Monetary Economics (Unit-I To III)
Monetary Economics (Unit-I To III)
ECONOMICS
MONETARY ECONOMICS
UNIT I
INTRODUCTION
Areas are to be found in many rural areas of under-developed countries. Before the evolution of
money, exchange was done on the basic of direct exchange of goods and services .This is known as barter.
Barter involves the direct exchange of one good for some quantity of another good.For example, a horse may
be exchanged for a cow, or 3 sheep or 4 goats. For a transaction to take place. There must be a double
coincidence of wants. It is also a simple economy where people produce goods. Either for selfconsumption
or for exchange with other goods which they want. Bartering was found in primitive societies. But it is still
practiced at places where the use of money has not spread much. Such non-monetised areas are to be found
in many rural areas of underdeveloped countries.
Difficulties of Barter
But the barter system is the most inconvenient method of exchange. It involves loss of much Time
and effort on part of people in trying to exchange goods and services. As a method of exchange, the barter
system has the following difficulties and disadvantages.
1. Lack of Double coincidence of wants. The functioning of the barter system requires a double
coincidence of wants on the part of those who want to exchange goods or services. It is necessary for
a person who wishesTo trade his good or service to find some other person who is not only willing to
buy his good or services, but also possesses that good which the former wants. For example, suppose
a person possesses a horse wants to exchange it for a cow.
2. Lack of a Common Measure of Value. Another difficulty under the barter system relates to the
lack of a common unit in which the value of goods and services should be measured. Even if the two
person who wants each other‘s goods meet bycoincidence, the problem arises as to the proportion in
which the two goods should be exchanged. There being no common measure of value, the rate of
exchange will arbitrarily fixed according to the intensity of demand for each other‘s goods.
Consequently, one party is at a disadvantage in the terms of trade between the two goods.
3. Indivisibility of Certain Goods. The barter system is based on the exchange of goods with other
goods it is difficult to fix exchange rates for certain goods which are indivisible. Such indivisible
goods pose a real problem, under barter. A person may desire a horse and the other a sheep and both
may willing to trade. The former may demand more than four sheep for a horse but the other is not
prepared to give five sheep and thus there is no exchange.
4. Difficulty in Storing Value. Under the barter system it is difficult to store value. Anyone wanting
to save real capital over a long period would be faced with the difficulty that during the intervening
period the stored commodity may become obsolete or deteriorate in value. As people trade in cattle,
grains, and other such perishable commodities, it is very expensive and often difficult to store and to
prevent their deterioration and loss over the long period.
6. Lack of Specialisation. Another difficulty of the barter system is that it is associated with a
production system where each person is a jack-of-all trades. In other words, a high degree of
specialization is difficult to achieve under tsystem. Specialization and interdependence in production
is only possible in an expanded market system based on the money economy. Thus no economic
progress is possible in a barter economy due to lack of specialization.
The word ―money‖ is derived from the latin word ―moneta‖ which was the surname of the Roman
Goddess of juno in whose temple at Rome, money was coined. The origin of money is lost in antiquity. Even
the primitive man had some sort of money. The type of money in every age depended on the nature of its
livelihood. In a hunting society, the skins of wild animals were used as money. The pastoral society used
livestock, whereas the agricultural society used grains and foodstuffs as money. The Greeks used coins
money.
The evolution of money has passed through the following five stages depending upon the progress human
civilization at different times and place.
1.Commodity Money
Various types of commodities have been used as money from the beginning of human civilization.
Stones, spears, bows and arrows, and axe‘s were used as money in the hunting society.
2.Metallic Money
With the spread of civilization and tread relation by land and sea, metallic money took the place of
commodity money. Many nation started using silver, gold, copper, tin, etc. as money.
3.Paper Money
The development of paper money started with goldsmiths who kept strong safes to store their gold.
As goldsmith was thought to be honest merchants, people started keepingtheir gold with them for safe
custody. In return, the goldsmith gave the depositors a receipt promising to return the gold on demand. These
receipts of the goldsmith were given to the sellers of commodities by the buyers. Thus the receipts of the
goldsmiths were a substitute for money. Such paper money was backed by gold and was convertible on
demand in to gold. This ultimately led to the development of bank notes.
4.Credit Money
Another stage in the evolution of money in the modern world is the use of the cheque as money. The
cheque is like a bank note in that it performs the same function. It is a means of transferring money or
obligation from one person to another. But a cheque is different from a bank note. A cheque is made for a
specific sum, and it expires with a single transaction. But a cheque is not money. It is simply a written order
to transfer money. However, large transaction are made through cheques these days and bank notes are used
only or small transaction.
5.Near Money.
The final stage in evolution of money has been the use of bills of exchange, treasury bills, bonds,
debentures, savings certificates, etc. They are known as ―near money‖. They are close substitutes for money
and are liquid asserts. Thus in the final stage of its evolution money has become intangible. Its ownership is
now transferable simply by book entry.
Function of Money
Money performs a number of primary, secondary, contingent and other functions which not only
remove the difficulties of barter but also oils the wheels of of trade and industry in the present day world. We
discuss these functions one by one. . .
1.It should involve a common agreement among nations as to the objectives for which it existed.
3. Individual central banks should avoid such action which might endanger stability of prices through
their effects on the policy of other central banks.
Given these three principles the countries on the gold standard were expected to observe the following
rules or conditions for its smooth working.
1.There should be free and unrestricted export and import of gold between countries.
