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Cyclone Honululu

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
12 views16 pages

Cyclone Honululu

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argharambhakt
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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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India Meteorological Department

(Ministry of Earth Sciences)

NATIONAL BULLETIN NO. 21 (BOB/06/2024)

TIME OF ISSUE:0450 HOURS IST DATED: 25.10.2024

FROM: INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT (FAX NO. 24643965/24699216/24623220)

TO: CONTROL ROOM, NDM, MINISTRY OF HOME AFFAIRS (FAX.NO. 23093750)


CONTROL ROOM NDMA (FAX.NO. 26701729)
CABINET SECRETARIAT (FAX.NO.23012284, 23018638)
PS TO HON’BLE MINISTER FOR S & T AND EARTH SCIENCES (FAX NO.23316745)
SECRETARY, MOES (FAX NO. 24629777)
H.Q. (INTEGRATED DEFENCE STAFF AND CDS) (FAX NO. 23005137/23005147)
DIRECTOR GENERAL, DOORDARSHAN (23385843)
DIRECTOR GENERAL, AIR (23421105, 23421219)
PIB MOES (FAX NO. 23389042)
UNI (FAX NO. 23355841)
D.G. NATIONAL DISASTER RESPONSE FORCE (NDRF) (FAX NO. 26105912, 2436 3260)
DIRECTOR, PUNCTUALITY, INDIAN RAILWAYS (FAX NO. 23388503)
CHIEF SECRETARY, ODISHA (FAX NO. 0674-2536660)
CHIEF SECRETARY, WEST BENGAL (FAX NO. 033-22144328)
CHIEF SECRETARY, ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS (FAX NO. 03192-232656)
CHIEF SECRETARY, ANDHRA PRADESH (FAX NO. 0863-2441029)
CHIEF SECRETARY, TAMIL NADU (FAX NO. 044-25672304)
CHIEF SECRETARY, PUDUCHERRY (FAX NO. 0413-2334145)
CHIEF SECRETARY, JHARKHAND (FAX NO. 0651-2400240)
CHIEF SECRETARY, BIHAR (FAX NO. 0612-2205800)

Subject: Severe Cyclonic storm “DANA” over north Odisha coast (Cyclone warning for
Odisha-West Bengal coasts & Post Landfall Outlook for interior districts of Odisha: Red
Message)
Latest observations indicate that the severe cyclonic storm “DANA” (pronounced as Dana) over
northwest Bay of Bengal moved north-northwestwards with a speed of 12 kmph during past 6 hours,
crossed north Odisha coast close to Habalikhati Nature Camp (Bhitarkanika) and Dhamara during 0130
hrs IST to 0330 hrs IST of today, 25th October as a severe cyclonic storm with a wind speed of 100-110
kmph gusting to 120 kmph and lay centred at 0230 hrs IST of today, the 25th October, over Odisha
coast, near latitude 20.7° N and longitude 87.0 °E, about 60 km northeast of Paradip (Odisha), 20 km
southeast of Dhamara (Odisha) and 150 km southwest of Sagar Island (West Bengal).

It lay centred at 0330 hrs IST of today, 25th October over north coastal Odisha near latitude 20.85° N
and longitude 86.9°E, about 10 km north of Dhamara and 20 km north-northwest of Habalikhati Nature
Camp (Bhitarkanika).

It is likely to move nearly west-northwestwards across north Odisha and weaken gradually into a
cyclonic storm by forenoon of today, the 25th October.

The system is under continuous surveillance of the doppler weather radar at Paradip.
Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:
Date/Time (IST) Position Maximum Category Of Cyclonic
(Lat. °N/ Long. °E) Sustained Surface Wind Disturbance
Speed (Kmph)
24.10.24/2330 20.7/87.0 100-110 gusting to 120 Severe Cyclonic Storm
25.10.24/0530 20.9/86.8 95-105 gusting to 115 Severe Cyclonic Storm
25.10.24/1130 21.0/86.5 80-90 gusting to 100 Cyclonic Storm
25.10.24/1730 21.1/86.1 50-60 gusting to 70 Deep Depression
25.10.24/2330 21.1/85.6 30-40 gusting to 50 Depression

