Probability Tree

1. Audrey and Daisy play a game of charades and a game of hide-and-seek. The probability that
Audrey will win at charades is 0.6, the probability that Daisy will win at hide-and-seek is 0.3.

a. Complete the tree diagram.

Charades Hide and Seek

Audrey Wins

Audrey Wins

0.6
0.3

Audrey Wins

b. What is the probability that they each win one game?

2. There are 6 counters in a bag; 2 white and 4 black. I take a counter out of the bag at random,
replace it and then take out another at random.

a. Complete the tree diagram.

Counter 1 Counter 2

Black

Black
4
6 2
6

White

b. What is the probability that I take out 2 counters of the same colour?

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 Probability Tree

3. There are 10 coloured balls in a bag; 3 red, 4 blue and 3 green. Sally picks 2 at random from the
bag.

a. Complete the tree diagram:

Ball 1 Ball 2

Red

3
Red
10 Blue

Green

Red

4
Blue
10 Blue

Green

Red

3
Green
10 Blue

Green

b. What is the probability that she picks 2 balls of the same colour?

c. What is the probability that neither of the balls that she picks are red?

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 Probability Tree

4. James has breakfast on 4 mornings out of every 5. When James doesn’t have any breakfast, he is
grumpy all morning. When he has breakfast, he is cheerful all morning. When James is grumpy,
there is a probability of 0.8 that he will have an argument with his sister Emma. When he is
cheerful, there is a probability of 0.1 that he will have an argument with Emma.

a. Draw a tree diagram to show this information.

b. What is the probability that James will have an argument with Emma on any given day?

5. On any given day, the probability that it will be raining at 8:30 am, when Louis sets off for work,
is 0.4. If it is raining, he drives to work, if it is not raining, he walks. When he walks to work, the
probability that he will be late is 0.1; when he drives, the probability that he will be late is 0.15.

a. Draw a tree diagram to show this information.

b. What is the probability that Louis will be late for work on any given day?

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 Probability Tree

6. Bert picks 3 numbers from the integers 1 to 10, inclusive. What is the probability that he picks
exactly 2 prime numbers?

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 Probability Tree

7. Bob and Rob each write down the letters from their names on 3 separate blank cards and shuffle
the resulting pile of 6 cards. Their friend Robby then deals out 3 cards to Bob, placing them in front
of him from left to right.

a. Draw a tree diagram to show the probabilities of Bob receiving each card first, second and third.

b. What is the probability that Bob is able to spell his name with the 3 cards?

c. What is the probability that he is able to spell Rob’s name with the cards?

d. What is the probability that Bob is dealt the cards so that

they spell out his name in the correct order?

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 Probability Tree

8. Define and give an example of each of the following:

a. Mutually exclusive events





b. Independent events






9. Anthony is playing musical circles with an ant. The ant is kept

on a rectangular sheet of paper by some cardboard barriers
which it cannot climb. The paper is 20 cm long and 10 cm
wide and the ant roams around the piece of paper. The paper
has 4 separate circles drawn on it, each of radius 2cm.

a. When the music stops, what is the probability that the

ant is in a circle? Give your answer to 3 decimal places.




Anthony stops the music 3 times. If the music stops with the ant in the circles on exactly 2 occasions,
the ant wins a prize.

b. What is the probability that the ant wins a prize during the 3
rounds? Give your answer to 3 decimal places.

10. There are 10 counters in a bag. p of them are purple and the rest are yellow. Find, in terms of p, the
probability that, when Algernon picks two counters out of the bag at random, they are both purple.





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