S1 Mock Examination 2 2023/24

Student Name: Subject:

AS Mathematics

Grade: 11 D
Time: 1 hour 30 minutes
Date: 16th Apr 2024

Items included with question

Materials required for examination
paper
Black pen
Scientific calculator Formula sheet
Pencil for all diagram/graphs

Question Mark

Total
75
1. The histogram shows the times taken, t minutes, by each of 100 people to
swim 500 metres.

Frequency
density

0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Time taken (t minutes)

(a) Use the histogram to complete the frequency table for the times taken by the
100 people to swim 500 metres.

Time taken (t minutes) 5 – 10 10 – 14 14 – 18 18 – 25 25 – 40

Frequency ( f ) 10 16 24

(1)

(b) Estimate the number of people who took less than 16 minutes to swim 500 metres.
(2)

(c) Find an estimate for the mean time taken to swim 500 metres.
(2)

Given that 2

(d) find an estimate for the standard deviation of the times taken to swim 500 metres.
(2)

Given that Q3

(e) use linear interpolation to estimate the interquartile range of the times taken to
swim 500 metres.
(3)
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(Total for Question 1 is 10 marks)

2. Two bags, X and Y, each contain green marbles (G) and blue marbles (B) only.

• Bag X contains 5 green marbles and 4 blue marbles

• Bag Y contains 6 green marbles and 5 blue marbles

A marble is selected at random from bag X and placed in bag Y

A second marble is selected at random from bag X and placed in bag Y
A third marble is then selected, this time from bag Y

(a) Use this information to complete the tree diagram shown on page 7
(3)

(b) Find the probability that the 2 marbles selected from bag X are of different colours.
(2)

(c) Find the probability that all 3 marbles selected are the same colour.
(2)

Given that all three marbles selected are the same colour,

(d) find the probability that they are all green.

(3)
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1st Marble 2nd Marble 3rd Marble

(from bag X) (from bag X) (from bag Y)

. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
G

G
B
. ... . .. ... . ... .

G
. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
G
B

B
. ... . .. ... . ... .

. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
G

G
. .. .. .. . . .. .. ..
B
. ... . .. ... . ... .

G
B
. .. .. .. . . .. .. ..

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(Total for Question 2 is 10 marks)

3. The probability distribution of the discrete random variable X is given by

x 2 3 4

P(X x) a 0.4 0.6 – a

where a is a constant.

(a) Find, in terms of a, E(X)

(2)

(b) Find the range of the possible values of E(X)

(3)

Given that Var(X

(c) find the possible values of a

(6)
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(Total for Question 3 is 11 marks)

4. (i) In the Venn diagram below, A and B represent events and p, q, r and s
are probabilities.

A B

p q r

(a) Use algebra to show that 2p + 2q + 2r

(4)

(b) Find the value of p, the value of q, the value of r and the value of s
(5)

(ii) Two events, C and D, are such that

where x is a positive constant.

By considering P(C) + P(D) show that C and D cannot be mutually exclusive.

(4)
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(Total for Question 4 is 13 marks)

5. The lengths, L mm, of housefly wings are normally distributed with L ~ N(4.5, 0.42)

(a) Find the probability that a randomly selected housefly has a wing length of less
than 3.86 mm.
(3)

(b) Find

(i) the upper quartile (Q3) of L

(ii) the lower quartile (Q1) of L

(4)
A value that is greater than Q3 + 1.5 × (Q3 – Q1) or smaller than Q1 – 1.5 × (Q3 – Q1)
is defined as an outlier.

(c) Find these two outlier limits.

(3)
A housefly is selected at random.

(d) Using standardisation, show that the probability that this housefly is not an outlier
is 0.993 to 3 decimal places.
(3)
Given that this housefly is not an outlier,

(e) showing your working, find the probability that the wing length of this housefly
is greater than 5 mm.
(4)
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(Total for Question 5 is 17 marks)

6. A research student is investigating the maximum weight, y grams, of sugar that will
dissolve in 100 grams of water at various temperatures, x °C, where 10 x 80

The research student calculated the regression line of y on x and found it to be

y x

(a) Give an interpretation of the gradient of the regression line.

(1)

(b) Use the regression line to estimate the maximum weight of sugar that will dissolve
in 100 grams of water when the temperature is 90 °C.
(2)

(c) Comment on the reliability of your estimate, giving a reason for your answer.
(2)
Using the regression line of y on x and the following summary statistics

(d) show that the product moment correlation coefficient for these data is 0.988 to
3 decimal places.
(7)

The research student’s supervisor plotted the original data on a scatter diagram, shown
on page 23
With reference to both the scatter diagram and the correlation coefficient,

(e) discuss the suitability of a linear regression model to describe the relationship
between x and y.
(2)
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 400

300

Weight
200
(y grams)

100

0
0 20 40 60 80
Temperature (x °C)

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(Total for Question 6 is 14 marks)

TOTAL FOR PAPER IS 75 MARKS

Statistics S1
Candidates sitting S1 may also require those formulae listed under Pure Mathematics P1 and P2.

