Fluoride Final 508
Fluoride Final 508
NTP Monograph
on the State of the
Science Concerning
Fluoride Exposure
and Neurodevelopment
and Cognition:
A Systematic Review
August 2024
NTP Monograph on the
State of the Science Concerning Fluoride
Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition:
A Systematic Review
NTP Monograph 08
August 2024
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Foreword
The National Toxicology Program (NTP), established in 1978, is an interagency collaboration
within the Public Health Service of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Its
activities are executed through a partnership of the National Institute for Occupational Safety and
Health (part of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention), the Food and Drug
Administration (primarily at the National Center for Toxicological Research), and the National
Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (part of the National Institutes of Health), where this
virtual program is administratively located. NTP’s work focuses on the testing, research, and
analysis of agents of concern to identify toxic and biological effects, provide information that
strengthens the science base, and inform decisions by health regulatory and research agencies to
safeguard public health. NTP also works to develop and apply new and improved methods and
approaches that advance toxicology and better assess health effects from environmental
exposures.
Literature-based evaluations are one means by which NTP assesses whether exposure to
environmental substances (e.g., chemicals, physical agents, and mixtures) may be associated
with adverse health effects. These evaluations result in hazard conclusions or characterize the
extent of the evidence and are published in the NTP Monograph series, which began in 2011.
NTP monographs serve as an environmental health resource to provide information that can be
used to make informed decisions about whether exposure to a substance may be of concern for
human health.
These health effects evaluations follow prespecified protocols that apply the general methods
outlined in the “Handbook for Conducting a Literature-Based Health Assessment Using the
OHAT Approach for Systematic Review and Evidence Integration.Ӡ The protocol describes
project-specific procedures tailored to each systematic review in a process that facilitates
evaluation and integration of scientific evidence from published human, experimental animal,
and mechanistic studies.
Systematic review procedures are not algorithms, and the methods require scientific judgments.
The key feature of the systematic review approach is the application of a transparent framework
to document the evaluation methods and the basis for scientific judgments. This process includes
steps to comprehensively search for studies, select relevant evidence, assess individual study
quality, rate confidence in bodies of evidence across studies, and then integrate evidence to
develop conclusions for the specific research question. Draft monographs undergo external peer
review prior to being finalized and published.
NTP monographs are available free of charge on the NTP website and cataloged in PubMed, a
free resource developed and maintained by the National Library of Medicine (part of the
National Institutes of Health). Data for these evaluations are included in the Health Assessment
and Workspace Collaborative.
For questions about the monographs, please email NTP or call 984-287-3211.
†
OHAT is the abbreviation for Office of Health Assessment and Translation, which has become the Health
Assessment and Translation group in the Integrative Health Assessments Branch of the Division of Translational
Toxicology at the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Table of Contents
About This Monograph ................................................................................................................... ii
Foreword ........................................................................................................................................ iii
Tables ...............................................................................................................................................v
Figures............................................................................................................................................ vi
About This Review ....................................................................................................................... vii
Peer Review .................................................................................................................................. xii
NTP Board of Scientific Counselors Review .............................................................................. xiii
Publication Details ...................................................................................................................... xvii
Acknowledgements ..................................................................................................................... xvii
Conflict of Interest ...................................................................................................................... xvii
Abstract ...................................................................................................................................... xviii
Preface............................................................................................................................................ xi
Introduction ......................................................................................................................................1
Objective and Specific Aims.......................................................................................................3
Objective ..............................................................................................................................3
Specific Aims .......................................................................................................................3
Methods............................................................................................................................................5
Problem Formulation and Protocol Development ......................................................................5
PECO Statements ........................................................................................................................5
Literature Search .........................................................................................................................7
Main Literature Search ........................................................................................................7
Supplemental Chinese Database Literature Search .............................................................8
Databases Searched..............................................................................................................9
Searching Other Resources ................................................................................................10
Unpublished Data...............................................................................................................10
Study Selection .........................................................................................................................10
Evidence Selection Criteria................................................................................................10
Screening Process ..............................................................................................................10
Evaluation of SWIFT-Active Screener Results .................................................................11
Screening of the May 2020 Literature Search Update .......................................................12
Supplemental Chinese Database Searches and Human Epidemiological Studies .............12
Data Extraction .........................................................................................................................13
Extraction Process..............................................................................................................13
Data Availability ................................................................................................................13
Quality Assessment of Individual Studies ................................................................................14
Key Risk-of-bias Questions ...............................................................................................14
Risk-of-bias Considerations for Human Studies................................................................14
Organizing and Rating Confidence in Bodies of Evidence ......................................................20
Health Outcome Categories for Neurodevelopmental and Cognitive Effects ...................20
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Erratum.......................................................................................................................................... 87
Tables
Table 1. Human PECO (Population, Exposure, Comparator and Outcome) Statement ..................6
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figures
Figure 1. Assessing Confidence in the Body of Evidence .............................................................24
Figure 2. Study Selection Diagram ................................................................................................26
Figure 3. Number of Epidemiological Studies by Outcome and Age Categories .........................27
Figure 4. Number of High- and Low-quality Studies of Fluoride Exposure and IQ in
Children by Year of Publication.....................................................................................28
Figure 5. Number of Studies of Fluoride Exposure and IQ in Children by Country and
Year of Publication.........................................................................................................29
Figure 6. Important Covariates Considered in Low Risk-of-bias IQ Studies Conducted in
Children ..........................................................................................................................52
Figure 7. Number of Low Risk-of-bias Studies that Evaluated Thyroid Hormones in
Children and Adults by Endpoint and Direction of Association ....................................75
Figure 8. Number of High Risk-of-bias Studies that Evaluated Thyroid Hormones in
Children by Endpoint and Direction of Association ......................................................75
Addendum Figure 1. Reference Flow Diagram for Updated Literature Search ............................86
Addendum Figure 2. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Children’s IQ Studies Identified During
Updated Literature Search ...........................................................................86
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Collaborators
Kyla W. Taylor, John R. Bucher, Robyn B. Blain, Christopher A. Sibrizzi, Pamela A. Hartman,
Kristen Magnuson, Sorina E. Eftim, and Andrew A. Rooney
Conducted literature screening, data extraction, and risk-of-bias assessment; reviewed data,
results, and analyses; wrote, edited, and formatted monograph; provided database and HAWC
support; supported data visualizations
Pamela A. Hartman, M.E.M.
Contributors
Division of Translational Toxicology, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences,
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, USA
Provided oversight for external peer review
Mary S. Wolfe, Ph.D.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Reviewed data, results, and analyses, conducted literature screening and risk-of-bias
assessment, and provided database and HAWC support
Anna Engstrom, Ph.D.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Integrated Laboratory Systems, LLC, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, USA
Conducted a technical review of the draft monograph
Cynthia J. Willson, D.V.M., Ph.D., DACVP
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Preface
The National Toxicology Program (NTP) conducted a systematic review of the published
scientific literature because of public concern regarding the potential association between
fluoride exposure and adverse neurodevelopmental and cognitive health effects.
NTP initially published a systematic review of the experimental animal literature in 2016 that
was subsequently expanded to include human epidemiological studies, mechanistic studies, and
newer experimental animal literature (see Appendix B, Table B-1 for document and review
timeline). Because of the high public interest in fluoride’s benefits and potential risks, NTP
asked the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (NASEM) to conduct an
independent evaluation of the draft NTP Monograph on Fluoride Exposure and
Neurodevelopmental and Cognitive Health Effects (2019 draft monograph dated September 6,
2019) and the revised draft (2020 draft monograph dated September 16, 2020), which addressed
the NASEM committee’s recommendations for improvement. The NASEM committee
determined that, “Overall the revised monograph seems to include a wealth of evidence and a
number of evaluations that support its main conclusion, but the monograph falls short of
providing a clear and convincing argument that supports its assessments….” Thus, NTP has
removed the hazard assessment step and retitled this systematic review of fluoride exposure and
neurodevelopmental and cognitive health effects as a “state-of-the-science” document to indicate
the change. This state-of-the-science document does not include the meta-analysis of
epidemiological studies or hazard conclusions found in previous draft monographs; however, it
provides a comprehensive and current assessment of the scientific literature on fluoride as an
important resource to inform safe and appropriate use. The meta-analysis is a separate peer-
reviewed journal publication (DTT Meta-analysis, Taylor et al. 2024, in press).
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Peer Review
The National Toxicology Program (NTP) conducted a peer review of the monograph entitled
Draft NTP Monograph on the State of the Science Concerning Fluoride Exposure and
Neurodevelopmental and Cognitive Health Effects: A Systematic Review by letter in December
2021. Reviewer selection and document review followed established NTP practices. The
reviewers were charged to:
(1) Comment on the technical accuracy and whether the monograph entitled Draft NTP
Monograph on the State of the Science Concerning Fluoride Exposure and
Neurodevelopmental and Cognitive Health Effects: A Systematic Review is clearly
stated and objectively presented.
(2) Determine whether the scientific evidence supports the NTP’s confidence ratings for
the bodies of evidence regarding neurodevelopmental and cognitive health effects
associated with exposure to fluoride.
NTP carefully considered reviewers’ comments in finalizing this monograph.
Peer Reviewers
Ethan Balk, M.D., M.P.H.
Associate Professor (Research)
Brown University School of Public Health
Providence, Rhode Island, USA
Pam Factor-Litvak, Ph.D.
Professor of Epidemiology
Columbia University Medical Center
New York, New York, USA
Erin Haynes, Dr.P.H.
Kurt W. Deuschle Professor in Preventive Medicine and Environmental Health
University of Kentucky College of Public Health
Lexington, Kentucky, USA
Julie Obbagy, Ph.D., R.D.
Nutritionist, Center for Nutrition Policy and Promotion
Office of Nutrition Guidance and Analysis
U.S. Department of Agriculture
Medfield, Massachusetts, USA
Heather Volk, Ph.D.
Associate Professor
Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
Baltimore, Maryland, USA
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
1
The NTP authors of this monograph conducted a companion systematic review and meta-analysis of fluoride
exposure and children’s IQ. Reference to this meta-analysis is cited in this monograph as “(DTT Meta-analysis,
Taylor et al. 2024, in press).”
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Publication Details
Publisher: National Toxicology Program
Publishing Location: Research Triangle Park, NC
ISSN: 2378-5144
DOI: https://doi.org/10.22427/NTP-MGRAPH-8
Report Series: NTP Monograph Series
Report Series Number: 08
Official citation: National Toxicology Program (NTP). 2024. NTP monograph on the state of the
science concerning fluoride exposure and neurodevelopment and cognition: a systematic review.
Research Triangle Park, NC: National Toxicology Program. NTP Monograph 08.
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by the Intramural Research Program (ES103316, ES103317) at the
National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, National Institutes of Health and performed
for the National Toxicology Program, Public Health Service, U.S. Department of Health and
Human Services under contract GS00Q14OADU417 (Order No. HHSN273201600015U).
Conflict of Interest
Individuals who reviewed the systematic review protocol or meta-analysis protocol, conducted a
technical review of the draft monograph, or served on the peer review panel have certified that
they have no known real or apparent conflict of interest related to fluoride exposure or
neurodevelopmental and cognitive health effects.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Abstract
Background: Fluoride is a common exposure in our environment that comes from a variety of
sources and is widely promoted for its dental and overall oral health benefits. Contributions to an
individual’s total exposure come primarily from fluoride in drinking water, food, beverages and
dental products. A 2006 evaluation by the National Research Council (NRC) found support for
an association between consumption of high levels of naturally occurring fluoride in drinking
water and adverse neurological effects in humans and recommended further investigation. The
evidence reviewed at that time was from dental and skeletal fluorosis-endemic regions of China.
Since the NRC evaluation, the number and location of studies examining cognitive and
neurobehavioral effects of fluoride in humans have grown considerably, including several recent
North American prospective cohort studies evaluating prenatal fluoride exposure.
In 2016, the National Toxicology Program (NTP) published a systematic review of the evidence
from experimental animal studies on the effects of fluoride on learning and memory. That
systematic review found a low-to-moderate level of evidence that deficits in learning and
memory occur in non-human mammals exposed to fluoride.
Objective: To conduct a systematic review of the human, experimental animal, and mechanistic
literature to evaluate the extent and quality of the evidence linking fluoride exposure to
neurodevelopmental and cognitive effects in humans.
Method: A systematic review protocol was developed and utilized following the standardized
OHAT systematic review approach for conducting literature-based health assessments. This
monograph presents the current state of evidence associating fluoride exposure with cognitive or
neurodevelopmental health effects and incorporated predefined assessments of study quality and
confidence levels. Benefits of fluoride with respect to oral health are not addressed in this
monograph.
Results: The bodies of experimental animal studies and human mechanistic evidence do not
provide clarity on the association between fluoride exposure and cognitive or
neurodevelopmental human health effects. Human mechanistic studies were too heterogenous
and limited in number to make any determination on biological plausibility.
This systematic review identified studies that assessed the association between estimated fluoride
exposure and cognitive or neurodevelopmental effects in both adults and children, which were
evaluated separately. The most common exposure assessment measures were drinking water
concentrations and estimates of total fluoride exposure, as reflected in biomarkers such as
urinary fluoride. In adults, only two high-quality cross-sectional studies examining cognitive
effects were available. The literature in children was more extensive and was separated into
studies assessing intelligence quotient (IQ) and studies assessing other cognitive or
neurodevelopmental outcomes. Eight of nine high-quality studies examining other cognitive or
neurodevelopmental outcomes reported associations with estimated fluoride exposure. Seventy-
two studies assessed the association between fluoride exposure and IQ in children. Nineteen of
those studies were considered to be high quality; of these, 18 reported an inverse association
between estimated fluoride exposure and IQ in children. The 18 studies, which include 3
prospective cohort studies and 15 cross-sectional studies, were conducted in 5 different
countries. Forty-six of the 53 low-quality studies in children also found evidence of an inverse
association between estimated fluoride exposure and IQ in children.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Discussion: Existing animal studies provide little insight into the question of whether fluoride
exposure affects IQ. In addition, studies that evaluated fluoride exposure and mechanistic data in
humans were too heterogenous and limited in number to make any determination on biological
plausibility. The body of evidence from studies in adults is also limited and provides low
confidence that fluoride exposure is associated with adverse effects on adult cognition. There is,
however, a large body of evidence on associations between fluoride exposure and IQ in children.
There is also some evidence that fluoride exposure is associated with other neurodevelopmental
and cognitive effects in children; although, because of the heterogeneity of the outcomes, there is
low confidence in the literature for these other effects. This review finds, with moderate
confidence, that higher estimated fluoride exposures (e.g., as in approximations of exposure such
as drinking water fluoride concentrations that exceed the World Health Organization Guidelines
for Drinking-water Quality of 1.5 mg/L of fluoride) are consistently associated with lower IQ in
children. More studies are needed to fully understand the potential for lower fluoride exposure to
affect children’s IQ.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Introduction
Fluoride is a common exposure in our environment from a variety of sources and is widely
promoted for its dental and overall oral health benefits. Approximately 67% of the U.S.
population receives fluoridated water through a community water system (CDC 2013). In other
countries, fluoride supplementation has been achieved by fluoridating food products such as salt
or milk. Fluoride supplementation has been recommended to prevent bone fractures (Jones et al.
2005). Fluoride also can occur naturally in drinking water. Other sources of human exposure
include other foods and beverages, industrial emissions, pharmaceuticals, and pesticides (e.g.,
cryolite, sulfuryl fluoride). Soil ingestion is another source of fluoride exposure in young
children (USEPA 2010).
The U.S. Public Health Service (PHS) first recommended that communities add fluoride to
drinking water in 1962. PHS guidance is advisory, not regulatory, which means that while PHS
recommends community water fluoridation as a public health intervention, the decision to
fluoridate water systems is made by state and local governments. For many years, most
fluoridated community water systems used fluoride concentrations ranging from 0.8 to 1.2
milligrams/liter (mg/L) (USDHHS 2015). For community water systems that add fluoride, PHS
now recommends a fluoride concentration of 0.7 mg/L (equal to 0.7 parts per million [ppm]).
Under the Safe Drinking Water Act, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) sets
maximum exposure level standards for drinking water quality. The current enforceable drinking
water standard for fluoride, or the maximum contaminant level (MCL), is 4.0 mg/L. This level is
the maximum amount of fluoride contamination (naturally occurring, not from water
fluoridation) that is allowed in water from public water systems and is set to protect against
increased risk of skeletal fluorosis, a condition characterized by pain and tenderness of the major
joints. EPA also has a non-enforceable secondary drinking water standard of 2.0 mg/L of
fluoride, which is recommended to protect children against the tooth discoloration and/or pitting
that can be caused by severe dental fluorosis during the formative period prior to eruption of
teeth. Although the secondary standard is not enforceable, EPA requires that public water
systems notify the public if and when average fluoride levels exceed 2.0 mg/L (NRC 2006). The
World Health Organization (WHO) set a safe water guideline of 1.5 mg/L of fluoride in drinking
water (first established in 1984 and reaffirmed in 1993 and 2011), which is recommended to
protect against increasing risk of dental and skeletal fluorosis (WHO 2017). We have chosen to
refer to the WHO Drinking water Guideline of 1.5 mg/L fluoride when describing “higher”
fluoride exposure. This example was chosen because, based on an overall assessment of the
epidemiology literature, it represents a useful total fluoride exposure equivalent metric and no
alternative safety guidelines for total fluoride exposure exist. Note that while drinking water
provides the majority of fluoride exposure in many of the studies, total exposure can vary widely
even in optimally fluoridated areas based on personal habits in the use of dental products and
consumption of beverages such as black tea that can contain fluoride.
As of April 2020, 1.08% of persons living in the United States (~3.5 million people) were served
by community water systems (CWS) containing ≥1.1 mg/L naturally occurring fluoride. CWS
supplying water with ≥1.5 mg/L naturally occurring fluoride served 0.59% of the U.S.
population (~1.9 million people), and systems supplying water with ≥2 mg/L naturally occurring
fluoride served 0.31% of the U.S. population (~1 million people) (CDC Division of Oral Health
2020).
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Elevated naturally occurring fluoride levels in groundwater (>1.5 mg/L) are prevalent globally in
areas including central Australia, eastern Brazil, sub-Saharan Africa, the southern Arabian
Peninsula, south and east Asia, and western North America (Podgorski and Berg 2022). Regions
of the United States where CWS and private wells contain natural fluoride concentrations of
more than 1.5 mg/L serve over 2.9 million U.S. residents (Hefferon et al. 2024). The U.S.
Geological Survey estimates that 172,000 U.S. residents are served by domestic wells that
exceed EPA’s enforceable standard of 4.0 mg/L fluoride in drinking water, and 522,000 are
served by domestic wells that exceed EPA’s non-enforceable standard of 2.0 mg/L fluoride in
drinking water (USGS 2020).
Health concerns cited in relation to fluoride are skeletal fluorosis, lower intelligence quotient
(IQ) and other neurological effects, cancer, and endocrine disruption. Effects on neurological
function, endocrine function (e.g., thyroid, 2 parathyroid, pineal), metabolic function (e.g.,
glucose metabolism), and carcinogenicity were assessed in the 2006 NRC report, Fluoride in
Drinking Water: A Scientific Review of EPA’s Standards (NRC 2006). The NRC review
considered adverse effects of water fluoride, focusing on a range of concentrations (2–4 mg/L)
above the current 0.7-mg/L recommendation for community water fluoridation. The NRC report
concluded that the Maximum Contaminant Level Goal (MCLG), 4 mg/L, should be lowered to
protect against severe enamel fluorosis and reduce the risk of bone fractures associated with
skeletal fluorosis (NRC 2006). Other than severe fluorosis, NRC did not find sufficient evidence
of negative health effects at fluoride levels below 4 mg/L; however, it concluded that the
consistency of the results of IQ deficits in children exposed to fluoride at 2.5 to 4 mg/L in
drinking water from a few epidemiological studies of Chinese populations appeared significant
enough to warrant additional research on the effects of fluoride on intelligence. The NRC report
noted several challenges to evaluating the literature, including deficiencies in reporting quality,
lack of consideration of all sources of fluoride exposure, incomplete consideration of potential
confounding, selection of inappropriate control subject populations in epidemiological studies,
absence of demonstrated clinical significance of reported endocrine effects, and incomplete
understanding of the biological relationship between histological, biochemical, and molecular
alterations with behavioral effects.
In 2016, the National Toxicology Program (NTP) published a systematic review of the evidence
from experimental animal studies on the potential effects of fluoride exposure on learning and
memory (NTP 2016). That systematic review found a low-to-moderate level of evidence that
deficits in learning and memory occur in experimental animals exposed to fluoride. Given these
findings, NTP decided to conduct additional animal studies before carrying out this full
systematic review and integrate human, animal, and potentially relevant mechanistic evidence in
order to reach human health hazard identification conclusions for fluoride and learning and
memory effects. The NTP (2016) report on the experimental animal evidence focused on
learning and memory and developed confidence ratings for bodies of evidence by life stage of
exposure (i.e., exposure during development or adulthood). This monograph also evaluates two
different age groups in humans (i.e., children and adults) with a focus on cognitive
2
The current review has evaluated the fluoride literature with an eye toward potential thyroid effects because a large
literature base has accumulated examining the interaction of fluoride with iodine uptake by the thyroid gland and
consequential effects on synthesis of thyroid hormones, which are recognized to play significant roles in
neurodevelopment in utero and during early childhood. This literature, along with a detailed proposed mechanism of
action, was recently reviewed by Waugh (2019).
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Specific Aims
• Identify literature that assessed neurodevelopmental and cognitive health effects,
especially outcomes related to learning, memory, and intelligence, following
exposure to fluoride in human, animal, and relevant in vitro/mechanistic studies.
• Extract data on potential neurodevelopmental and cognitive health effects from
relevant studies.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Assess the internal validity (risk of bias) of individual studies using pre-defined
criteria.
• Assess effects on thyroid function to help evaluate potential mechanisms of impaired
neurobehavioral 3 function.
• Summarize the extent and types of health effects evidence available.
•Describe limitations of the systematic review, strengths and limitations of the
evidence base, identify areas of uncertainty, as well as data gaps and research needs
for neurodevelopmental and cognitive health effects of fluoride.
Depending on the extent and nature of the available evidence:
• Synthesize the evidence using a narrative approach.
• Rate confidence in the body of evidence for human and animal studies separately
according to one of four statements: High, Moderate, Low, or Very Low/No Evidence
Available.
3
The specific aim in the protocol refers to “impaired neurological function”; however, it was changed to “impaired
neurobehavior function” in this document to use more precise terminology. The overall aim from the protocol
remained the same for this evaluation.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Methods
Problem Formulation and Protocol Development
The research question and specific aims stated above were developed and refined through a
series of problem formulation steps, including:
(1) receipt of a nomination from the public in June 2015 to conduct analyses of fluoride
and developmental neurobehavioral toxicity;
(2) analysis of the extent of evidence available and the merit of pursuing systematic
reviews, given factors such as the extent of new research published since previous
evaluations and whether these new reports address or correct the deficiencies noted in
the literature (OEHHA 2011; NRC 2006; SCHER 2011);
(3) request for information in a Federal Register notice (dated October 7, 2015);
(4) consideration of comments providing a list of studies to review through Federal
Register notice and public comment period from October 7, 2015, to November 6,
2015;
(5) release of draft concept titled Proposed NTP Evaluation on Fluoride Exposure and
Potential for Developmental Neurobehavioral Effects in November 2015;
(6) presentation of draft concept at the NTP Board of Scientific Counselors (BSC)
meeting on December 1–2, 2015;
(7) consideration of comments on NTP’s draft concept from the NTP BSC meeting in
December 2015; and
(8) consideration of input on the draft protocol from review by technical advisors.
The protocol used to conduct this systematic review was posted in June 2017 with updates
posted in May 2019 and September 2020 (https://ntp.niehs.nih.gov/go/785076). 4 The protocol
served as the complete set of methods followed for the conduct of this systematic review. The
OHAT Handbook for Conducting a Literature-Based Health Assessment
(http://ntp.niehs.nih.gov/go/38673) is a source of general systematic review methods that were
selected and tailored in developing this protocol. Options in the OHAT handbook that were not
specifically referred to in the protocol were not part of the methods for the systematic review.
A brief summary of the methods is presented below. Although the methods were revised to
remove the hazard assessment step and meta-analysis from this document, the protocol was not
further revised.
PECO Statements
PECO (Population, Exposure, Comparators and Outcomes) statements were developed as an aid
to identify search terms and appropriate inclusion/exclusion criteria for addressing the overall
research question (effects on neurodevelopmental or cognitive function and thyroid associated
4
NTP conducts systematic reviews following prespecified protocols that describe the review procedures selected and
applied from the general methods outlined in the OHAT Handbook for Conducting a Literature-Based Health
Assessment (http://ntp.niehs.nih.gov/go/38673). The protocol describes project-specific procedures tailored to each
systematic review that supersede the methods in the OHAT Handbook.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
with fluoride exposure) for the systematic review (Higgins and Green 2011). The PECO
statements are listed below for human, animal, and in vitro/mechanistic studies (see Table 1,
Table 2, and Table 3).
Using the PECO statements, the evaluation searched human studies, controlled exposure animal
studies, and mechanistic/in vitro studies for evidence of neurodevelopmental or cognitive
function and thyroid effects associated with fluoride exposure. Mechanistic data can come from a
wide variety of studies that are not intended to identify a disease phenotype. This source of
experimental data includes in vitro and in vivo laboratory studies directed at cellular,
biochemical, and molecular mechanisms and attempt to explain how a substance produces
particular adverse health effects. The mechanistic data were first organized by general categories
(e.g., biochemical effects in the brain and neurons, neurotransmitters, oxidative stress) to
evaluate the available information. To prioritize and consider available mechanistic data, the
categories focused on were those with more robust data at levels of fluoride more relevant to
human exposure. The intent was not to develop a mechanism for fluoride induction of effects on
learning and memory but to evaluate whether a plausible series of mechanistic events exists to
support effects observed in the low-dose region (below approximate drinking-water-equivalent
concentrations of 20 ppm for animal studies) that may strengthen a hazard conclusion if one is
derived.
Comparators Comparable populations not exposed to fluoride (e.g., exposure below detection levels) or
exposed to lower levels of fluoride 5
Outcomes Neurodevelopmental outcomes, including learning, memory, intelligence, other forms of
cognitive behavior, other neurological/neurobehavioral 6 outcomes (e.g., anxiety, aggression,
motor activity), and biochemical changes in the brain or nervous system tissue; measures of
thyroid function, biochemical changes, or thyroid tissue pathology
5
Note: The human PECO statement in this monograph has been revised since the publication of the protocol to
clarify that “populations not exposed to fluoride” may be due to exposure biomarker concentrations being below the
level of detection.
6
The human PECO statement in the protocol refers to “neurological outcomes”; however, it was changed to
“neurological/neurobehavioral outcomes” in this document to use more precise terminology for the outcomes
included.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Comparators Comparable cells or tissues that were untreated or exposed to vehicle-only treatment
Outcomes Endpoints related to neurological and thyroid function, including neuronal electrophysiology;
mRNA, gene, or protein expression; cell proliferation or death in brain or thyroid tissue/cells;
neuronal signaling; synaptogenesis, etc.
Literature Search
Main Literature Search
Search terms were developed to identify all relevant published evidence on developmental
neurobehavioral toxicity or thyroid-related health effects potentially associated with exposure to
7
The animal PECO statement in the protocol refers to “neurological outcomes”; however, it was changed to
“neurological/neurobehavioral outcomes” in this document to use more precise terminology for the outcomes
included.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
fluoride by reviewing Medical Subject Headings for relevant and appropriate neurobehavioral
and thyroid-related terms and by extracting key neurobehavioral and thyroid-related health
effects and developmental neurobehavioral terminology from reviews and a sample of relevant
studies. 8 Combinations of relevant subject headings and keywords were subsequently identified.
A test set of relevant studies was used to ensure the search terms retrieved 100% of the test set.
Six electronic databases were searched (see Main Literature Database Search) using a search
strategy tailored for each database (specific search terms used for the PubMed search are
presented in Appendix B; the search strategy for other databases are available in the protocol
https://ntp.niehs.nih.gov/go/785076). A search of PubChem indicated that sodium fluoride was
not found in either the Tox21 or ToxCast databases; therefore, these databases were not included
in the search. No language restrictions or publication-year limits were imposed. These six
databases were searched in December 2016, and the search was regularly updated during the
review process through April 1, 2019.
An additional search was conducted on May 1, 2020, where human epidemiological studies with
primary neurodevelopmental or cognitive outcomes (learning, memory, and intelligence) were
prioritized during screening. The review of the 2020 search results focused only on the human
studies because they formed the basis of the confidence ratings (see Figure 1 for framework to
assess confidence) and conclusions in the September 6, 2019, draft. A supplemental literature
search of Chinese-language databases (described below) was also conducted. See Appendix B,
Table B-1 for a timeline of key activities contributing to this 2024 NTP monograph, including
information relevant to the timing of multiple literature searches.
Publications identified in these searches are categorized as “references identified through
database searches” in Figure 2. Studies identified from other sources or manual review that
satisfy the PECO criteria for inclusion are considered under “references identified through other
sources” in Figure 2. Literature searches for this systematic review were conducted
independently from the literature search conducted for NTP (2016). The current literature search
strategy was based on the search terms used for NTP (2016) and refined for the current
evaluation, including the addition of search terms to identify human studies. Although the review
process identified experimental animal studies prior to 2015, the current assessment did not
evaluate these studies and relied on the NTP (2016) assessment. The focus of the literature
searches for this systematic review was to identify and evaluate for relevance animal studies that
were published since completion of the literature searches for the NTP (2016) assessment in
addition to the human and mechanistic data that were not previously evaluated.
8
The terms “study” and “publication” are used interchangeably in this document to refer to a published work drawn
from an original body of research conducted on a defined population.
8
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
explored before two were identified, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) and
Wanfang, that covered studies previously identified from other sources. These two Chinese
electronic databases were searched in May 2020 with no language restrictions or publication year
limits. Search terms from the main literature search were refined to focus on human
epidemiological studies. The CNKI and Wanfang databases have character limits in the search
strings; therefore, key terms were prioritized using text analytics to identify the most prevalent
terms from neurodevelopmental or cognitive human epidemiological studies previously
identified as relevant. Search strings were designed to capture known relevant studies that were
previously identified from searching other resources without identifying large numbers of non-
relevant studies [the search strategy for both databases is available in the protocol
(https://ntp.niehs.nih.gov/go/785076)]. Publications retrieved were compared with publications
retrieved from the main literature search, and duplicates were removed. The remaining relevant
publications are categorized as “references identified through database searches” in Figure 2.
New animal and mechanistic references retrieved were scanned for evidence that might extend
the information in the September 6, 2019, draft. Although additional studies were identified, data
that would materially advance the animal and mechanistic findings were not identified; therefore,
these studies were not extracted nor were they added to the draft. A primary goal of the screening
of the newly retrieved human references in the supplemental search of Chinese databases was to
identify studies that evaluated primary neurodevelopmental or cognitive outcomes (i.e., learning,
memory, and intelligence) that may have been missed in previous searches that did not include
the Chinese databases. A secondary goal was to examine whether the non-English-language
studies on the Fluoride Action Network website (http://fluoridealert.org/)—a site used as another
resource to identify potentially relevant studies because it is known to index fluoride
publications—had been selectively presented to list only studies reporting associations with
fluoride 9. Newly retrieved human references were reviewed to identify studies that may have
been missed using previous approaches. Studies identified that evaluated primary
neurodevelopmental or cognitive outcomes were included and either translated or reviewed by an
epidemiologist fluent in Chinese.
Databases Searched
Main Literature Database Search
• BIOSIS (Thomson Reuters)
• EMBASE
• PsycINFO (APA PsycNet)
• PubMed (NLM)
• Scopus (Elsevier)
• Web of Science (Thomson Reuters, Web of Science indexes the journal Fluoride)
9
Note: As a result of this examination, NTP found no indication that studies were selectively presented on the
Fluoride Action Network website.
9
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Wanfang
Unpublished Data
Although no unpublished data were included in the review, unpublished data were eligible for
inclusion, provided the owner of the data was willing to have the data made public and peer
reviewed [see protocol (https://ntp.niehs.nih.gov/go/785076) for more details].
Study Selection
Evidence Selection Criteria
In order to be eligible for inclusion, studies had to satisfy eligibility criteria that reflect the PECO
statements in Table 1, Table 2, and Table 3.
The following additional exclusion criteria were applied [see protocol
(https://ntp.niehs.nih.gov/go/785076) for additional details]:
(1) Case studies or case reports. Although there are various definitions of ‘case study’
and ‘case report,’ the terms are used here to refer to publications designed to share
health-related events on a single subject or patient with a disease, diagnosis, or
specific outcome in the presence of a specific exposure (see Table 4 for study design
definitions).
(2) Articles without original data (e.g., reviews, editorials, or commentaries). Reference
lists from these materials, however, were reviewed to identify potentially relevant
studies not identified from the database searches. New studies identified were
assessed for eligibility for inclusion.
(3) Conference abstracts, theses, dissertations, and other non-peer-reviewed reports.
Screening Process
References retrieved from the literature search were independently screened by two trained
screeners at the title and abstract level to determine whether a reference met the evidence
selection criteria. Screening procedures following the evidence-selection criteria in the protocol
were pilot tested with experienced contract staff overseen by NTP. For citations with no abstract
or non-English abstracts, articles were screened based on title relevance (the title would need to
indicate clear relevance); number of pages (articles ≤2 pages were assumed to be conference
reports, editorials, or letters unlikely to contain original data); and/or PubMed Medical Subject
Headings (MeSH). Using this approach, literature was manually screened for relevance and
eligibility against the evidence selection criteria using a structured form in SWIFT-Active
Screener (Sciome) (Howard et al. 2020). While the human screeners review studies, SWIFT-
Active Screener aids in this process by employing a machine-learning software program to
priority-rank studies for screening (Howard et al. 2020). SWIFT-Active Screener also refines a
10
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
statistical model that continually ranks the remaining studies according to their likelihood for
inclusion. In addition, SWIFT-Active Screener employs active learning to continually
incorporate user feedback during title and abstract screening to predict the total number of
included studies, thus providing a statistical basis for a decision about when to stop screening
(Miller et al. 2016). Title and abstract screening was stopped once the statistical algorithm in
SWIFT-Active Screener estimated that 98% of the predicted number of relevant studies were
identified.
Studies that were not excluded during the title and abstract screening were further screened for
inclusion with a full-text review by two independent reviewers using DistillerSR® (Evidence
Partners), a web-based, systematic-review software program with structured forms and
procedures to ensure standardization of the process. Screening conflicts were resolved through
discussion and consultation with technical advisor(s), if necessary. During full-text review,
studies that were considered relevant were tagged to the appropriate evidence streams (i.e.,
human, animal, and/or in vitro). Studies tagged to human or animal evidence streams were also
categorized by outcome as primary neurodevelopmental or cognitive outcomes (learning,
memory, and intelligence); secondary neurobehavioral outcomes (anxiety, aggression, motor
activity, or biochemical); or related to thyroid effects. In vitro data were tagged as being related
to neurological effects or thyroid effects. Translation assistance was sought to assess the
relevance of non-English studies. Following full-text review, the remaining studies were
“included” and used for the evaluation.
10
Howard et al. (2020) evaluated the performance of the SWIFT-Active Screener methods for estimating total
number of relevant studies using 26 diverse systematic review datasets that were previously screened manually by
reviewers. The authors found that on average, 95% of the relevant articles were identified after screening 40% of the
total reference list when using SWIFT-Active Screener. In the document sets with 5,000 or more references, 95% of
the relevant articles were identified after screening 34% of the available references, on average, using SWIFT-
Active Screener.
11
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
evaluation, it was estimated that the use of SWIFT-Active Screener may have resulted in missing
one to two relevant human studies and one to two relevant animal studies with primary
neurodevelopmental or cognitive outcomes. Therefore, the use of SWIFT-Active Screener saved
considerable time and resources and is expected to miss very few potentially relevant
publications.
11
NTP is aware that this study was published after April 2021 (Ibarluzea et al. 2021) and, therefore, is not included
in this monograph because it is beyond the dates of the literature search. Even if it had been published earlier, the
study would not have contributed to the body of evidence on children’s IQ because the authors assessed other
neurodevelopmental or cognitive effects, specifically the association between fluoride exposure and
neuropsychological development in children aged 1 year using the Mental Development Index (MDI) of the Bayley
Scales of Infant Development and in children aged 4 years using the General Cognitive Index (GCI) of the
McCarthy Scales of Children’s Abilities (MSCA). The study is included in sensitivity analyses in the DTT meta-
analysis (DTT Meta-analysis, Taylor et al. 2024, in press).
12
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Data Extraction
Extraction Process
Data were collected (i.e., extracted) from included studies by one member of the evaluation team
and checked by a second member for completeness and accuracy. Any discrepancies in data
extraction were resolved by discussion or consultation with a third member of the evaluation
team.
Data Availability
Data extraction was completed using the Health Assessment Workspace Collaborative (HAWC),
an open-source and freely available web-based application. 12 Data extraction elements are listed
separately for human, animal, and in vitro studies in the protocol
(https://ntp.niehs.nih.gov/go/785076). Data for primary and secondary outcomes, as well as
thyroid hormone level data, were extracted from human studies. Studies evaluating only goiters
or thyroid size were not extracted because they do not provide specific information on thyroid
hormone levels that would inform whether a thyroid-mediated mechanism was involved in
fluoride-associated changes in neurodevelopment. All primary outcomes and functional
neurological secondary outcomes (e.g., motor activity) were extracted from animal studies
identified since the NTP (2016) report. For animal mechanistic data, studies were tiered based on
exposure dose (with preference given to fluoride drinking-water-equivalent exposures, which
were calculated using the method described in the NTP (2016) report, of 20 ppm or less as
deemed most relevant to exposures in humans), exposure duration or relevant time window (i.e.,
developmental), exposure route (with preference given to oral exposures over injection
exposures), and commonality of mechanism (e.g., inflammation, oxidative stress, changes in
neurotransmitters, and histopathological changes) were considered pockets of mechanistic data.
Thyroid data were not extracted for animal studies due to inconsistency in the available data in
humans. In vitro studies were evaluated, although data were not extracted from these studies as
none of the findings were considered informative with respect to biological plausibility. The data
extraction results for included studies are publicly available and can be downloaded in Excel
format through HAWC (https://hawcproject.org/assessment/405/) (NTP 2019). Methods for
transforming and standardizing dose levels and results from behavioral tests in experimental
animals are detailed in the protocol (https://ntp.niehs.nih.gov/go/785076).
In 2016, NTP published a systematic review of the evidence from experimental animal studies
on the potential effects of fluoride exposure on learning and memory (NTP 2016). The literature
searches for the current assessment identified and evaluated relevant animal studies published
since the 2016 assessment and also included human and mechanistic data that were not
previously evaluated. Although literature search activities for the current assessment identified
experimental animal studies prior to 2015, the current assessment did not re-evaluate animal
studies published prior to 2015 because these were reviewed in the NTP (2016) assessment.
13
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
14
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
body of evidence. Human evidence was evaluated with and without high risk-of-bias studies to
assess the impact of these studies on confidence in the association.
High risk-of-bias studies: Studies rated probably high risk of bias for at least two key risk-of-
bias questions or definitely high for any single question are considered studies with higher
potential for bias (i.e., high risk-of-bias studies) and to be of low quality. Studies could also be
considered high risk of bias if rated probably high risk of bias for one key risk-of-bias question
along with other concerns, including potential for selection bias and concerns with statistical
methods.
Low risk-of-bias studies: The remaining studies (i.e., other than the high risk-of-bias studies)
were considered to have lower potential for bias (i.e., low risk of bias) and to be of high quality.