2. The country receiving (importing) gold should expand credit within the country and the gold-
exporting country should contract credit.
3. There should be a high degree of price, wages, income and cash flexibility in countries on the gold
standard so that these change with gold movements. For instance, when gold flows into the country,
money supply should increase which should lead to rise in prices, wages and income, and costs would
be adjusted accordingly. The opposite would be the case in the event of the outflow of gold to other
countries. It would lead to increase in money supply, fall in prices, wages, income and costs. Thus the
success of the gold standard depends upon flexibility in the economic set-up of the economy.
4. The successful working of the gold standard presupposed the existence of free trade among
nations. The gold standard was essentially a laissez-fair standard.
5. The country on the gold standard should strictly adhere to the policy of maintaining exchange
stability and other objectives should be subservient to it.
6.There should be no disturbing large capital movements based on speculative activities. In fact, the
smooth working of the gold standard depended to a large extent upon the degree to which the
movements of short-term funds could be influenced by changes in the bank rate.
7. Another condition was that the gold value of the domestic currency was to be kept stable. It should
not be overvalued or undervalued.
8. Last but not the least, the success of the gold standard required normal times. That is why, it broke
down during the First World War and the disturbed condition following the war.
9. The gold standard worked smoothly so long as the countries following these rules to the letter. As
pointed out by Crowther, ―This gold standard is a jealous god. It will work provided it is given
exclusive devotion.‖ This continued upto 1914 and after that when they started breaking these rules
gradually, the gold standard broke down.
The question arises: how did the gold standard work or what was the mechanism of the gold
standard? The answer to this question is related to the functioning of the gold standard before 1914. All
countries which were on the gold standard in the late 19th and early 29th century were inter-related and inter-
dependent. A country having a favorable Balance of trade received gold from other country, because it had
excess of exports over imports. On the contrary, a country having a unfavorable trade suffered from the loss
of gold on account of the excess of imports over exports. This movement of gold affected both the countries,
the country with the inflow of gold and that having on outflow of gold.The monetary reserves of the country
with the gold inflow would increase. It would lead to an increase in the internal money supply of the country.
The increased money reflected in increased expenditures on goods and services. This led to rise in prices,
wages, income, and costs. Consequently, the increase in the cost-price structure of the economy‘s
domestically produced goods became relatively dearer in comparison with foreign goods. This tended to
reduce exports and increase imports. Thus a surplus in the balance of payment of a country caused by a
favorable balance of trade would be automatically corrected in the country with the gold inflow. On the other
hand, the reverse process would be repeated in the country with the gold outflow. The outflow of the gold
would lead to decline in its monetary reserves. This would decrease the internal money supply of the country.
As a result, prices declined along with wages, income, and costs. This made the domestically produced goods
relatively cheaper then foreign goods. So exports increased and imports declined. Thus a deficit in the
balance of payments of country by an unfavorable balance of trade was automatically corrected in the
country with gold outflow.Was It Automatic? From the above analysis of the working of the gold standard, it
seems that there was some visible hand which helped the attainment of ―automatic equilibrium‖ in the
balance of payments of both gold inflow and outflow countries. But this is not a correct view about the actual
working of the gold standard. In reality, there was a large degree of management in its working even during
its hey days before the First World War. Powerful central banks, like the bank of England managed the
internal policies of the government in each country for the gold standard to function the way the economic
thought it should function. One of the principle objectives of the central bank policy was to maintain stable
exchange rates for a country on the gold standard. The adjustmentin the domestic price level as a result of
gold movements was not automatic. Rather, it was modifi
1.PRIMARY FUNCTION
(i)Money as a Medium of exchange.
This is the primary function of money because it is out of this function that its other functions
developed. By serving as a medium of exchange, money removes the need for double coincidence of
wants and the inconveniences and difficulties associated with barter. The introduction of money as a
medium of exchange decomposes the single transaction of barter into separate transaction of sale and
purchase, thereby eliminating the double coincidence of wants. This function of money also separate
the tran-saction in time and place because the sellers and buyers of a commodity are not required to
perform the transactions at the same time and place. This is because the seller of a commodity buys
some money and money in turn, buys the commodity over time and place.
(ii)Money as Unit of Value.
The second primary function of money is to act as a unit of value. Under barter one would
have to resort to some standard of measurement, such as a length of string or a piece of wood. since
one would have to use a standard to measure the length and height of any object, it is only sensible
that one particular standard should be accepted as the standard. Money is the standard for measuring
valuejust as the yard or metre is the standard for measuring length. The monetary unite measures and
expresses the values of all goods and services. In fact, the monetary unit expresses the value of each
good or services in terms of price. Money is the common denomination which determines the rate of
exchange between goods and services which are priced in terms of the monetary unit. There can be no
pricing process without a measure of value.
2. Secondary Function
Money performs three secondary functions: (i) as a standard of deferred payments,Money as a
Standard of Deferred payments. The third function of money is that it acts as a standard of deferred or
postponed payments. All debts are taken in money. It was easy under barter to take loans in goats or
grains but difficult to make repayments in such perishable articles in the future. Money has simplified
both the taking and repayment of loans because the unit of account is durable. Money links the
present values with those of the future. It simplifies credit transaction. It makes possible contract
Credit creation by commercial banks
1. Do banks create credit? The creation of credit or deposits is one of the most important function of
commercial banks. Like other corporation, banks aim at earning profits. For this purpose, they accept
cash in demand deposits and advance loans on credit to customers. When a bank advances a loan, it
does not pay the amount in cash. But it opens a current account in his name and allows him to
withdraw the required sum by cheques. In this way, the bank creates credit or deposits. Demand
deposits arise in two ways: one, when customers deposit currency with commercial banks, and two,
when banks advance loans, discount bills, provide overdraft facilities, and make investments through
bonds and securities. The first type of demand deposits are called ―primary deposits‖. Banks play a
passive role in opening them. The second type of demand deposits are called ―derivate deposits‖.
