CS181 WPaper
CS181 WPaper
Executive Summary
High frequency trading (HFT), which has existed in the United States for
several decades, expanded rapidly and in relative secrecy in the early 2000’s,
with total industry revenue exceeding $7 billion in 2009 [8]. Firms that
engage in HFT rely on incredibly fast software and network connections
to exchanges, and use these capabilities to trade stocks rapidly and often
aggressively. Considerable debate exists over the role of HFT firms – some
allege that their practices are anticompetitive and exploitative, while others
cite their ability to bolster liquidity, with both government regulators and
private companies on both sides of this debate. Though several reforms
have been enacted by organizations such as the SEC, many have failed to
curve abusive trading tactics and have harmed liquidity in the process.
This report analyzes both the role of HFT firms as well as previous
attempts to regulate them, and develops a fiscally bipartisan solution: tax
subsidies for “fair” exchanges together with an experimental securities
transaction tax, designed to limit exploitative trading without placing
undue burden on financial markets.
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Introduction
In the introduction to his book Flash Boys, author Michael Lewis describes
a $300 million project by Spread Networks to lay a perfectly straight cable
connecting datacenters outside New York and Chicago, designed to re-
duce transmission time from 17 milliseconds to 13 milliseconds [11]. While
such an improvement may seem unimportant at first glance, the first 200
users to sign up for access to the Spread Networks cable paid a collective
$2.8 billion [20]. These users were primarily companies that engaged in
high-frequency trading (HFT), for whom 4 milliseconds was the difference
between dominance and irrelevance. To an outsider, this furious compe-
tition for milliseconds and even microseconds appears to be a waste of
resources, but it is in reality a race for very real money: high frequency
trading generated $7 billion in revenue in the US alone in 2009 [8].
Technical Background
Definition
High frequency trading is a subset of automated trading, in which financial
transactions are issued by computers without direct human input. HFT
specifically is characterized by large numbers or orders and cancellations,
short holding periods, low latency times (often on the scale of millisec-
onds or microseconds), and a focus on highly liquid instruments (that is,
instruments that are easily bought and sold) [8].
History
1930-2009: Emergence
HFT in its current form was born with NASDAQ’s introduction of purely
electronic trading in 1983 [6], which allowed for communication orders of
magnitude faster than was previously possible. The industry grew rapidly,
reaching its peak in 2009, when trades made using HFT software comprised
60% of all equity trading in the United States [8].
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2009-Present: Decline and Maturity
HFT has declined slightly since 2009 (today comprising only 50% of all
equity trading), though by no means disappeared, for several reasons:
Though HFT has seen a decline both in share of market volume and total
revenue since 2009, it still remains a billion-dollar sector, and one that could
reemerge in an inevitable period of greater volatility.
Co-location
Co-location is the practice of “locating computers owned by HFT firms ... in
the same premises where an exchanges computer servers are housed,” with
the goal of enabling faster access to exchange data. Co-location “has become
a lucrative business for exchanges, which charge HFT firms millions of
dollars for the privilege of ‘low-latency access”’. Co-location and privileged
3
Figure 1: Graphs showing the relative decline of high-frequency trading
since the financial crisis of 2009. In the graph on the right, dark blue
bars indicate European markets, while light blue bars represent American
markets. Source: Deutsche Bank Research [8]
low-latency can create a market of haves and have-nots, where the resource
in question is not money directly, but rather speed, which begets money
[17].
Front-Running
The term “front-running” has several different uses. Here, we use it to refer
to a practice by which an HFT organization recognizes a trade occurring
on one exchange and quickly acts to take advantage of that trade before it
can occur on another exchange. An example timeline is:
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3. HFT organization H notices investor I’s order on exchange W and
suspects that they might make similar trades on other exchanges.
Using their faster connection and lower latency, they quickly place
orders on exchanges X, Y, Z. They purchase the stock for $20.00 per
share.
4. Investor I’s orders arrive at exchanges X, Y, Z. Investor I’s demand
on these exchanges raises the price to $20.01 per share.
5. HFT organization H quickly sells these shares, making a profit of
$0.01 per share. With sufficient volume, H can make a considerable
profit.
Spoofing
The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (“Dodd-
Frank”) defines spoofing as “the illegal practice of bidding or offering with
intent to cancel before execution.” Spoofing was a technique employed
by HFT organizations to create the illusion of supply or demand for a
particular financial instrument, in an attempt to manipulate prices to their
advantage. Spoofing occurred regularly until it was banned under Dodd-
Frank in 2010, and still occurs in limited amounts today [13].