Appendix E describes strengths and limitations of the low risk-of-bias/high-quality studies
identified during the assessment and clarifies why they are considered to pose low risk of bias.
Details on the statistical analyses are provided in the “Other potential threats” domain in order to
evaluate the adequacy of the statistical approach for individual studies.
Given the number of non-English-language studies in this assessment, the potential for the
translation to introduce bias was examined as described below, and it was determined that
translation of non-English-language studies did not impact evaluation of risk of bias. Thirty-two
of 100 studies included in the entire human body of evidence on neurodevelopmental and
cognitive effects were initially published in a foreign language (Chinese) and were either
translated and published in volume 41 of the journal Fluoride (n = 19) or were translated by the
Fluoride Action Network (n = 13)
(http://fluoridealert.org/researchers/translations/complete_archive/). Most of these studies were
considered to have high potential for bias due to lack of information across the key risk-of-bias
questions. Therefore, in order to assess whether the lack of information relevant to key risk-of-
bias concerns was the result of a loss in translation, the original Chinese publications and the
translated versions of the five studies that had the most potential for being included in the low
risk-of-bias group of studies were reviewed by a team member with Chinese as first language to
determine whether the translations were accurate and whether any of the risk-of-bias concerns
could be addressed (An et al. 1992; Chen et al. 1991 [translated in Chen et al. 2008]; Du et al.
1992 [translated in Du et al. 2008]; Guo et al. 1991 [translated in Guo et al. 2008a]; Li et al.
2009). For all five studies, the translations were determined to be accurate, and there was no
impact of the translations on the key risk-of-bias concerns.
Confounding
Covariates were determined a priori based on factors that are associated with neurodevelopment
or cognition and could be related to fluoride exposure. Covariates that were considered key for
all studies, populations, and outcomes included age, sex, and socioeconomic status (e.g.,
maternal education, household income, marital status, crowding). Additional covariates
considered important for this evaluation, depending on the study population and outcome,
included race/ethnicity; maternal demographics (e.g., maternal age, body mass index [BMI]);
parental behavioral and mental health disorders (e.g., attention deficit hyperactivity disorder
[ADHD], depression); smoking (e.g., maternal smoking status, secondhand tobacco smoke
exposure); reproductive factors (e.g., parity); nutrition (e.g., BMI, growth, anemia); iodine
deficiency/excess; minerals and other chemicals in water associated with neurotoxicity (e.g.,
arsenic, lead); maternal and paternal IQ; and quantity and quality of caregiving environment
15
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Exposure
Fluoride ion is rapidly absorbed from the gastrointestinal tract and is rapidly cleared from serum
by distribution into calcified tissues and urinary excretion (IPCS 2002). There is general
consensus that the best measures of long-term fluoride exposure are bone and/or tooth
measurements, and other than measures of dental fluorosis, these were not performed in any of
the studies reviewed in this document. Prolonged residence in an area with a given fluoride
content in drinking water has been considered in many studies as a proxy for long-term exposure.
Exposure was assessed using a variety of methods in the human body of evidence. Studies
provided varying levels of details on the methods used and employed different exposure
characterization methods to group study subjects into exposed and reference groups. Exposure
metrics included spot urine (from children or mothers during at least one trimester of gestation),
serum, individual drinking water, intake from infant formula, estimated total exposure dose,
municipal drinking water (with residence information), evidence of dental or skeletal fluorosis,
area of residence (endemic versus a non-endemic fluorosis area, with or without individual
validation of exposure), burning coal (with or without fluoride), and occupation type.
Urinary fluoride levels measured during pregnancy and in children include all ingested fluoride
and are considered a valid measure to estimate total fluoride exposure (Villa et al. 2010;
Watanabe et al. 1995); however, the type and timing of urinary sample collection are important
to consider. Urinary fluoride is thought to reflect recent exposure but can be influenced by the
timing of exposure (e.g., when water was last consumed, when teeth were last brushed). When
compared with 24-hour urine samples, spot urine samples are more prone to the influence of
timing of exposure and can also be affected by differences in dilution; however, many studies
attempted to account for dilution either by using urinary creatinine or specific gravity. Good
correlations between 24-hour samples and urinary fluoride concentrations from spot samples
adjusted for urinary dilution have been described (Zohouri et al. 2006). Despite potential issues
with spot urine samples, if authors made appropriate efforts to reduce the concern for bias (e.g.,
accounting for dilution), studies that used this metric were generally considered to have probably
low risk of bias for exposure.
16
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Analytical methods to measure fluoride in biological or water samples also varied, some of
which included atomic absorption, ion-selective electrode methods, colorimetric methods, or the
hexamethyldisiloxane microdiffusion method. “Well-established” methods denote accepted
methods for measuring fluoride levels. As noted in the protocol
(https://ntp.niehs.nih.gov/go/785076), the preferred analytical method is the ion selective
electrode method. However, use of other standard methods such as NIOSH Method 8308 or
other governmental standard methods were considered well established. Any study noting that
they used these methods was rated probably low risk of bias for exposure. In order to be rated
definitely low risk of bias for exposure, a study also had to provide a detailed description of QC
procedures (i.e., direct evidence) that were followed, including such things as use of recovery
rates, blanks, or reference standards.
Individual-level measures of exposure were generally considered more accurate than group-level
measures; however, using group-level measures (e.g., endemic versus non-endemic area) in an
analysis was less of a concern if the study provided water or urinary fluoride levels from some
individuals to verify that there were differences in the fluoride exposure between groups. Studies
that provided results by area and also reported individual urinary or serum fluoride
concentrations or other biochemical measures, including dental fluorosis in the children or
urinary levels in mothers during pregnancy, were considered to have probably low risk of bias.
Ideally, these studies would still need to consider and adjust for area-level clustering; however,
these concerns are captured in evaluations of other potential threats to internal validity.
Outcome
Studies included in this evaluation used a wide variety of methods to measure IQ and other
cognitive effects. Measures of IQ were generally standardized tests of IQ; however, for these
standardized methods to be considered low potential for bias, they needed to be conducted in the
appropriate population or modified for the study population. Because results of many of the tests
to measure neurodevelopment and cognitive function can be subjective, it was important that the
outcome assessors were blind to the fluoride exposure when evaluating the results of the tests. If
the study reported that the assessor was blind to the exposure, this was assumed to mean that the
outcome assessor did not have any knowledge of the exposure, including whether the study
subjects were from high-fluoride communities. If cross-sectional studies collected biomarker
measurements at the time of an IQ assessment, this was considered indirect evidence that the
outcome assessor would not have knowledge of the fluoride exposure unless there was also
potential for the outcome assessor to have knowledge of varying levels of fluoride by study area.
In cases wherein the study did not specify that the outcome assessors were blind, the study
authors were contacted and asked whether the outcome assessors were, in fact, blind to exposure.
When authors responded and indicated that outcome assessors were blind to exposure or that it
was not likely that they would have had knowledge of exposure, this was considered direct or
indirect evidence, respectively, that blinding was not a concern for those studies.
Any discrepancies in ratings between assessors were resolved by a senior technical specialist and
through discussion when necessary to reach the final recorded risk-of-bias rating for each
question along with a statement of the basis for that rating. Members of the evaluation team were
consulted for assistance if additional expertise was necessary to reach final risk-of-bias ratings
based on specific aspects of study design or performance reported for individual studies. Study
procedures that were not reported were assumed not to have been conducted, resulting in an
17
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
assessment of “probably high” risk of bias. Authors were queried by email to obtain missing
information, and responses received were used to update risk-of-bias ratings.
18
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Human Controlled
Case Report/Case
Cross-sectionale
Experimental
Case-controld
Animala
Cohortc
Trialsb
Seriesf
Risk-of-bias Questions
followed over time to ascertain disease incidence. Longitudinal cohort studies permit repeated observation of subject characteristics and outcome over time (Caruana et al. 2015).
Although cohort studies may include longitudinal analyses, it is not a prerequisite of the cohort study design.
dCase-control studies are observational studies in humans that compare exposures of individuals who have a specific health effect or disease with exposures of controls who do not
have the health effect or disease. Controls generally come from the same population from which the cases were derived.
eCross-sectional studies are observational studies in humans that examine the relationship between exposures and outcomes or health effects assessed contemporaneously. Cross-
sectional studies include population surveys with individual data (e.g., NHANES) and surveys with aggregate data (i.e., ecological studies).
fA case report (or case study) is a descriptive study of a single individual or small group in which the study of an association between an observed effect and a specific
environmental exposure is based on clinical evaluations and histories of the individual(s). A case series study in environmental epidemiology is designed to share health-related
events on a collection of case reports on subjects with the same or similar health outcome(s) and environmental exposure(s).
19
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Answers to the risk-of-bias questions result in one of the following four risk-of-bias ratings:
20
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
association with this systematic review further informs this issue (DTT Meta-analysis, Taylor et
al. 2024, in press). 13
The NTP authors of this monograph conducted a companion systematic review and meta-analysis of fluoride
13
exposure and children’s IQ. Reference to this meta-analysis is cited in this monograph as “(DTT Meta-analysis,
Taylor et al. 2024, in press).”
21
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
22
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
addition to the one associated with this systematic review (DTT Meta-analysis,
Taylor et al. 2024, in press) that can be used to address publication bias.
23
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Confidence ratings were assessed by the evaluation team for accuracy and consistency, and
discrepancies were resolved by consensus and consultation with technical advisors as needed.
Confidence ratings for the primary outcomes are summarized in evidence profile tables for each
outcome.
24
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Results
Literature Search Results
The electronic database searches retrieved 25,450 unique references with 11 additional
references 14 identified by technical advisors or obtained by manually searching the Fluoride
Action Network website or reviewing reference lists of published reviews and other included
studies. During title and abstract screening, 1,036 references were moved to full-text review and
24,425 were excluded (11,402 by manual screening for not satisfying the PECO criteria and
13,023 based on the SWIFT-Active Screener algorithm). Among the 1,036 references that
underwent full-text review, 547 studies were considered PECO-relevant (see Appendix C for list
of included studies). A few studies assessed data for more than one evidence stream (human,
non-human mammal, and/or in vitro), and several studies assessed more than one type of
outcome (e.g., primary and secondary outcomes). Included studies break down as follows:
• 167 human studies (84 primary only; 13 secondary only; 5 primary and secondary; 8
primary and thyroid; 2 secondary and thyroid; and 55 thyroid only);
• 339 non-human mammal studies (7 primary only; 186 secondary only; 67 primary
and secondary; 6 primary, secondary, and thyroid; 4 secondary and thyroid; and 69
thyroid only); and,
• 60 in vitro/mechanistic studies (48 neurological and 12 thyroid).
Additional details on the screening results are provided in Appendix C. These screening results
are outlined in a study selection diagram that reports numbers of studies excluded at each stage
and documents the reason for exclusion at the full-text review stage (see Figure 2) [using
reporting practices outlined in Page et al. (2021)].
14
These 11 studies (9 human and 2 animal studies) were not identified through the electronic database searches, as
they were not indexed in any of the electronic databases searched. Note that the supplemental search of non-English-
language databases was designed in part to identify non-English-language studies that are not indexed in traditional
bibliographic databases such as PubMed. It was successful in this goal, as multiple studies that were initially only
identified through “other sources” were subsequently captured in the supplemental Chinese database search, leaving
only 11 as identified through other sources. Note that omission of these 11 studies would not impact any confidence
conclusions for this systematic review.
25
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
15
Some studies are included in more than one endpoint category (e.g., IQ and other cognitive developmental effects);
therefore, these counts are not mutually exclusive.
26
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Because the majority of studies evaluated intelligence, the following section focuses on IQ in
children followed by separate discussions on other measures of cognitive function and
neurobehavioral effects in children and cognitive effects in adults. There were three studies
identified on the association of fluoride and cognitive neurodevelopment of children or adults in
exposed populations in the United States, but none of them assessed IQ (Malin and Till 2015;
Morgan et al. 1998; Rotton et al. 1982). Studies that evaluated mechanistic data in humans,
including effects on the thyroid, are discussed in the Mechanistic Data in Humans section. Note
that a few studies were identified on congenital neurological malformations and neurological
complications of fluorosis; however, they are not considered further due to the limited number of
studies and the heterogeneity of outcomes evaluated in those studies.
IQ in Children
Seventy-two epidemiological studies were identified that evaluated the association between
estimated fluoride exposure and children’s IQ. Nineteen of the 72 IQ studies were determined to
have low potential for bias (i.e., were of high quality). Looking across the literature, there has
been a progression over the years in the quality of studies conducted to assess the association
between fluoride exposure and IQ in children, with more recent studies including better study
27
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
designs, more precise estimates of fluoride exposure, larger sample sizes, and more sophisticated
statistical analysis. Older studies often had limitations related to study design or methods, and
most of the high risk-of-bias studies (i.e., studies of low quality) were published prior to the 2006
NRC evaluation of fluoride in drinking water. In contrast, 18 of the low risk-of-bias studies were
published after the 2006 NRC evaluation of fluoride in drinking water, and over half of those
were published between 2015 and 2020 (Figure 4).
Figure 4. Number of High- and Low-quality Studies of Fluoride Exposure and IQ in Children by
Year of Publication
Several characteristics of recent studies contribute to higher study quality in the overall body of
literature on children’s IQ and fluoride, including:
• Demonstration that exposure occurred prior to outcome assessment (an important
factor when considering confidence in study results; see Figure 1) either by study
design (e.g., for prospective cohort studies) or analysis (e.g., prevalence of dental
fluorosis in children, limiting study populations to children who lived in the same
area for long periods of time).
• Improved reporting of key study details that are necessary to evaluate study quality
and allow for a more precise analysis of risk of bias.
• Increased consideration of key covariates (e.g., socioeconomic status) including
potential co-exposures (e.g., arsenic or lead intake).
• Increased use of individual-level exposure assessment measures (urine or water) as
well as prenatal fluoride exposure to assess either individual-level fluoride exposure
or—if still using group-level data—to confirm that regions being compared had
differences in fluoride exposure.
• Utilization of more sophisticated sampling techniques for the study populations (e.g.,
stratified multistage random sampling).
• Application of more sophisticated regression approaches (e.g., piecewise linear
regression models, multi-level regression with random effects, or generalized additive
models for longitudinal measurements of fluoride).
28
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure 5. Number of Studies of Fluoride Exposure and IQ in Children by Country and Year of
Publication
All available studies were considered in this evaluation; however, review of the body of evidence
focused on the high-quality, low risk-of-bias studies for two main reasons. First, there are fewer
limitations and greater confidence in the results of the high-quality studies. Second, there are a
relatively large number of high-quality studies (n = 19), such that the body of evidence from
these studies could be used to evaluate confidence in the association between fluoride exposure
and changes in children’s IQ. Therefore, the remainder of the discussion on IQ in children
focuses on the 19 studies with low risk of bias. The high risk-of-bias studies are discussed briefly
relative to their overall support of findings from the low risk-of-bias studies.
Overview of Studies
Nineteen studies (3 prospective cohort and 16 cross-sectional studies) with low potential for bias
evaluated the association between estimated fluoride exposure and IQ in children (see Quality
Assessment of Individual Studies section for methods on determining which studies pose low
risk of bias). These IQ studies were conducted in 15 study populations across 5 countries and
29
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
included more than 7,000 children. Specifically, of the 19 low risk-of-bias studies of IQ in
children:
• ten were conducted in four areas of China on seven study populations, 16
• three were conducted in three areas of Mexico on three study populations,
• two were conducted in Canada using the same study population,
• three were conducted in three areas of India on three study populations, and
• one was conducted in Iran.
Most studies measured fluoride in drinking water (n = 15) and/or urine (child or maternal)
(n = 15). Two studies measured fluoride in serum. The IQ studies used a variety of tests to
measure IQ. Because IQ tests should be culturally relevant, the tests used often differed between
studies, reflecting adjustments for the range in populations studied (e.g., western vs. Asian
populations). In some cases, different IQ tests were used to study similar populations. Overall,
these studies used IQ tests that were population- and age-appropriate.
Table 6 provides a summary of study characteristics and key IQ and fluoride findings for the 19
low risk-of-bias studies (organized by country and then by year 17). Several of these studies
conducted multiple analyses and reported results on multiple endpoints. The purpose of the table
is to summarize key findings (independent of whether an association is indicated) from each
study and is not meant to be a comprehensive summary of all results from each study. For each
study, results are summarized for each exposure measure assessed, but results from multiple
analyses using the same exposure assessment measure may not be presented for all studies unless
multiple analyses yielded conflicting results. See Appendix E for additional information on each
study in Table 6, including strengths and limitations, clarifications for why studies are
considered to pose low risk of bias, and information regarding statistical analyses, important
covariates, exposure assessment, and outcome assessment.
16
In this document, “study population” refers to a defined population on which an original body of research was
conducted. The published work drawn from that original body of research is often referred to as a “study.” IQ
studies that report on the same study populations are identified in Table 6.
17
Note: Several ways to organize Table 6 were considered, including grouping studies using fluoride concentrations
in “low” and “high” areas together to illustrate the change in IQ scores, as well as grouping studies by IQ test. While
an association is consistently observed when comparing low to high fluoride areas, comparing changes in IQ scores
across these studies is challenging due to the variability in the exposure levels that are considered “low” and “high.”
There are no consistent definitions of “low” and “high” that apply across all cases, and therefore this organizational
structure for Table 6 was not considered an effective presentation of the data. Regarding grouping studies by IQ test,
as the Raven’s tests were almost exclusively conducted in China, India, and Iran, the current organization by
country, to a large extent, also organizes the studies by IQ test. Therefore, we find the current structure most
accommodating for focusing on results by IQ test and most clear and appropriate for providing a quick summary of
study characteristics and key findings per study.
30
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Ding et al. Cross-sectional Children’s urine Children IQ: Combined Significant inverse association between
(2011) Inner Mongolia Range: 0.1–3.55 mg/L (ages 7–14 Raven’s Test for urinary fluoride and IQ score (each 1-mg/L
(Hulunbuir years) Rural China increase was associated with a decrease in IQ
Drinking water (reported but not score of 0.59 points; 95% CI: −1.09, −0.08)
City)/elementary school used in analyses)
children Adjusted for age
[331] Mean (SD): 1.31 (1.05) mg/L
Xiang et al. Cross-sectional Children’s serum Children IQ: Combined Significant linear trend across quartiles of
(2011)d Wamiao and Xinhuai Mean (SD): 0.041 (0.009) (ages 8–13 Raven’s Test for serum fluoride and children’s IQ score <80
villages (Sihong (control), 0.081 (0.019) (high years) Rural China (adjusted ORs for Q1 and Q2; Q1 and Q3;
County)/school children fluoride) mg/L and Q1 and Q4, respectively: 1; 2.22 [95%
[512] CI: 1.42, 3.47]; and 2.48 [95% CI: 1.85,
3.32]); significant associations at ≥0.05 mg/L
serum fluoride
Adjusted for age and sex
31
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Study Design
Exposure Assessment Measures Assessment Outcome and
Study (Location/Subjects) Summary of IQ Resultsb,c
and Summary Statistics Timing Methods
[n]
Wang et al. Cross-sectional Children’s total fluoride intake Children IQ: Combined Significantly lower mean IQ in the endemic
(2012)d Wamiao and Xinhuai Mean (SD): 0.78 (0.13) (control), (ages 8–13 Raven’s Test for versus non-endemic regions, as reported in
villages (Sihong 3.05 (0.99) (high fluoride) mg/day years) Rural China Xiang et al. (2003a); when high-exposure
County)/school children group was broken into four exposure groups
Village of residence (non-endemic based on fluoride intake, a dose-dependent
[526] vs. endemic fluorosis) decrease in IQ and increase in % with low IQ
Drinking water (reported for observed; significant correlation between
villages but not used in analyses) total fluoride intake and IQ (r = −0.332); for
Mean (SD): 0.36 (0.11) (control), IQ <80, adjusted OR of total fluoride intake
2.45 (0.80) (high fluoride) mg/L per 1-mg/(person/day) was 1.106 (95% CI:
1.052, 1.163)
Adjusted for age and sex
Choi et al. Cross-sectional Drinking water Children IQ: WISC-IV Compared to normal/questionable fluorosis,
(2015) Mianning County/1st GM: 2.20 mg/L (ages 6–8 (block design presence of moderate/severe fluorosis
grade children years) and digit span) significantly associated with lower total
Children’s urine (adjusted β = −4.28; 95% CI: −8.22, −0.33)
[51]
GM: 1.64 mg/L and backward (adjusted β = −2.13; 95% CI:
Severity of fluorosis (Dean Index) −4.24, −0.02) digit span scores; linear
associations between total digit span and log-
transformed urinary fluoride (adjusted
β = −1.67; 95% CI: −5.46, 2.12) and log-
transformed drinking water fluoride (adjusted
β = −1.39; 95% CI: −6.76, 3.98) observed but
not significant; forward digit span had similar
results as backward and total but was not
statistically significant; block design (square
root transformed) not significantly associated
with any measure of fluoride exposure
Adjusted for age and sex, parity, illness
before 3 years old, household income last
year, and caretaker’s age and education
32
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Study Design
Exposure Assessment Measures Assessment Outcome and
Study (Location/Subjects) Summary of IQ Resultsb,c
and Summary Statistics Timing Methods
[n]
Zhang et al. Cross-sectional Drinking water Children IQ: Combined Significant correlation between IQ score and
(2015b) Tianjin City (Jinnan Mean: 0.63 (control), 1.40 (ages 10–12 Raven’s Test for children’s serum fluoride (r = −0.47) and
District)/school children (endemic fluorosis) mg/L (SD not years) Rural China urinary fluoride (r = −0.45); significant
[180] reported) difference in mean IQ score for high-fluoride
area (defined as >1 mg/L in drinking water;
Children’s urine 102.33 ± 13.46) compared with control area
Mean (SD): 1.1 (0.67) (control), (109.42 ± 13.30); % of subjects with IQ <90
2.4 (1.01) (endemic fluorosis) significantly increased in high-fluoride area
mg/L (28.7%) vs. low-fluoride area (8.33%); not
Children’s serum significantly correlated with water fluoride
Mean (SD): 0.06 (0.03) (control), Adjusted for age and sex, if applicable
0.18 (0.11) (endemic fluorosis)
mg/L
Cui et al. Cross-sectional Children’s urine Children IQ: Combined Significant inverse association between IQ
(2018) Tianjin City (districts Median (Q1–Q3): 1.3 (0.9–1.7) (ages 7–12 Raven’s Test for score and log-transformed urinary fluoride
Jinghai and mg/L (boys), 1.2 (0.9–1.6) mg/L years) Rural China (adjusted β = −2.47; 95% CI: −4.93, −0.01)
Dagang)/school (girls) Adjusted for age, mother’s education, family
children member smoking, stress, and anger
[323]
33
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Study Design
Exposure Assessment Measures Assessment Outcome and
Study (Location/Subjects) Summary of IQ Resultsb,c
and Summary Statistics Timing Methods
[n]
Yu et al. Cross-sectional Drinking water Children IQ: Combined Significant difference in mean IQ scores in
(2018)e,f Tianjin City (7 Mean (SD): 0.50 (0.27) (normal), (ages 7–13 Raven’s Test for high water fluoride areas (>1.0 mg/L;
towns)/children 2.00 (0.75) (high) mg/L years) Rural China 106.4 ± 12.3 IQ) compared to the normal
[2,886] water fluoride areas (≤1.0 mg/L;
Children’s urine 107.4 ± 13.0); distribution of the IQ scores
Mean (SD): 0.41 (0.49) (normal), also significantly different (p = 0.003); every
1.37 (1.08) (high) mg/L 0.5-mg/L increase in water fluoride was
associated with a decrease of 4.29 in IQ score
(95% CI: −8.09, −0.48) when exposure was
between 3.40 and 3.90 mg/L; no significant
association between 0.2 and 3.40 mg/L; every
0.5-mg/L increase in urinary fluoride was
associated with a decrease of 2.67 in IQ score
(95% CI: −4.67, −0.68) between 1.60 and
2.50 mg/L but not at levels of 0.01–
1.60 mg/L or 2.50–5.54 mg/L.
Adjusted for age and sex, maternal education,
paternal education, and low birth weight
Cui et al. Cross-sectional Children’s urine Children IQ: Combined Decreasing mean (± SD) IQ score with
(2020) Tianjin City (all <1.6–≥2.5 mg/L (ages 7–12 Raven’s Test increasing urinary fluoride levels (statistical
districts)/school years) significance not reached based on a one-way
children (potentially ANOVA)
some overlap with Cui <1.6 mg/L: 112.16 ± 11.50
et al. (2018)) 1.6–2.5 mg/L: 112.05 ± 12.01
[498]
≥2.5 mg/L: 110 ± 14.92
No statistical adjustment for covariates
34
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Study Design
Exposure Assessment Measures Assessment Outcome and
Study (Location/Subjects) Summary of IQ Resultsb,c
and Summary Statistics Timing Methods
[n]
Wang et al. Cross-sectional Drinking water Children IQ: Combined Significant inverse associations between IQ
(2020b)e Tianjin City (villages Mean (SD): 1.39 (1.01) mg/L (ages 7–13 Raven’s Test for and water and urinary fluoride concentrations
not specified)/school years) Rural China in boys and girls combined based on both
Children’s urine quartiles and continuous measures (water:
children
[571] Mean (SD): 1.28 (1.30) mg/L 1.587 decrease in IQ score per 1-mg/L
increase; urine: 1.214 decrease in IQ score
per 1-mg/L increase); no significant effect
modification of sex
Adjusted for age and sex, BMI, maternal
education, paternal education, household
income, and low birth weight
Mexico
Rocha- Cross-sectional Drinking water Children IQ: WISC- Significant inverse associations between log-
Amador et al. Moctezuma and Salitral Mean (SD): 0.8 (1.4), 5.3 (0.9), 9.4 (ages 6–10 Revised Mexican transformed fluoride and IQ scores (full-scale
(2007) in San Luis Potosi State (0.9) mg/L (3 rural areas) years) Version IQ adjusted βs of −10.2 [water] and −16.9
and 5 de Febrero of [urine]; CIs not reported); arsenic also
Children’s urine present, but the association with arsenic was
Durango State
/elementary school Mean (SD): 1.8 (1.5), 6.0 (1.6), 5.5 smaller (full-scale IQ adjusted βs of −6.15
children (3.3) mg/L (3 rural areas) [water] and −5.72 [urine]; CIs not reported)
[132] Adjusted for blood lead, mother’s education,
SES, height-for-age z-scores, and transferrin
saturation
35
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Study Design
Exposure Assessment Measures Assessment Outcome and
Study (Location/Subjects) Summary of IQ Resultsb,c
and Summary Statistics Timing Methods
[n]
Bashash et al. Cohort (prospective) Maternal urine during pregnancy Children IQ: WASI- Significantly lower child IQ score per 0.5-
(2017) Mexico City/Early Life Mean (SD): 0.90 (0.35) mg/L (ages 6–12 Spanish Version mg/L increase in maternal urinary fluoride
Exposures in Mexico to Children’s urine years) (adjusted β = −2.50; 95% CI: −4.12, −0.59);
Environmental no significant association with children’s
Toxicants (ELEMENT) Mean (SD): 0.82 (0.38) mg/L urine
participants [299] Adjusted for sex, gestational age; weight at
IQ analysis [211] birth; parity (being the first child); age at
outcome measurement; and maternal
characteristics, including smoking history
(ever smoked during the pregnancy vs.
nonsmoker), marital status (married vs. not
married), age at delivery, education, IQ, and
cohort
Soto-Barreras Cross-sectional Children’s urine Children IQ: Raven’s No significant difference in urinary fluoride,
et al. (2019) Chihuahua/school Range: 0.11–2.10 mg/L (ages 9–10 Colored drinking water fluoride, fluoride exposure
children years) Progressive dose, or fluorosis index in subjects across
Drinking water Matrices different IQ grades
[161]
Range: 0.05–2.93 mg/L No statistical adjustment for covariates
Fluoride exposure dose (summary
statistics not reported)
Fluorosis index (summary statistics
not reported)
36
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Study Design
Exposure Assessment Measures Assessment Outcome and
Study (Location/Subjects) Summary of IQ Resultsb,c
and Summary Statistics Timing Methods
[n]
Canada
Green et al. Cohort (prospective) Maternal urine during pregnancy Children IQ: full-scale, Significantly lower full-scale IQ (adjusted
(2019)g 10 cities/Maternal- Mean (SD): 0.51 (0.36) mg/L (0.40 (ages 3–4 performance, and β = −4.49; 95% CI: −8.38, −0.60) and
Infant Research on [0.27] mg/L in non-fluoridated years) verbal using performance IQ (adjusted β = −4.63; 95% CI:
Environmental areas and 0.69 [0.42] mg/L in Wechsler −9.01, −0.25) per 1-mg/L increase in
Chemicals (MIREC) fluoridated areas) Preschool and maternal urinary fluoride in boys but not girls
[512] Primary Scale of (adjusted β = 2.40; 95% CI: −2.53, 7.33 and
Maternal fluoride intake during Intelligence, adjusted β = 4.51; 95% CI: −1.02, 10.05,
Non-fluoridated [238] pregnancy Third Edition respectively) or boys and girls combined
Fluoridated [162] Mean (SD): 0.54 (0.44) mg/day (WPPSI-III) (adjusted β = −1.95; 95% CI: −5.19, 1.28 and
Boys [248] (0.30 [0.26] and 0.93 adjusted β = −1.24; 95% CI: −4.88, 2.40,
[0.43] mg/day, respectively) respectively); significantly lower full-scale
Girls [264] IQ (adjusted β = −3.66; 95% CI: −7.16,
Drinking water
−0.15) per 1-mg increase in maternal fluoride
Mean (SD): 0.31 (0.23) mg/L (0.13 intake (no sex interaction); significantly
[0.06] and 0.59 [0.08] mg/L, lower full-scale IQ (adjusted β = −5.29; 95%
respectively) CI: −10.39, −0.19) per 1-mg/L increase in
water fluoride concentration (no sex
interaction); no significant associations
observed between measures of fluoride and
verbal IQ
Adjusted for sex, city, HOME score, maternal
education, race, and prenatal secondhand
smoke exposure
37
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Study Design
Exposure Assessment Measures Assessment Outcome and
Study (Location/Subjects) Summary of IQ Resultsb,c
and Summary Statistics Timing Methods
[n]
Till et al. Cohort (prospective) Drinking water Children IQ: full-scale, Drinking water
(2020)g 10 cities/ MIREC [398] Mean (SD) (ages 3–4 performance, and Breastfed infants: Lower (not significant)
years) verbal using full-scale IQ (adjusted β = −1.34, 95% CI:
Non-fluoridated [247] For breastfed infants: 0.13 Wechsler
(0.06) mg/L in non-fluoridated −5.04, 2.38) per 0.5-mg/L increase in water
Fluoridated [151] Preschool and fluoride concentration; significantly lower
areas and 0.58 (0.08) mg/L in Primary Scale of
Breastfed as infants fluoridated areas performance IQ (adjusted β = −6.19, 95% CI:
[200] Intelligence, −10.45, −1.94)
For formula-fed infants: 0.13 Third Edition
Formula-fed as infants (0.05) mg/day in non-fluoridated (WPPSI-III) Formula-fed infants: Significantly lower full-
[198] areas and 0.59 (0.07) mg/L in scale IQ (adjusted β = −4.40, 95% CI: −8.34,
fluoridated areas −0.46) per 0.5-mg/L increase in water
fluoride concentration; significantly lower
Infant fluoride intake performance IQ (adjusted β = −9.26, 95% CI:
Mean (SD) −13.77, −4.76)
For breastfed infants: 0.02 Infant fluoride intake
(0.02) mg/day in non-fluoridated Breastfed: No results reported
areas and 0.12 (0.07) mg/day in
fluoridated areas Formula-fed: Lower (not significant) full-
scale IQ (adjusted β = −2.69, 95% CI: −709,
For formula-fed infants: 0.08 3.21) per 0.5-mg/L increase in fluoride intake
(0.04) mg/day in non-fluoridated from formula; significantly lower
areas and 0.34 (0.12) mg/day in performance IQ (adjusted β = −8.76, 95% CI:
fluoridated areas −14.18, −3.34)
Maternal urine during pregnancy Maternal urine during pregnancy+
38
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Study Design
Exposure Assessment Measures Assessment Outcome and
Study (Location/Subjects) Summary of IQ Resultsb,c
and Summary Statistics Timing Methods
[n]
Mean (SD) Lower (not significant) full-scale IQ
Breastfed: 0.42 (0.28) mg/L in (adjusted β = −1.08, 95% CI: −1.54, 0.47) per
non-fluoridated areas and 0.70 0.5-mg/L increase in maternal urinary
(0.39) mg/L in fluoridated areas fluoride++; lower (not significant)
performance IQ (adjusted β = −1.31, 95% CI:
Formula-fed: 0.38 (0.27) mg/L in −3.63, 1.03)++
non-fluoridated areas and 0.64
(0.37) mg/L in fluoridated areas Lower (not significant) performance IQ
(adjusted β = −1.50, 95% CI: −3.41, 0.43) per
0.5-mg/L increase in maternal urinary
fluoride+++; significantly lower full-scale IQ
(adjusted β = −2.38, 95% CI: −4.62,
−0.27)+++
No association between verbal IQ scores and
any measure of fluoride exposure
+Maternal urinary fluoride analyzed as
covariate in the drinking water and infant
fluoride intake from formula models and not
in an individual model
++After additional adjustment for drinking
water and breastfeeding status
+++After additional adjustment for infant
fluoride intake from formula
All models adjusted for maternal education,
maternal race, age at IQ testing, sex, HOME
total score, and secondhand smoke status in
the child’s home (separate analysis also
adjusted for mother’s urinary fluoride)
39
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Study Design
Exposure Assessment Measures Assessment Outcome and
Study (Location/Subjects) Summary of IQ Resultsb,c
and Summary Statistics Timing Methods
[n]
India
Sudhir et al. Cross-sectional Drinking water Children IQ: Raven’s Significant increase in mean and distributions
(2009) Nalgonda District Level 1: <0.7 mg/L (ages 13–15 Standard of IQ grades (i.e., increase in proportion of
(Andhra years) Progressive children with intellectual impairment) with
Level 2: 0.7–1.2 mg/L Matrices increasing drinking water fluoride levels
Pradesh)/school
children Level 3: 1.3–4.0 mg/L No statistical adjustment for covariates
[1,000] Level 4: >4.0 mg/L
Saxena et al. Cross-sectional Drinking water Children (age IQ: Raven’s Significant correlations between IQ grade and
(2012) Madhya Pradesh/school ≥1.5 mg/L (high fluoride group) 12 years) Standard water (r = 0.534) and urinary (r = 0.542)
children Progressive fluoride levels; in adjusted analyses,
Children’s urine Matrices significant increase in mean IQ grade (i.e.,
[170]
Range: 1.7–8.4 mg/L increase in proportion of children with
intellectual impairment) with increasing
urinary fluoride; no significant differences in
the levels of urinary lead or arsenic in
children with the different water fluoride
exposure levels
Covariates included in the analysis were not
reported
Trivedi et al. Cross-sectional Mean (SE) Children IQ: questionnaire Significantly lower mean IQ score in high
(2012) Kachchh, Low-fluoride villages: drinking (ages 12–13 prepared by fluoride villages (92.53 ± 3.13) compared to
Gujarat/school children water: 0.84 (0.38) mg/L years) Professor JH the low-fluoride villages (97.17 ± 2.54);
(6th and 7th grades) Shah (97% differences significant for boys and girls
Children’s urine: 0.42 (0.23) mg/L reliability rating) combined, as well as separately
[84]
High fluoride villages: drinking No statistical adjustment for covariates
water: 2.3 (0.87) mg/L
Children’s urine: 2.69 (0.92) mg/L
40
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Study Design
Exposure Assessment Measures Assessment Outcome and
Study (Location/Subjects) Summary of IQ Resultsb,c
and Summary Statistics Timing Methods
[n]
Iran
Seraj et al. Cross-sectional Drinking water Children IQ: Raven’s Significant inverse association between water
(2012) Makoo/school children Mean (SD): 0.8 (0.3) (normal), 3.1 (ages 6–11 Colored fluoride and IQ score (adjusted β = −3.865
[293] (0.9) (medium), 5.2 (1.1) years) Progressive per 1-mg/L increase in water fluoride); CIs
(high) mg/L Matrices not reported); significantly higher mean IQ
score in normal area (97.77 ± 18.91)
compared with medium (89.03 ± 12.99) and
high (88.58 ± 16.01) areas
Adjusted for age, sex, child’s education level,
mother’s education level, father’s education
level, and fluorosis intensity
ANOVA = analysis of variance; GM = geometric mean; HOME = Home Observation Measurement of the Environment; IQ = intelligence quotient; Q1, Q3 = first and third
quartiles; SD = standard deviations; WASI = Wechsler Abbreviated Scale of Intelligence (Spanish version); WISC-IV = Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children-Revised (as
reported by Choi et al. 2015).
aIncludes low risk-of-bias studies.
bAssociations between IQ and fluoride levels were reported quantitatively, when possible. For studies with multiple analyses and results, the table summarizes key findings and is
not a comprehensive summary of all findings. Results also indicate when a study reported no association between IQ and fluoride, provided as a qualitative statement of no
association.
cSee Figure A-1 through Figure A-8 for additional study results.
dXiang et al. (2003a), Xiang et al. (2011), and Wang et al. (2012) are based on the same study population.
eYu et al. (2018) and Wang et al. (2020b) are based on the same study population.
fThree additional publications based on a subsample (i.e., 50–60 children) of the larger Yu et al. (2018) cohort were identified (Zhao et al. 2019; Zhao et al. 2020; Zhou et al.
2019); however, these publications focused on mechanistic considerations and are not included in the study totals for IQ because the main study by Yu et al. (2018) is considered a
better representation of the IQ results.
gGreen et al. (2019) and Till et al. (2020) are based on the same study population.
41
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Summary of Results
Overall Findings
The results from 18 of the 19 high-quality (low risk-of-bias) studies (3 prospective cohort studies
from 2 different study populations and 15 cross-sectional studies from 13 different study
populations) that evaluated IQ in children provide consistent evidence of an inverse association
between estimated fluoride exposure and IQ scores (see “Summary of IQ Results” in Table 6)
(Bashash et al. 2017; Choi et al. 2015; Cui et al. 2018; Ding et al. 2011; Green et al. 2019;
Rocha-Amador et al. 2007; Saxena et al. 2012; Seraj et al. 2012; Sudhir et al. 2009; Till et al.
2020; Trivedi et al. 2012; Wang et al. 2012; Wang et al. 2020b; Xiang et al. 2011; Xiang et al.
2003a; Yu et al. 2018; Zhang et al. 2015b). Only one study (Soto-Barreras et al. 2019) did not
observe an association between estimated fluoride exposure and IQ; however, results were not
provided in a manner that allowed for a direct comparison with other low risk-of-bias studies
(see Appendix E for details). A strength of the findings across 18 of 19 low risk-of-bias studies
was the consistent inverse association between estimated fluoride exposure and IQ scores across
studies of varying study designs, exposure assessment measures, and study populations. In
studies that analyzed the sexes separately (n = 5 studies with 2 studies reporting on the same
study population), consistent findings of an inverse association between estimated fluoride
exposures and children’s IQ were generally reported for both sexes. There is some indication of
differential susceptibility between sexes, but ultimately, due to too few high-quality studies that
analyzed exposure and outcome by sex separately and a lack of consistent findings that one sex
is more susceptible, it is unclear whether one sex is more susceptible to the effects of fluoride
exposure than the other. The body of evidence from the 19 low risk-of-bias studies is described
in further detail below. Prospective cohort studies are discussed first, as this study design can
establish a temporal relationship between exposure and outcome, which would contribute to
demonstrating causality and, therefore, providing the strongest evidence for an association
between fluoride exposure during development and IQ in children.