Banks actively create such deposits.
MONETARY STANDARDS
1. Meaning and Types of Monetary Standard
Monetary standard refers to the overall set of laws and practices which control the quality and
quantity of money in a country. It is, in fact, the standard money of the country which determines
and regulates the exchange value of goods and services. Thus the monetary standard of a nation is its
standard monetary unit. A monetary standard aims at maintaining stability in the internal as well as
external value of the currency. There have been different types of monetary standards in the
evolution of money. But only two types of monetary standards in the recent past. They are metallic or
commodity standard and paper or fiat standard. The metallic standard refers to a monetary system in
which the value of the monetary unit is expressed in terms of a fixed quantity of some metal. If the
monetary system is related to only one metal, it is known as monometallism. Monometallism may
refer to the gold standard, if the metal is gold, and to silver standard, if the metal is silver. If the
monetary unit is made of two metals, the monetary standard is called bimetallism. In the paper
standard, paper notes circulate as legal tender money. They may be convertible into the metal, gold or
silver, of a fixed weight, or inconvertible. In this chapter, we shall study the gold standard,
bimetallism and paper standard.
THE GOLD STANDARD
Meaning. The gold standard is a monometallic standard in which the value of the monetary unit is
fixed in term of a specified weight and purity. As pointed out by Robertson, ―Gold standard is a
state of affairs in which a country keeps the value of its monetary and the value of a defined weight of
gold at an equality with one other.‖Coulborn‘s definition is simple. He writes, ―The gold standard is
whereby the chief piece of money of a country is exchangeable with a fixed quantity of gold of a
specified quality.
Types of the Gold Standard
The meanings of the gold standard, as given above, relates to its general form. But different at
different times adopted different types of gold standard which are explained as under.
1. Gold currency standard.
This standard prevailed prior to 1914 in the UK, USA and certain countries. It was also
known as the gold coin standard, gold circulation standard or full or pure gold standard. It had six
main features: (i) gold coins of a definite weight and fineness circulated within the country. For
instance, in England the sovereign was the gold coin which contained 123.2744 grams of gold of
11/12th purity. (ii) The gold coin (i.e. sovereign in Britain) was full and unlimited legal tender. (iii)
Non-gold metallic and paper currency notes also circulated side by side but they were convertible on
demand into gold coins at fixed rates, (iv) There was free coinage in gold. Any body could take gold
or jewellery to the mint for coinage, (v) Gold coin could be freely minted for other purposes, (vi)
Export and import of gold was free and unrestricted.
The international gold standard which operated for more than three decades in different forms had
certain merits.
The gold standard inspired public confidence because the domestic currency was linked with gold.
People knew that gold was an internationally accepted medium of payments, and a standard and a
store of value. Therefore, they had full confidence in the paper currency which was convertible into
gold bullion or coins or securities.
The international gold standard had the merit of working without any outside interference by any
other country or international authority.
3.Automatic Operation.
The gold standard functioned smoothly provided ‗the rules of the game‖ were observed. These rules
were not complex but easy to understand and follow for the countries. Thus the gold standard
provided a simple and automatic monetary system to the countries of the world.
Another merit of the gold standard was that it maintained stable exchange rates between countries.
The exchange rate of every country was fixed in terms of its mint par or the gold value of its
currency. The actual exchange rate between gold export and gold import points which took account
of the cost of transporting gold from one country to the other. Thus the exchange rate was stable and
fluctuations occurred only between the two gold points.
The gold standard secured relative stability of internal prices. When there was an inflow of gold,
prices rose. And they fell with gold outflow. But when prices rose, diminished and imports increased.
On the other hand, fall in prices led to expansion of exports and decline in imports. These opposite
tendencies started gold outflow in the former case and gold inflow in the later case. Ultimately, price
stability was maintained in the trading countries.
6.Check on Inflation.
Under the gold standard the currency of a country was linked with gold and was convertible into it.
As the issuing of currency was backed by specified quantity of gold, there was a limit up to which the
authorities could issue currency. For every increase in the amount of the currency, gold reserves were
also required to be increased to a given extent. There was also no fear of inflation, because the
country could not increase the quantity of money in unlimited quantity. As against this, the present
system of managed paper standard, having a fixed gold backing, leads the authorities to issue paper
money in unlimited quantities thereby leading to inflation.
The gold standard helped in the expansion of international trade. This was made possible by stable
exchange rate and stable value of gold in countries. These led to the expansion of international trade
and capital movements.
Despite these merits, the actual working of the gold standard revealed a number of disadvantages
which the countries of the world had to experience. Some of them were as under:
Critics pointed out that the gold standard acted like a fair weather friend. It worked smoothly in
normal or peace times first but failed during war or economic crises. actual working shows that it had to be
suspended during the First World War and finally abandoned during the Great Depression. So it was a fair
weather standard.
2.Not Automatic
It is a misnomer to say that the gold standard worked automatically. In fact, all varieties of it had to
be managed by the monetary authority or the central bank. The gold standard did not work automatically.
