laudon__ppt_ch12
laudon__ppt_ch12
Chapter 12
Enhancing Decision Making
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Learning Objectives
12.1 What are the different types of decisions, and how does the decision-making
process work?
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Video Cases
• Case 1: PSEG Leverages Big Data and Business Analytics
Using GE’s PREDIX Platform
• Case 2: FreshDirect Uses Business Intelligence to Manage
Its Online Grocery
• Case 3: Business Intelligence Helps the Cincinnati Zoo
Work Smarter
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Eastspring: Targeted Enterprise System
Building
• Problem
– End-of-life technology and legacy systems
– Business needs of regional business units
• Solutions
– Systems offering a breadth of services
– Using outside vendors for products and systems
– Changing business processes
• Illustrates benefits of implementing a new system solution while
changing business processes
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What Are the Different Types of Decisions,
and How Does the Decision-Making Process
Work? (1 of 2)
• Business value of improved decision making
– Improving hundreds of thousands of “small” decisions adds up to large annual
value for the business
• Types of decisions
– Unstructured: Decision maker must provide judgment, evaluation, and insight to
solve problem
– Structured: Repetitive and routine; involve definite procedure for handling so they
do not have to be treated each time as new
– Semistructured: Only part of problem has clear-cut answer provided by accepted
procedure
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What Are the Different Types of Decisions,
and How Does the Decision-Making Process
Work? (2 of 2)
• Senior managers
– Make many unstructured decisions
• Middle managers
– Make more structured decisions but these may include
unstructured components
• Operational managers and rank and file employees
– Make more structured decisions
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Figure 12.1 Information Requirements of
Key Decision-Making Groups in a Firm
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The Decision-Making Process
• Intelligence
– Discovering, identifying, and understanding the problems
occurring in the organization
• Design
– Identifying and exploring solutions to the problem
• Choice
– Choosing among solution alternatives
• Implementation
– Making chosen alternative work and continuing to monitor how
well solution is working
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Figure 12.2 Stages in Decision Making
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Managerial Roles
• Information systems can only assist in some of the roles played
by managers
• Classical model of management: five functions
– Planning, organizing, coordinating, deciding, and controlling
• More contemporary behavioral models
– Actual behavior of managers appears to be less systematic,
more informal, less reflective, more reactive, and less well
organized than in classical model
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Mintzberg’s 10 Managerial Roles (1 of 2)
• Interpersonal roles
– Figurehead
– Leader
– Liaison
• Informational roles
– Nerve center
– Disseminator
– Spokesperson
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Mintzberg’s 10 Managerial Roles (2 of 2)
• Decisional roles
– Entrepreneur
– Disturbance handler
– Resource allocator
– Negotiator
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Real-World Decision Making
• Three main reasons why investments in IT do not always produce
positive results
– Information quality
High-quality decisions require high-quality information
– Management filters
Managers have selective attention and have variety of biases
that reject information that does not conform to prior
conceptions
– Organizational inertia and politics
Strong forces within organizations resist making decisions
calling for major change
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High-Velocity Automated Decision Making
• Made possible through computer algorithms precisely
defining steps for a highly structured decision
– Humans taken out of decision
• For example: High-speed computer trading programs
– Trades executed in nanoseconds
• Require safeguards to ensure proper operation and
regulation
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What is Business Intelligence?