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Technical Conclusions
High frequency traders employ a variety of techniques to manipulate fi-
nancial markets to their advantage, generating on the order of $1 billion
of revenue annually. Though the sector has declined with growing eco-
nomic stability, its still-considerable magnitude demands understanding
and regulation.
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Arguments Against HFT
Lack of Dependable Liquidity
While HFT firms do create liquidity, some question their dependability,
noting that “high-frequency trades... generally lack depth because of the
relatively small size of HFT quotes [trade quantities].” [18] Additionally,
many HFT firms are not designated market makers (DMMs). DMMs have
an obligation to make a market (that is, buy and sell at market price) in
some security, even if this might mean operating at a loss. Because HFT
firms have no such obligation, the liquidity they provide can vanish under
certain conditions.
Unfair Markets
Practices such as front-running do not constitute insider trading, because
they do technically rely on public information. However, the ability to
use this public information relies on millions of dollars of technology and
privileged access via co-location. While it is true that these opportunities
for the fastest possible access to financial information are available to any
organization willing to pay for them, the barrier to entry is sufficiently
high so as to create a two-tiered market, in which some organizations have
access to information before others do, giving them an advantage.
Defenders of this system note that “securities markets have always been
characterized by differential or tiered access to securities trades, going back
to a time when floor traders had favored access to stock orders.” [18] Even
today, these defenders assert, the public doesn’t view people who use free
stock quotes via Google Finance (normally up to 20 minutes behind mar-
kets) as being “disadvantaged” with respect to people who use stock quotes
via paid services such as Bloomberg (normally within seconds of live mar-
ket movement). Rather, the public acknowledges that the Bloomberg user’s
advantage is the result of their decision to purchase access to Bloomberg’s
services [14]. However, critics assert that this argument is simplistic, and
that because investment in millisecond-level improvement is generally only
profitable for HFT firms, paid access for extremely low latency can and
does create tiered access to information.
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Investor Confidence
HFT may also be detrimental to investor confidence. To those in the finan-
cial industry not directly involved in the development of HFT technology,
the sector is a black box, with algorithms producing trading activity that
may be difficult for humans to analyze or explain. However, these financial
analysts may recognize that they cannot understand and master every
concept within the industry, and decide to “leave HFT to the HFT people.”
However, even if financial analysts place their trust in HFT professionals,
the general public is far less likely to do so, especially in light of a string
of highly public market disruptions that were (correctly or incorrectly)
attributed to reckless practices by HFT firms, the most notable among
these being the Flash Crash of May 6, 2010 and the Knight Capital Group
meltdown [9] [15]. Investor confidence is vital to any economy, as high
investor confidence means that the general public is willing to place their
financial resources in the hands of capital markets. If HFT “black boxes”
play a role in reducing investor confidence, they impede capital markets,
making it more difficult for people and businesses in need of loans to
acquire them and thus slowing economic growth.
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with an unprecedented ability to aggregate trade data and monitor HFT
firms (and other market participants) for abusive behavior [2].
or $20 million during any calendar day; or 20 million shares or $200 million during any
calendar month” [3]
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350-microsecond delay - too short to affect normal trading, but long enough
to prevent front-running [10].
Surprisingly, IEX, an exchange dedicated to the idea of prudence and
fairness in financial markets (perhaps at the cost of efficiency) received
the support it needed from Goldman Sachs - a bank frequently associated
with “moral bankruptcy” (see “Why I Am Leaving Goldman Sachs”, by
Greg Smith [19]) and the imprudent lending practices that led to the 2009
financial crisis.2 With the backing of a large investment bank, IEX was able
to meet operating costs and thrive, and today facilitates the exchange of
over 100 million shares per day [1].
Conclusions on Policy
The significant scope of the positive and negative effects of HFT on financial
markets necessitates an understanding of a financial sector that for many
years profited from operation in relative secrecy. The industry’s potential
to increase market efficiency by raising liquidity and stabilizing prices
cannot be overlooked. However, the tendencies of HFT to create unreliable
liquidity, foster tiered information access, and reduce investor confidence
must also be considered. Finally, the factions in the debate surrounding
HFT must be taken into account: the existence of public and private sector
opponents and proponents means that policy could take multiple forms.
Responses could consist of direct regulation (e.g. via the SEC), or could
instead be intended to influence the industry using the private sector as a
proxy (e.g. via tax incentives).
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Having established this factual basis, this report will discuss and develop
recommendations for further public policy surrounding HFT.
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those trades arrive milliseconds later at another market?
These techniques are designed to exploit an advantage held by HFT
firms over other market participants, and are intended to extract profit
without creating value. Thus, under fiscally conservative philosophy, these
practices are unproductive and even actively harmful to an economy, and
should be restricted.