The central bank had to change the bank rate in accordance with gold movements in order to affect the price
level.
One of the principal objectives of the gold standard was maintain exchange stability. But this was
always attained at the cost of economic stability. When every time there were gold movements, the internal
price level had to be adjusted accordingly in order to maintain exchange stability. These price fluctuations
ed to internal economic instability which ultimately harmed the country. It is for this reason that now-a-days
all countries prefer internal price stability to exchange stability.
Hawtrey characterized the gold standard as state of anarchy in world credit control. Since the gold
standard was a laissez-faire standard and operated only under normal times, it failed miserably in conditions
of severe inflation or deflation. During the First World War, inflation spread to all countries of the world. On
the other hand, when depression started in 1929 it became a worldwide phenomenon. Thus the gold standard
by itself was unable to control either inflation or deflation. Rather, it had to sacrifice itself at the altars of
inflation and deflation.
5.Deflationary Bias
According to Mrs. John Robinson, the standard had an inherent bias towards deflation. It was in the
interest of the gold losing country to deflate prices, But once deflation started it became very difficult to
bring revival even with the best efforts of the central bank. The long drawn depression of 1930s proved this
fact without any shadow or doubt.
A country of the gold standard could not follow an independent policy of its own. It had to follow
that policy which was adopted by all other countries. Failure to follow a common policy alongwith other
countries mean; abandoning the gold standard. This implied breaking of all trade relations with countries on
the gold standard which could be harmful for the country.
7.Costly Standard
The gold standard was a costly standard because it was based on gold. Every country had to circulate
gold coins or keep gold reserves. As against this the paper standard is much cheaper and also economies the
use of gold.
8.Rigid standard
The gold standard was a rigid standard because for its success the rules of the game had to be
observed in letter and spirit. A country could not increase the money supply to finance a war pr development
activities or any financial emergency without increasing the gold reserves with its central bank. If it had to
export gold to import the necessary equipment, raw materials and other goods it needed for war or
development purposes. It was expected to reduce the internal price level by force in keeping with the rules of
the gold standard game. Thus it was a highly rigid standard.
Under one of the rules of the gold standard, the central bank of the country was required to affect
changes in the bank rate in keeping with the outflow of gold movements. When there was an inflow of gold,
the bank rate was low.
Paper currency standard consists of paper money which is unlimited legal tender and token coins of
cheap metals. Paper money may be either convertible or inconvertible. Convertible paper money is
convertible into gold or silver coins or bullion of specified weight on demand. Paper money is not
convertible into coins of a precious metal of bullion now-a-days. Therefore, it is inconvertible. People
accept it because it is legal tender. Since it has command of the government, people have to accept it.
That is why it is also known as fiat money or standard.
1.Economical. The paper standard is cheaper than gold or silver standard. There is no need to waste gold
or silver for coinage purpose. Rather precious metals can be used for productive purpose and for making
payments to foreign countries. As paper money is not convertible, there is no need to keep gold in the
form of reserves. The monetary authorities keep only a fixed quantity of gold in reserve for reason of
security. Thus the paper standard is cheap and economical and even a poor country can easily adopt it.
2.Elastic. The paper standard is a highly useful monetary system because it possesses great elasticity.
The monetary authority can easily adjust the money supply in accordance with the requirements of the
economy. This was not possible under the gold standard. The supply of money can be increased by
printing more notes in times of financial emergency, war, and for economic development. It can also be
reduced when the economic situation so demands. Thus there is also freedom in the management of the
money supply in the economic.
3.Price Stability. As a corollary to the above, the paper standard ensures price stability in the country.
The monetary authority can stability the price level by maintaining equilibrium between demand and
supply of money by an appropriate monetary policy.
4.Free form Cyclical Effects. The paper standard is free from the effects of business cycles arising in
other countries. This merit was not available to other monetary standards, especially the gold standard,
where cyclical movements in one country were automatically passed on to other countries through gold
movements.
5.Full Utilization of Resources. The gold standard had a deflationary bias whereby the resource of the
country remained unutilized. Whenever there was gold outflow prices fell and resources became
unemployed. But this is not the case under the paper standard in which the monetary authority can
manipulate monetary policy in order to ensure full utilization of the country’s resources.
Meaning. The gold standard is a monometallic standard in which the value of the monetary unit is fixed
in term of a specified weight and purity. As pointed out by Robertson, ―Gold standard is a state of
affairs in which a country keeps the value of its monetary and the value of a defined weight of gold at an
equality with one other.‖Coulborn‘s definition is simple. He writes, ―The gold standard is an
arrangementwhereby the chief piece of money of a country is exchangeable with a fixed quantity of gold
of a specified quality.
The meanings of the gold standard, as given above, relates to its general form. But different at different
times adopted different types of gold standard which are explained as under.
This standard prevailed prior to 1914 in the UK, USA and certain countries. It was also known as the
gold coin standard, gold circulation standard or full or pure gold standard. It had six main features: (i)
gold coins of a definite weight and fineness circulated within the country. For instance, in England the
sovereign was the gold coin which contained 123.2744 grams of gold of 11/12th purity. (ii) The gold coin
(i.e. sovereign in Britain) was full and unlimited legal tender. (iii) Non-gold metallic and paper currency
notes also circulated side by side but they were convertible on demand into gold coins at fixed rates, (iv)
There was free coinage in gold. Any body could take gold or jewellery to the mint for coinage, (v) Gold
coin could be freely minted for other purposes, (vi) Export and import of gold was free and unrestricted.