42
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
In the Early Life Exposures in Mexico to Environmental Toxicants cohort, Bashash et al. (2017)
observed a statistically significant inverse association (p-value = 0.01) between IQ scores in
children and prenatal fluoride exposure measured by maternal urinary fluoride (measured during
all three trimesters and included if at least one measurement was available). An increase of
0.5 mg/L of maternal urinary fluoride was associated with a 2.5-point decrease in IQ score [95%
CI: −4.12, −0.59] in boys and girls combined (see Figure A-8). This study also reported an
inverse association between IQ level and children’s urinary fluoride levels (single spot urine
sample); however, this specific result did not achieve statistical significance (a 0.5-mg/L increase
of child urinary fluoride was associated with a 0.89-point decrease in IQ score [95% CI: −2.63,
0.85]) (Bashash et al. 2017).
In the Maternal-Infant Research on Environmental Chemicals cohort, consisting of 10 cities in
Canada, Green et al. (2019) also reported inverse associations between IQ scores in children and
multiple assessment measures of prenatal fluoride exposure, including maternal urinary fluoride,
maternal fluoride intake, and water fluoride concentrations. Green et al. (2019) observed a
statistically significantly lower IQ for boys associated with maternal urinary fluoride averaged
across trimesters (4.49-point decrease in IQ score [95% CI: −8.38, −0.60; p-value = 0.02] per 1-
mg/L increase in maternal urinary fluoride); however, results were not significant in boys and
girls combined (1.95-point decrease in IQ [95% CI: −5.19, 1.28]) and were positive but not
significant in girls (2.40-point increase in IQ [95% CI: −2.53, 7.33]). Other measures of prenatal
exposure (maternal fluoride intake or water fluoride concentrations) were associated with lower
IQ scores in boys and girls combined; the authors found no significant effect measure
modification between child sex and estimated fluoride exposure in these analyses so they did not
report boys and girls separately (Green et al. 2019). Specifically, when evaluating the association
between estimated maternal fluoride intake based on maternal water and beverage consumption
during pregnancy and IQ in children, a 1-mg increase in daily maternal consumption of fluoride
during pregnancy was associated with a significant decrease in IQ score of 3.66 points in boys
and girls combined (95% CI: −7.16, −0.15; p-value = 0.04). Similarly, based on drinking water
concentrations, a 1-mg/L increase of fluoride in drinking water was associated with a significant
5.29-point decrease in IQ score in both boys and girls combined (95% CI: −10.39, −0.19; p-value
<0.05) (Green et al. 2019).
In a study of the same study population as Green et al. (2019) that used fluoride intake from
formula or water concentrations in formula-fed versus breastfed infants, Till et al. (2020)
observed significant inverse associations between performance IQ scores and estimated fluoride
exposures regardless of the comparison used (p-values ≤0.004). They did not observe any
association with verbal IQ, and full-scale IQ was only significantly lower in formula-fed infants
using water fluoride concentrations as the exposure assessment measure (p-value = 0.03).
Breastfed infants and fluoride intake from formula also showed inverse associations but were not
significant.
Taken together, the three prospective cohort studies (based on two North American study
populations) indicate consistency in results across different types of analysis and across two
study populations of an inverse association between estimated fluoride exposure during
development and IQ scores.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
44
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
assessment measures (drinking water, children’s urine, and severity of fluorosis) and digit span
measures (subtest of the WISC-IV omnibus IQ test); however, results were only statistically
significant when fluoride exposure was based on moderate or severe dental fluorosis in children
(see Figure A-7). Choi et al. (2015) also observed some variation in results by outcome assessed
(i.e., square root transformed block design and digit span [forward, backward, and total]). It was
the only cross-sectional study that did not provide a full IQ score but instead provided results by
specific subtests. The study authors consistently observed an inverse association between
estimated fluoride exposure and results from the digit span subtest (which specifically assesses
executive function); however, results from the block design (square root transformed), a subtest
of the WISC-IV omnibus IQ test that specifically assesses visuospatial function, was not
associated with estimated fluoride exposure. Note that Rocha-Amador et al. (2009) also assessed
visuospatial function, and the authors reported a significant inverse association (p-value <0.001)
between estimated fluoride exposure and visuospatial constructional ability using the Rey-
Osterrieth Complex Figure (ROCF) Test. Ultimately, too few studies were identified that
reported results by subtest of omnibus IQ tests or assessed domains other than IQ (e.g.,
visuospatial function) to examine or explain the variation by outcome observed in Choi et al.
(2015). The only other studies that provided a breakdown of the full IQ score were the
prospective cohort studies by Green et al. (2019) and Till et al. (2020), which provided results
for full-scale IQ as well as results for performance and verbal IQ. In both of these studies, lower
verbal IQ was not associated with estimated fluoride exposure, but lower performance and full-
scale IQ were associated with estimated fluoride exposure. There are too few studies to evaluate
whether there is a specific aspect of IQ testing that is affected by exposure to fluoride, but the
studies nonetheless consistently provide evidence that estimated fluoride exposure is inversely
associated with IQ.
Yu et al. (2018) reported an overall inverse association between IQ and estimated fluoride
exposure across multiple analyses but observed some variation in IQ results by urinary exposure
level. The authors reported inverse associations between IQ and children’s medium- and high-
range urinary fluoride levels (1.60–2.50 mg/L and 2.50–5.54 mg/L, respectively), although
change in IQ score was greater in the medium-range group (2.67 points decrease [95% CI: −4.67,
−0.68]) for every 0.5-mg/L increase of urinary fluoride than in the high-range group (0.84 points
decrease [95% CI: −2.18, 0.50]) (see Figure A-7). No association was reported at low-range
urinary fluoride levels (0.01–1.60 mg/L). An inverse association was also observed between IQ
and drinking water fluoride levels at 3.40–3.90 mg/L (4.29-point decrease in IQ score [95% CI:
−8.09, −0.48]) for every 0.5-mg/L increase in water fluoride). No association was reported
between IQ and drinking water fluoride levels at 0.20–3.40 mg/L (0.04-point decrease in IQ
score [95% CI: −0.33, 0.24] for every 0.5-mg/L increase in water fluoride). The variation by
exposure level in urine could not be verified in the analysis of drinking water exposures because
there were only two water exposure groups (low and high). In a second study (Wang et al.
2020b), authors conducted a categorical analysis using urinary fluoride quartiles with reported
betas per quartile. As observed in Yu et al. (2018), there were decreasing trends in IQ within
each quartile; however, unlike Yu et al. (2018), Wang et al. (2020b) observed a larger decrease
in IQ with each increasing urinary quartile and observed similar results using water fluoride
quartiles (Wang et al. 2020b). Note that Wang et al. (2020b) cannot be compared directly to Yu
et al. (2018) for evaluation at the higher exposure levels because the two studies do not use the
same categorical exposure ranges. Although additional studies may have looked at different
exposure levels, none of these studies provided results in the same manner as Yu et al. (2018)
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
and Wang et al. (2020b) (i.e., betas by exposure category). Instead, these other studies provided
an overall beta or mean IQ scores by exposure level. Despite the noted variations among these
studies, the overall results still consistently support an inverse association between estimated
fluoride exposure and IQ.
Two studies (Cui et al. 2018; Zhang et al. 2015b) observed inverse associations between IQ in
children and estimated exposure to fluoride, with variations in results in subpopulations of
children with different genetic variants (see Figure A-7). These were the only two studies that
considered genetic variants as a sub-analysis. Cui et al. (2018) observed a significant inverse
association between log-transformed children’s single spot urinary fluoride and IQ scores (2.47-
point decrease in IQ scores [95% CI: −4.93, −0.01; p-value = 0.049] per ln-mg/L increase in
urinary fluoride), and the association was strongest in subjects with a TT variant (compared with
children with a CC or CT variant) in the dopamine receptor D2 (DRD2) gene (12.31-point
decrease in IQ score [95% CI: −18.69, −5.94; p-value <0.001] per ln-mg/L increase in urinary
fluoride), which, according to the authors, probably resulted in a reduced D2 receptor density
(Cui et al. 2018). Similarly, Zhang et al. (2015b) observed a significant inverse association
between IQ scores and children’s single spot urinary fluoride (2.42-point decrease in IQ scores
[95% CI: −4.59, −0.24; p-value = 0.030] per 1-mg/L increase in urinary fluoride), and the
association was strongest in subjects with a val/val variant (compared with children who carried
the heterozygous or homozygous variant genotypes [met/val or met/met]) in the catechol-O-
methyltransferase (COMT) gene (9.67-point decrease in IQ score [95% CI: −16.80, −2.55; p-
value = 0.003] per 1-mg/L increase in urinary fluoride).
Overall, the cross-sectional studies consistently support a pattern of findings that estimated
fluoride exposure is inversely associated with IQ scores in children. Slight within-study
variations occur that may be associated with study variables such as IQ domains or subsets of IQ
tests in a few studies that conducted multiple analyses, but these variations are heterogenous and
cannot be further explored with the available studies. Despite these few variations, the overall
evidence of an inverse association with IQ is apparent.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Exposure Levels
As described in this section, there is evidence supporting the association between higher fluoride
exposure [e.g., as in approximations of exposure such as drinking water that approximates or
exceeds the WHO Guidelines for Drinking-water Quality of 1.5 mg/L of fluoride (WHO 2017)]
and lower IQ in children. However, there is less certainty in the evidence of an association in
populations with lower estimates of fluoride exposures. In the September 6, 2019, draft of this
monograph, NTP conducted a qualitative analysis of children’s IQ studies that 1) evaluated
lower fluoride exposures (<1.5 mg/L) in drinking water and/or urine and 2) provided information
to evaluate dose response (i.e., provided three or more fluoride exposure groups or a dose-
response curve in their publication) in the lower fluoride exposure range. Nine low risk-of-bias
studies met these criteria, which includes the three prospective cohort studies discussed in this
section. Based on the qualitative review of these studies, the evidence of an association between
fluoride exposure below 1.5 mg/L and lower IQ in children appeared less consistent than results
of studies at higher exposure levels.
A draft quantitative dose-response meta-analysis was prepared and included in the September 16,
2020, draft monograph (NTP 2020). This meta-analysis is now an updated, separate peer-
reviewed journal publication and may further inform a discussion on the association between
fluoride exposure levels and IQ in children (DTT Meta-analysis, Taylor et al. 2024, in press).
Sex Considerations
Recent literature suggests that adverse neurodevelopmental effects of early-life exposure to
fluoride may differ depending on timing of exposure and sex of the exposed subject. In a review
of the human and animal literature, Green et al. (2020) concluded that, compared with females,
male offspring appear to be more sensitive to prenatal but not postnatal exposure to fluoride,
with several potential sex-specific mechanisms.
Sex differences were examined in five of the low risk-of-bias studies (in four study populations)
(Green et al. 2019; Trivedi et al. 2012; Wang et al. 2012; Wang et al. 2020b; Xiang et al. 2003a).
In general, sex differences were difficult to assess for trends within different study populations
because few studies in the body of evidence analyzed exposure and stratified results by sex.
Although these five studies reported IQ scores separately for boys and girls, only two of these
studies analyzed fluoride exposure for boys and girls separately (Green et al. 2019; Wang et al.
2020b), which is essential for evaluating whether a differential change in IQ by sex may be
related to higher susceptibility in one sex or higher exposure in that sex. The remaining three
studies stratified results by sex (Trivedi et al. 2012; Wang et al. 2012; Xiang et al. 2003a), but
the analyses were based on area-level exposure data (e.g., low-fluoride village compared with
high fluoride village) and not drinking water or urinary fluoride concentrations. In the five
studies that reported results by sex separately, findings of IQ inversely associated with estimated
47
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
fluoride exposure were generally reported for both sexes. There was some variation in the results
between sexes across study populations and exposure assessment measures, but there is
insufficient evidence to determine whether one sex is more susceptible to the effects of fluoride
exposure than the other.
Green et al. (2019) observed a significant inverse association between maternal urinary fluoride
levels and IQ scores in boys (p-values ≤0.04) but not girls in a Canadian population. Green et al.
(2019) did not find any sex differences in the association between IQ and water fluoride
concentrations. Wang et al. (2020b) evaluated Chinese boys and girls separately and combined
and observed statistically significant decreasing trends in IQ in all groups by urinary fluoride
quartiles (p-values for trend ≤0.035) (see Figure A-7). Similarly, when evaluated as a continuous
variable, spot urinary fluoride levels (per 1-mg/L increase) were significantly associated with
lower IQ scores in girls (−1.379 [95% CI: −2.628, −0.129; p-value = 0.031]), boys (−1.037 [95%
CI: −2.040, −0.035; p-value = 0.043]), and in the sexes combined (−1.214 [95% CI: −1.987,
−0.442; p-value = 0.002]). According to water fluoride quartiles, Wang et al. (2020b) found that
there was a significant trend in the sexes combined, although the decreasing trend in boys and
girls separately did not achieve statistical significance (p-values = 0.077 and 0.055, respectively).
When water fluoride levels were evaluated as a continuous variable (per 1-mg/L increase), there
were significant associations with lower IQ scores in girls (−1.649 [95% CI: −3.201, −0.097]; p-
value = 0.037), boys (−1.422 [95% CI: −2.792, −0.053; p-value = 0.042]), and the sexes
combined (−1.587 [95% CI: −2.607, −0.568]; p-value = 0.002).
The remaining three studies that reported results by sex-based comparisons of areas of high and
low urinary or water fluoride did not report exposure levels separately for boys and girls, which
decreases the utility of the data to evaluate differential susceptibility by sex. Trivedi et al. (2012)
observed significantly lower IQ in children in high fluoride Indian villages compared with low-
fluoride villages with decreases observed in boys and girls separately or combined (p-values
≤0.05) (see Figure A-2). Xiang et al. (2003a) and Wang et al. (2012) provide data on the same
study population in China. There was a significantly lower IQ in the high fluoride area compared
with the low-fluoride area in boys and girls separately and in the sexes combined (p-values
<0.01), although the difference was greater in girls. Because fluoride exposure was not analyzed
for boys and girls separately, it is unclear whether the greater change in IQ scores in girls could
be attributed to higher susceptibility to fluoride exposure or differences in fluoride exposure by
sex.
In summary, it is unclear whether there is a stronger inverse association between fluoride
exposure and IQ in children in one sex over the other due to the limited number of studies that
analyzed exposure and outcome by sex and the lack of a consistent pattern of findings that one
sex is more susceptible. Green et al. (2019) did not observe an association between maternal
urinary fluoride levels and IQ scores in girls but did observe a significant inverse association in
boys. Although this is an indication of higher sensitivity in boys in this analysis, the authors did
not detect this sex difference using other measures of prenatal exposure (maternal fluoride intake
or water fluoride concentrations). Wang et al. (2020b) and Trivedi et al. (2012) reported
statistically significant associations in both boys and girls without indication that one sex may be
more susceptible. Although Xiang et al. (2003a) and Wang et al. (2012) reported a greater
change in IQ in girls than boys, the studies used area-level exposure data, and the authors did not
determine whether fluoride exposure differed in boys versus girls. Therefore, it is unclear
whether this differential result by sex is an indication of higher susceptibility in girls or whether
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
it could be explained by a difference in exposure by sex. Overall, there are too few studies that
analyzed exposure and outcome by sex separately to properly evaluate whether there is
differential susceptibility to fluoride exposure by sex, and results from the five low risk-of-bias
studies that do evaluate sex differences indicate that there is no consistent difference by sex
across the different study populations.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
three key covariates for all studies (i.e., age, sex, and socioeconomic status) through study design
or analysis. Other important covariates, including health factors, smoking, and parental
characteristics, were also addressed in many of the low risk-of-bias studies (see Figure 6).
Co-exposures to arsenic and lead were not considered a concern in 18 of 19 low risk-of-bias
studies [i.e., all except for Soto-Barreras et al. (2019)] because the studies addressed the potential
co-exposures, the co-exposures were not considered an issue in the study population, or the
impact of the potential bias on the results was not a concern. Fifteen of 19 low risk-of-bias
studies either addressed potential bias related to co-exposure to arsenic through study design or
analysis or co-exposure to arsenic was unlikely in the study area. All 15 studies observed an
inverse association between IQ and estimated fluoride exposure. Co-exposure to arsenic was not
accounted for in the remaining four low risk-of-bias studies and was the main potential concern
in these studies; however, three of these studies (Wang et al. 2012; Xiang et al. 2011; Xiang et al.
2003a) were still considered low risk of bias for confounding because although arsenic was
observed in the water in the low-fluoride (and not the high-fluoride) comparison areas, which
would bias the association toward the null, an association was still observed. In this case, the
lack of adjustment for arsenic strengthens the evidence for an association and does not represent
a potential concern. The other study did not address arsenic co-exposure and, as noted above,
was conducted in an area that had potential for arsenic exposure to occur (Soto-Barreras et al.
2019); it is also the only low risk-of-bias study that did not observe an association between IQ
and estimated fluoride exposure (see Appendix E for further discussion of the risk-of-bias
concern regarding arsenic for this study). Although Soto-Barreras et al. (2019) did not discuss
arsenic, there is no direct evidence that arsenic was present in the study area. Fourteen studies
accounted for co-exposure to lead through study design or analysis, and all observed an inverse
association between IQ and estimated fluoride exposure. Five studies did not consider co-
exposure to lead; however, for all of these studies, co-exposure to lead was considered unlikely
to have an impact in these study populations as there was no evidence that lead was prevalent or
occurring in relation to fluoride (Cui et al. 2020; Cui et al. 2018; Soto-Barreras et al. 2019; Till et
al. 2020; Trivedi et al. 2012).
There is considerable variation in the specific covariates considered across the 19 low risk-of-
bias studies. The consistency of results across these studies suggests that confounding is not a
concern in this body of evidence. Each of the 18 low risk-of-bias studies that observed an
association between fluoride and IQ (see Summary of Results section above) considered a
unique combination of covariates. The findings of these studies consistently provide evidence of
an inverse association between IQ in children and estimated exposure to fluoride regardless of
the inclusion or absence of consideration of any one or combination of covariates of interest. For
example, maternal or family member smoking was addressed in 7 of the 19 low risk-of-bias
studies, and this did not appear to affect the conclusions. All 7 studies that accounted for
smoking found evidence of an inverse association between estimated fluoride exposure and IQ
scores as did 11 of the 12 studies that did not account for smoking. Similarly, all 16 studies that
addressed the three key covariates (age, sex, SES) (16 of 16 studies) and two of the three studies
that did not fully account for them also found evidence of an inverse association between
estimated fluoride exposure and IQ scores. In summary, when considering the impact of each
covariate (or combinations of covariates) on the consistency of results, no trends are discernable
that would suggest that bias due to confounding has impacted or would explain the consistency
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
in findings across the body of evidence that estimated fluoride exposure is associated with IQ in
children.
Five of the low risk-of-bias studies confirmed the robustness of the results by conducting
sensitivity analyses (Bashash et al. 2017; Green et al. 2019; Till et al. 2020; Wang et al. 2020b;
Yu et al. 2018), and none of the sensitivity analyses adjusting for additional covariates found
meaningful shifts in the association between fluoride exposure and IQ or other measures of
cognitive function. Bashash et al. (2017) found that adjusting for HOME score increased the
association between maternal urinary fluoride and children’s IQ. Green et al. (2019) reported that
adjusting for lead, mercury, manganese, perfluorooctanoic acid, and arsenic concentrations did
not substantially alter the associations with IQ. Sensitivity analyses by Yu et al. (2018) that
adjusted for covariates (including age, sex, and socioeconomic status) did not find differences in
the results compared with the primary analyses. Wang et al. (2020b) found the results of the
sensitivity analysis to be the same as the results from the primary analysis. Till et al. (2020)
observed that adjusting for maternal urinary fluoride levels, as a way to consider postnatal
exposure, had little impact on the results.
Among the 19 low risk-of-bias studies, three were identified that have potential for bias due to
confounding (Cui et al. 2020; Ding et al. 2011; Soto-Barreras et al. 2019). This was mainly due
to a lack of details on covariates considered key for all studies (i.e., age, sex, and SES). See
Appendix E for further discussion of the risk-of-bias concerns regarding confounding for
individual studies. Although these three studies have some potential for bias due to confounding,
they are considered to be low risk of bias overall because they have low potential for bias for the
other two key risk-of-bias questions (exposure characterization and outcome assessment), and no
other major concerns for bias were identified. Consistent with the 16 studies that adequately
addressed confounding, two of these three studies also provide evidence of an inverse association
between estimated fluoride exposure and IQ scores in children.
Taken together and considering the consistency in the results despite the variability across
studies in which covariates were accounted for, bias due to confounding is not considered to be a
concern in the body of evidence. The potential for the consistency in results to be attributable to
bias due to confounding in the 19 low risk-of-bias studies is considered low.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
52
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
A √ indicates that a covariate was considered. Examples of what it means for a covariate to be “considered”: it was adjusted for in the final
model, it was considered in the model but not included in the final model because it did not change the effect estimate, it was reported to have the
same distribution in both the exposed and unexposed groups, it was reported to not be associated with the exposure or outcome in that specific
study population. For arsenic, a √ might also be used when arsenic was not expected to be an issue because there is no evidence to indicate that
the co-exposure was prevalent or occurring in relation to fluoride. See risk-of-bias explanations in Appendix E [or HAWC (NTP 2019) for
details. A hyphen (-) indicates that the factor was not considered.
c
See the “Notes” column for additional details.
d
Covariates considered measures of SES include SES scaled scores, household/family income, child education, caretaker/parental education, and
occupation/employment.
e
Extent of reported associations varies by study. “Yes” indicates that study authors provided evidence of an association between lower IQ scores
and fluoride exposure.
f
Study reported lower IQ scores with increasing fluoride exposure, but the results did not achieve statistical significance.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
measurements at all trimesters in their analysis. Other studies also measured urinary fluoride
multiple times throughout pregnancy (Bashash et al. 2017). Some studies demonstrated
correlations between urinary fluoride and fluoride in drinking water, fluorosis, or estimated dose
based on drinking water concentrations and consumption (Choi et al. 2015; Ding et al. 2011;
Green et al. 2019; Saxena et al. 2012; Yu et al. 2018; Zhang et al. 2015b). Till et al. (2018)
demonstrated that there was a linear association between urinary fluoride concentrations in
pregnant women and drinking water fluoride concentrations regardless of method used to correct
for urine dilution or whether adjustments were made for dilution. Bashash et al. (2017) excluded
exposure outliers and found that doing so did not substantively change the results. Taken
together, these studies suggest that urinary fluoride is a reasonable measure of exposure despite
some potential issues.
All but one low risk-of-bias study was rated probably or definitely low risk of bias for exposure
assessment. Seraj et al. (2012) had potential exposure misclassification and was rated probably
high risk of bias for exposure assessment. Villages were categorized as normal (0.5–1 ppm),
medium (3.1 ± 0.9 ppm), or high (5.2 ± 1.1 ppm) based on average fluoride content in drinking
water in varying seasons over a 12-year period. Mild fluorosis observed in children in the normal
fluoride level group indicates that there may have been higher exposure in this group at some
point in the past; however, this would bias the results toward the null, and the children in the
normal fluoride group had a significantly higher IQ score compared with the medium and high
fluoride groups (p-value = 0.001). There were also significant inverse associations between IQ
scores and fluorosis intensity (p-value = 0.014) and water fluoride concentration when evaluated
as a continuous variable (p-values <0.001). Although there is potential for exposure bias, the
apparent exposure misclassification and inclusion of children with higher fluoride exposure in
the normal group indicate that the association may be greater than what was observed in this
study.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
use of community water in a fluoridated area versus a non-fluoridated area, use of fluoride
toothpaste (never, sometimes, always), or use of fluoride tablets prior to age 5 (ever, never). The
same children were used for each analysis without accounting for fluoride exposure through
other sources. For example, there were 99 children included in the non-fluoridated area for the
community water evaluation, but there is no indication that these 99 children were not some of
the 139 children that had ever used supplemental fluoride tablets or the 634 children that had
always used fluoride toothpaste. Therefore, comparing fluoridated areas to non-fluoridated areas
without accounting for other sources of exposure that might occur in these non-fluoridated areas
would bias the results toward the null.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
starting with an initial confidence rating based on key study design features of the body of
evidence and then considering factors that may increase or decrease the confidence in that body
of evidence. The initial moderate confidence rating is based on 15 of the 19 low risk-of-bias
studies that have 3 of the 4 key study design features shown in Figure 1 (i.e., exposure occurred
prior to outcome, individual-based outcomes were evaluated, and a comparison group was used).
Three of these studies were prospective cohort studies, and 12 were cross-sectional studies that
provided evidence of long-term, chronic fluoride exposure prior to outcome measurement.
There are nine factors to consider for increasing or decreasing the confidence in the body of
evidence (provided in Figure 1). Discussion of each of these factors in the body of evidence on
fluoride exposure and IQ in children is presented below.
• Risk of bias: Only studies that were considered to have low risk of bias were
included in the moderate confidence rating; therefore, there was no downgrade for
risk-of-bias concerns.
• Unexplained inconsistencies: There was no evidence of unexplained inconsistencies
among the studies of children’s IQ; therefore, there was no downgrade for this factor.
Eighteen of the 19 low risk-of-bias studies reported inverse associations between
estimated fluoride exposure and IQ scores in children. Seventeen of these were
statistically significant inverse associations. The inverse association remained despite
the following: differences in study location and populations (studies were conducted
in 5 different countries on more than 7,000 children from 15 different study
populations), having different study design (prospective and cross-sectional), and
using different fluoride exposure assessment measures (including urinary and
drinking water fluoride). The one study that found an inverse association and did not
reach statistical significance compared three different urinary fluoride categories and
did observe an inverse exposure-response relationship (Cui et al. 2020). The one
study that did not observe an association did not provide results in a comparable
manner and therefore this body of evidence is not considered to have unexplained
inconsistencies (Soto-Barreras et al. 2019).
• Indirectness: IQ in humans is a direct measure of the association of interest;
therefore, no adjustment in confidence is warranted.
• Imprecision: There is no evidence of serious imprecision that would warrant a
downgrade. The eighteen low risk-of-bias studies reported statistically significant
inverse associations between IQ and estimated fluoride exposure, and narrow
confidence intervals or standard deviations lower than the mean effect estimates
(Table 6, Figure A-2 through Figure A-5). Sample sizes were large and there was no
evidence that the studies were inadequately powered. In addition, two previously
published meta-analyses (Choi et al. 2012; Duan et al. 2018) estimated statistically
significant effect estimates with narrow confidence intervals, and included data from
27 and 26 studies, respectively, showing the precision of the association between
fluoride exposure and IQ.
• Publication bias: There is no strong evidence of publication bias; therefore, no
downgrade was applied for publication bias. Two published meta-analyses (Choi et
al. 2012; Duan et al. 2018) did not indicate strong evidence of publication bias. The
draft meta-analysis conducted by the NTP authors in the September 16, 2020, draft
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
monograph found no publication bias among the low risk-of-bias studies (NTP 2020).
Among high risk-of-bias studies, adjusting for publication bias using the trim-and-fill
analysis estimated that, in the absence of publication bias, the inverse direction of
association and statistical significance remained, thus indicating that there was no
need to downgrade for publication bias.
• Large magnitude of effect size: Although some individual studies indicated a large
magnitude of effect size, the magnitude of effect was not the same across all studies.
Therefore, the overall data would not support an upgrade due to a large magnitude of
effect size.
• Dose response: Evidence of an exposure-response relationship that could justify an
upgrade to the confidence in the body of evidence is not presented in this monograph.
While the overall findings qualitatively appear less clear in the lower exposure range,
many of the studies that provide data to evaluate exposure response were judged to be
high risk of bias. The meta-analysis conducted in association with this systematic
review further informs this issue and is a separate peer-reviewed journal publication
(DTT Meta-analysis, Taylor et al. 2024, in press).
• Residual confounding: Xiang et al. (2003a), Xiang et al. (2011), and Wang et al.
(2012) studied the same population where arsenic occurred in the area with low
fluoride but did not occur in the area with high fluoride. This would have biased the
results toward the null, but there were significantly lower IQ scores in the area with
high fluoride. The remaining studies do not provide enough information to consider
whether residual confounding occurred for the body of evidence. Note that parental
IQ has the potential to be an important factor when considering residual confounding
based on likely correlations between parental IQ and children’s IQ; however, there is
not sufficient evidence that parental IQ is associated with water fluoride content.
Taken together, the overall data would not support an upgrade due to residual
confounding.
• Consistency: The consideration of a potential upgrade for consistency in the methods
is primarily for non-human animal evidence, where it would be applied to address
increased confidence for consistent effects across multiple non-human animal species.
For human evidence, it is generally not applied, and the data would only be
considered in deciding whether to downgrade for unexplained inconsistency.
Therefore, no upgrade is applied for consistency.
As described above, there are no changes in confidence rating based on any of the possible
upgrade or downgrade factors. The magnitude of effect size and the overall strength and quality
of the human literature base provide moderate confidence in the body of evidence that estimated
fluoride exposure is inversely associated with IQ in children (see the Discussion section for
strengths and limitations of the evidence base). Note that additional, well-designed prospective
cohort studies with individual-level exposure data and outcome measures could provide
increased confidence in the association between fluoride exposure and lower IQ in children.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Overview of Studies
Nine low risk-of-bias studies (three prospective cohort and six cross-sectional studies) evaluated
the association between fluoride exposure and cognitive neurodevelopmental effects other than
IQ in children. These nine studies were conducted in multiple study populations in three
countries, specifically:
• three were conducted in three areas of China on three study populations,
• four were conducted in two areas of Mexico on three study populations, and
• two were conducted in Canada using the same study population.
There is considerable heterogeneity across studies, particularly in the different health outcomes
evaluated and ages assessed. Most studies measured fluoride in the drinking water or urine (child
or maternal) with one study using severity of dental fluorosis as an exposure assessment measure
in addition to drinking water and children’s urine. Two of the studies were conducted on infants,
with one evaluating effects within 72 hours of birth (Li et al. 2004 [translated in Li et al. 2008a])
and the other evaluating effects at 3 to 15 months of age (Valdez Jiménez et al. 2017). The
remaining studies were conducted in children of varying ages, ranging from 4 to 17 years. Other
cognitive neurodevelopmental outcomes assessed include neurobehavioral effects in infants,
learning and memory impairment, and learning disabilities such as attention deficit hyperactivity
disorder (ADHD). Few studies measured the same health outcomes, used the same outcome
assessment methods, or evaluated the same age groups.
Table 7 provides a summary of study characteristics and key findings related to other cognitive
neurodevelopmental outcomes and fluoride exposure for the nine low risk-of-bias studies. The
different tests conducted and the populations on which the tests were conducted are also
indicated in Table 7. Several of these studies conducted multiple analyses and reported results on
multiple endpoints. The purpose of the table is to summarize key findings (independent of
whether an association was found) from each study and is not meant to be a comprehensive
summary of all results. For each study, results are summarized for each exposure assessment
measure assessed. Results from multiple analyses using the same exposure assessment measure
may not all be presented unless conflicting results were reported. See Appendix E for additional
information on studies in Table 7, including strengths and limitations, clarifications for why they
are considered to pose low risk of bias, and information regarding statistical analyses, covariates,
exposure assessment, and outcome assessment.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Exposure Assessment
Study Design
Study Measures and Assessment Timing Outcome and Methods Neurobehavioral Outcome Summaryb
(Location/Subjects) [n]
Summary Statistics
Mexico
Rocha-Amador et al. Cross-sectional Children’s urine Children (ages 6–11 Visuospatial organization Significant correlation between urinary
(2009) Durango/elementary school GM (SD): 5.6 years) and visual memory: Rey- fluoride and visuospatial organization
children (1.7) mg/L Osterrieth Complex Figure (r = −0.29) and visual memory scores
[80] Test, children’s version (r = −0.27); no significant correlation with
arsenic
Adjusted for age
Valdez Jiménez et al. Cohort (Prospective) Maternal urine Infants (ages 3–15 Mental development index Significant association between log10-mg/L
(2017) Durango City and Lagos de Range: 0.16–8.2 mg/L months) (MDI): Bayley Scales of maternal urinary fluoride and MDI score
Moreno/infants (all trimesters) Infant Development II during first trimester (adjusted β = −19.05;
[65] (BSDI-II) SE = 8.9) and second trimester (adjusted
Drinking water
Psychomotor developmental β = −19.34; SE = 7.46); no significant
Range: 0.5–12.5 mg/L index (PDI): Bayley Scales associations between maternal urinary
(all trimesters) of Infant Development II fluoride and PDI score; analyses of
(BSDI-II) outcomes using drinking water fluoride not
performed
Adjusted for age, gestational age,
marginality index, and type of drinking
water
Bashash et al. (2017)c Cohort (prospective) Maternal urine during Children (age 4 years) General cognitive index Significant association between maternal
Mexico City/Early Life pregnancy (GCI): McCarthy Scales of urinary fluoride and offspring GCI score
Exposures in Mexico to Mean (SD): 0.90 Children’s Abilities (MSCA) (per 0.5-mg/L increase adjusted β = −3.15;
Environmental Toxicants (0.35) mg/L 95% CI: −5.42, −0.87); associations with
(ELEMENT) participants [299] Children’s urine children’s urine not significant
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Exposure Assessment
Study Design
Study Measures and Assessment Timing Outcome and Methods Neurobehavioral Outcome Summaryb
(Location/Subjects) [n]
Summary Statistics
Bashash et al. (2018)c Cohort (prospective) Maternal urine during Children (ages 6–12 ADHD: Conners’ Rating Significant associations between maternal
Mexico City/Early Life pregnancy years) Scales-Revised (CRS-R) urinary fluoride (per 0.5-mg/L increase) and
Exposures in Mexico to Mean 0.85 (95% CI: CRS-R scores, including Cognitive
Environmental Toxicants 0.81, 0.90) mg/L Problems + Inattention Index (adjusted
(ELEMENT) participants β = 2.54; 95% CI: 0.44, 4.63), DSM-IV
[210] Inattention Index (adjusted β = 2.84; 95%
CI: 0.84, 4.84), DSM-IV ADHD Total
Index (adjusted β = 2.38; 95% CI: 0.42,
4.34), and ADHD Index (adjusted β = 2.47;
95% CI: 0.43, 4.50)
Adjusted for gestational age; birth weight;
sex; parity; age at outcome measurement;
and maternal characteristics, including
smoking history (ever smoked vs.
nonsmoker), marital status (married vs. not
married), education, socioeconomic status,
and cohort
Canada
Barberio et al. Cross-sectional Children’s urine Children (ages 3–12 Learning disability, ADHD Significant increase in adjusted OR for
(2017b)d General population/Canadian Mean Cycle 2: 32.06 years) (Cycle 2 only): Parent or learning disability (adjusted OR = 1.02;
Health Measures Survey (95% CI: 29.65, child self-report 95% CI: 1.00, 1.03) per 1-µmol/L increase
(Cycles 2 and 3) 34.46) µmol/L in unadjusted urinary fluoride when Cycle 2
[2,221] Mean Cycle 3: 26.17 and 3 were combined; no significant
(95% CI: 22.57, associations found between urinary fluoride
29.76) µmol/L and ADHD (only evaluated in Cycle 2); no
significant associations found when using
creatinine- or specific gravity-adjusted
urinary fluoride
Adjusted for age and sex, household income
adequacy, and highest attained education in
the household
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Exposure Assessment
Study Design
Study Measures and Assessment Timing Outcome and Methods Neurobehavioral Outcome Summaryb
(Location/Subjects) [n]
Summary Statistics
Riddell et al. (2019)d Cross-sectional Drinking water Children (ages 6–17 Hyperactivity/inattention: Significantly increased risk of ADHD with
General population/Canadian Mean (SD): 0.23 years) Strengths and Difficulties fluoride in tap water (adjusted OR = 6.10
Health Measures Survey (0.24) mg/L [non- Questionnaire (SDQ) per 1-mg/L increase; 95% CI: 1.60, 22.8) or
(Cycles 2 and 3) fluoridated water: 0.04 ADHD: parent or self- community water fluoridation status (1.21;
[3,745] (0.06) mg/L; fluoridated reported physician diagnosis 95% CI: 1.03, 1.42) but not with urinary
water: 0.49 (0.22)] fluoride; similar results observed with
attention symptoms based on the SDQ
Community water scores
fluoridation status (yes
or no) Adjusted for age and sex, child’s BMI,
ethnicity, parental education, household
Children’s urine income, blood lead, and smoking in the
Mean (SD): 0.61 home
(0.39) mg/L [non-
fluoridated water: 0.46
(0.32) mg/L; fluoridated
water: 0.82 (0.54)]
ADHD = attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder; BMI = body mass index; GCI = General Cognitive Index; GM = geometric mean; HOME = Home Observation Measurement of
the Environment; IQ = intelligence quotient; MSCA = McCarthy Scales of Children’s Abilities; SD = standard deviation; WASI = Wechsler Abbreviated Scale of Intelligence
(Spanish version); WISC-IV = Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children-Revised (as reported by Choi et al. 2015); WRAML = Wide Range Assessment of Memory and Learning;
WRAVMA = Wide Range Assessment of Visual Motor Ability.
aIncludes low risk-of-bias studies.
bAssociations between other cognitive neurodevelopmental outcomes in children and fluoride levels were reported quantitatively, when possible. For studies with multiple analyses
and results, the table summarizes key findings and is not a comprehensive summary of all findings. Results also indicated when a study reported no association, provided as a
qualitative statement of no association.
cBashash et al. (2017) and Bashash et al. (2018) are based on the same study population.
dBarberio et al. (2017b) and Riddell et al. (2019) are based on the same study population.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Summary of Results
Overall Findings
Although discussed together in this section, various health outcomes were assessed in the nine
low risk-of-bias studies of other neurodevelopmental outcomes, including neurobehavioral
scores in infants (two studies), cognitive tests in children other than IQ (three studies), and
ADHD or learning disabilities (four studies) in children. The results from eight of nine low risk-
of-bias studies (three prospective cohort studies and five cross-sectional studies from seven
different study populations) provide evidence of significant associations between higher fluoride
exposure and cognitive neurodevelopmental outcomes in children other than decrements in IQ
(see Figure A-9 through Figure A-11) (Barberio et al. 2017b; Bashash et al. 2018; Bashash et al.
2017; Li et al. 2004 [translated in Li et al. 2008a]; Riddell et al. 2019; Rocha-Amador et al.
2009; Valdez Jiménez et al. 2017; Wang et al. 2020a). Only one cross-sectional study did not
find a significant association between estimated fluoride exposure and a measure of cognitive
neurodevelopment (Choi et al. 2015).
Although there is heterogeneity in the outcomes assessed and a limited number of directly
comparable studies, the data provide additional evidence (beyond the consistent evidence of an
inverse association between estimated fluoride exposure and IQ) of an association between
higher fluoride exposure and cognitive or neurodevelopmental effects. The body of evidence
from the nine low risk-of-bias studies is described in further detail below, including the direction
of effect for statistically significant associations, and is grouped into outcome categories of
studies that are most comparable.
