BELLO PROJECT NEW
BELLO PROJECT NEW
INTRODUCTION
Economist states that the world is faced with a relative scarcity of economic resources
needed for production of goods and services necessary to satisfy human wants. As a result
international trade arises from this scarcity of resources. Due to comparative advantages some
countries have on the production of goods and services, each country therefore specialized in the
production of some goods and services. External trade affects economic development, in that it
leads to increase in foreign earning, level of investment, employment opportunities and in the
level of technology advancement. This leads to increase in the level of productivity and
exchange through exports. Availability of which is vital for the purchase of imported capital
agricultural goods which represent over 75 percent of the annual merchandise exports (Ekpo and
Egwaikhide, 1994). But due to oil boom in 1970s, attention was shifted to the oil sector while the
role of Agriculture as the main contributor to the economy of Nigeria was neglected. This led to
the decline in exportation and increase in importation of Agricultural products in the country
(Ayinde et al, 2015). Government gave little support to the Agricultural sector as more efforts
were directed towards production and supply of crude oil to international market. Based on this
the country lost her governance place in Agricultural products export (Mesike, 2012). Before,
1970s in the economy of Nigeria, Agriculture had been the most significant sector which
provides ready-made employment opportunities for about 70% of the populace. It is the major
sector of the economy which provides employment opportunities for a vital selection of the
labour force and constituting the backbone of the rural community of the country which justified
almost two-third of the populace (Ijirshar, 2015). In 2019, National Bureau of Statistic (NBS)
reported that Agriculture only contributed about 21.91% to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
of the country. While the foreign trade report from National Bureau of Statistic in 20233
indicated that Nigerian exported Agricultural goods worth #1.23 trillion. This figure represents
Increase in Agricultural Export has been a huge achievement story which has led
to benefits to the country, hence the impact of export to a country’s economic growth and
development can not be over emphasized. The increase has generated more income and has also
brought about economy diversification. At least over reliance on oil as the only source of
revenue has been removed. The contribution of the non-oil sector is on the increase and this is
better for the economy that is using about 97% of its revenue to service debt before. To some
extent, External trade sustain steady Demand and Supply that permitted effective exchange and
encourage economic development and growth. More revenue from external trade will also
increase to the rate of infrastructural development thereby encouraging more investment in the
throughout the countries that are engaging in the dispute like trade distortion and restrictions.
Several Agricultural programme and policies had been formulated in the country to
promote Agricultural development and provide enough for export. But some of these policies has
been inconsistent. These policies change whenever there is change in the government of the
country. This inconsistency has contributed to the non-workability of some of these policies. The
recent policy formulated been the green alternatives which is meant to increase food sufficiency,
security and export. Most of these policies were not properly implemented due to lack of
The major policy structure has been Exchange rate management, tariffs, Quotas, import
licensing and other quantitative restriction. In fact, Exchange rate policy is very important in
export promotion because its uncertainty can have an undesirous effect on export (Caballero and
corbo, 1990). In effect, an export promoting country needs to maintain a stable and predictable
exchange rate to promote exports. An export promotion strategy is a trade strategy which
encourage production for exports and in which there is no bias of inventories towards production
of imports substitute (obadan, 1994). Since, export is one of the main factors determining the
amount of foreign earnings, the government believes that sustainable path to economic growth
However, for government trade policies in the agricultural export to be effective and address the
aims and objectives, there must be an efficient and effective mechanism put in place to do more
proper evaluation and monitoring along the value chain involved in export of agricultural
product.
Agriculture plays a critical role in Nigeria’s economy contributing significantly to the country’s
Goods Domestic Product (GDP), employment and foreign exchange earnings. However, despite
the sector’s vast potential, Nigeria faces several challenges in maximizing the export of
agricultural products. This problem impacting the efficiency and effectiveness of agricultural
One of the most significant barrier to export in Nigeria is inadequate infrastructure. The
country’s transportation network, including roads, rail ways and ports is often in poor condition,
leading to delays and increased costs in getting products from farm to international markets.