(i) Rainfall Warning:


❖ Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places
and extremely heavy rainfall (≥ 21 cm) at isolated places over Baleswar, Mayurbhanj,
Bhadrak, Kendrapara, Jagatsingpur Kendujhar, Jajpur, Cuttack and Dhenkanal,
Khorda and Puri districts of Odisha on 25th October.
❖ Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few
places with extremely heavy rainfall at isolated places over South & North 24 Parganas,
East & West Medinipur, Jhargram, Howrah, Hooghly, Kolkata and Bankura districts of
Gangetic West Bengal on 25th October.
❖ Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated
places is likely over south Jharkhand on 25th October.
❖ Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy rainfall at isolated places is likely over
South Bihar on 25th October.

(ii) Wind Warning:


Northwest Bay of Bengal: Gale wind speed reaching 100-110 gusting to 120 kmph is likely to
prevail till forenoon of 25th October.

Adjoining areas of central Bay of Bengal: Gale wind speed reaching 60-70 kmph gusting to
80 kmph is prevailing and likely to continue till 25th Oct morning. It is likely to decrease
gradually thereafter.

Along & off Odisha-west Bengal coasts: Gale wind speed reaching 100-110 kmph gusting
to 120 kmph along & off north Odisha and east Medinipur district of West Bengal is likely till
morning of 25th October and decrease gradually thereafter.
Gale wind speed reaching 60-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph along & off south Odisha and
remaining districts of coastal West Bengal is likely till 25th Oct morning and decrease gradually
thereafter.
Adjoining areas of northeast Bay of Bengal: Squally wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph
gusting to 70 kmph is likely to prevail till 25th morning and decrease gradually thereafter.

South Jharkhand: Squally wind speed reaching 40-50 gusting to 60 kmph is very likely to
prevail from morning of 25th till evening of 26th October.
(iii) Storm surge warning:
Storm surge of 1.0 to 2.0 m height above astronomical tide is very likely to inundate low lying
areas of Kendrapara, Bhadrak & Balasore districts of Odisha and East Medinipur districts of
West Bengal during the time of landfall.
Storm surge of 0.5 to 1.0 m height above astronomical tide is very likely to inundate low lying
areas of South 24-Parganas district of West Bengal and Jagatsinghpur district of Odisha
during the time of landfall.
(iv) Sea Condition:

Northwest Bay of Bengal: Sea condition is likely to be Very High till 25th morning and
improve gradually thereafter.

Adjoining areas of central Bay of Bengal: Sea condition is likely to be very Rough to high
till 25th October morning. It is likely to improve gradually thereafter.

Adjoining areas of northeast Bay of Bengal: Sea condition is likely to be Rough to Very
Rough till 25th morning and improve gradually thereafter.

Along & off Odisha-west Bengal coasts: High to Very High till 25th Oct forenoon and
improve gradually thereafter.

(v) Fishermen Warning:


➢ Total suspension of fishing operations on 25th Oct over Central and North Bay of Bengal.
➢ Fishermen are advised not to venture into
• Adjoining areas of central Bay of Bengal till 25th morning Oct.
• Northwest & adjoining northeast Bay of Bengal and along & off Odisha, West Bengal
and Bangladesh coasts till 25th October.