Results in Infants
Two studies evaluated neurobehavioral effects in infants either shortly after birth or at 3 to
15 months of age (Li et al. 2004 [translated in Li et al. 2008a]; Valdez Jiménez et al. 2017). Both
studies observed a statistically significant inverse association between estimated fluoride
exposure and neurobehavioral scores. In neonates (1–3 days old), the high fluoride group
(3.58 ± 1.47 mg/L fluoride based on spot maternal urine collected just prior to birth) had
significantly lower total neurobehavioral assessment scores (36.48 ± 1.09 versus 38.28 ± 1.10 in
controls; p-value <0.05) and total behavioral capacity scores (10.05 ± 0.94 versus 11.34 ± 0.56 in
controls; p-value <0.05) compared to the control group (1.74 ± 0.96 mg/L fluoride) as measured
by a standard neonatal behavioral neurological assessment (NBNA) method (Li et al. 2004
[translated in Li et al. 2008a]). In infants 3 to 15 months of age, the Mental Development Index
(MDI)—which measures functions including hand-eye coordination, manipulation,
understanding of object relations, imitation, and early language development—was significantly
inversely associated with maternal urinary fluoride in both the first and second trimesters
(adjusted βs per log10-mg/L increase = −19.05 with standard error of 8.9 for first trimester [p-
value = 0.04] and −19.34 with standard error of 7.46 for second trimester [p-value = 0.013])
(Valdez Jiménez et al. 2017). Note that this study did not find an association between maternal
fluoride during any trimester and the Psychomotor Developmental Index (PDI), which measures
gross motor development (adjusted βs = 6.28 and 5.33 for first and second trimesters,
respectively; no standard errors provided) (Valdez Jiménez et al. 2017).
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
ADHD Total Index and a 2.47-point increase [95% CI: 0.43, 4.50; p-value = 0.0175] in the
ADHD Index) (see Figure A-11). Significant associations were not observed between maternal
urinary fluoride concentrations during pregnancy and child performance on measures of
hyperactivity, nor were there any significant results in children using Conners’ Continuous
Performance Test (CPT-II, 2nd Edition), a computerized test of sustained attention and inhibitory
control (Bashash et al. 2018). Wang et al. (2020a) also used Conners’ Parent Rating Scale
(Chinese version) to assess behavioral outcomes in children ages 7–13 years but found only a
significant association between spot urinary fluoride concentrations in children (model adjusted
for creatinine) and psychosomatic problems (adjusted OR for T-score >70 per 1-mg/L
increase = 1.97 [95% CI: 1.19, 3.27; p-value = 0.009] and adjusted β per 1-mg/L increase = 4.01
[95% CI: 2.74, 5.28; p-value <0.001]). No associations were found between spot urinary fluoride
and the ADHD index or other behavioral measures.
Barberio et al. (2017b) evaluated learning disabilities in children 3–12 years of age, including
ADHD, attention deficit disorder (ADD), and dyslexia, as part of the Canadian Health Measures
Survey and found that when compared to lower spot urinary fluoride levels, higher spot urinary
fluoride levels in children were associated with a small but significantly increased risk in self-
reported (children 12 years of age) or parent- or guardian-reported (children 3–11 years of age)
learning disabilities (adjusted OR per 1-µmol/L increase = 1.02; 95% CI: 1.00, 1.03; p-value
<0.05) (see Figure A-12). However, significant associations were not observed in analyses using
creatinine- or specific gravity-adjusted urinary fluoride (Barberio et al. 2017b). Barberio et al.
(2017b) also reported no associations between single spot urinary fluoride and ADHD in
children ages 3 to 12 years. Riddell et al. (2019) used the same Canadian Health Measured
Survey but evaluated children 6–17 years old. Riddell et al. (2019) found a significantly
increased risk for ADHD diagnosis with both tap water fluoride (adjusted OR per 1-mg/L
increase = 6.10; 95% CI: 1.60, 22.8; p-value <0.05) and community water fluoridation status
(adjusted OR per 1-mg/L increase = 1.21; 95% CI: 1.03, 1.42; p-value <0.05). A similar increase
in the hyperactivity-inattention symptoms score based on the Strengths and Difficulties
Questionnaire was observed with both tap water fluoride (adjusted β per 1-mg/L increase = 0.31;
95% CI: 0.04, 0.58; p-value <0.05) and community fluoridation status (adjusted β per 1-mg/L
increase = 0.11; 95% CI: 0.02, 0.20; p-value <0.05). As was observed with Barberio et al.
(2017b), Riddell et al. (2019) did not observe associations between specific gravity-adjusted spot
urinary fluoride concentrations and either ADHD diagnosis (adjusted OR per 1-mg/L
increase = 0.96; 95% CI: 0.63, 1.46) or hyperactivity-inattention symptoms (adjusted β per 1-
mg/L increase = 0.31; 95% CI: −0.04, 0.66).
Summary of Key Findings for Low Risk-of-bias Studies of Other Neurodevelopmental and
Cognitive Effects in Children
In summary, the high-quality studies (i.e., studies with low potential for bias), when compared to
lower estimated fluoride exposure, provide evidence of an association between higher estimated
fluoride exposure and neurodevelopmental and cognitive effects in children other than IQ;
however, the body of evidence is limited by heterogeneity in the outcomes evaluated and few
directly comparable studies. Across these outcomes, eight of nine studies reported a significant
association between estimated fluoride exposure and a measure of neurodevelopment or
cognition other than IQ, which provides support for the consistency in evidence based on
children’s IQ studies of an association between fluoride exposure and adverse effects on
cognitive neurodevelopment.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
potential for bias due to confounding, they are considered to have low potential for bias overall
because they have low potential for bias for the other two key risk-of-bias questions (exposure
characterization and outcome assessment), and no other major concerns for bias were identified.
Consistent with the IQ studies, bias due to confounding is not likely a concern for the low risk-
of-bias studies.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
to lack of information regarding the blinding of outcome assessors. Two of the studies (Barberio
et al. 2017b; Riddell et al. 2019) were based on the same study population in Canada, where
different questions were asked in Cycles 2 (2009–2011) and 3 (2012–2013) of the Canadian
Health Measures Survey (CHMS) to ascertain learning disabilities including ADHD. In Cycle 2,
subjects were asked whether they had a learning disability diagnosed by a health professional
and, if yes, were asked what kind. In Cycle 3, CHMS did not ask what kind of learning disability
was diagnosed nor was a reason for the question omission provided. Because no reason was
provided for the removal of the question, and because a question on learning disability without
the specific diagnosis may be more prone to bias, this change in questioning from Cycles 2 to 3
is a potential concern. Blinding was not considered an issue in these two studies, but the methods
for obtaining the information are considered to be less than ideal for measuring learning
disabilities including ADHD. Although the questionnaire asked about a doctor’s diagnosis of a
learning disability, there was no confirmation with medical records. Moreover, these
questionnaires were not validated like Conners’ Rating Scales, which would have been a better
method for assessing ADHD. Although the outcome assessment methods are less than ideal,
there was no direct evidence that they were conducted incorrectly or that the methods would
have biased the results in any specific direction. Because this was the only concern in these
studies, they were considered to have low risk of bias overall.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Overview of Studies
Two low risk-of-bias cross-sectional studies evaluated the association between estimated fluoride
exposure and cognitive effect in adults (Jacqmin et al. 1994; Li et al. 2016). These two studies
used the same test for cognitive function (i.e., Mini-Mental State or MMS Examination) and
used drinking water fluoride levels to assess fluoride exposure. Li et al. (2016) also measured
urinary fluoride. Both studies were cross-sectional in design. One was conducted in France
(Jacqmin et al. 1994) and the other in China (Li et al. 2016). Both studies were conducted in
older populations (i.e., over 60 or 65 years of age).
Table 8 provides a summary of study characteristics and key findings related to estimated
fluoride exposure and cognitive effects in adults for the two low risk-of-bias studies. The
purpose of the table is to summarize key findings (independent of whether an association was
found) from each study and is not meant to be a comprehensive summary of all results. For each
study, results are summarized for each exposure measure assessed. Results from multiple
analyses using the same exposure assessment measure may not all be presented unless
conflicting results were reported.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Li et al. (2016) Cross-sectional Drinking water daily Adults (ages ≥60 Cognitive function: MMS Subjects with cognitive
China (Inner fluoride intake years) Examination impairment had a significantly
Mongolia)/adults Mean (SD): 2.23 higher skeletal fluorosis score
[511] (2.23) (normal group), and urinary fluoride
3.62 (6.71) (cognitive concentrations; odds of
impairment group) mg increasing severity of cognitive
impairment increased with
Urine urinary fluoride concentrations
Mean (SD): 1.46 but were not statistically
(1.04) (normal group), significant; no significant
2.47 (2.88) (cognitive association with total daily water
impairment group) fluoride intake
mg/L Adjusted for sex, age, education,
Fluorosis score marital status (married vs. not
Mean (SD): 0.74 married), alcohol consumption
(0.98) (normal group), (non-drinkers, light drinkers,
1.29 (1.01) (cognitive moderate to heavy drinkers),
impairment group) smoking history (never smoker,
ex-smoker, light smoker, heavy
smoker), and serum
homocysteine levels
GM = geometric mean; MMS = Mini-Mental State.
aIncludes low risk-of-bias studies.
bAssociations between cognitive effects in adults and fluoride levels were reported quantitatively, when possible. For studies with multiple analyses and results, the table
summarizes key findings and is not a comprehensive summary of all findings. Results also indicate when a study reported no association, provided as a qualitative statement of no
association.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Summary of Results
Results from two low risk-of-bias studies in adults did not provide enough evidence to evaluate
consistency when assessing evidence for a potential association between fluoride exposure and
cognitive impairment (based on the MMS Examination) (Jacqmin et al. 1994; Li et al. 2016).
Jacqmin et al. (1994) did not find an association between drinking water fluoride and cognitive
impairment in populations in France (n = 3,490) and found prevalence rates of cognitive
impairment to be the same regardless of fluoride exposure (see Figure A-13). In contrast, Li et al.
(2016) did find significantly higher urinary fluoride levels and skeletal fluorosis scores in the
cognitively impaired group compared with the control group in an analysis of 38 cognitively
impaired cases and 38 controls matched for several covariates, including age, sex, education,
alcohol consumption, and smoking (p-value <0.05). However, the authors found no significant
association between cognitive impairment and total daily water fluoride intake (adjusted ORs per
1-mg/day increase = 0.94 [95% CI: 0.85, 1.04] and 0.86 [95% CI: 0.69, 1.06] in the moderate
and severe cognitive impairment groups, respectively) or urinary fluoride levels (adjusted ORs
per 1-mgL increase = 1.12 [95% CI: 0.89, 1.42] and 1.25 [95% CI: 0.87, 1.81] in the moderate
and severe cognitive impairment groups, respectively) in subjects from fluorosis-endemic areas
of China (n = 511).
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
dementia per standard deviation increase in fluoride (p-value <0.001) with the risk of dementia
more than double in the highest quartile of fluoride exposure (56.3 µg/L) compared to the lowest
quartile (<44.4 µg/L). The authors also found a significantly increased risk of dementia
associated with increased aluminum levels at all quartiles compared with the reference group (p-
values <0.05) but found no statistical interaction between aluminum and fluoride levels in
relation to dementia (Russ et al. 2019). Conversely, a study in China did not find a significant
association between fluoride concentrations in the drinking water and risk for dementia (Liang et
al. 2003). In addition to studies that reported on cognitive impairment and exposure to fluoride,
two high risk-of-bias studies were identified that reported impaired motor and sensory function
(Rotton et al. 1982) and a higher prevalence of self-reported headaches, insomnia, and lethargy
(Sharma et al. 2009) associated with fluoride exposure.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
were associated with higher fluoride in drinking water in adults without thyroid diseases but
increases in T3 were not significant in adults with thyroid diseases. A significant association
between T4 and higher fluoride in drinking water was not observed in adults with or without
thyroid diseases (Kheradpisheh et al. 2018b).
Other than changes in hormone levels, there is limited evidence of fluoride-related mechanistic
effects in the three low risk-of-bias studies that evaluated thyroid-related effects. Barberio et al.
(2017a) found no relationship between fluoride exposure and self-reported thyroid conditions in
children and adults (children were older than 12). Kheradpisheh et al. (2018b) also found no
association between fluoride exposure and hypothyroidism in an adult population in Iran. One
study found a significantly higher prevalence of hypothyroidism in areas with higher fluoride
concentrations in drinking water (>0.7 mg/L) compared with areas with lower fluoride drinking
water concentrations (≤0.7 mg/L) (Peckham et al. 2015).
Sixteen high risk-of-bias studies were available that evaluated mechanistic data in humans
associated with fluoride exposure, including effects on thyroid hormones in children (n = 9
studies), thyroid hormones in adults (Michael et al. 1996; Yasmin et al. 2013), catecholamines in
adults (Michael et al. 1996) or in subjects of unknown ages (Chinoy and Narayana 1992),
acetylcholinesterase (AChE) or serotonin levels in children (Lu et al. 2019; Pratap et al. 2013),
brain histopathology or biochemistry in aborted fetuses (Du et al. 1992 [translated in Du et al.
2008]; Yu et al. 1996 [translated in Yu et al. 2008]), and mitochondrial fission/fusion molecules
in children (Zhao et al. 2019). Similar to the low risk-of-bias studies, the high risk-of-bias studies
provide some evidence of mechanistic effects (primarily changes in TSH levels in children);
however, the data are insufficient to identify a clear mechanism by which fluoride causes
neurodevelopmental or cognitive effects in humans.
Among high risk-of-bias studies (see Figure D-19 and Figure D-20), varying results were
reported in 11 studies that evaluated associations between fluoride exposure and thyroid
hormones, and a few of these studies (Lin et al. 1991; Wang et al. 2001; Yang et al. 1994
[translated in Yang et al. 2008]) were complicated by high or low iodine in the high fluoride
area. When considering fluoride effects on each of the hormones individually, similar to results
from low risk-of-bias studies, the most consistent evidence of fluoride-associated effects on a
thyroid hormone was reported as changes in TSH levels in children, although there was some
variation in the direction of association. Six of the nine high risk-of-bias studies that evaluated
changes in TSH levels in children reported increases in TSH levels with higher fluoride (Lin et
al. 1991; Susheela et al. 2005; Wang et al. 2001; Yang et al. 1994 [translated in Yang et al.
2008]; Yao et al. 1996; Yasmin et al. 2013). Two of the nine high risk-of-bias studies reported
decreases in TSH levels in children with higher fluoride (Khandare et al. 2017; Khandare et al.
2018). One of the nine studies found no significant alterations in TSH levels in children from
fluorosis-endemic areas (Hosur et al. 2012) (see Figure 8).
When considering associations between fluoride exposure and TSH, T3, and T4 levels together,
studies that evaluated changes in all three thyroid hormones reported varying combinations of
increases, decreases, or no changes in levels across the three hormones, although among the
eight low and high risk-of-bias studies that evaluated associations between fluoride exposure and
TSH, T3, and T4 levels and reported increases in TSH levels in children, seven of the eight
studies found no alterations in T3 levels (one study found an increase in T3), and six of the eight
studies found no alterations in T4 levels (two studies found an increase in T4). Studies also
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
displayed variation by age in the associations between fluoride and TSH, T3, and T4. Due to the
dynamic relationship between the thyroid gland, the pituitary gland, and the production and
clearance of TSH, T3, and T4, the variations in results are not unexpected and do not eliminate
the possibility of a mechanistic link between thyroid effects and neurodevelopmental or
cognitive effects; however, the data do not support a clear indication that thyroid effects are a
mechanism by which fluoride causes these effects in humans.
Figure 7. Number of Low Risk-of-bias Studies that Evaluated Thyroid Hormones in Children and
Adults by Endpoint and Direction of Association
Figure 8. Number of High Risk-of-bias Studies that Evaluated Thyroid Hormones in Children by
Endpoint and Direction of Association
In addition to evaluating thyroid hormone levels, a few high risk-of-bias studies evaluated other
mechanistic data associated with fluoride exposure; however, the data are insufficient to identify
a clear mechanism by which fluoride might cause neurodevelopmental or cognitive effects in
humans. Serum epinephrine and norepinephrine were significantly increased in a fluoride-
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
endemic region (it was not reported whether subjects were children or adults) compared with a
non-endemic region (Chinoy and Narayana 1992). A separate study reported that serum
epinephrine and norepinephrine (referred to as adrenaline and noradrenaline in the study) were
significantly increased in adults in a fluoride-endemic area (fluoride in the drinking water ranged
from 1.0–6.53 ppm) compared with a control area (fluoride in the drinking water ranged from
0.56–0.72 ppm) (Michael et al. 1996). Serum AChE was significantly reduced in children from a
high fluoride region compared with a lower fluoride region (Pratap et al. 2013). Serum serotonin
was significantly increased in children from Turkey who were drinking water containing
2.5 mg/L of fluoride compared with children drinking bottled water or water containing
<0.5 mg/L of fluoride (Lu et al. 2019). Aborted fetuses from high fluoride areas in China were
found to have histological changes in the brain and significant changes in neurotransmitter levels
compared with a control area (Du et al. 1992 [translated in Du et al. 2008]; Yu et al. 1996
[translated in Yu et al. 2008]).
There are also two more recent low risk-of-bias studies that evaluated genetic variants in
dopamine-related genes; however, a determination on mechanism cannot be made at this time
due to the limited number of studies. For children (10–12 years old) with a Val158Met variant in
the COMT gene (i.e., catechol-O-methyltransferase), which results in slower degradation and
greater availability of dopamine within the brain, a stronger association between increasing
urinary fluoride levels and decreasing IQ was reported (Zhang et al. 2015b). For children (7–
12 years old) with a dopamine receptor-2 (DRD2) Taq 1A variant (which is involved in reduced
D2 receptor density and availability) and the TT (variant) genotype, a significant inverse
association between log urinary fluoride and IQ was observed; however, this significant
relationship was not observed in children with the CC (wild-type) or CT (hybrid) genotypes (Cui
et al. 2018).
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
stress, histopathology, and thyroid function. Limiting the data to studies with at least one
exposure at or below 20 ppm fluoride drinking water equivalents (gavage and dietary exposures
were back calculated into equivalent drinking water concentrations for comparison) still
provided a sufficient number of studies for evaluation of these mechanistic endpoints. This
evaluation is provided in Appendix F. Neurotransmitter and biochemical changes in the brain
and neurons were considered the mechanistic areas with the greatest potential to demonstrate
effects of fluoride on the brain of animals in the lower dose range and provide evidence of
changes in the brain that may relate to lower IQ in children (see Appendix F). Histological data
can be useful in determining whether effects are occurring in the brain at lower fluoride
concentrations; however, author descriptions of these effects may be limited, thereby making it
difficult to directly link histological changes in the brain to learning and memory effects.
Oxidative stress is considered a general mechanistic endpoint that cannot be specifically linked
to neurodevelopmental or cognitive effects in humans; however, like histopathology, it may help
in identifying changes in the brain occurring at lower concentrations of fluoride.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Discussion
This systematic review evaluated the available animal and human literature concerning the
association between fluoride exposure and cognitive neurodevelopment. The available data on
potential mechanisms to evaluate biological plausibility were also assessed. The health benefits
of fluoride with respect to oral health are acknowledged but are not the focus of this review.
This review extended NTP’s previous evaluation of the experimental animal data (NTP 2016).
Although the animal data provide some evidence of effects of fluoride on neurodevelopment,
they give little insight into the question of whether fluoride influences IQ. This is due to
deficiencies identified in the animal body of evidence. Mechanistic studies in humans provide
some evidence of adverse neurological effects of fluoride. However, these studies were too
heterogenous and limited in number to make any determination on biological plausibility.
Mechanistic studies in animals also provide some evidence of consistency in mechanistic effects
(Appendix F); however, the mechanisms underlying fluoride-associated cognitive
neurodevelopmental effects are not well characterized, and review of the data did not identify a
mode of action for fluoride effects on IQ in children.
The literature on adults is also limited; therefore, it was determined that there is low confidence
in the body of evidence from studies that evaluate fluoride exposure and adult cognition.
Compared to the literature in adults, there is a much more extensive literature in children.
The literature in children was separated into studies assessing IQ and studies assessing other
cognitive or neurodevelopmental outcomes. There is low confidence in the body of evidence
from studies that evaluate fluoride exposure and other cognitive or neurodevelopmental
outcomes in children. The confidence in this body of evidence is low because the number of
studies is limited, and there is too much heterogeneity in the outcomes measured, ages assessed,
and methods used to directly compare studies of any one outcome. This body of evidence is
made up of nine high-quality studies (three prospective cohort and six cross-sectional studies
from seven different study populations) and six low-quality studies. Eight of the nine high-
quality studies observed significant associations between fluoride and other cognitive or
neurodevelopmental outcomes in children including ADHD, visuospatial organization and
memory, NBNA, MDI, GCI, and MSCA. The data also suggest that neurodevelopmental effects
occur in very young children. Additional studies on outcomes such as ADHD and other
attention-related disorders, where there is some evidence of an association with estimated
fluoride exposure (i.e., all four studies evaluating attention-related disorders or learning
disabilities found a statistically significant positive association between fluoride exposure
assessment measure and measures of ADHD or learning disability), would be necessary to
critically assess the data.
Most of the epidemiological studies (n = 72) assessed the association between estimated fluoride
exposure and IQ in children. Although all studies, both high- and low-quality, were considered,
this evaluation focuses on the high-quality, low risk-of-bias studies in children for two reasons.
First, there are fewer limitations and greater confidence in the results of the high-quality studies.
Second, there is a relatively large number of high-quality studies (n = 19), such that the body of
evidence from these studies could be used to evaluate confidence in the association between
fluoride exposure and changes in children’s IQ.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
This review finds, with moderate confidence, that higher estimated fluoride exposures (e.g., as in
approximations of exposure such as drinking water fluoride concentrations that exceed the World
Health Organization Guidelines for Drinking-water Quality of 1.5 mg/L of fluoride) are
consistently associated with lower IQ in children. The inverse association between estimated
fluoride exposure and IQ in children was consistent across different study populations, study
locations, study quality/risk-of-bias determinations, study designs, exposure assessment
measures, and types of exposure data (group-level and individual-level). There were 19 low risk-
of-bias studies that were conducted in 15 study populations, across 5 countries, and evaluating
more than 7,000 children. Of these 19 studies, 18 reported an inverse association between
estimated fluoride exposure [e.g., as in approximations of fluoride exposure such as drinking
water fluoride concentrations that exceeded the WHO Guidelines for Drinking-water Quality of
1.5mg/L of fluoride] and lower IQ. These include 3 prospective cohort studies and 15 cross-
sectional studies (12 of which indicated that exposure likely preceded the outcome). Forty-six of
53 low-quality studies in children also reported an association between higher fluoride exposure
assessment measures and lower IQ.
The moderate confidence rating was reached by starting with an initial confidence rating based
on key study design features of the body of evidence and then considering factors that may
increase or decrease the confidence in that body of evidence. The initial moderate confidence
rating is based on 15 of the 19 low risk-of-bias studies that have 3 of the 4 key study design
features shown in Figure 1 (i.e., exposure occurred prior to outcome, individual-based outcomes
were evaluated, and a comparison group was used). Three of these studies were prospective
cohort studies, and 12 were cross-sectional studies that provided evidence of long-term, chronic
fluoride exposure prior to outcome measurement.
Many studies in this assessment relied on drinking-water fluoride levels (both group-level
measures and individual-level measures), rather than measures of total fluoride exposure, to
establish exposed versus “unexposed” or reference groups. Although fluoride in water is a major
source of exposure [comprising 40% to 70% of total exposure (USEPA 2010)], other sources of
fluoride provide variable amounts that depend on personal preferences and habits. The use of
dental products containing fluoride and consuming foods and beverages prepared with
fluoridated water can also result in measurable exposures (USEPA 2010). Green et al. (2019)
suggested that significant exposures occur from black tea consumption. Thus, drinking water
fluoride levels may, but usually do not, reflect total fluoride exposure. This could be a potential
limitation in studies that rely on water fluoride data to assess fluoride exposure (in particular,
earlier studies). Because water is only part of a person’s total exposure to fluoride, this limitation
would likely result in an underestimate of exposure to fluoride. In other words, in studies where
the exposure metric was drinking water fluoride concentrations that were lower than the WHO
Drinking Water Quality Guideline of 1.5 mg/L for example, actual exposures may be
underestimated due to exposures from other sources. This limitation is less of a concern in areas
where fluoride in the drinking water is high because drinking water likely contributes a larger
proportion of the total fluoride intake in those areas as compared with areas where fluoride in the
drinking water is lower.
This review found that the quality of exposure assessment measures has improved over the years.
More recent studies by Valdez Jiménez et al. (2017), Bashash et al. (2017), and Green et al.
(2019) that support the inverse associations between estimated total fluoride exposure and
children’s IQ and other cognitive neurodevelopmental effects, used individual measures of
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
urinary fluoride, either maternal urine collected prenatally or children’s urine. Studies using
different types of exposure assessment measures reported similar findings of an association
(NRC 2006), which strengthens confidence in earlier studies that reported IQ deficits with high
group-level fluoride exposure. However, there is less certainty in the quantitative estimates of the
magnitude of IQ deficits from earlier studies that used group-level exposure assessment
measures than the estimates from more recent studies that used individual-level exposure
assessment measures.
It is worth noting that there are circumstances wherein typical children’s water consumption
considered with water fluoride levels may substantially underestimate total fluoride exposure.
One example is bottle-fed infants wherein nutrition is provided by powdered formula that is
rehydrated with fluoridated water (Till et al. 2020). To decrease an exclusively formula-fed
infant’s exposure to fluoride, for the purpose of reducing risk of dental fluorosis, the Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention recommends using low-fluoride bottled water to mix with infant
formula (CDC 2015). A few studies also support the hypothesis that individuals with certain
genetic variants in dopamine receptor D2 or catechol-O-methyltransferase may be at heightened
sensitivities to the potential detrimental cognitive effects of fluoride exposure (Cui et al. 2018;
Zhang et al. 2015b), potentially impacting dopamine catabolism and receptor sensitivity. Given
the growing body of evidence suggesting an inverse association between estimated total fluoride
intake and certain neurodevelopmental effects in children, differential exposures to total fluoride
intake and genetic susceptibilities of children to fluoride may represent special situations that
would appear to warrant further research.
The following section briefly recaps the strength of the epidemiological evidence for an
association between fluoride exposure and cognitive neurodevelopmental deficits. This is
followed by a more detailed listing of limitations of the evidence base and limitations of the
systematic review, with some suggestions of areas where further research may be most
beneficial.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
occurring fluoride served 0.59% of the U.S. population (~1.9 million people) (CDC
Division of Oral Health 2020). This indicates that the moderate confidence in the
association between higher fluoride exposure and lower IQ is relevant, at a minimum
to children living in these areas of the United States where fluoride in drinking water
is known to be at or above 1.5 mg/L. This is only compounded by additional
exposures to fluoride from other sources.
• No high-quality studies investigating the association between fluoride exposure and
neurodevelopmental or cognitive effects in adults or children have been conducted in
the United States.
• No studies are available to evaluate lifelong exposure in adults or fluoride exposure
over a child’s lifetime and neurodevelopmental or cognitive changes over time.
• Biomarkers that reflect total fluoride exposure are exposure estimates and not a
measure of actual exposure. Although we have noted above why spot urine samples
are considered low potential for bias, they do represent recent exposure and can vary.
Although human serum levels tend to reflect fluoride levels in water (IPCS 2002),
they vary widely during the day, and only rarely were they measured or reported in
the literature that was evaluated.
• The database does not allow for comparison of ages and possible changes at different
developmental stages in children to assess if there is a delay in development or if
associations persist.
• The database does not allow for establishing clear correlations between prenatal and
postnatal exposures.
Limitations in the epidemiological studies with high risk of bias include:
• Many of the original publications were in a non-English language and provided
limited details on methodology.
• Most studies lacked information regarding exposure and/or had serious limitations in
the exposure assessment measures. Exposure assessment measure concerns include
limited individual exposure information, a lack of information on fluoride sampling
methods and timing of the exposure assessment measurements, a lack of quantitation
of levels of fluoride in drinking water in a few studies, and a lack of individual-level
information on fluorosis in areas reported to be endemic for fluorosis.
• The comparison groups in studies conducted in areas endemic for fluorosis still may
have been exposed to high levels of fluoride or levels similar to those used in water
fluoridation in the United States. This factor may have limited the ability to detect
true effects.
• Many studies did not provide sufficient direct information (e.g., participation rates or
methods for selection) to evaluate selection bias.
• Failure to address important covariates was an issue for most of the studies. Some
studies conducted simple statistical analyses without accounting for any covariates in
the analysis, although many noted similarities between the study populations. In cases
where adjustments in analyses were made, often these studies did not account for
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
covariates considered critical for that study population and outcome including co-
exposures.
• Studies conducted in areas with high, naturally occurring fluoride levels in drinking
water often did not account for potential exposures to arsenic or iodine deficiencies in
study subjects in areas where these substances were likely to occur.
• Many studies lacked information on whether the outcome assessors were blind to the
exposure group, including studies that examined children in their schools and subjects
from high-fluoride communities.
Limitations in the animal and mechanistic evidence base include:
• The overall quality of the experimental animal studies is poor, and there are relatively
few well-designed and well-performed studies at lower fluoride exposure levels (i.e.,
<20 ppm, which is roughly equivalent to human exposure of <4 ppm).
• The understanding of the specific molecular events responsible for fluoride’s adverse
effects on neurobehavioral function is poor.
A key data gap in the human and animal bodies of evidence includes the need for mechanistic
insight into fluoride-related neurodevelopmental or cognitive changes.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
recommendation of the NASEM committee in its review of the September 16, 2020, draft
monograph, the experimental animal section has been removed and is not included in this
monograph. Although the deficiencies identified in the animal body of evidence support this
removal (see Animal Learning and Memory Data for further explanation), NTP acknowledges
that the absence of the experimental animal data is a limitation of this systematic review. For the
purpose of this review, NTP considers the experimental animal data to be inadequate to inform
whether fluoride exposure is associated with cognitive effects (including cognitive
neurodevelopmental effects) in humans.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Summary
This systematic review evaluated the available animal and human literature concerning the
association between fluoride exposure and cognitive neurodevelopment. The available data on
potential mechanisms to evaluate biological plausibility were also assessed. Existing animal
studies provide little insight into the question of whether fluoride exposure affects IQ. Human
mechanistic studies were too heterogenous and limited in number to make any determination on
biological plausibility. The body of evidence from studies on adults is also limited and provides
low confidence that fluoride exposure is associated with adverse effects on adult cognition.
There is, however, a large body of evidence on inverse associations between total fluoride
exposure and IQ in children. There is also some evidence that higher fluoride exposure is
associated with other neurodevelopmental and cognitive effects; although, because of the
heterogeneity of the outcomes, there is low confidence in the literature for these other effects.
This review finds, with moderate confidence, that higher estimated fluoride exposures (e.g., as in
approximations of exposure such as drinking water fluoride concentrations that exceed the World
Health Organization Guidelines for Drinking-water Quality of 1.5 mg/L of fluoride) are
consistently associated with lower IQ in children. The moderate confidence in the inverse
association between fluoride exposure and children’s IQ is based primarily on studies with
estimated fluoride exposures higher than what is generally associated with consumption of
optimally fluoridated water in the United States. Associations between lower total fluoride
exposure [e.g., as in approximations of exposure such as drinking water fluoride concentrations
that were lower than the WHO Guidelines for Drinking-water Quality of 1.5 mg/L of fluoride
(WHO 2017)] and children’s IQ remain unclear. However, because people receive fluoride from
multiple sources (not just drinking water), individuals living in areas with optimally fluoridated
water can have total fluoride exposures higher than the concentration of their drinking water. In
addition, there are people living in the United States who live in areas with naturally occurring
fluoride in drinking water that is higher than 1.5 mg/L. As of April 2020, community water
systems supplying water with ≥1.5 mg/L naturally occurring fluoride served 0.59% of the U.S.
population (~1.9 million people) (CDC Division of Oral Health 2020). This indicates that the
moderate confidence in the inverse association between fluoride exposure and children’s IQ is
relevant to some children living in the United States, including at a minimum those living in
areas where fluoride in drinking water is known to be at or above 1.5 mg/L.
Additional exposures to fluoride from other sources would increase total fluoride exposure. The
moderate confidence conclusions may also be relevant to people living in optimally fluoridated
areas of the United States depending on the extent of their additional exposures to fluoride from
sources other than drinking water. Because no studies of fluoride exposures and IQ have been
performed in children in the United States and no nationally representative urinary fluoride
levels are available, targeted research that prospectively examines the association between
fluoride exposure and children’s IQ in optimally fluoridated areas of the United States is needed
to add clarity to the existing data.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Results
Twenty-eight studies were published on the association between fluoride exposure and children’s
IQ between May 2020 (the end date of the literature search for the monograph) and October
2023 (the date of this updated literature search). Twelve studies (seven cross-sectional and five
prospective cohort studies from nine different study populations) had lower potential for bias.
Sixteen cross-sectional studies had higher potential for bias (see Addendum Figure 2).
Addendum Figure 2. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Children’s IQ Studies Identified During Updated
Literature Search
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
18
ERRATUM: An error was identified in the NTP Monograph on the State of the Science Concerning Fluoride
Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review (NTP Monograph 08). This sentence
originally read, “Two children from each grade...,” which contained an error. It has been corrected to: “Two classes
from each grade...” (and the correction is italicized). [September 4, 2024]
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
−4.99, 0.57 per ln-mg/g increase). Grandjean et al. (2023) conducted a study using the Odense
Child Cohort (OCC). Creatinine-adjusted maternal urinary fluoride was inversely associated with
full-scale IQ scores of 7-year-old children when using 24-hour maternal urine samples (β =
−0.72, 95% CI: −3.24, 1.80 per doubling of maternal urinary fluoride). When using spot urine
samples, there was an inverse association with IQ in girls (β = −0.78, 95% CI: −3.64, 2.08) and a
positive association with IQ in boys (β = 2.14, 95% CI: −0.92, 5.20). Dewey et al. (2023) was a
unique prospective ecological cohort study that evaluated exposures before and after fluoridation
ceased in Calgary, Canada on May 19, 2011. Exposure was based on when the pregnancy
occurred in relation to when water fluoridation had stopped. Participants were considered fully
exposed to 0.7 mg/L fluoride if the women were pregnant the whole time before water
fluoridation stopped, partially exposed when part of the pregnancy occurred before water
fluoridation stopped, or not exposed if pregnancy began after fluoridation stopped. Using the
nonexposed participants as the reference group, this study reported inverse associations between
fluoride exposure and verbal comprehension index and visual spatial index in 3–5-year-old
children. There were inverse associations between fluoride exposure and full-scale IQ in fully
exposed boys (β = −0.71, 95% CI: −5.46, 4.04) compared to nonexposed boys and in partially
exposed girls (β = −0.62, 95% CI: −4.67, 3.43) compared to nonexposed girls. In this study, IQ
was assessed using the Wechsler Preschool and Primary Scale of Intelligence Fourth Edition:
Canadian (WPPSI-IVCND) which does not include a performance IQ score. As noted in the
main section of this document, fluoride exposure has been found to be more strongly associated
with performance scores compared to other IQ subtests (e.g., verbal IQ) (Green et al. 2019; Till
et al. 2020). In addition, the exposure was based solely on fluoridation status during pregnancy
and did not consider the quantity of water intake by the mothers or exposure to fluoride from
sources other than drinking water.
Nine low risk-of-bias studies examined specific aspects of the inverse association between
fluoride exposure and children’s IQ. Five of the studies evaluated mechanistic aspects associated
with fluoride exposure assessment measures including genetic variants, gene-environment
interactions, or effects on the cholinergic system. Other studies assessed the specific timing of
exposure (prenatal, infancy, and childhood) (Farmus et al. 2021), evaluated multiple IQ domains
(Dewey et al. 2023; Goodman et al. 2022a), or assessed the role of iodine on the association
between fluoride exposure and IQ (Goodman et al. 2022b).
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
and is not a comprehensive summary of all findings reported in the study. Results also indicate when a study reported no significant association between fluoride assessment measures and
IQ.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
brain acetylcholine-mediated neurotransmission in learning and memory (Huang et al. 2022) and
are inconsistent with the findings reported in Pratap et al. (2013).
Three studies have examined possible relationships between fluoride exposure and dopamine
metabolism. A study by Zhang et al. (2015b) [reviewed in the monograph main text] examined
the interaction between fluoride exposure and genetic variants of the catechol-O-
methyltransferase (COMT) gene, which is partially responsible for dopamine degradation. The
study reported a stronger inverse association between measures of fluoride exposure and IQ in
children with the reference COMT gene variant (val/val) that exhibited lower activity, and
presumably higher brain dopamine levels, than among children who carried the heterozygous or
homozygous variant genotypes (met/val or met/met). Cui et al. (2018) [also reviewed in the
monograph] reported that an inverse association between fluoride exposure and children’s IQ
was found only in children homozygous for the TT variant genotype of the dopamine receptor-2
Taq 1A variant and not in children with the hybrid-type CT or wild-type CC genotypes. The TT
genotype is associated with the greatest D2 receptor availability (McDonell et al. 2018).
In a recent study of school-based children from endemic and non-endemic fluorosis areas in
Tianjin, China—not related to the Yu et al. (2018) study population in the same area—Zhao et
al. (2021) examined genetic variants of several dopamine-related genes as effect modifiers of the
inverse association between fluoride exposure and IQ. The study evaluated high and low activity
variants of genes thought to be involved in dopamine synthesis (ANKK1 Taq1A), reuptake
(DAT1 40 bp VNTR), and catabolism (COMT Val158Met and MAOA uVNTR). The study
observed no interactions between urinary fluoride and variants of the single genes but found a
high-dimensional interaction on IQ among urinary fluoride, ANKK1, COMT, and MAOA, and
concluded that dopamine-related pathways may play a critical role in the neurotoxicity of
fluoride. Overall, the three studies discussed above provide evidence that the inverse association
between fluoride exposure and children’s IQ may involve or interact with genetic differences in
dopamine-related pathways.
Feng et al. (2022) examined possible interactions between fluoride exposure measures and
children’s genetic variants in four specific loci in the multifunctional enzyme complex MTHFD1
(methylenetetrahydrofolate dehydrogenase, cyclohydrolase, formyltetrahydrofolate synthetase
1), which functions in folate metabolism, on the intelligence of children living in areas of
endemic fluorosis. This potential interaction was of interest to the authors because folate
deficiency is believed to be associated with neuropathological lesions. The study did not find
evidence of an interaction with any single locus but observed evidence of interactions between
multiple loci in several different statistical models, suggesting that “MTHFD1 polymorphisms
may be involved in the effects of fluoride exposure on intelligence in school-age children.”
Yu et al. (2021) examined potential interactions of genetic variants associated with nervous
system development and mitochondrial processes with fluoride-induced deficits in IQ in a subset
of children from Tianjin, China (also part of Yu et al. 2018 study). There were 53 functional
single nucleotide variants (SNVs) from 17 candidate genes selected for analysis. Of the 53
SNVs, 5 were on genes [catechol-O-methyl transferase (COMT), nitric oxide synthase1 (NOS1),
translocase of outer mitochondrial membrane (TOMM40), mitochondrial translational elongation
factor (TUFM), SLC25A12] that gave an SNV-set score associated with lower IQ. No single
gene was found associated with high intelligence, but clusterin protein (CLU) and translocase of
outer mitochondrial membrane 40 (TOMM40) interacted significantly with IQ and fluoride
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
measurements in hair of females. Pathway analyses did not show significant interactions with
fluoride exposures and IQ.
Zhou et al. (2021) evaluated mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) copy number in relation to single-
copy nuclear DNA in lymphocytes and its potential role in the inverse association between
fluoride exposure measures and IQ in a subset of children from Tianjin, China (also part of Yu et
al. 2018 study). The study observed a significantly downward trend between mtDNA copy
number across tertiles of fluoride drinking water and urine measures. There were significantly
increased odds of having excellent intelligence in children in the highest tertile of mtDNA
compared with children in the lowest tertile, and a significant association between mtDNA and
higher odds of having excellent intelligence was found in girls, but not in boys. However, there
was no significant association between circulating mtDNA levels and children’s IQ scores. The
authors noted that further research is needed to characterize the relationship between mtDNA
content in peripheral blood and mtDNA content in neuronal tissues.