Also, access to finance remains a critical challenge for Nigerian farmers and agribusiness. Many
small holder farmers and agricultural enterprises struggle to secure the necessary capital for
production, processing and marketing. This lack of financial support limits their ability to invest
Consequently, agricultural exports suffer from low productivity and limited capacity to
meet international standard or specification and demand Inefficiency in agricultural value chain
and fragmentation characterized agricultural production and marketing activities. The absence of
cohesive and organized supply chain, result in challenges such as inconsistent product quality,
poor traceability and lack of value addition. These inefficiencies not only diminish
competitiveness of Nigeria agricultural products on the global market but, also hinder the ability
to meet international standards and certifications required for export. Furthermore, regulatory
and policy issues also pose significant obstacles to agricultural export. Inconsistent and often
stringent and cumbersome regulatory requirements can delay export process and increase costs.
There is also a lack of coordinated policy support for agricultural export development, including
limited incentives for export-oriented investments and inadequate support for compliance with
create uncertainty and reduced the confidence of local and international investors. Market access
and trade barriers affected Nigerian export, tariff, non-tariff barriers and other trade restriction
imposed by importing countries can limit the ability of Nigerian products to compete effectively
on the global stage. In view of these challenges, the study intends to identify these challenges
and proffer long-term solution to them, so that Nigeria agricultural exports can be enhanced to
unlock its economic potential, and to contribute more effectively to global food security and
economic development.
i. What are the socio-economic characteristics of the respondents in the study area?
ii. What are the impacts of Agricultural policies on exporters of agricultural product?
iii. What are the constraints facing exporters of agricultural products in the study area?
iv. What are the average values of exported agricultural commodities for four quarters
between 2023-2024?
v. What are the significant relationships between the average value of exported
The specific objective of the stud is to determine the significant impact of constraints faced by
the exporters of agricultural commodities on the export volume in the study area. The main
objectives are;
iv. To examine the average value of exported agricultural commodities exported by the
1.5 Hypotheses
H01: There is no significant relationship between the average value of exported agricultural
Agricultural policies in Nigeria have undergone significant changes over the decades, reflecting
the evolving priorities and challenges of the sector. While there have been notable successes in
increasing agricultural exports, several challenges remain. These challenges need to be identified
and addressed. Addressing these challenges is crucial for enhancing Nigeria’s agricultural export
performance and achieving long-term and consistent growth in the sector. Moreover, the revenue
from oil is not stable and the government needs to promote non-oil sector especially the
agricultural sector for a more source of stable income. Exporting crude oil alone leaves the
country expose or susceptible to externalities in the world market which may not be favourable
to the economy.
Agriculture is a vital sector for Nigeria, contributing significantly to the economy, providing
employment, and ensuring food security. The sector has been subjected to various policies aimed
at enhancing productivity and export potential. This literature review explore the evolution of
agricultural policies in Nigeria, their impact on agricultural product exports, and the challenges
Agriculture has been a cornerstone of Nigeria’s economy since pre-colonial times. Historically,
the sector was characterized by subsistence farming with a focus on staple crops such as millet,
sorghum, yam, and cassava. The colonial era introduced cash crops like cocoa, palm oil, and
groundnuts, which significantly influenced Nigeria’s agricultural export patterns 9oni, 2006).
development, focusing on increase productivity and diversifying the economy away from oil
dependency (Nwafor, 2010). This era saw the establishment of agricultural research institutes
and extension service aimed at improving farming techniques and crops varieties.
Early post-independence
Early agricultural policies in Nigeria were centered around increasing food production and self-
sufficiency. The Agricultural development projects (ADP) introduced in the 1970s aimed at
enhance productivity through improved technology and farming practices. These projects were
significant for their emphasis on modernizing agriculture and integrating farmers into the market
In the 1980s, Nigeria implemented the Structural Adjustment Program (SAP) under the guidance
of International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank. SAP policies included reducing
1998). While SAP aimed to improve efficiency and competitiveness, it led to a decline in
agricultural output due to reduced government support and increased costs for farmers (Akinlo,
1996).