2. Gold Bullion standard
This standard was in operation in the UK between 1925 and 1931 and in India between 1927 and
1931. This monetary system had five distinguishing features: (i) Gold coins did not circulate within the
country. The legal tender currency in circulation consisted of paper currency notes and token coins of
silver and other metals. (ii) These were convertible at fixed rates into gold at bars or bullion. For
instance, in England currency notes were convertible into gold bars containing 400 oz. of gold at the
fixed price of 3-17s-10d per oz. of 11/12th fineness. When India adopted this system in 1927.
UNIT II
VALUE OF MONEY
The quantity theory of money states that the quantity of money is the main determinant of the price
level or the value of money. Any change in the quantity of money produces an exactly proportionate
change in the price level. In the words of Irving Fisher, ―Other things remaining unchanged, as the
quantity of money in circulation increases, the price level also increases in direct proportion and the
value of money decreases and vice versa.‖ If the quantity of money is doubled, the price level will also
double and the value of money will be one half. On the other hand, if the quantity of money is reduced
by one half, the price level will also be reduced by one half and the value of money will be twice.
PT=MV+ M‘ V‘
T = the total amount of goods and services exchanged for money or transactions performed by money.
This equation equates the demand for money (PT) to supply of money (MV=M‘V). The total volume of
transactions multiplied by the price level (PT) represents the demand for money.
According to Fisher, PT is SPQ. In other words, price level (P) multiplied by quantity bought (Q) by
the community (S) gives the total demand for money. This equals the total supply of money in the
community consisting of the quantity of actual money M and its velocity of circulation V plus the total
quantity of credit money M‘ and its velocity of circulation V‘. Thus the total value of purchases (PT) in a
year is measured by MV+M‘V‘. Thus the equation of exchange is PT=MV+M‘V‘. In order to find out
the effect of the quantity of money on the price level or the value of money, we write the equation as
P= MV+M‘V‘
Fisher points out the price level (P) (M+M‘) provided the volume of remain unchanged. The truth of this
proposition is evident from the fact that if M and M‘ are doubled, while V, V and T remain constant, P is
also doubled, but the value of money (1/P) is reduced to half. Fisher‘s quantity theory of money is
explained with the help of Figure (A) and (B). Panel A of the figure shows the effect of changes in the
quantity of money on the price level.
1. P is passive factor in the equation of exchange which is affected by the other factors.
3. V and V are assumed to be constant and are independent of changes in M and M‘.
Cambridge equation
The Cambridge equation formally represents the Cambridge cash-balance theory, an
alternative approach to the classical quantity theory of money. Both quantity theories, Cambridge
and classical, attempt to express a relationship among the amount of goods produced, the price level,
amounts of money, and how money moves. The Cambridge equation focuses on money also differ in
explaining the movement of money: In the classical version, associated with Irving Fisher, money
moves at a fixed rate and serves only as a medium of exchange while in the Cambridge approach
money acts as a store of value and its movement depends on the desirability of holding cash.
Economists associated with Cambridge University, including Alfred Marshall, A.C. Pigou, and John
Maynard Keynes (before he developed his own, eponymous school of thought) contributed to a
quantity theory of money that paid more attention to money demand than the supply-oriented
classical version. The Cambridge economists argued that a certain portion of the money supply will
not be used for transactions; instead, it will be held for the convenience and security of having cash
on hand. This portion of cash is commonly represented as k, a portion of nominal income (the
product of the price level and real income) Assuming that the economy is at equilibrium is
exogenous, and k is fixed in the short run, the Cambridge equation is equivalent to the equation of
exchange with velocity equal to the inverse of k:
Explanation to the Theory:
The Cambridge economists—like Alfred Marshall and A. C. Pigou—presented an alternative
to Fisher‘s version of Quantity Theory. They have attempted to establish that the Quantity Theory of
Money is a theory of demand for money (or liquidity preference). The Cambridge version of the
Quantity Theory of Money is now presented. Formally, the Cambridge equation is identical with the
income version of Fisher‘s instead of money supply.
Criticisms:
1. The Chain of Causation:
Critics argued that all the factors in the equation of exchange are variables and statistical
studies have shown that they are interrelated. Moreover, the line of causation is not always from M
(money supply) to P (the price level). It may be from V to P. A change in the rate of spending, all the
other factors remaining the same, will result in a change in prices just as surely as would a change in
the Quantity Theory of money, other things remaining the same. Or a change in T, other things
remaining the same, will cause a change in prices. So it is difficult to accept the theory that changes
in the quantity of money are always the causes in the price level. Studies have shown that the price
level cannot be easily and quickly controlled by changing the amount of money and credit available
for the purchase of goods and services. It may also be said that, under certain circumstances, an
increase in the quantity of money will not produce any change in the price level. Keynes has pointed
out that the Quantity Theory is inapplicable to a country which has unemployed resources (capital
and labour not in use). In such a country, creation of more money will lead to more employment and
higher production (larger supply of goods) and no change in the price level. Prices will change in
proportion to money supply only when there is no scope for increasing production, i.e., when there
are no unemployed resources in the economy.
2. There are Inactive Balances:
Under Fisher‘s formula, the price level depends upon the total quantity of money. But it is
only a part of the total quantity of money which influences prices. There always exist inactive
balances (hoards) which exert no pressure at all on the prices of goods and services. This is clearly
seen during depressions.
