Project Scheduling
Project Scheduling
Project Scheduling
It use schedule to plan and subsequently report progress and apply control within the project
environment.
Activities are finished in correct order and on time. Project meets quality goals.
Project is within budget. People receive info and direction.
2.1.Scheduling Tools and Techniques
Scheduling = Planning + Time
It is very important for
the contractor to know when and how much labor is needed;
vendors to know when to deliver materials; and
subcontractors to know when they can do their work.
2.1.1. Bar chart
A) Network on A-O-A
B) Network on A-O-N
1. Draw the arrow network for the project given in table below using AOA and AON?
Note: IPA-Immediately preceding activity.
(d) (e)
NOTES:
A) All activities assumed continuous in duration.
B) The Total Float for all activities is always equal to their Late Finish Time minus their Early Finish
Time.
C) The Free Float calculations shown are for each type of relationship. If an activity has several
following activities, then the Free Float for the activity is the smallest of the Free Float calculations
made for each following activity.
2. Free float(FF):
It is time available when all preceding activities occur at the earliest possible time & all succeeding
activities also occur at the earliest possible times. With free float available for an activity, a project
manager knows that the float can be used without changes the status of any non-critical activity to
become critical.
It is the difference b/n EST of the succeeding activity and EFT of the activity under consideration.
It is also the amount of time by which the start of an activity may be delayed without delaying the
start of a following activity.
It is the float available for an activity without affecting the total float of the succeeding activity.
It is based on the assumption that all events occur at their earliest event time.
Free float (FF) = EST of succeeding activity – EFT of the activity under consideration
=TEj - EFT = TEj - (TEi +D)
Free float = Total float - head event slack
Free float (FF) = EST of succeeding activity – EFT of the activity under consideration
Critical activities have TF = 0 and TF >= FF, it follows that the FF of all critical activities is zero.
(d) (e)
(f) (g)
2.1.Precedence Diagram Method (PDM)
It is to produce a more accurate scheduling network diagram. The PERT and CPM techniques are
essentially limited to “finish-start” relationships (i.e., activity B cannot start until activity A is
completed). PDM was developed subsequent to the PERT/CPM techniques.
Its function is to permit a more accurate representation of relationships among various activities.
It is a method of constructing a project schedule network diagram that uses boxes/nodes to represent
activities and connects them with arrows that show the dependencies.
The Four ways of developing Precedence Diagram Methods (PDM)
These methods are:
Finish-Start: In this dependency, an activity cannot start before a previous activity has ended. This
is the most commonly used dependency.
Start-Start: In this dependency, there is a defined relationship between the start of activities.
Finish-Finish: In this dependency, there is a defined relationship between the end dates of
activities.
Start-Finish: In this dependency, there is a defined relationship between the start of one activity
and the end date of a successor activity. This dependency is rarely used.
3. Compute the EST, EFT, LST, LFT, TF,FF, and the critical activities.
2.2.Program Evaluation and Review Technique
2.2.1. Scheduling with Uncertain Durations
Construction works or many projects involve variability in activity durations due to uncertainties
ranging from adverse weather, machinery breakdown, lack of prior experience, material shortage, late
delivery of supplies and etc. which affect the activity progress and schedule.
The Program Evaluation Review Technique, or PERT
It is one of the most widely used project management tools which cope with uncertain activity
completion times (e.g. for a particular activity the most likely completion time is 4 weeks but it could
be anywhere between 3 weeks and 8 weeks).
It is based on the assumption that an activity’s duration follows a probability distribution instead of
being a single value or multiple task time estimates (probabilistic nature).
PERT Activity Durations
PERT differs from CPM in that it bases the duration of an activity on three estimates, which are
required to compute the parameters of an activity’s duration distribution:
pessimistic time (tp) - the time the activity would take if things did not go well (worst case scenario)
Most likely time (tm) - the consensus best estimate of the activity’s duration it occurs when
execution is done under normal conditions.
Optimistic time (to) - the time the activity would take if things did go well (best case scenario) or
when execution goes extremely well.
Probability Calculations
Based on the estimates, the average duration time, te, standard deviation, σ, and variance, υ, are
approximated as:
The earliest expected time of completion, TE, is the summation of expected elapsed time for each
activities.
The standard deviation, σte, is computed to calculate the probability to determine the chance of
finishing the project on time.
The earliest expected time of completion, TE, and standard deviation, σte, of an activity form a
probability curve. If σte, is large compared to TE, the variance, υ, is wide where as if σte, is small
compared to its TE, then the estimates are confident that the actual time will not be far from the TE.
To calculate the probability of completing a project by a certain allowable date Ti, requires the use
of probability curve or Z-table, TE, and σte.
The value of Z i.e. number of standard deviation from mean is calculated by:
Where:
Ti = any date chosen (allowable completion date);
TE = critical path earliest expected completion date; and
σte = critical path standard deviation.
Table 3-2 activity time estimate Table 3-3 activity start, finish & slack times
B. Early& lately start, Finish time of each activity
The early start, early Finish, lately start, lately finish of the actives are determined as the table 3.3
Activity D EST EFT LST LFT TF FF Remark
1 8 0 8 1 9 1
ES D EF 2 6 0 6 0 6 0 Critical
Acti vi ty 3 3 0 3 2 5 2
LS TF LF 8 5 13 13 4 17 4 5 8 13 16 21 8
4 10 5 3 6 9 6 9 0 Critical
16 8 21 9 7 16 21 8 25 6 4 3 7 5 9 2
0 8 8 8 Finish 7 2 3 5 14 16 11
1 9 0 16 8 7 9 16 9 16 0 Critical
1 1 9 16 9 25 9 4 9 13 12 16 3
9 4 13 11 10 4 13 17 21 25 8
0 6 6 9 16 0 25 11 9 16 25 16 25 0 Critical
Start 2 6 3 9 12 3 16
0 0 6 5
6 0 9
0 3 3
3 3 4 7
2 2 5 6
5 2 9
3 2 5
7
14 11 16
From Table Z score of -1.14 corresponds to a probability of 0.3729. Thus P (22) = 0.5000 - 0.3729 =
0.1271
Example 2: A company is launching a new product and has made estimates of the time for the various
activities associated with the launch as follows:
Required:
1. Draw the network diagram.
2. Calculate the expected time and variance of each activity.
3. Find out the expected length of critical path and its standard deviation.
4. Find the probability that the launching will be completed in 29 days.
5. Find the duration, which has 95% probability of completion.
As Activity B continues, at the end of the week 4 work can begin on the second floor; at the end of
week 6 work can begin on the third floor, and so on.
The horizontal red dashed lines represent the breaks in Activity B work, where the workforce is
waiting for Activity A to clear the way for them to continue. In this example, starting Activity B as
soon as possible will result in a lost productivity of 4 weeks.
The diagram below shows that by delaying the start of Activity B for 4 weeks, the workforce can
continue uninterrupted, and hence are more productive. This enables a better understanding of how
workforces follow one another through activities.
The advantages of LOB include:
Allowing a clearer understanding of the amount of work taking place at a certain time in a specific
place.
Resources can be optimized for a large number of repeated work activities.
As all information is available for each activity, it allows easier cost and time optimization analysis.
It is relatively easy to modify, update and change the schedule.
It allows better management of subcontractors and resources.
It allows problem areas to be identified in advance.
4.1.Time-Cost Trade-Off
4.2.Activity Time-Cost Relationship
4.3.Project Time-Cost Relationship
4.4.Shortening Project Duration