The studies outlined above provide valuable additional mechanistic information, potential
insights, and further suggestive evidence that there may be genetic variants that may affect the
susceptibility of some individuals to greater cognitive impairment than others associated with
exposures to fluoride during development. However, a clear mechanism for a fluoride effect on
cognitive neurodevelopment remains to be established.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
China and were exposed to fluoride through drinking water. Choi et al. (2012) found an inverse
association between fluoride exposure and IQ in children (Addendum Table 2). In meta-
regression analyses, the study found that year of publication (but not mean age of the study
children) was a significant source of heterogeneity. When the analyses were restricted to the 16
studies that used the Combined Raven’s Test–The Rural edition in China (CRT-RC), the mean
age of the study children (but not year of publication) was a significant predictor of the estimated
SMD. While the study estimated a risk ratio for living in an endemic fluorosis area, authors
excluded studies with individual-level measures of exposure and were not able to perform a
formal dose-response analysis. Although software used for the meta-analysis was reported, the
study lacked a predefined protocol.
A more recent meta-analysis (Duan et al. 2018) assessed 26 studies that evaluated intelligence
levels in children exposed to high or low drinking water fluoride, including 15 that were also
included in the Choi et al. (2012) meta-analysis and 7 that were published after the 2011
inclusion period from Choi et al. (2012). Thirteen studies included in the Choi et al. (2012) meta-
analysis were not considered in the Duan et al. (2018) evaluation for unclear reasons. The Duan
et al. (2018) study included four studies from Iran and four studies from India, with the
remaining studies conducted in China. Duan et al. (2018) found an inverse association between
fluoride exposure and IQ in children (Addendum Table 2). In meta-regression analyses, the mean
age of study children significantly affected the relationship between high water fluoride levels
and children’s intelligence levels. Subgroup analyses included country, age (<10 or ≥10 years),
water fluoride level, type of intelligence assessment, and sex. Duan et al. (2018) also performed
a dose-response meta-analysis that suggested a significant association between increased water
fluoride exposure and lower intelligence levels; however, it is unclear which studies were
included in this analysis. The study reported both linear and nonlinear inverse relationships
between fluoride exposure and children’s intelligence levels. Software used in the meta-analysis
was reported; however, the study lacked a predefined protocol.
Miranda et al. (2021) performed a meta-analysis of 10 studies and found an association between
high fluoride exposure and decreased IQ as reflected by odds ratios (Addendum Table 2). The
meta-analysis has many serious methodological and reporting limitations. Regardless of how the
original studies reported the data, Miranda et al. (2021) chose to “classify the studies according
to the WHO guidelines that consider optimal levels between 0.5–1.0 mg/L (low levels) and > 2
mg/L, as higher levels for water fluoridation” thus limiting the body of evidence to the few
studies reporting the “optimal” low levels, and also excluding studies that reported exposure
levels qualitatively (e.g., just described as high and low). In addition, only “low risk of bias”
studies were included, and study selection raises serious concerns since many relevant studies
were excluded. Other limitations included inappropriate risk-of-bias assessment methodology
(i.e., best practices were not followed, and no rationale presented to support ratings that were
reported); improper conduct of the quantitative analysis; and use of an effect measure that is
limited in its interpretation and usefulness for assessing fluoride-IQ associations.
Veneri et al. (2023) performed a meta-analysis of 30 studies using the WMD as an effect
measure. The study reported significant inverse associations between fluoride exposure and IQ in
children (Addendum Table 2). There are several concerns with and limitations of this meta-
analysis. When the outcome assessment approaches are not identical—such as when IQ is
measured with various tests with different scales—a WMD is not an appropriate effect measure
(as compared to the SMD which accounts for test heterogeneity). Most importantly, the overall
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
pooled WMD is not valid. Several studies are counted multiple times for each exposure measure
of fluoride provided in the study (that result in the same WMD) with no evidence that the
correlation between study-specific effects was considered. This occurs for 6 of the 30 included
studies (Ahmad et al. 2022; Broadbent et al. 2015; Trivedi et al. 2007; Wang et al. 2021c; Yu et
al. 2021; Zhang et al. 2015b). For example, identical estimates from the same study (Zhang et al.
2015b) were included in the overall WMD calculation for three different exposure metrics
(water, serum and hair). Another limitation is lack of adequate justification for not considering or
including several studies that would appear to meet their inclusion criteria (Farmus et al. 2021;
Goodman et al. 2022a; Rocha-Amador et al. 2007). In addition, although the study research
question explicitly called for a separate assessment of prenatal exposure, and several studies had
maternal urinary fluoride measures, there is no analysis of prenatal fluoride exposure. There is
also no discussion of heterogeneity or evidence to indicate that sources of heterogeneity were
investigated using stratified analyses or meta-regression.
The Veneri et al. (2023) study also conducted a dose-response meta-analysis which suggested a
significant association between increased water or urinary fluoride exposure and lower
intelligence levels. However, the lack of detailed discussion of the shape of the dose-response
association at levels <1.5 mg/L (WHO Guidelines for Drinking-water Quality) or <0.7 mg/L is a
major limitation, especially given the current discourse about the association between fluoride
exposure and children’s IQ at lower levels of exposure.
Lastly, for assessing risk of bias, Veneri et al. (2023) employ the ROBINS-E tool (Higgins et al.
2024). This tool uses an algorithm to determine an individual study’s overall risk of bias, which
is based on the domain with the greatest risk of bias. For example, if one domain receives a
judgement of “high” risk of bias, the study is determined to be “high” risk of bias overall. This
approach assumes, without supporting evidence, that each type of bias has an equal influence
which may distort true study quality measures. Approaches that give different types of biases
equal weight or influence are discouraged by the National Academies of Science
(http://bit.ly/2CbAd1A) and others (Jüni et al. 1999; Singla et al. 2019; Stang 2010) as they
hinder a more thoughtful and informative critical examination of the evidence and do not
acknowledge that some potential biases are more important and influential than others (Arroyave
et al. 2021; Savitz et al. 2019; Steenland et al. 2020). In contrast, the OHAT approach is
consistent with Cochrane guidance (Sterne et al. 2023) in which studies may be considered
“lower” risk of bias (as compared to “higher” risk of bias) based on concern for bias on key
domains (e.g., exposure assessment, outcome assessment, confounding) which are determined on
a project-specific basis. Veneri et al. (2023) cautioned that the observational design of the
reviewed studies may have resulted in unmeasured or residual confounding, reducing confidence
in the associations. Although we agree that unmeasured or residual confounding may be a
concern, when assessing the impact of each covariate in the DTT Meta-analysis, Taylor et al.
(2024, in press), we carefully considered this issue and found that no trends were discernable,
suggesting that bias due to confounding could explain the consistency of the inverse association
across the body of evidence.
Kumar et al. (2023) performed a meta-analysis of 28 studies using SMD as an effect measure.
The study reported significant inverse associations between fluoride exposure and children’s
intelligence measures (IQ and cognition scores) (Addendum Table 2). The analysis included
double counting of three studies that contributed data to both endemic and nonendemic fluoride
areas (i.e., per Kumar et al. (2023) “> and < ~1.5 mg/L fluoride levels” respectively) (Sebastian
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and Sunitha 2015; Xiang et al. 2003a; Xu et al. 1994). When restricting analyses to eight studies
from the nonendemic fluorosis area, the study found no significant associations. There was also
no significant association in nonlinear modeling with restricted cubic splines. Meta-analyses of
regression coefficients from studies with children’s and maternal urinary fluoride found
nonsignificant inverse associations. There are several serious concerns and limitations of these
analyses which failed to report many details critical to the conduct of a systematic literature
review and meta-analysis. These missing details include, but are not limited to: lacking a
predefined protocol; providing rationale or criteria for the risk-of-bias assessments; providing
details about how the SMDs were calculated; reporting the data from the individual studies that
were used to calculate the SMDs; describing the selection process for which data to use if a study
reported results of multiple models; describing assessment of heterogeneity (other than reporting
I2 values); describing the method for assessment of publication bias; and describing rationale for
choice of sensitivity analyses.
The DTT Meta-analysis, Taylor et al. (2024, in press)19 includes a meta-analysis and dose-
response meta-analysis using group-level exposure data, and a regression slopes meta-analysis
using individual-level exposure data. The group-level meta-analysis of 59 studies (n = 20,932
children) used SMD as the effect measure and reported statistically significant inverse
associations between fluoride exposure measures and children’s IQ. There was also a significant
dose-response relationship between group-level fluoride exposure and IQ. In stratified dose-
response meta-analyses of the low risk-of-bias studies, the direction of association remained
consistent when group-level exposure was restricted to <4 mg/L, <2 mg/L, and <1.5 mg/L
fluoride in drinking water and <4 mg/L, <2 mg/L, and <1.5 mg/L fluoride in urine. The
regression slopes meta-analysis of 13 studies (n = 4,475 children) with individual-level measures
of fluoride found a significant decrease in IQ of 1.63 points (95% CI: −2.33, −0.93; p-value
<0.001) per 1-mg/L increase in urinary fluoride. In subgroup analyses of both group-level and
individual-level data, the direction of the association remained inverse when stratified by study
quality (high versus low risk of bias), sex, age group, outcome assessment, study location,
exposure timing, and exposure metric.
Although the use of various effect measures and methods makes comparison of the magnitude of
the associations difficult across meta-analyses, there is a consistent reporting of inverse
associations between fluoride exposure assessment measures and children’s IQ.
19
The NTP authors of this monograph conducted a companion systematic review and meta-analysis of fluoride
exposure and children’s IQ. Reference to this meta-analysis is cited in this monograph as “(DTT Meta-analysis,
Taylor et al. 2024, in press).”
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Conclusion
The current monograph concludes with moderate confidence that higher estimated fluoride
exposures (e.g., as in approximations of exposure such as drinking water fluoride concentrations
that exceed the WHO Guidelines for Drinking-water Quality of 1.5 mg/L of fluoride) are
consistently associated with lower IQ in children. The moderate confidence in the inverse
association between fluoride exposure and children’s IQ is based primarily on studies with
estimated fluoride exposures higher than what is generally associated with consumption of
optimally fluoridated water in the United States.
Compared to the body of literature reviewed in the current monograph that supports the existing
confidence statement, the studies identified in the updated literature search had similar study
designs and patterns of findings. Recent meta-analyses of the inverse association between
children’s IQ and fluoride exposures provide additional evidence of a dose-response relationship.
However, uncertainty remains in findings at the lower fluoride exposure range. As this body of
evidence matures, consideration for upgrading the moderate confidence conclusion to high
confidence based on additional evidence of dose-response relationships at lower fluoride levels
may be warranted.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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34(2):130-138. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0528.2006.00269.x
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figures
Figure A-1. Distribution of IQ in Children by Fluoride Exposure (Low Risk-of-bias Studies;
Presented as % in Area or % of Total Group) ........................................................ A-2
Figure A-2. Mean IQ in Children by Fluoride Exposure (Low Risk-of-bias Studies) ............... A-3
Figure A-3. Intelligence Grade in Children by Fluoride Exposure (Low Risk-of-bias Studies;
Presented as Mean) ................................................................................................. A-4
Figure A-4. Mean Change in IQ in Children by Fluoride Exposure (Low Risk-of-bias
Studies) ................................................................................................................... A-4
Figure A-5. Associations between Fluoride Exposure and IQ Scores in Children (Low Risk-of-
bias Studies; Presented as Adjusted OR) ................................................................ A-5
Figure A-6. Correlations between Fluoride Exposure and IQ Score in Children (Low Risk-of-
bias Studies; Presented as Correlation Coefficient) ................................................ A-6
Figure A-7. Associations between Fluoride Exposure and IQ Score in Children (Low Risk-of-
bias Studies; Presented as Adjusted Beta)—China ................................................. A-7
Figure A-8. Associations between Fluoride Exposure and IQ Score in Children (Low Risk-of-
bias Studies; Presented as Adjusted Beta)—Areas Other Than China ................... A-8
Figure A-9. Mean Motor/Sensory Scores in Children by Fluoride Exposure (Low Risk-of-bias
Studies) ................................................................................................................... A-9
Figure A-10. Correlations between Fluoride Exposure and Other Cognitive Effects in Children
(Low Risk-of-bias Studies; Presented as Correlation Coefficient) ....................... A-9
Figure A-11. Associations between Fluoride Exposure and Other Neurodevelopmental Effects in
Children (Low Risk-of-bias Studies; Presented as Adjusted Beta)..................... A-10
Figure A-12. Associations between Fluoride Exposure and Other Neurodevelopmental Effects in
Children (Low Risk-of-bias Studies; Presented as Adjusted OR) ...................... A-11
Figure A-13. Cognitive Impairment in Adults by Fluoride Exposure (Low Risk-of-bias Studies;
Presented as % of Total Group) .......................................................................... A-11
A-1
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Reference group indicated by blue bars; other bars represent response estimates with red indicating statistical significance
compared with the reference group.
An interactive version of Figure A-1 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019). “F” represents fluoride. For IQ
distribution results by drinking water fluoride level provided in Xiang et al. (2003a), Trivedi et al. (2012), Sudhir et al. (2009),
and Seraj et al. (2012), and rate of low IQ scores by fluoride intake provided in Wang et al. (2012), statistical significance was
not evaluated.
A-2
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Reference group indicated by blue triangles; circles represent response estimates with red indicating statistical significance.
An interactive version of Figure A-2 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019) “F” represents fluoride. Three
additional publications based on subsample of the larger Yu et al. (2018) cohort were identified (Zhao et al. 2019; Zhao et al.
2020; Zhou et al. 2019); however, results from these studies are not presented here. The main study by Yu et al. (2018) is
considered a better representation of the IQ results. For all studies, SDs are available and can be viewed in HAWC (NTP 2019)
by clicking the data points within the plot area; however, 95% CIs could not be calculated for Seraj et al. (2012) because Ns are
not available for exposure groups.
A-3
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure A-3. Intelligence Grade in Children by Fluoride Exposure (Low Risk-of-bias Studies;
Presented as Mean)
Reference group indicated by blue triangles; circles represent response estimates with red indicating statistical significance.
An interactive version of Figure A-3 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019). For Saxena et al. (2012), children’s
intelligence was measured using Raven’s Standard Progressive Matrices. Children’s scores were converted to percentile, and
specific grades were allotted based on the percentiles. Grades ranged from intellectually superior (Grade I) to intellectually
impaired (Grade V). Results for Soto-Barreras et al. (2019) are not presented here. Outcomes in the study were presented as
levels of fluoride exposure associated with each intelligence grade. Results reported were not significant.
Figure A-4. Mean Change in IQ in Children by Fluoride Exposure (Low Risk-of-bias Studies)
Reference group indicated by blue triangles; circles represent response estimates with red indicating statistical significance.
An interactive version of Figure A-4 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019). For Ding et al. (2011), SDs are
available and can be viewed in HAWC (NTP 2019) by clicking the data points within the plot area; however, 95% CIs could not
be calculated because Ns for each exposure group are not available.
A-4
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure A-5. Associations between Fluoride Exposure and IQ Scores in Children (Low Risk-of-bias
Studies; Presented as Adjusted OR)
Reference group indicated by blue triangles; circles represent response estimates with red indicating statistical significance.
Cutoffs for the dichotomous outcome are listed in the Endpoint column.
An interactive version of Figure A-5 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019). For Xiang et al. (2011), there was a
significant linear trend across different levels of serum fluoride for IQ score <80 (p < 0.001). For Yu et al. (2018), significance
levels by IQ score were not reported.
A-5
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure A-6. Correlations between Fluoride Exposure and IQ Score in Children (Low Risk-of-bias
Studies; Presented as Correlation Coefficient)
A-6
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure A-7. Associations between Fluoride Exposure and IQ Score in Children (Low Risk-of-bias
Studies; Presented as Adjusted Beta)—China
A-7
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure A-8. Associations between Fluoride Exposure and IQ Score in Children (Low Risk-of-bias
Studies; Presented as Adjusted Beta)—Areas Other Than China
A-8
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure A-9. Mean Motor/Sensory Scores in Children by Fluoride Exposure (Low Risk-of-bias
Studies)
Reference group indicated by blue triangles; circles represent response estimates with red indicating statistical significance.
An interactive version of Figure A-9 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019). “F” represents fluoride. 95% CIs
are small and are within figure symbols and may be difficult to see. Values for SDs and 95% CIs can be viewed in HAWC (NTP
2019) by clicking the data points within the plot area. Total neonatal behavioral neurological assessment (NBNA) score was also
significantly reduced in the endemic F region versus reference region (not shown).
Figure A-10. Correlations between Fluoride Exposure and Other Cognitive Effects in Children
(Low Risk-of-bias Studies; Presented as Correlation Coefficient)
A-9
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure A-11. Associations between Fluoride Exposure and Other Neurodevelopmental Effects in
Children (Low Risk-of-bias Studies; Presented as Adjusted Beta)
Reference group indicated by blue triangles; circles represent response estimates with red indicating statistical significance.
An interactive version of Figure A-11 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019). “F” represents fluoride. Bashash
et al. (2018) observed significant associations between maternal urinary fluoride and ADHD-like symptoms related to inattention
(an increase in 0.5 mg/L of maternal urinary fluoride was associated with a 2.84-point increase in the DSM-IV Inattention Index
and a 2.54-point increase in Cognitive Problems and Inattention Index). These two scales contributed to the global ADHD Index
and the DSM-IV ADHD Total Index shown here.
A-10
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure A-12. Associations between Fluoride Exposure and Other Neurodevelopmental Effects in
Children (Low Risk-of-bias Studies; Presented as Adjusted OR)
Figure A-13. Cognitive Impairment in Adults by Fluoride Exposure (Low Risk-of-bias Studies;
Presented as % of Total Group)
Reference group indicated by blue triangles; circles represent response estimates with red indicating statistical significance.
An interactive version of Figure A-13 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019). Results from Li et al. (2016)
suggested that fluoride exposure may be a risk factor for cognitive impairment in elderly subjects; however, results from the
study were not conducive to presentation in this visualization.
A-11
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Table of Contents
B.1. Introduction ..........................................................................................................................B-2
Tables
Table B-1. Literature Search and Document Review Timeline ...................................................B-2
Table B-2. PubMed Search Terms ...............................................................................................B-4
B-1
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
B.1. Introduction
NTP initially published a systematic review of the experimental animal literature in 2016 that
was subsequently expanded to include human epidemiological studies, mechanistic studies, and
newer experimental animal literature. Table B-1 provides a timeline of key activities contributing
to the 2024 NTP monograph including the multiple literature searches, draft monographs, and
document review activities that have occurred since 2016.
Table B-2 is a summary of the specific search terms used for the PubMed database. In order to
ensure inclusion of relevant papers, the strategy for this search was broad for the consideration of
neurodevelopmental or cognitive endpoints and comprehensive for fluoride as an exposure or
treatment. The specific search strategies for other databases are available in the protocol
(https://ntp.niehs.nih.gov/go/785076).
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Date Action
July 2022 Received final set of interagency review comments. Comments received from:
• Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
• U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)
• Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and
Human Development (NICHD)
• National Institute of Dental and Craniofacial Research (NIDCR)
• Office of the Director, National Institutes of Health (NIH OD)
• Office of the Assistant Secretary for Health (OASH)
September 2022 Sent the September 2022 NTP Monograph and responses to comments from
NASEM review, external peer review, and interagency review to BSC WG for
review of the adequacy of the NTP authors’ responses to comments.
May 2023 Received BSC WG report on the September 2022 NTP Monograph; made the
following key changes in response to the BSC WG report:
• Added an Addendum to update the literature assessing fluoride
exposures and children’s IQ to match the timeframe for literature
included in the meta-analysis for separate publication.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Table of Contents
C.1. Detailed Literature Search Results .......................................................................................C-2
C.2. List of Included Studies........................................................................................................C-3
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
C.1.1. Literature Search Results Counts and Title and Abstract Screening
The electronic database searches retrieved 25,450 unique references in total (20,883 references
during the initial search conducted in December 2016, 3,657 references during the literature
search updates [including the final updated search conducted for the primary epidemiological
studies on May 1, 2020], and 910 references from the supplemental Chinese database searches);
11 additional references were identified by technical advisors or from reviewing reference lists in
published reviews and included studies. As a result of title and abstract screening, 1,036
references were moved to full-text review, and 24,425 references were excluded (11,402 by
manual screening for not satisfying the PECO criteria and 13,023 based on the SWIFT-Active
Screener algorithm).
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Bashash M, Marchand M, Hu H, Till C, Martinez-Mier EA, Sanchez BN, Basu N, Peterson KE,
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2008. Research on the intellectual development of children in high fluoride areas. Fluoride 41:
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Figures
Figure D-1. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Human Neurodevelopmental or
Cognitive Studies Following Fluoride Exposure .................................................... D-3
Figure D-2. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Human Neurodevelopmental or
Cognitive Studies Following Fluoride Exposure .................................................... D-3
Figure D-3. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Human Neurodevelopmental or
Cognitive Studies Following Fluoride Exposure .................................................... D-3
Figure D-4. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Human Neurodevelopmental or
Cognitive Studies Following Fluoride Exposure .................................................... D-4
Figure D-5. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Children’s IQ Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure ................................................................................................... D-4
Figure D-6. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Children’s IQ Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure ................................................................................................... D-4
Figure D-7. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Children’s IQ Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure ................................................................................................... D-5
Figure D-8. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Children’s IQ Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure ................................................................................................... D-5
Figure D-9. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Children’s Other Neurodevelopmental
Effect Studies Following Fluoride Exposure .......................................................... D-5
Figure D-10. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Children’s Other Neurodevelopmental
Effect Studies Following Fluoride Exposure ........................................................ D-6
Figure D-11. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Children’s Other Neurodevelopmental
Effect Studies Following Fluoride Exposure ........................................................ D-6
Figure D-12. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Children’s Other
Neurodevelopmental Effect Studies Following Fluoride Exposure ...................... D-7
Figure D-13. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Adult Cognitive Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure ................................................................................................. D-7
Figure D-14. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Adult Cognitive Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure ................................................................................................. D-8
Figure D-15. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Adult Cognitive Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure ................................................................................................. D-8
Figure D-16. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Adult Cognitive Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure ................................................................................................. D-9
Figure D-17. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Human Mechanistic Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure ................................................................................................. D-9
Figure D-18. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Human Mechanistic Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-10
Figure D-19. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Human Mechanistic Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure ............................................................................................... D-10
Figure D-20. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Human Mechanistic Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-10
Figure D-21. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for New Developmental Animal Learning and Memory
Studies Following Fluoride Exposure ................................................................. D-11
D-1
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-22. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for New Developmental Animal Learning and Memory
Studies Following Fluoride Exposure ................................................................. D-11
Figure D-23. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for New Adult Animal Learning and Memory Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-12
Figure D-24. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for New Adult Animal Learning and Memory Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-12
Figure D-25. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Animal Biochemical Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-13
Figure D-26. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Animal Biochemical Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-13
Figure D-27. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Animal Biochemical Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-14
Figure D-28. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Animal Biochemical Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-14
Figure D-29. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Animal Neurotransmission Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-15
Figure D-30. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Animal Neurotransmission Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-15
Figure D-31. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Animal Neurotransmission Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-16
Figure D-32. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Animal Neurotransmission Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-16
Figure D-33. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Animal Oxidative Stress Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-17
Figure D-34. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Animal Oxidative Stress Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-17
Figure D-35. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Animal Oxidative Stress Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-18
Figure D-36. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Animal Oxidative Stress Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-18
Figure D-37. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Animal Histopathology Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-19
Figure D-38. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Animal Histopathology Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-19
Figure D-39. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Animal Histopathology Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-20
Figure D-40. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Animal Histopathology Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure .............................................................................. D-20
D-2
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-1. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Human Neurodevelopmental or Cognitive
Studies Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-1 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-2. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Human Neurodevelopmental or Cognitive
Studies Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-2 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-3. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Human Neurodevelopmental or Cognitive
Studies Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-3 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-3
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-4. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Human Neurodevelopmental or Cognitive
Studies Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-4 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-5. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Children’s IQ Studies Following Fluoride
Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-5 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-6. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Children’s IQ Studies Following Fluoride
Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-6 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-4
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-7. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Children’s IQ Studies Following Fluoride
Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-7 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-8. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Children’s IQ Studies Following Fluoride
Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-8 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-9. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Children’s Other Neurodevelopmental
Effect Studies Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-9 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-5
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-10. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Children’s Other Neurodevelopmental
Effect Studies Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-10 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-11. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Children’s Other Neurodevelopmental
Effect Studies Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-11 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-6
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-12. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Children’s Other Neurodevelopmental
Effect Studies Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-12 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-13. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Adult Cognitive Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-13 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-7
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-14. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Adult Cognitive Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-14 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-15. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Adult Cognitive Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-15 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-8
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-16. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Adult Cognitive Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-16 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-17. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Human Mechanistic Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-17 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-9
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-18. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Human Mechanistic Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-18 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-19. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Human Mechanistic Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-19 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-20. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Human Mechanistic Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-20 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-10
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-21. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for New Developmental Animal Learning and Memory Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-21 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-22. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for New Developmental Animal Learning and Memory Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-22 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-11
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-23. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for New Adult Animal Learning and Memory Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-23 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-24. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for New Adult Animal Learning and Memory Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-24 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-12
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-25. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Animal Biochemical Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-25 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-26. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Animal Biochemical Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-26 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-13
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-27. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Animal Biochemical Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-27 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-28. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Animal Biochemical Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-28 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-14
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-29. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Animal Neurotransmission Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-29 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-30. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Animal Neurotransmission Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-30 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-15
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-31. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Animal Neurotransmission Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-31 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-32. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Animal Neurotransmission Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-32 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-16
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-33. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Animal Oxidative Stress Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-33 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-34. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Animal Oxidative Stress Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-34 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-17
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-35. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Animal Oxidative Stress Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-35 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-36. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Animal Oxidative Stress Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-36 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-18
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-37. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for Low Risk-of-bias Animal Histopathology Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-37 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-38. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for Low Risk-of-bias Animal Histopathology Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-38 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-19
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Figure D-39. Risk-of-bias Heatmap for High Risk-of-bias Animal Histopathology Studies Following
Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-39 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
Figure D-40. Risk-of-bias Bar Chart for High Risk-of-bias Animal Histopathology Studies
Following Fluoride Exposure
An interactive version of Figure D-40 and additional study details in HAWC here (NTP 2019).
D-20
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Table of Contents
E.1. IQ Studies ............................................................................................................................. E-2
E.2. Other Neurodevelopmental Studies .................................................................................... E-65
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
E.1. IQ Studies
• Author contacts:
o Authors were contacted for additional information on whether clustering was
addressed. The authors provided results from additional models with cohort as a
random effect, which informed the rating decision for the following risk-of-bias
domains: Other.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Study participants were selected from two different cohorts from three
hospitals in Mexico City that serve low-to-moderate income populations. One
cohort was from an observational study of prenatal lead exposure and
neurodevelopment outcomes, and the other was from a randomized trial of the
effect of calcium on maternal blood lead levels. The authors state that participants
had no history of psychiatric disorders, high-risk pregnancies, gestational
diabetes, illegal drug use, or continuous prescription drugs, but no information on
smoking habits was considered. Study populations appear to be similar, but there
may be some differences because subjects were selected from two different
cohorts that were recruited from slightly different time periods.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
exposure groups were similar despite the subjects coming from different original
study populations wherein different methods were used for recruitment.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using well-established methods that directly
measured exposure.
• Outcome:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Outcome was assessed using the McCarthy Scales of Children’s
Abilities (MSCA) in 4-year-old children (translated into Spanish) and the
Wechsler Abbreviated Scale of Intelligence (WASI) in 6–12-year-olds. The
WASI is a well-established test, and the validity of both tests is well documented
by the authors. Inter-examiner reliability was evaluated and reported with a
correlation of 0.99 (++ for methods). The study report stated that psychologists
were blind to the children’s fluoride exposure (++ for blinding). Overall rating for
methods and blinding = ++.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
outcome was assessed using instruments that were valid and reliable in the study
population, and that the outcome assessor was blind to participants’ fluoride
exposure.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: All outcomes outlined in the abstract, introduction, and methods are
reported in sufficient detail.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that all
measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary:
Statistical analyses: Statistical analyses used were appropriate for the study.
Statistical tests of bivariate associations (using Chi-square tests for categorical
variables and analysis of variance [ANOVA]) were used to compare the
means of the outcomes or exposure within groups based on the distribution of
each covariate. Generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to estimate
the adjusted association between fluoride exposure and measures of children’s
intelligence. Residual diagnostics were used to examine model assumptions
and identify any potentially influential observations. Results are reported as
adjusted regression slopes and 95% CIs. In sensitivity analyses, regression
models accounted for clustering at the cohort level by using cohort as a fixed
effect in the models. Although using cohort as a random effect would be more
appropriate, using individual-level exposure data and accounting for
numerous important covariates in the models likely captured the cohort effect.
Additional models with cohort as a random effect were also subsequently
made available via personal communication with the study authors and
showed similar results to the main model.
Other potential concerns: None identified.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk if bias is based on direct evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate and there were no other potential threats of
risk of bias identified.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Definitely or probably low
risk-of-bias ratings in confounding, exposure, and outcome. Study strengths include
individual exposure assessment measurements, blinding of outcome assessor to
participants’ fluoride exposure, and the prospective cohort study design.
• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for additional information because it was not
necessary.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Subjects were selected during the same time frame using the same
methods. Fifty-one first-grade children residing in Mianning County in southern
Sichuan, China were included in this pilot study. It is not specified whether the 51
children represented all the first-grade children from this area or whether some
refused to participate. Children who did not speak Chinese, were not students at
the Primary School of Sunshui Village in Mianning County, or those with chronic
or acute disease that might affect neurobehavioral function tests were excluded.
Demographic characteristics are presented in Table 1 of the study, which indicates
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
that subjects were similar. Important covariates are adjusted for in the statistical
analyses.
o Basis for Rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
exposure groups were similar and were recruited within the same time frame
using the same methods with no evidence of differences in participation/response
rates.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: The parents or guardians completed a questionnaire on demographic
and personal characteristics of the children (sex, age at testing, parity, illnesses
before age 3, and past medical history) and caretakers (age, parity, education and
occupational histories, residential history, and household income). A 20-μL
capillary blood sample was collected at the school by a Mianning County Center
for Disease Control (CDC) health practitioner and tested for possible iron
deficiency, which could have been used as a covariate of neurodevelopmental
performance. Important covariates that were not assessed include maternal BMI,
parental mental health, maternal smoking status, maternal reproductive factors,
parental IQ, and HOME score. However, the study authors noted that
confounding bias appeared to be limited due to the minimal diversity in the social
characteristics of the subjects. The study authors indicated that CDC records
documented that levels of other contaminants, including arsenic and lead, were
very low in the area. Iodine differences were not specifically addressed, but there
is no indication from the information provided that this might have been a
concern.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: All key covariates were
considered in this study.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Not applicable.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias because there is direct evidence that
the key covariates were considered and indirect evidence that co-exposure to
arsenic was likely not an issue in this area and that methods used for collecting
the information were valid and reliable.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: The majority of results were reported for the 51 children stated to be
included in the pilot study. In Table 5 of the study, the N for each dental fluorosis
category totals only 43, but the text indicates 8 children did not have a Dean Index
because permanent teeth had not erupted.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exclusion of subjects from analyses was adequately addressed, and reasons were
documented when subjects were removed from the study or excluded from
analyses.
• Exposure:
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
assesses the ability to learn the locations of pictured objects over repeated
exposures. The Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children-Revised (WISC-IV)
includes digit span for auditory span and working memory and block design for
visual organization and reasoning. The grooved pegboard test assesses manual
dexterity. The tests used have been validated on a Western population. Although
there is no information provided to indicate that the tests were validated on the
study population, the study authors indicated that the tests were culture-
independent (+ for methods). Blinding of the outcome assessors to participants’
fluoride exposure, or steps to minimize potential bias were not reported. However,
it is unlikely that the assessors had knowledge of the individual exposure as
children all came from the same area, and water and urine levels were tested at the
CDC. (+ for blinding). Overall = +.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that all
outcomes were assessed using instruments that were valid and reliable in the
study population, and that the outcome assessors were blind to participants’
fluoride exposure.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: All outcomes outlined in the abstract, introduction, and methods are
reported in sufficient detail.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that all
measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary:
Statistical analyses: Statistical analyses are appropriate. Multiple regression
models evaluate the associations between exposure indicators and test scores
after adjusting for covariates. Specific regression models are not described or
refenced, just stated to be “standard regression analysis with confounder
adjustment.” The distributions of fluoride concentrations in urine and water
are skewed and log10-transformed to approximate a Gaussian distribution
(test not specified). Results are reported as adjusted regression slopes and 95%
CIs. There is no evidence that residual diagnostics were used to examine
model assumptions; however, the impact on the effect estimates is expected to
be minimal.
Other potential concerns: It should be noted that this study was a pilot study
and, therefore, had a relatively small sample size (i.e., 51 children).
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk if bias based on indirect evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate and there were no other potential threats of
risk of bias identified.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Probably low risk-of-bias
ratings in the confounding, exposure, and outcome domains. Study strengths include
individual fluoride measurements with blinding at outcome assessment likely. All key
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
covariates and many other important covariates were considered in the study design
or analysis.
• Author contacts:
o Authors were contacted in June 2019 to obtain additional information for risk-of-
bias evaluation. Additional information provided by the authors informed the
rating decision for the following risk-of-bias domains: Detection (outcome
assessment).
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Four schools were selected from the same district in China. The
schools were selected based on levels of fluoride in the local drinking water and
the degree of school cooperation. No details were provided on the number of
schools in given areas or the difficulty in getting school cooperation. It was noted
that the residents in the four areas had similar living habits, economic situations,
and educational standards. Although authors do not provide the specific data to
support this, fluoride levels and IQ scores were provided by different subject
characteristics. The areas were classified as historically endemic fluorosis and
non-fluorosis. Cluster sampling was used to select the grades in each school
according to previously set child ages, and classroom was randomly selected with
all students within a selected classroom included. Reasons for exclusion do not
appear to be related to exposure or outcome.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
exposure groups were similar and recruited within the same time frame using the
same methods, with no evidence of differences in participation/response rates.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for the 2020 publication. Authors were contacted in
June 2019 for additional information on the Cui et al. (2018) publication.
Additional information provided by the authors regarding Cui et al. (2018)
informed the rating decision for the following risk-of-bias domains: Detection
(outcome assessment).
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Subjects were recruited from 2014 to 2018. One school was selected
from each district where water concentrations of water iodine were <10, 10–100,
100–150, 150–300 and >300 µg/L. In each school, classes were randomly
sampled for the appropriate age group of 7–12 years old. A table of subject
characteristics was provided by IQ. A total of 620 children were recruited, and
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
122 children who did not have complete information or enough blood sample
were excluded. Reasons for exclusion do not appear to be related to exposure or
outcome. The characteristics of the 498 included children are presented.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
exposure groups were similar and were recruited within the same time frame
using the same methods, with no evidence of differences in participation/response
rates.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably high risk of bias (−)
o Summary: It was noted by the study authors that there were no other
environmental poisons except water fluoride. Other studies also conducted in this
area of China noted specifically that arsenic was not a concern. Iodine was
addressed as that was one of the main points of the study. Twenty-one factors
(provided in Table 1 of the study) were selected as covariates, and a homemade
questionnaire of unspecified validity was used for obtaining the information. It
was noted that child age, stress, and anger were significantly associated with IQ
although it is unclear whether these varied by fluoride level. However, Cui et al.
(2018) indicate that fluoride was not significantly associated with stress and
anger, and it was assumed that results would be similar for this study even though
more children were included.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: Age (children 7–12 years old)
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Age is a key covariate for IQ, even in the
narrow age range evaluated in this study. The direction of the association may
depend on the number of children in each age group within the different
urinary fluoride categories; however, these data were not provided. In general,
there were fewer subjects ≤9 years of age (i.e., 111) compared to >9 years of
age (i.e., 387) with a significantly higher IQ in the ≤9-year-old age group.
Therefore, if exposure were higher in the older subjects, this could likely bias
the association away from the null.
o Basis for rating: Probably high risk of bias because there is indirect evidence that
age was not addressed as a key covariate, and it may be related to both IQ and
exposure.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Of the 620 children recruited, 122 (20%) were excluded due to
incomplete information or inadequate blood sample. No information was provided
to indicate whether there were similarities or differences in the children included
versus the children excluded, but exclusion is unlikely to be related to either
outcome or exposure.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exclusion of subjects from analyses was adequately addressed, and reasons were
documented when subjects were removed from the study or excluded from
analyses.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Children’s morning urine was collected with a clean polyethylene tube,
and fluoride was measured using a fluoride ion-selective electrode following
Chinese standard WS/T 89-2015. A brief description was provided, but no QC
methods were reported. The study authors do not account for urinary dilution in
the spot samples.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Not accounting for dilution could cause
some exposure misclassification. The direction and magnitude would depend
on where the differences occurred.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using acceptable methods that provide
individual levels of exposure.
• Outcome:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: IQ was measured using the Combined Raven’s Test, which is an
appropriate test for the study population (++ for methods). Blinding was not
mentioned; however, the outcome assessors would not likely have had knowledge
of the child’s urinary fluoride. Subjects appear to have been recruited based on
iodine levels; therefore, it is unlikely that there would have been any knowledge
of potential fluoride exposure. Correspondence with the study authors for the Cui
et al. (2018) study also indicated that the outcome assessors would have been
blind.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
outcome was assessed using instruments that were valid and reliable in the study
population, and that the outcome assessors were blind to participants’ fluoride
exposure.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: All outcomes in the abstract, introduction, and methods are reported in
sufficient detail.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that all
measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary:
Statistical analyses: One-way ANOVA was used to make comparisons
between mean IQ by urinary fluoride levels. Consideration of heterogeneity of
variances was not reported. There is no adjustment for covariates or for
clustering of children at the school level. There is no evidence that the
sampling strategy was otherwise accounted for (i.e., via sampling weights).
The impact of these factors on the effect estimates is expected to be minimal
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
given the use of individual-level data. The primary focus of the study was to
evaluate associations between IQ and thyroid hormone or dopamine levels
(not between IQ and fluoride levels). It should also be noted that more
advanced analyses used for thyroid hormone- and dopamine-IQ associations
still lacked adjustment for school and accounting for clustering of children
from the same school.
Other potential concerns: None identified.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate, and there were no other potential threats of
risk of bias identified.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Probably low risk-of-bias
ratings in exposure and outcome. Study strengths include individual exposure
assessment measurements, but the study is limited by the cross-sectional study
design, lack of accounting for urine dilution, and lack of addressing age as a key
covariate.
• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for additional information because it was not
necessary.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: The study randomly selected 7–14-year-olds (n = 340) from four
nearby elementary schools in Hulunbuir. The four elementary schools appeared to
be very similar in teaching quality. The study authors noted that they followed the
principles of matching social and natural factors like economic situation,
educational standards, and geological environments as much as possible;
however, how this was done is unclear and no table of study subject
characteristics by group was provided.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
exposure groups were similar and were recruited within the same time frame
using the same methods, with no evidence of differences in participation/response
rates.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably high risk of bias (−)
o Summary: It was noted that none of the four sites had other potential neurotoxins,
including arsenic, in their drinking water. Details were not provided, except for a
reference supporting the statement. In addition, iodine deficiency was noted as not
being an issue in any of the four areas. Age was the only key covariate adjusted
for in the regression model. Although dental fluorosis severity by % female was
reported, not enough data were provided to determine whether sex should have
been considered in the regression model. The study authors note that future
studies will include covariates such as parents’ educational attainment, mother’s
age at delivery, and household income.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: Sex
Direction/magnitude of effect size: There is not enough information to
determine whether there was an effect from sex. There were some differences
in dental fluorosis level by sex, but it is unclear how this might impact the
results or whether the distribution of sex differed by age.
o Basis for rating: Probably high risk of bias based on indirect evidence that there
were differences in sex that were not considered in the study design or analyses.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Data were relatively complete (i.e., <5% loss). Of the 340 subjects
selected for inclusion, 5 were excluded because they lived in the area for less than
a year with an additional 4 not consenting to participate.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that
exclusion of subjects from analysis was adequately addressed, and reasons were
documented when subjects were removed from the study or excluded from
analyses.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Spot urine samples were collected and measured using China CDC
standards. All samples were analyzed twice using a fluoride ion-selective
electrode. Recovery rates were specified as 95%–105% with an LOD of
0.05 mg/L. Water samples were collected from small-scale central water supply
systems and tube wells with handy pumps and were processed using standard
methods, similar to the urine samples. Quality assurance validation was reported.