• Business intelligence
– Infrastructure for collecting, storing, analyzing data produced by
business
– Databases, data warehouses, data marts, Hadoop, analytic
platforms
• Business analytics
– Tools and techniques for analyzing data
– OLAP, statistics, models, data mining
• Business intelligence vendors
– Create business intelligence and analytics purchased by firms
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The Business Intelligence Environment
• Six elements in the business intelligence environment
– Data from the business environment
– Business intelligence infrastructure
– Business analytics toolset
– Managerial users and methods
– Delivery platform—MIS, DSS, ESS
– User interface
Data visualization tools
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Figure 12.3 Business Intelligence and
Analytics for Decision Support
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Business Intelligence and Analytics
Capabilities
• Goal is to deliver accurate real-time information to decision makers
• Main analytic functionalities of BI systems
– Production reports
– Parameterized reports
– Dashboards/scorecards
– Ad hoc query/search/report creation
– Drill down
– Forecasts, scenarios, models
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Table 12.4 Examples of Business Intelligence
Predefined Production Reports
Business Functional Area Production Reports
Sales Forecast sales; sales team performance; cross-selling; sales cycle times
Service/call center Customer satisfaction; service cost; resolution rates; churn rates
Procurement and support Direct and indirect spending; off-contract purchases; supplier performance
Supply chain Backlog; fulfillment status; order cycle time; bill of materials analysis
Financials General ledger; accounts receivable and payable; cash flow; profitability
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Predictive Analytics
• Uses variety of data, techniques to predict future trends and behavior
patterns
– Statistical analysis
– Data mining
– Historical data
– Assumptions
• Incorporated into numerous BI applications for sales, marketing,
finance, fraud detection, health care
– Credit scoring
– Predicting responses to direct marketing campaigns
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Big Data Analytics
• Big data: Massive datasets collected from social media, online
and in-store customer data, and so on
• Help create real-time, personalized shopping experiences for
major online retailers
• Smart cities
– Public records
– Sensors, location data from smartphones
– Ability to evaluate effect of one service change on system
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Operational Intelligence and Analytics
• Operational intelligence: Business activity monitoring
• Collection and use of data generated by sensors
• Internet of Things (IoT)
– Creating huge streams of data from web activities,
sensors, and other monitoring devices
• Software for operational intelligence and analytics enable
companies to analyze their big data
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Interactive Session: Organizations:
Predictive Maintenance in the Oil and Gas
Industry
• Class discussion
– Why is predictive maintenance so important in the oil and gas
industry? What problems does it solve?
– What is the role of the Internet of Things (IoT) and Big Data
analytics in predictive maintenance?.
– How did BP and Royal Dutch Shell’s predictive maintenance
applications change business operations and decision making?
– Give an example of how predictive maintenance systems could be
used in another industry.
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Location Analytics and Geographic
Information Systems
• Location analytics
– Ability to gain business insight from the location (geographic) component
of data
Mobile phones
Sensors, scanning devices
Map data
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Figure 12.4 Business Intelligence Users
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Support for Semistructured Decisions
• Decision-support systems
– Support for semistructured decisions
• Use mathematical or analytical models
• Allow varied types of analysis
– “What-if” analysis
– Sensitivity analysis
– Backward sensitivity analysis
– Multidimensional analysis / OLAP
For example: pivot tables
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Figure 12.5 Sensitivity Analysis
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Figure 12.6 A Pivot Table That Examines Customer
Regional Distribution and Advertising Source
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Decision Support for Senior Management: Balanced
Scorecard and Enterprise Performance Management
Methods (1 of 2)
• ESS: decision support for senior management
– Help executives focus on important performance information
• Balanced scorecard method
– Measures outcomes on four dimensions
Financial
Business process
Customer
Learning and growth
– Key performance indicators (KPIs) measure each dimension
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Figure 12.7 The Balanced Scorecard
Framework
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Decision Support for Senior Management: Balanced
Scorecard and Enterprise Performance Management
Methods (2 of 2)
• Business performance management (BPM)
– Translates firm’s strategies (e.g., differentiation, low-cost producer,
scope of operation) into operational targets
– KPIs developed to measure progress toward targets
• Data for ESS
– Internal data from enterprise applications
– External data such as financial market databases
– Drill-down capabilities
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How Will MIS Help My Career?
• The Company: Western Well Health
• Position Description: Entry-level data analyst
• Job Requirements
• Interview Questions
• Author Tips
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Copyright
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