(NEEDS) emphasized agriculture as a critical sector for economy development and poverty
reduction (Nigeria vision 20:2020, 2009). The Agricultural Transformation Agenda (ATA)
introduced in 2011 aimed to enhanced productivity, improve value chains, and boost exports by
investing in infrastructure, technology, and, market access (Federal Ministry of Agriculture and
Agricultural policies in Nigeria have had varying impacts on export promotion. Key policies
have focused on improving production, ensuring quality standards and expanding market access
for Nigerian agricultural products. The government has established initiative such as the
Commodity Exchanges and the Export Expansion Grant (EEG) to facilitate and incentivize
The NEPC as established to promote non-oil exports, including agricultural products. The
council provides support through market research. Trade missions, and financial incentives for
exporters. Its initiatives have aimed to improve competitiveness of Nigerian agricultural products
Launched in 2015, the ABP aims to link smallholder farmers with a large processor through a
structured financial model. The program provides loan and inputs to farmers while ensuring that
their produce is bought by processors. This initiative seeks to enhance productivity, reduce post-
harvest lost and boost exports by creating a more reliable supply chain (Central Bank of Nigeria,
2015).
access. The policy aims to enhance Nigeria’s position as a leading export of agricultural products
by addressing challenges such as poor infrastructure and market inefficiencies (Federal Ministry
Nigeria has made notable progress in certain areas of agricultural exports due to policy
interventions. For instance, the country has experienced growth in the export of products such as
sesame seeds, cocoa, and cashew nuts. The introduction of modern farming techniques and
improved varieties has contributed to increase production and export volumes (Agbonlahor,
2019)
Despite this success, several challenges persist. Issue such as inadequate infrastructure, poor
storage facilities, and limited access to finance continue to hamper the sector. Additionally,
Inadequate infrastructure, including poor road networks and inadequate storage facilities, has
been a significant barrier to agricultural export growth. These infrastructural deficits lead to high
transportation costs and post-harvest losses, affecting the competitiveness of Nigerian
Frequent changes in policy and regulatory framework create uncertainty fir investors and
exporters. The lack of continuity and coherence in policy implementation often undermine log-
Access to finance remains a critical issue for smallholder famers and agro-enterprise. Despite
various government initiative, man farmers struggle with inadequate credit facilities, which
limits their ability to invest in modern technology and expand production (okuneye, 2016).
To improve agricultural export performance, there is a need for greater policy coherence and
effective implementation. This includes aligning policies across different level of government
and ensuring consistent support for farmers and exporters (Oluwatayo, 2021).
Investing in infrastructure is crucial for reducing cost of agricultural production and improving
processing plant will help reduce post-harvest losses and enhance the quality of exportable
boosting productivity and export capacity. Expanding credit facilities, providing subsidies and
supporting agricultural insurance schemes can help mitigate financial risks and encourage
Investing in agricultural research and development (R&D) is critical for improving crop
varieties, pest management, and farming techniques. Enhanced (R&D) efforts can lead to better
yield, reduced production costs, and increased competitiveness in international markets (Dike,
2021).
To boost export, Nigeria needs to focus on expanding market access for it agricultural product,
this includes engaging in trade negotiations, improving quality standards, and exploring new
trade forum can help enhance Nigeria’s presence in global markets (Oyekale, 2022).
CHAPTER THREE
3.0 METHODOLOGY
The study area is Nigeria. Nigeria is a country located on the western coast of Africa.
150E and latitudes positioned between longitude 30E and 140N. Nigeria have a diverse
geography, with climates ranging from Arid to humid equatorial, with Over 250 ethnic groups.
The main tribes are Yoruba, Igbo, Fulanis, Hausas, Edos, Ibibios, and Tiv. The country has
abundant natural resources, notably large deposit of petroleum and natural gas. The topography
of the country consists of plains in the north and south interrupted by Plateaus and Hills in the
center of the country, while borno plains in the North eastern corner extends as far as lake chad-
Basin.
The major drainage areas in Nigeria are the Niger-Benue basin, the Lake Chad basin and the
Cassava, yam, cocoyam, and maize are the major staple crops in the humid parts of the country,
whereas, maize, sorghum, millet, cowpea, and groundnut are the major staple crops in the Sub-
humid and Semi-arid parts. The major cash crop include cocoa, oil palm, cotton, groundnuts,
ginger, and sesame. There are three major religions practice in Nigeria, Islam, Christianity, and
Traditional religion. The population of the country as at September, 2024 is around 233 million
The Data used for this study were primary and secondary Data. The research employed the use
of cross-sectional Data in other to get first-hand and adequate information directly from the
of the central bank of Nigeria and register of members of some crops Association. For the
purpose of these work, only three export crops were selected namely, Cashew, Cocoa, and
The population of the study are all registered Cocoa, Cashew, and Sesame seed farmers in
Nigeria.