It is important to qualify this claim: under a fiscally conservative per-
spective, not all tactics practiced by HFT firms should be restricted. This
argument has taken a stand against aggressive, exploitative techniques by
HFT firms, but takes no such stand against passive techniques, such as
simple market-making. Creation of liquidity by market-making HFT firms
promotes efficient exchange and fosters access to capital markets, both of
which are core goals within a fiscally conservative framework.
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Partisan Cohesion and Dissonance
Surprisingly, fiscal conservatism and fiscal liberalism can be applied to
derive the same conclusion condemning more aggressive measures by HFT
firms such as spoofing and front-running. However, one area where the
two philosophies exhibit dissonance is in their treatment of more passive
measures, such as market-making. Fiscal conservatism would support low
taxes for market makers, to encourage unfettered exchange, while fiscal
liberalism would levy higher taxes on market makers, under the assertion
that the corresponding increase in government revenue would more than
offset the small inefficiency introduced by a tax.
Thus, the most pertinent questions in crafting a bipartisan solution
become how best to discourage more abusive, aggressive practices by
HFT firms outright, and how to reconcile conflicting perspectives on the
necessity of regulation and taxation on passive HFT tactics.
Potential Measures
In its report on the subject, the Congressional Research Service considers
several potential legislative responses to the proliferation of HFT. This essay
considers them in turn, along with its own proposals [18].
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Minimum Order Exposure Times The CRS also considers a scheme un-
der which “submitted securities orders could not be canceled for some
minimum duration, for example 50 milliseconds”. This proposal meets
discourse similar to that surrounding order cancellation fees: proponents
cite its potential to eliminate abusive practices, while critics cite its potential
to reduce the ability of market makers to provide liquidity.
Novel Proposals
Tax Incentives for Fair Exchanges Observing that all measures issued by
the CRS become bogged down in debates regarding the potential impact
of such legislation on market liquidity, this report explores policy which
would have insubstantial impact in this respect: tax incentives for “fair”
exchanges, such as IEX. Fair exchanges eliminate many of the problems
associated with aggressive HFT practices, such as front-running, without
the need for hard-to-enforce legislation. Tax incentives for exchanges that
promote fair trading (or, conversely, tax penalties against firms that refuse
to implement such policy) promote fair markets without limiting the ability
of HFT firms to offer liquidity.
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a resurgence in a future period of financial instability. Nonetheless, this
proposal contributes the valuable insight that HFT is not as powerful a
sector as it once was, and that regulation should adjust accordingly.
Recommendation
Having examined proposed public policy in response to HFT, and con-
structed public policy of our own to remedy potential pitfalls in pre-existing
proposals, we make the following recommendations.
First, as noted in “Tax Incentives for Fair Exchanges”, we recommend
the implementation of tax benefits for exchanges such as IEX which imple-
ment policies that promote fair market exchange. These policies do not
pose a financial burden on HFT firms, allowing them to provide liquid-
ity; simultaneously, these policies will help curb aggressive and harmful
trading practices such as front-running.
Additionally, we recommend the experimental, gradual, and mild in-
troduction of a securities transaction tax, with the understanding that this
introduction must be conducted carefully because it will reduce market
liquidity to some extent. This legislation recognizes a tradeoff between
promoting liquidity and limiting unproductive HFT tactics and proposes
experimentation with acceptable points on that tradeoff by varying the
securities transaction tax as appropriate, to find an acceptable balance
between the two objectives.
Conclusion
As the technological, political, and financial landscape around high fre-
quency trading grows ever more complex, it is important to develop and
test policy that appropriately responds to this growing complexity. With
prudent regulation, the government should strive to strike a bipartisan
balance between creating healthy free markets and restricting unhealthy
trading tactics, to promote long-term economic stability in this sector and
throughout the American economy.
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Word Count
The body text of this essay (not including headings, footnotes, captions,
references, or the glossary) is 4000 words.
Significant Revisions
As this is the final submission of this essay, the course staff have requested
a summary of significant revisions from the first draft. My significant
revisions were as follows:
Author’s Note
This essay attempts to the maximum possible extent to avoid overcompli-
cated financial jargon. Nonetheless, some discussion of concepts that may
not be accessible to readers from other fields is necessary. As such, we
provide this glossary for terms that may be unfamiliar to all readers.
Glossary
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Bid-Ask Spread The difference between the bid price and the
ask price. That is, the difference between the
price that investors are willing to pay for an
instrument and the price that other investors
are willing to sell it for.
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Latency The time that it takes a market participant to
communicate with an exchange. For firms
that engage in high-frequency trading, low
latency is extremely important.
Liquidity A term used to describe how easily an asset
can be converted to cash. A highly liquid
instrument is easily bought and sold.
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