Binomial Distribution
Binomial Distribution
Distributions
4.1 INTRODUCTION
x=0 r=0
-",9'ptn,,9"p't...tn,q'" n
= (qtp)
= 1.
successes) = P(X= 6)
() P(Exactly 6
=
7
128
Discrete Probability Distributions
8
128
(iin) PNo Success) = P (X= 0)
1
128
I5625
( 46656
31031
46656
Applied Mathematics
4,4
= |
=]
46656
46655
46656
= 0.91854.
as often as it fails. It the
EXample 4. An experiment succeeds twice probability of atleast
experiment is performed 6 times then find the
4 successes.
Solution : Let p:probability of asuccess
4: probability of failure
experiment succeeds twice as often as it fails)
Here p =24 (as
But ptq =I
2q t q =|4= 3
2
n=6
3
Discrete Probability Distributions
496
729
Example 5. In aBinomial distribution consisting of 5independent triol.
probabilities of l and 2successes are 0.4096 and 0..2048
the paramcter p of the distribution. respectively. Find
Solution : Letp: probability of success in a trial and X: r.v. of number of
successes Here, n=5.
Now, P(X= 1) =0,4096 =C g'p=5g'p
and P(X= 2) =0.2048 =C2 g'p= 10g'p
(i)+ (ii)
0.4096 5q'p ’2= 9
0.2048 3 2
10g'p 2p
= 4p =1-p
p =
that, on an average
Example 7. From past weather records, it has been found
the probability that in a
rain falls on ten days in the month of June. Find
given week ofJune. four wet.
() First three days will be dry and remaining
(ii) Exactly three days will be wet. day in the month of June.
Solution: Let pbe the probability ofa rainy
the month of June. Therefore.
days in
Since it rains ten days and there are 30
10 1
P 30 3
2
2187
variable which represents the number ofwet
(ii) Let Xbe the random
in the month ofjune. with
(rainy) days in a week binomial distribution
Therefore X follows a
n -7.p=74 3
exactly three days of the week are
Therefore the probability that
wet
560 - 0,2560
P(X= 3) = 2187
0.6,
willlivetill 70is live
the man aged 60
Example 8. If the probabilitythat of 10 men now 60, atleast 7 will
what is the probability that out
upto 70.
Discrete Probability Distributions
47
217728 = 0.11148
1953125
Delhi, consumers
Example 10. After the privatisation of power sector in
the supplier Tata Power
often complain that new meters installed by On rigorous testing of
Distribution Pvt. Ltd. are defective and run faster.defective and run faster.
meters were
meters it was found that 10% of the
housing society, a test check was conducted on 5 meters. What
Ina group meter is
are defective; (ii) at least one
meters
is the probability that (i) two
defective? defective
meter installed is
Solution: Let p:Probability that the
10 =0.10, q=1-0.10 = 0.90
100
n =5
Here
number of defective meters so
Let X be the variable representing the
installed. defective number of meters is
The probability distribution ofthe
x=0, 1, 2...n
P(X=x) =nc,
=0.0729
() PX= 2) = SC,
=|-PX= 0)
(ii) P(XE 1)
=]
1.
|-0.,59049= 0,4095
=
Binomlal Dlstrlbutlon
4.2.1 Mean of
ncq p,x=0to nthen
=
Let X~ B(n, p). Then P(-x)
Applied Mathematics
4.12
r=0
= (qtpey
Example 11. Comment upon the statement :
The mean of a B.D. is 3and its variance is 5",
Solution : Here X = np =3
o,2 = npg = 5 ...(ü)
and
(ii) + ()
5
npq ’q=>lwhich is not possible
3 3
np
So the given statement is not correct.
second moment about mean
Example 12. The mean of a B.D. is 3and its
is 2. Find the B.D.
Solution:Here mean =3 and u, =2
np -3, and o, = 2 (: , = G,)
2
...()
i.e., np =3
...(i1)
and npg =2
2
(ii) + (i), we get 4 = 3
p=l-= 3
Now np =3’n=9
.". B.D is
where x=0, 1,2, 3, ... 9.
P(X= x) =
with n - 8,p -
BXample 13. Compute the mode of aB.D. 2
2
Now, Phitting the target atleast once) > 3
2
P(X>1)) > 3
2
1- P(X=0) > 3
2
3
1
< ..)
