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Sample Paper Ca3 Bds301

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Sample Paper Ca3 Bds301

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SAMPLE PAPER CA3 BDS301

Group A: 20 MCQs (1 Mark Each)

1. What is the probability of getting a head when tossing a fair coin?

a) 0

b) 0.5

c) 1

d) 2

2. In a probability distribution, the sum of all probabilities is always:

a) 0

b) 1

c) 0.5

d) 2

3. If P(A)=0.6 and P(B)=0.4, and A and B are independent events, what is P(A∩B)?

a) 0.24

b) 1

c) 0.3

d) 0.2

4. Which of the following is not a measure of central tendency?

a) Mean

b) Median

c) Mode

d) Variance

5. What is the standard deviation if the variance is 9?

a) 3

b) 81

c) 9

d) 27

6. The probability of an impossible event is:

a) 1

b) 0

c) -1
d) 0.5

7. What is the expected value of a discrete random variable X with probability mass function
P(X=x)?

a) Mean

b) Mode

c) Median

d) Variance

8. In Bayes theorem, which of the following is updated?

a) Prior Probability

b) Posterior Probability

c) Conditional Probability

d) Marginal Probability

9. Which of the following measures the spread of data?

a) Mean

b) Standard deviation

c) Median

d) Mode

10. The formula for variance is:

11. Which of the following is a measure of dispersion?

a) Mean

b) Mode

c) Median

d) Standard deviation
12. For a standard normal distribution, the mean is:

a) 0

b) 1

c) -1

d) None of the above

13. The probability of getting a 6 when rolling a fair die is:

a) 1/6

b) 1/2

c) 1/4

d) 1/3

14. If two events are mutually exclusive, the probability of their intersection is:

a) 0

b) 1

c) 0.5

d) 2

15. The median of the following data set {5, 7, 8, 12, 15} is:

a) 7

b) 8

c) 10

d) 12

16. In a positively skewed distribution, the mean is:

a) Greater than the median

b) Less than the median

c) Equal to the median

d) None of the above

17. What is the range of a data set if the maximum value is 12 and the minimum value is 3?

a) 9

b) 15

c) 3

d) 12
18. For a sample size n=50, the sample variance is found to be 16. What is the sample standard
deviation?

a) 4

b) 2

c) 8

d) 16

19. Which of the following describes the shape of a normal distribution?

a) Bell-shaped

b) Skewed

c) Uniform

d) Bimodal

20. What is the probability of drawing an ace from a standard deck of 52 cards?

a) 4/52

b) 1/52

c) 2/52

d) 1/13

Group B: 20 Sums (5 Marks Each)


1. Probability Theory: A bag contains 4 red balls, 5 blue balls, and 6 green balls. Two
balls are drawn at random without replacement. What is the probability that both are
red?
2. Conditional Probability: A box contains 10 good and 2 defective bulbs. Two bulbs
are chosen at random. If the first one is good, what is the probability that the second
one is defective?
3. Bayes' Theorem: A company manufactures items in two plants, A and B. Plant A
produces 70% of the total output, and plant B produces 30%. 5% of the items
produced by plant A are defective, and 2% from plant B are defective. If an item is
found defective, what is the probability that it came from plant A?
4. Theorem of Total Probability: A factory has three machines, M1, M2, and M3,
which produce 30%, 50%, and 20% of the total output, respectively. The probability
that a product is defective is 2% for M1, 3% for M2, and 5% for M3. Find the
probability that a randomly chosen product is defective.
5. Binomial Distribution: A fair coin is tossed 4 times. Find the probability of getting
exactly 3 heads.
6. Probability of Independent Events: A die is rolled twice. Find the probability that
the sum of the numbers rolled is 7.
7. Total Probability: An insurance company classifies its customers into three
categories: 50% low-risk, 30% medium-risk, and 20% high-risk. The probabilities
that a claim is filed in a year are 1% for low-risk, 5% for medium-risk, and 10% for
high-risk customers. Find the overall probability that a customer files a claim.
8. Bayes' Theorem (Disease Testing): In a certain population, 0.1% of people have a
particular disease. A test for the disease has a 99% sensitivity (probability of detecting
the disease if the person has it) and a 95% specificity (probability of correctly
identifying a non-diseased person). What is the probability that a person who tests
positive actually has the disease?
9. Joint Probability: Two cards are drawn successively without replacement from a
standard deck of 52 cards. What is the probability that both cards are aces?
10. Poisson Distribution: The number of accidents occurring at a traffic intersection
follows a Poisson distribution with a mean of 3 accidents per week. What is the
probability of observing exactly 2 accidents in a week?
11. Bayes' Theorem (Medical Diagnosis): A laboratory conducts a test to detect a rare
genetic disorder. 1 in 1000 people have the disorder. The test correctly identifies 99%
of those with the disorder and 98% of those without it. If a person tests positive, what
is the probability that they actually have the disorder?
12. Probability of Successive Events: A jar contains 6 white marbles and 4 black
marbles. Two marbles are drawn one after the other without replacement. What is the
probability that both are black?
13. Theorem of Total Probability (Dice Problem): Two dice are rolled. What is the
probability of getting a sum greater than or equal to 10?
14. Bayes' Theorem (Marketing Problem): A company is trying to predict whether a
customer will respond to an advertisement. From past experience, they know that 80%
of people respond positively to targeted ads and 20% respond positively to random
ads. If 30% of their advertisements are targeted, and a customer responds positively,
what is the probability that the ad was targeted?
15. Conditional Probability (Deck of Cards): Two cards are drawn at random from a
deck of 52 cards without replacement. Find the probability that the second card is a
king, given that the first card was an ace.
16. Total Probability (Machine Problem): A factory has two machines producing
widgets. Machine A produces 60% of the widgets, and Machine B produces 40%. The
defective rate for Machine A is 3%, and for Machine B, it's 5%. If a widget is chosen
at random and found to be defective, what is the probability that it was produced by
Machine A?
17. Binomial Theorem (Dice Rolls): A die is rolled 6 times. Find the probability of
getting exactly 4 sixes.
18. Probability of Combined Events: Three coins are tossed. What is the probability
that at least one head appears?
19. Bayes’ Theorem (Drug Testing Problem): In a drug test, 1% of the population uses
a certain drug. The test is 98% accurate for drug users and 97% accurate for non-
users. If a randomly selected individual tests positive, what is the probability that they
are a drug user?
20. Joint Probability (Dice Rolls): Two dice are rolled. What is the probability that the
sum of the numbers rolled is either 8 or 10?

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