A blind professional examiner evaluated the children for dental fluorosis using
Dean’s Index. All urine and water samples were above the LOD. Urine levels
were the primary exposure assessment measures used in the analysis. The study
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
authors did not account for urinary dilution in the spot samples. The mean urine
fluoride concentration was correlated with the dental fluorosis levels.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Spot urine samples that did not account for
dilution could have exposure misclassification. The misclassification is likely
non-differential, and the potential direction of bias is unknown.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using well-established methods that directly
measure exposure.
• Outcome:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: IQ was determined using the Combined Raven’s Test–The Rural in
China (CRT-RC3) (++ for methods). Although blinding was not reported, it is
unlikely that the IQ assessors had knowledge of the children’s urine levels or even
of the water levels from the four sites, as these were sent to a separate lab for
testing (+ for blinding). Overall rating for methods and blinding = +.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
outcome was assessed using instruments that were valid and reliable in the study
population, and that the outcome assessors were blind to participants’ fluoride
exposure.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: All outcomes outlined in the abstract, introduction, and methods are
reported in sufficient detail.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that all
measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary:
Statistical analyses: Statistical analyses were reasonable (ANOVA and
multiple linear regression), but consideration of homogeneity of variance was
not reported. The NASEM committee’s review (NASEM 2021) pointed out a
potential concern regarding the lack of accounting for clustering at the school
level because children were selected from four elementary schools. However,
as outlined in the Selection domain, the authors stated that they followed the
principles of matching social and natural factors like economic situation,
educational standards, and geological environments to the extent possible and
that the four elementary schools appeared to be very similar in teaching
quality. There is no evidence that the sampling strategy was otherwise
accounted for (i.e., via sampling weights). The impact of these factors on the
effect estimates is expected to be minimal given the use of individual-level
data and adjustment for age as a key covariate.
Other potential concerns: None identified.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate and that there were no other potential threats
of risk of bias.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Probably low risk-of-bias
ratings in exposure and outcome. Study strengths include individual exposure
assessment measurements, but the study is limited by the cross-sectional study
design, lack of accounting for urine dilution, and lack of consideration of sex as a key
covariate.
• Author contacts:
o Authors were contacted in June 2019 for additional information for the risk-of-
bias evaluation. Additional information provided by the authors informed the
rating decision for the following risk-of-bias domains: Other.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Pregnant women were recruited from the same population during the
same time frame and using the same methods as the MIREC program. Methods
were reported in detail.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
exposed groups were similar and were recruited with the same methods during the
same time frame.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: The study considered several possible covariates, including maternal
age, pre-pregnancy BMI, marriage status, birth country, race, maternal education,
employment, income, HOME score, smoking during pregnancy, secondhand
smoke in the home, alcohol consumption during pregnancy, parity, sex, age at
testing, gestational age, birth weight, time of void, and time since last void. The
study also conducted secondary analyses to test for lead, mercury, arsenic, and
PFOA. There is no indication of any other potential co-exposures in this study
population. Iodine deficiency or excess could not be assessed but is not expected
to differentially occur. The study was not able to assess parental IQ or mental
health disorders. Methods used to obtain the information included questionnaires
and laboratory tests.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: All key covariates were
addressed.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Not applicable.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
methods used to collect the information were valid and reliable and direct
evidence that key covariates, including potential co-exposures, were addressed.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Of the 610 recruited children, 601 (98.5%) completed testing. Of the
601 mother-child pairs, 512 (85.2%) had all three maternal urine samples and
complete covariate data, and 400 (66.6%) had data available to estimate fluoride
intake.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exclusion of subjects from analyses was adequately addressed, and reasons were
documented when subjects were removed from the study or excluded from
analyses.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Spot urine samples from all three trimesters of pregnancy were
evaluated using appropriate methods, and results were adjusted for creatinine and
specific gravity. Fluoride intake was estimated based on fluoride water levels, and
information on consumption of tap water and other water-based beverages (e.g.,
tea, coffee) was obtained via questionnaire.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: There is not any specific direction or
magnitude of bias expected. Urinary fluoride levels are reflective of a recent
exposure. Having measurements from all three trimesters of pregnancy
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate and there were no other potential threats of
risk of bias identified.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Probably low risk-of-bias
ratings in confounding, exposure, and outcome. Study strengths include individual
exposure assessment measurements, prospective cohort design, and the consideration
of key covariates.
• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for additional information to inform the risk-of-bias
evaluation because it was not necessary.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: All children in 1st through 3rd grades in three rural areas in Mexico
(n = 480) were screened for study eligibility, including age, time at residence, and
address. Authors report that the three selected communities were similar in
population and general demographic characteristics. Children who had lived in
the area since birth and were 6–10 years old were eligible to participate (n = 308).
Of the 308 children, 155 were randomly selected and the response rate was 85%,
but participation was not reported by area. It was noted, however, that no
significant differences in age, sex, or time of residence were observed between
participants and non-participants. Time frame for selection was not mentioned but
appears to be similar. Sociodemographic characteristics of subjects were provided
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
in Table 1 of the study. There was a significant difference in SES and transferrin
saturation, but these were considered in the analysis.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
populations were similar, and differences were noted and addressed in the
analysis.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: The study design or analysis accounted for age, sex, SES, transferrin
saturation, weight, height, blood lead levels, and mother's education. Arsenic
levels were highly correlated with fluoride levels; however, arsenic and fluoride
were evaluated alone, and arsenic was found to have less of an effect on IQ than
fluoride. This provides evidence that arsenic had been addressed as a co-exposure
and cannot explain the association between fluoride exposure and decreased IQ.
Smoking was not addressed and methods for measuring many of the covariates
were not reported.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: Arsenic
Direction/magnitude of effect size: The presence of arsenic in this study,
which also demonstrated an association, would likely bias the association
away from the null. Although arsenic may contribute to some of the
magnitude of the observed effect of fluoride (the exact impact of arsenic on
the magnitude cannot be assessed), the presence of arsenic does not fully
explain the observed association between fluoride exposure and IQ. The
presence of arsenic may affect the magnitude of the association between
fluoride and IQ, but it has no impact on the direction of the association.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
methods used to collect the information were valid and reliable and direct
evidence that key covariates were addressed.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Of 155 children randomly selected for study participation, 85%
responded to enroll. According to the authors, there were no significant
differences in age, sex, or time of residence between responders and non-
responders. However, no data were provided to support this, and no breakdown of
responders/non-responders by region was provided. Data were provided for the
132 children agreeing to participate.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exclusion of subjects from analyses was adequately addressed, and reasons were
documented when subjects were removed from the study or excluded from
analyses.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
fluoride in water and urine and children’s IQ scores. Exposures were natural
log-transformed, but the rationale was not provided. Regression diagnostics
were not used to test model assumptions for linearity, normality, and
homogeneity. The analyses did not account for clustering at the community
level. The three selected communities were similar in population and general
demographic characteristics. Although the analysis used individual-level
exposures rather than area‐level exposures, if the exposure levels within a
certain area were highly correlated (which might be expected), then the results
might still be biased. However, the overall impact on the effect estimates is
expected to be minimal given the use of individual-level data and adjustment
for multiple important covariates.
Other potential concerns: None identified.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate and there were no other potential threats of
risk of bias identified.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Definitely or probably low
risk-of-bias ratings in confounding, exposure, and outcome. Study strengths include
individual exposure assessment measurements and blinding of outcome assessors to
participants’ fluoride exposure, but it is limited by the cross-sectional study design
and the inability to completely rule out the influence of arsenic in the results.
• Author contacts:
o Authors were contacted in August 2017 to obtain additional information for risk-
of-bias evaluation. Additional information provided by the authors informed the
rating decision for the following risk-of-bias domains: Detection (outcome
assessment).
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: There was indirect evidence that subjects were similar and were
recruited using the same methods during the same time frame. The study
participants were selected from a stratified cluster of geographic areas based on
fluoride concentration in groundwater. According to the authors, the selected
villages were similar in population and demographic characteristics. Data are
provided to show the breakdown in SES, parental education, height/age, and
weight/height, and no significant differences were noted. Participation was stated
to be voluntary, but participation rates were not provided. It is unclear whether the
170 subjects were selected with 100% participation or whether the 170 subjects
were all who were asked to participate, but it appears that all subjects participated.
Timing of the recruitment was not provided but is assumed to occur during the
same time frame.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
subjects were similar and recruited using the same methods during the same time
frame.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: There was indirect evidence that key covariates, including potential co-
exposures, were addressed using reasonable methods. A questionnaire, completed
with the assistance of parents, was used to collect information on child
characteristics (age, sex, height, weight), residential history, medical history
(including illness affecting the nervous system and head trauma), educational
level of the head of the family (in years), and SES of the family. The SES was
recorded according to the Pareek and Trivedi classification. The nutritional status
of the children was calculated using Waterlow’s classification, which defines two
groups for malnutrition using height-for-age ratio (chronic condition) and weight
for height ratio (acute condition). Within both groups, it categorizes the
malnutrition as normal, mildly impaired, moderately impaired, or severely
impaired. Urinary lead and arsenic were analyzed using the atomic absorption
spectrophotometer. Urinary iodine was measured using the Dunn method.
Authors do not report which covariates were included in the multivariate
regression models; however, there was no difference in reported demographic
characteristics. All subjects were the same age, and there was no difference in
iodine, lead, or arsenic between the groups. Mean urinary arsenic levels increased
with increasing fluoride even though there was no significant difference by group.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: All key covariates were
considered in this study.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Not applicable.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
methods used to collect the information were valid and reliable and that key
covariates, including potential co-exposures, were addressed.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Attrition:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Results were provided for all 170 children stated to be included in the
study.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence of no
attrition.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: A sample of 200 mL of drinking water was collected at each child’s
home. The fluoride levels were analyzed by a fluoride ion-selective electrode.
Each subject was also asked to collect a sample of his/her first morning urine. The
fluoride content in the urine was determined using a fluoride ion-selective
electrode. QA/QC and LOD were not reported, and urinary dilution was not
assessed. Although only current levels were measured, children who had changed
their water source since birth were excluded.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Spot urine samples that did not account for
dilution could have exposure misclassification. The misclassification is likely
non-differential and not likely to bias in any specific direction. Children who
had changed water source since birth were excluded, but it was not
specifically noted that the fluoride in the water source was stable over the
years.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using well-established methods that directly
measured exposure.
• Outcome:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Intelligence was assessed using Raven’s Standard Progressive Matrices
and categorized into five grade levels. Although it was not noted that the test was
validated to the study population, the test is visual and would be applicable to
most populations (+ for methods). There is no mention of blinding by test
administrators or evaluators, and the exposure groups come from different
geographic areas. It was also not reported who measured the levels of fluoride
from the home or urine samples. Correspondence with the study authors indicated
that the outcome assessors were blind to the children’s fluoride status (++ for
blinding). Overall rating for methods and blinding = +.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
outcome was assessed using instruments that were valid and reliable in the study
population, and that the outcome assessors were blind to participants’ fluoride
exposure.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Summary: All outcomes outlined in the abstract, introduction, and methods are
reported in sufficient detail.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that all
measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary:
Statistical analyses: One-way analysis of variance (ANOVA), simple linear
regression, and multiple linear regression were used to compare mean
intelligence grades by water fluoride levels and to assess the association
between grades and urinary fluoride. Consideration of heterogeneity of
variance (for ANOVA) was not reported. Regression diagnostics were not
used to test model assumptions for linearity, normality, and homogeneity.
Given the ordinal nature of the intelligence grade variable (score from 1 to 5),
ordinal logistic regression would have been a more appropriate method. There
was no adjustment for area-level clustering in multivariate analyses (although
subjects were selected via stratified cluster sampling from two areas).
Although the analysis used individual-level exposures rather than area‐level
exposures, if the exposure levels within a certain area were highly correlated
(which might be expected), then the results might still be biased. However, the
overall impact on the effect estimates is expected to be minimal given the use
of individual-level data and adjustment for important covariates.
Other potential concerns: None identified.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate, and there were no other potential threats of
risk of bias identified.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Probably low risk-of-bias
ratings in confounding, exposure, and outcome. Study strengths include individual
exposure assessment measurements and the consideration of key covariates, but it
was limited by the cross-sectional study design and lack of addressing dilution in the
urine samples.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for additional information because it was not
necessary.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Subjects were selected from five villages in Makoo. The villages were
stated to all be rural with similar general demographic and geographic
characteristics and were comparable in terms of SES and parental occupations.
Children were 6–11 years old. Age, sex, and education were taken into account in
the analysis. No other characteristics were provided or discussed. Participation
rates were not reported. There is indirect evidence that the populations were
similar, and some possible differences were addressed.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
subjects were similar and recruited using the same methods during the same time
frame.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Age, sex, dental fluorosis intensity, and educational levels (child’s and
parents’) were evaluated as important covariates. Other covariates such as
smoking were not discussed. Information was obtained from a detailed
questionnaire. Lead was measured but found only in low levels in the drinking
water throughout the study regions. Iodine in the water was also stated to be
measured, and residents were receiving iodine-enriched salt. Arsenic was not
addressed, but there is no evidence that arsenic levels would vary across villages
in this area. Based on water quality maps, co-exposure to arsenic is likely not a
major concern in this area.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: Arsenic.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Conceptually, if there were differential
amounts of arsenic in the different villages, co-exposure to arsenic could bias
the association, with the direction of the bias dependent on where the arsenic
was present; however, arsenic was not expected to be a major concern in this
study area based on water quality maps.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
methods used to collect the information were valid and that key covariates,
including potential co-exposures, were addressed or were not likely to be an issue
in the study area.
• Attrition:
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for additional information to inform the risk-of-bias
evaluation because it was not necessary.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Subjects were selected using a multistage cluster sampling. During the
first stage, 13 public elementary schools were randomly selected from a pool of
73 using a cluster sample design. Secondly, only fourth-grade students were
included. Authors stated that they wanted to keep the same grade level, but there
were no specific details as to why fourth graders were selected as opposed to any
other grade. Lastly, only children whose parents or guardians attended and
responded to the survey were included. There is no information provided on how
the 13 schools selected may have been similar to or different from the 60 schools
not selected. There is no information provided on the number of children in the
fourth grade to know participant rates. It was only noted that 245 children were
examined, but 161 were included after the exclusion rules were applied. Inclusion
and exclusion criteria are presented. Reasons for exclusion do not appear to be
related to exposure or outcome. Characteristics of participants and non-
participants are not compared; however, characteristics of the 161 included
children were provided, and any differences were taken into account in the
analysis.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
exposed groups were similar and were recruited using similar methods during the
same time frame.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably high risk of bias (−)
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Author contacts:
o Authors were contacted in September of 2017 for additional information related
to risk-of-bias evaluation, but no response was received.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Children were selected from the same general population during the
same time frame and were then broken down into nearly equal exposure groups.
A cross-sectional study was conducted among 13–15-year-old school children of
Nalgonda district, Andhra Pradesh, between August and October 2006. Data were
collected from the school children who were lifelong residents of Nalgonda
district, Andhra Pradesh, and who consumed drinking water from the same source
during the first 10 years of life. A stratified random sampling technique was used.
The entire geographical area of Nalgonda district was divided into four strata
based on different levels of naturally occurring fluoride in the drinking water
supply. Children were randomly selected from schools in the different strata. It
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
was noted that the 1,000 selected children were equally divided among all four
strata; however, each group did not have 250 children (rather, each had 243–267).
Participation rates were not reported. Exclusion criteria included children who
had a history of brain disease and head injuries, children whose intelligence had
been affected by congenital or acquired disease, children who had migrated or
were not permanent residents, children with orthodontic brackets, and children
with severe extrinsic stains on their teeth. Age and sex data are presented in
Table 1 of the study, but this information is not presented by the different fluoride
groups.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
subjects were similar and were recruited using the same methods during the same
time frame.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Data were collected using a self-administered questionnaire and
clinical examination. The questionnaire requested information on demographic
data (appears to cover age and sex), permanent residential address, staple food
consumed, liquids routinely consumed, and aids used for oral hygiene
maintenance (fluoridated or non-fluoridated). SES was measured using the
Kakkar socioeconomic status scale (KSESS) with eight closed-ended questions
related to parental education, family income, father’s occupation, and other
factors. All children were asked to fill out the form, and the answers obtained
were scored using Kakkar socioeconomic status scoring keys. Based on this
scoring, children were divided into three groups: lower class, middle class, or
upper class. Age, sex, and SES were not found to be significantly associated with
IQ. Other covariates, including smoking, were not addressed. Co-exposures such
as arsenic and lead were not addressed; however, there is no indication that lead is
a co-exposure in this population, and arsenic is not likely a major concern in this
area based on water quality maps.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: Key covariates age, sex, and
measures of SES were similar between exposure groups; however, arsenic was
not considered. Arsenic often occurs in the drinking water along with fluoride in
some Indian populations; however, based on water quality maps, this does not
appear to be an issue in the Nalgonda district of Andhra Pradesh. Iodine
deficiencies are not mentioned.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Conceptually, the presence of arsenic
would potentially bias the association away from the null if present with
fluoride. Deficiencies in iodine would likely bias the association away from
the null if present in areas of high fluoride but toward the null if present in
areas of non-high fluoride. Neither of these were considered issues in this
study for reasons noted above.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the key
covariates were considered, co-exposure to arsenic was likely not an issue in this
area, and methods used for collecting the information were valid and reliable.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Attrition:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Results were available for the 1,000 children selected to participate.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence of no
attrition.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Children were placed into one of four strata based on the level of
fluoride in drinking water. Collection of water samples was done in the districts.
The placement into strata was based on fluoride levels obtained from documented
records of the District Rural Water Works Department. Once the children were
assigned to strata, it was confirmed that the fluoride level of their drinking water
was within the strata assigned. This was done using the methodology followed in
the National Oral Health Survey and Fluoride Mapping 2002–2003. During the
initial visits to the schools, the children were interviewed regarding their history
of residence and source of drinking water from birth to 10 years. The first child
meeting the criteria was given a bottle for water collection, and the next child was
given a bottle for collection only if the water source was different from that of a
previous child. Children were asked to collect a water sample from the source that
was used in the initial 10 years of their life (and that sample was collected the
next day). It was not reported whether all bottles were returned. The water
samples collected were subjected to water fluoride analysis using an ion-specific
electrode, Orion 720A fluoride meter at District Water Works, Nalgonda to
confirm the fluoride levels in the water before commencement of clinical
examination. LOD and QA/QC details were not reported.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: There is some potential for exposure
misclassification based on recall of the children on the source of water used in
their first 10 years of life. The misclassification is likely non-differential and
not likely to bias in any specific direction. Children who had changed water
since birth were excluded, but it was not specifically noted that the fluoride in
the water source was stable over the years.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using well-established methods that directly
measured exposure.
• Outcome:
o Rating: Probably high risk of bias (NR)
o Summary: Raven’s standard progressive matrices (1992 edition) was used to
assess IQ. Raven’s test is a standard test; although there is no information
provided to indicate that the methods were reliable and valid in this study
population, the test was created to be culturally fair (+ for methods). Blinding or
other methods to reduce potential bias were not reported (NR for blinding). No
response was received to an email request for clarification in September 2017.
Overall rating for methods and blinding = NR.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Basis for rating: Probably high risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
outcome assessors were not blind to participants’ fluoride exposure and could bias
the results.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: All outcomes outlined in the abstract, introduction, and methods are
reported in sufficient detail.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that all
measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary:
Statistical analyses: Chi-square test and Spearman rank correlation were used
to assess the association between four different fluoride levels and IQ grades.
Area-level exposures were used. Clustering of children within the four areas
was not accounted for in the analysis; however, because multiple villages
were included in each fluoride exposure level, clustering was less of a concern
and the impact on the effect estimates was expected to be minimal.
Other potential concerns: None identified.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate and there were no other potential threats of
risk of bias identified.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Probably low risk-of-bias
ratings in confounding and exposure. Study strengths include verification of exposure
assessment measurements and consideration of key covariates, but it was limited by
the cross-sectional study design and lack of information on blinding during outcome
assessment.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for the 2020 publication. Authors were contacted in
June 2019 for additional information on the Green et al. (2019) publication.
Information obtained from that correspondence may have been used for additional
information in the 2020 publication.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Pregnant women were recruited between 2008 and 2011 by the
MIREC program from 10 cities across Canada. Inclusion and exclusion criteria
were provided. Additional details were stated to be available in Arbuckle et al.
(2013). A total of 610 children were recruited to participate in the developmental
follow-up with 601 children completing all testing. The demographic
characteristics of women included in the current analyses (n = 398) were not
substantially different from the original MIREC cohort (n = 1,945) or the subset
without complete water fluoride and covariate data (n = 203). A table of
characteristics of the study population was provided. Approximately half of the
children lived in non-fluoridated cities and half lived in fluoridated cities.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
exposed groups were similar and were recruited with the same methods during the
same time frame.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Covariates were selected a priori that have been associated with
fluoride, breast feeding, and children’s intellectual ability. Final covariates
included sex and age at testing, maternal education, maternal race, secondhand
smoke in the home, and HOME score. City was considered but excluded from the
models. Covariates that were not assessed include parental mental health, iodine
deficiency/excess, parental IQ, and co-exposure to arsenic and lead. Co-exposure
to arsenic is less likely an issue in this Canadian population because it receives
water mainly from municipal water supplies that monitor for lead and arsenic, and
the lack of information is not considered to appreciably bias the results. In
addition, a previous study on this population (Green et al. 2019) conducted
sensitivity analyses on co-exposures to lead and arsenic. Results from these
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
sensitivity analyses support the conclusion that co-exposures to lead and arsenic
are not likely a major concern in this study population.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: All key covariates were
considered in this study.
Direction/magnitude of effect: Not applicable.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on direct evidence that key
covariates were considered and indirect evidence that the methods used to collect
the information were valid and reliable and co-exposures were not an issue.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Of 610 children, 601 (98.5%) in the MIREC developmental study who
were ages 3–4 years completed the neurodevelopment testing. Of the 601 children
who completed the neurodevelopmental testing, 591 (99%) completed the infant
feeding questionnaire and 398 (67.3%) reported drinking tap water. It was noted
that the demographic characteristics were not substantially different from the
original MIREC cohort or the 203 subjects without complete water fluoride or
covariate data.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exclusion of subjects from analyses was adequately addressed, and reasons were
documented when subjects were removed from the study or excluded from
analyses.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Information on breastfeeding was obtained via questionnaire at 30–
48 months. Fluoride concentration in the drinking water was assessed by daily or
monthly reports provided by water treatment plants. Water reports were first
linked with mothers’ postal codes, and the daily or weekly amounts were
averaged over the first 6 months of each child’s life. Additional details can be
found in Till et al. (2018). Maternal urinary exposure was used to assess fetal
fluoride exposure. Procedures can be found in Green et al. (2019).
Direction/magnitude of effect size: There is not any specific direction or
magnitude of bias expected. Urinary fluoride levels are reflective of recent
exposure. The possibility of exposure misclassification would be similar in all
subjects and would be non-differential. For the fluoride intake from formula,
exposure was based on the fluoride levels in the water at the residence and the
proportion of time that the infant was not exclusively breastfed. This exposure
misclassification would also be non-differential.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using well-established methods that directly
measured exposure.
• Outcome:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Summary: Intelligence was tested using the Wechsler Preschool and Primary
Scale of Intelligence III, which is considered a gold standard test. It is appropriate
for both the study population and age group. It was not reported whether the
evaluators were blind to the child’s fluoride exposure status during the
assessment. Although it is unlikely that the assessors had knowledge of the
specific drinking water levels or maternal urine levels, there is potential that the
outcome assessors had knowledge of the city the child lived in and whether the
city was fluoridated or non-fluoridated. Correspondence with the study authors on
the outcome assessment for Green et al. (2019) indicated that it was unlikely that
the testers had knowledge of the city’s fluoridation. The same is assumed here.
Specific measurements included were identified.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
outcome was assessed using instruments that were valid and reliable in the study
population, and that the outcome assessors were blind to participants’ fluoride
exposure.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: All outcomes outlined in the abstract, introduction, and methods were
reported in sufficient detail.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that all
measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary:
Statistical analyses: Regression diagnostics were used to test assumptions for
linearity, normality, and homogeneity. There were two potential influential
observations (based on Cook’s distance), and sensitivity analyses re-estimated
the models without these two variables. Effect modification by breastfeeding
status was evaluated. Interestingly, all regression coefficients were divided by
2 to represent change in IQ per 0.5-mg/L change in fluoride. One concern is
posed by the lack of accounting for city in the regression models, ideally as a
random effect. The authors explored including city as a covariate in the
models; however, city was not included either because it was strongly multi-
collinear with water fluoride concentration (VIF > 20) (model 1, with water
fluoride concentration) or because fluoride intake from formula is a function
of water fluoride concentration (assessed at the city level) and was therefore
deemed redundant (model 2). However, the models use city-level water
fluoride concentrations—and, in sensitivity analyses, adjust for maternal
urinary fluoride—which warrants exploration of city as a random effect rather
than a fixed effect (as would be the case by having it included as a covariate).
Even including individual-level maternal urinary fluoride might not fully
account for lack of a city effect, given that the subjects were from six different
cities, with half of them fully on fluoridated water. Hence, even individual-
level exposures are likely to be correlated at the city level. Based on a
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
previous analysis (Green et al. 2019), it is unlikely that exclusion of city from
models (as a fixed or random effect) would significantly impact the effect
estimates.
Other potential concerns: None identified.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate and there were no other potential threats of
risk of bias identified.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Probably low risk-of-bias
ratings in confounding, exposure, and outcome. Study strengths include individual
exposure assessment measurements, prospective cohort design, and consideration of
key covariates.
• Author contacts:
o Authors were contacted in September of 2017 to obtain additional information for
risk-of-bias evaluation. Additional information provided by the authors informed
the rating decision for the following risk-of-bias domains: Selection, Attrition,
Detection (exposure assessment), Detection (outcome assessment).
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: There is insufficient information provided on the sampling methods to
determine whether the populations were similar. Although it was noted that
samples were obtained for groundwater quality from March to May of 2011, there
is no indication that the children were selected at the same time or during a
similar time frame. Correspondence with the author indicates that children were
selected within a week of the water collection based on random selection of a
school in the village. Study participants were selected from six different villages
of the Mundra region of Gujarat, India. Subjects were grouped into high and low
villages based on the level of fluoride in the drinking water of those villages. The
number of subjects per village was not reported, but it was noted that there were
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
50 children in the low-fluoride group and 34 children in the high fluoride group. It
is not clear whether the differences in numbers were based on different
participation rates or whether there were fewer children in the high fluoride
villages. Recruitment methods, including any exclusion criteria and participation
rates, were not provided. SES was stated to be low and equal based on
questionnaire information, but the results were not provided. It should also be
noted that only regular students (having attendance more than 80%) of standard
6th and 7th grades were selected, but it was not noted whether attendance varied
by village. Correspondence with the study author indicated that there was an
average of 20 students per class with an average of 40 students per village. It
appears that keeping the requirement of 80% attendance was a limiting factor that
resulted in different numbers of children by area; however, this was applied
similarly to both groups.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
subjects were similar and recruited using the same methods during the same time
frame.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Children were stated to be students of the 6th and 7th standard grades.
Age was not addressed, but the children would all be of similar ages based on the
grades included. Results were reported for males and females separately as well
as combined. SES and iodine consumption were stated to be analyzed via a
questionnaire and were standardized on the basis of the 2011 census of India.
Although it was noted in the abstract that the SES was equal (no data provided),
the study report did not mention the iodine results. Although arsenic and lead
were not considered, the study authors provided physicochemical analyses for the
water samples from the six different villages. While the authors did not
specifically analyze lead or arsenic in the water samples, these physicochemical
analyses suggest that differential lead or arsenic exposure was unlikely.
Moreover, based on water quality maps, arsenic was not expected to be a major
concern in this study area. According to the information from the water quality
maps and the physiochemical analysis of the water provided, there is indirect
evidence that neither arsenic nor lead were a concern in this study population.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: Key covariates age, sex, and
measures of SES were similar between exposure groups; however, arsenic was
not considered. Arsenic often occurs in the drinking water along with fluoride in
some Indian populations; however, based on water quality maps, arsenic does not
appear to be an issue in the study area.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Conceptually, the presence of arsenic
would potentially bias the association away from the null if present with
fluoride, or toward the null if present in the reference group; however, for
reasons noted above, arsenic is not considered a concern in this study
population.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
methods used to collect the information were valid and reliable, that potential co-
exposures were not an issue, and that key covariates were addressed.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Results were provided for 84 children, but the methods do not indicate
how many children were initially selected to participate, nor were any exclusion
criteria provided. It was noted in the results that 84 children had their groundwater
and urine tested, but it was not noted whether analyses were restricted to these
children or whether exposures were assessed in all the children who had IQ
measurements. Correspondence with the study author indicated that the main
reason for exclusion was a <80% attendance rate, with fluoride and IQ measured
on all 84 children who met the criteria.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence of no
attrition.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Children in villages were grouped based on fluoride levels that were
assessed in groundwater (low fluoride villages versus high fluoride villages). The
average concentration of these levels was considered to be the levels in the
drinking water with confirmation using urinary fluoride levels. The groundwater
samples were selected to cover major parts of the taluka and represent overall
groundwater quality. Ten samples were obtained from each village. Fluoride was
measured in the groundwater using ion exchange chromatography. Although urine
levels were also significantly higher in the high fluoride village, no information
was provided on how or when the urinary samples were obtained or how they
were measured. However, correspondence with the study author indicated that the
groundwater and urine fluoride levels were available for all 84 children,
indicating that the urine measures were available for the children that had IQ
measures. The urine samples were stated to be collected at the same time the
second water sample was collected.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Fluoride levels were measured in both the
drinking water and urine. Although there is some variability in the
measurements, there is no overlap between the two groups, and the urine and
drinking water levels in the children support each other. Any potential
exposure misclassification would be non-differential, and the impact on the
direction and magnitude of the effect size is unknown.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using well-established methods that directly
measured exposure.
• Outcome:
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
the lack of accounting for clustering, which may bias the standard error of the
differences, making the effect appear stronger than it actually is; however, this does
not change the nearly 5-point difference in IQ scores between the two villages.
• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for additional information because it was not
necessary.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: The study appears to have the same study population as Xiang et al.
(2003a) and Xiang et al. (2011); however, it does not cite these studies as
providing additional information, and the numbers of children differ; therefore, it
may be a separate analysis on the same villages. The years of testing were not
provided, so it cannot be determined whether study subjects were the same. Two
villages, Wamiao and Xinhuai, located 64 km apart in Sihong County, Jiangsu
Province, were selected for the study. Wamiao is a village in a region with severe
endemic fluorosis, and Xinhuai is a village in a non-endemic fluorosis region.
Neither village has fluoride pollution from coal or industrial sources. Villages
were stated to be similar in terms of annual per capita income, transportation,
education, medical conditions, natural environment, and lifestyle. All primary
students ages 8–13 years currently in school in either village were surveyed with
exclusions noted. Of 243 children from Wamiao, 236 (97.12%) were included,
and of 305 children from Xinhuai, 290 (95.08%) were included. No table of
subject characteristics was provided.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
exposure groups were similar and were recruited using the same methods within
the same time frame, with direct evidence that there was no difference in
participation/response rates.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Logistic regression of low IQ rate and total fluoride intake adjusted for
age and sex. Both villages had hand-pumped well water for drinking water, but
the authors do not mention whether arsenic was also present in the drinking water.
However, a publication by Xiang et al. (2013) in the same study areas indicates
that Xinhuai (the low-fluoride area) had significantly higher arsenic levels
compared with Wamiao (the endemic fluorosis area), which would bias the
association toward the null. Areas were stated to be similar in annual per capita
income, transportation, education, medical conditions, natural environment, and
lifestyle; however, no details were provided. This study did not address other co-
exposures, but other studies on populations in these villages (Xiang et al. 2011;
Xiang et al. 2003a) indicate that iodine and lead are not concerns.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: Arsenic often occurs in the
drinking water along with fluoride in some Chinese populations; however, based
on information provided in Xiang et al. (2013), arsenic concentrations were
higher in the low-fluoride area compared with the high fluoride area. Because
there were significant effects on IQ observed in the high fluoride areas, the impact
of co-exposure to arsenic is less of a concern. The presence of arsenic in the
control village may cause an underestimation of the effect of fluoride, but despite
this potential impact, a significant association between fluoride exposure and IQ
was reported.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Presence of arsenic in this study population
would potentially bias the association toward the null.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias because there is indirect evidence that
the key covariates were considered, methods used for collecting the information
were valid and reliable, and co-exposures to arsenic and lead and iodine
deficiency were not attributing to the association observed in this study. The
potential for bias toward the null combined with the reported significant
association increases confidence in the observed effect.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Data are reported for all 526 children noted to be included in the study.
There is a slight discrepancy in the reported total number of children from the
high-fluoride village and the number of participants from the high-fluoride village
between this paper (236 participated of 243 total children) and the 2003 and 2011
publications on the same study population (222 of 238). This discrepancy is not
explained but is not expected to appreciably bias the results.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exclusion of subjects from analyses was adequately addressed, and reasons were
documented when subjects were removed from the study or excluded from
analyses.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+); Probably high risk of bias (−)
o Summary: Water fluoride (+ probably low risk of bias): Exposure was based
on drinking water levels and fluoride intake. Residents in the Wamiao village
were divided into five groups based on fluoride levels in the drinking water.
Clean, dry polyethylene bottles were used to collect 50 mL of drinking water from
each student’s household, and fluoride content was measured.
Total fluoride intake (− probably high risk of bias): Six families from each of
the five Wamiao groups were randomly selected as dietary survey households.
Intakes of various foods by each person at each meal and intakes of unboiled
water, boiled water, and tea were surveyed for four consecutive days. Methods for
food collection were described. Five representative households from each village
were selected based on geographic location, population distribution, housing
structure, and other conditions. Indoor air samples were collected once daily for
five consecutive days; outdoor air was sampled at two points once daily for five
days. Methods for determining fluoride content in samples were noted to follow
specific guidelines. Calculation of total fluoride intake was stated to follow
Appendix A of the People’s Republic of China Health Industry Standard with
some details provided. Although it is assumed the method is valid, it was not
detailed how each fluoride determination was made for each subject, and it
appears that total fluoride intake was determined based on data from select
subjects and not all subjects.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: There is potential for exposure
misclassification based on calculating fluoride intake based on measurements
from a few select subjects rather than all subjects. The potential impact on the
direction and magnitude of effect size cannot be assessed based on the
information provided.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using well-established methods that directly
measured exposure. The total fluoride intake is probably high risk of bias because
there is indirect evidence that the exposure was assessed using methods of
unknown validity.
• Outcome:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: The IQ of each child was measured with the Combined Raven’s Test
for Rural China (CRT-RC) (++ for methods). The test was stated to be
administered to the children independently in a school classroom under the
supervision of three exam proctors. Testing methods, testing language, and testing
conditions were all in strict accordance with the CRT-RC guidebook. Major
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for additional information because it was not
necessary.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Subjects were from a cross-sectional study conducted in 2015, but no
citation was provided on this cohort [presumably the Yu et al. (2018) cohort]. It
was noted that the subjects in that cohort were from districts with historically high
or normal fluoride levels. Subjects for this study were selected by using a
stratified and multistage random sampling approach. Brief description was
provided. The study area consisted of three historically high fluoride areas and
four non-endemic areas. A flow diagram was provided for inclusion and
exclusion, but this detail was given for all children and not by area. Therefore, it
cannot be determined whether the participation differed by area. However, there
was a 93% recruitment rate, and the 13 excluded due to missing data were not
likely excluded due to exposure. Detailed characteristics of the study population
are provided. Exclusion criteria included: “children who had congenital or
acquired diseases affecting intelligence, or a history of cerebral trauma and
neurological disorders, or those with a positive screening test history (like
hepatitis B virus infection, Treponema palladium infection and Down's syndrome)
and adverse exposures (smoking and drinking) during maternal pregnancy, prior
diagnosis of thyroid disease, and children who had had missing values of
significant factors (2.2%) were also excluded.”
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
exposed groups were recruited using similar methods during the same time frame
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
and that any differences between the exposed groups were accounted for in the
statistical analyses.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Study authors noted that the study areas were not exposed to other
neurotoxins such as lead, arsenic, or mercury nor were they iodine deficient. Final
models included age, sex, child’s BMI, maternal and paternal education,
household income, and low birth weight. The other covariates that were
considered are unclear as the authors only noted that the covariates were selected
based on current literature. Reasons for exclusion included history of disease
affecting intelligence, history of trauma or neurological disorders, positive
screening test history, or exposures such as smoking or drinking during
pregnancy. Information was obtained by questionnaire or measurements.
Covariates such as parental BMI, behavioral and mental health disorders, IQ, and
quantity and quality of the caregiving environment were not considered.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: All key covariates were
considered in this study.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Not applicable.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias because there is direct evidence that
the key covariates were considered and indirect evidence that the methods for
collecting the information were valid and reliable and that co-exposure to arsenic
was not an issue in this area.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: A detailed chart of the recruitment process is presented. The study had
a 93% recruitment rate, and only 2.2% of subjects with missing data for certain
covariates were excluded.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that
exclusion of subjects from analyses was adequately addressed, and reasons were
documented when subjects were removed from the study or excluded from
analyses.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Children provided spot urine samples, presumably at the time of
examination. Water samples were randomly collected from public water supplies
in each village. Fluoride concentrations were analyzed using fluoride ion-selective
electrode according to the national standardized method in China. There is no
indication of whether the urine samples accounted for dilution.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Not accounting for dilution could cause
some exposure misclassification. The impact on the direction and magnitude
of effect size would depend on where the differences occurred.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using acceptable methods that provide
individual levels of exposure.
• Outcome:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Assessments of IQ scores were conducted by graduate students at the
School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of
Science and Technology. Each team member was assigned a single task, meaning
that only one person would have conducted the IQ tests. A Combined Raven’s
Test for Rural China was used. Therefore, the test was appropriate for the study
population (++ for method). It was noted that the examiner was trained and blind
to the exposure (++ for blinding). Overall = ++
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
outcome was assessed using instruments that were valid and reliable in the study
population, and that the outcome assessor was blind to participants’ fluoride
exposure.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: All outcomes in the abstract, introduction, and methods are reported in
sufficient detail.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that all
measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary:
Statistical analyses: Logistic and multivariate regression models accounting
for covariates were used. Results are presented as betas or ORs and 95% CIs.
Regression diagnostics were conducted for all models, including examination
of multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity, and influential observations.
Mediation and interaction analyses were appropriate. There is no evidence
that the stratified and multistage random sampling approach for subject
selection was accounted for in the analyses by using sampling weights or
accounting for clustering using random effect models; however, selected
villages were similar in population and general demographic characteristics.
Given the use of individual-level data and adjustment for important
covariates, the impact on the regression coefficients is likely to be minimal.