Probability
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B)

P(A ∩ B) = P(A)P(B | A)
P( B A)P( A)
P(A | B) =
P( B A)P( A) + P( B A' )P( A' )

Discrete distributions
For a discrete random variable X taking values xi with probabilities P(X = xi)

Expectation (mean): E(X ) = μ = ∑ xi P(X = xi)

Variance: Var(X ) = σ 2 = ∑(xi − μ)2 P(X = xi) = ∑ xi2 P(X = xi) − μ 2

For a function g(X ) : E(g(X )) = ∑g(xi) P(X = xi)

Continuous distributions
Standard continuous distribution:

Distribution of X P.D.F. Mean Variance

1 x− μ 2
1 −  
Normal N(μ, σ ) 2
e 2 σ  μ σ2
σ 2π

14 Pearson Edexcel International Advanced Subsidiary/Advanced Level in Mathematics, Further Mathematics and Pure
Mathematics – Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables – Issue 2 – January 2021 © Pearson Education Limited 2021
Correlation and regression
For a set of n pairs of values (xi , yi)

(∑ xi ) 2
Sxx = ∑(xi − x)2 = ∑ xi2 −
n

(∑ yi ) 2
Syy = ∑( yi − y)2 = ∑ yi2 −
n

(∑ xi )(∑ yi )
Sxy = ∑(xi − x)(yi − y) = ∑xi yi −
n

The product moment correlation coefficient is

(∑ xi )(∑ yi )
Sxy ∑ ( xi − x )( yi − y ) ∑ xi yi −
r = = = n
SxxS yy {∑ ( xi − x ) 2 }{∑ ( yi − y ) 2 }  (∑ xi )  
2
(∑ yi ) 2 
 ∑ xi − ∑ yi −
2 2
n   n 

The regression coefficient of y on x is b 

Sxy  ( xi  x )( yi  y )

Sxx  ( xi  x )2

Least squares regression line of y on x is y = a + bx where a = y − bx

Pearson Edexcel International Advanced Subsidiary/Advanced Level in Mathematics, Further Mathematics and Pure 15
Mathematics – Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables – Issue 2 – January 2021 © Pearson Education Limited 2021
The Normal Distribution Function
z 1
1 − t2
The function tabulated below is Φ(z), defined as Φ(z) =
2π
∫
−∞
e 2 dt .

z Φ(z) z Φ(z) z Φ(z) z Φ(z) z Φ(z)