3. Simultaneous Changes:
The Quantity liquation cannot be used for analysing the effects, of changes in M, or T, on the
price level except on the ceteris paribus assumption, ―other things remaining constant.‖ But in the
case of monetary variables such an assumption cannot be made. When M changes, T and V both
change. When T changes, M, and V change. The net effect on the price level of a change in any of
the variables of the quantity equation depends on how the other variables are simultaneously
changed.
4. The Process of Change:
Theory does not show the process through which changes in the amount of money affect the
price level. Keynes put great emphasis on this point. He observed that: ―The fundamental problem
of monetary theory is not merely to establish identities or statistical relation but to treat the problem
dynamically, analysing the different elements involved in such a manner as to exhibit the causal
processes by which the price-level is determined and the method of transition from one equilibrium
to another.‖
5. The Assumption of Full Employment:
So increase in the quantity of money does not always increase prices. If there are unemployed
resources, increase of money increases employment and not prices. As Keynes points out, the
Quantity Theory is based on the assumption of Full Employment.
6. The Value of Money Determines the Quantity of Money:
According to Quantity Theory, an increase in the supply of goods or it will cause a fall in the
price level P. Monetary and banking practices, increases in the supply of goods always leads to an
increase in the supply of money (through creation of credit and otherwise). M therefore, depends on
T; they are not independent variables. If this view is correct, the value of money is not determined by
its quantity; on the contrary it is the value of money which determines its quantity.
7. Non-Monetary Factors:
Prices may change and the value of money vary for reasons entirely unconnected with the
quantity of money.
Some examples are given below:
(i) Changes in the level of efficiency wages may change costs of production and affect prices.
(ii) If increase of output occurs under conditions of diminishing returns, marginal costs will rise and
prices will rise. Similarly, prices will fall if production increases under conditions of increasing
returns.
(iii) Increase and decrease of monopoly power will, respectively, increase and decrease prices.
UNIT-III.
DEMAND AND SUPPLY OF MONEY
Keynes in his General Theory severely criticised the Fisherian quantity theory of money for
its unrealistic assumptions. First, the quantity theory of money for its unrealistic assumptions. First,
the quantity theory of money is unrealistic because it analyses the relation between M and P in the
long run. Thus it neglects the short run factors which influence this relationship. Second, Fisher‘s
equation holds good under the assumption of full employment. But Keynes regards full employment
as a special situation. The general situation is one of the under-employment equilibrium. Third,
Keynes does not believe that the relationship between the quantity of money and the price level is
direct and proportional. Rather, it is an indirect one via the rate of interest and the level of output.
According to Keynes, ―So long as there is unemployment, output and employment will change in
the same proportion as the quantity of money, and when there is full employment, prices will change
in the same proportion as the quantity of money.‖ Thus Keynes integrated the theory of output with
value theory and monetary theory and criticised Fisher for dividing economics ―into two
compartments with no doors and windows between the theory of money.
It is the increase in the quantity of money which by increasing the aggregate demand for
goods and services leads to rise in prices, and vice versa. But the experience during the Great
Depression has shown that increase in the money supply failed to increase the aggregate demand.
The income theory was gradually developed by Tooke, Wick-sell and Afflation and finally by
Keynes. According to them, it is changes in income rather than in the money supply which cause
changes in the aggregate demand. When income increases, aggregate demand for goods and services
also increases. People spend more and the price level rises. On the contrary, with the decline in
income, the aggregate demand falls. People spend less and the price level falls.
Therefore, changes in the price level depend upon the volume of expenditure in the economy
which in turn is determined by changes in the level of income. And the level of income depends
upon the volume of saving and investment in the economy. Thus changes in the price level or value
of money are caused by the income and expenditure of the community or by the volume of saving
and investment. Thus income and expenditure, and saving investment are the two approaches to the
income theory which we discuss below. Income-Expenditure Approach: The income theory of prices
involves on the one side an analysis of income and aggregate demand, and on the other, an analysis
of costs and aggregate supply. Prices are determined by money income and real income.
The total money income (Y) is the value of goods and services produced in any period of
time and expressed in terms of money. It is determined by the remuneration paid in terms of money
ю the factors of production. Thus it also refers to the sum of total expenditure (E) incurred on goods
and services pricing a period. On the other hand, the ‗real‘ income is the total value of real money
value of goods and services expressed in terms of a general price level of a particular year taken as
the base. Thus the money value of real income is the money income which is determined by the
prices of goods and services or output. Symbolically,
Y = P.O.
Where Y is Money income or money expenditure which produces a flow of income, P is the general
level of prices, and О is the physical volume of goods and services produced.
It follows that
P = Y/O
It means that prices are determined by the ratio of money income to total output. When money
income (Y) rises more rapidly than output (О) prices (P) will tend to increase. If, on the other hand,
output (О) increases more rapidly than money income (10, prices (P) will tend to fall. It is clear from
the above that total money income equals total expenditure which, in turn, is equal to consumption
expenditure (C) plus investment expenditure (I). Therefore, e (C) plus investment expenditure (I).
Therefore,
symbolically, Y = E = С + I.
According to Keynes, it is the total money income which determines the total expenditure of the
community. An increase in the money income means increase investment expenditure, the propensity
to consume being stable in the short run. The increased investment will raise effective demand which
will in-turn, raise output and employment. But what about prices? So long as there is unemployment,
prices do not rise with the increase in output. This is because the supply of factors is perfectly elastic.
Therefore, output will change in the same proportion as the quantity of money, and there will be no
change in prices. When the supply of factors becomes somewhat inelastic (or factor are in short
supply), this may lead to increase in marginal costs and prices.