Other potential concerns: None identified.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate and no other potential threats of risk of bias
were identified.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Definitely or probably low
risk-of-bias ratings in confounding, exposure, and outcome. Study strengths include
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for additional information because it was not
necessary.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Two villages, Wamiao and Xinhuai, located 64 km apart in Sihong
County, Jiangsu Province, were selected for this study, which was conducted
between September and December 2002. Wamiao is located in a severe fluorosis
endemic area, and Xinhuai is located in a non-endemic fluorosis area. Neither
village has fluoride pollution from burning coal or other industrial sources. All
eligible children in each village were included; children who had been absent
from either village for 2 years or longer or who had a history of brain disease or
head injury were excluded. In Wamiao, 93% of the children (222 out of 238) were
included in the study; in Xinhuai, 95% were included (290 out of 305). The
children in Wamiao were divided into five subgroups according to the level of
fluoride in their drinking water: <1.0 mg/L (group A), 1.0–1.9 mg/L (group B),
2.0–2.9 mg/L (group C), 3.0–3.9 mg/L (group D), and >3.9 mg/L (group E).
Children in Xinhuai (0.18–0.76 mg/L in the drinking water) served as a control
group (group F). Demographic characteristics are not presented, and statistical
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
analyses are not adjusted, but mean IQ scores are stratified by age, sex, family
income, and parental education.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
exposure groups were similar and were recruited using the same methods within
the same time frame, with direct evidence that there was no difference in
participation/response rates.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Although information was stated to be collected on personal
characteristics, medical history, education levels of the children and parents,
family SES, and lifestyle, only sex, age, family income, and parental education
were considered. Potential co-exposures, such as arsenic, were not addressed. A
separate publication in 2003 [(Xiang et al. 2003b), letter to the editor] indicated
that blood lead levels were not significantly different between the two areas.
Although arsenic was not addressed specifically in this publication, Xiang et al.
(2013) measured both fluoride and arsenic in the Wamiao and Xinhuai areas.
Xinhuai (the low-fluoride area) had significantly higher arsenic levels compared
with Wamiao (the endemic fluorosis area). This is likely to bias the association
toward the null; however, the study observed a significantly lower IQ score in the
endemic fluorosis area. Iodine was tested in a subset of the children and found not
to be significantly different between the two groups.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: Arsenic often occurs in the
drinking water along with fluoride in some Chinese populations; however, based
on information provided in Xiang et al. (2013), arsenic concentrations were
higher in the low-fluoride area compared with the high fluoride area. Because
there were significant effects on IQ observed in the high fluoride areas, the impact
of co-exposure to arsenic is less of a concern. The presence of arsenic in the
control village may cause an underestimation of the effect of fluoride, but despite
this potential impact, there was still a significant association between fluoride
exposure and IQ.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Presence of arsenic in this study population
would potentially bias the association toward the null.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias because there is indirect evidence that
the key covariates were taken into account, methods used for collecting the
information were valid and reliable, and co-exposures to arsenic and lead and
iodine deficiency were not attributing to the effect observed in this area. The
potential for bias toward the null, combined with the reported significant
association increases confidence in the observed effect.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Data are complete. IQ results were reported for all 512 children
included in the study (222 in the endemic area and 290 in the nonendemic area).
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that there
was no attrition.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Exposure was based on drinking water and urinary levels of fluoride.
The two study areas were selected to reflect a severe endemic area and a non-
endemic area. Drinking water was collected from wells, and early-morning spot
urine samples were collected from a randomly selected subsample of children.
Both water and urine samples were measured using fluoride ion-selective
electrode, but no quality control was discussed. Both absolute and creatinine-
adjusted urine results were reported.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: There is potential for exposure
misclassification because only current levels were assessed. Migration of
subjects in or out of the area was not assessed, but the study authors noted that
if the children had been absent from the village for 2 or more years, they were
excluded. Misclassification would likely be non-differential, which could
likely bias the association in either direction.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using well-established methods that directly
measured exposure.
• Outcome:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: The IQ of each child was measured with the Combined Raven’s Test
for Rural China (CRT-RC) (++ for methods). The test was stated to be
administered to the children independently in a school classroom, in a double-
blind manner, under the supervision of an examiner and two assistants, and in
accordance with the directions of the CRT-RC manual regarding test
administration conditions, instructions to be given, and test environment (++ for
blinding). Overall rating = ++
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
outcome was assessed using instruments that were valid and reliable in the study
population, and that the outcome assessor was blind to participants’ fluoride
exposure.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: All outcomes outlined in the abstract, introduction, and methods are
reported in sufficient detail.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that all
measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary:
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Statistical analyses: There is no mention of the tests conducted, but data were
stated to be analyzed using SAS, suggesting appropriate tests were applied.
Results provided in the tables indicate that t-tests comparing IQ values
between the villages (overall and by sex) were conducted, but it was not
reported that heterogeneity of variance was assessed. In addition, correlations
between IQ and age, family income, and parents’ education level were tested
with Pearson’s correlation. There is no evidence that a test for trend was
conducted to evaluate the stated “significant inverse concentration-response
relationship between the fluoride level in drinking water and the IQ of
children.”
A potential concern raised by the NASEM (2020) committee’s review was the
lack of accounting for relationships in exposure between persons from the
same village. Given only two villages were included and the analyses
consisted of village-level comparisons (no use of individual-level covariate
data), it is likely that the standard error of the difference in mean IQ between
fluoride in water exposure groups will be biased, making differences appear
stronger than they actually are. Without controlling for village effects and
given the large differences in fluoride concentrations and IQ levels between
villages, the apparent dose-response relationship could be due to a village
effect in addition to a fluoride effect. However, a dose-response relationship is
apparent within the “exposed” village, diminishing the concern for a village-
only effect and likely minimizing the impact on the effect estimates.
Other potential concerns: None identified.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
statistical analyses were appropriate and that there were no other threats of risk of
bias.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Definitely or probably low
risk-of-bias ratings in confounding, exposure, and outcome. Study strengths include
individual exposure assessment measurements and blinding of outcome assessor to
exposure but is limited by the cross-sectional study design and lack of accounting for
urine dilution. All key covariates were considered in the study design or analysis, but
there is potential for the presence of arsenic to bias the association toward the null.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Reported association with fluoride exposure: Yes: Significant linear trend across
quartiles of serum fluoride and children’s IQ score <80 (adjusted ORs for Q1 and Q2;
Q1 and Q3; and Q1 and Q4, respectively: 1; 2.22 [95% CI: 1.42, 3.47]; and 2.48
[95% CI: 1.85, 3.32]); significant associations observed at levels ≥0.05 mg/L serum
fluoride.
E.1.17.2. Risk of Bias
• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for additional information because it was not
necessary.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: The study population was the same as that used in the Xiang et al.
(2003a) study, but a few more measurements were available and different
analyses were conducted. The comparison population was considered the same
based on the study populations being recruited from similar populations, using
similar methods, during the same time frame. Demographic characteristics were
not provided.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
exposure groups were similar and were recruited using the same methods within
the same time frame, with direct evidence that there was no difference in
participation/response rates.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: As was noted in the 2003 publication (Xiang et al. 2003a), information
was collected on personal characteristics, medical history, education levels in the
children and parents, family SES, and lifestyle. In the logistic regression model
age and sex were adjusted for in the analysis. In the previous report, no significant
associations were observed between groups for family income and parents’
education (Xiang et al. 2003a). Urinary iodine and blood lead levels were also
stated to be measured and were noted not to be significantly different between the
groups. Although the iodine levels were reported in the previous publication, the
lead levels were not and neither were the methods. Lead information is reported in
a letter to the editor (Xiang et al. 2003b) and was not significantly different
between the areas. Although arsenic was not addressed specifically in this
publication, Xiang et al. (2013) measured both fluoride and arsenic in the Wamiao
and Xinhuai areas. Xinhuai (the low-fluoride area) had significantly higher
arsenic levels compared with Wamiao (the endemic fluorosis area). This is likely
to bias the association toward the null; however, the study observed a
significantly lower IQ score in the endemic fluorosis area and with increasing
serum fluoride.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: Arsenic often occurs in the
drinking water along with fluoride in some Chinese populations; however, based
on information provided in Xiang et al. (2013), arsenic concentrations were
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higher in the low-fluoride area compared to the high fluoride area. Because there
were significant effects on IQ observed in the high fluoride areas, the impact of
co-exposure to arsenic is less of a concern. The presence of arsenic in the control
village may cause an underestimation of the effect of fluoride, but despite this
potential impact, there was still a significant association between fluoride
exposure and IQ.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Presence of arsenic in this study population
would potentially bias the association toward the null.
o Basis for rating: Probably low of risk bias because there is indirect evidence that
the key covariates were considered, methods used for collecting the information
were valid and reliable, and co-exposures to arsenic and lead and iodine
deficiency were not attributing to the effects observed in this area. The potential
bias toward the null, combined with the reported significant association increases
confidence in the observed effect.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Data are reported for all 512 children noted to be included in the study.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that there
was no attrition.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Fluoride levels were measured in serum with a fluoride ion-selective
electrode. A fasting venous blood sample was used. No details are provided on
validation (including correlation with drinking water levels) or QA. Children who
did not reside in their village for at least 2 years were excluded. Results were
provided in quartiles, but the authors combined the lower two quartiles. After
combining the two lower quartiles, the exposure levels ranged from <0.05 mg/L
(Q1 + Q2) to >0.08 mg/L (Q4).
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Serum fluoride may not be the best
estimate for exposure. There is potential for exposure misclassification
because only current levels were assessed. Migration of subjects in or out of
the area was not assessed, but the study authors noted that if the children had
been absent from the village for 2 or more years, they were excluded.
Misclassification would likely be non-differential, which could bias results in
either direction.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using well-established methods that directly
measured exposure.
• Outcome:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: IQ was assessed as part of the 2003 evaluation. IQ was measured with
the Combined Raven’s Test for Rural China, which is appropriate for this
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
population (++ for methods). Although this study does not provide details, the
original study article from 2003 provides specific details. The study authors
indicate in the 2003 publication that the tests were conducted in a double-blind
manner, and these are the same results and population (++ for methods). Overall
rating = ++
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
outcome was assessed using instruments that were valid and reliable in the study
population, and that the outcome assessor was blind to participants’ fluoride
exposure.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: All outcomes outlined in the abstract, introduction, and methods are
reported in sufficient detail.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that all
measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary:
Statistical analyses: Statistical analyses conducted were appropriate for the
study. Chi-square tests were used to compare categorical variables, and
multiple logistic regression was used to evaluate the association between
serum fluoride levels and risk of low IQ. A potential concern raised by the
NASEM (2020) peer review was the lack of accounting for relationships in
exposure between persons from the same village. Although only two villages
were included, in the analyses that consisted of village-level comparisons, it is
likely that the standard error of the difference in mean IQ between villages is
biased. This is less of a concern for the mean IQ comparisons across quartiles
of serum fluoride levels and for the logistic regression analyses of risk of low
IQ and individual-level serum fluoride levels. Without controlling for village
effects and given the large differences in fluoride concentrations and IQ
between villages, the apparent dose-response relationship could be due to a
village effect in addition to a fluoride effect. However, the dose-response
relationship is still present within the “exposed” village, diminishing the
concern for a village-only effect and likely minimizing the impact on the
effect estimates.
Other potential concerns: None identified.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate and there were no other potential threats of
risk of bias identified.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Definitely or probably low
risk-of-bias ratings in confounding, exposure, and outcome. Study strengths include
individual exposure assessment measurements with blinding at outcome assessment
but is limited by the cross-sectional study design and use of serum concentrations. All
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key covariates were considered in the study design or analysis, but there is potential
for the presence of arsenic to bias the association toward the null.
• Author contacts:
o Authors were contacted in September 2018 to obtain additional information for
the risk-of-bias evaluation. Additional information provided by the authors
informed the rating decision for the following risk-of-bias domains: Detection
(outcome assessment).
• Population selection:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: School children (2,886), aged 7–13 years, were recruited from the rural
areas of Tianjin City, China. After exclusion, 1,636 children were assigned to the
“normal-fluoride” exposure group, and 1,250 were assigned to the “high-fluoride”
exposure group based on a cut-off water fluoride level of 1.0 mg/L. A multistage
random sampling technique, stratified by area, was performed to select
representative samples among local children who were permanent residents since
birth. Detailed characteristics of the study population were provided. Exclusion
criteria included: 1) children who had congenital or acquired diseases affecting
intelligence, 2) children with a history of cerebral trauma and neurological
disorders, 3) children with a positive screening test history (like hepatitis B virus
infection, Treponema palladium infection and Down's syndrome), and 4) children
with adverse exposures (smoking and drinking) during maternal pregnancy. A
table of characteristics was provided by fluoride level with differences adjusted in
the analysis.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
exposed groups were recruited using similar methods during the same time frame
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and that any differences between the exposed groups were considered in the
statistical analyses.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Demographic data were collected by trained investigators during a
face-to-face interview with the recruited children and their parents.
Questionnaires were not stated to be validated. The developmental status of the
children was further assessed by calculation of BMI, and all measurements were
conducted by nurses based on recommended standard methods. Variables that
presented differential distribution between the normal-fluoride and high-fluoride
exposure groups were adjusted in the linear regression analysis of IQ data and
included age, sex, paternal and maternal education levels, and low birth weight.
Children exposed to smoking in utero were excluded from the study. Sensitivity
analyses were conducted by modifying covariates adjusted in multivariable
models among demographics (age and sex); development (BMI); socioeconomics
(maternal education, paternal education, and household income); history of
maternal disease during pregnancy (gestational diabetes, malnutrition, and
anemia); and delivery conditions (hypoxia, dystocia, premature birth, post-term
birth, and low birth weight). None of the study sites selected were in areas
endemic for iodine deficiency disorders, nor were other potential neurotoxins like
lead, arsenic, and mercury present. Variables such as parental BMI and behavioral
and mental health disorders were not addressed.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: All key covariates were
considered in this study.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Not applicable.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
methods of obtaining the information were valid and reliable and direct evidence
that all key covariates and co-exposures were considered.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: There were 1,636 children assigned to the “normal-fluoride” exposure
group based on water fluoride and 1,250 children assigned to the “high-fluoride”
exposure group. Exclusion from the original group of 2,886 children was
adequately described. A total of 2,380 children provided urine samples. There is
no indication that the data presented excludes any additional children or urine
samples, but results do not indicate a sample size for all results.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exclusion of subjects from analyses was adequately addressed, and reasons were
documented when subjects were removed from the study or excluded from
analyses.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
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o Summary: According to the annual surveillance data from the CDC, the drinking
water sources and water fluoride concentrations in each village had remained at
stable levels over the past decade. During the investigation, water samples were
collected randomly from the public water supplies in each village. Spot (early-
morning) urine samples from every child and water samples from each village
were collected in pre-cleaned, labeled polythene tubes and transported to the lab
within 24 hours while frozen. Samples were stored at −80°C until analysis.
Concentrations of fluoride ions (mg/L) were analyzed using the national
standardized ion-selective electrode method in China; the detection limit was
0.01 mg/L. Samples were diluted with an equal volume of total ionic strength
adjusted buffer (TISAB) of pH 5–5.5 for optimal analysis. Double-distilled
deionized water was used throughout the experiment. There is no reporting of any
QC methods.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Spot urine samples may lead to non-
differential exposure misclassification. The large population size likely dilutes
any potential effects of occasional misclassification. Because the drinking
water sources of fluoride had been noted to be stable for the past decade and
the children were 13 years or younger, there would only be exposure
misclassification if there was a lot of migration between areas.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using well-established methods that directly
measured exposure.
• Outcome:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: IQ scores were measured using the second edition of the Combined
Raven’s Test–The Rural in China (CRT-RC2) for children aged 7–13 years (++
for methods). The test was completed by each participant within 40 minutes,
according to the instruction manual. For each test, 40 children were randomly
allocated to one classroom to take the test independently under the supervision of
four trained professionals. There is no mention of whether the evaluators were
blinded to the fluoride group of each child (normal vs. high fluoride) or whether
there were steps taken to ensure consistency in scoring across the evaluators. It is
also not clear whether the 40 children randomly assigned to the classroom were
specific to the village or whether a local center was used. Correspondence with
the study authors indicated that the four professionals worked together throughout
the examination without knowledge of the child’s fluoride exposure (++ for
blinding).
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on the direct evidence that the
outcome was assessed using instruments that were valid and reliable, and that the
outcome assessors were blind to participants’ fluoride exposure.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: All outcomes outlined in the abstract, introduction, and methods are
reported in sufficient detail.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that all
measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary:
Statistical analyses: Statistical analyses used were appropriate for the study.
Univariate and multivariable piecewise linear regression models were used to
estimate the associations between water fluoride or urinary fluoride levels and
IQ scores. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the
association between water or urinary fluoride levels and IQ degree using the
normal intelligence group as the control. Sensitivity analyses were conducted.
There is no evidence that residual diagnostics were used to examine model
assumptions or that the complex sampling design (stratified multistage
random sampling) was accounted for in the analysis using sampling weights
and adjustment for clustering. The impact of these factors on the effect
estimates is expected to be minimal given the use of individual-level data and
adjustment for numerous important covariates.
Other potential concerns: None identified.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate and there were no other potential threats of
risk of bias identified.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Definitely or probably low
risk-of-bias ratings in confounding, exposure, and outcome. Study strengths include
individual exposure assessment measurements with blinding at outcome assessment
but is limited by the cross-sectional study design and lack of accounting for urine
dilution. All key covariates, including potential co-exposures, were considered in the
study design or analysis.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for additional information because it was not
necessary.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Subjects were similar and recruited during the same time frame using
the same methods. Authors recruited schoolchildren from a high fluoride area
(1.40 mg/L) and a control area (0.63 mg/L) in Tianjin City, China. In accordance
with the principles of matching social and natural factors such as educational
standard, economic situation, and geological environments as much as possible,
two areas with different fluoride concentrations in the groundwater were selected
by a stratified cluster random sampling of this region. A total of 180 5th grade
children aged 10 to 12 years from two primary schools located 18 km apart in the
Jinnan District were recruited—Gegu Second Primary School (from an endemic
fluorosis area) and Shuanggang Experimental Primary School (from a non-
endemic fluorosis area). The areas are not affected by other drinking water
contaminants, such as arsenic or iodine. All subjects were unrelated ethnic Han
Chinese and residents in Tianjin with similar physical and mental health status.
The authors excluded subjects with known neurological conditions, including
pervasive developmental disorders and epilepsy. Descriptive statistics of the study
population are presented by exposure group in Table 1 of the study. A number of
potential differences were considered in the statistical analyses.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
exposure groups were similar and recruited using similar methods during the
same time frame.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Covariates included in the statistical models were age, sex, educational
levels of parents, drinking water fluoride (mg/L), and levels of thyroid hormones
(T3, T4, and TSH). Authors report that the study areas were not affected by other
contaminants such as arsenic or iodine, and residents were of similar physical and
mental health status. Other important covariates (maternal demographics,
smoking, reproductive health) were not considered. Covariate data were obtained
from a study questionnaire.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: All key covariates were
considered in this study.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Not applicable.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
methods used to collect the information were valid and reliable and direct
evidence that key covariates, including potential co-exposures, were considered.
• Attrition:
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Author contacts:
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Authors were not contacted for additional information because it was not
necessary.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: The comparison groups were selected from Cycles 2 and 3 of the
Canadian Health Measures Survey. This is a nationally representative sample of
residents living in 10 provinces, with clear exclusion criteria provided. Exclusion
represented only about 4% of the target population (all Canadian residents 3–
79 years old living in 10 provinces). A table of characteristics of the study
population is provided.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
subjects were recruited from the same population using the same methods during
the same time frame, and exposure groups were similar.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: The study adjusted for sex, age (3–12 years old), household education,
and household income adequacy. Variables to discern fluoride source, including
drinking water and dental products, were also considered. Cycle 2 data also
included adjustments for: 1) children for whom tap water (vs. bottled or other)
was the primary source of drinking water at home or away from home and
2) children who had lived in their current home for 3 or more years. Covariates
such as parental behavioral and mental health disorders, smoking, and nutrition
were not discussed. The study used data from the Canadian Health Measures
Survey, which consists of a nationally representative sample of Canadians. Most
Canadians (~89%) receive water from municipal water supplies, which monitor
for levels of lead and arsenic. Therefore, co-exposure to lead and arsenic are less
likely an issue in this population and the lack of information is not considered to
appreciably bias the results.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: All key covariates were
considered in this study.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Not applicable.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on direct evidence that key
covariates were addressed and indirect evidence that the methods used to collect
the information were valid and reliable and that co-exposures were not an issue.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Covariate data were missing for less than 5% of all analyses, apart
from household income; household income was reported for only 71%–77% of
participants and was imputed for the remainder.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exclusion of subjects from analyses was adequately addressed, and reasons were
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
documented when subjects were removed from the study or excluded from
analyses.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Estimates of urinary fluoride (µmol/L) from spot urine were available
for a subsample of respondents. Analysis was performed under standardized
operating procedures at the Human Toxicology Laboratory of the Institut National
de Santé Publique du Québec (accredited under ISO 17025). Fluoride content of
urine samples was analyzed using an Orion pH meter with a fluoride ion-selective
electrode with limits of detection of 20 μg/L (Cycle 2) and 10 μg/L (Cycle 3).
Urinary dilution was addressed by using creatinine-adjusted levels as well as
specific gravity-adjusted levels. In Cycle 3 only, estimates of the fluoride
concentration of tap water samples collected from randomly selected households
were available. The subsample of households selected for tap water sample
collection corresponded to the person-level urine fluoride subsample. Analysis of
the fluoride concentration of tap water was performed using a basic anion
exchange chromatography procedure, with a limit of detection of 0.006 mg/L. QC
methods were not addressed.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: There is not any specific impact on the
direction or magnitude of effect size expected. Urinary fluoride levels are
reflective of a recent exposure. Having a single concurrent measurement may
not be reflective of the exposure associated with the outcome, but if subjects
lived in the same area throughout life, the exposure may be an adequate
representation. Although there is possible exposure misclassification, it would
likely be non-differential.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using well-established methods that directly
measured exposure.
• Outcome:
o Rating: Probably high risk of bias (−)
o Summary: The primary outcome variable, diagnosis of a learning disability by a
health professional, was based on a single item from a household survey asked to
all respondents: “Do you have a learning disability?” Answer options were: “yes,”
“no,” “don’t know,” or the participant refused to answer. For Cycle 2, those who
indicated having a learning disability were also asked what kind, with the answer
options of: “ADD,” “ADHD,” “dyslexia,” or “other.” This question was omitted
in Cycle 3, and the reason for omission was not described. Parents or guardians
answered all questions for children aged 3–11 years, while children 12 years and
older answered questions themselves. The self-reporting of a learning disability
did not appear to have been confirmed by medical records or a health professional
(− for methods based on self-report of diagnosis by a health care professional;
also, in Cycle 3, no specific disabilities were described). Blinding was not a
concern as spot urine samples were sent to a separate lab, and self-reports would
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
not have knowledge of their urine or tap water exposure level (+ for blinding).
Overall rating = −.
o Basis for rating: Probably high risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
outcome was measured using an insensitive method in the study population.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: All outcomes outlined in the abstract, introduction, and methods
sections were reported in sufficient detail.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that all
measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary:
Statistical analyses: Logistic regression analyses, adjusted and unadjusted for
covariates, examined the associations between fluoride exposure and
diagnosis of learning disability. Analyses were performed for Cycle 2 only
(urinary fluoride and type of learning disability diagnosis), Cycle 3 only
(urinary fluoride, water fluoride, and learning disability diagnosis), and Cycles
2 and 3 combined. Analyses used survey weights and bootstrapped weights to
ensure proper computation of variance estimates. Results are reported as
unadjusted and adjusted ORs with 95% CIs.
Other potential concerns: None identified.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate and there were no other potential threats of
risk of bias identified.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Probably low risk-of-bias
ratings in confounding and exposure. Study strengths include individual exposure
assessment measurements and the consideration of key covariates but were limited by
the cross-sectional study design and insensitive outcome measures.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Author contacts:
o Authors were contacted for additional information on whether clustering was
addressed. The authors provided results from additional models with cohort as a
random effect, which informed the rating decision for the following risk-of-bias
domains: Other.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Study participants were selected from two different cohorts from three
hospitals in Mexico City that serve low-to-moderate income populations. One
cohort was from an observational study of prenatal lead exposure and
neurodevelopmental outcomes, and the other was from a randomized trial of the
effect of calcium on maternal blood lead levels. The authors state that participants
had no history of psychiatric disorders, high-risk pregnancies, gestational
diabetes, illegal drug use, or continuous prescription drugs, but information on
smoking habits was not included. Study populations appear to be similar, but
there may be some differences because subjects were selected from two different
cohorts that were recruited during slightly different time periods.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
exposure groups were similar despite the subjects coming from different original
study populations for whom different methods were used for recruitment.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Data were collected via questionnaire on maternal age, education,
marital status at first prenatal visit, birth order, birth weight, gestational age at
delivery, maternal smoking, maternal IQ, and HOME scores. All models were
adjusted for gestational age at birth, sex, birth weight, birth order, age at testing,
maternal marital status, smoking history, maternal age at delivery, maternal IQ,
education, and cohort, with additional testing for children’s urinary fluoride,
mercury, lead, and calcium. Sensitivity analyses were additionally adjusted for
HOME score. Covariates not considered included BMI, iodine deficiency,
arsenic, and maternal mental health and nutrition. Arsenic is assumed not to be a
potential co-exposure in this population as the study authors did not discuss it as
an issue, although other co-exposures were considered. Arsenic is included in the
water quality control program in Mexico City and thus is not considered a
concern in this population.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: All key covariates were
addressed.
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population, and that the outcome assessor was blind to participants’ fluoride
exposure.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: All outcomes outlined in the abstract, introduction, and methods are
reported in sufficient detail.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that all
measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary:
Statistical analyses: Statistical analyses used were appropriate for the study.
Statistical tests of bivariate associations (using Chi-square tests for categorical
variables and analysis of variance [ANOVA]) were used to compare the
means of the outcomes or exposures within groups based on the distribution of
each covariate. Generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to estimate
the adjusted association between fluoride exposure and measures of children’s
intelligence. Residual diagnostics were used to examine model assumptions
and identify any potentially influential observations. Results are reported as
adjusted regression slopes and 95% CIs. In sensitivity analyses, regression
models accounted for clustering at the cohort level by using cohort as a fixed
effect in the models. Although using cohort as a random effect would be more
appropriate, using individual-level exposure data and accounting for
numerous important covariates in the models likely captured the cohort effect.
Additional models with cohort as a random effect were also subsequently
made available via personal communication with the study authors and
showed similar results to the main model.
Other potential concerns: None identified.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate and there were no other potential threats of
risk of bias identified.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Definitely or probably low
risk-of-bias ratings in confounding, exposure, and outcome. Study strengths include
individual exposure assessment measurements, blinding of outcome assessor to
participants’ fluoride exposure, and the prospective cohort study design.
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• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for additional information because it was not
necessary.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Participants were a subset of mother-child dyads enrolled in various
longitudinal birth cohort studies of the Early Life Exposure in Mexico to
Environmental Toxicants (ELEMENT) project. Subjects were included from two
of the four cohorts for which maternal urinary samples were available.
Participants in cohort 2A were recruited between 1997 and 1999, and participants
in cohort 3 were recruited from 2001 to 2003. Inclusion and exclusion criteria
were applied consistently across the two cohorts. A table of subject characteristics
was provided in the study, and any differences were considered in the analysis.
Study populations appear to be similar, but there may be some differences
because subjects were selected from two different cohorts: one from an
observational study on prenatal lead exposure and the other from a randomized
trial on the effects of calcium on blood lead levels. In addition, they were
recruited from slightly different time periods.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
exposed groups were similar, and any differences were considered in the analysis.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Questionnaires were used to collect information on maternal age,
maternal education, history of smoking, and marital status during the first
pregnancy visit. Child information at birth included birth weight, sex, birth order,
and gestational age as calculated by the nurse. Mothers also responded to an SES
questionnaire during the visit when the psychometric tests were administered. The
Home Observation for Measurement of the Environment (HOME) score was
evaluated in a subset of participants. Covariates were selected a priori. Models
were adjusted for maternal age at delivery, years of education, marital status,
smoking history, gestational age at birth, age at outcome assessment, sex, birth
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
order, SES, cohort, and calcium intervention. Arsenic is included in the water
quality control program in Mexico City and is not considered a concern in this
population.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: None identified, although this
study did not specifically address arsenic or other co-exposures. Bashash et al.
(2017) addressed potential co-exposure to lead and mercury but did not address
arsenic. Arsenic was potentially addressed as part of the water quality program in
Mexico City.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Not applicable.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on direct evidence that key
covariates were addressed, and indirect evidence that the methods used to collect
the information were valid and reliable and that arsenic and other potential co-
exposures were not likely to be an issue in this study population.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Although there was a large amount of attrition from the original
cohorts, it was unlikely related to outcome or exposure, and there were very little
missing data from those included in the study. Of the 231 mothers with a
minimum of one maternal urine fluoride measurement and matching outcome
identified for the project, only 17 were excluded based on incomplete
demographic and outcome information.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exclusion of subjects from analyses was adequately addressed, and reasons were
documented when subjects were removed from the study or excluded from
analyses.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Mothers provided at least one spot urine sample during pregnancy. As
described in Bashash et al. (2017), urinary concentrations were determined on
second morning void. Fluoride content was measured using ion-selective
electrode-based assay. Bashash et al. (2017) describe QC methods. All samples
were measured in duplicate, and extreme outliers were excluded. Urinary dilution
was addressed by using creatinine-adjusted levels.
Direction/magnitude of effect: N/A
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using well-established methods that directly
measured exposure.
• Outcome:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Behaviors associated with ADHD were assessed using the Spanish
version of Conners’ Rating Scales-Revised, which has been validated for the
evaluation of ADHD. Mothers completed the CRS-R at the same follow-up visit
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in which the child completed the CPT-II tests. All tests were applied under the
supervision of an experienced psychologist (++ for methods). Use of only parent
reports and not teacher reports was noted by the authors as a study limitation
because there is considerable variation between the two sources in terms of
identifying ADHD-associated behaviors. Blinding was not reported, but it is
unlikely that the mothers were aware of their urinary fluoride levels. Although
mothers may have had knowledge that they were receiving fluoride through
fluoridated salt or naturally occurring fluoride in their water, they would not have
knowledge that this was relevant to the study purpose as the ADHD tests were
conducted for the original cohort (as was acknowledged by the study authors in
the discussion) (++ for blinding). Overall rating = ++.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
outcome was assessed using instruments that were valid and reliable in the study
population, and that the outcome assessors were blind to participants’ fluoride
exposure.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: All outcomes outlined in the abstract, introduction, and methods were
reported in sufficient detail.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that all
measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary:
Statistical analyses: Bivariate analyses included Chi-square tests for
categorical variables and ANOVA for continuous outcomes. Appropriate
univariate statistics and transformations were performed before bivariate
analyses. Residuals from fully adjusted linear regressions were checked and
suggested skewness. Gamma regression with an identity link was used to
examine the adjusted association between prenatal fluoride and each
neurobehavioral outcome (instead of using log transformation). Generalized
additive models were used to visually examine potential non-linearity.
Sensitivity analyses examined impact of other covariates. Diagnostics tests
were used to assess violations of the model assumptions and to identify
remaining influential observations. The Benjamini-Hochberg false discovery
rate (FDR) procedure was used to correct for multiple testing.
Other potential concerns: None identified.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate and there were no other potential threats of
risk of bias identified.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Definitely or probably low
risk-of-bias ratings in confounding, exposure, and outcome. Study strengths include
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• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for additional information because it was not
necessary.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Subjects were selected during the same time frame using the same
methods. Fifty-one first-grade children residing in Mianning County in southern
Sichuan, China were included in this pilot study. It is not specified whether the 51
children represented all first-grade children from this area or whether some
refused to participate. Children who did not speak Chinese, were not students at
the Primary School of Sunshui Village in Mianning County, or those with chronic
or acute disease that might affect neurobehavioral function tests were excluded.
Demographic characteristics are presented in Table 1 of the study, which indicates
that subjects were similar. Covariates were adjusted for in the statistical analyses.
o Basis for Rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
exposure groups were similar and were recruited within the same time frame
using the same methods with no evidence of differences in participation/response
rates.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: The parents or guardians completed a questionnaire on demographic
and personal characteristics of the children (sex, age at testing, parity, illnesses
before age 3, and past medical history) and caretakers (age, parity, education and
occupational histories, residential history, and household income). A 20-μL
capillary blood sample was collected at the school by a Mianning County Center
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for Disease Control (CDC) health practitioner and tested for possible iron
deficiency, which could be used as a covariate of neurodevelopmental
performance. Covariates that were not assessed include maternal BMI, parental
mental health, maternal smoking status, maternal reproductive factors, parental
IQ, and HOME score. However, the study authors noted that confounding bias
appeared to be limited due to the minimal diversity in the social characteristics of
the subjects. The study authors indicated that CDC records documented that levels
of other contaminants, including arsenic and lead, were very low in the area.
Iodine differences were not specifically addressed, but there is no indication from
the information provided that this might have been a concern.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: All key covariates were
considered in this study.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Not applicable.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias because there is direct evidence that
the key covariates were considered and indirect evidence that co-exposure to
arsenic was likely not an issue in this area and that methods used for collecting
the information were valid and reliable.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: The majority of results were reported for the 51 children stated to be
included in the pilot study. In Table 5 of the study, the N for each dental fluorosis
category totals only 43, but the text indicates 8 children did not have a Dean Index
because permanent teeth had not erupted.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exclusion of subjects from analyses was adequately addressed, and reasons were
documented when subjects were removed from the study or excluded from
analyses.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: The study used three different measurements of fluoride exposure: well
water fluoride concentrations from the residence during pregnancy and onwards,
fluoride concentrations from children’s first morning urine samples, and degree of
children’s dental fluorosis. Fluoride concentrations in community well water were
measured and recorded by Mianning County CDC; specific methods were not
reported, but standard methods were likely used because analyses were conducted
by the CDC and were likely the same as those used to measure the fluoride in
urine. Migration of subjects was noted to be limited. Well water fluoride
concentrations of the mother’s residence during pregnancy and onward were used
to characterize a child’s lifetime exposure. To provide a measure of the
accumulated body burden, each child was given a 330-mL (11.2-oz) bottle of
Robust© distilled water (free from fluoride and other contaminants) to drink the
night before the clinical examinations, after emptying the bladder and before
bedtime. The first urine sample was collected at home the following morning, and
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study population, and that the outcome assessors were blind to participants’
fluoride exposure.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: All outcomes outlined in the abstract, introduction, and methods are
reported in sufficient detail.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that all
measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary:
Statistical analyses: Statistical analyses were appropriate. Multiple regression
models evaluated the associations between exposure indicators and test scores
after adjusting for covariates. Specific regression models are not described or
referenced, just stated to be “standard regression analysis with confounder
adjustment.” The distributions of fluoride concentrations in urine and water
were skewed and were log10-transformed to approximate a Gaussian
distribution (test not specified). Results were reported as adjusted regression
slopes and 95% CIs. There was no evidence that residual diagnostics were
used to examine model assumptions; however, the impact on the effect
estimates is expected to be minimal.
Other potential concerns: It should be noted that this study was a pilot study
and, therefore, had a relatively small sample size (i.e., 51 children).
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate and there were no other potential threats of
risk of bias identified.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Probably low risk-of-bias
ratings in the confounding, exposure, and outcome domains. Study strengths include
individual exposure assessment measurements with blinding at outcome assessment
likely. All key covariates and many other covariates were considered in the study
design or analysis.
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• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for additional information because it was not
necessary.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: There is indirect evidence that the exposure groups were similar.
Participants were recruited during the same time frame using the same methods.
From 2002 to 2003, 273 neonates were born in a hospital in Zhaozhou County,
China. Ninety-one of 273 full-term neonates (46 males, 45 females) were
randomly selected. Mothers ranged in age from 20 to 31 years, met multiple
health criteria, and had not changed residence during pregnancy. Authors report
that the two study groups were located in the same area with similar climate,
living habits, economic and nutritional conditions, and cultural backgrounds, but
do not provide these data in the manuscript. There is no statistically significant
difference in the mode of delivery, birth weight, infant length, or sex. Subjects
were separated into exposure groups after random selection.
o Basis for Rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
exposure groups were similar and were recruited within the same time frame
using the same methods with no evidence of differences in participation/response
rates.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: No covariates were specifically considered in the analysis. The study
authors note similarities in characteristics in the two populations (i.e., living
habits, economic and nutritional conditions, and cultural backgrounds) but do not
provide these data nor do they indicate which specific characteristics were
considered. There were no significant differences in infant sex, birth method,
gestational age, or infant weight and length. All tests were conducted when
children were 1–3 days old. No potential co-exposures were discussed. Although
arsenic is considered a potential issue in China, water quality maps indicate that
there is a 25%–50% probability that the drinking water in that area exceeds the
WHO guideline for arsenic of 10 µg/L.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: Key covariates, including age,
sex, and measures of socioeconomic status (SES), were similar between exposure
groups; however, arsenic was not considered. Arsenic often occurs in the drinking
water along with fluoride in some Chinese populations; however, based on water
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quality maps, arsenic does not appear to be an issue in Zhaozhou County of the
Heilongjiang Province. Iodine deficiencies are not mentioned.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Conceptually, the presence of arsenic
would potentially bias the association away from the null if it were present
with fluoride. Deficiencies in iodine would potentially bias the association
away from the null if it were present in areas of higher fluoride but toward the
null if it were present in areas of lower fluoride. Neither of these are
considered a concern in this study for reasons detailed above.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the key
covariates were considered, co-exposure to arsenic was likely not an issue in this
area, and methods used for collecting the information were valid and reliable.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Although authors did not discuss why only 91 of the 273 neonates
available were randomly selected, results were available for all 91 subjects.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on results being available for all
subjects.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Subjects were split into control and high-fluoride groups based on
fluoride levels in their places of residence. Although the levels were provided
(1.7–6.0 mg/L for the high-fluoride group compared to 0.5–1.0 mg/L for the
control group), it was not reported how or when these levels were measured.
Urine was collected when women were hospitalized but before labor began. Urine
samples were sent to a specific lab for measurement using fluoride ion-selective
electrode. It was noted that this procedure strictly followed the internal controls of
the laboratory, indicating quality control. Level of detection (LOD) was not
provided. Urinary fluoride levels were significantly higher in the high-fluoride
mothers (3.58 ± 1.47 mg/L) compared to the control-group mothers
(1.74 ± 0.96 mg/L). There was indirect evidence that exposure was consistently
assessed using well-established methods that directly measure exposure. Although
results were mainly based on exposure area, they were supported by urine data,
making exposure misclassification less of a concern.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: There is high variability in both water
fluoride and urine fluoride in the subjects from the high-exposure area.
Although there is no overlap in the water fluoride levels in the exposure areas,
there is some overlap in the urine concentrations in the mothers from the two
areas. This may reflect the single measurement and pose no specific bias, or it
could indicate that some mothers in the high-fluoride area have lower fluoride
exposure, which could bias the association toward the null.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using well-established methods that directly
measure exposure.
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• Outcome:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: A standard neonatal behavioral neurological assessment method was
carried out by professionals in the pediatric department working in a neonatal
section trained specifically for these programs and passing the training exams (+
for methods). The examinations were carried out 1 to 3 days after delivery.
Because urine samples were collected on the day of delivery and sent to a separate
laboratory, it is likely that the outcome assessors were blind. Although the
subjects were separated by fluoride exposure area, it is not likely that the
professionals were aware of the exposure as the tests were conducted in the
hospital (+ for blinding).
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
outcome was assessed using instruments that were valid and reliable in the study
population, and that the outcome assessors were blind to participants’ fluoride
exposure.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: The study authors reported numerous outcomes in sufficient detail;
however, because a list of outcomes tested was not provided, there is no direct
evidence that all were reported.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that all the
study’s measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary:
Statistical analyses: Statistical analyses are described only as a t-test.