0.00 0.5000 0.50 0.6915 1.00 0.8413 1.50 0.9332 2.00 0.9772
0.01 0.5040 0.51 0.6950 1.01 0.8438 1.51 0.9345 2.02 0.9783
0.02 0.5080 0.52 0.6985 1.02 0.8461 1.52 0.9357 2.04 0.9793
0.03 0.5120 0.53 0.7019 1.03 0.8485 1.53 0.9370 2.06 0.9803
0.04 0.5160 0.54 0.7054 1.04 0.8508 1.54 0.9382 2.08 0.9812
0.05 0.5199 0.55 0.7088 1.05 0.8531 1.55 0.9394 2.10 0.9821
0.06 0.5239 0.56 0.7123 1.06 0.8554 1.56 0.9406 2.12 0.9830
0.07 0.5279 0.57 0.7157 1.07 0.8577 1.57 0.9418 2.14 0.9838
0.08 0.5319 0.58 0.7190 1.08 0.8599 1.58 0.9429 2.16 0.9846
0.09 0.5359 0.59 0.7224 1.09 0.8621 1.59 0.9441 2.18 0.9854
0.10 0.5398 0.60 0.7257 1.10 0.8643 1.60 0.9452 2.20 0.9861
0.11 0.5438 0.61 0.7291 1.11 0.8665 1.61 0.9463 2.22 0.9868
0.12 0.5478 0.62 0.7324 1.12 0.8686 1.62 0.9474 2.24 0.9875
0.13 0.5517 0.63 0.7357 1.13 0.8708 1.63 0.9484 2.26 0.9881
0.14 0.5557 0.64 0.7389 1.14 0.8729 1.64 0.9495 2.28 0.9887
0.15 0.5596 0.65 0.7422 1.15 0.8749 1.65 0.9505 2.30 0.9893
0.16 0.5636 0.66 0.7454 1.16 0.8770 1.66 0.9515 2.32 0.9898
0.17 0.5675 0.67 0.7486 1.17 0.8790 1.67 0.9525 2.34 0.9904
0.18 0.5714 0.68 0.7517 1.18 0.8810 1.68 0.9535 2.36 0.9909
0.19 0.5753 0.69 0.7549 1.19 0.8830 1.69 0.9545 2.38 0.9913
0.20 0.5793 0.70 0.7580 1.20 0.8849 1.70 0.9554 2.40 0.9918
0.21 0.5832 0.71 0.7611 1.21 0.8869 1.71 0.9564 2.42 0.9922
0.22 0.5871 0.72 0.7642 1.22 0.8888 1.72 0.9573 2.44 0.9927
0.23 0.5910 0.73 0.7673 1.23 0.8907 1.73 0.9582 2.46 0.9931
0.24 0.5948 0.74 0.7704 1.24 0.8925 1.74 0.9591 2.48 0.9934
0.25 0.5987 0.75 0.7734 1.25 0.8944 1.75 0.9599 2.50 0.9938
0.26 0.6026 0.76 0.7764 1.26 0.8962 1.76 0.9608 2.55 0.9946
0.27 0.6064 0.77 0.7794 1.27 0.8980 1.77 0.9616 2.60 0.9953
0.28 0.6103 0.78 0.7823 1.28 0.8997 1.78 0.9625 2.65 0.9960
0.29 0.6141 0.79 0.7852 1.29 0.9015 1.79 0.9633 2.70 0.9965
0.30 0.6179 0.80 0.7881 1.30 0.9032 1.80 0.9641 2.75 0.9970
0.31 0.6217 0.81 0.7910 1.31 0.9049 1.81 0.9649 2.80 0.9974
0.32 0.6255 0.82 0.7939 1.32 0.9066 1.82 0.9656 2.85 0.9978
0.33 0.6293 0.83 0.7967 1.33 0.9082 1.83 0.9664 2.90 0.9981
0.34 0.6331 0.84 0.7995 1.34 0.9099 1.84 0.9671 2.95 0.9984
0.35 0.6368 0.85 0.8023 1.35 0.9115 1.85 0.9678 3.00 0.9987
0.36 0.6406 0.86 0.8051 1.36 0.9131 1.86 0.9686 3.05 0.9989
0.37 0.6443 0.87 0.8078 1.37 0.9147 1.87 0.9693 3.10 0.9990
0.38 0.6480 0.88 0.8106 1.38 0.9162 1.88 0.9699 3.15 0.9992
0.39 0.6517 0.89 0.8133 1.39 0.9177 1.89 0.9706 3.20 0.9993
0.40 0.6554 0.90 0.8159 1.40 0.9192 1.90 0.9713 3.25 0.9994
0.41 0.6591 0.91 0.8186 1.41 0.9207 1.91 0.9719 3.30 0.9995
0.42 0.6628 0.92 0.8212 1.42 0.9222 1.92 0.9726 3.35 0.9996
0.43 0.6664 0.93 0.8238 1.43 0.9236 1.93 0.9732 3.40 0.9997
0.44 0.6700 0.94 0.8264 1.44 0.9251 1.94 0.9738 3.50 0.9998
0.45 0.6736 0.95 0.8289 1.45 0.9265 1.95 0.9744 3.60 0.9998
0.46 0.6772 0.96 0.8315 1.46 0.9279 1.96 0.9750 3.70 0.9999
0.47 0.6808 0.97 0.8340 1.47 0.9292 1.97 0.9756 3.80 0.9999
0.48 0.6844 0.98 0.8365 1.48 0.9306 1.98 0.9761 3.90 1.0000
0.49 0.6879 0.99 0.8389 1.49 0.9319 1.99 0.9767 4.00 1.0000
0.50 0.6915 1.00 0.8413 1.50 0.9332 2.00 0.9772

16 Pearson Edexcel International Advanced Subsidiary/Advanced Level in Mathematics, Further Mathematics and Pure
Mathematics – Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables – Issue 2 – January 2021 © Pearson Education Limited 2021
Percentage Points Of The Normal Distribution
The values z in the table are those which a random variable Z ∼ N(0, 1) exceeds with probability p;
that is, P(Z > z) = 1 − Φ(z) = p.

p z p z
0.5000 0.0000 0.0500 1.6449
0.4000 0.2533 0.0250 1.9600
0.3000 0.5244 0.0100 2.3263
0.2000 0.8416 0.0050 2.5758
0.1500 1.0364 0.0010 3.0902
0.1000 1.2816 0.0005 3.2905

Pearson Edexcel International Advanced Subsidiary/Advanced Level in Mathematics, Further Mathematics and Pure 17
Mathematics – Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables – Issue 2 – January 2021 © Pearson Education Limited 2021