As full employment is reached, the elasticity of supply of output falls to zero (perfectly
inelastic), and prices rise in proportion to the increase in the quantity of money. Thus the income
theory states that the increase in the quantity of money depends upon increase in money income and
aggregate expenditure, and prices start rising when the full employment level is being reached. Once
the full employment level is reached, prices rise in the same proportion as the increase in money
income and aggregate expenditure.
Saving-Investment Approach:
Introduction:
An alternative to the Keynesian income-expenditure theory is the saving investment approach
to income theory. In fact the income-expenditure approach (Y = С + I) is the same thing as the
saving-investment approach. Both saving (S) and investment (I) are defined as the excess of income
over consumption (Y-C) so that they are necessarily equal.
Symbolically
S = Y-C
I = Y -C
S=I.
Keynes also established this equality in another way. He defined income as equal to consumption
plus investment (Y= С + I), and saving as the excess of income over consumption (S = Y-C). Thus
Y – С + I or I = Y – С S = Y-C
S=I
The Theory:
We have seen above that the equality between saving and investment is brought about by the
mechanism of income. On the other hand, income depends upon relation between saving and
investment. So long as saving and investment are equal, there will be the equilibrium level of income
and the price level will be stable. If saving and investment are disturbed, the price-level also changes
via the change in expenditure. If saving exceeds investment, it means that people reduce their
expenditure on goods and services. They are hoarding more money and spending less. This reduces
the velocity of circulation of money. This leads to a reduction in the income of the producers of
goods and services.Reduced expenditure and income lead to a fall in the price level. As prices fall,
investment also declines due to a fall in the marginal efficiency of capital which leads to further
falling income, output, employment, and prices. This process will continue till prices reach the
bottom of the depression. If investment exceeds saving, people increase their expenditure on goods
and services. They are spending more and saving less. This causes the velocity of circulation to
increase. This increases the income of the producers of goods and services. Increase in expenditure
and income lead to a rise in the price level. This will increase the profit expectations or marginal
efficiency of capital. As a result, investment will increase further which will, in turn, raise
employment, incomeexpenditure, output and prices to still higher levels. But the increase in
investment leading to an increase in aggregate expenditure, demand, and income do not lead to a rise
the price level immediately. So long as the output of goods and services rises proportionately with
the increase in the demand for goods and services, there would not be a general rise in the price level.
If output does not increase proportionately, increase in investment will increase income and the price
level. But increase in output is possible only if there are unemployed resources in the economy.
When the economy reaches the full employment level, further increase in income will not raises
output to the level of increase in aggregate expenditure. But it will to an upward rise in the price
levelling the same proportion as the increase in income. To conclude, it is the inequality in saving and
investment that brings about changes in the price level, and changes in the price level are due to
changes in income rather than in the quantity of money.
Quantity Theory:
The income-expenditure theory of money is considered superior to the quantity theory of
money on the following grounds:
1. Explains Business Cycles:
The quantity theory cannot explain changes in prices during the upswing and downswing of a
business cycle. It does not explain why an abundance of money during a depression fails to bring
about a revival, and shortage of money stops a boom. The income theory is superior to the quantity
theory because it explains them. According to the saving investment theory, when investment exceeds
saving rival starts from a depression. More increase in the supply of money is not enough to bring
about a revival. It is the rise in business expectations of profit (or the marginal efficiency of capital)
that encourage investment and the revival starts. On the other hand, a boom does not stop due to
decrease in the money supply alone. Rather it stops because saving exceeds investment due to the
falling the expectations of profit. Thus it is changes in investment due to changes in business
expectations of profit that lead to cyclical upswing and downswing. Crowther has apathy said, ―The
Quantity Theory of Money explains, as it were, the average level of the sea; the saving and
Investment Theory explains the violence of the tides.
2. Explains Changes in Velocity of Circulation of Money:
The quantity theory of money does not explain the causes of changes in the velocity of
circulation of money. The saving-investment theory is superior in that it gives an adequate
explanation of such changes. When saving exceeds investment, it means that people are hoarding
more money and spending less. This reduces the velocity of circulation of money. On the contrary,
when investment exceeds saving, people are spending more which causes the velocity of circulation
of money to increase. Thus changes in the velocity of circulation of money are caused by the
relationship between saving and investment.
3. Explains Causal Relationship between Quantity of Money and Price Level:
The quantity theory of money fails to explain the causal relationship between the quantity of
money and the price level. It simply explains that the relationship between the two is direct and
proportional. The saving-investment theory is superior in that it shows that the actual relationship
between the money supply and price level is neither direct nor proportional. It is disequilibrium
between saving and investment that leads to changes in the spent. If investment exceeds saving,
income will increase which will raise aggregate expenditure. It is the rise in business expectations of
profit (or the marginal efficiency of capital) that encourage investment and the revival starts. On the
other hand, a boom does not stop due to decrease in the money supply alone. Rather it stops because
saving exceeds investment due to the falling the expectations of profit.
4. Applicable in the Full Employment and Unemployment:
The quantity theory of money is based on the assumption of full employment that is why it
establishes a direct and proportional relationship between the quantity of money and price level. The
saving-investment theory is superior to it because it analyses the effect of money on the price level
when there is unemployment in the economy.
5. Explains Short Run Changes:
The saving-investment theory is more realistic than the quantity theory of money because it
explains short run changes in the value of money (or price level), whereas the quantity theory of
money explain the long-run changes. This is unrealistic because in the long run we are all dead.