A total number of 120 respondents were used for the study. 40 registered active member each of
Purposive and simple random Technique was used to select the 120 respondents. 40 respondents
each were selected randomly from the three selected crops Association. Structured was designed
in Google docs form and the link sent to the respondents to fill and data. The questionnaire was
divided into three parts, socio-economic characteristics of the respondents, Impact of trade
farmers.
H01: There is no significant relationship between the average value of exported commodities and
Data collected were analyzed using both descriptive and inferential statistics. Descriptive
statistics involved the use of frequency, percentages, and means. While, multiple regression was
This study employed the use of mean values of this scale to determine the extent to which
the agricultural trade policies actions have contributed to agricultural export product and supply
volume. The response choices and values allotted are as follows: I don’t know = 1, no impact=
ΣX 4+ 3+2+1
Mean, ( x̅ ) = = =10/4 =2.5.
n 4
Decision rule:
If mean (x̅ ) > 2.5 accepted, and if mean (x̅ ) ≤ 2.5 rejected.
Multiple regression analysis was used to determine the relationship between socio-economic
variables and volume of exported agricultural commodities. This regression model is specified as
follows
V =X0 + Ժ1 X1+ Ժ2 X2 + Ժ3 X3 + Ժ4 X4 + Ժ5 X5 + Ժ 6 X6 + Ժ7 X7 + ꭒ
X1 ꞊ Interest rate.
X5 ꞊ Level of Education.
X7 ꞊ Storage Facilities.
ꭒ ꞊ Error Term.
Ժ1 ꞊ Constant.
CHAPTER FOUR
The descriptive statistics of the respondents were presented in Table 1. Result of the
study showed that most (45%) of the respondents fell within the age group of 31-40 years, the
mean age was found to be 41.1 years and 64.2% of the respondents were male. The research
findings revealed that most of the respondents had Tertiary education while just few (11.7%) had
secondary education. 55.8% of the respondents have years of Export Experience of 1-5 years,
while 31.7% have between 6-10 export experience and the mean year of export experiences
found to be 6.1 years. Mostly (55.99%) of the respondents lack access to credit facilities. About
74.2% of the respondents stated that they had training on production and export of Agricultural
produce, while 25.8% of them indicated that they did not have any form of training. 55.8% of the
respondents stated that the fund they employed in business is from their personal savings, while
about 44.2% of them said they have access to other sources other than personal savings. The
study also found out about the perception of interest rate by the respondents. 75.8% of the
respondents indicated that interest rate on access credit is high, 19.2% said it is moderate and
5.0% said it is low. About 63.3% of the Respondents belonged to exporters Association Group
Sex:
Male 77 64.2
Female 43 35.8
Level of Education: 3
No formal Education 5 2.5
Primary Education 14 4.2
Secondary Education 98 11.7
Tertiary Education 81.6
Years of Exporter Experience
(yrs.) 67 55.8
1-5 38 31.7 6.1 yrs.
6-10 9 7.5
11-15 6 5.0
16 and above.
Source of Finance:
Personal Savings: 67 55.8
Cooperative Societies 18 15.0
Commercial Bank 13 10.8
Specialized Bank 08 6.7
Credit Cooperation 14 11.7
Training on Production and
Export:
Yes 89 74.2
No 31 25.8
Interest rate:
High 91 75.8
Moderate 23 19.22
Low 6 5.0
Sources of land for
Farming:
14 11.7
Inheritance 43 35.8
Lease 36 30.0
Outright Purchase 27 22.5
Rented Land
Availability of storage
facilities:
76 63.3
Yes 44 36.7
No
Membership of Exporters
Association Group:
Yes 76 63.3
No 44 36.7
implementation on export commodity productivity and supply volume. 4-point Likert scale was
also used in which the decision rule was 2.5 and any value equal or below this value was
rejected.