Consideration of heterogeneity of variance was not reported. Results are
reported as mean and standard deviations of neurological scores. Maternal
urinary fluoride levels were used only to compare exposures between exposed
and control groups. Infants in the control group were from four villages, and
those in the exposed group were from five villages within the same district.
Infants were randomly selected before they were assigned to exposed or
control groups. In the comparisons, there was no accounting for clustering at
the village level. It is likely that the standard error of the difference in mean
neurobehavioral assessment scores between the high fluoride group and
control group will be biased, making differences appear stronger than they
actually are. However, the use of multiple villages per exposure group is
likely to mitigate some of the impact of this lack of accounting for clustering,
and the overall impact on effect estimates is expected to be minimal.
Other potential concerns: It should be noted that although the study states that
subjects were randomly selected, it is unclear why only 91 subjects were
included and whether they were randomly selected to obtain equal numbers in
the high-fluoride and control groups.
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o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
statistical analyses were appropriate and that there were no other potential threats
of risk of bias.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Probably low risk-of-bias
ratings in the confounding, exposure, and outcome domains. Study strengths include
individual exposure assessment measurements to support the differences in the two
areas. Tests were noted to be conducted at the hospital, providing indirect evidence
that blinding was not a concern during the outcome evaluation. Although there was
some potential for bias due to the lack of accounting for arsenic or iodine
deficiencies, co-exposure to arsenic was likely not a major concern according to
groundwater quality maps.
• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for additional information because it was not
necessary.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Subjects were part of Cycles 2 and 3 of the Canadian Health Measures
Survey. This is a nationally representative sample of residents living in 10
provinces. Specific inclusion criteria were provided. This study was restricted to
children 6–17 years of age with different fluoride measurements that consisted of
three participant samples. One of the samples was available only in Cycle 3.
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o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that the
exposed groups were similar and were recruited with the same methods during the
same time frame.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Covariates included in all models included age at testing, sex,
ethnicity, BMI, parents’ education, total household income, exposure to cigarette
smoke inside the home, and log-transformed concurrent blood lead levels.
Covariates such as parental behavioral and mental health disorders, quantity and
quality of caregiving environment, and co-exposure to arsenic were not discussed.
The study used data from the Canadian Health Measures Survey, which consists
of a nationally representative sample of Canadians. Most Canadians (~89%)
receive water from municipal water supplies, which monitor for levels of arsenic.
Therefore, co-exposure to arsenic is not likely an issue in this population.
Rationale for selection of covariates was based on relationship to ADHD
diagnosis and to fluoride metabolism based on literature review and consultation
with an ADHD expert. There is no information of the source of data for
covariates, but it is likely the questionnaires from the Canadian Health Measures
Survey, which are considered standardized and validated.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: All key covariates were
considered in this study.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Not applicable.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias because there is indirect evidence that
the key covariates were considered, co-exposure to arsenic was likely not an
issue, and methods used for collecting the information were valid and reliable.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: There is no information indicating that there were any data excluded
due to missing covariates. All exclusions of children were described and
reasonable (i.e., drinking bottled water when considering city fluoridation as a
measure of fluoride exposure). Outliers were stated to be excluded, but methods
for determining this were provided, and it was noted that the outliers were 0.27%
of the values.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exclusion of subjects from analyses was adequately addressed, and reasons were
documented when subjects were removed from the study or excluded from
analyses.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Urinary Fluoride: Spot urine samples were collected under normal
non-fasting conditions and analyzed using an Orion pH meter with a fluoride ion-
selective electrode after being diluted with an ionic adjustment buffer. Analysis
was performed at the Human Toxicology Laboratory of the Institut National de
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Santé Publique du Québec. The precision and accuracy of the fluoride analyses,
including quality control and quality assurance, were described by Health Canada
(2015). The limits of detection were 20 µg/L for Cycle 2 and 10 µg/L for Cycle 3
with no values below detection. Fluoride levels were adjusted for specific gravity.
Water Fluoride in Tap Water: Tap water was collected at the subjects’ homes
in Cycle 3 only. Samples were analyzed for fluoride concentrations using anion
exchange chromatography procedure with an LOD of 0.006 mg/L. Values below
the LOD were imputed with LOD/square root(2). Of the 980 samples, 150 (15%)
were below detection.
Chlorinated Water Fluoride Status: This was determined by viewing reports on
each city’s website or contacting the water treatment plant (provided in
supplemental material). Children were excluded if they drank bottled water, had a
well, had a home filtration system, lived in the current residence for 2 years or
less, or lived in an area with mixed city fluoridation.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: There is not any specific impact on the
direction or magnitude of effect size expected. Urinary fluoride levels are
reflective of a recent exposure, but the study authors adjusted to account for
dilution. The possibility of exposure misclassification would be similar in all
subjects and would be non-differential. There is less potential for exposure
misclassification due to tap water or chlorinated water fluoride status, since
children who drank bottled water were excluded and children who had a home
filtration system were excluded from the chlorinated water status.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using well-established methods that directly
measured exposure.
• Outcome:
o Rating: Probably high risk of bias (−)
o Summary:
Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire (SDQ): The questionnaire was
administered to youths under 18 years. Children aged 6–11 years had SDQ ratings
provided by parents and guardians, but youths aged 12–17 years completed the
questionnaire themselves. Tests consist of 25 items with a 3-point scale. Items
were divided into five subscales: emotional problems, conduct problems,
hyperactivity-inattention, peer problems, and prosocial behavior. The current
study used only the hyperactivity-inattention subscale. Validation of this method
was not reported (− for methods).
ADHD: Ninety percent of youths with ADHD are diagnosed after age 6. For
children aged 6–11 years, ADHD diagnosis was provided by parents, but youths
aged 12–17 years completed the questionnaire themselves. Cycle 2 asked “Do you
have a learning disability?”; if the subject answered “yes,” he/she was asked to
specify the type (four options were available and described). In Cycle 3, parents
were asked directly whether they had ADHD, and children 12 years and older
were asked whether they had a physician diagnosis of ADHD and, if so, what
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subtype (− for methods because different methods were used, and only the
children 12 years and older in Cycle 3 were asked specifically about a doctor’s
diagnosis). Both were measured in both cycles. Blinding is likely not an issue as
subjects would not have knowledge of the urine or tap water fluoride levels.
However, they would likely have knowledge of the city.
o Basis for rating: Probably high risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
outcome was assessed using insensitive methods that varied based subject age.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: All outcomes outlined in the abstract, introduction, and methods
sections were reported in sufficient detail.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that all
measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary:
Statistical analyses: Robust logistic regression was used to examine the
association between fluoride exposure and ADHD diagnosis, adjusting for
covariates. Box-Tidewell tests were used to check the linearity of the
relationship with the continuous predictors. Linear regression was used for the
SDQ scores using Huber-White standard errors. Multicollinearity was
evaluated using variance inflation factor (VIF) statistics. Outliers with high
studentized residuals, high leverage, or large Cook’s distance values were
removed from all analyses with urinary fluoride. All regressions were tested
for interactions between fluoride exposure and age and between fluoride
exposure and sex. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to test the different
survey cycles. There is no mention of adjustment for the complex survey
design using survey weights or bootstrapped weights to ensure appropriate
calculation of the estimated variances; however, the overall impact on effect
estimates is expected to be minimal.
Other potential concerns: None identified.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate and there were no other potential threats of
risk of bias identified.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Probably low risk-of-bias
ratings in confounding and exposure. Study strengths include individual exposure
assessment measurements and the addressing of key covariates but were limited by
the cross-sectional study design and insensitive outcome measures.
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• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for additional information because it was not
necessary.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Subjects were from the same population and were recruited during the
same time frame using the same methods. Although this study compared three
sites with antecedents of environmental pollution to mixtures of either F-As, Pb-
As, or DDT-PCBs, authors evaluated each contaminant separately. The only area
of interest with F and As contamination is in Durango state (5 de Febrero) where
drinking water is polluted naturally with F and As at levels exceeding 6 and 19
times, respectively, the World Health Organization (WHO) limits (WHO 2008).
Children attending public schools were screened through personal interviews for
study eligibility. Inclusion criteria were children between 6 and 11 years old,
living in the study area since birth, whose parents signed the agreement to
participate. Children with a neurological disease diagnosed by a physician and
reported by the mother were excluded from the study. The final sample for the F-
As group was 80. Participation rates were not reported. Selected demographic
characteristics are presented in Table 1 of the study.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
populations were similar and recruited during the same time frame using the same
methods.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably high risk of bias (−)
o Summary: Covariates included blood lead (PbB), age, sex, and height-for-age z-
scores; only age had significant associations and was included in the final
analysis. Arsenic was also assessed and analyzed separately from fluoride.
Arsenic in urine was analyzed by atomic absorption spectrophotometer coupled to
a hydride system (Perkin-Elmer model AAnalyst 100). Although the model did
not adjust for arsenic, arsenic in the F-As group was not associated with either
outcome; therefore, arsenic co-exposure is not considered a major concern in this
study. PbB was analyzed with a Perkin-Elmer 3110 atomic absorption
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spectrophotometer using a graphite furnace. Authors note that the mean blood
lead level in the F-As study area was 5.2 µg/dL, and 8% of the children had
values above the reference value of 10 µg/dL. PbB was stated not to affect results
and was not included in the final analysis. Other covariate data were obtained
during the study interview. Father’s education was provided and, in the F-As
group, was stated to range from 0–16 years, but this was not considered. Maternal
education, smoking, and SES were also not considered. The authors provide an
SES score of 5.9 ± 1.4 for the 5 de Febrero region (the fluoride region). It is not
clear whether this would vary by fluoride or arsenic levels.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: SES.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: There are insufficient data to determine the
impact on the magnitude or direction of effect size. The impact on the
direction of the association would likely depend on the association between
fluoride exposure and SES.
o Basis for rating: Probably high risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
SES was not considered in the study design or analysis and may have varied by
fluoride levels.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Data are complete. All 80 participants stated to be the final sample for
the site of interest (F-As) were included in all analyses.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that there
was no attrition.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Fluoride in urine (FU) was analyzed according to method 8308
(“fluoride in urine”) from the National Institute for Occupational Safety and
Health (NIOSH 1984) with a sensitive specific ion electrode. As a quality control
check, reference standard “fluoride in freeze dried urine” (NIST SRM 2671a) was
analyzed. The accuracy was 97.0% ± 6.0%. Levels of FU and AsU were adjusted
for urinary creatinine, which was analyzed by a colorimetric method (Bayer
Diagnostic Kit, Sera-Pak1 Plus). However, details on the collection methods were
not reported.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Spot urine samples in a small sample size
(i.e., 80 children) may have some exposure misclassification. Adjusting for
dilution reduces the potential for misclassification based on differences in
dilution. Exposure misclassification would likely be non-differential.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using well-established methods that directly
measured exposure.
• Outcome:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
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• Author contacts:
o Authors were not contacted for additional information because it was not
necessary.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Subjects were recruited from two endemic areas in Mexico. The study
authors do not provide information on the similarities or differences between the
two areas, nor do they indicate whether there were different participation rates.
However, recruitment methods were the same. Women receiving prenatal care in
health centers located in Durango City and Lagos de Moreno, Jalisco, Mexico
were recruited in 2013–2014. Participation rates are not likely to be an issue as
characteristics were similar between those who participated and those who did
not. Although the authors did not provide characteristics by area, the
characteristics provided do not indicate any differences that may be biased by the
selection. Considering the age range for the non-participants, the mean age for
non-participants appears to be incorrect (or the age range is incorrect); however,
there does not appear to be a difference that would potentially indicate selection
bias.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
exposure groups were similar and were recruited with the same methods in the
same time frame, with no evidence of differences or issues with
participation/response rates.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably high risk of bias (−)
o Summary: Questionnaires were used to obtain information about
sociodemographic factors, prenatal history, mother’s health status before
pregnancy (e.g., use of drugs, vaccines, diseases), and the type of water for
drinking and cooking. The marginalization index (MI) was obtained from the
National Population Council (CONAPO). Two additional surveys were conducted
during the second and third trimester of pregnancy to get information about the
mother’s health, pregnancy evolution, and sources of water consumption. A
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survey was also conducted to get information about childbirth (type of birth, week
of birth, weight and length of the baby at birth, Apgar score and health conditions
of the baby during the first month of life). This information was corroborated with
the birth certificate. Linear regression models included gestational age, children’s
age, marginality index, and type of drinking water. Bivariate analyses were
conducted on the other factors, including sex, prior to conducting multivariable
regression models. Some important covariates were not considered, including
parental mental health, IQ, smoking, and potential co-exposures. Water quality
maps indicate a potential for arsenic to be present in the study area.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: Arsenic is a potential co-exposure
in this area of Mexico.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: If arsenic were present as a co-exposure, it
would likely bias the association away from the null.
o Basis for rating: Probably high risk of bias based on indirect evidence that there is
a potential for co-exposure with arsenic that was not addressed.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Out of the 90 women selected for inclusion in the study, 65 approved
the participation of their infants. The authors provide a table of characteristics
between women who consented to their children’s cognitive evaluation and those
who participated only in biological monitoring. There were no significant
differences between the groups. There were fewer women who provided urine
during the second and third trimesters. All specified children are included in the
relevant analyses.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that
exclusion of subjects from analyses was adequately addressed, and reasons were
documented when subjects were removed from the study or excluded from
analyses.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Fluoride exposure was assessed through morning urine samples and
water fluoride levels collected from the children’s homes. Sampling methodology
was appropriately documented, and water levels were quantified through specific
ion-sensitive electrode assays. QC was described, and accuracy was >90%.
Urinary fluoride was corrected by specific gravity.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Not applicable.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using well-established methods that directly
measured exposure.
• Outcome:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
• Author contacts:
o Authors were contacted in July of 2020 to obtain additional information for risk-
of-bias evaluation. No response was received.
• Population selection:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Subjects were recruited in 2017 from Tongxu County, China. Children
were selected from four randomly selected primary schools in the area. Selection
was based on specified inclusion rules. It was noted that the living habits and diets
of the participants from the four schools were well matched, but details were not
provided. The area did not have industrial pollution within 1 km of the living
environment of the children, and it was noted that the children were not exposed
to other neurodevelopmental toxicants (lead, cadmium, arsenic, or mercury). A
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
table of subject characteristics was provided in the study but not by school or
exposure. This was a pilot study, and it was not explicitly stated whether all
eligible subjects participated in the study. There is no information on participation
rates or whether they varied by school.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
exposed groups were recruited using similar methods during the same time frame
and that any differences between the exposed groups were considered in the
statistical analyses.
• Confounding:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: It was noted that subjects were well matched in terms of living habits
and diets, but there were no specifics provided. It was noted that there was no
industrial exposure or exposure to other neurotoxins such as lead, cadmium,
arsenic, or mercury. Covariates were collected using a standardized and structured
questionnaire completed by the children and their guardians under the direction of
investigators, but reliability or validity of the questionnaire was not reported.
Information collected included age, sex, weight, height, parental education level,
and parental migration (or work as migrant workers). IQ scores evaluated by the
Combined Raven’s Test–the Rural in China were used to represent basic
cognitive function. Models were adjusted for age, BMI, sex, mother and father
migration, and urinary creatinine. Adjustments were not made for parental
education, race/ethnicity, maternal demographics (e.g., maternal age, BMI),
parental behavioral and mental health disorders (e.g., ADHD, depression),
smoking (e.g., maternal smoking status, secondhand tobacco smoke exposure),
reproductive factors (e.g., parity), iodine deficiency/excess, maternal (and
paternal) IQ, quantity and quality of caregiving environment (e.g., HOME score),
or SES other than parental migration. There is no evidence to suggest that SES
would differ substantially among the four rural schools in the same area of China
that were randomly selected.
o Potentially important study-specific covariates: SES.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: The impact on the direction and magnitude
of effect size are unknown. It was noted that the subjects were matched in
terms of living habits and diet, and this could be an indication that SES was
not different among the groups, but details were not provided.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias because there is indirect evidence that
the key covariates were considered, that the methods for collecting the
information were valid and reliable, and that co-exposure to arsenic was not an
issue in this area.
• Attrition:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: Data are complete. It was noted that there were 325 subjects included,
and results were available on all subjects.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that there
was no attrition.
• Exposure:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
o Summary: Spot urine samples were collected from each child in the early morning
into cleaned polyethylene tubes. Fluoride concentrations were measured using
fluoride ion-selective electrode [with reference to Ma et al. (2017); however, that
reference cites Zhou et al. (2012)]. Therefore, no QC methods or LODs were
available. Fluoride concentrations were creatinine-adjusted.
Direction/magnitude of effect size: Spot urine samples account for only recent
exposure. Although this could cause some exposure misclassification, the
number of subjects should help dilute any issues with the non-differential
misclassification.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that
exposure was consistently assessed using acceptable methods that provide
individual levels of exposure.
• Outcome:
o Rating: Probably high risk of bias (NR)
o Summary: Children’s behavior was assessed by the Chinese version of Conners’
Parent Rating Scale-Revised (CPRS-48). The homogeneity reliability of
Cronbach α in the Chinese version of CPRS-48 was 0.932, the correlation of
Spearman-brown split-half was 0.900, and the retest reliability of total score was
0.594. Raw scores for each subscale were converted into sex- and age-adjusted T-
scores within a mean ± standard deviation (SD) of 50 ± 10. The guardians
independently completed the CPRS-48 according to the instruction manual under
the direction of trained investigators (++ for methods). Blinding is not reported.
Although it is unlikely that the outcome assessors were aware of the fluoride
levels in the urine, it is unclear whether subjects were selected based on areas
with endemic fluoride or whether parents were aware of fluoride concentrations in
the areas (NR for blinding). Overall rating for methods and blinding = NR.
o Basis for rating: Probably high risk of bias based on no information provided to
indicate that the outcome assessors were blind to the participants’ fluoride
exposure.
• Selective Reporting:
o Rating: Definitely low risk of bias (++)
o Summary: All outcomes in the abstract, introduction, and methods are reported in
sufficient detail.
o Basis for rating: Definitely low risk of bias based on direct evidence that all
measured outcomes were reported.
• Other potential threats:
o Rating: Probably low risk of bias (+)
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
o Summary:
Statistical analyses: Multiple linear regression models were used to assess the
association between urinary fluoride exposure and each behavioral outcome.
Logistic regression was used to assess the risk of behavioral problems (T-
scores >70) due to fluoride exposure. Sensitivity analyses were performed,
with models adjusting for combinations of age, BMI, sex, mother migrated,
father migrated, and urinary creatinine levels. Regression diagnostics to
evaluate model assumptions are not described; however, the overall impact on
effect estimates is expected to be minimal.
Other potential concerns: None identified.
o Basis for rating: Probably low risk of bias based on indirect evidence that the
statistical analyses were appropriate and no other potential threats of risk of bias
were identified.
• Basis for classification as low risk-of-bias study overall: Probably low risk-of-bias
ratings in confounding and exposure. Study strengths include individual exposure
assessment measurements, but it is limited by the cross-sectional study design and
lack of details on blinding of the outcome assessment. All key covariates were
considered in the study design or analysis.
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Table of Contents
F.1. Neurotransmitters ................................................................................................................. F-2
F.2. Biochemistry (Brain/Neurons).............................................................................................. F-4
F.3. Histopathology...................................................................................................................... F-4
F.4. Oxidative Stress .................................................................................................................... F-5
F.5. Apoptosis/Cell Death ............................................................................................................ F-7
F.6. Inflammation......................................................................................................................... F-7
F.7. Thyroid ................................................................................................................................. F-7
Figures
Figure F-1. Number of Animal Mechanistic Studies for Fluoride by Mechanistic Category and
Exposure Level ......................................................................................................... F-2
Figure F-2. Number of Low Risk-of-bias Animal Studies That Evaluated Biochemical,
Neurotransmission, and Oxidative Stress Effects at or below 20 ppm by Mechanism
Subcategory and Direction of Effect......................................................................... F-7
F-1
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
A number of animal studies were available that presented mechanistic data in several effect
categories (see Figure F-1). Limiting the data to studies with at least one exposure at or below
20 ppm fluoride drinking water equivalents (gavage and dietary exposures were backcalculated
into equivalent drinking water concentrations for comparison) still provided a sufficient number
of studies for evaluation of several mechanistic endpoints while allowing for a more focused
look at exposure levels most relevant to human exposures. The following sections summarize the
mechanistic data by effect category. Although there is some evidence of consistency in
mechanistic effects, overall these data are insufficient to increase confidence in the assessment of
findings from human epidemiological studies.
Figure F-1. Number of Animal Mechanistic Studies for Fluoride by Mechanistic Category and
Exposure Level
An interactive version of Figure F-1 and additional study details are available at
https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/ntp.visuals/viz/FluorideTableauDashboards/ReadMe. The number of studies that evaluated
mechanistic effects associated with at least one exposure at or below 20 ppm fluoride is tabulated in the “≤20 ppm” column. The
total number of studies per mechanistic category is summarized in the “All” column.
F.1. Neurotransmitters
Neurotransmitter and biochemical changes in the brain and neurons were considered the
mechanistic areas with the greatest potential to demonstrate effects of fluoride on the brain of
animals in the lower dose range and provide evidence of changes in the brain that may relate to
lower IQ in children (see Figure F-2). Twenty of 23 neurotransmitter studies assessed changes in
brain cholinesterase activity associated with fluoride exposure at or below 20 ppm fluoride.
Acetylcholine is a major neurotransmitter involved in learning, memory, and intelligence (Chen
2012; Gais and Schönauer 2017). AChE is responsible for the breakdown of acetylcholine in the
synapses of nerve cells. Changes in cholinesterase, acetylcholine, or AChE could be related to
effects on memory. Evidence of an effect varied among the low risk-of-bias studies that assessed
changes in cholinesterase or acetylcholine (n = 11 drinking water studies) (Adedara et al. 2017a;
Akinrinade et al. 2015a; Baba et al. 2014; Chouhan et al. 2010; Gao et al. 2009; Gao et al. 2008a;
Khan et al. 2017; Liu et al. 2010; Mesram et al. 2016; Nkpaa and Onyeso 2018; Sun et al. 2000
[translated in Sun et al. 2008]), with the majority reporting evidence of an effect that is
considered inconsistent with the phenotypic outcome (see Quality Assessment of Individual
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Studies section for methods on determining which studies pose low risk of bias). Decreases in
cholinesterase will cause increases in acetylcholine, which can have a positive effect on learning
and memory; however, long-term decreases in cholinesterase can lead to secondary neuronal
damage occurring in the cholinergic region of the brain (Chen 2012).
Five of the 11 studies with low risk of bias (Adedara et al. 2017a; Baba et al. 2014; Gao et al.
2009; Khan et al. 2017; Nkpaa and Onyeso 2018) found statistically significant decreases in
cholinesterase or AChE in brain homogenates (with some brains dissected into specific regions
prior to homogenizing) with fluoride concentrations in drinking water at or below 20 ppm, and
four of the five studies found statistically significant decreases in cholinesterase or AChE below
10 ppm. The five studies were conducted in rats (Wistar or Sprague-Dawley) with exposure
ranging from 28 days to 6 months. An additional 2 out of 11 studies (Akinrinade et al. 2015a;
Gao et al. 2008a) reported decreases in brain homogenate AChE at concentrations at or below
20 ppm fluoride in drinking water, but statistical significance was not reached. These studies
were also conducted in rats with exposure for 30 days or 3 months. Gao et al. (2008a) reported a
dose-dependent decrease in brain homogenate AChE in the low (5 ppm fluoride) and high
(50 ppm fluoride) treatment groups compared with the control group, but the decrease was
statistically significant only in the high-dose group. Similarly, Akinrinade et al. (2015a) observed
a dose-dependent decrease in percent intensity of AChE immunohistochemistry in the prefrontal
cortex associated with 2.1 and 10 ppm sodium fluoride in drinking water, but neither result was
statistically significant. Gao et al. (2009) found lower brain homogenate AChE levels in the 5-
ppm animals compared with the 50-ppm animals; therefore, the results were not always dose-
dependent.
Relative to the above-mentioned studies, 2 of the 11 low risk-of-bias studies observed opposite
effects on brain cholinesterase levels. Sun et al. (2000) [translated in Sun et al. (2008)] observed
a significant increase in brain cholinesterase in Kunming mice associated with fluoride drinking
water concentrations from 10 to 100 mg/L but did not observe a dose response. Chouhan et al.
(2010) did observe a dose-related increase in AChE levels in brain homogenate of Wistar rats
with sodium fluoride concentrations of 1 to 100 ppm for 12 weeks and noted statistically
significant results at 1, 50, and 100 ppm but not at 10 ppm.
Mesram et al. (2016) did not assess changes in AChE but observed a significant decrease in
acetylcholine levels in cerebral cortex homogenate through 30 days of age in rats treated in utero
with 20 ppm sodium fluoride, which may suggest an increase in AChE levels. Likewise, Liu et
al. (2010) did not assess changes in AChE but measured nicotinic acetylcholine receptors
(nAChRs) in brain homogenate of rats following drinking water fluoride exposure, which the
authors stated could modulate physiological and pharmacological functions that are involved in
learning- and memory-related behaviors. Significant decreases in the protein expressions of
nAChR subunits at 2.26 ppm fluoride were observed; however, the corresponding receptor
subunit mRNAs did not exhibit any changes (Liu et al. 2010).
The studies that assessed other neurotransmitters of the brain and neurons were too
heterogeneous or limited in number to make any determination on mechanism, even before
limiting the review of the data to low risk-of-bias studies. There were only five studies that
evaluated dopamine and/or metabolites (Banala et al. 2018; Chouhan et al. 2010; Reddy et al.
2014; Sudhakar and Reddy 2018; Tsunoda et al. 2005). Four of the studies observed decreases in
dopamine levels in the brain with exposures of less than 20 ppm fluoride (Banala et al. 2018;
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Chouhan et al. 2010; Reddy et al. 2014; Sudhakar and Reddy 2018); however, the fifth study
(Tsunoda et al. 2005) observed increased dopamine and metabolites at fluoride exposures below
20 ppm (with statistical significance achieved only for the metabolite homovanillic acid in one
brain region). No differences from the control group were observed at levels above 20 ppm
fluoride. Other neurotransmitters were evaluated at or below 20 ppm fluoride exposure, but
generally only in a couple of studies.
Similar to the above, the endpoints measured in brain biochemistry studies were too
heterogeneous or limited in number to make any determination on potential relevance of
mechanism, even before limiting the review of the data to low risk-of-bias studies (see
Figure F-2). Endpoints related to biochemical changes in the brain or neurons included
carbohydrate or lipid changes, RNA or DNA changes, changes in gene expression, or changes in
protein expression. For the most part, only a single study was available for any given endpoint.
The largest body of evidence on biochemistry was on protein level in various brain regions.
Eleven low risk-of-bias studies were identified that evaluated protein levels; however, few
studies evaluated the same proteins or areas of the brain. In the few cases in which the same
protein was evaluated, results were not always consistent. These data are insufficient to increase
confidence or support a change to hazard conclusions.
F.3. Histopathology
Histological data can be useful in determining whether effects are occurring in the brain at lower
fluoride concentrations; however, author descriptions of these effects may be limited, thereby
making it difficult to directly link histological changes in the brain to learning and memory
effects. Histopathology of the brain was evaluated in 31 studies with concentrations at or below
20 ppm fluoride, of which 15 were considered low risk-of-bias studies (Adedara et al. 2017b;
Akinrinade et al. 2015a; Bhatnagar et al. 2002; Bhatnagar et al. 2011; Chouhan et al. 2010;
Güner et al. 2016; Jia et al. 2019; Jiang et al. 2014; Lou et al. 2013; McPherson et al. 2018;
Mesram et al. 2016; Nageshwar et al. 2018; Niu et al. 2018; Pulungan et al. 2016; Zhao et al.
2019). In all but one low risk-of-bias study [Pulungan et al. (2016); gavage], animals were
exposed to fluoride via drinking water. All low risk-of-bias studies were conducted in rodents,
and all but three were conducted in rats (Wistar [seven studies], Sprague-Dawley [four studies],
Long-Evans hooded [one study]). Overall, the low risk-of-bias studies that evaluated
histopathology in the brain had low potential for bias for key questions regarding randomization
and exposure characterization; however, eight studies were rated as probably high risk of bias for
the key risk-of-bias question regarding outcome assessment based on lack of reporting of
blinding of outcome assessors and/or inadequate description of outcome measures or lesions.
Moreover, low image quality in some of the studies hampered the ability to verify the quality of
the data. Further technical review of the 15 low risk-of-bias studies was conducted by a board-
certified pathologist. Based on confidence in the results for each study, the technical reviewer
further categorized the low risk-of-bias studies as studies with higher or lower confidence in the
outcome assessment, which is reflected in the following summary of the brain histopathology
results. Main limitations of the histopathology data identified by the pathologist included lack of
information on methods of euthanasia and fixation. Perfusion fixation is generally considered the
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
best practice for lesions of the central nervous system in addition to complete fixation of the
brain prior to its removal from the skull (Garman et al. 2016). Four of the low risk-of-bias
studies reported that they used this method (Bhatnagar et al. 2002; Bhatnagar et al. 2011;
McPherson et al. 2018; Pulungan et al. 2016). Two of the low risk-of-bias studies handled the
brains before fixation was complete, which can produce artifacts that can resemble dead neurons
(Nageshwar et al. 2018; Zhao et al. 2019). Fixation and brain removal details were inadequately
described in the remaining low risk-of-bias studies.
Although there was heterogeneity in the endpoints reported (e.g., cell size, shape, and counts;
nuclei fragmentation; increased vacuolar spaces) and some variation in the consistency of the
evidence based on the area of the brain evaluated, the majority of the low risk-of-bias studies (11
of 14 drinking water studies) found some histological change in the brain of rats or mice treated
with fluoride at concentrations at or below 20 ppm, of which 8 studies reported histological
changes in the brain at or below 10 ppm. Histological changes in the hippocampus (one of the
areas of the brain most evaluated for histological changes) associated with fluoride exposure at
or below 20 ppm were reported in three of four low risk-of-bias studies with higher confidence in
the outcome assessment (Bhatnagar et al. 2002; Bhatnagar et al. 2011; Güner et al. 2016) and in
three of four low risk-of-bias studies with lower confidence in the outcome assessment (Jiang et
al. 2014; Nageshwar et al. 2018; Niu et al. 2018). McPherson et al. (2018) was the only drinking
water study (with higher confidence in the histopathology outcome assessment) that did not
observe any histological changes in hippocampus at 10 or 20 ppm fluoride in male Long-Evans
hooded rats exposed in utero through adulthood (>PND 80). Although there are too few studies
to definitively explain the inconsistency in results, McPherson et al. (2018) also did not observe
any associations between fluoride exposure and impairments to learning and memory, which is
inconsistent with the majority of developmental exposure studies that observed learning and
impairments associated with fluoride exposure for other strains of rats. Similarly, histological
changes in the cortex were reported in three of the four low risk-of-bias drinking water studies
with higher confidence in the outcome assessment (Akinrinade et al. 2015a; Bhatnagar et al.
2011; Chouhan et al. 2010) and in three of four low risk-of-bias studies with lower confidence in
the outcome assessment (Lou et al. 2013; Mesram et al. 2016; Nageshwar et al. 2018).
Histological changes were also consistently reported in other areas of the brain in studies with
higher confidence in the outcome assessment, including the amygdala, caudate putamen,
cerebellum, and hypothalamus, although each of these areas of the brain was evaluated in only
one low risk-of-bias study (Bhatnagar et al. 2011; Güner et al. 2016). Pulungan et al. (2016), one
of two low risk-of-bias studies with higher confidence in the outcome assessment that did not
report histological changes in the brain, observed a decreasing trend in the number of pyramidal
cells in the prefrontal cortex with increasing dose, but this was not changed at concentrations
below 20 ppm (the study administered sodium fluoride via gavage; the 5-mg/kg/day dose was
considered equivalent to 15.3 ppm fluoride in drinking water), nor were any of the results
statistically significant.
Oxidative stress is considered a general mechanistic endpoint that cannot be specifically linked
to neurodevelopmental or cognitive effects in humans; however, like histopathology, it may help
in identifying changes in the brain occurring at lower concentrations of fluoride. Oxidative stress
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Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
in the brain was evaluated in 25 studies that examined concentrations at or below 20 ppm
fluoride, of which 15 studies had low potential for bias (Adedara et al. 2017a; Adedara et al.
2017b; Akinrinade et al. 2015b; Bartos et al. 2018; Chouhan and Flora 2008; Chouhan et al.
2010; Gao et al. 2009; Gao et al. 2008b; Güner et al. 2016; Khan et al. 2017; Mesram et al. 2016;
Nageshwar et al. 2018; Nkpaa and Onyeso 2018; Shan et al. 2004; Zhang et al. 2015). All of the
low risk-of-bias studies were conducted in rats (mainly Wistar or Sprague-Dawley) and
administered fluoride via drinking water with exposure durations ranging from 28 days to
7 months. Although there was heterogeneity in the endpoints reported (i.e., varying measures of
protein oxidation, antioxidant activity, lipid peroxidation, and reactive oxygen species [ROS])
and some variation in the consistency of the evidence based on the endpoint, the majority of the
studies (13 of 15) (Adedara et al. 2017a; Adedara et al. 2017b; Akinrinade et al. 2015b; Bartos et
al. 2018; Gao et al. 2009; Gao et al. 2008b; Güner et al. 2016; Khan et al. 2017; Mesram et al.
2016; Nageshwar et al. 2018; Nkpaa and Onyeso 2018; Shan et al. 2004; Zhang et al. 2015)
found evidence of oxidative stress in the brains of rats treated with fluoride at concentrations at
or below 20 ppm, of which 10 studies reported oxidative stress in the brain below 10 ppm
fluoride. The most consistent evidence of oxidative stress in the brain was reported through
changes in antioxidant activity. Eleven of the 12 low risk-of-bias studies that evaluated
antioxidant activity reported an effect at concentrations at or below 20 ppm (Adedara et al.
2017a; Adedara et al. 2017b; Akinrinade et al. 2015b; Bartos et al. 2018; Gao et al. 2009; Gao et
al. 2008b; Güner et al. 2016; Khan et al. 2017; Mesram et al. 2016; Nageshwar et al. 2018;
Nkpaa and Onyeso 2018). Decreases in antioxidant activity using measures of superoxide
dismutase (SOD) activity were reported in seven of eight low risk-of-bias studies (Adedara et al.
2017a; Adedara et al. 2017b; Akinrinade et al. 2015b; Khan et al. 2017; Mesram et al. 2016;
Nageshwar et al. 2018; Nkpaa and Onyeso 2018), and, among these seven studies, all that also
measured changes in catalase (CAT) activity (n = 6 studies) also reported decreased activity
(Adedara et al. 2017a; Adedara et al. 2017b; Khan et al. 2017; Mesram et al. 2016; Nageshwar et
al. 2018; Nkpaa and Onyeso 2018). A decrease in total antioxidant capacity (T-AOC) as a
measure of antioxidant activity was also consistently reported in two low risk-of-bias studies
(Gao et al. 2009; Gao et al. 2008b), and a decrease in glutathione peroxidase (GPx) activity was
reported in two of three low risk-of-bias studies (Adedara et al. 2017b; Nkpaa and Onyeso 2018).
Relative to the above-mentioned studies, 2 of the 15 low risk-of-bias studies (Chouhan and Flora
2008; Chouhan et al. 2010) did not observe statistically significant effects on oxidative stress in
the brain with concentrations at or below 20 ppm fluoride; however, the measure of oxidative
stress evaluated in Chouhan and Flora (2008) and Chouhan et al. (2010) (glutathione [GSH] to
oxidized glutathione [GSSG] ratio as an indication of antioxidant activity and ROS levels) were
not evaluated in any other low risk-of-bias study. Chouhan and Flora (2008) observed a dose-
dependent increase in ROS levels associated with 10, 50, and 100 mg/L sodium fluoride in
drinking water; however, results were not statistically significant at any dose. In Chouhan et al.
(2010), the levels of ROS were significantly higher at 50 ppm sodium fluoride in drinking water,
but statistical significance was not met at doses below 20 ppm fluoride (1 and 10 ppm sodium
fluoride) or at 100 ppm sodium fluoride; yet, hydrogen peroxide levels as a measure of ROS
were found to be significantly increased at 15 ppm sodium fluoride in drinking water in studies
conducted by another group of authors (Adedara et al. 2017a; Adedara et al. 2017b).
F-6
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
Seven low risk-of-bias studies were identified that evaluated apoptosis with concentrations at or
below 20 ppm fluoride. Results from these studies were inconsistent and were insufficient for
evaluating fluoride-induced apoptosis. These data are insufficient to increase confidence or
support a change to hazard conclusions.
F.6. Inflammation
Five low risk-of-bias studies were identified that evaluated potential effects of fluoride on
inflammation with concentrations at or below 20 ppm. The inflammation markers were too
heterogeneous or limited in number to make any determination on potential relevance of
mechanism, even before limiting the review of the data to low risk-of-bias studies. These data
are insufficient to increase confidence or support a change to hazard conclusions.
F.7. Thyroid
Seventeen studies were identified that evaluated potential effects of fluoride on the thyroid with
concentrations at or below 20 ppm (see Figure F-1). These animal thyroid data are not further
described because this endpoint has been directly evaluated in a number of human studies that
have failed to identify consistent evidence to suggest that thyroid effects are a requisite
mechanism by which fluoride causes neurodevelopmental or cognitive effects in humans.
Figure F-2. Number of Low Risk-of-bias Animal Studies That Evaluated Biochemical,
Neurotransmission, and Oxidative Stress Effects at or below 20 ppm by Mechanism Subcategory
and Direction of Effect
An interactive version of Figure F-2 and additional study details are available at
https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/ntp.visuals/viz/FluorideTableauDashboards/ReadMe. This figure displays study counts for
low risk-of-bias studies, as these counts are most relevant to the text in this section. Counts for high risk-of bias studies or all
studies combined can be accessed in the interactive figure. Study counts are tabulated by significance—statistically significant
increase (↑), statistically significant decrease (↓), or not significant (NS). For example, the “↑” column displays numbers of
unique studies with at least one endpoint in the mechanistic subcategory with significantly increasing results at fluoride exposure
levels of ≤20 ppm. These columns are not mutually exclusive (i.e., a study may report on multiple endpoints with varying results
within a single mechanistic subcategory and therefore may be reflected in the counts for the “↑”, “↓”, and NS columns but would
be counted only once in the Grand Total column). Endpoints, species, strain, sex, and exposure duration are available for each
study in the interactive figure.
F-7
Fluoride Exposure and Neurodevelopment and Cognition: A Systematic Review
April 10, 2017 Draft human risk-of-bias protocol reviewed: sent to technical advisors for peer
review
May 2, 2017 Draft animal risk-of-bias protocol reviewed: sent to technical advisors for peer
review
June 2017 Evaluation protocol finalized: Review protocol finalized for use and posting
G-1
Appendix H. Supplemental Files
The following supplemental files are available at https://doi.org/10.22427/NTP-DATA-
MGRAPH-8 (NTP 2024).
H.1. Protocol
NTP Protocol for Systematic Review of Human, Animal, and Mechanistic Evidence -
Second Revision (September 16, 2020)
ntpprotocol_revised20200916_508.pdf
NTP Protocol for Systematic Review of Human, Animal, and Mechanistic Evidence - First
Revision (May 29, 2019)
protocol_fluoridemay2019_508.pdf
NTP Protocol for Systematic Review of Human, Animal, and Mechanistic Evidence (June
2017)
protocol_fluoridejune2017_508.pdf
H.2. Datasets
H-1
National Toxicology Program
National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences
National Institutes of Health
P.O. Box 12233, MD K2-05
Durham, NC 27709
Tel: 984-287-3211
[email protected]