6. Considers both Monetary and Real Factors:
Again, the saving-investment theory is superior to the quantity theory of money in that it
takes into consideration both the monetary and real factors in determining the value of money. Such
factors as saving, investment, aggregate output are taken along with the quantity of money and
aggregate expenditure. This makes the income theory better than the quantity theory of money.
7. Policy Implications:
The policy implications of the saving-investment theory are more realistic than the quaintly
theory of money. The quantity theory of money concentrates exclusively on monetary policy. On the
other hand, the saving-investment theory lays more emphasis on expenditure and income that affect
economic activity more than the quantity of money. This fact has been proved by the dominance of
income (fiscal) policy over the monetary policy since 1950s. We may conclude with Crowther that
the saving-investment theory ―goes considerably nearer to the reality of things than the quantity
theory. It reveals the fundamental tenncies of which the behaviour of money and prices is merely the
surface of the symptom.
SUPPLY OF MONEY
The money supply is all the currencyand other liquid instruments in a country's economy on
the date measured. The money supply roughly includes both cash and deposits that can be used
almost as easily as cash. Governments issue paper currencyand coin through some combination of
their central banks and treasuries. The money supply is the total value of money available in an
economy at a point of time. There are several ways to define "money", but standard measures
yusually include currency in circulation and demand deposits. The money supply is all the currency
and other liquid instruments in a country's economy on the date measured. The money isupply
roughly includes both cash and deposits that can be used almost as easily as cash.
Governments issue paper currency and coin through some combination of their central banks
and treasuries. Bank regulators influence money supply available to the public through the
requirements placed on banks to hold reserves, how to extend credit and other regulation.
Money Supply
Understanding Money Supply
Economists analyze the money supply and develop policies revolving around it
through controlling interest rates and increasing or decreasing the amount of money flowing in the
economy. Public and private sectoranalysis is performed because of the money supply's possible
impacts on price level, inflation, and the business cycle. In the United States, the Federal Reserve
policy is the most important deciding factor in the money supply. The money supply is also known as
the money stock.
Change in the money supply has long been considered to be a key factor in driving
macroeconomic performance and business cycles. Macroeconomic schools of thought that focus
heavily on the role of money supply include Irving Fisher's Quantity Theory of Money, Monetarism,
and Austrian Business Cycle Theory.
Historically, measuring the money supply has shown that relationships exist between it
and inflation and price levels. However, since 2000, these relationships have become unstable,
reducing their reliability as a guide for monetary policy. Although money supply measures are still
widely used, they are one of a wide array of economic data that economists and the Federal Reserve
collects and reviews.
M0 and M1, for example, are also called narrow money and include coins and notes that are in
circulation and other money equivalents that can be converted easily to cash. M2 includes M1 and, in
addition, short-term time deposits in banks and certain money market funds.1 M3 includes M2 in
addition to long-term deposits. However, M3 is no longer included in the reporting by the Federal
Reserve.3 MZM, or money zero maturity, is a measure that includes financial assets with zero
maturity and that are immediately redeemable at par. The Federal Reserve relies heavily on MZM
data because its velocity is a proven indicator of inflation.
Money supply data is collected, recorded, and published periodically, typically by the
country's government or central bank. The Federal Reserve in the United States measures and
publishes the total amount of M1 and M2 money supplies on a weekly and monthly basis. They can
be found online and are also published in newspapers. According to data from the Federal Reserve, as
of June 2020 a little over $5.2 trillion in M1 money was in circulation, and more than $18.1 trillion in
M2 money. M1 is the money supply that encompasses physical currency and coin, demand deposits,
traveler's checks, and other checkable deposits.M3 is a measure of the money supply that includes
M2, large time deposits, institutional money market funds, and short-term repurchasemonetary base is
the total amount of a currency in general circulation or in the commercial bank deposits held in the
central bank's reserves.The velocity of money is a measurement of the rate at which consumers and
businesses exchange money in an economy.Monetary aggregates are broad measures of how much
money exists in an economy at various levels, including currency, deposits, and credit.M2 is a
measure of the money supply that includes cash and checking deposits (M1) as well as near money.
Keynes explained the asset motive through what he termed 'speculative demand'. In
this theory, he argued that demand for money is a choice between holding cash and buying bonds. If
interest rates are low, then people will tend to expect rising interest rates, and therefore a fall in the
price of bonds
In an inventory model, the demand for holding money depends on the frequency of getting
paid, and the cost of depositing money in a bank. When employees are paid, they will hold some
money to buy goods. If they are paid once a month, they may deposit half to benefit from interest
payments, and then withdraw after two months. However, electronic transfers and debit cards have
made this less relevant.
Precautionary demand for money
Precautionary demand for money – the money we may need for unexpected purchases or
emergencies.
Asset motive The asset motive states that people demand money as a way to hold wealth. This may occur during
periods of deflation or periods where investors expect bonds to fall in value.
Speculative demand
Keynes explained the asset motive through what he termed ‘speculative demand’. In this theory, he
argued that demand for money is a choice between holding cash and buying bonds.If interest rates are low,
then people will tend to expect rising interest rates, and therefore a fall in the price of bonds. In this case,
demand for holding wealth in the form of money will be higher. If interest rates are high, and people expect
interest rates to fall, then there is likely to be greater demand for buying bonds and less demand for holding
money. If interest rates fall, then the price of bonds will rise.