❖ Post Landfall Outlook for the interior districts of North Odisha


Light to moderate rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy rainfall at a few places
and extremely heavy rainfall at isolated places is likely over interior districts of north
Odisha on 25th October.
Squally wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph is likely to commence over
interior districts of north Odisha from 25th forenoon and increase gradually becoming 50-
60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph from 25th afternoon till morning of 26th October.
❖ Impact Expected over districts of Odisha (Baleswar, Bhadrak, Kendrapara, Jajpur,
Jagatsinghpur, Puri, Khorda, Mayurbhanj, Kendujhar, Cuttack, Dhenkanal) and West
Bengal (East & West Medinipur, South & North 24 Parganas, Jhargram, Howrah,
Hooghly, Kolkata, & Bankura)
➢ Major damage to thatched houses/ huts. Roof tops may blow off. Unattached metal sheets
may fly.
➢ Breaking of tree branches and uprooting of trees. Large dead limbs blown from trees.
➢ Damage to power and communication lines.
➢ Major damage to Kutcha and some damage to Pucca roads. Flooding of escape routes.
➢ Damage to vulnerable structure.
➢ Major damage to standing crops including banana, papaya, horticultural and vegetable
crops due to inundation and wind.
➢ Damage to embankments/ salt pans.
➢ Localized Flooding of roads, water logging in low lying areas and closure of underpasses
mainly in urban areas of the above region.
➢ Occasional reduction in visibility due to heavy rainfall.
➢ Disruption of traffic in major cities and roadways due to water logging in roads and poor
visibility due to heavy rain leading to increased travel time and incidents
➢ Localized Landslides/Mudslides/landslips/mud slips/land sinks/mud sinks.
➢ Likely disruption of marine and inland water transportation like small boats and trawlers.
➢ It may lead to riverine flooding in some river catchments (for riverine flooding please visit
Webpage of Central Water Commission)
❖ Action Suggested for districts of Odisha (Baleswar, Bhadrak, Kendrapara, Jajpur,
Jagatsinghpur, Puri, Khorda, Mayurbhanj, Kendujhar, Cuttack, Dhenkanal) and
West Bengal (East & West Medinipur, South & North 24 Parganas, Jhargram,
Howrah, Hooghly, Kolkata & Bankura)
➢ Total suspension of fishing operations on 25th Oct over Central and North Bay of Bengal.
➢ Fishermen are advised not to venture into
✓ Adjoining areas of central Bay of Bengal till 25th Oct morning.
✓ Northwest and adjoining northeast Bay of Bengal and along & off Odisha, West
Bengal and Bangladesh coasts on 25th October morning.
➢ Movement in motor boats unsafe
➢ Coastal hutment dwellers to be moved to safer places.
➢ People in affected areas to remain indoors.
➢ Judicious regulation of onshore/offshore, Port and maritime activities including shipping.
➢ Judicious regulation of tourism activities in coastal areas.
➢ Judicious regulation of surface transports including railways and roadways.
➢ Check for traffic congestion on your route before leaving for your destination.
➢ Follow any traffic advisories that are issued in this regard.
➢ Avoid going to areas that face the water logging problems often.
➢ Avoid staying in vulnerable structure.

Next bulletin will be issued at 0830 hours IST of today, the 25th October, 2024.

(Ananda Kumar Das)


Scientist-F, RSMC & IMD, New Delhi

Copy to: ACWC Kolkata/ACWC Chennai/CWC Bhubaneswar/CWC Vishakhapatnam/Meteorological Centre Port


Plair/MC Ranchi/MC, Patna
Severe Cyclonic Storm “Dana”
20.7N/87.0°E
Paradip Doppler Weather Radar (MAX_Z)
OBSERVED AND FORECAST TRACK ALONGWITH CONE OF UNCERTAINITY OF SEVERE
CYCLONIC STORM ‘DANA’ OVER NORTH ODISHA COAST BASED ON 2100 UTC OF 24th
(0230 Hrs. IST OF 25TH) OCTOBER 2024
OBSERVED AND FORECAST TRACK ALONGWITH QUADRANT WIND DISTRIBUTION
OF SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM ‘DANA’ OVER NORTH ODISHA COAST BASED ON
2100 UTC OF 24th (0230 Hrs. IST OF 25TH) OCTOBER 2024

.
• Action may be taken based on ORANGE AND RED COLOUR warnings.
• Vulnerable regions likely urban and hilly areas action may be initiated for heavy rainfall
warning.
• As the lead period increases forecast accuracy decreases.
District-wise Warning of Odisha
District-wise Warning of West Bengal
Storm Surge warning graphics
Impact Based Forecast by Web-Based Dynamic Composite Risk Atlas &
Decision Support System (Web-DCRA & DSS)
24 HOURS OUTLOOK FOR THE FLASH FLOOD RISK

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