Out of the eleven (11) agricultural trade policies, it was revealed that only two do not have
impact on export commodity productivity and supply volume and these are Commercial
Agricultural Credit Scheme (CACS) (2.30) and Interest Draw Back Scheme (1.95). However,
Export Processing Zone (2.57), Trade Liberalization scheme (2.53), Bank of Agriculture (2.62),
Nigerian Export Processing Zone Authority (NEPZA) (2.77), Export Expansion Grant (EGG)
Scheme (2.72), Duty Free Import on Agricultural equipments (3.00), NIRSAL, (Nigeria
Incentive-Based Risk sharing System for Agricultural Lending) (2.78) and Ancho Borrowers
Programme (.66) had positive impact on export commodity productivity and supply volume.
Based on the 4-point likert scale used and percentage results, it was discovered that the major
agricultural trade policy actions that impacted export commodity productivity and supply volume
of the respondents were Growth Enhancement scheme and duty free imports of Agricultural
Equipments.
Trade Policies I don’t No Negatively Positivel Likert Decision
know impact Freq. (%) y Freq. scale
Freq. Freq. (%) mean
(%) (%) value
Export Processing Zone 54 2513 28 2.5 Accepted
1992 (45.0) (20.8)
(10.8) (23.)
Trade Liberalization 57 2315 25 2.53 Accepted
Scheme (47.5) (19.2)
(12.5) (20.8)
Interest Draw Back 54 2619 21 1.95 Rejected
Scheme (45.0) (21.7)
(15.8) (17.5)
Bank of Agriculture 38 2721 34 2.62 Accepted
(BOA) 2010 (31.7) (22.5)
(17.5) (28.3)
Growth Enhancement 22 3012 56 3.08 Accepted
Support Scheme 2012 (18.3) (25.0)
(10.0) (46.7)
Nigeria Export 28 1426 52 2.77 Accepted
Processing Zone (23.3) (11.7)
(21.7) (43.3)
Authority (NEPZA)
2004
Commercial 23 11 49 37 2.30 Rejected
Agriculture Credit (19.2) (9.2) (40.8) (30.8)
Scheme (CACS) 2010
Export Expansion Grant 39 19 19 43 2.72 Accepted
(EGG) Scheme 2013 (32.5) (15.8) (15.8) (35.9)
Duty Free Imports of 30 20 13 57 3.00 Accepted
Agricultural (25.0) (16.7) (10.8) (47.5)
Equipments 2012
NIRSAL (Nigeria 20 8 33 59 2.78 Accepted
Incentive-Based Risk (16.7) (6.8) (27.5) (49.2)
Sharing System for
Agriculture Lending)
2013
Ancho Borrowers 19 18 35 48 2.66 Accepted
Programme 2015 (15.8) (15.0) (229.2) (40.0)
Table 2: Impact Assessment of Agricultural Trade Policy Action on Export Commodity
Table 4.3 showed the analysis of constraints faced by exporters of agricultural produce. The 4-
point likert scale as employed to rate their responses. Very Severe =4, Severe =3, Less Severe
=2, and Not Severe =1. The mean value of theses as used for Decision making i.e.
4+ 3+2+1
Mean value ¿ =10/4 =2.5. A value less than or equal to 2.5 is rejected.
4
From the table, it was revealed that unfavorable weather condition (3.45), High Transportation
Cost (3.3), price instability (3.28), Poor Access to information (3.12), High tariffs (3.24),
inadequate storage facilities (3.23), Non-tariff Barriers (3.22), Lack of Credit Facilities (2.90),
Poor Standardization (3.31) and change in demand were constraints encountered by the exporters
of agricultural commodities. From the result, it could also be revealed that, unfavourable weather
condition posed a major hindrance to production and supply volume of these commodities.