3
By trial, we find n = 1, 2, 3does not satisfy but n =4,5, 6, ...satisty
...)
n =4
Example 15. How many dice must be thrown so that there is a better tna
even chance of obtaining a six?
Solution: Let n dices be thrown and let x be the number of sixes. Heltp
probability of obtaining six =
6
..(1)
= C 3 - 56
Find (u) mean of
Example 17. If the m.g.f. of a variate Xis
that distribution (b) P(X= 2). MA) =(gt pe')"
Solution: We know that the m.g.f. of B.D. is
Also M)= 3 3
2
3=5
2 10
.. (a) Mean of B.D, = np = 5x 3 3
40
(b) P(X= 2) = 243
Discrete Probability Distributions
4.15
Example 18. Seven fair coins are tossed and number of
heads
experiment is repcated|128 times and the following distribution is
noted. The
No. of heads 2 3 4 5 6
obtained:
6 18 36 27 26
Total
Frequencies 7
128
Fit the Binomial distribution and find the expected frequencies.
Solution :Letp : proability of getting head in a single toss of acoin
1 1
p=,9= n=7, =128
2 ,9 2
.:. Expected frequencies are given by
= N. P(X=x)
=N."C, qp, x=0, 1, 2, ... n
128.7,
= 128. x=0, 1, 2, ...7
=
cx=0, 1, 2, ...7
Therefore the fitted distribution with expected frequencies:
No. of heads 0 1 2 3 4 6 Total
Expected 7 21 35 35 21 128
2. P(X=5) + P(X = 6)
6x5 31
(6' (6) i 46656
32. An insurance salesman sells polices to Smen, all of idential age and good health. According to the acturial tables
the probability that a man of this parlieular age will be alive 30 years hence is 2/3. Find the probability that 30
years hence (1) atleast Iman will be alive, (ii) atleast 3 men willbe alive.
Solution:
Let X be the random variable where. X: 'Number of men alive'.
2
Clearly 'X' follows binomial distribution where p= probability that man will be alive 30 years hence =3
92I
3 3 'n' =5 |As salesman sells polices to Smen.]
(1) P [Atleast I man will be alive]
=1-(Probability that no man will be alive]
242
243 243
P-60
B.C.A. Mathematics (Second Semester)
(i) Plat least 3men will be alive]
P[X=3]+P[X =4]+ P[X =5]
8 8 192 64
[10+2*$+4x] 0+10+ 4]= 243-=
81
33 Five cards are drawn successfully with replacement froma well shuffled deck of 52 cards what is the probability
that:
(1) Allthe five cards are spades? (2) Only 3 cards are spades?
Solution:
Let X be the random variable where
X*=number of spade cards.
13. 1
Let p = P[card is of spade] = 52 4
) PX=s]-c,p'g -p'a-p'-H)
(2) P[X= 3] = 'C, p'g
= 103) 90 -90 45
(4) (4) 1024 512
34. An experiment succeeds twice as often as it fails. What is the probability that in next five trials there will be
(1) Three success (2) At least four success
Solution :
Let x* be the random variable where
X: 'number of success'.
Clearly X follows a binomial distribution.
2
Also p= and q= 3
|As experiment succeeds here as often as the falls; Ratio is 2:1]
n= number of trials = 5
1o(2)' 80
(1) P=(X =3] =°Cp'q-- 10. (3)' 243
q=1-0.2 =0.8; n= 10
Now P[Not more than two workers suffer from disease] = P[X =0]+ P[X= 1] + P[X = 21
="Cp'qlo-0 + C,p'q0 -1 +C,p'qo-2 = 1.p'q0+ 10.pq' +45p'q'
=q'[q' + 10.pq + 45p]- q[(0.8)}+ 10(0.2)(0.8) +45(0.21
= 0.16777216 (0.64 + 1.6+ 1:8)= 0.167772 16 [4.04]= 0.677799526
36. An iregular six faced die is thrown and the
expectation that in 10 throws it willgive five even numbers is tuie
the expectation that it will give four even numbers. How many times is 10,000 sets 10 throws would von evse
itto give no even numbers.
Solution:
Let X be the random variable where
X numbers of even numbers on irregular six faced die'.
