 15 15 15 15 -5 15 15 15 15 30
NPV : 110.25
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
The internal rate of return (IRR) is probably the most widely used
sophisticated capital budgeting technique.
The internal rate of return (IRR) is the discount rate that equates the NPV of an
investment opportunity with $0 (because the present value of cash inflows
equals the initial investment).
It is the compound annual rate of return that the firm will earn if it invests in
the project and receives the given cash inflows.
IRR is also called as yield on an investment, marginal efficiency of capital, rate
of return over cost, time adjusted rate of internal return
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
The true rate of return on an investment of Rs10,000 made in bank with the
interest rate of 8% investment would be Rs.10800.
The amount that you would obtain in the future (10800) would consist of your
investment (10000) plus return on your investment (10000*.08)
The rate of return (8%) of your investment makes the discounted (present)
value of your cash inflow (10800) equal to your investment (10000)
𝐶1
10000 0.08 = 10800 𝐶1 𝐶0 =
=1+𝑟 (1 + 𝑟)
10800 𝐶0
10000 = r : Rate of return on an investment
1.08
𝐶1 − 𝐶0 𝐶1 𝐶1 C0: Investment
𝑟= = −1 =1+𝑟
𝐶0 𝐶0 𝐶0 C1: Cash inflow after one period
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
IRR can be computed using the following equation:
𝑛 𝑛
𝐶1 𝐶2 𝐶𝑛 𝐶𝑡 𝐶𝑡
C0= + + ⋯. C0= 𝑡 −C0 = 0
(1 + 𝑟) 1+𝑟 2 1+𝑟 𝑛 1+𝑟 1+𝑟 𝑡
𝑡=1 𝑡=1
IRR equation is the same as NPV equation
In the NPV method, required rate of return (r) is known and NPV is found
In the IRR method, the value of r has to be determined at which the NPV
becomes 0
Accept the project if its IRR is higher than the opportunity cost of capital,
reject if IRR is less than lower than the opportunity cost of capital
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Ex.1 A project costs Rs.16,000 and is expected to generate cash inflows of Rs.8,000,
Rs.7,000 and Rs.6,000 at the end of each year for next years. Compute the IRR
of the project. (Trial and Error Method)
Year Cash PVIF DCF PVIF DCF PVIF DCF
inflow @20% @20% @16% @16% @15% @15%
Year 1 2 3 4 5
Project A 14,000 14,000 14,000 14,000 14,000 IRR (A) = 19.9%
Accept B
Project B 28,000 12,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 IRR (B) = 21.7%
NPV and IRR
When discounted at the opportunity cost of capital:
If the opportunity cost of capital is less than IRR, then the project has a
positive NPV
If the opportunity cost of capital is equal to IRR, then the NPV is Zero
If the opportunity cost of capital is greater then IRR, then the project has a
negative NPV
Therefore, when we compare the opportunity cost of capital with the IRR, we
are effectively asking whether our project has a positive NPV
NPV and IRR – Pitfall 1 - Lending or Borrowing?
Not all cash-flow streams have NPVs that decline as the discount rate
increases. This is contrary to the normal relationship between NPV and
discount rates.
Co C1 C2 C3 IRR NPV @ 10%
+1000 -3600 +4320 -1728 +20% -0.75
With some cash flows (as noted below) the IRR of both the projects are
equal. However, they are not equally attractive. (When we lend money we want high
rate of return. When we borrow money, we want a low rate of return)
Year 1 2 3 4 5
Project A 14,000 14,000 14,000 14,000 14,000
₹ Lakhs
Proj A Proj A
1 Profit before Depreciation 100 100
2 Depreciation 20 50
3 Profit after depreciation 80 50
4 Tax @ 30% 24 15
5 PAT 56 35
6 Operating cash (2+5) 76 85
Cash flow principle –
2. Estimate cash flows on an incremental basis
Remember to include taxes and consider the cash flow after tax basis
Do not confuse average with incremental payoffs
Include all incidental effects
Forecast sales today and recognize after-sales cash flows to come later
Include opportunity costs
Forget sunk costs
Beware of allocated overhead costs
Cash flow principle –
3. Treat inflation consistently
If the discount rate is stated in nominal terms, then consistency requires that
cash flows should also be estimated in nominal term, taking account of trends
in selling price, labor and material costs
Tax savings from depreciation do not increase with inflation
They are constant in nominal terms because tax law in India allows only the
original cost of assets to be depreciated
Cash flow principle –
4. Separate Investment and Financing Decisions
Focus exclusively on the project cash flows, not the cash flows associated with
alternative financing schemes
Regardless of actual financing, view the project as if it were all equity financed
and treating all cash outflows required for the project as coming from
stockholders and all cash inflows are going to them
You should neither subtract the debt proceeds from the required investment
nor recognize the interest and principal payment on the debt as cash outflows
Using NPV rule to choose among projects
Taking higher NPV in evaluating the project will the correct procedure as long
as the choice between two projects does not affect any future decisions that
you might wish to make.
Sometimes the choices you make today will have an impact on future
opportunities. If these situations, choosing between competing projects is
trickier and consider the following:
The investment timing problem: Should you invest now or wait and think
about it again next year?. Here, today’s investment is competing with possible
future investments
Using NPV rule to choose among projects
The choice between long and short lived equipment. Should the company
save money today by installing cheaper machinery that will not last long?
Here, Today’s decision would accelerate a later investment in machine
replacement
The replacement problem: When should existing machinery be replaced?
Using it another year could delay investment in more modern equipment
The cost of excess capacity: What is the cost of using equipment that is
temporarily not needed? Increasing the use of equipment may bring forward
the date at which additional capacity is required
Chapter End