4.3 Constraints encountered in the Export of (Cocoa, Cashew sesame seed)
between Third Quarter of 2023 and second Quarter of 2024 (‘#’ million)
2023 2024
respondents between the third Quarter of 2023 and Second Quarter of 2024. The result revealed
that in the third Quarter of 2023 about #308 million, #240 million and #149 million of cocoa,
cashew nuts and sesame seeds were exported respectively. Likewise, the total value of each
commodity exported in Q3, Q4 of 2023 and Q1 and Q2 2024 were #547.56 million, #723.66
million, #829.45 million and #902.18 million respectively. The average values of cocoa exported
in Q1 AND Q2 of 2024 was high compared to the preceding Quarters. Because, cocoa Exports
from Ghana and Ivory Coast was low and this resulted in the increase in the price of cocoa in the
international market.
4.5 Results of the Regression Analysis
The result of the regression analysis showed that Age of the respondent, Export
Experience, Level of Education and Storage facilities are all significant at 1% Level of
significance.
All the four variables showed positive significant relationship with the average value of
crops (Cocoa, Cashew, and Sesame seed) exported. This implies that, the more Your Age, Level
of Education, Export Experience and availability of storage facilities, the more the earning from
export of the three agricultural commodities stated in the study. On the other hand, interest rate
showed a negative significant relationship with value of agricultural commodities exported and is
significant at 5%. This means that if interest rate increases by 1% the value of crop exported
decreases by 1.05%. Sources of finance showed a positive relationship with value of exported
The R2 value from the estimated regression as 64.3%. This implies that 64.3% of the total
variation in the value of exported agricultural commodities were explained by the explanatory
variables included in the model while 35.7% unexplained by the Error term. The F value of
6.781 showed significance at 5% and implies that, all the variables in the model significantly
influence the value of agricultural commodities (Cocoa, Cashew, and Sesame seeds) under the
study.
4.5: The result of the Regression Analysis of increase in the value of exported agro-
The study was carried out to analyze the effect of export trade policies of government on
respondents. The objectives of the study are to describe the socio-economic characteristics of the
respondents, to determine the effect of trade policies on the exporter of these three agricultural
respondents on the average value of products exported. The study employed the use of cross-
sectional data where structured questionnaire informs of google document were sent to the
respondents through their e-mails. Two-stage sampling procedure were used and data collected
from 120 respondents drawn from the association of the three different agricultural commodities
exported.
Data collected were subjected to both descriptive and inferential statistics. The descriptive
Regression analysis was used to determine the effect of socio-economic characteristic of the
respondents on the average value of products exported within the fourth quarters that is, third
quarter and fourth quarter in 2023 and 1st and 2nd Quarter of 2024.
The findings from the study showed that majority of the respondents falls within the
active age with mean age of 41.1 years. About 64.2% of the respondents were males indicating
that males are more involved in export of agricultural commodities than female. About 55.8% of
the respondents had between 1-5 years of exporting experience and the mean was 6.1 years.
Majority of the respondents (81.6%) had tertiary education while 2.5%of the respondents had no
formal education. 55.8% of the respondents used their personal saving to finance their export and
production activities and the least of the respondents got their financial source from specialized
Banks such as Bank of Agriculture. The average values of agricultural commodities (cocoa,
cashew and sesame seed) exported on the third Quarter, fourth Quarter of 2023 and first Quarter,
and second Quarter of 2024 are #547.56 million, #723.66 million, #829.45 million and 902.18
million respectively.
The impact of export trade policies on export commodities productivities and supply was
conducted using 4-point likert scale using decision criteria 2.5 for acceptance. All other
regression showed that, age of the respondents, export experience, level of education and storage
facilities are all significant at 1% and are positively significant. Interest rate was found to show a
negative significant relationship with value of exports of the agricultural commodities. While
source of finance showed positive relationship at 5%. The adjusted R 2 value was found to be
64.3% implying that the total variation in the value of exported agricultural commodities were
5.2. Conclusion
The study concluded that export processing zone, Trade Liberalization Scheme, Bank of
Agriculture, Export expansion Grant Scheme, NIRSAL, Ancho Borrowers were agricultural
trade policies that positively impact export commodities productivity and supply volume.
unfavourable weather, High transportation cost, Price instability, High tariff, poor storage
facilities and poor access to market information. Findings indicated that age, education level,
years of experience were significantly related with period when exporters supplied the highest
iii. Government should provide financial support and access of credit facilities should be
provided.
iv. Regular and periodic education of farmers on the benefits the government and the
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