'n'= number of trial_ = 10. Also P[X =5]= P[X=4]
C,p'252p'q2
qu-s=2[°C,p'q9-]
x210 p'q; 126p =210q
= 63p = 105q ’ 3p= 5q (1)
Also p +q=1
(2)
Solving (1 ) and (2) we get: p=:
8
q=
8
Now required probability = NP [X=0]
- 10,000[1CAp(q)9
Here n =
-7, p=. 4 4
P(2)-2-24 5
2+1 3/ 4
P(I) P)
5_ (3) 1215
(3' (4) (4)' 16384
P-64 B.C.A. Mathematics (Second Semester)
Case- II:
When (n + 1)p is not an integer:
(n+ 1)p is a traction. ’ (n +Dp and (n +1)p-l are two consecutive fraction.
Then the integer r lies between two consecutive fractions which differs by I.
Then r= mod al value =(n+)p]
Examples
38. The mean and variance ofa binomial distribution are 3and 2respectively. Find the probability that the variable
takes the values less than or equal to 1.
Solution:
np =3 (given)
and npq 2 (given)
3q=2 [np =3]
2 2 1 1
q= 3 ’p=l-q=l-77
Now P[X si]=P[X =0]+P[X=1]
='Cp'q?-0 +°C,p'q?-= 1.q° +9pq'
39. 4unbiased coins are tossed 256 times calculate the mean and standard deviation of the number of heads.
Solution:
Let X be the random variable where
X= »number of heads in 256 times
clearly X follows binomial distribution where n=4 and N= 256.
25 50
i.e. 625 s0
|3(1+4) 3q |From (1)
1875q = 450(1 +q ; 1875q = 450(0 +q t 9(1+q)'
2q)
3q
’ 450q+900q - 1875q +450 =0
90q - 195q + 90 = 0 > 1 8q 39q +18 =0
6q'-13q+6= 0 = 6q' -94-4q +6= 0
3[24-3]-2(24-3) =0 >(24-3)(34-2) =0 ’q=or q=
3
Neglect q=as (q <1) Where q=;p=l-q= I-77
2_1
P- 66
B.C.A. Mathematics (Second Semester)
Pulling in equation (1 ) we get
25 25
np= n 25
3(1+q)
Hence distribution i
3)
t0,1.2,..15
45. HX follows binomial distribution with parametet n- 8 and p . there find P(| X-4| 2)
Solutien :
X- B(n.p). Mean of X- np - 8x -4
and variance of X = npq - As X-B(n,p)
;r=0, 1, 2, . 8
P(X-4s2)= P(-2sX-4s2)
»P(-2+4sX-4+4s2+4) »P(2sXs6)
-P(X =2)+P(X =3) +P(X =4)+ P(X -s)+ P(X -6)
-(*c, "rc, c
256!
+2x
8!
355! 4b 4
238 I19
2x8x7x6,Bx70
3×2
16
4
X IX 2000 Also n - 4
Clearly EX = 200 and f- |50 I50 3
4
Now mean = i.e. np= p = 3n (:n-4)
2
>q=1-q=l
Chapter- 3 | Random Varlable and Probabillty Dlstributlon
(r=0, 1,2, 3, 4]
\4-0
150x 16
Now = 29.629 30
81
150x4x 8
= 59.25 59
81
150x4x(2) = 14.814
r)=190:*c,A 81
15
150
=1.851=2
81
.:. Expected frequences of binomial
distribution are:
X0 1 2 34
f305944 | 15 2
47. Let X follows binomial
distribution with parameter n and p. Show that:
)
e-p-, n 69) Co-Where q=1-pl
Solution:
(() As X~B(n,p).. E(X)=np
var X= npq
= Var
) Ivar X=E[X-E(X)] =E(X-x}
var(X) = n [var (aX) = a' var X]
-oao-)--)()-))
--(:-4)(-}-) I: E(X)=X]
P-68 B.C.A. Mathematics (Second Semester)
(3)' 1
49. Compute the mode of abinomial distribution with n = 50; p=.
6
Solution:
51
Consider (n+1)p= (50+ 1) = Not an integer]
8. =8+
Mode = Integral part of (n + l)p =8
50. Compute a mode of abinomial distribution with n=7, p=.
Solution: